 Hey everybody, what's going on? I am Greg Susby. Enjoy day by Brandon. Can do a fandal Who's here to give us his favorite plays for this week on the PGA tour? What's going on, right? And hey, I you know just Kind of like coming down still from the Masters But then we we trend into the RBC heritage, which is it's a very unique sort of event Because we go from you know this week from the Masters where it's all about distance and now it's about accuracy And so you get someone like Dustin Johnson At the top of the field I mean his all-time fandal sports book have fallen from nine and a half to one to 12 to one Which makes a whole lot of sense based on the course fit even though he has fared well At this course, but it's you got to really change your mindset going from You know the biggest major of the year to a course where kind of everyone's in play because nobody's nobody's disqualified from a lack of This yeah, I think you just look at the field also obviously the top players in the world all at the Masters You can't say the same here about the RBC heritage But let's get in to your picks and it's interesting because you're not going to the top of the board You're starting here at a player who's 23 to one and that is Matthew Fitzpatrick think that there are There there definitely are some plays at the top of the board I would like probably most specifically web simpson, but Matthew Fitzpatrick actually You know now 23 to 1 but opened at 32 to 1 And I knew pretty certainly that that number would shorten as we get further along in the week in it again It is 23 to 1, but I still think that's a good number Obviously 32 is better, but 23 is still good for Matthew Fitzpatrick based on my win simulations Fitzpatrick is an elite bermuda putter and that's the greens we get this week I've been the 99th percentile versus this field over the past 100 rounds that data coming from fantasy national.com Someone who can hit fairways at a higher rate 89th percentile over the past 100 rounds as well. That's a key stat this week It is more about placement than it is distance. You don't really overpower harbour town kind of place it Hit your irons well and putt well now Fitzpatrick anecdotally because he's english plays well on the wind The pg's course stats haven't really bared that out necessarily, but I don't think The wind splits are super reliable long term It's a lot of uh recency a lot of adjustments that you have to make to trust them fully but two top 15 finishes here in the past three years And frankly just some of the best long term form in the field Someone who fits nicely someone who's available uh at a nice number of 23 to 1 So you get a little bit of a discount from that top tier, but Fitzpatrick definitely someone I'm eyeing this week Matthew Fitzpatrick has had some success here as Brandon says and with that form and what he's good at It kind of works out here and it's a number that obviously is dropping. He likes better 32 He'll still take it 23 plus 2300 right now over at the fan those sportsbook Up next is a guy we talk about a lot here on the hurry up and I liked him last week the masters He played well at augusta and that's corey conners. You get him right now at 34 to 1 over at the fan those sports But why do you think the rbc heritage is a spot where conners could pick up a win for conners? It's because he does what you have to do well He stripes it off the tee. He's one of the few golfers who's pretty long off the tee But also accurate so he can he kind of can go both ways which is something that is that flexibility Is always nice whenever a course requires accuracy, but you know, it doesn't necessarily disqualify distance. It's just more Uh, you don't overpower it again. It's more about placement and he can do both He's just one of seven golfers in the field To rank in the 60th percentile are better In both driving distance gained and fairways gained over the past 100 rounds according to fantasy national And his putting has improved markedly of late. Well, he's still a liability on the greens overall It's becoming less and less of a problem You're not seeing these huge huge downswings in his putting taking him out of events He's kind of having neutral slightly positive Results on greens and that is kind of all it that might be all it takes To separate from the field at at harbour town this week Now you could say that he's due for putting regression, but I think it's a bit longer term of a fix than just that He has four straight top 15 finishes and those stem from good tee to green data You mentioned I played well at the masters finished eighth there the week before 14th at the valero text is open gaining a ton of strokes from his ball striking So that stroke scan off the tee stroke scan approach and then some neutral putting Slightly positive putting seventh at the players another big field a tough field and then the arnold palmer. So the arnold palmer the players Not the valero so much, but the masters those are good fields. And so quarry conners does Exactly what you need him to do and that's just hitting fairways gaining strokes from approach and hopefully He can keep that putter going even in these big fields conners has had a bit of success Recently and he just does everything kind of well and if he puts it all together it keeps the putter going He's got a shot at this number here 34 to 1 he's tough to ignore the canadian quarry conners One last player to get to it's your long shot here brandon and that's brandon todd Who's 90 to 1 to win this thing? Why is he a long shot worth taking a chance on for me? brandon todd is just a He's a specialist in a way You know, he's he benefits whenever distance is not a requirement It's not this week at harbour town and he's also he gets a big boost when he's putting on bermuda And that's what he gets this week He ranks in the 25th percentile and strokes gained off the tee and 32nd percentile and strokes gain approach Over the past calendar year based on my recency and field strength adjustments But he's 87th percentile around the greens 98th percentile putting in that sample So very very good short game and he is the absolute extreme when it comes to driving ability He's in the first percentile and driving distance gained over the past 100 rounds 100th percentile and fairways gained And I you know talking about the bermuda splits 97th percentile putting on bermuda So if you want if you if your key stats this week are putting And hitting fairways that is when brandon todd can do what brandon todd Does best now he he has just one start here at harbour town over the past four years That was a missed cut last summer, but he lost just one stroke to the field So it wasn't abysmal by any means The big problem for todd, but you kind of get this with any long shot is there's always something There's always one reason or another that they are a long shot for him It's been the iron play. He's been losing strokes with the approach Uh, don't have that data for the masters, of course finish 46th Though did make the cut at the masters and that again is of course the requires distance So this is a very different setup 35th at the players by losing 3.8 strokes from approach 57th at the oral palm are losing 2.3 strokes from approach Now on according to fantasy national so the irons are a problem But the irons are also kind of always a problem With brandon todd Until he kind of flips the switch and sometimes whenever he comes out and has his best performances It's because he can he can gain five six seven eight strokes from approach Be a very plus potter hit these fairways. And so brandon taught it at 90 to one I think it is a very sensible long shot for this week That's the important word there sensible because he could make a few pots. He could Get on the fairway It's what he's gonna do with those irons to see if he's going to be able to be successful here this week As you said made the cut at the masters in a tough field We'll see if he could use some of the momentum that he had last week and you know make it worth a while here this week We get even getting us a little bit of a sweat will be worth it at 90 to one That's it for us here in the fan duel hurry up brandon. We appreciate the time. Good luck this week Thanks. Good luck to you and I hope we both hit some winners. Absolutely We get a little fun here this week coming off a really enjoyable masters tomorrow Eren keep dolin will join us here on the show. So don't miss that brandy. Good deal. I'm greg slussman Thanks so much for watching. Enjoy your evening and we'll see you back here tomorrow for another edition of the fan duel hurry up