 The following is a presentation of TFNN the TFNN Bull Bear trading hour every trading day live at 10 a.m. Eastern call now toll free at 877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 The TFNN Bull Bear trading hour now Tommy and Tommy O'Brien Well folks appreciate your garage and problem with us out here We have the down industry was flat now as that is up 33 S&P's up six and a half gold contract on $14 trading at 1270 ounce We have the silver contract down 10 cents $14 54 cents an ounce light sweet crew down a buck 66 $61 93 cents the hammer in the that market hoof right big big time negative action Notes and bonds 10 year note down five ticks trading one 2313 30 year off 2 at 147 17 You get King dollar 100 ticks at 97 510 the year is at 1185 the end straight at 1153 The pound is at 130 to one the US dollar. We got Elon Musk Tesla's coming back to the Moe money two billion dollars put it in the coffers another two billion They better get some cash man if they're cash flow negative on quarterly basis losing money They get the stock the stock popped to 245 or 239 and they have burning cash, baby Hey, they're taking it in too from all those investors and Finance years Hey, when do you get money right not exactly when you might need it as in he better not wait and Smartly so I'd say they raise some money when they're not in dire need at least yeah. Oh, that's no doubt. That's six months away. No, I joke Man pretty amazing Let's go with our man. Mr. Kevin Hicks TD Ameritrade thinkers women's they do each Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday and don't forget folks Every trading day right here. You want to understand option option strategies future great program 11 to 12 Eastern stand the time real easy to get No matter where you are driving this great country of ours right now All's if you go to YouTube hit TFN and get it right on your phone folks great way to go Kevin Hicks. What's going on? Come on a time. Good morning. County. How you guys doing when Kevin good man? I mean there's so much action out here Kevin. It just depends, you know I know, you know, we were talking about even last Thursday that an action-pack week But I mean one after the other I woke up to smart I see Carney from the Bank of England right live press conference start off the day Yeah, and then of course, you know last night we had action in a big way and jobs number tomorrow, man. So Yeah, pretty amazing trade today though in number one crude oil having a pretty weak day and then gold Yeah, yeah with really a dollar that's up, you know, it's up, but it's up It's not up very very big, but man. They're hitting gold higher here today. Yeah Yeah, there's no doubt about it. They start they hit it yesterday. They hit it again this morning Bottom line is that you know, we'll see where this shakes out It just went down and tested that swing point from last week. The thing that's intriguing to Kevin is that, you know Powell's saying hey listen, there's no reason to go up. There's no reason to go down, you know Okay. Well the fed fund future is still over 50 percent for next september Yeah, I you know It's real easy I've been saying all along that I think a fed Great how can it give you a hint that he doesn't either yesterday. Yes when he said this low inflation environment Never have I seen someone get more weight out of one word. He went from patient to transient In terms of how he described low inflation, so Now I think the rest of the market put that as Any time they he may stay stable He may raise if something happens, but I think that's what the market There's no there's no doubt and it would seem I mean, you know, we do look overseas You know, it seems like we have a lot higher rates than overseas But the reality is is that okay? I really gonna put that much gasoline on an economy that is still going forward Sure, you know That's exactly right and Although his mandate is not GDP His mandate is inflation and unemployment right and both at pretty low levels right now I mean even with a 3.2 gdp print You have to say that the inflation the income and outweighs number was very low That being said tomorrow brings another day and tomorrow brings another bid the wages over Yeah, there's no and you know it seems to me Kevin that the when you really look at inflation deflation Between our technology and everyone getting smarter every day I think deflation is going to be with us for a while and a lot of things that we Not that we don't need But they you know, they can keep making these less expensive less expensive less expensive it seems You know what I'm saying? And so I think there's still more leeway there Um, you know to bring prices low and I think that's what the all these central banks are facing You know what I mean? Because it's like, okay, you know the spread on all the clothes that we're buying is still 200 percent It's like really right? No, it's like, okay, amazon's already showed they don't need 200 percent So those other stores come down just sure keep the same just inch down a little doesn't have to be a lot But you know and as one of the tigers are saying though, they're absolutely right That's the stuff Clothes except but food is definitely having inflation. Yeah, you know and health care health care is inflation. There's big numbers Yeah, that's that's the other side of it that you know, you know bottom line is that that's what the fight's about meaning Inflation deflation, but it seems like let's face it. Tom What does amazon go after what is red meat for amazon in terms of their their business model if you are a middleman Or if you are anything That's it Yeah, and it's just a matter of when like right right now the rumors about them getting into more of the talking in the freight And it hit all the carriers Rightfully affect their business their profitability. It seems such a there's no doubt and it's right up their alley I mean that's that's the other side of it because imagine, you know You're opening a business that you've already been paying someone else so much money far anyway It's like, okay. I I like this deal. It seems like I see those amazon small Delivery style van minivan trucks everywhere now much more often Used to be yeah used to be the the mail trucks the u.s. Postal service full of amazon boxes And now more often I see that amazon truck everywhere in the neighborhood when they they started that deal Right, they were fun those. I like what they look like too. No, they're beautiful car. Are they Mercedes? I think I don't know I think they are I think they're Mercedes vans. Um, yeah, let's say there you go Yeah, I don't know why but I like those vans. They're driving around in uh, they're nice vehicles So you're right, you know, they're they're nice vehicles and they are popping up. They are so Cut note everybody cut them out. Get them out. It's a brave new world Speaking of bezos. He just launched a rocket this morning Sorry, go ahead 180,000 non farm payroll Right is 173,000 The bottom line is this how what is that number going to be if the adp payrolls were 275,000 100,000 more than expecting a warning. It's a big one. It's a big one folks. Kevin right folks right here 45 minutes from now outstanding program. Kevin. You have a great one safe one. We look forward to speaking the next tuesday Thanks, Kevin. Stay right there folks. Tommy and I are coming right back The taz profile scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence as you begin your trading day? 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Let's go take a look at microsoft or one of the tiger's uh in the den So You get microsoft, uh That came down hard yesterday. What happened man. Yeah, I mean it was everything. I mean I was really surprising though I uh, yeah, I always say the nasdaq. I just think I covered in the update nasdaq 100 I think you know 120 or 140 points. So so and this was a big part of it But but there was uh right on that 230 press conference with paul. Yeah, so This let's put sound a weekly Okay, so I think I did this before so this is Okay, it's not an abc down because you get volume on the way down versus on the way back up It broke top side This looks to me Let me get 120 So you say it's a you say it's not an abc down because it doesn't do you mean Yeah, thank you. It's not an abc up. Yeah, because there's volume on the way down Yeah, it's a nice break top side But you can see there's too much volume on the way down here on that retracement. What is that day or that week? What is that week with the big volume spike? That's not december no, uh, december 24th. It would be yeah. Yeah Yeah, christmas eve, of course. So I would say that your microsoft is going to make its way back there, which It's not the end of the world because guess what it's up so tremendously. It's like They're they're an incredible company. They've been firing on all cylinders for five six years Is that two thousand nine fourteen dollars? Yeah plus Plus What's the dividend? Now it's only 1.4, but still 1.4. Yeah Not bad getting a dividend as your stock just goes through the moon, right? Seriously. Yeah, that's seriously Let's go take a look. Oh here. We'll go to natural gas. Um, let's take a look. So it's thursday um Pull this over where it's about 10 20. We get the natural gas numbers in 10 minutes Jumping around natural gas So we'll start it off with the 11ams We're looking at the what contract we on june contract natural gas right now trading at basically 259 258 9 So you're going to have exposure for the 11ams at 260, which is not bad. You're about a penny to the downside I'm going to jump real quick and just see how these line up before we jump into each one So the noon expirations are going to have 260 as well and they're all going to have 260 as these get set. Um I'm just going to close some of these as I set this up So we were just up at 262 overnight. We're trading at about 259 your bullish spread I'm going to be slightly out of the money. That one's going to be all premium 12 bucks the bearish spread What am I looking at here? Okay, I'm starting with the 230s. These are the biggest ones. Um 260 down to 220 And I realized when I put this up, I was like, wait a second. Why is that 12 pennies above the I thought I was looking at the 11ams That'd be a lot of premium for But nonetheless, so you're looking at about $34 represents three and a half pennies Three and a half pennies away from 260, right? And you got about a penny head start to the downside Now that's going to be the most expensive option because that's till 230 and that's 40 cents as your spread I believe these smaller ones are going to be 20 cents when you get down to the noon So jump to the noon. Yes, and they have 20 cents realistically natural gas moving more than 20 cents not likely But you'd still have that option. So here's your bullish spread and you can see right away The difference in the market, right in terms of you're trading at 259 Yeah, it's going to cost you seven dollars to get in until noon. It's going to cost you 12 to get in until 230 All right, so there's your bullish And you pull up the bearish So you're looking at 20 23 24 2.3 2.4 pennies till noon and we'll pull it up until 11am Oh, good. That was the noon one. Okay. That was the noon one. Yep. I'm going down from high now this time Yeah, right. Yeah, so the noon one five five for the bullish, which is out of the money and You're looking at about 17 So 22 so really not that big of a difference between 11 and 12, right only half a penny. Yeah, belly, right? And you know, sometimes we look at both sides, man If you really expected a pop and you expected a quick not a bad trade getting in at five seven dollars And your break even becomes just above 260 and you're trading at 259 You're getting inventories. You were just trading without even news at 259. Um at 260 261 as of an hour ago Right. Yeah. Yeah, so we'll see what that number Let's see. So uh quite a surprise build from oil yesterday and oil Continuing downward from from that action I think we're looking at june all the way in the bottom Okay, thank you So that fired down there, didn't it? It sure did Yeah Where are we going? Yeah, it's too bad. You know, go ahead wait I was gonna say we missed the whisper number again. I was gonna pull it up. We had 10 minutes We'll have to start getting ahead of that. I'd say it's downtown downtown would have been right yesterday You said the same thing about oil man. Oh, that was that was a good one. That was a good one And it took a few minutes, but uh Let's pull up. I want to hear where I want to see what they're gonna say the good thing. Um Natural gas What are they looking for? They're looking for a whisper between 115 and 160. That's a build, right? Yes, it builds a small build Yeah, yeah So almost flat right basically and uh to put it in context yesterday the oil number I think they're looking for like 1.7 million Okay, and I so meeting analyst was 1.7. I think bloomberg survey saw something It was like more like four number came in almost 10 regardless Um, quite a monster. Yeah monster number No doubt about that. Can we um under armor? Let's take a peek. We were going over that at the break They had some earnings this morning looks like they're trimming their line Cut quite a trim and good for them, man You gotta you gotta you gotta trim some stuff that ain't working and they weren't working for a while. Um So here we go Earnings amounted to five cents a share under under armor set under armor set on thursday compared with an estimate of Braheven and sales were 1.2 billion slightly gained from a year earlier of 1.8 Part we found interesting, right? They wrote down a large chunk of inventory reworked its supply chain and eliminated about 40 percent of its products to focus on high highest selling lines gross margins Expanded for the third consecutive quarter so that they're becoming more efficient, right? That's working in terms of their selling more items at full price Yeah, um an inventory also declined dramatically in line with The founder strategy to create a more streamlined operation. They have 875 million in inventory lowest level in three years Um And so the focus for under armor now shifts to growth later in the year So trim it down right get everything working and then probably ramp up those product lines that are doing well It seems like the market likes that especially coming in you're supposed to be break even you're making money Your sales are up ahead of expectation and you get a turn like that. You know It's a it's a big deal. So so here's you know, we were looking at the inventory here's interesting Okay, so this is uh their inventories to streamline so decreasing inventories They were up above one point looks like about 1.3 billion probably at the beginning of last year So even in the last four quarters, they've come down pretty substantially. Yeah, look at that. Yeah They You see it often right a company when they're really firing all in all cylinders You can just expand a little bit too quickly The first thing they came to mind was starbucks right in terms of they're everywhere And then I get to come in close down stores and trim it up pretty amazing. Yeah the thing is amazing in the clothing companies is that Like something could be worth, you know a doll of ten dolls whatever it is And all of a sudden people's chase change and all of a sudden it's worth nothing. It's like oh my god Style fashion you better keep up man And that's just to pull it up because I don't think we touched on the actual performance So it's up one seven percent and it was up It's quite a move seven percent on that that chart So right there folks tell me not to come right back to all those gas numbers for you and of course Market books that right now I'm 16 now it's like a 37 s&p's up eight and a half Hi folks, Tom O'Brien here If you'd like to get my daily newsletter market insights Then now is a great time to sign up for a 30 day free trial Every morning by 9 30 I send out my morning letter to subscribers with market commentary on a variety of markets currencies and commodities To keep investors up to date on the day's trading action Included in market insights are specific buy and sell recommendations for stocks ETFs and even options Which stops and price targets included for every trade in my newsletter If you'd like to try my newsletter risk free for 30 days Then head over to the front page of tfnn and you'll find market insights under trading newsletters I use my years of trading experience to bisect and dissect the market every morning And give my subscribers the most important information they need to know for the day ahead I even issue afternoon updates for my subscribers whenever warranted with important market action I'm always scouring the market for the next great trading opportunity Sign up for your 30 day free trial to my daily newsletter market insights today by visiting the front page of tfnn.com Well, go get them folks The path of least resistance is david white's daily trading newsletter And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now's a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning and his path of least resistance newsletter Using a combination of equity trades along with options David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30 day free trial to david's daily newsletter The path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently And if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning Then visit the front page of tfnn and you'll find the path of least resistance under trading newsletters For all the details and to start your 30 day free trial today log on to tfnn.com now tfnn is excited about our new software charting program the art of timing the trade charts In collaboration with tom o'brien and using his best-selling book the art of timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David white has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology Using this first of its kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups including guardleafs abc's butterflies and much more The art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks Just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months searching to find And right now we're offering licenses available at only 79 dollars a month We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day Unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software Get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com This segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information Just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com So eia natural gas stockpiles Rising 123 billion cubic feet right estimate had been about 115 So that is bringing the total inventories to 1.46 trillion cubic feet to see how that's hit in the market We'll pull up the chart and uh bigger supply than you'd expect more supply in the market lower prices You just saw natural gas drop from about 259 we're comparing when that was setting up to about 250 78 258 Still most of those setting up right we're looking for 23 25 like two and a half pennies right for the noon maybe three and a half pennies if you're going till 230 So, um, we're at about two and a half pennies right now So we'll see but a little bit of a build natural gas seems to be plenty of it around Seriously, and I was just reading so this was uh Ahead of the news coming out right saying that that's why we saw futures kind of Pull back a little bit even leading into it The government report shows the biggest ever stockpile gain for that time of year easing concerns That's a that a supply crunch will emerge Inventories still 30 below normal for this time of the year but muted demand And uh booming shale production are helping to accelerate weekly increases in stored supply And what do we do we beat again right so I would say uh, you might see that price come down And you know the the yearly inventories have been below The medium for a long period of time, you know, I mean this wrap has been going on for like five years It's okay, and it's probably because there's so much shale that they can get as much I guess they want as much as they want 877 9276648 let's go take a look at some of these uh high-end volume equities So let's see what we got out here you get qualcomm they come out with numbers We'll go over there. It's interesting qualcomm was trading down five dollars last night And now it's up three. I saw they actually put a number on go for it. They put a number on that apple settlement Right, I think I saw at least 4.5 billion. Um, which was what they kind of expected But man, I said to you yesterday Right, man, it is up so much even since it jumped that day It is just and I don't even want to say trickled up because it's not even it's just kept going up every single day So so what you have here folks is that the day of the announcement, right? We started off at 57 Ended up at 71. Yep, then it gapped the next day to 82. Yep, and I heard 89 Yeah, I mean think about it that day it went from 57 to 71 to And that in itself is amazing and it just went from 71 It just went up on almost another 30 percent from where it closed that day And there it is. Yeah 4.7, right Look at that. That's a nice little payday say why don't you pay us all those licensing fees that you never wanted to And now we'll we'll look for that check of 4.5 billion dollars So apples will pay qualcom 4.5 to 4.7 billion to catch up on licensing fees accrue during the two-year legal battle Oh man, yeah now they that that's the deal they made on that big run But they hadn't quite announced and they thought it would be billions because Qualcomm made mention I think of how much it would affect their earnings per sale or per share or something that it was going to be substantial I guess less than the 7 billion qualcomm claimed apple owed that was probably during those negotiations because that number wasn't thrown around When they made that deal So yeah, they reached that settlement April 6th And in addition to that payment the companies negotiated a multi-year agreement For qualcomm to sell chips and license its technology to apple for royalty payments And that's what basically people said is hey apple made a decision that they need qualcomm You know they need qualcomm to be in the game And uh, they might have thought they could have succeeded But guess what if you win and you can't do business with them because that's you've made enemies then you've actually lost No big time. Yeah big time and uh You know hey, can you why don't you bring qualcomm up in the td? Sure Because I I think this is about five bucks last night. It was for the overnight. Oh, look at that. There you go, man Isn't that wild sometimes it takes a little while to digest that information right now I love how they show this on the td america platform. There's your earnings number. Yeah earnings. Okay There's where the conference call starts which which uh, it gave it a little run And looks like it lost a little bit of steam But I wonder something was on that conference call because even then it went from 82 Up to 85 it waned a bit overnight and then once the traders woke up in the u.s. At 4 35 in the morning The whole the whole time the whole time man because it was already at 87 by the time of the open Sometimes you see it wait till the open right but no they figured out pre-market. No, no good news. Let's Put the rest of these let's see That's got to be a nice trade being in qq com at 57 and you're sitting at 90 today. Seriously, man You get uh seizes entertainment. That's up 35 cents. So a square is getting hit. That's down five and a half dollars 67 dollars 82 cents Can we jump into that? I'm just curious on the fundamental. Whoops. I didn't want serious. Hold on What they uh, I I saw it. Yeah street wonders. What is the street wondering? Uh Less impressive forecast as usual the case right so they climbed 40 percent from december low Let's see if they got actually what's going on here Squares softer forecast as outperformance in the subscription services segment is starting to be overshadowed by weaker core transaction revenue and margins Uh, the second is decelerating growth in the company's gross payment volume I mean that's that's the bread and butter right how much you process and raises questions regarding squares ability to continue to Meaningfully outpace the market in a friendly competitive merchant acquiring space Yeah, so uh, these are just different analysts. That's one of them. But but They're probably saying that okay. How many more small stores are there not necessarily small stores But square that's what they attack that so greatly and so many people got it so quick Do you know me because it's such an easy thing to do They were the one of the first ones They didn't have to jump through hoops to take credit cards. Yes, right. Very simple very you get Tie it to your computer and they've gone beyond that for sure now But that's maybe where it's not as easy to grow when You don't have a niche if you're just coming into a regular business with a regular terminal Then why am I not going with the first data and their millions I have friends Like, you know, you know, I mean just any other competitive credit card processing business Right. No, there's no there's no doubt about that. I mean what's happening in the Credit card business also is having getting solicitations about It wouldn't work as much for tfnn, but let's say that you have a Business that you have inventory, right? Okay. Well, what they're doing is that them they credit card companies saying hey, listen At no cost no extra cost you can put this on with your inventory I'm going to match this up for you on a continual basis. Okay, and it's sure it makes sense Okay, if you're using, you know, yeah, basically an excel and you're using some kind of a you know inventory software Yes, um that oh definitely that's something that's pretty cool. Some synergy there. You'd know every day Okay, this many is out. I got a lot of this many and I could see that, you know, oh, definitely You get some good ai in there telling you what's what's going on. It's the next Elon Musk in there telling you what's going on That's I'm curious what's the because the two billion is stock and debt. So let's see what I got here And elon's going to be purchasing a 10 million. Yeah, that's 10 million shares. I believe though, right? I thought it was just 10 million dollars. Maybe this well, uh, so yeah raising two billion through debt and stock offering Uh, this is great after elon overestimated the ability to generate for the tesla to generate cash So there is right there. Yeah, we're uh, okay So they're going to sell 1.35 billion in convertible notes and about 650 million in shares Uh, let's see we view this as a net positive one of the analysts. Where are we going? Did you see where? No, that's the one up there. That's what we know 1.3 million. Sorry. Yes. Yeah, I was getting down. I thought you saw muskets right at the bottom. So No, you're right. Participate in the offering by his body is 10 million in stock. Well, yeah Why why even mention that? Um, most of the offering will come from convertible bonds doing 2024 We'll we'll finish it up when we come back. Good stay right there folks. 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If you'd like more information about the tiger first mortgage program, you can call me at 877-518-9190 That's 877-518-9190 If you haven't checked out the newsletters page of tfnn.com What are you waiting for all of the tfnn newsletters are informative up-to-date Affordable and a must-have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets tfnn newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news Plus new subscribers get to test drive our newsletters risk-free for 30 days From all aspects of the markets including stocks bonds metals commodities and tech There's a newsletter to fit your needs exclusively from tfnn Stay informed each day you trade and get the competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game Visit our newsletters page by going to tfnn.com and click the newsletters button near the top of the page tfnn.com educating investors Biotech is booming but for how long whether you think the biotech bull has room to run or has run its course trade labu or labd Directions daily s and p biotech three times bull and bear etfs Visit direction investments dot com slash biotech today An investor should consider the investment objectives risks charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing The prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus Please contact direction shares at eight six six four seven six seven five two three The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk Including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services llc Don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv for the latest market information 13 nazis up 30 s&p's are up five and a half and we're talking with uh, talking about tesla here They're Two billion dollar raise. Yeah, so I guess it puts them much more in line with standard ratios in terms of a 15 Percent cash to sales historically level among traditional auto manufacturers and suppliers Um, did you see the number of shares? Where were you seeing that up above tesla's indicated an interest in buying Okay, okay, cool. Um, yeah, I said that 10 million there isn't 2 billion. That's a half a percent of the total raise Um, you know kudos for for musk being the pr man. He is getting that in there Um tesla's planning as much as 2.5 billion in capital expenditures this year as it develops new vehicles Including that model y crossover They got the semi truck and the roadster sports car It's also building a battery and vehicle factory near shanghai Yeah To produce those model threes and that's where the the one what's happening in the shanghai deal in between tesla and panasonic it's like They're saying that panasonic is pulling back too because they're Kind of flipped out that he's getting that a chinese partner don't too. Okay, and it's like, you know, it's just You know, they're like, yeah, it's a lot of geopolitics Well, we came to my head when you said this don't they have to have a chinese partner to be doing that I feel you know, and I I'm sure they do right. They do how big of a partner, right? Yeah, panasonic or but that's a that's a massaging game that elan's probably playing as in terms of uh putting one off against the other Yeah, exactly So when you look at these he did 4.5 billion last quad he's looking to do 6.2 this quarter All right, so they got some big aspirations in those numbers, right? Yeah, I would say so. Um, it's a big jump it is a big jump, you know you and and You look at how much this went down well that and it was 7.2 prior quarter Yeah, and that's when the credit That's cut in half that was the last quarter last year. So good until December 31st All right, so it would make sense that your biggest opportunity is up until December 31st Yeah, your worst day of sales ever is going to be January 1st. Oh, yeah I wonder yeah, right. I mean who would ever walk in when they tell you the credit just expired 12 hours ago Right, um, maybe there was somebody but you can see to the tune of that drop off, but You'll still I don't know. We'll see as in as in It's still kind of stings if you're buying it on April 1st And you just could have gotten it So we'll see if they can really bounce back because that's uh You still feel like you lost out on almost $4,000 opportunity just because you waited a few months But yeah inside the dial industrials Let's take a look at the strength versus the weakness inside the dial So point wise you get the home depot putting 11 points in apple putting seven Merck putting six taking away from at disney minus 15 cat minus 12 United technologies minus seven pretty muted, right? It's not often that there's not one stock at least on one side of the market Putting more than 15 points into it and you kind of just have a bunch of small little action Which is why the thou hasn't moved that much and and the x we got a little bit of a different story Yeah, you got uh advanced micro up six percent qualcomm up three Skyworks up three and tester up three Taken away from it. Uh craft hines. We'll go back to that went down 2.7 foxes off 2.8 Vertex is down two point, you know one point Foa I mean this this craft hines These guys I don't even know how they stand business while they're in our ketchup and processed food. They're selling Let's take a little this. Yeah, this tried to mess as I thought it was Where do you see that? So this is down from 97 to 32 And even since right since uh the beginning of march that that initial huge fall off. Um, yeah when they came out That's yeah They're claiming they're still growing See that I mean Yeah It's almost so marginal, right? I mean you could almost say that there's like just some variants built into the basically stagnant From 26 5 26 to 26 3 25 29 26 1 you just kind of oscillating around and that number underneath must be right That's what I was looking at there. You know, I see okay. Yeah There's an 18 number underneath there folks. There's no ways that one if you look at if you look at the revenue right here Yeah, you know, I do basically down versus up and that's a little accounting magic to get a three year growth rate of 18 percent And uh, yeah, show me your revenue numbers. Ah, we'll just keep those in the back pocket Yeah No doubt no doubt Yeah, they just I guess they didn't even come out with numbers. They're just selling off, right? Yeah See yeah As its sector declined I guess so so they get some problems maybe in the processed food. Uh, oh, yeah That's a business. I would not want to be in right now. Let's check back a natural guess. Where are we gonna be? Up 256 8 so about 3.2 pennies now under that level, right? Anytime it would have been a nice setup if you bearish you have a one penny head start to the downside, right? You get a surprise build Over what they're estimating so that's nice when you get, you know that in your direction And it seems like as that article mentioned when we pulled it up that supply supply worries Um, shouldn't be worried anymore. That seems like we've been out plenty of supply and watch this we go over to the oil This is going to be wild Do we got plenty of oil too? And you know We do want to pay attention to here folks is that this s and p has been trading with oil for a long period of time Definitely, you know and look at 10 to 24th and this is like a identical. I agree, right? You know and and oil broke first. I mean oil, you know broke the first time it broke was last week You know, that's when we went from uh 65 to 62 You did a little bounce You know bottom line, you know Oh, yeah, you better pay attention if uh Because they are trading in tantam. Yeah, I mean for sure. I mean this is I Yeah, I just love doing this because it's like man. I was looking at it. It's so direct I'll just put this back for one year So you can see the the correlation in between Oil and I'll do it one year and a weekly because you can see how clean this is and then I'm going to compare it Here we go to the cash s and p. So what you're looking at here? You're looking at the cash Oil market the continuous contract. Yes with the cash s and p It's like wow totally, you know If one thing it's just that uh oil should be at 75 dollars. I guess. Yeah, didn't go and keep up No, I know I believe me. I was looking at that. It was the same type of deal. This is okay, man. Yeah, and if you go to the xle Uh, you'll see that the uh, maybe you can maybe we can compare the xle Oh, we can you can try and add a third one right? Uh, no compared to Let's do it. Uh, I was hoping they just have a drop-down list of uh, then there's just two I'm sure we can figure out a way, but that's all right. Okay. Well, I'll go this way. I'll go like, uh, I'm gonna do oil See, uh, well that would make cl one It would make sense that I could do the s and p right and then what do you want to do compare them again Yeah, so I should do I should do the spx. Okay, and then I'll put the xle and put that on the one year weekly You want to do uh, right? So that's one year Now I'll compare that to the xle cool xle nope You know what wanted there, right? Um, I don't know where was you're not in the oh, there you go xle Yeah, yeah similar. It's similar similar and it's what you have here This is what this is where I think we're out right now Oil is going first you can see the xle is going first. So, you know, yeah And you know when you start putting that together folks with The transports the transports tested at high Failed, you know, you're up 138 today, but you know last week we did we did the test smh's also Tested it's high Failed that's up today, but in both cases Both of those have tested at high failed on price and volume You get the big dogs that are already out Stay right there folks. Tell me how I come right back I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money Let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done Which is how to time the markets I'm steve rhodes author of mastering probability and for the last 12 months Timer digest has been tracking my newsletter signals Which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the s&p 500 for the last 12 Six and three months timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well The fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the Best and what I do sign up for mastering probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the home page of tfn.com And get immediate access to workshops where I take you step by step How to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to sign up today It's amazing to think that tom o bryan started his weekly gold report 17 years ago with the first issue published April 7th, 2002 when gold was trading at under $300 per ounce gold peaked at more than $1,900 in 2011 and after spending many years consolidating at lower prices Gold may be poised for its next big run tom o bryan publishes his weekly gold report every monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the xa u hui gdx the dollar bonds South african rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy sell recommendations as of april 1st of this year The gold report currently has eight active positions with an average Unrealized profit of almost eight percent for each open trade new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee So you have nothing to risk for all the details and to start your gold report subscription today Visit the front page of tfn.com. Don't let gold's next big run pass you by sign up today Since 1984 Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion Well, originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply Later basil found that computer software, which included the standard market technical indicators Enhanced the degree of accuracy and calling price turns as well as market trend calls Thus was born the Chapman wave sequence Using the Chapman wave methodology along with other indicators basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion Each market day with his opening call newsletter Right now you can get a two week free trial to the opening call Basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of tfn.com Cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing Get your two week free trial to basil's newsletter the opening call today by visiting tfnn.com This segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information Just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com Folks I doubt right now it's down Uh, it's got hit down 50 and now it's x up 12. That's a piece of flat and talk about someone getting hit. Uh, this is sad Yeah, well, yeah, definitely. So Kentucky Derby this weekend. Man, it sneaks up. I can't believe it. Uh, unfortunately You had the horse favorite yesterday getting scratched Omaha Beach. I think it was as high as a four to one favorite Um, and I think a lung problem something to do with being sick, uh And so the story comes out that Omaha Beach's breeding rights were sold for 22 million dollars one day before The horse got scratched. That's not gonna be in the story. I wonder how that's gonna play out I I feel like just like if there's a trade in the nhl the nfl Then they the players have to go through a physical I imagine if you sell a horse, but you know what it might be different Because nah, it's gonna say because it's not like they're racing. You're buying just their breeding rights, right? So you don't get to inspect their knee or something like that if you're buying their breeding rights, really I don't know. Oh, but you should be able to make sure that they're gonna live long enough to be able to breed So I imagine there's definitely, um So a few deals on premium horses are made before their third year with bonuses if they win others are consummated in between the triple crown races Uh, well, some don't get locked locked up until after the Belmont I imagine you just you know, do you want to take your equity right now? Or do you want to let it run right as in And you know the risk is What would happen there? And then some like last year I think would justify They sold those rights and that that guy made out that bought the rights Look at so is usually owners of the prohibitive favorites Omaha Beach being the morning line favorite four to one Roll the dice and try and win the derby Um first and I love this how how innocent but for whatever reason They decided to do the opposite and then they scratched the horse. Well, I can think of one reason Can you think of one reason? Yeah, because they were gonna scratch the horse. I knew so we'll see what happens Yeah, stay right there folks. We have a fast market coming up next Then I'm am mr. Basil Chapman the Steve Rhodes Dave white be back this afternoon. Thanks. Thanks, man Yeah, I'll get them folks