 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network We can only hope that the rest of week 14 exceeds expectations by as much as Thursday night football did with it going like 25% over the total in that game 39 total points scored for Steelers and Patriots so the bar has been set high for week 14 We're gonna break down the rest of my prop betting perspective today with Tom Vecchio picking his brain on prayer player props at Fandall sports book Getting his favorites there then we'll wrap things up by talking to Austin cast about match week 15 in the EPL This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as mentioned by Tom Vecchio Check him out on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio one You can find his work here on Fandall research and of course on covering the spread with prime time Tom as well Tom Pleasure to have you on here for today. How you doing? I'm doing good. Thanks for having me back. Yeah, I would say a better game than a lot of people expected last night for Pat Steelers Decent amount of points scored. I think this week for the Sunday slate I think is probably one of the most difficult or the most difficult week I've seen from a player prop perspective, but I'm ready to go Hey difficult waters call for top-level experts So if we can't have JJ we got to get Tom in here to break it all down for us We're gonna do that here throughout the show for today And as mentioned we'll talk to Austin Cass later on about the EPL But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcasts on that podcast Me tomorrow morning, you will find Tom's breakdown of Eagles versus Cowboys from a prop betting perspective You can find that right here on the covering the spread podcast be tomorrow morning and Over on Fandall TV plus to get Fandall TV plus go to fandall comm slash watch and log into their Fandall account You can watch up and Adams run it back You can watch covering the spread the heat check NFL shows and the daily ISO all in the same place on Fandall TV plus also on Amazon Fire Apple TV and Roku devices Now Tom, let's begin things here by talking about things more of a top-down perspective because We talked about this at Ed on yesterday's show But there are a lot of gains with low totals for this week and as we saw last night not all low total games Stooped to that level necessarily, but it does impact things for betting props So when you look at gains of low totals, how are you altering things from a process perspective for props specifically? I mean, that's that's one of the main things You know starting off like which game environments are going to enable X Y and Z when it comes to players production I and I think specifically this week a lot of the low totals They're also dictated a little bit by weather, which I think is a massive thing and I always have said on on various podcasts I'm not a meteorologist. I will always look for help in those certain areas. I follow Kevin Roth You know, he's been providing weather advice for many years in the DFS embedding industry So I look to him and I think the low total is have to be a starting point And when I said this is one of the tougher weeks, you know, if we look at the Texans Jets game for example CJ Stroud has been amazing Right and and there's not enough we could say about how good he has been and there's weather necking It's also a very difficult matchup in terms of the passing So I I think that's what we're dealing with this week is we have a lot of low totals And we have a lot of great players in really tough matchups or we have low totals with okay matchups But players that aren't consistent So the low totals obviously aren't very encouraging, but there are a few areas I think that we can go where the low totals actually makes sense in terms of targeting unders on certain props Right, and I think that part of it is asking why the total is low Like is it low because of weather like you said with the the Texans Jets game? Wind speeds right now for that game are at nine miles per hour But there's also rain in the forecast kind of the same thing with the Baltimore LA game I think that one is kind of overreacted to weather. It's gonna rain Wind speeds there 13 miles per hour, but I do still like the over at 40 and a half So it's kind of asking, you know Not only is the total low, but also why is it low? Is it bad quarterback play? Is it pace? Is it weather? Whatever it may be and I think that that does dictate a lot of stuff when it comes to deciding how to handle things there And unfortunately Tom for you this week. There are a lot of different answers for why the totals are low Right and it's like you said, it's not just one thing We can't just and I and this something I always say is like we want to incorporate as much as possible And then figure out what actually matters. Is it injuries? Is it weather? Is it starting quarterbacks? Is it potential pace play like whatever it is? And like we can add everything and then we can subtract what we don't need so some games It's clearly not whether some games It's clearly the bad quarterback play and then you just have to I guess parse through that and decide what's actually important All right So let's do that now Tom talk about some situations that may be in flux right now looking across the league a lot of situations that are kind of up in the air whether be to roll changes injuries, whatever it may be and we can look to those Situations and trying to find value in props. So any fluid situations you're digging into in week number 14 Tom for once those props are eventually posted Fandall sportsbook. Yeah, there's there's one that's posted and that's with the Kansas City Chiefs and I say with Checo has not been practicing this week. I think it's a Obviously a pretty bad indication for their potential running game Personally, I don't think CEH is a good running back that's just me and If Pacheco is a not good to go or be not fully healthy I think this just means more Patrick Mahomes and that and that I very clear again this and this is also like under my Assumption or my opinion that CEH is not a good runner So they're just gonna have to turn to the passing game time and time again So it's not like we're looking. Okay x receive x running back is out there for we go to y running back It's like no the running back is out. We're not fully healthy. That just means we're going to more of the passing key So Mahomes over 261 and a half Would be the spot that I would go based on what I think could be a potential shootout I also think the bill's defense has been clearly Overrated this year. They have not been as good as they have been in years past So I want to focus on Pacheco and that just means more Mahomes eventually Yeah, and we saw you seen this a lot with teams before I think the big example for me was the Texans when Damon Pierce got hurt initially They leaned heavily into the past that first game in part because the match was tough on the ground I think I don't recall what team they're facing that first week But they faced the Bengals next week and they were willing to run then but like the first game out the gates They just went very past heavy I think that was the Buccaneers game where Stroud had like five touchdowns like they were willing to throw because there was no Pierce you could see the same thing here and I think we've seen some slightly improved chemistry between Mahomes and Rishi Rice that could boost their confidence and passing and also wins beats here pretty reasonable seven miles per hour So I think that makes a lot of sense in terms of getting to Mahomes over to 61 and a half which is minus 114 right now if into a sportsbook Right and obviously not every situation is the same we we obviously should note Yes, like you said the cheese passing offense has been a little bit up and down this year not as consistent But this is a matchup where yeah, they're gonna have to spread the ball around a lot and it's gonna be a little bit of Kelsey It's not gonna be as much as we've seen potentially in years past But if Rice can step up a little bit Watson, you know has some up and down weeks But at least they're targeting him the ball a little bit downfield like get these players involved if they're gonna be ineffective on the ground Okay, so a fun game there any other situations you're zeroing in on Tom Yeah, it would be with Austin Eckler with the chargers and you know I'm shifter tweeted out the story the other day about you know, the quotes about you're gonna have a competition for carries at running back For the chargers a their offense hasn't been good, you know B Eckler outside of week one like he has not looked amazing. He's been very ineffective on the ground So I actually grabbed some props yesterday right after shifter tweeted that and I got Eckler under 52 and a half Rushing yards that number has changed really across the industry no matter we look I took under on his receiving props I took under on his combined Rushing plus receiving. I also took an alt under on I believe got under 40 rushing yards for him. So Listen, I understand Kelly hasn't been the most effective Even when he's on the field and he's absolutely his snaps are very limited his touches very limited But Eckler even when he's been on the field for the majority snaps. He still hasn't been great, right? So if they're gonna be taking even just a few touches away from him in the passing and rushing game Everything is pointing towards the under and listen. Yes. I understand the match up versus the Broncos is what it is But I'm still not buying into Eckler being like exploding for another hundred-yard game She hasn't had since week one, right last week I think the fact that Eckler's role decreased kind of got masked by the fact that he out carried Kelly 14 to 6 But Eckler snap rate in that game is 57 percent. That was his lowest since week seven Which was the second game back off of that ankle injury. So It was a legitimate role reduction already last week and now they're saying, you know, maybe they get Isaiah Spiller more involved I wouldn't be shocked by that because Kelly has struggled and like I Think it'd be similar to me to like a Chase Brown situation where Chase Brown and Monday for the Bengals got some worker Noidowns as a runner. They didn't trust him to the pass block didn't trust her on rounds But like they trusted him to one. So I would say like I Would really doubt we ever see an Isaiah Spiller rush attempt prop Like I don't think a book would post that but like you get a miracle and like you can get some action on Spiller Maybe even any time touchdown is kind of tough for me to talk myself into just because like I don't know if they'd trust him in that Situation but like I think he could be used similar to Brown in that they could mix him in because you're right Kelly's been bad But like it's very clear what they've been doing hasn't been working So might as well try Spiller and kind of see what happens, right? And listen, I don't know what's gonna happen with the coaching staff for next year. I don't think it's I think we know Yeah, it's probably not gonna be in the same thoughts, but yeah, why not get him involved and and frankly like Eckler even when he's out there even when he's breaking off some runs like he doesn't look like himself He doesn't that's what he looks his worst when he breaks off right He doesn't look explosive. He doesn't look like he has that that sharp cutting quick cutting So I think it's all about like Eckler unders this week. Yeah, I'm on board with that as well What and I think that effectiveness wise especially that's where we're looking at the unders for sure Okay, any yardage props you're digging right now over at Fandall Sportsbook, Tom So I'm starting off with one that you said I Guess it's the Bravins and it's Lamar under and you said that the it was maybe a too much for an overreaction, but It's underpassing Okay, you know from what I'm seeing with Roth and the wind speeds we'd have to double check this But he has posted that it we could be seeing winds around 15 with gusts over 20 That's what I'm seeing it whatever you looked at. I think he said 13 13 is like the sustained. Yeah, okay, so I'm factoring that in there's gonna be some rain. How much rain obviously is yet to be fully determined, but If there's gonna be an issue with passing the ball We already look at the Ravens and they come in with a 48.75 past play percent It's the lowest in the league and the Mars only been over this number in I've been under this number I should say under 197 half and under three of his last five So to see them rush the ball at a very high rate would not be surprising if we have a little bit of extra wind If there's rain Lamar is also dealing with an illness on the practice report Which is not Mars being system is the worst, right, which is I'm gonna say is actually pretty common for him So I'm adding all these things up and saying okay There's going to be some amount of wind some amount of rain for a team that does not pass the ball at a super high rate Or I'm not even saying it didn't pass at a league average rate through the lowest in the so in to me It leans towards Lamar under That's where I would be initially yelling I think the passing yard aspect makes sense taken under I was more talking about the game total at four and a half Like I have the wind in my model and it knows it's 13 miles per hour and like, you know Roth is the actual meteorologist. I'm using weather underground to like, you know find out what the wind speed will be but like When you put in 13 mile per hour winds I get a total around 44 for this game and it gets me a win on a key number of 41 So like I don't think it's necessarily contradictory for you to like be under on the passing yardage Me to like be over on the game total just because this total is pretty low where it sits right now And that number for LeVar is not outlandishly Low either so I think that both of those could work in constitute that doesn't make a ton of sense intuitively, right So another one I have for that same game would actually be Kyron Williams over 16 and a half rushing attempts And if I'm under the same assumption that the wind's going to play a factor Again, this doesn't again. Lea said doesn't necessarily correlate with the total scoring It's just more about what the game flow i'm expecting And I think they're going to feed him the attempts and I understand the the ravens. They're they're solid against the run They're also, you know I'm not going to say a team i'm worried about but I also think McVeigh is just going to run the ball time and time again Because that's what he does with Kyron Williams out there So over 16 and a half rushing attempts is a spot that would go because ultimately I don't care about the efficiency in terms of racking up yards against what i'm going to say is a relatively solid rush defense But him pushing that just because they have to and they may not be able to pass the ball deep Because of the external weather factors I think is a spot that he can get to Even if he only has like 60 yards or 50 yards on or whatever it is Right Kyron again over 16 and a half rushing yards minus 114 right now at Fandle Sportsbook. I also think that Gus Edwards, Keaton Mitchell the way that they mesh together is pretty interesting because before the bi-week We did see Keaton Mitchell inch up Nine carries for him there Gus Edwards at eight and that's right where their props are at right now with Mitchell being Lowered eight and a half And Edwards at nine and a half they're juiced the same you know the the right direction So you're paying a tax to bet on Mitchell's role expanding But did at least catch my attention to see those numbers down there towards the bottom of the screen Any other yardage props tom or do you want to transition over to touchdown props soon touchdown prop? Okay, what you see in there as far as value this week I like Jameer Gibbs for a touchdown at plus 150 and the Bears are obviously super solid against the rush this year, but they're actually terrible against running backs in the passing game They've allowed a 713 receiving arts and running backs That's the most in the league and they've allowed five passing touchdowns to running backs That's time for the second most in the league. So we have the Lions who have a solid and plight team total their favorites on the road Yes, we obviously have to deal with this split with Montgomery there and Montgomery still sees the majority of Of the snaps and he's gonna be the red zone rushing back, you know, whatever it might be But Gibbs at plus 150 combined with the matchup in the receiving game combined with their team total I think does present a good bit of value this week This is another game where we've actually in the weather improved throughout the week Wind speeds initially in Chicago were I think 18 miles per hour and they've now decreased The projection is 11 miles per hour. So that's better for like an overall scoring environment I've got this total of 44.8 personally. So a bit above where it's at at 43 and a half So that's a conducive as well. And we talked about that past catching Inefficiency for the the Bears defense on our DFS show yesterday too. So like, you know aligned in that regard And Gibbs does have a pretty good red zone role still in the game since Montgomery came back He has 30.4 of the team's red zone carries or targets So he's still involved in close even if Montgomery does take a 32 share himself So I really think that's a pretty fun way to go at this Gibbs plus 150 I'm not opposed to that at all personally either Right and the weather like you said is improved. I wasn't expecting Like I'm not expecting golf. I know he struggles on the road a little bit and I want to get into a golf debate with you, but It's very wise Right. I like to me when I'm looking at the weather, okay, okay They may not be pushing into super far downfield We know that Gibbs is going to be there for these check downs So that's where this path opens up and the Bears are already not stopping Running backs beginning to begin with in the passing game the quick check downs for Gibbs will be there Hopefully he breaks off a tackle and finds his way into the end zone. Yeah golf outdoor games do make me uncomfy So, um, like as a golf truther, uh, my my dear son I want to protect him at all costs and they do make me very uncomfy So there is that for sure anything else time before we close up shop for today Uh, no, I got I'm big on my homes. That's probably one of my that's trending up is one of my favorites if Pacheco is out. They're not going to run the ball A they're not going to run it at a high volume with c asian b He's not going to be effective if they do so. Well, I do need I do need pacheco to play for dynasty so slight request like we can still get my homes there But hopefully via pacheco as opposed to pacheco sitting, you know, we can both be happy at the same time I think That is tom vechio. Make sure you check him out on twitter at tom underscore vechio one find him right back here again On saturday morning prime time tom breaking down to the cowboys versus the eagles tom. I'm looking forward to that Uh, pleasure to have you on once again for today and have a fantastic weekend. Thanks for having me Alrighty, we're gonna talk some soccer with austin cast here in just one second to get you ready for e pl match week Number 15 but first score early this nfl season with fan duel america's number one sports book right now new customers Get 150 dollars in bonus bets with any winning five dollar moneyline bet That's 150 bucks if your team wins if you've been thinking about joining fan duel There is no better time to get in on the action. The app is so easy to use There is a wide range of betting options including spreads player props totals and more so visit fan duel and kick off the nfl season Fan duel official partner of the nfl must be 21 plus at president select states Fan duel is offering online sports wagering in kansas under an agreement with kansas star casino llc first online real mini wager only Five dollar pregame moneyline wager required ten dollar first deposit required Bonus issued is now a drop of bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat See terms at sportsbook dot fan duel dot com gambling problem call 1800 gambler or visit fan duel dot com slash rg in colorado iowa michigan new jersey ohio pennsylvania illinois kentucky tennessee and virginia Call 1800 next step or text next step to five three three four two in arizona one eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit ccpg dot org slash jack netiquette 1809 with it in indiana 1805 222 4700 to visit ks gambling health dot com at kansas 18077 770 stop in louisiana visit md gambling health at organ maryland 1800 gambler dot net in west virginia 1805 222 4700 wyoming hope is here visit gambling helpline ma.org or call you hundred three two seven 50 50 for 24 seven support in massachusetts or call 1807 70 open y or text open y in new york Next up. Let's talk some soccer and austin Again, you're setting the bar too high for yourself. This is austin cast you can find him on twitter at austin cast find his work over at Fandal research austin we have you. You know, we can't be on the show for welx We got a lot of football stuff going on We get you back on last week and you go three and oh and then go four No, if you count the neil ma pay one because he said hey if he starts he's even money for any time uh to score or assist and so like austin chill out man like just like Set the bar lower come in a little bit, you know moderate go three and one whatever it may be and then build yourself up So I feel like you've ruined it already for yourself. How you doing today? Yeah, hey, I'm doing a while high region. I am great. I appreciate the insights from last week It was a lot of fun Let's see if we can run it back once again for this week now We're gonna talk about the matches across this weekend in a second first I want to talk to you more holistically and I think I've picked your brain on this before But when we're talking about this before we're talking about like non epl matches but this week there were a lot of midweek epl matches and You know, I think that rest matters a lot Because soccer is a very difficult sport to play So I wanted to ask you do we need to make any adjustments? when we have matches during the week or Are these players so used to playing matches midweek across the various leagues they play in that They're used to this sort short of a turnaround I think fixture congestion is definitely a factor The playing field is a little more level this week because all the premier league teams played midweek Sometimes it's just teams who are on European competitions So there would be a situation where a team's had a week off while their opponent had just played three days ago Which obviously is an advantage um I also think travel something to consider. I think that I know that's a factor for you with Other sports and it's not as big of a factor with soccer because of how the domestic leagues work compared to how we do it Here, I guess ours are domestic leagues as well. Just a lot bigger country bigger Yeah So yeah, sometimes with teams playing so many matches in a short amount of time managers will opt to rotate their squads Give players a little more rest than usual during this month. Um, this is definitely the biggest Busiest stretch december for the premier league with the holiday season. They're like festive calendar. They play a lot of games here these next few weeks typically osmakers react very quickly to Unexpected team news or they have knowledge of it before everybody else does But the biggest impact for me is with betting player props with scrawl rotation being more prevalent I like to wait until I see the starting lineup before I place the prop Uh, not every sports because of same rules But for the most part if you place a prop today on one of saturday's matches and the player isn't starting The the prop will Be live if that player gets any sort of game time at all. So maybe five to ten minutes If he doesn't play at all and doesn't get on the field then it's usually voided But yeah, you just don't want to be stuck in a situation where you need someone to score and they play five minutes And I think that with a lot of these markets at least based on what I've seen It seems like they operate under the assumption these guys will start or most of them if they're like an assumed starter So like you're not going to be getting Significantly worse odds if you wait like yes, there could be a situation where Sharp bettors are on that person beforehand and they move the market But it sounds like to you that trade off of potentially getting a slightly worse number is worth it in order to ensure You're not using a guy who could be a a late match sub and not play a ton of minutes Yep, absolutely. You nailed it. I think you mentioned ma pay Earlier, he's a perfect example of that doesn't always start But they add him priced as if he was going to start in a striker role So there really wasn't much advantage there Okay, so let's transition now and talk about some games here across saturday and sunday full 10 games Across the two days for the epl anything stand out to you and the traditional markets to kick things off So I want exposure to main chester city for their match at luten town, which is sunday at 9 a.m I think the best way to to bet that match is to take luten to go under 0.5 goals, which was priced at minus 130 Um Yeah, you'll find if you keep scrolling down there. They're the home team. So I know it gets tricky There's a lot of markets. Yeah so Man City are in a funk right now They've gone without a win four straight league matches and they just got handled by aston villa on wednesday in a way You just rarely see this city side lose With villa sustaining attacks, especially in the second half Villa amassed 2.3 expected goals to city 0.6 According to fb or f6 expected goals model You really that just doesn't happen to cities they they lose games for sure sometimes but It's usually teams hitting them on the counter Or let's city make a mistake at the back or something. This was just villa doing to city what city do to everybody else So given the results liver pearl and arsenal have been getting city Really need to write the ship as soon as possible. And I think we see an angry city side take out some frustration luten town on sunday luten just put up a fight against arsenal midweek Losing four to three But that scoreline flattered luten quite a bit as they lost the xg battle 2.2 to 0.5 They really struggle in attack. They haven't totaled at least 1.0 expected goal in any of their last six matches despite getting shut out only once in that span So they're due for negative regression in the goal department. They're getting city what I think is a really bad time and When putt barrio sides desperate to make a statement And rodry who's sitting who is city's uh holding midfielder And they've lost four the last four matches that he hasn't played. He's going to be back for this game So I think we see city dominate possession and luten get very few chances in this game So as opposed to having impactful players sit man city is getting an impactful player back for this this match It sounds like yeah, yeah, rodry plays a big role for them in the style that pepcardiola's teams like to play and Like I said, they haven't won in any of the last four matches that he's missed, which is a pretty crazy statistic Yeah, uh luten town under zero and a half goals is minus 130 right now fandall sportsbook We you talked about, you know fading man city and like the outright markets entering the year and that's that's worked out well for you They're now are on even money What's what's up, you know, what's what's kind of gone off with them so far this year Yeah, I don't know if you want to like head down narrative street. They just Won in trouble last year, which means they won the premier league a domestic cup and the champions league Extremely rare and unbelievable achievements and maybe they've taken their foot off the gas a little bit Uh, they've lost what I thought I just think their squad depth in general isn't as good this year as it's been in previous years and they Just play a more defensive style than what they've used to early Holland is an amazing player probably the best tracker in the world I think even last year, which was his first year on the team They took a step back from the previous year just by most expected goal metrics in attack And I think he maybe has made them more efficient but It's made them a little more boring and then then what they used to be just to watch from a neutral perspective so I think it's just a few factors. They're probably a little complacent maybe and As you mentioned they're even money to win the league now and I think that's gotten to a point where If you just follow the rule of any time city or like Even money to win the league just that heavy on them. You'd have done pretty well because This sort of thing happened last year. Yeah, and they ended up riding the ship and winning the league As you called on this show again Bring it back to austin setting expectations too high. So let's let's bring it back to that. Yeah, and like It's it is interesting to see this happen, but also like we're Talking like the scholars this guy is falling for a team that's still 50 odds to to win the whole thing So they'll probably ride the ship eventually especially as things get healthier for them any other traditional market bets You're eyeing for saturday and sunday austin So yeah, the the other one I like is also on sunday. It's in the tottenham newcastle match I'm taking spurs to win at plus 110 So this is this is a really big match for both teams That these two and astin villa as of right now are the teams battling for fourth place, which is Possibly the last champions league spot. There's a chance fifth place also gets in but i'm not going to get into all that right now Uh To be honest tottenham's expected goal numbers aren't all that good this year And they just lost at home yesterday the west hand But this is mostly a bet on spurs high energy Pressing style being able to overwhelm a newcastle side that's been decimated by injuries and is running on fumes Due to qualifying for the champions league this year newcastle have had some added fixtures on their schedule That coupled with a long injury list is starting to take a pretty big toll on eddie house side Their lack of depth has gotten to the point where they've played in four matches in the in an 11 day span And they used the same starting line up in every match Every team yesterday all seemed to catch up to them They conceded three times in the second half and the 3-0 loss And every team deserved every bit of the three goals as they recorded 3.6 expected goals So I think tottenham's pressing style Is really tough to play against for for everybody Even when teams are fully fit and rested and I think That newcastle Might get overwhelmed a bit On sat on sunday. Sorry against tottenham. So I like tottenham to win Tottenham's money line is plus 110 right now fandals sportsbook. I was on twitter yesterday and patty power Tweeted out a meme. It's a it's a uk meme that I didn't understand But it was like a young fresh-looking man saying Newcastle at home And then it was like him kind of disheveled and it said newcastle on the road Do you agree with the patty power which is a phenomenal twitter account by the way Do you agree with their assessment that newcastle just shrivels up when they're on the road? I don't know if I'd say that by results. This definitely happened and you're right patty power is like truly a twitter account, but um Yeah, I I think it's more The injuries they things have been really bad Like just just crazy bad for them And then in the past week Nick Pope their goalie dislocated shoulder. He's out up to four months. I think and then Yesterday's game jamala cells who's a backup center back who's been playing He kind of limped off with an injury as well They really just have no depth and it's the worst time of the year for them to run into that And they've got a huge champions league game on either tuesday or wednesday They've got a chance to get out of their group. So That would be a massive achievement for them So there might even be a chance that they feel a weakened lineup on sunday I doubt it with how big this game is for the top four, but I just think they're running on fumes. They're trying to get to january When they can make some transfers and add some depth to the team Just trying to keep their head above water until then and they're slowly sinking Well, newcastle's been good to us this year. So it's it's sad to to turn on them now, but Tottenham plus 110 is where awesome is turning there. What about player props? What are you seeing across this weekend there, Austin? My favorite player prop is in saturday's bernley brighton game I like kairu metoma to score or assist, which I believe is minus 110 Metoma is the danger man for brighton. He's a really fun entertaining player to watch He's got three goals and four assists over 11 league starts He's actually in a bit of a goal scoring grout right now But this is a great spot for him to snap out of it and despite The goal scoring drought. He's still been very good Once you pop the hood and look at some of his Expected goals and expected assist metrics. He's been credited with 22 Shot creating actions over his last last six starts in all competitions per fb rep He was excellent midweek against rentford logging four shot creating actions and two goal creating actions and round to an assist I think he can thrive against a bernley side that's below average defensively This match is minus 173 to go over two and a half goals. So it should be Fairly open game. So I like him to score or assist on saturday Yeah metoma now minus 105 to score or assist a slightly better price there on metoma than previously, which is uh good news for us So minus 105 on metoma in the brighton versus bernley match That is austin cast once again, you can find him on twitter at austin cast find his work over at fandor research as well Austin a delight to have you on the show I will not hold you to keeping up the undefeated streak here Do not worry about that, but I appreciate you having uh coming on as always and have a fantastic weekend Thank you. Jim you too appreciate it. Alrighty find austin cast on twitter at austin cast And that is all that we have here for today on the show want to thank tom vechio once again For swinging by find tom on twitter at tom underscore vechio one I am on twitter at jim sonnis. You can find me on threads at jim dot sonnis and you can find fandor research on twitter At fandor research reminder tom is back with you once again tomorrow breaking down Cowboys and eagles on the covering the spread podcast feed and on fandor tv Plus our breakdown in full of nfl week 14 with dr Ed fang is up on the covering the spread podcast feed the fandor youtube page and fandor tv plus as well Want to thank you all for tuning in throughout this week. Have a fantastic weekend. Good luck to you with your bets We'll talk to you once again on monday to get you ready for a two game slate on monday night football This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network