 The following is a presentation of TFNN trading hour with your host David White call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all back to another excellent edition of the power trading hour with me, your humble, lovable and squeezibly soft host. As always, we'd like to start off the day with coming to you at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So what do we have? Well, certainly a sell off a little bit on the news. The market was a little weak already. Going into Friday, we had kind of a hint that the market might be weak. And that was the put call ratio at only about 10%. That means that 90% of what was being bought was, although it wasn't a lot, was, were calls. And of course it was a half day and you look at it. I probably should have looked at it harder, but generally when you do a half day, I don't spend a lot of time looking at data very closely because that doesn't seem to be indicative. Well, this one certainly was. And I was long in position and stopped out today. Not the end of the world, but probably should have been a little quicker to the whip. I just didn't see that much downside in the market. We got about four times more than I was looking for. And maybe that was a little bit of yesterday and then today with the president. Probably working on a negotiation for his China negotiations. Probably a wise thing to not act like you're too rushed to get them right now. And the Chinese probably thinking, well, maybe politically we should just wait until after the election. And of course it probably actually does play into the hands of the president. So I don't think they've got a good position one way or the other to push the markets around, I mean, the Chinese to delay this or at least delay. They keep on talking about one, two and three phases and all that seems horribly complicated. But for what I can say is I don't think anything has really truly changed. The market was just kind of weak. We had an air pocket and that's been it. I've used the last two days to go ahead and start adding positions. Maybe you've added a little early yesterday, but I think I got another one today. It was fairly good. I added actually three positions. If you're looking for short term moving higher, the only thing to really look at now is overly shorted stocks. That's how I got stopped out today. But I think we probably have seen some kind of low for the year this morning. And it's not that there's that much on the upside in the indexes. But today is probably, I'm going to say maybe one or more two days. And then the volume is just going to slowly each day turn south. Today we've got about four and a half billion shares as we start the show, which is actually fairly good. But we'd probably be needing to push six or seven billion right now to get some kind of big 10 billion shares on the downside. So again, I think this is kind of a little bit of a bear trap in the market. And it's just very tough to get into the last couple, two or three weeks and see a huge sell off on the market. This may be as good as it gets. Now, there's not that many people wanting to jump in and buy something before the end of the year. The press is out there saying the sky is falling, but the volume falls. And I bought a stock today that had a 15, 16, 17 days to cover something like that. That means that just if the people want to get out and the stock went sideways, the volume didn't increase. It's just the same as it was. You'd have 17 days just of people covering that. And I went back to a stock that has done this in the past coming up into Christmas in the first part of the year. So we added that one today in the short term. I had a couple of stocks that have done well for us in the past in the longer term. And I'm looking into next year on those. But we had to wait for a fairly decent pullback. I got one a little bit more than I wanted. You always have to say, hey, you know, could it get to that point? Maybe you don't want it if it does. Well, we got that today. So it's a little bit better than I thought or a little lower price than I thought. But again, massive, massive shorting anytime, anything looks even remotely like it's headed down. The shorts are all over the market net pretty much turns it around. What I also would have liked to see if the market was going to be headed a great deal lower would have been the bonds to actually take a header today that were up three bucks on the TLT tells you a great deal. Another indicator I think is that the VNQ is higher. It's up 58 cents today. If we're going to take a massive header lower and it's going to be issues, the REITs are going to suck. And that's going to be the bonds to we're not going to get this kind of easy market that just goes down in certain sectors. And then that's it. We're going to see if we're looking for some major top out here, I want to see the VNQ take it hammered. I want to see the TLT get hammered. Instead of what I saw was the TLT get a massive shot in the arm of a fire hose full of cash, probably from the Fed and the Treasury. And that's why we're probably seeing the TLT up 2% today. Other stuff than that, we still have weak stocks out here. But you know what, I have a feeling that it's going to be incredibly tough to see shorts pay off between now and the end of the year. Another stock that I would have loved to seen blow up today. If you wanted to make the bearish case through the end of the year would have been Tesla. They may be throwing giant cannonballs at the windows of those cars. But guess what? Not so much, you know, when stock continues to have 30, 40% short interest, it doesn't really matter whether or not the market's going up or down. But if the market was headed down and significantly, you would have seen Tesla break most likely in the past when the markets have decided to have some decent turns lower. We've seen Tesla have a lot of people run for the run for the exits. Probably one of the most overpriced stocks in all of my trading history. And you can't really get to smack it today. So I, you know, there's a lot of reasons to say how look at the start and it's weak. But seasonality trumps all and this may be it. So we want to keep an eye on it. You can give me a call at 877-927-6648. You can give me a email at path at tfnn.com. We'll be back to a little bit of history, histoire, and then we'll be into charts for the rest of the day. If you're not currently using the TAS Profile Scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. 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Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. Thank you for watching this video. David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning, then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of lease resistance under trading newsletters. For all the details and to start your 30-day free trial today, log on to tfnn.com now. At 9.30 I send out my morning letter to subscribers with market commentary on a variety of markets, currencies and commodities to keep investors up to date on the day's trading action. Included in Market Insights are specific buy and sell recommendations for stocks, ETFs and even options which stops and place targets included for every trade in my newsletter. If you'd like to try my newsletter risk-free for 30 days, then head over to the front page of TFNN and you'll find Market Insights under Trading Newsletters. I use my years of trading experience to bisect and dissect the market every morning and give my subscribers the most important information they need to know for the day ahead. I even issue afternoon updates for my subscribers whenever warranted with important market action. I'm always scouring the market for the next great trading opportunity. Sign up for your 30-day free trial to my daily newsletter Market Insights today by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. 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Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. This is a copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. And we're back. Okay, so we got that one taken care of. What else do we have going on here? Oh, wanted to get to earnings after the bell. This is our M tonight. This thing has been kind of making what Bob Carver. I don't know if he's still around. He had a pattern that he equated to look like a contact lens. And this is kind of what we're looking at here, although we kind of got a bigger gap down this morning on Salesforce. Our earnings out after the bell, what do we have here? This is our size, a five, so they'll be into the futures. I kind of think that Salesforce is slowly getting crowded out by Amazon Web Services, and especially the biggest competitor right now seems to be Microsoft. Intel, some of these other ones have already told us that the whole cloud services business is starting to slow down a little bit and that means that doesn't mean that the stocks are going to zero, but does mean that probably the kind of growth curve that we've seen in Amazon, Google and Microsoft are probably a little bit over. I suspect we're probably going to get a little bit of that with Salesforce too. Let's see what else, oh, after the bell anyway, 405. Other big companies after the bell is Workday did open up a significant lower, looked like about 168 back up about 173 today. So not a lot of juice. Even on yesterday's downside, it's back into support right around 170. I don't see anything in the chart tells me a whole lot about that. In the semiconductor space, we also have Marvel to MRVL. Just pretty small part, already down TAY on a gap down 2452 before earnings announcement. Before the bell, we really didn't have anything other than lands in to report. And of course, those retailers continue to have issues. Again, a lot of these stocks just seem to be a little bit too heavily shorted. This one kind of bounced. It had a lot of short on this one for a while. I'm not a big fan of shorting stocks below about 30 bucks because you can move a good 20% on a day like today. You have that kind of volume. You have a lot of shorts getting out of the way. After this kind of, this is a good stock to keep an eye on because if everybody gets short this again, it's probably not going down before the end of the year. You might be able to get a buck or two out of that on the upside going in to the end of the year. When we get to tomorrow, again, not much going on in the morning. Restoration hardware has gone up on, this gap was back when, I'm pretty sure this is the gap that was up when Warren Buffett said he was getting into this stock, which seemed rather insane to many of us around TFNN that have been watching this as an opportunity. But again, I'm not so sure that he just didn't get into this to run again a multitude of shorts on this. I was actually looking at this thing and hoping that the short interest again would drop significantly and open up a position to short it. Right now, this one's got about eight days to cover. So it's still highly shorted. I don't know if some of those people have vammosed in the meantime, but 25% of the orders yesterday were for shorting. Who knows how many covered before the end of the day? But again, fairly heavily shorted and he kind of coming off on this. Buffett is not perfect. And he's had some stocks that he bought Apple right before it went down 50 bucks. Now he's much better off, but again, it's not a lot of timing on him. You can still make money on some of his. I just tend to stay away once he gets to have about a 10% interest. He can pretty much put the stock anywhere he wants to. I'm also considering the idea that Buffett has bought some of these companies lately on a way of actually making more money, not by owning it, but by selling options on it over time. If he can make on the average of 25% a month by underwriting options on his company, he owns himself and as soon as everybody gets too bullish, they can come out with bad news or when everybody gets too bearish, they can decide to put out a press release. I always wonder whether or not it's not so much about how good he is anymore, but stock manipulation, but that's just a thought. I can't prove it quite yet, but I do see it from time to time. But yeah, there's no reason to be buying or be shorting a stock that has eight days to cover, 36% short interest on the open of the float. You're just asking to take a beating if the right kind of news comes out. And of course, right now we've got everybody that feeling the end of it will have everybody on the news tonight saying how the end of the world's coming. That's generally the time, like I said, you normally want to be able to cover your short when everybody's crying and you want to be buying when everybody's crying and you want to be selling when everybody's yelling, but that's it. What else do we have here? Get a couple more emails. Anyway, as we said, restoration hardware on Wednesday night, let's see what we have. Anything on Dollar General on Thursday morning, also Tiffany's, but it's selling out Duluth Holdings, who I like their ads. I don't have any of their stuff, but they make like armored underwear for people, not like under armor, but like for real working guys, guys, you know, that look like Chewbacca. They got so much here and kind of people who work on trains, cars, stuff. Real men, manly men, I like their ads. Haven't bought any of their stuff, though, but they're doing that. Now, one of the other companies that comes in this week is on Thursday. And I can imagine that we're going to see some big movements in this stock. This was mentioned in all the Hubba-Lulu in the Ukraine. And everybody keeps dancing around what these folks have to do with manipulation of the 2016 and maybe possibly 2020 elections in the United States. Certainly they have a lot of ties to Putin and Russia and hackers and everything else that we worry about and huddle in our basements about now politically. But after the bell Thursday night, now the reason I bring this up is they may be mentioned very broadly in an upcoming report that I think is due out either Friday or Monday on the FBI, CIA, and it will say. So watch that one very closely. I'd stay out of it. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. 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Of course, a lot of people were gone from last Wednesday. So it takes a little time to get spun up, but those fund buyers will be buying sometime before probably Thursday's close. I would say that you're probably going to see a little bit of an up move right into the close. And then if you see continuation on that tomorrow, then you can make a pretty good educated guess that that fund money has coming in. And if you see a lot of volume, then, you know, if I was trying to game this to be bearish, I'd want to see all that cash that had been spent. And then up. So like I said, I'm not seeing a lot of downside right now. That could change, but I'd certainly want to see how the market reacts when that cash doesn't come in. Okay. What else do we have in the emails? I think we got everything caught up for the DIN. The first question we have is Microsoft. Again, you've got about 143 is support for Microsoft. We got up to 150, 250. Again, I've been kind of worried about these things kind of overshooting, especially from what we heard from Intel about its server business and some of the other ones. More interesting to me was my personal anecdotal shipping issues with a couple of companies. Google has a thing called Google shopping, and I ordered from them. It will be my last order ever from those guys. I don't know how these guys even think that they're going to be in business. Amazon itself ordered some stuff was supposed to be to my residence on Sunday. It's Tuesday. It still isn't here. I don't know how much the weather had an issue, but they said it was going to be here Sunday, which means that I can't imagine that even the horrible snows of the weekend caused a problem, it not getting down here. Generally, when they do that, they said, hey, we couldn't deliver today. We'll deliver tomorrow. They don't even know. So did they have too much business? Did they just not manage it correctly? Not surprised to see this pullback. But again, my experience is anecdotal. All last week, they were shipping stuff just great to me. It only happened over Thanksgiving weekend. So maybe they had too much business that they couldn't handle. But generally, they just say, you know, we've had to cancel your order or whatever happened. It fell in a river, fell off the back of a truck or whatever. But generally pretty good Amazon deliveries over the year. So I'm going to give them a mulligan. Now, the opposite side was Google as this Google shopping system. Who said that they had a nice product for me that was at a fairly decent price. They said, well, it was actually going to take 10 days to ship. Told them I needed to cancel the order. I would just get it from New Egg or whatever I was buying from somebody else. And they said I can't cancel the order. And I said kind of a tersely worded letter yesterday to the investment people at Google, the investment office at Google, asking whether they wanted to be tied to some kind of fly by night place that wouldn't either ship your product or give you the cashback. And once you get it, if you want to return it, you've got to ship it back, but you got to ask for it. And then it takes two weeks to get cashback. And I ask them if they really thought that they were in business to compete with anybody, including Amazon, or if this is some kind of Chinese him, uh, operation run out of a back office somewhere. So, uh, it's, it's been probably the worst shopping experience I've had. I'm going to say in three or four years, um, don't ship the product. Say it was going to ship right away, then now I'm supposed to ship the 10th and refuse to give any money back or cancel the order. Um, so Google shopping, I would recommend everybody avoid that. I had some other people ask me, uh, what did I buy, uh, for other things? Um, I had a fairly decent, uh, uh, experience with, uh, Google Fi. That's their phone business. If you buy a, uh, I'll show it to you here, uh, Google Moto seven, which is about a 300, $350 phone. Um, but if you get their, um, Google Fi service, which is their own, uh, flavor of mostly using Wi-Fi to make your phone calls with and occasionally using, um, a, uh, a, um, tower that belongs to somebody else, but most of the time they're just assuming you're going to be at home and they're going to use their own Wi-Fi so they don't have to pay a dime, uh, which is kind of interesting idea, but if you buy the phone, uh, and, uh, hook it up to Wi-Fi for a handful of days and then cancel, uh, the phones for you for, for a hundred bucks. So I bought a bunch of those, set them all up, and I'm going to be sending those to my nieces and nephews. So they'll all get new phones this year. Um, no, I've never really bought a Samsung 10 or any of that kind of stuff. I've always had less expensive phones, but, um, I've had the Google Modos now for about four years. And, uh, I kind of use this Google Fi thing every year to get a new phone, uh, for about a hundred bucks. And, uh, the phones are more than, uh, uh, representative. No, they aren't a phone that I can, uh, show off next to my Rolex watch. Uh, but they work and they work fine. So that's it. If anybody wants a link to the Google Fi, Fi thing so they can get one. Anyway, um, I just switched the Sims in this one about an hour ago and, uh, I'm back online. Brand new phone for a hundred bucks. Uh, I own the phone and that's it. You just got to let the Google Fi on there for a little bit. And then, uh, yeah, that's pretty much it. Uh, yeah, the 10th of never. Anyway, uh, I'm mad at Google, uh, for a variety of reasons, but I scam them out of, uh, their, uh, phone. So maybe, maybe it all works out in the wash. Uh, what else is going on? Um, I wanted to look at Nvidia, uh, both them and, um, uh, AMD have been going. I, we've been talking about this for a while and that is that everybody's going to go after this business, uh, Nvidia, um, and AMD in the video card part of the business. Uh, when I looked at the ads, um, I bought a card that was about 400 bucks. Um, it was about 700 bucks 90 days ago and everything in the catalog from AMD and Nvidia in these video cards, the prices are massively, uh, cut. And, uh, that tells me a little bit about what's going to happen in the next round of earnings for AMD and Nvidia on these video cards. We'll be back in a minute. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share. 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Get your two week free trial to Basil's newsletter the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com. Catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of TFNN also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show next on TFNN. And what else do we have going on here? Google phony links. Okay, yeah, yeah, I'll be glad to do that. Sylvia is asking for a link from my G seven phone. Okay, to do what else? Oh, anyway, we're looking at NVIDIA out here. Now a little bounce. But they are selling a lot of units. But man, are they discounting heavily? That always when I see ads and price slashing, you know, the reason that these companies are so valuable, like Intel is year after year, they can continue to have a 60 65% margin on their products. That's almost like printing money. I'm going to give you for every two bucks. You're going to get one back. So you get three bucks for every two bucks that you have. I mean, it's just like running a printing press. If you're in the semi business or the software business, and you've got a product even more in the software business, if you got a product that actually does that kind of business. AMD NVIDIA, these guys have been doing well. But the issue I was talking about was mostly like Intel in INTC. Now, Intel, strangely enough, screwed over all the reviewers last week of new products. AMD was releasing their chips. And Intel basically had sent out chips for review. But the reviews weren't going to come till this week. So they called everybody up at like midnight before AMD chips were going to come out and said, Oh, we're lifting the embargo right now. So the reviews would actually come out at the same time as AMD's reviews. Man, did they get scorched by the influencers, as they're called today, or reviewers, as they were called on my day. But watch out for all of these. Like I said, look for a big pop here in the next couple of days with that cash. But that may be the end of that big pop. We'll be back tomorrow, same back channel, same back time. So we can