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Dr. Scott Armstrong on Climate Forecasting - Part I

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Uploaded on Sep 14, 2007

Dr. Scott Armstrong, a leading expert on forecasting with the Wharton School at University of Pennsylvania, has challenged Al Gore to a bet. He bets that the "naive model" of no change will outperform the climate model forecasts over the next ten years. Armstrong argues that the model-based climate predictions of the IPCC are "forecasts by scientists rather than scientific forecasts."

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