 Imran Khan is said to become yet another Pakistani Prime Minister who will not be able to complete his full term. And that is because he's not been able to manage the balance between the three A's that rule Pakistan. It's said that the three A's that rule Pakistan and it's the job of every Prime Minister, every government to balance their interests of the army. Then Allah which is the Islamic State and the Islamic jihadist groups that operate inside Pakistan. And finally America which has been Pakistan's ally and in a lot of ways has been directing Pakistani politics for many, many decades. Now definitely from the time when the Soviet Union went into Afghanistan, definitely for the last 40 years at least. Now Imran Khan was seen as the Pakistani army's proxy candidate and there was enough evidence to suggest that when he became Prime Minister, when he was elected Prime Minister in 2018, he had a lot of support from the army establishment from the ISI. And there were intimidatory tactics run by the ISI and the Pakistani army against those who were opposed to Imran Khan and Imran Khan. The elections were rigged to favour Imran Khan to become the Prime Minister. And Imran Khan actually advertised his closeness to the army. He inducted former generals into his cabinet. He created a committee in which he put the army chief, General Bajwa and he made him one of the important members. And the most important thing was that when Imran Khan was elected and before that all the protests against the previous government, they were organised by the ISI and there's evidence to suggest that they were done by a gentleman called Faiz Hamid who used to run one section of the ISI which was meant for counterintelligence. And this man, Faiz Hamid was essentially very close to the army chief, General Bajwa. Now Faiz Hamid was kind of lifted out of a relatively mediocre army career and brought to the top by Bajwa and then he was made ISI chief in 2019 by Bajwa overlooking others. The previous ISI chief was there for only 8 months and then he was removed and Faiz Hamid was brought in. And Faiz Hamid was seen as a man very loyal to the army chief Bajwa and he was entrusted that role to essentially keep the government in check and also to work out deals with opposition, keep them in check as well, work out deals with the various Islamic jihadi forces and groups which operate inside Pakistan and attack India, move into Afghanistan, so that was his basic role. Now Faiz Hamid is essentially someone who rose from the bottom and he was one thing that he was supposed to know well was how to handle politics and also another thing that he was supposed to have is a lot of ambition. So very soon General Bajwa realized that Faiz Hamid was actually planning to become the army chief to create a clique which would be against Bajwa, force him to resign, remove him and or at least take an early retirement and become the army chief in his place. And that is why what Bajwa did was Bajwa decided to replace Faiz Hamid. He wanted to remove Faiz Hamid from the ISI. This is something that Imran Khan did not want and there is some rumor that Imran Khan's occultist wife, that's what Praveen Swamy has written, that Imran Khan's occultist wife actually told him that if Faiz Hamid goes then Imran Khan will find it very difficult to continue in power and therefore Imran Khan was very keen to have Faiz Hamid. This was the man who kind of organized his election, brought him to power and what he did was he sat on the transfer file, the file which was sent to transfer, normally as Pakistan experts say this should have taken at best 24-48 hours but he sat on it for weeks and that created the first fissure between the army and Imran Khan and the army rules Pakistan. It's not anyone else and you should read this great book by Aishwarya Siddhika. This is an excellent book called Military Incorporated. It's about inside Pakistan's military economy. This is a book worth reading because it tells you how much of Pakistan's economy and business and financial systems are directly owned and controlled by the army, not indirectly by generals alone but directly by the army. So the Pakistani army has not only a kind of vice like grip on Pakistan's politics and external affairs but also on its economy itself. So it's almost impossible for any prime minister, any political entity to go against the army. Yet each time, each time what happens is that when a prime minister gets elected in Pakistan, they think that they need to cut the army down to size and one of the things they do is to try a divide and rule and this has happened repeatedly, Binazir Bhutto tried it, Nawaz Sharif tried it because of which he was actually forced to resign and it appears that Imran Khan has tried it too. He tried to create a power center within the army which would be alternate to General Bajwa but as Aishwarya Siddhika has said and written that there is one thing to play one general against the other. The other is to take on the army as an establishment. The army as an establishment unites. The army as an institution is larger than the army chief. It has been decided since the end of Zia ul Haq's regime that the army chief will become the representative of the army's ethos and what the army wants. So when you attack the army chief, the army institution takes it as an attack on itself and therefore the entire army actually went against Imran Khan. Imran Khan has also made a few mistakes because of his ego or maybe that was his political calculations. He realized that Pakistan's army, despite its loveate relationship with the US is kind of heavily dependent on American support and on the other hand there is China, ruling Pakistan, China putting in a lot of money, Pakistan being an important part of China's Belt and Road Initiative and Imran Khan decided to look eastward. He said that okay, I don't really care about US. The US is not supporting me, not backing me so he started looking eastward and he started playing to the galleries of the Islamic jihadist movement which again is closely allied and controlled by the ISI by the way. So he was trying to see how to deal with this by keeping some members of the ISI of the army on his side and one of the things he did was he took the side of the Taliban in the UN which angered the US, they didn't want that to happen. Then there was a kind of, Imran Khan's attempts to form a bond with let's say the US with President Biden didn't work out. Biden apparently refused to have a phone conversation with him which again affected Imran Khan's ego and what seems to have been the last straw for the US administration for the army which wants a good relationship with the US is Imran Khan's decision to visit Russia. He went to visit Russia, he started talking about deeper ties with Russia and he visited Russia on the same day that Putin invaded Ukraine and that turned out to be a miscalculation of sorts and which seems to have united the American administration which is now openly against Imran Khan and Imran Khan now is openly against the US administration. He has said he realizes that he has to go but he wants to prepare the ground for an emotional campaign when elections are called, if elections are called and the US army, Pakistan army doesn't want to alienate the US right now however much it might have tied up with China. So Imran Khan's calculations have been such that now the Pakistan army has turned neutral. When it turns neutral, till now it was openly backing Imran Khan since last year after the fallout with Bajwa the Pakistan army has withdrawn supposedly. When it withdraws, it opens the door for the opposition and the opposition is no longer, the Pakistan army and ISI will no longer play the government's role of stamping down the opposition of all the arrests that have taken place and because of that Imran Khan now finds a united opposition and a part of his coalition and his own party have switched sides and moved away from him. So he is clearly not going to survive a confidence motion. A last minute deal is apparently being worked out between him and the opposition that they will withdraw the no confidence vote and he will call immediate elections. Now that is what Imran Khan is preparing the ground for but this is a very interesting moment in Pakistan's history because Imran Khan appears to have not only challenged the army but also the third A in the entire lot. He has not only challenged the army, the army has turned he has challenged the third A which no one till now has recently done so he has challenged the third A which is America he is saying America has a direct role in pulling him down and working against the interests of Pakistan. This is an interesting time for Pakistan, for Pakistani democracy whatever there is of it and also a tightrope walk for the Pakistani army which will actually want to tamper down all the rhetoric that Imran Khan has built up the anti-India rhetoric it will want that to be dampened because it wants a slightly stable space within which it can continue to control Pakistan. For this show today keep watching NewsClick subscribe to us, like this video, share it as well.