 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network Betting player props during the NFL playoffs is an absolute delight We've got role changes that guys undergo as a result of the fact that they've got nothing to lose at this point We have got a everything on the line and it makes the player prop market for Fandall sportsbook A lot of fun and all the props are up Unlike the way we usually see things for this time of the week We're gonna talk to JJ Zachary's and pick his brain Auditorial player props he likes for wild car weekend at Fandall sportsbook Then later on Austin Castle join us to get us ready for this weekend in the EPL Welcome on into covering the spread. That's right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research Joined here as I am every Friday by JJ Zachary's and check him out on Twitter at late round QB Find his work at late round comm and the late round fantasy football podcast and JJ we match today If you're watching on TV plus in the family YouTube page We are both wearing orange burnt orange shirts and hats. Does that mean you are a flacko backer this weekend? Probably not but okay good, but I will say I think burnt orange is one of the most underrated colors on earth I'll go with that. Yeah, I love I love that like, you know, that's sort of that combo So no, I mean am I am I rooting for The problem is I really like CJ Stroud too like just as a player and like that story and everything I mean both teams I wish they weren't facing each other because I would love for them to have a shot to like make runs In the middle. Yeah, I I the Texans plus two and a half So I'm rooting actively against Joe flacko for this week I'm curious though because you've been told a lot of times you look like Joe flacko Does that make you rude against him or form because I think it could go either way, you know It's really funny. I grew up in Pittsburgh and so, you know Now I'm not like nearly as big of a stealer fan as I used to be like when I was you know My late teens early 20s where I was just rabid and I'm noxious, but back then That's what that's like a round peak flacko, you know what I'm talking like elite flacko and such Yeah, I despise the man back then and now I love him now I think flacko's because now I got you know I can I can vibe with his dad vibes, you know that he brings forth now And like the story itself is just amazing you get a guy who's about my age a little bit older than me Just getting off his couch and just dominating the league I mean, I shouldn't say dominating but at least statistically from like a raw number standpoint dominating You know like from a fantasy total standpoint dominating. It's fun. It's a fun story I like and he also boosted of our Cooper where I traded to you in our dynasty league last year Oh, whatever you won the dynasty league this year Jim, you know That it was for a shot Bateman I'm sorry, I can be that about that like just doesn't matter if I Locked my way into a win because a bunch of volatile wide receivers hit there like 95th percentile outcome in three consecutive weeks Well, look we're right now people don't realize this but right now on this podcast where you people are listening to the last two winners of the That's true. It's a Cooper. I don't know if he helped you last time I don't want to say he helped you win it last year, but you know He was on your roster at least could help me this year But I got I had a really really rough opening week and then he went bananas the week after that And he's actually facing the exact same team that he did that against this week So we'll talk about that game talk about some props potentially for Texans versus Browns where JJ is finding values We can some general process tweaks as well We talked about the wild card round of the playoffs But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast You can find us on the Fandal YouTube page and Fandal TV plus if you like what you hear on the podcast side of things Leave us a five star rating on Apple podcast or Spotify also a thumbs up on YouTube is always appreciated too our week Wild card weekend full preview with dr. Ed Feng is up on all those feats as well And of course I gave my read on the slate back on Monday in the first look podcast Which also in your podcast feed now JJ Let's start things off here by talking about things more holistically because we can sometimes in the playoffs see teams Make tweaks because they don't need to conserve that you know really good running back for later on this year Are there any players you would pinpoint as being? Potential benefactors with an expanded role in these high-level spots this weekend Yeah, I mean you could you can make the argument for a couple of running backs I think like a James Cook is a good example where you know You have these backfields that are split and there's a clear cut Talents at RB one who's in that sort of like 1a spot. Yeah, I should say RB 1a Because obviously Buffalo still splits that backfield. They have more of the grinder and some of their other players there So like a player like games cook. I wouldn't be surprised seeing a little bit more work in the playoffs You know John Ray swifts another one I'll get to him in a second to but John Ray Swiss another one where you know I think that Swift is the most talented back in that backfield still And you know again like I said, I'm gonna talk about him in just a second But you know, we could see hypothetically an uptick there if they're gonna be smart with it and really just ride out These guys because there's nothing that we have to worry about you know with with saving these players Later on and then you know also the other thing to keep in mind, you know We're talking about rushing a little bit here a little bit anecdotal But I feel like we've taken advantage of this over the last handful of years quarterbacks Yeah, quarterbacks are a lot more aggressive during the playoffs and they are during the regular season This is another teaser if you will for in about, you know 10 minutes Remember we're talking about some other player prop and stuff But quarterbacks are definitely and this is a little bit anecdotal but quarterback You know are more aggressive and you might be able to hit some more overs than normal with their rushing props I've already benefited from some late game Flukiness with those at a Josh Allen 60 plus last week in an alt market And he got that on that third and 13 carry where he just like bulldoze like 13 dudes And then also JJ McCarthy in the semi-finals had like a late 15-yard run to hit his over huge. It was a huge run by McCarthy to that wasn't the semi-final the one that I had him I 22 and a half for the championship game And I said no shot then he got like 22 a half on that one run, right? Because he's weirdly athletic But yeah, I wish I would use it more. I wish I would use it a bit more But yeah, absolutely now you may have alluded to some of these But there are also fluid situations that are potentially in flux for this weekend beyond just the guys who may get bumps in their role Because of the playoffs which other situations do you have your eye on? Whether or not props are posted at right right now at the annual sports book. Yeah So I'll go to Deandre Swift who I just talked about I do think they will and should use him more than the way they've used him down the stretch But I think we have to be cognizant of how they've used him down the stretch His target ship per game over his final six games was 5.4 percent Which is kind of absurd for a guy like Swift when that number was not not only is a good pass catcher But that number was well over 12 percent, you know across the first 10 games or so of the season And then that coincided with a row of participation That dropped about 10 percentage points in the split down to about 37 percent when he was only seeing this 5.4 percent target Here so, you know I think that there is a case to be made that they're gonna ride Deandre Swift more But you have to be cognizant of this You also have to be cognizant of the fact that Tampa Bay is pretty good against running backs at least versus how they are Against pass catchers and they're actually pretty good at limiting targets to running backs, which could just be You know the result of them being bad against wide receivers and tight ends But they're adjusted target share allowed. It's actually second highest second lowest in the league to running backs So I'm not really touching Deandre Swift props this week per se But I do think this is at least a situation to monitor if they do win and then we can see what's going on next week with him a couple more, you know Gabe Davis right now his status is up in the air and You know Stefan Diggs came out and he said that they're playing this game for Gabe That was a quote that he that he had talked about so I don't think you say something like that If the guy's gonna play It was something along those lines We need to get a Gabe Davis statue so if you can pull like stuff stuff around like they did they did the Nick Saban statue Like that's what I need next right, right, right exactly I don't think you say something like that though if the guys likely to play I mean he might play but it's something to at least monitor If he doesn't go I do think Khalil Shakir is pretty Important in this game could see a lot more work because he's usually an 11 personnel type guy slot player for them You know, I've talked about the Steelers and their slot struggles for years, you know on this show So not only would he be on the field in three wide sets probably in the slot But now you're gonna see him in two wide sets as well And they might run a lot more 12 personnel Without Gabe Davis which they did earlier this season It was just that Khalil Shakir wasn't seeing the field as much and so if they run a lot more 12 personnel That could also help Dawson ox and Dalton concave a little bit So keep that in mind if Davis is out that does have sort of this domino effect I'd say more so than other teams because we sort of know where the targets would be going if Davis is indeed out And the last one another guy whose health is up in the air is AJ Dylan And I actually think this is pretty important because AJ Dylan missed week 15 and week 18 this year and those are both games that the Packers were playing at full strength and needed to win Aaron Jones was healthy for those games and in those contests He had running back rushers of 87 percent and 100 percent when AJ Dylan's active that number drops to like 60 65 Percent there's a pretty big Delta in the way that they use Aaron Jones on the ground And then in both those games he also hit at least an 11 percent target share So if AJ Dylan's out I think Aaron Jones especially everything that we just talked about with teams using the running backs a little bit Aaron Jones is probably gonna be just a straight-up bell cow in that game against Alice He's the reason that I always ask that question is because there was a couple years ago where it was I think it was him and Jamal Williams back that at that time And they gave Aaron Jones like a 90% snap rate in the postseason where he had been around 60% during the regular season and like They've done that before they haven't done that with with Dylan as much because Dylan's been like I guess a somewhat contributor to that backfield, but like they've done that with him before and they did it last weekend I think his snap rate was around like 88 percent or so. It was really really high for Aaron Jones going back to the Buffalo Bills Watching that game on Sunday night. I was worried about Cleal Shaqir You know whether he'd get out there and two receiver sets but they did put him out wide a bit in that game and like if you think about the bills like You could try to keep Shaqir in the slot only and keep him only for three receiver sets but at some point I think they're kind of star for playmakers and He's proven to be that guy. So I had some concerns initially But like if your option is in two receiver sets Trent Scherfield who did run a lot outside or Cleal Shaqir I think you're preparing Cleal Shaqir to run outside So I'd agree that he is probably gonna be a benefactor of Dave Davis this weekend All right, let's take in some props over at Fandal Sportsbook JJ beginning with the yardage markets where you see in value for this week Yeah, this is always tough because it's arguably the greatest young quarter It probably is the greatest young quarterback of all time and Patrick Mahomes But I'm hitting his under right now in his passing yardage. It's at two fifty two and a half He's hit this mark in half of his games this year But half of his games weren't in freezing temperatures and potential high winds, right? Like this I don't think we can overstate the game environment here The the coldness doesn't necessarily, you know scare me off completely But there's also some win concerns and I think the combination of the two could and then you look at the game total, too It's not super super high. It's 44 and a half right now So you look at this game You're like is it really gonna shoot out and then you look at what the Chiefs have done all year and They haven't really been part of these like massive shootouts. It's really the defense that's been, you know Taking them, you know into the playoffs and such Miami's been at least a fringe or or a top 10 Team and an EPA per drop back allowed this year I just think at the end of the day from a Holmes to hit this mark He's gonna need chunk plays and I don't think that this Chiefs team is capable of doing that at least You know from a probability standpoint consistently, right? It can happen, of course, but I'm gonna go with the under there I think this number should be closer to like two forty two then then two fifty two So I'm gonna go under with Patrick Mahomes and the other one's a little bit funky because I like to get weird But I'm gonna go Trey Palmer over 24 and a half receiving yards against Philadelphia Palmer's run 57% of his routes from the slot this year Philadelphia has been by far the worst team against slot receivers in 2023 and then I mean I'm assuming in a 2024 too It's gonna be the same thing because it's the same team, but they've allowed the both yards receptions touchdowns second highest slot target share to you know that area of the field Palmer also over his last three has seen target shares of 17 percent 15 percent and 19 percent So you're looking at a situation where I think he can hit this mark even in a neutral game script, which is possible I mean, I wouldn't be shocked even I don't think anyone would be shocked if the Buccaneers just win this game because Philadelphia has been playing so poorly But at the same time if Philadelphia is like oh by the way, we're the Eagles and we're we're better than what we've How we've been playing then you all of a sudden hit a negative game script for Tampa Bay And that's more passing and and hypothetically more yards for those receivers So the match up there is just very very good and Palmer is seeing more work In this offense, and that's what we generally see from rookie wide receivers too. So I like Palmer and that over there Yeah, 24 and a half the number on a Trey Palmer for this weekend in that game against the Eagles on Monday I think it's he gets some deep targets to which can allow you to get to an over there pretty quickly back to the Mahomes one briefly I took the under in that game when it got to 44 and a half It was 44 most spots Fandle had a 44 and a half for a bit. It's back down to 43 and a half that wind matters It's at 14 miles per hour right now. I do not have temperature in my model Maybe I should but I don't because I don't care frankly. I care about the wind though and the wind tells me That's more of an under game versus an over game. So yeah Big Pacheco spot personally. Yeah. Yeah, and I think though too like with this temperature thing I think that if you're because I look at this stuff too in terms of just like, you know How how much the larger sample really impacts these games all this kind of stuff and I doubt you'll get Significant signal with any sort of temperature, you know evaluation or what what have you but this is like just so everyone knows Like we're talking historically low temperatures here Like I saw one tweet where it's like I think potentially the third coldest playoff game ever like in history And I don't know if I don't know if you've ever watched those old NFL films Videos of like like some of those playoff games in the 60s. Yeah, like the ice bulls up I mean like I I think that there could at least be subjectively subjectively Something to the cold temperatures. Yeah, and this is as extreme as it gets Pacheco's rushing plus receiving number 86 and a half I took that earlier on this week as well because I think that they're gonna be able to run the football here and With no McKinnon Pacheco tends to have a very very good role any touchdown bets you're eyeing for this weekend JJ Yeah, you know, it's kind of strange David and Joku has scored an average of one touchdown per game over his last four and you would assume You know, this is what we generally see with books is that that number then gets inflated and you don't really want to attack it But he's still plus 200 right now over on Fandals and any time touchdown score and this matchups really good Houston allows the third highest adjusted Target share to tight ends and David and Joku has seen a 25% target share per game rate over his last 11 And that's been consistent also with Joe Faco under center So I like and Joku at that plus 200 mark and then again going back to what we talked about earlier I like Patrick Mahomes as an anytime touchdown at plus 440 this week I'm probably gonna bet Patrick Mahomes as an anytime touchdown score as long as Kansas City is alive in the playoffs It's just I think generally I mean as long as you're getting this kind of juice Obviously, you're not gonna bet it like a like a two-to-one or something but um, you know If you look at Mahomes, he's been in the playoffs five times He's beat his season-long average in rushing yards and rush attempts in three of those five playoffs But when he's beaten it when it when he's not beaten it, it's not been by much when he's beaten it It's by a very very significant margin It's a small sample size But I do think it's interesting because of what we've talked about like the the narrative around that and the story that you can Build around that he's averaged about a rush attempt per game More in playoff games than in regular season games across his career and he's averaged almost three times the number of rushing touchdowns per game He averages about point one two per game in the regular season That's point three six in the playoffs, which is not insignificant and that's coming from a player who doesn't take goal line rushes In his offense because of what we saw against Denver, you know, a handful of years ago with his like kneecap And so I like this number period I mean, I think that you should just be betting Patrick Mahomes Overs for the most part within the rushing department and the touchdowns to me has the best juice this week Yeah, Mahomes plus 440 right now for a touchdown. He was running last year when he had one leg Like in the Super Bowl, he was running a bit and like that should tell you all you need to know as far as his Aggressiveness his mindset in these spots, especially when the offense is not as efficient as it has been the past They might have to tap that button a bit more going back to in joku That number is short into plus 180 implied odds. They're thirty five point seven percent They were thirty three point three percent of that two to one That's still okay to you or is that short into the point where a bit more wary? I'm okay with I'm okay with that You might be able to shop it to just to be clear. You should have everything. Yeah. Yeah, yeah But but I think I yes, I would still I would still bet that I'd be okay with all right So David and joku plus 180 for a touchdown has always shop around for the best number there Mahomes plus 440 for a touchdown as well That is JJ Zacharyson make sure you check him out on Twitter at late round QB find his work at late round calm and the late round a fantasy Football podcast and JJ enjoy the wild card round. We'll talk to you once again next week for the divisional round. Thanks, Jim Alrighty big. Thank you once again to JJ as always find his stuff on Twitter at late round QB coming up next We're gonna talk some APL with Austin cast getting his read on favorite bets across match week 21 We'll also talk some futures with Austin as well But first when it comes to the NFL playoffs You've got to win one game at a time when you bet the NFL playoffs one game can win a lot can mean a lot of wins Fan duel America's number one sportsbook has all your favorite bets like the money line and the spread and all sorts of props like Quarterback passing yards or who will score the first touchdown plus every day There's an NFL playoff game Fandula's gift for giving all customers a no sweat same game parlay That means if you combine your bets for a chance at a bigger payday You'll get bonus bets back if your SGP does not win Make every moment more with Fandula an official sportsbook partner of the NFL must be 21 plus and present in select states Minimum three leg parlay required refund issued is novel trouble bonus bets Which expire seven days after receipt max refund $5 unless otherwise specified Restricted supply state terms at sportsbook dot Fandula calm Fandula is offering online sports waging in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC gambling problem call 1-800 gambler Over the Fandula comm slash RG in Colorado, Iowa Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia and Vermont Call 1-800 next step or text next step to 533 for two in Arizona 1-88-789-7777 Or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Connecticut 1-800-9 with it in Indiana 1-800-522-4700 visit ksgaminghealth.com in Kansas 1-877-770 stop in Louisiana Visit mdgaminghealth.org in Maryland 1-800-gambler.net in West Virginia or 1-800-522 4700 in Wyoming Let's talk now about the EPL we got to bring Austin cast back on the show and it's been a while Austin because we had The holiday layout so Austin welcome back in how you doing today? I'm doing well Jim. How are you? I'm good I'm upset that you did not get the memo about the burnt orange shirts for today You're going with a very classy sweater So I appreciate that at least from a fashion perspective, but JJ and I both on bird origin You kind of you didn't even get the memo so next time. I'm sorry Yeah, I got some new Christmas gear from in-law. So I'm just trying to get that on I love it You're a smart man I love that. Those are my favorite gifts are like the comfy sweaters big fan of those as always So I'll allow it just for this one time now. Let's dig in and talk about the first FVPL match week 21 that is also match week 21 next week Let's begin things by talking futures because we haven't gotten a chat about those in a while So they want to do a quick check in here as we come out of the holiday break It seems like there's a pretty fun race going on right now for the four spot in the EPL table Aston Villa is minus 170 Tottenham is minus 105 Of course with Man City Liverpool and Arsenal all ahead of them new cast late to one after that When you look at this market Austin, which seems pretty undecided right now any value in either of the Shorter teams or one of the long shots here So as you said, it's pretty much a two-team race for that four spot between Aston Villa and Tottenham It's hard to see anyone else really getting back into it unless Villa and Tottenham both struggle Which is a possibility But there's a reason nobody else is shorter than plus 800 between Bill and Tottenham Both teams have flaws and you can make a case for either squad to finish on the top four Tottenham have been a real treat to watch this season under their manager, Ange Pusticago They're not in a European competition either, which gives them the advantage of not having many mid-week matches Aston Villa is in the Europa Conference League and they probably will make a deep run in that which could end up hurting them here in the top four Race but with that said I'm still back in Villa and I am recite They're currently second in the league table three points clear of Tottenham But once you pop the hood and look at expected goal metrics, Villa have certainly been the better side They're XG differentials plus 10.3 per FB rush expected goal model and Tottenham's is only plus 0.4, which is just 10th in the league Of course, that's factored in the market It's probably the main reason why Villa are minus 170 despite being only three points ahead But I think that price is more than fair between the two Villa society. I want them back So Villa right now has the edge and they've had the better underlying numbers. It sounds like they're the implied odds of minus 170 63% but as always value is value So if you think the odds of them claiming one of the top four spots are better than 63% does make a lot of sense to Turn that direction. We do have four matches coming up this weekend There's one Friday, but kind of a quick turnaround for that one So let's talk about the four matches across this weekend Austin Where you seen value when you're looking at the more traditional markets for this weekend So I really like Chelsea and their money line. It's minus 170 against Fulham minus 170 isn't super fun, but It's this is a little bit lower than I think it should be I Tried really hard to talk myself into a few other markets to try to get closer to Chelsea in another way And I just couldn't really get into it So I'm just gonna keep it simple and take the money line by expected goals Chelsea have been the most unlucky team in the league this year Their expected goal difference is plus 10.6, which was actually the fourth best mark in the league Yet they're 10th in the table. So they're basically the opposite of Tottenham Some of it can be blamed on poor finishing But there's definitely some bad luck at play as well I think they're being slept on a little bit at this minus 170 number They're at home against the Fulham side who's actually differential ranks fourth worst in the league in addition to that Chelsea also have a rest advantage Both of these teams played a midweek match in the Carabao Cup semi-finals Fulham's was on Wednesday and Chelsea's was on Tuesday So Fulham are gonna have two road games in four days here Especially with this Saturday being an early kickoff and that's a really tough ask for Fulham Especially a smaller club like them who doesn't have a squad depth that someone like Chelsea does So all in all I think Chelsea are the better side. They're at home. They have the rest advantage They've been really difficult to feel good about backing all season long But the underlying data says we should feel pretty good about it I want to go back to one thing you mentioned there You were talking about how you could potentially blame They're bad XG number or good as XG numbers relative to their record on in an inability to finish How much of determining for you whether that's a spot that's due for regression versus a legitimate like flaw in their team is like Knowing the players like do you think do you have a good enough grasp of their strikers and stuff like that to say? Okay, this is kind of flukey. It will regress. Do you think that they've got the kind of team that can overcome? Maybe not being great in that department Yeah, I do. I think Nicholas Jackson their striker. He's in his first year there is a pretty good player Sample size obviously matters the longer this stretches on the more it seems like maybe it's not it's bad luck. Sure They're also getting Christopher and Kanku back He's a really really good player who's got a proven track record in the Bundesliga of Producing goals and that's gonna be a huge addition for them and he can really feel a need But in general if a team's just creating this many chances Just odds are they're gonna start cashing in on those chances at some point, right? so I think we we kind of ran into this a little bit last year with Newcastle and Yeah, but it's a fair question because it's starting to get to that point in a year where we're halfway through this season And it feels like maybe this is just who Chelsea are and they need a new striker, but I'm still buying into them just because of how many good changes they're creating, right? They can underperform XG while still being better than what they've done so far And I think that's kind of the key thing is like even if they're not perfect there You know, they can get better and they're they're getting better talent to it sounds like so I think though both those things beneficial Chelsea money line right now Minus 170 again implied odds that are 63 percent any other more traditional bets you're eyeing for this week Austin Yeah, so if if you didn't feel good about back in Chelsea And I have Manchester United for you probably the other most disappointing team in the league I like them to go over one and a half goals in their match against Tottenham Well, yeah, you know, we're exactly where to find these markets. It was it was a lucky guess. Believe me Kind of scroll down a little bit team goals, right? Oh, baby. I'm cooking now. We're cooking. I wish they just listed the team name instead of home team, but right So, yeah, I think that we're gonna get a lot of goals in this game It's minus 233 to go over two and a half goals and I'm particularly interested in the United side This is really mostly a bet against Tottenham's defense as much as it is me believing in United As I said earlier Tottenham have been really fun to watch the very open attack minded all the time But it's also resulted in them conceding a ton of chances through 20 league matches They've allowed 34.7 expected goals, which is the fourth most in the league They played four away matches versus teams currently in the top 11 of the table They've allowed 11 goals and 9.7 XG across those fixtures including at least two goals on every match As I said United are it's really tough to stomach back in them It's hard to feel good about it But we aren't leaning on their shoddy defense and we don't even need them to win We just need them to score two goals They racked up 2.1 XG and the match at Tottenham earlier this year Although they didn't convert their chances into a goal But I think they're gonna find a lot of joy and create plenty of chances in this home match against Tottenham And it should be a really fun match to watch as a neutral So yeah, I like their chances and at this minus 158 number Yeah, that is for them to go over one and half goals in this game against Tottenham You get to both fade the Tottenham defense and you don't have to worry about the Man United defense on their end So two two things that are pretty helpful there as far as the rooting interest in this game What about player props? Were you seeing value there across this first half of match week 21 Austin? So I'm gonna go back to the Chelsea match It's a player we've gone to a couple times last time I was on here is we backed Cole Palmer to score or assist in the Canes, but he actually scored and assisted just pretty sweet. We're gonna go back to him again As we already talked about I like Chelsea a lot on Saturday versus Portland They're minus 175 to go over one and a half goals. So odds makers like him To Palmer he really just checked so many boxes for this market For one, he's been really good this season. He's got eight goals and four assists and 12 starts He's also been their first choice penalty taker and he handles some corner duties, too So that gives him a handful of ways to not to go or assist In a match where Chelsea is probably gonna create a lot of chances. I'm jumping at Palmer to score at plus 120 This is actually my favorite bet of the weekend Unfortunately as we've talked about before I Would like to wait and to see that he's in the parting lineup this matches at 7 30 on Saturday morning Eastern time So that will be the lineup will be out at 6 30 Eastern time I think it's pretty likely that he starts so you can roll the dice on it if you want But I've got two young kids. I'm gonna be up. So You'll be up with like three hours before a line even out. Yeah, yeah, it's yeah, so That's that's the big negative with this, but like I said, I think he's probably gonna start So I think it's it would I would be willing to roll the dice on it If there's just no way you can be up at 6 30 Yeah, that number is plus 120 for Cole Palmer to score assist going back to the Chelsea money line You discussed you mentioned in cunku as being a guy who would like Potentially be a catalyst for the regression on their other the gap between their production and xg and cunku is minus 150 To score or assist in this game. I think that kind of also backs up your previous point But Palmer's the guy Austin was eyeing to score or assist in that game. Alrighty That is Austin cast make sure you check him out on Twitter at Austin cast find his work at Fandall research Where he is an editor for us there Austin appreciates you as always good luck this weekend We'll talk to you once again next week for the other half of match week 21 sounds good. Thank you very much Alrighty big. Thank you once again to Austin find him on Twitter at Austin cast You can have also find JJ Zach a recent on Twitter at late round qb That is all that we have here for today In this entire week on covering the spread we're back with you once again Monday to break down the eagles versus Bucks matchup with ryan williams to get that as it is posted make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread Wherever you get your podcast you can also find us on the fandall youtube page and fandall tv Plus go back there to find as well our full preview wild card weekend with dr Ed fang if you got any questions for me I am on twitter at jim sonnis you can find me on threads at jim dot sonnis And you can find fandall research on twitter at fandall research I want to thank you all for tuning in for today enjoy the football this weekend We'll talk to you once again Monday to get you set for the final game of the wild card round This has been covering the spread right here on the fandall podcast network