 Presentation of TF the Tom O'Brien show is produced every business day. Tom takes your phone calls toll free at 1877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618 Let's go to my man George in Newport, which is George. What's going on, brother? Hello, Tom. Good afternoon. How are you? I'm doing great yourself. Yeah, great. I've been following you for the last two years listening to your show Well, thank you very much. I appreciate it, George. All the hard work you've done for us over the years Well, I really appreciate you calling and saying hi. My pleasure, Tom. Okay. Thank you, man. Have a great one. It's a safe one. Appreciate it, man. Now, Tom O'Brien Welcome folks. This is Tom O'Brien of TFNN. We have five days a week. We go seven hours a day We go 24 hours a day on the internet at TFNN.com Always remember, folks, whatever you think about, you bring about whatever you focus on, Garose. Hope everyone's having a great day. Safe day. Let's make it a great month, folks. Serve the one you love Once you decide to be a couple, you're there to serve the one you love. To serve your love to your lover. And every kiss and every touch You feel you're there to please the one you love without expecting anything Mugger to eyes. Let's take a look at it out here. We have the Dow Industries down 20. Nasdaq up 65. S&P's up 9.5 Gold. Gold contract up $36.70. Trading at $23.18. You get Silver up a buck 24. $27.16 an ounce. Light sweet crude. Flat. $85.45 a barrel. Copper. Copper's up 14.5 cents, folks. 4.21. 35. Notes and bonds. You get the 10-year note. Up 3 ticks. Trading 109.26 to 30. Up 2 at 117.25. And Kingdala. Kingdala is giving it up once again. Down 556 ticks. Trading 104.2.60. Euro. 108. Yen. 151. British Prime 126 to 1. US Dollar. Our phone number is 877-927-6648. Give us a call, folks. One note's going on in your world. And the world of the S&P's, let's take a look at them. What do you have? Well, bottom line, folks, what we have out here is that you have a market that continues to want higher price. What we had, what happened yesterday, is that when we went down, the S&P had around the same amount of volume. But the NASDAQ composite and the NDX100 had a contraction of volume. That's why you see in the bounce. What we got out here today is that you got the aspect that the dollar start giving it up. That puts you inside the S&P. Right now the spy is up a buck. And now the spy is, this is light volume on the spy. That being said, man, we're going to the highs again. The NDX, you're going to see the difference now. The 3Qs, the 3Qs have volume out here compared to the spy. So the Qs right now have already done 30 million. You're up a buck 45. And it's going for the highs once again, man. That's the bottom line. I'm going to shift right now to the dollar because the dollar, you know, we've been up, gold's been up tremendously, and the dollar's been up. Now what you're going to see out here is that the dollar's giving it up. It went, what the dollar did, now check this out, man. The dollar went up and it did it yesterday. It tested the high of February 13th yesterday. Now we don't have volume on the dollar, so it's not like you've got a failure on price and volume. You've got a failure on price. That being said, and then what we have out here today is that because you have wide price spread, what you have is that Oops. Let me just get this. You're going to see the dollar basically is coming down with conviction and it's just, it hasn't broken, it hasn't broken the counter trend up transition yet. I thought it actually did, but it didn't because what happens is that, yeah, it hasn't done it yet. It's right at the line. So that's telling me what we're going to see out here tomorrow is that you're going to see another acceleration down on the dollar, up in the market. Is that the way this is laid out right now? This is laying right on the trend line. It'll blow through that trend line. You know, you get the wide price spread out here today. And then if we get over and we go take a look at the gold contract, what you're going to see is just, you know, this is the C to D of an ABC structure on the way up. And you're already at 2317, 2550 is the A to B equals C to D. Now that's only the one to one, A to B equals C to D. You get 236,000 contracts. That's huge contract volume inside the gold market. Now check this out. Silver's going to start catching up. We go over to the silver market. We take a look at silver and what you're going to see out here, silver's up at buck 21, excuse me, buck 24. And you know, you get, well, we have a silver now. You get two big price days. We're going to get another one. They come in threes, folks. So silver's done 129,000 contracts. There's great contract volume. Now we're going to go to copper, man. H, G, A. This is phenomenal, man. Copper, you know, was really the one that's been given it away. If you get the gold report, you know that I've been into this when it first was 405, then I was like, man, this thing wants to go. And sure enough, the bottom line is that you're up 14 cents, which is just a monster of movement. And let's see how this is shaking out. So, so we got an ABC up. Okay, so let's look at this for a second. So we got, you get 414. Oh, this is a beauty, man. Okay, 31. I see. Okay. That's interesting. So 31, 431, 426. Okay, the A to B equals C to D and copper is 426. Now, H, G, 1. Let's do this and bring this all the way back so we can, I get this on a, I'm going to put this on a monthly on a generic commodity shot to see where we're going. Yes, I knew that I knew there was a 424. Is it 427? It must be 427. I know it's 435. So 435, we're on the way to 435 right now. That's the bottom line. And the highs that are up there is 505. So this thing's on the movement in a monster way too. So let's go. Let me just look at this SCCO for a second. This is the largest copper company out there. Yep. Hitting another new high. TGB, Tseco. Tseco's got a huge amount of copper. Smallest stock. But the bottom line is that when you get copper that high, forget it. It's at 9 pennies. This is a 242. Let me see the next swing point on this baby. Oh, this is going to get cool. Okay. Let me bring this back further because you're coming up, I just put this on a 10-year. I'm going to put it on a 20-year. Because we're coming up to the top of the consolidation. Oh, this is nice. You're coming up to the top of the consolidation and we break this top of the consolidation. You are going to see action here, man. Is that a high volume high? It's not bad. What is that? Price is at $7. Take a look at this, Tseco. TGB folks. You're going to see. See this last month? That's what you love to see. See that volume spike? That's what you want to see when you're coming into a swing point. Huge expansion of volume. We're going to get the same thing. This thing's going to go bust this 262. Sorry to have folks come right back. If you spend any time online researching trading techniques on how to begin your trading journey, you've no doubt come across many folks who push forex trading as a way to make big money quickly. Unfortunately, there are equally as many stories of these so-called forex professionals just looking to make a quick buck off aspiring traders without actually teaching the ins and outs of the forex market. This is what sets Teddy Keckstatt's The Tiger Forex Report off the riff-raff. Every Monday, former Chicago mercantile exchange member and author Teddy Keckstatt releases his Tiger Forex Report newsletter where he dives into the complex world of forex and takes time to actually teach you his methods that have made him so successful in the fast-paced and rewarding world of forex trading. 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Our seasoned hosts are here to answer your calls and questions live on the air. Check out the Tiger's Den for just $1 and follow us on YouTube and become part of our vibrant community. And remember, at TFNN we're so confident in the value we provide that we offer a 30-day money-back guarantee on all new premium newsletter subscriptions and services. You have absolutely nothing to risk, so why wait? Tune in live to Tiger TV and transform your trading journey because when you know better, you invest better. Join us and experience the difference today. TFNN Educating Investors. Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648. Internationally at 727-873-7618. Welcome back folks, I'm Doug. Dow Industries right now, down to $1.10, you get the Nasdaq up $17, S&Ps are up $4.5. Let's go take a look at these S&Ps because when we were just on that break, man, there's no doubt this thing came down fast and furious. So let's see what kind of volume we got on this baby. So we take a look at the E-minis. Right now we're down to $250. You traded the $52.58 and the high was $52.80. Okay, so let's see. So you got a nice, look at that volume expansion, man. So they took it all the way down. You want to see something cool here, folks. Okay, if you're watching Tiger TV, you can see how these things, you know, the last time watched this. Okay, one second, let me put this right here so you can see this. That's the last time we've volume right there. Now what has happened is this. You can see if you're watching Tiger TV, where I put this parallel line, was that the last time with volume on the way up. So we were at highs, getting no volume whatsoever. And you can see when we came down, you came down with heavier volume on that volume bar. Now when that happens, guess what? You're going to go after this low, man, because the volume was way too much. So if you're going to basically be trading around this thing in the next, you know, half hour or something, I would let this thing get down, retest that low, because that's what they'd normally do, and then we'd go from there. Let's go to the NQs. Take a look at the NQs. NQ, it's going to be the same type of setup. I just want to see. The NQs have been stronger, so I want to see if we actually got below that level. Okay, so look at this. First, let me find the level. That's the level right there. Yeah, I did. Okay, one second. There we go. Set this up. Is that it? No, this is it. Oh, no, this is it here. I see. Okay. Okay, so you still got 31,000 contracts versus 28. Okay, interesting. So the NQs don't have higher volume. They get 28. Let me go check the S&Ps again just to make sure that it wasn't ballparking it. Because what does happen with charts, particularly intraday charts, you can look at these, and many times they look like they have either gone over or under, and you're really going to check them. Okay, so bring this back. Okay, so we're dealing with 80,000 contracts. Yeah, 80,400 contracts. 81,159. Right. So what you have here is that you do have, excuse me folks, the S&Ps have higher volume than the NASDAQ. And you can see, you know, this is kind of intriguing because this is left over from yesterday. You can see that the NDX, the composite is stronger than the S&Ps. So we'll see where the rest of this is going to shake up. But that's telling me that the S&Ps will retest their low where the NDX100 doesn't have to retest its low. So pretty well. Let's get into a couple of these gold and silver stocks. So, MAG, we got, when these silver start running, folks, if I get it. So if we take a look at MagSilva, now this is, this was one of the strongest stocks in the whole complex, folks, okay? And what had happened is that because they're only mine, we own the stock, okay? You want to take a look at the stock, okay? I'm going to tell you the bad stirrer, the good, the bad, the ugly on this thing, okay? I'm going to tell you the bad, the ugly first. So the low for the year is $8, the high is $14, okay? When you take a look at their numbers, you're going to see this is a company that has always made money, okay? This is like, if you're watching Tiger TV, just look at this thing, man. I mean, they just, they just make money, okay? Right from the get-go, this is a silver mine, but the, so they're looking to take in $426 million this year, bring $0.50 to the bottom line, okay? So that's the good, the bad, the ugly is that they only have one mine, that mine happens to be in Mexico. So what has happened is that the law that they put into Mexico about a year and a half ago is a law that, you know, when you only have one mine and they're in Mexico, it could be closed down like really quick. So the market itself, okay, has taken this equity from the 24-doll level all the way down to the 8-doll level, when in fact they're still making money, but you can see that there's a risk value that's inside of this. That's the bottom line, that's the first pot. The second pot, though, about where it's at. We bought this this week because I kept looking at it and saying to myself, you know what, man, this thing wants to run up until $17. You can see that it broke, it broke its downtrend. It broke it with conviction. You had wide-price, red-accelerated volume, bottom line. That's my take where it's going. We'll see from there. But check it out. If you haven't checked out the Gold Report yet, this is the last week. We're doing the special. It's 35% off, and that price is good forever, folks, okay? So you can check it out. And this run, I've been in these runs before. The hardest thing in these runs is to know where to take your money, when to take your money, and if to take your money. The if is the monster deal, folks, okay? And if you're in this run, the way that I suggest that you look at it is stay with the ABC structures. Because what happens is this, is that ABC is in general, okay? Well, hey, let me put this up for a second so you can really, you can see this. Because the consolidation was so long inside this gold market, I'm going to bring this back. So you can see how this is, whoops, there we go. Come on, okay. So what you're going to see is you're going to see the A to B is a straight line move. It's about as straight as you can get. And the A to B, so check this out. The A to B, we went from, this goes back to 2018. You went from $1,160 straight up to $2,043, okay? So we went up basically, you know, $950, boom, straight line move. Then what did you do? Then the market drove everyone crazy, man. Because the bottom line is that you went sideways from June of 2020. Four years, man. You went sideways for four years. This run started in October at a low, a low of $1809. Well, $2550, a 1 to 1 ABC structure is, you know, we're going to see that. We very well may see a 1 to 1.382 run, which is really going to blow some people's minds. We always see a 1 to 1.50. Stay right there, folks. Come right back. All first-time subscribers receive a 30-day money back guarantee. So ignore the pop trading influencers and start learning time-tested technical analysis. Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago, and the student has now become the master. Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019, finishing at number two for the year, an amazing accomplishment. 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They are not designed to track the underlying index or security for more than a day. Before investing, carefully consider a fund's investment objective, risk, charges and expenses contained in the prospectus available at Direction.com. Read carefully. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. Welcome back folks. Down 87 Nas XM4, S&Ps are down three and a half. And let's get over into the XAU, the HUI. Actually, I'm going to do the SLV first because the SLV is playing catch up here. So the SLV is the ETF for Silvo. They bring this back. Let's see where we stand here. I'm going to put this on a monthly. Okay, so this is going to get cool. Okay, let's watch this now. Okay, so this is the same type of consolidation that Gold was doing. And so now we're going to make a run for the $27.98 level. Three bucks from here. Let me bring this back a little bit more. Yeah, this is going to be quite a move, man. So the highest that Silvo went in the 2011 run I think was $47. Let me see what that says. Yeah, it was $48.35. And you can see what had happened here. Now this move, yeah, it was a 2011 move. What the 2011 move was, folks, okay? And we had the Gold report then and we scored beyond belief. Why do we score? Because we sold all the stocks, folks, okay? If you remember the 2011 move, what it was all about then, and I remember this so well because I was basically saying, okay, man, if you bought Gold anywhere close to where we got in at the beginning, I got in at $282, the low was $252. We ran it and then the key here, now check this out, this is what goes so crazy, man, because this was one of the best relationships and, you know, it's years that you have to wait for these, but this relationship was, and I'm sure there's plenty of tigers that remember this, because I said this on CNBC, I said this on Bloomberg, I said it everywhere, basically sell all your Gold and buy Real Estate. Because what had happened, and that's what's so crazy about it, man, like it was, I mean, I don't think any of us thought Real Estate would go that low, okay, but it did, and what had happened is that it's like, okay, you buy 100 ounces of Gold at, let's say, 300, so you've got 30,000 in there, right? Well, you turn around and you cash it out at basically, you know, 1,900, okay? So you cash it out at 190,000, you take the 190,000, houses that were 300,000 and only 100,000, okay, so the bottom line is you buy two houses, and if we fast forwarded to that one, the bottom line is that you'd probably have about a million bucks. That was the trade, that is the trade, you know? Now the question is, is that okay, now we get those Gold run going again, and what's important to understand about Gold companies, okay, if you remember, well, I just had Fred Erneston, okay, all these Gold companies, folks, okay, these Gold companies are making money at the 1900-dollar level. Never mind the 2300-dollar level, or the 25, no matter where we're going. So what you're going to see, you're going to see a monster expansion of price because every dollar now that Gold is up is going right to the bottom line. And, you know, what you did see is that you had first movers and Harmony was one of the first movers out there, okay? So picture with Harmony, now it's expensive for them to get Gold out of the ground, okay, but they're still like a 2000 deal, well, they're at 1800 or something, okay? That being said, though, the difference is that they take millions of ounces out of the ground, millions per year, okay? So you're just talking about, well, here, if you want to see the difference in money, you're just, now this would be the difference in mostly just the price of Gold going up. If you go back five years ago, 29.2 billion, that's Rand dollars, okay? This year, 59.4 billion Rand dollars. So you're talking about a double, a double, folks, a double, okay? So you're going to see, it's going to get interesting. What I mean by interesting, I don't even like that word interesting. It's going to get fun, let's put it that way. Because the run seems like you've gone so far already, but yet it may be just starting. If you listen to Tim Wood, I was listening to Tim and Jacob yesterday, and when Wood said he thinks that these gold equities would go up 90% from where we are. Yeah, listen, he's seen it happen in 2000. We got the run from 2000 to 2011. And what happens in bull markets, folks, we're all geniuses. That's the bottom line. And so it's the market that makes it happen, but, you know, now what this is also saying, this is a trip. Okay, so in the 70s, right? Now I was young enough in the 70s that I understood what was going on, because I still had a restaurant. I had a food truck, I had one of the first food trucks anywhere. I got it off the Air Force, actually, Obizac. Ock was I.E. Roman Kitchen, it was a huge steel truck. Anyway, what happened there was this, is that in the supermarkets, you remember Nixon actually put price controls. And he had it because what was going on, man, you'd go get a half gallon of milk. And every single day, every single price went up in the supermarkets. Now fast forward, you put the price controls on. Bottom line, interest rates, 14.5%, 15%. So Paul Volcker got a hand on it, okay? That being said, though, even when you get a hand on it, it lags in a big way. Specifically, it just doesn't go away. And so what I remember so explicitly the same day, I'm going to go back to real estate again, because I've been in real estate forever, since 1970. So what happened is that the acceleration on real estate went exponential. What's happening right now, my take is the exact same thing. That what you have is that you have a situation, stay right there, we'll come right back. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities & Options Report is a newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them, using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities & Options Report today with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN, educating investors. For traders who crave risk, directions daily leveraged and inverse ETFs provide opportunities to magnify short-term perspectives with up to three times a daily leverage, utilize bull and bear funds from both sides of the trade, and trade through rapidly changing markets. These are highly leveraged ETFs with daily resetting designed for short-term trading, not long-term investing. Whether you're a bull or a bear, you choose the direction. 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Now, there's now 42 Nasdaqs, up 34 S&Ps are up three and a half. And we're talking about the aspect of inflation lagging. And we're going to go... And this is where these commodities run, folks, okay? And it's running along the same lines. That's the bottom line of the 70s. Because the bottom line is that, yeah, the way that the day is coming in, you know, we'll see whether we get three ray cuts or two ray cuts, but we're on the other side of the cycle. That's the bottom line. Now, Powell and the Fed are paranoid. There's no two ways about that. But they probably have reason to be paranoid, because let's take a look right now at the oil market, okay? What you're going to see... My take is that copper actually gave us the heads up. That copper start moving and start moving really fast. And highly volatile. Copper is as volatile as a silver market. And you saw it, gold starting to pick up. Gold took over. What's happening now is that you get silver trying to catch up. Copper is definitely leading, man, okay? Now, I'm going to do CL1. I'm going to put this oil market up. Because the kicker here is going to be, if the dollar gives it up. If the dollar gives it up, man, I'm telling you. You'll hear nothing but commodities. And we haven't had that in the years, you know? And in the last 30 years, you've only had this a couple times. Maybe three times, meaning commodity runs. Because commodity runs is something else, man. Because the reason that there's something else is that they're traded in the future market so dramatically. That's why. Okay, so let's see, 95 bucks, man, huh? 81's the low, yeah? So this is getting interesting, man. I mean, it looks to me, this is going to be crazy, man, that oil wants to go to 95 bucks. Because what you have here is the next swing point to 95 bucks. There's really nothing stopping oil until 90 dollars. You know? So that's saying that this run is on, man. And that is going to have to do with the dollar. Because the dollar has been strong. The dollar gives up a little. And we haven't even seen the aspect of huge amounts of folks going in the market simultaneously yet. You know? And when you get that, you're going to get, like, some of these gold stocks, well, some of the silver stocks are doing. Look at this. So the silver stocks today, because most of the silver companies, folks, all do millions of ounces of silver. So when you start, you know, going a million times $2, guess what? You're making money hand over fist. Now you can see this here. This is first majestic. I mean, it's up a dollar five. Today it's only a $7 stock. Okay? I put this back. And you're going to see this is just coming off the lows. I mean, this has been a disaster. But you can see the bottom line is that right now, just this equity alone, I'm not going to bring it to the very top. Yes, see, some of these numbers are insane. Okay, it's trading $7.50. It just wants to go to $18.93. And then, this is even better. There's a swing high, high volume swing high at $24. So you can see that the run itself, let me see if this works. No, that one doesn't work. See, because what I mean doesn't work. If you're watching Tiger TV, you need, what you're doing in Trim Lines, you got to hit at least three bars. But the bottom line is that this thing here is saying flat out $18. And let's see what numbers they come up with. So they have, come on, next time they come up with numbers is May 3rd. They're going to do $489 million. Look at that. And they're saying they're not going to make money, though. They're going to lose $0.22. Well, $0.02. They're not going to, this is going to get different. They're not going to be losing $0.02. Well, we'll wait until they come up with a new estimate, because that's what they're going to end up doing. A lot of these companies are going to come up with new estimates where the price of the actual commodity, and then they'll multiply at times, the analysts are going to multiply at times the amount that they take out of the ground. So it's going to be a wild one, man. Let's go take a look at some of the higher volume equities and see what we have out here today. Intel's down $350. They're having problems with their foundries. They're getting video up $4. No big deal there. Paramount Global, they're going to... Paramount Global and... What's the other one? Hold on one second. These guys just signed a 30-day deal about Mergent, I think. Paramount on Sundance, I think, right? Yeah, Paramount and Sundance strike a tentative deal for Paramount Steak. Paramount discussing exclusive acquisition talks with Sundance. Paramount's got a lot of good programs on, man. I've been watching a lot of them, actually. Okay, so what else we got? Micron, tech, that's technology. That's at four bucks, four and a half dollars. Amazon's at about $56. Look at Dell, holy cow. I'm going to pull up Dell. Dell's at $10, man. Michael Dell, I mean, you talk about just under the radar, right? I mean, he's a guy that, no doubt, started, you know, the PC business, was very good at it, brought his company private, pulled it back out and got it public again. Low-key, and this stock has just been on a tear, man. I mean, look at this. And six months has gone from 68 to 128th. And they... Let's see what they're doing. Unreal. $93 billion. Unreal. $93 billion is only 52 weeks in the year. Can you imagine that? They bring $7 to the bottom line. That is one big number. And that's running at a... See, it's a decent PE, too, man. This is 17 PE. They paid $17 for a dollar of earnings, man. So that is pretty intense. There's no doubt about that, man. That is one good run. Let's go over to Amazon and see what Amazon's doing, because what Amazon has done the last couple of days, they're cutting expenses big time, man. There's new CEO. So Amazon, they got rid of their cashless account... Well, they had a new technology that's totally cashless. They had cameras all over the tops of the stores. They had cameras in your carts. And what you used to be able to do is just walk through the store, grab whatever you want, walk out your credit card, gets charged, bottom line, they can that whole deal. You know, and that's gonna... Well, you can see it's gonna save them a lot of money. Smart, though. You know, something doesn't work, get rid of it, go to the next thing. Stay right there, folks. Come right back. Dow. Dow is down 13. That's like up 38. That's a piece of up seven. We'll come right back. This is where opportunity lies. 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On Monday, everyone got an email with the actual copy of this week's Gold Report is in there if you want to check it out. Market wise out here, bottom line might take we still want higher prices. In this particular case, it keeps shifting from why we want higher prices, but the longer-term trend is up and people continue to buy. There's no sellers. That's the bottom line. That's how this shakes out. One day, all of a sudden, we had the notes and bonds. They went down on price up on yield dramatically. It hit the bond market, but yet it only hit the equity market for a day. The dollar overtook it today. You can see we're not up a lot, but the bottom line, we're not down. And that's what I expect you're going to continue to see because if this dollar gives it up, we'll see an expansion inside this S&P, inside the NASDAQ, and of course inside the commodities. The commodity run is on. But let me just... I'm curious what Coco is doing because Coco reached $10,000 a contract. Okay, one second, let's see. Coco, Coco, Coco, Coco. Coco? Whoops. Oops, wrong one. There we go, okay. Yeah, okay, so we're at $9,500 now. Today's the first day it's down. Imagine that? Pretty heavy. Gotta love the chocolate, man. I always remember folks, the big and claw your head out the bull can run you over and thank God there's always another trade. Health, happiness and prosperity. Have a great night, folks. Have a safe night. Give us a timey tomorrow morning. Kick us off at 9 a.m., great show, folks. Hi, folks.