 What's going on and welcome to the NBA play in betting stream. My name is Tom Vecchio I'm here with live moods. We'll be here for the next hour taking your questions going over some of our favorite props for tonight's two games And of course looking forward for the upcoming series and any potential futures on the board live. How's it going? You excited for tonight's games? Yeah, I mean, they're not my favorite matchups. I'm gonna be honest with you. I Think I preferred last night's matchups a little bit better but nonetheless, I am excited to just watch some basketball. I think you know a lot of Shooters on on the court tonight in between, you know, Trey young I think Lamello balls in a good spot to play well tonight The Spurs pelicans game man, that one's tough for me. I've gone back and forth a million times on Different things. I like I do have a prop I like in that one and we can get into props later, but I yeah, I don't know It's it's hard for me to pick a side or a total in either one of these matchups tonight Yeah, I would say tonight's really tough compared to last night last night I was on the the cabs as a lot of people were you know, plus eight and a half plus nine and a half depending where you got them I was on the under in the second game Tonight's really close like these these lines at five and five and a half are super tight I think the over-under You know just give me away these teams play specifically Charlotte, Atlanta We could see this game and you know kind of 130 125 and almost either correction. I wouldn't be truly surprised So I'm very hesitant on the total. I'm very hesitant on the spreads Let's get into it with your your props. Where are you starting off with tonight? Yeah, we can start in that first matchup between the Hornets and the Hawks I you know, I got a lot of questions when people are tailing my props or looking at my you know Props and they're like, why don't you ever go for you know? The starters are the main guys a guy like Trey young listen I think he is absolutely due to have a night What concerns me is that the Hornets have actually buckled down and locked him up in a lot of the matchups between these two teams this season And so here's here's my problem We're looking at the trends you're looking at how the Hornets have been able to defend Trey young all season long and you go Hey, I kind of lean towards the under in this one, but taking ice Trey in the playoffs and taking an under just feel Cynical I cannot do it and honest to God This is one of those bets where and I have taken an under on Trey young before and I still stand by that bet Trends wise numbers wise how that team defended point guards Everything lined up for the under to hit and he had 20 something at halftime So I refuse to ever take another Trey young Trey young under in my lifetime But I do think under is kind of the move for him tonight. That is not my play because again I'm just not ballsy enough to do it myself. I just cannot take Under on point for ice Trey in the playoffs, especially playing at home But I am looking at a different guy tonight for this Hawks team to really play super well I am sure you can take it points if you're not super comfortable because I've taken this bet And I already know I'm gonna sweat it out because it is a threes prop and I'm looking at Kevin Herter tonight over two and a half made threes is what I grabbed it at Really really liking him tonight He's facing a Hornets team that has struggled with perimeter defense throughout the entire regular season I think they've struggled with defense period, but perimeter defense, especially they have really really struggled He has hit this over in three of the four games that he has played at the Hornets this season He's averaging 4.25 threes against the Hornets this season and is also shooting on average 54.8% from the three versus the Hornets So I'm really liking Kevin Herter over two and a half made threes And and you know another little stat if you're still feeling nervous about it The Hornets in the last seven are giving up the second most threes to opposing shooting guards at an average of 4.78 per game So I like her to take a lot of shots from the three and hit that over two and a half tonight So two things in that first off with Trey young. He's also one of the players. I'm You know very hesitant to take unders and it's not only it's not just him But it's the type of player that he is because he could start one of ten from the field You know ultimately they're gonna be leaning on him and he's still gonna have that volume of shots So he's gonna keep shooting regardless if he's hotter. He's cold. They're up. They're down He's gonna be out there for 35 38 minutes So I'm always hesitant on that so player that just has that volume shots on the nightly basis and Totally on board with going going to Kevin Herter Charlotte as you said they allow a ton of threes They were the second worst team in the league this year for the most three-point is live per game to their opponents Milwaukee He's dead last so I'm actually looking to his teammate and that would be a bot in bot Donvich at over three and a half Senior plus 1-16. He's a player that comes off the bench So, you know, he could be going over looked at times, but he's a great shooter He's consistently taking eight nine ten eleven three four years per game and if this game is gonna have some back and forth pace I like that plus money going for the over a player That's you know consistently hitting if you look at you know His game lot to end the regular season, you know, Bogdanovich is out here putting up again Six seven eight nine attempts per game and he's knocking down three four five six them in a lot of these recent games So I love that potential volume. His men's are gonna be there again coming off the bench But they rely on him for some scoring so threes against Charlotte. I guess is the way to go to start things What's the second one that you're on yeah, this one's interesting for me I think half of the reason I love the Spurs is because of Dijontae Murray and initially I was like, ooh You know, I might even sprinkle on a triple double for him I still don't think that's a bad idea based on the averages that he has had versus the Pelicans this season And I think if there is a guy kind of like Trey young if there is a guy That is gonna keep the scores in this game and do a little bit of everything It is Dijontae Murray, but I am looking at somebody else as well to do some assisting because I think Obviously we know Dijontae Murray can score and so I actually like Kelden Johnson over two and a half assists tonight And he's averaging 1.8 in the four games that he's played the Pelicans this season However, he has hit this over in four of the last five and the Pelicans in the last seven are giving up the fifth Most assist per game to opposing power forwards and an average of five point three So I'm really loving Kelden Johnson to at least hit over two and a half I imagine he'll be feeding the ball. I think most people will be feeding the ball to Dijontae Murray I do think Dijontae Murray will be doing a lot of facilitating. I think he's gonna do a little bit of everything He almost has to if the Spurs want to hang in there with this Pelicans team But really liking that number at two and a half held in Johnson to hit the over on assists Like I said, he's been hitting it very consistently as of late So I like him to continue to do a little bit of facilitating and feed the ball over to my guide Dijontae Murray I absolutely love watching him play basketball. So I'm gonna rock with Kelden Johnson over two and a half assists I love that and I'm also a big Murray fan I you know for the most part of this season, you know He's consistently pushing towards a triple doubles, you know, sometimes by halftime And he's a player that I've often gone to for you know, the combo points rebounds plus assists the PRA Because he's gonna be out there and all of a sudden you're gonna see he's gonna have you know 17 8 and 9 by halftime I'm saying what did I miss because I was checking on another player and all of a sudden He's feeling a stat sheet in three different ways. So I'm totally on board with both of those I'm actually going to the other side with CJ McCollum over 35 and a half This is a player. I want to say somewhat like Trey young where at the end of the day He's kind of the guy for the pelicans. They went out and traded for him for a reason He's gonna go down shooting work with their up there down if they fall behind it Obviously falls in his favor that they're gonna need him to get the score and going of course Plenty of branding room there as well But McCollum has done enough recently when it comes to even filling up the stat sheet a little bit adding in some rebounding and assist Which of course always good to see That's not loading right here But we know McCollum's gonna be out there taking 17 18 19 20 field go attempt. So that's where I'm leaning two player props to start I don't have any sides or total bets again. These lines are pretty tight You know in the grand scheme of things specifically compared to last night. So I'm not looking at either of these I would probably lean on the under at 235. I do think that's very high I'm not sold on any of them as you mentioned not going to those so the two player props for me would be Donovich over threes and McCollum over PRA and you have Kelden Johnson over assists in half and Kevin Herter over two and a half threes Yeah, so two and a half is hopefully the lucky magic number tonight. We'll see so it's an easy start for the two games tonight Have you looked at the lines going forward for this weekend? I haven't had a chance to really look quite yet At the lines anyway Let's start with this. Do you have any futures? Do you have any futures out there for title for Eastern Conference Western Conference? You have any of those out there? No, um, I Have all season long been very very high on the Memphis Grizzlies. I've said it from the beginning I said this is my sleeper team in the West sure enough They finished second in the West. I really really like this team and I think they continue to prove themselves throughout the regular season being out Their best player they had a 20 and five record without Jamarran and I don't think anyone expected that I think the expectation was Jamarran is out. They fall to peak they fall apart They fall to pieces and they didn't they didn't they actually in my opinion played better without Jamarran I think Jamarran's injury allowed a lot of those players on that team to step up to the plate You saw guy guys like Desmond Bain I gave out a prop a little bit ago for his over on assist and since I gave that prop out It has hit consistently because he has kind of stepped into that leadership role that facilitator role They got Dylan Brooks back. He is obviously a menace on offense Jaren Jackson, Jr. Leading the league in blocks. He's been in school So I think they've got a lot of pieces to the puzzle that I think in the beginning of the season went unnoticed because of The stardom of Jamarran. So when Jamarran was out, I think it allowed a lot of people to see Oh my gosh, not only is this a very talented and deep team, but they're also coached well I think Taylor Jenkins deserves coach of the year without a doubt the way that he's led this Grizzlies team So I really like the Grizzlies that being said I think this series between the Grizzlies and the Timberwool is going to be very Exciting. I don't think I think you naturally look at the at the matchup and you go Oh Grizzlies have got it handled. No doubt I Think we could see this game go all the way to game six perhaps. I really do I think that this Timberwolves team is extremely talented. We saw guys just last night like The Antelope Russell. He is a finisher if you let him heat up in the fight in the fourth quarter You better start getting scared because he is insane and then Anthony Edwards is another great example of a guy that I think he's starting to build a little bit of confidence And that's a dangerous thing for the Grizzlies to have to face I think the one thing the Grizzlies have in their favor is that Dylan Brooks has not faced the Timberwolves yet So they do have a little bit of a secret weapon there in Dylan Brooks, but I don't know I think I think it's the one thing the other thing that the Grizzlies have in my opinion Is there a better coach team and they play smarter not harder? I think the Timberwolves play harder not smarter sometimes last night. They were not making smart decisions Carl Anthony towns did not play smart at all But I do think that I do think that series is gonna be really fun And I think there's a lot of opportunities to cash in terms of the prop market as well Will you take a series bet? Will you try and you know get a series spread or the you know correct total correct number of games? Would you ever I might sprinkle on that? I might sprinkle on that because I really am confident that the Timberwolves are gonna hold their own I don't think that I do think the Grizzlies will end up winning and move in advancing I think they'll they'll end up advancing but I agree with that. I don't think it's going to be an easy series for them. I think that Yeah, I don't think it'll be easy for them at all I think that Timberwolves are one of those teams kind of like not that they're not playing for anything because obviously they want to Continue to advance, but I think up to this point. It's like I don't really know that they even believe they could make it this far At the beginning of the season anyway, so they're just playing very exciting and Competitive basketball right now, and I'm really enjoying it. So Yeah, I agree. I would it's like it's almost like they're free of the pressure just because it's like a little bit of a shock that they're here They can kind of just out there and just play basketball. Yeah, I like that agreed So I have I have one future Only one future. I have the Celtics to win the East. I made it about Month month and a half ago. It was it was literally like two or three days before Rob Williams got hurt So I haven't I haven't a plus 550 to win the East which I'm obviously excited about at the time I was you know still hoping there was a chance for him to get to one seed They actually didn't get it, but I think they play, you know, extremely great defense specifically Everyone's gonna look to Tatum and Brown who have had great years, but you know, Marcus smart has been phenomenal this year He's obviously up there always for a defensive player of the year But he's also stepped up a scoring last year. He had a great year from downtown He's kind of kept that scoring going. So they have the two stars, you know Whether Robert Williams able to come back deeper than the playoffs is yet to be seen So like the question I would ask you is I have this future on them, but do I potentially hedge out? Should I bet on the nets on the series at the plus money? It's not like the nets aren't a good team work You know can show to be a good teams like would you hedge out or should I wait around and try and hedge out? To be honest with you I actually love the Celtics and I think that Robert Williams being out obviously it's like oh like it doesn't feel good I'm sure it did not feel good Yeah, I'm sure it did not feel good when that happened But I think you know, yes Robert Williams played a huge role in how the Celtics played defensively this season and their defense was Incredible, but there's also needs to be some credit given to as you mentioned Marcus smart He is a strong defensive player and I really really believe that Boston can hold their own against a team like the net in my opinion the net's defense is average at best none exist in in my opinion and Offensively like yes, they've got guys like Katie and Kyrie arguably one of the strongest duos in You know the league in my opinion, but Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum Can in my opinion can hold their own against a combination like Katie and Kyrie and I think Even without Robert Williams, you take that out of the equation completely. I still think that the Celtics are a far more Better defensive team that the net so I really I don't worry about the Celtics versus the nets. I'm not sold on the nets I love them as a team. I think they're great. I don't know what they're gonna look like when they throw Ben Simmons back into the mix I'm not gonna make this whole live stream about Go on for hours about how much he drives me insane, but nonetheless They may have to do a little adjustment. Okay. What does our chemistry look like now? What does our offense look like now the ball is coming through Ben Simmons hands? He's facilitating now. I mean, when was the last time we saw Ben Simmons pick up a basketball I don't have that game seven of against the Hawks last year So I have that much faith that you throw him back into the mix and things are gonna be like woohoo everything looks great I'm really not I don't know what we're gonna get from him I don't know what we're gonna get from the nets when he is thrown back into the mix So I love the Celtics. I really don't worry about them without Robert Williams Obviously that does have a huge impact on their defense, but I also think they are an extremely well coached team I think it may work up could be in some serious conversation for coach of the year as well He's incredible. So I Say hold out faith because I really do think the Celtics can hold their own All right So, you know, I actually have some decisions to make between now and Sunday And obviously I can just take this on a game-by-game basis and I would say the same thing for anyone if you have futures You can obviously wait until the series. It's closer. You can go game by game and start potentially Hedging off of that that way is always would you be willing to take a shot on any of these to make the playoffs? You know, we have the Hawks, you know, they have to win multiple games or the Hornets have to win multiple games Would you you know sprinkle on any of these bets? Um Let me look here. Just some of these are I mean the Hornets at plus six third That's a big number. They absolutely there's multiple steps to get there. Yep. Um, I What is the value like for the Spurs? The Spurs is sitting at plus 820, which is a huge Never mind. God that scares me Let me see because I think that the play-in presents, you know a lot of different opportunities to that because I know some people that are You know, they were holding they're holding calves tickets You know to make the playoffs because they obviously started super hot and they had you know dealt with some injuries and They're in the spots like do I hedge against them? Do I you know bet against them to just try and recover the initial bet? I was like, you know, that's that's a great question because we there's multiple steps for them to advance So even if you even if they miss out on game one, which they did you can still look to you know hedge off of it again, right? Yeah, no, this is the playoff the the play in tournament is always a tough. It's always a tough one because I Mean in my opinion I'm very happy for the Timberwolves, but I think I I Think that the Clippers played better basketball for the majority of that game I think it was the fourth quarter that was really huge for I think had Russell and Anthony Edwards not really picked up steam in the end there the Clippers would have handled business just fine The plan tournaments tough though It really is because what we've seen in these last few games of the regular season hasn't been the teams in full It hasn't had starters playing full minutes. And so it's interesting Just you don't really know what you're gonna get to be honest with you. Um, I Would say I lean with the Hawks, obviously. I think that they are The most Experienced team and I think that definitely goes a long way when you're talking playoffs because playoff pressure is a real thing Tray long is a great leader. Obviously John Collins not being involved is a Pretty big loss for the Hawks, but um Yeah, that's tough The only thing that you know, there's a part of me that wants to take the Clippers to not make the playoffs at plus 198 there's a part of me because You know when we look at this You know this Clippers lineup and sometimes When they're out there like if it's not Paul George scoring Sometimes a part of me saying like who who's gonna be out there scoring if he can't get it done if Paul George Right me the secondary score behind it because if Paul George is going for 25 30 a game They need someone else and there's not always a consistent option No, that brings that secondary like Reggie Jackson can give you some points Morris can give you some port So give you some points you have to Zubat can be out there doing a little bit of everything But there's no like pure score and if George has one off game. They're gonna lose, right? right and We look at a team like the Spurs that have multiple options where the pelicans. Let's say the pelicans lose tonight I think they can beat the Clippers You know Ingram's gonna be out there McCombs can be out there Valentino's is out there They have a variety of options. Yep So I would almost have more interest in taking teams to not make the playoffs specifically with the Clippers at plus 198 That's just how I see things now, you know, we'll wait to see what the potential lines are going forward I may try and grab that now and then You know try and find a nice middle or something Right in the next matchup These serious futures the one say one that I will say it stands out to me Notably out of any of them would be the Utah Jazz taking them to win Excuse me take not juice the not the Utah Jazz Dallas mavericks at plus 235 simply because Luca and the status of his calf strain is yet to be determined So I'd be willing to jump on Dallas now And then if Luca is ruled in that I've that lines I was going to change dramatically That's something you look to do try and get ahead of news get ahead of injuries that sort of thing Yeah, and I actually love that bet mostly not even for what you mentioned in terms of luka being injured and potentially that news changing but I do not trust the jazz. I just don't trust the jazz. They are a betting liability um, there is nothing to me about this jazz team right now that is like Convincing it's just I I I don't see any sort of Um chemistry with them. I don't see anything offensively or defensively that makes me go. Wow You know, I really think they could do some things here I like I just they have burned me too many Times in the regular season from a betting perspective that I just I think I'm just anti You taught jazz anything Not because I don't think they're a great, you know team and they have great players, but there doesn't seem to be that cohesive Winners energy with that group right now. It's just very off very off So this season they were 33 45 and four Against the spread not a good record for a team that had 49 wins. You think they'd be doing A little bit more than that and you know kind of to your point You know, I don't I don't want to get like too much into the storylines Or I try not to bring that in but I almost feel like there's that that like dark cloud looming That if this happens like don't be Mitchell's gone like he's gonna be a new york nick next year's It at least according to some rumors. He wants to come home. You know, he's from the area He's from the the tri-state area So he you know, and they we know the the troubles that they've had in the past Yeah, that they've had this thing kind of hanging over them that if they don't get it done He might be gone. So You know, that's part of it playing into the the money Or a you know, willingness to go to some money some action on dallas combined with the luke news And if utah's not putting together a full game Dallas, especially if we do see luke play at plus two two thirty five thing is too good to pass up I agree. I like it So that's one spot that i'm looking the other spot that I was going to be looking would be the I think the Milwaukee bucks I like two and a half is obviously up in much for the the series spread when it comes to it So I'd be trying to just sprinkle on a little bit of a correct series prediction and I think four two for Milwaukee is looking pretty likely Chicago they started off the year super strong. They got hit by all these injuries They're just not putting together full basketball games now and you know, we've seen the record You know against the top teams knees. They were like oh and 15 or oh and 16 come down to the end of the year So Milwaukee bucks to win the series specifically at four to two at plus three eighty is the spot that i'm almost certainly gonna go Is this is this too far off the board for your bets? Do you ever go into these? not really um But I completely agree with you about this bull's team I think there was so much excitement so much hype and I bought into it to be honest with you I I am with the rosin with that shrieking right on He was incredible, but I think we've seen it so many times I mean just ask lebron james with the lakers There's only so much one guy can do on his own And I think damar de rosin despite the numbers he was putting up To be honest with you it kind of looked in at the end there like he was getting a little burnt out And I don't really blame him. I mean he was doing everything for that team So I've kind of lost all the excitement around the bulls. I just don't see it the bucks again have more Experience in this spot great leader in yannis And yannis as an incredible of a player as he is he does have help You know he's got drew holiday Maybe not the most consistent guy in the world, but when he is on he's on chris littleton has been great So yeah, I mean At least yannis has helped and that obviously will help the bucks go far, but Um, yeah, I've lost excitement around the bulls. So we've one common in chat a christian on youtube is saying nets will lose to boston in seven so that would be a Let's see, uh series total games and a correct score here we go uh Nets lose to boston in seven, which would be boston selthick's winning four to three a plus three 70 So if you believe that you can make that bet now and and frankly, this is probably the Between this and the the trono Philly series this might be the closest series in the east So if you're willing to you know jump on some of these obviously before the series starts You know getting a plus three 70 is always good Uh, I think that this trono philly series is going to be absolutely amazing I think that this is probably the closest series again outside of boston and Uh, the selthick's I don't know what to make of this because I can see in Like multiple iterations either team winning for a variety of reasons I also could see them all losing for a variety of reasons because I think I think the starting unit for the wrappers is amazing I've been a big scotty barns fan. I think he should be up there for a rookie year as he is I think siakam's amazing then bleat is amazing Uh, but then of course we have the 76ers and if harden actually shows up in playoffs Him and indeed are obviously borderline tough to stop by anyone Yeah, so what's your take on this series in the east and we'll flip to some teams in the west I definitely think that this series is going to go the distance. Um, I don't think it's going to be an easy Win for either team One thing I think that the raptors have in their favor is it seems like they are picking up momentum at the right time Like it just feels like they're really and they've been a pretty Consistently good team throughout the regular season But as of late we're really seeing their defense step up offensively. They're really really clicking I mean their center in siakam has been incredible. Um, they they were battling a few injuries here and there throughout the regular season and still managed um to be a really really great and competitive team so I actually you know what I would not be surprised if the raptors upset the 76ers in advance in this series Yeah at the trade deadline, uh, I did a show Um with stadium and you know, I said that the raptors they made just a few moves at the trade deadline They brought in dad young They shipped out some players like very very minor moves But you know kind of secured that depth and they're a team that's going a bit overlooked because We see Harding going into the 76ers We know that the nets are obviously so strong the Celtics were up there Or the heater up there team we haven't spoken about at all And you know, Toronto is just sitting here making one or two moves And they're that dark horse team for me that they've done it before obviously minus co islander We know that but they have all the parts and and for me one of the key things that I look at for a lot of teams Is it's kind of what we saw what we have in Memphis what we've seen this year Is you have players that can play multiple positions and they all do a little bit of everything Where dylan bruce can be out there guarding two or the three he can knock down some threes He's going to add in some rebounds they run small if steven adam goes off the court and jaren jackson plays the four or the five He's adding in defense So they have these players that can do a little bit of everything and they can guard multiple multiple positions And that's what the raptors have with siac. I'm playing the four or the five scottie barns can play long So teams like this that have the pieces that those the teams i like to buy into so i've been big on memphis as you said Uh, you know all the players stepping up to do their part Yeah, so i'm on board with the raptors winning this series over philadelphia When when it comes to the west This series for denver. I know you're out there in colorado. What's your take to to start this one against golden state? We're obviously Waiting on steve curry. There's reports that he's you know, we obviously know he's been out for a couple weeks That he's you know practicing in full He should be good to go the report was initially that he'd be out for the rest of the regular season And that he'd be ready for the playoffs. I'm not down and he's gonna be ready to show up But what's your you know a take on this coming going forward? I think we've seen this a million times before where it's like, I don't know am I back or am I not He is not going to miss the playoffs. Okay, and I'm that's just a reality and as a nuggets fan I know that and i'm preparing for that and maybe that's why i'm losing sleep for the last week or so Because i'm fully aware that steve curry is making a return. He is he is not going to miss this one and I You know, here's my thing. They have played Um the nuggets and the warriors have played quite a few times this season a few of those games were with steve curry I think there was a couple that were without a few of those games were without draymond green and a few were with draymond green so I'm not sure what to make of this warriors team because how many games have we really been able to watch them in full health How many games have we really been able to see them with steve curry and also with draymond green on the floor One that I do think that is the one thing though that is going to help the nuggets out is the fact that The nuggets have had a season um and time to Establish what their injuries were for their roster right from the beginning the war or the nuggets had A plethora of injuries from obviously jamal murray who's been out since last you know this time last year MPj went out with a back injury pj doger was out and then was traded So you've got a lot we there was a lot of different injuries the nuggets had to deal with but at least it was dealt with early on I think they have had the season To find that chemistry to figure out what everybody's role is and you just cannot deny that nicole yokic My choice for mvp is arguably one of the best basketball players in the league right now. He's playing out of his mind Um, and so I really think that the nuggets can get it done and I don't want to actually bet it because that could just be my Bias talking and I could just be betting with my heart and not my head and that's fine We know how that goes, but I really think the nuggets Can do it. I think that We've seen some we've seen a lot of um upgrades from people I always I don't ever include yokic in this conversation because he's pretty consistently good all But the rest of the roster Struggles every once in a while, but we're seeing improved game and facilitation from monta morris as a point guard Bones highland comes off the bench and shoots threes like he's been doing it his whole life Um, erin gordon has been way stronger defensively in terms of rebounding and scoring So I think the nuggets are finding a little bit of a groove at the right time, which is really great so I'm gonna go with my nuggets to win the series and you know what? Will I regret this? Maybe But I have to do it. I have to So, you know, I love that take about the the continuity of the roster Because we saw that when clay Thompson initially came back Where he was playing only like 18 minutes 20 minutes a game We saw step current we saw some of his scoring You know kind of take a step back because you know at a certain point It's like okay, we need to get clay Thompson the ball He's gonna take x amount of shots, you know He's gonna take 12 shots and be out there for 20 minutes But at a certain point are you forcing him the ball? And then that ruins what you had when he you know before he came back, right? We saw the this emergence of Jordan pool who has played great this year. I love him, right? You know curry was out a lot Click time was out of line to start the year and he was on then on limited minutes and then you know resting on back to back so Jordan pool stepping up and then Steph curry goes out now Jordan pool is playing a large role for them So like when they're all on the court like who's the guy? Who's gonna be taking the shots? Obviously, it's going to default probably Steph Curry, but That continuity between the whole roster. I think that's important this time of year now A part of me also says Okay, once they add dream on back with Steph Curry played Thompson Maybe they fall into their old ways and they look great But I'm a little bit hesitant to that hesitant to take that So I would actually go to the Denver plus one and a half for the series spread At minus 115 that's the spot I'll probably going to and I'll ultimately try and look to correlate that with the games And it would probably be going to the total games of seven because if they're going to get it done It's probably not going to be a sweep against the Warriors. I think you would agree with that I agree So it's probably going to be them getting to six or seven games So I'd take the Denver plus one and a half games on the series spread and then look to correlate With the correct number of games. Yeah, I like that. Yeah, I mean I listen It's one of those things where I could literally throw up thinking about it because when you're a fan of a team that I'm honest to God. I do not bet on the nuggets and I'll tell you why they are the epitome of We got it done but barely so I would never ever ever tell anybody to take the nuggets to cover the spread Okay, because we've seen it how many times before where they've got a 20-something point lead at halftime and then By fourth quarter, um, they're up by two or then they're down by two and it's going back and forth I can't do it. My heart cannot take it It's it's emotionally very draining for me. So It's really tough for me to bet on the nuggets, but I really think they have a lot of talent I think michael malone is a great coach And and deserves a lot of respect for what he's done with this nuggets team despite all the injuries they have faced But again, I think they are finding their chemistry finding their Cohesiveness their energy is getting really good at the right time And I can't say the same for the warriors because we haven't really seen them play all together On the court at the same time. So I don't know I I'm going to rock with my nuggets, but it's it absolutely terrifies me no doubt So shiesty on facebook is saying, uh, norlands versus land of night. What do y'all think? For the size of the totals live and I are in agreement where we don't have a strong opinion on the five and a half Or the 225 I think these numbers are obviously super tight. We both went to player props for this game Live you have the over on keldon johnson, two and a half assists that's sitting at now sitting at plus 104 And I went with cj. McCollum the over on his pr a sitting at 35 and a half Uh, you know, as you said he uh keldon johnson's gonna be you know, just driving the ball a little bit to murray We know that's uh stepping out hopefully hitting some threes murray will be doing And then I like cj. McCollum, you know leading the offense for the pelicans a player that's just gonna You know go down shootings never gonna not take those field go attempts. So pretty straightforward for me again No large, uh lean on the side or the total in this game agreed, uh Yeah, so this game I think is You know, I have more hope for the the hornets and the hawks to be a closer game because if we don't see consistent scoring out of some of the Secondary secondary options from the spurs. I think the pelicans could run away with it So I'd lean on the pelicans, but ultimately not a bet that I'm making Uh, the one series we really haven't gone too far into would be you know besides saying bulls and and uh box but uh, would you look to bet teams? Based on their futures ahead of time in terms of the seeding in terms of who they're playing like the heat Would you bet on the heat as soon as the line comes out? Once that a match was set or how do you uh approach that situation? You know at the nba is so tough. It really is so tough because I always I think that because it's such a star driven league. Um, the late scratches the Oh the players pinky toenail hurt and it's poor. So they're not going to play tonight. It's like oh for god's sake So it's a really tough thing to do Stuff too far in advanced unless it is a futures bet which obviously Even that it's you run such a huge risk. I think anytime you're in the futures market You better just keep your fingers crossed a little bit because it's kind of anyone's game, but I really like the heat. Um, that's a team that we haven't really touched on but I really do like What we've seen from them so far. I think defensively. They've obviously been really strong shout out to bam Otter bio. I think they've got the sixth man of the year and tyler harrow Uh, jimmy butler is jimmy butler. So he will get half of his points will get Will come from the free throw line because he just manages to get to the line for half the game So they've got a lot going for them um But I I don't know offensively sometimes I get a little antsy with the miami heat um Because they can be a little I mean for god's sake don't ever ever ever take a duncan robinson player prop I don't know how I have to scream it from the rooftop. I have told people Sun up to sundown I'm like do whatever you do do not take duncan robinson's player prop and every time I say that they're like, well I think i'm just gonna do it. You know, he's in a really great spot tonight. I'm like, okay Best of luck and sure enough they come back to me and say yeah, you know, you might have been right on that one He uh did not do anything for me But that being said duncan robinson in the bubble when it was time to turn it on for the playoffs was out of his mind So I think that the heat have the weapons offensively and defensively to be a really really strong team But again, I'm looking over I'm looking at that plus 350 with the uh With the celtics and I I am liking the celtics. I am so I'm just looking for an update here because that the I think it was either saturday or sunday bam on abaya went into the league's health and safety protocol Which is oh, I you know what I think I did see it was it for covet Yeah, I yeah, so I don't remember what date is I'm just trying to look for that update But that obviously puts a huge wrench into things for the heat So the point I'm asking is or the point I'm trying to make is as soon as we figure out who the heat are playing like Do you jump on those lines immediately when they're out? You know, whether it's five six seven points, whatever they're laying as the number one c maybe more Would you jump on those lines? You know kind of in combination my next point would be with this bam on abaya is because of the uncertainty Because this is something I always struggle with where I think I see the line and I'm like, okay This player is doubtful. This player is questionable Again to your point about all these late scratches, etc. Etc. I love this line at six I think this line is going to go to eight or nine If this player gets ruled out and then all of a sudden he's ruled in and it moves in the opposite direction So you jump on those lines early. Yeah, I think it's very circumstantial like you just said if you're getting if if the heat Depending on who they're you know who they're playing if you're getting them at a number that you don't think you're ever going to see again And you're like this is too good to be true And there's a part of you that believes bam on abaya is going to play or they can still cover the spread without bam on abaya But even better if he is playing and this line jumps two more points in the other direction, you know in the direction Absolutely grab it. I think if you look at a line and you go, okay Realistically bam will probably play and this line is at four and a half And I think it'll end up getting pushed all the way up to six and a half. I would grab it at four and a half absolutely That's always something I struggle with where you know like on a regular day to day basis during the regular season I look at the injury report multiple times per day And because I want to say look at it way too much. I'm sure it's like all my screen time is the injury report So, you know, it comes out on at every half hour So I'm like always ready to update that on you know The mba site to see that that new updated pdf of whatever they're going to be sending out Because I want to know like what players are going to be in and out and I try and jump on the lines early to Yeah, you know get it, you know water two points On one day may not seem like a lot It's a huge difference But over over the course of the whole season if you string together, you know So many of these bets because you were out on the news early You know that that's profitable like I love seeing that like when I make a bet and then It's it gives me a cash out option for more than the bet was placed before the game even starts We're like the points moved in my favor. So I'm always following news I would say that specifically in the playoffs make sure your news sources, whatever you're using are updated I will say we will see Fewer players playing the playoffs as we normally do it's going to be tighter rotations So some of the peripheral players for these teams when it comes to the player props those can be Those can be a little bit unique because we're going to see very limited minutes for some of their bench players so if you can find soft lines on Some of their depth players that will be playing That's the spot I would go but or live betting obviously live betting. What's your what's your take on live betting? Do you ever go to that? I don't do it super often Not because I don't like it but because I I'm not quick enough Okay, so I I was trying to find a middle where I'll I'll take the You know, I'll take the under or I'll take the over on a game Or I think the it's too low and then if they're scoring I'll try and live bet the under to try and find that middle Yeah, that's part it's it's it's obviously very tough and There could be large swings where you know teams just go cold and no one's hitting so the line is plummeting But that's something I always try to take advantage on the playoffs because The swings that the teams go on and momentum We see these teams just knocking down threes, you know back-to-back possessions That will jump the over under and if I don't think it's sustainable I'm obviously going to try and live bet that under so Live betting specifically in the playoffs obviously as you're watching the games is is super super enjoyable Music on youtube is saying love yoke edge but golden state is taking it getting back to our discussion about golden state and The nuggets well that series betting is there for you, you know personally I wouldn't lay the what is a minus 250 for the warriors The way I would mitigate that would be to try and go to the spread Or try and go to a correct series score. Obviously this leaves you You know out to dry if if they win four to three You obviously don't cover the series spread at that point But straight up series betting and minus 250 is not a spot that I would go Is it do you have a cutoff when it comes to a line? Of where your will or like where you'll stop saying oh Minus 150 is too much minus 175 whatever it is. Do you have a hard number that you cut off at? I don't have a hard number But I do think value is super super important and I talk about that a lot when I'm taking props especially um, you know taking tray young over Three and a half assists. Well, yeah It's like hello duh, and so I do think value is it makes a huge difference now If I am creating a same game parlay if I am creating a parlay in general I don't really care about where that value sits I'm not super picky when it comes to let me let me put it this way the only way that I would take a I think if it's over minus 120 Okay, I kind of start going You know and there's exceptions, of course, you know sometimes player props sit around minus 128 minus 130 And I'm like, you know what I really like it. I'm just going to rock with it And I'll just double down on it and put two units instead of one, you know I there's obviously exceptions, but I think once you exceed that minus 120 Um, I start to think maybe this belongs in a parlay. Maybe I put this in with another really, you know Juiced up favorite or whatever player prop I like or whatever it may be And and that's when parlay start to become a consideration for me I will really only create parlays for that reason for the better value Um, if there's two plays I like and they're just pretty obvious and the value is just not there But I really do try to look for value. That is like a huge thing that I do I think obviously you want to make more money. So value is important, you know Yeah, that that's I would say I'm basically along the same lines where it's like I like this prop, but it's sitting at minus 145 minus 150 like that's I love I always say like I say to some of my friends. It's like I love the prop I hate the I hate the juice that it's at like that's what it comes to that So I think this this prop is like factually wrong Like I think it's wrong like this player is doing x y and z and the prop does not reflect that The the line that it's at but it's sitting at minus 150 juice. So I don't love the juice I love the prop. So that's where I'm along and that's the same thing, you know Like I said, I'm we're you know, both on some threes in this game And that's why I'm going about Donner. It's like I want this plus money It's a player that can realistically hit six threes in a game Like that's not at his range of outcome. So I'm shooting for plus money there and I think that is A valuable line specifically against the Hornets who allowed the second most three pointers Yeah, their perimeter defense is just awful and it happened all season We're like and I always say this is like we're going to these bats for the right reasons It's like we're not taking a random shot on a player. It's like Bob Donovich does take a good volume with threes He does have a good matchup. Yep. It's going to be reflected and again I think the plus money is on the wrong side. So I'm going to be over Are there any are any like games or series that you are just not touching you're not going anywhere near Or is it just where the value lies you bet there besides not betting on the nuggets? Yeah, I'm taking a look right now at your screen trying to figure out if there's anything I see I'm waiting for a few matchups. Obviously with the the top season Um Right off the bat. I'm looking at that bull's bucks matchup and thinking 10 is a lot of points I mean even if it is the bulls and they've you know Haven't been as consistent as we would have liked to see whatever whatever 10's a lot of points, especially In a playoff situation. Um, that's a lot of points to me. So I'm already a little bit drawn to bulls plus 10. That's something everyone should know about me I love a good underdog. Let me tell you I love a good underdog to cover the spread Um, and I just think 10's a lot of points I mean, I thought nine and a half was a lot of points with the calves So I took calves plus nine and a half and it was absolutely the right move. So I don't know 10 feels like a lot The thing I immediately think of is if this line is 10, what is miami and what are the phoenix suns going to be at? because if price The bulls as we said good team were great early in the year and then kind of fell apart So this line is 10 it to me the suns could be 15 point favorites at home in there for so You know 10's definitely a lot 15 is also a lot or whatever the line ends up being just taking a guess But you know, I would certainly lean with the bulls because you know at the end of the day after rosin and levine get hot And if levine gets hot from downtown against milwaukee who is dead last in league for three pointers allowed per game They could certainly cover the 10 ultimately we're on the same side I think milwaukee comes away with that that series I'm probably going to milwaukee specifically winning four to two Yeah, and that series but 10 does seem like a lot especially especially for an opening round match up in game one if They start blowing out the bulls. I could see it getting up to 10, but I don't like that number at 10 I mean, I do like that number. I don't like it for right I am um, I'm curious to know what the hawks team total is tonight versus Hornets Obviously, we know defensively the hornets are just awful But even more so we were kind of touching on their perimeter defense being awful And I think there's a lot of three-point shooters on this hawks team In kevin herder who i'm riding with boggonovitch who you're riding with as well as Um treyong 114 and a half Okay, I actually might lean in well, excuse me one excuse me 120 and a half for the home team Oh, geez. I yeah 120 and a half minus 114 I'd have to do a little more research into that and kind of see what they have been averaging. Um But I don't hate I don't hate taking the team total for the hawks tonight just because Of the lack of defense that is played by the hornets So you do mainly player props. Do you ever Go into the the double doubles the player performance double doubles Do you ever go into uh any of these like kind of secondary markets? I would say, you know Obviously sides and lines are not the spot I normally go It's mainly player props, but do you ever try and correlate that to the player performance doubles? Yes, and I I really love love love love these plays shout out to the fandal sports book because I think these are Really really I don't want to say easy ways to make money Um, but great ways to find value for this is amazing I'm just saying what's 158 for herder three plus threes and Atlanta to win And that's and that's exactly what I'm saying. So if you're looking at a prop and you're like, okay I think for example, if it just this is just hypothetical I think kevin herder goes off from the three point line. That's obviously a bet that I am taking I love kevin herder to have over two and a half made threes I also think that the hawks will win this game So if that's the case go check out these player performance doubles because you aren't likely to find your prop Um alongside a win by that team for great great great value just the other day I had someone on my instagram live and they were like I really like on andre drumming tonight to rebound well score well and for the nets to win I said then go look at player performance doubles and take drumming with a double double and a net's win And the value there was great. So I think these player performance doubles are awesome I think they are awesome. If you have a player prop you like and you're also like, okay, you know, I like the hawks tonight I don't think they'll cover five and half, but I do think they'll win Okay, let's be privy to the win the most go look at those player player performance doubles Grab that player and grab that team to win and you've got yourself some nice value Yeah, I'm seeing this now at plus 186 for by donovitch four plus threes I already said I took the over on three and a half I think atlanta ultimately wins this game You know plus 186 is Is immense compared to was it plus 114 yeah plus 114 for three and a half So I also like to look at it in the sense of If the hawks are going to be winning how is it going to get done? It's probably going to be because of trey young doing x y and z Yes, and and I would do it like I have to put those together Yes, I am so glad you brought that up because I think that's something that a lot of people Will need to hear or something that they just need to be reminded of because I do this for a living I do this full time. I am sports betting full time and I still sometimes forget this A great example of this is if I take a player to go over on points And and I have lots of players that I'm looking at and I'm like over over over over I love it, but I like the under on the game Why why on earth would you do that to yourself if you like trey young to drop a 40 piece Or you like kevin durant to drop a 40 piece. I don't suggest taking the the under I mean even if you think the under is going to hit There is no sense in watching a basketball game where you're fighting both of your bets like um, what what game was it? It was it was just last night. It was the next game I had oh This is what it was. I had kairi Irving to go ballistic. I took his over on points But I also had the calves to cover so the whole game. I was like, okay kairi Okay, I need you to score but I also need the calves to score and it was like I was fighting myself going both ways And it was tortured. It was absolute tortured. So yes, the bets should absolutely You know and make sense with each other for sure, right? So I always if I take unders on games I always look to rebounding props because if under is going to be hitting That means miss shots. That means more rebounding opportunity for everyone involved So I always look to go to you know to correlate, you know One of the centers or whoever's you know, the best rebounder for the team look to rebounding props Plus the under because you miss shots. Someone's got to grab the ball. Yep. So I would say a lot of these are I mean, let's just check them out for the other game because a lot of those are I mean plus one eight six for For black donovitch. That's great. It is great. So Player performance doubles. Let's see So mccullum and win this would go along with my pr a bet the four plus threes I'd rather go to the the 28 points because he could have three threes and still hit the the pr a and I don't want to be left out to dry Let's see ingram Murray These are these are some big numbers. Do they have any held in johnson with keldin johnson four plus threes keldin johnson rebounds 25 plus points for keldin johnson. That's 750 that's a huge number. I don't see any assist ones 22 points, so this is where This is where I probably like turned to a same game parlay to Try and grab the the the numbers that I want at the specific points and trying to grab that win agreed So this is one for I don't like this number 114 I do like valentunas to double doubles and I specifically against the spurs. Jacob hurl does not play great defense So I'd be like I like this prop. I don't like the number. So ultimately I wouldn't go there because I don't like the value The only spot that I think 205 from a column 28 plus and the win is probably the first spot that I'd be looking I'd have to dig much more into this to to figure it out But this these are these are the spot that I normally look to grab as much value as possible Yeah, I like it. I think player performance doubles are absolutely a great great great place to make money Find good value, especially because nine out of ten times a bet you already like You've already handicapped that you've already looked at numbers trends stats for and you have locked it in They have pretty much the same bet In the player performance doubles You've just got to figure out if you're on the same side of the game as your prop And if you are if you're like listen the nets are winning this game and kairi is going off That's what I should have done. I should have taken Kairi's points plus a net's win and the value would have been 10 times better, but yeah player performance doubles are awesome The one thing I'll say uh, one of these things just just to say a final point is always look to the alt lines because You know about donvich at three and a half is plus 114 But yeah, some of these lines you see these are changing these are changing But sometimes you can find a slight difference between One plus 116 and the plus 114 for four and a half for a four plus and three and a half And sometimes it's flipped where you could take four and a four plus made threes Yeah at a better price So if you're willing to dig into the alt lines and the player performance doubles you can find every bit of value For any player for any prop you just got to put in the time so it is time you absolutely have to be patient with it But there is there's hidden gems on the fandal sports book y'all there are hidden gems So we have two games tonight. They are starting in just a matter of minutes again To recap Liv give you or the two player props that you're on for tonight Yes, kelden johnson over two and a half assist facing the pelicans and also Kevin herder over two and a half made threes facing the hornets right and i am on bog donovitch his teammate for the hawks over three and a half made threes and then CJ mccullum over 35 and a half points rebounds assist combined going up against the spurs Again mccullums that guy for them. He's going to go down taking plenty of shots whether they're up or down So a good two good two games obviously there's action throughout the rest of the week playoffs fully start on saturday I got to decide between now and then if I want to hedge out of my boston selthick's eastern conference future to win the east Have to make that decision if i'm going to be going to the nets in some capacity or just roll with the selthicks because I think they can Get it done Yeah, I love it. So Liv tell the people where they can find you You can find me at live moods on everything instagram twitter Tiktok if you want to be on tiktok. I'm not sure it's not everyone's cup of tea But if you're on there at live moods, um, and I'll be giving out mostly player props and roasting You know any sports team that I don't agree with which is typically Anyone that's not in Denver. So that's where you can find me and that's what I'll be up to You can find me at dfs underscore tom, of course always there Given out mlb player props, of course that is starting this time of year considering with nhl along with the nba playoffs All right, so that does it. This has been the you know live stream for the betting leading up to the playing games You can always follow feindl on the youtube twitch twitter and facebook pages until then everybody good luck on your bets And have a great night for nba action