 What is going on everybody, it's Stas here and in this video we're going to be talking about and breaking down the top couple of stocks and ETFs that I'm personally watching and looking to trade here heading into the first full week of November in 2019. I also want to break down with you all what the stock market futures are looking like right now because they opened up about 50 minutes ago here at 6 p.m. Eastern Standard and I also want to break down what the market in terms of the S&P did last week so we can kind of see and kind of project the technicals to get a better understanding of what could potentially happen in this upcoming week. I also want to talk to you guys about like you read in the title, natural gas guys because it saw yet again another pop-up today, another gap up of around 3% at the time that I'm recording this video which is pretty crazy, right? 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So without further ado, let's just get right into it here, taking a look at the S&P. This past Friday we did very, very well, up $29.35 up 1%. So I kind of want to see what was the performance of the S&P in the past five days which was last week. What we can see here, we were kind of trading between 3027 which was once an all time high, that was the kind of the support that we were holding and the resistance was at about 3048, 3050. So for the first four days of the trading session or the trading week, we were kind of in this horizontal channel trading between 3027, 3045, 3050, not really moving too much but then on Friday we got that Good Jobs report, I believe it was 118,000 jobs in the month of October, correct me if I'm wrong but that sprung the market up as you guys can see, very bullish move here, ended up gapping above 3048 and now we're riding that 50 S&P running up to all time highs and we closed very strongly at the last couple minutes into the bell on Friday at about 3066. So the fact that we broke out of 3050, we're holding that 50 S&P on the five day five minute and we closed very aggressively to the upside, I think that is extremely bullish for the S&P and I honestly believe guys that in the short term this market has a lot more to run, maybe not a lot more to run but I think it can definitely continue to run here in the short term and let's say maybe we see a pullback right as you guys can see by this arrow, it would be healthy right because the markets have been running up so crazily recently so if it cools down, watch to see where it finds support whether it's 3050 which is an old resistance you know it could potentially hold that as a new support right or maybe it sells off from there and maybe find support on the 50 S&A but then again guys you know the 50 S&A will probably be somewhere here tomorrow so then again if we pull down we might hold 3050 which will be right at that 50 S&A so overall you know very very clear that 3050 is the support that you want to keep an eye on so let's take a look at these futures now and again they open up at 6 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on Sunday and the futures right now they're up $4.50, nothing too crazy up about 0.15% kind of just continuing that strong close that we saw on Friday and these are the E-mini S&P futures slash ES is the ticker for those of you guys that do want to put this into your thinkorswim platform or whatever charting software that you use so up $4.50 the fact that we are gapping up green here that's a good sign so what I'm interested in seeing is will this hold into tomorrow's session if it does right in the morning especially we could definitely be running up in the morning I think that is possible so taking a look at slash NQ which is the NASDAQ the NASDAQ futures these are currently continuing their run-up as well up 16 points right now up 0.2% so I'd wait and see tomorrow morning what are we doing if these futures are pulling down we may be selling off to about 81.60 this could be a potential dip by if you're into trading an ETF such as TQQQ which goes up whenever the NASDAQ goes up right and I think if we pull down hold that level TQQQ could definitely be an interesting entry especially if you're into trading ETFs that trade based upon the NASDAQ right so that's kind of what I'm looking at there nothing crazy again guys we've seen gap updates where the futures are up like literally 2% so if we see something like 0.1% it's kind of like okay you shrug it off and you wait until the next day right but we can see here Dow Jones 44 points in the green right now up 0.16% and yeah nothing really much to say I just keep an eye on these futures tomorrow like I always say in these videos you know heading into the market open what are large caps are doing you know what stocks are reporting earnings you know in this case during earnings season you know these are some things that could fluctuate the markets in general so without talking anymore about these overall markets let's get into the bread and butter the meat and potatoes of the video what am I looking to trade guys you guys saw in the title natural gas ridiculous gap up right and for those of you guys that don't know I'm actually in UNG calls right now that expire I believe uh crap when do they expire I believe the 29th of November 21 bucks was my strike price so I'm already in the money right now I'm up like I forget in terms of percentage but you know with natural gas gapping up as aggressively as it is right now I should wake up to a pretty sweet little push up there and those UNG calls and for all of you that held you guys over the weekend you're most likely if this holds you're most likely going to wake up pretty green tomorrow right and let's break down some technicals that I'm looking at here on natural gas and we could see up eight cents up three percent up to two dollars and eighty cents at one point a couple minutes ago like 10 20 minutes ago before I recorded this video started recording this video these were up to 280 something right so this is a ridiculous gap up let's pull up that one-year one-day chart and kind of zoom in a bit here to see what we're working with so these levels that you guys see these lines are previous supports and previous resistances now that we've broken above literally every single one right we gapped up above 270 we just gapped up above the next level which is 280 now we have to draw out some new levels to see hey where could natural gas potentially be going here in the short term and based on this level right here guys you know we could be in store for a potential eight to ten cent gap up here if we fill the gap up to the next level which again is about 288 to 290 this is something that could very well happen with how bullish natural gas has been here over the past couple of weeks but let me explain to you what I think could potentially happen here and what I kind of want to happen here right so you can see now let me switch my tools very quickly but you can see now that natural gas is a bit overbought right our size overbought again we gapped up above 280 now ideally what I'd like to see you know if we pull down and maybe hold 276 277 which is about three four cents below from where we are right now right if we pull down there and maybe see a pull down in the RSI to a healthier spot maybe like 60 bucks or not 60 bucks like 55 to 60 area on the RSI this could be a nice little dip on natural gas where if we can time it correctly tomorrow heading into the market open if this kind of pans out if it doesn't make the move pre-market or something which it does do that sometimes and we miss out on the move but if this move is made in the morning right we get a pull down maybe 275 maybe even down to 272 again that'd be kind of nice right if we get any sort of pullback we find some sort of support what we can do is hop into you gas which goes up whenever natural gas is going up at a dip price right because at this point if we go to that one hour chart guys this thing might be gapping up to 1830 at least tomorrow right even above that so if we break above that maybe pull down 1830 maybe 1775 that could be the dip entry that we want on you guys and again if natural gas finds that bottom somewhere and starts to truck back up that's if it pulls back right let's say it doesn't even pull back which is possible as well let's say we just simply run up and just continue running up maybe we can find a momentum play from 280 to 288 and trade you guys that way so at this point again i'm in ung calls so i'm probably going to be up nice on those tomorrow i'm not planning on selling those tomorrow we'll see how that goes but in terms of you guys i'd just be very patient at this point see what it does because again it's overbought maybe we pull down get a better entry i definitely wouldn't get like a case of FOMO here and just hop in right away when the market opens i think that's a bit risky i want to wait and see you know if it fiddles out if i was already in you guys um you know uh this past friday let's say for example i'd definitely be taking profits tomorrow but yeah i'm just playing it by ear seeing what happens that's kind of my goal right now on natural gas and you guys so the next stock i want to talk about is paypal pypl so paypal visa both of these companies they're not really um um uh i guess you can say they're correlated they're similar companies and they both reported earnings and both of them are in an interesting spot right visas and in an interesting spot you know if it breaks above 180 but what i like about paypal more than visa is it has a lot more room to run in my opinion based on previous resistances right if we just draw out some levels here guys to get an understanding of where this thing may be going you know 111 is a level that i'm looking at right 113 114 ish is a level i'm looking at as well 117 is another level and of course that rough area of the all-time high 122 that's another level that i'm looking at and one thing that's good about paypal now is again they reported good earnings we're breaking out of these moving average resistances both the 180 and the 50 sma and now we're actually at a little dip point where if we end up holding this point where we are right now which you can see it's on top of the moving averages as a support level this could be the higher low that we need before we end up launching up to that higher high and maybe doing something like this to potentially test that 110 to 111 range that's kind of what i'm hoping paypal does here and based about you know based on these technicals we're slowly we slowly are getting that bullish cross which is the 50 sma crossing above the 180 sma so i'd watch out for this guys um you know especially for a potential fill up to 110 i believe that is definitely possible here in the short term i'm talking about one to two weeks here let's say you want to hold it longer as a swing trade you know an entry level here i think is great and maybe trimming profits at 110 trimming more profits at 114 you know probably selling the entire position at 116 to 122 that's kind of how i'd view it if i was looking to long term um swing trade this but overall paypal right now guys i'm loving it roku is the next one that i'm watching here and actually i think a subscriber ended up commenting this one on the video last week for me to talk about and honestly roku as well as Shopify these two stocks guys i believe they're they've got to be two of the hottest stocks in the stock market at this point that you know these stocks are just running like they shouldn't be running this much it's insane but they are running this much right that's the beauty of the stock market nowadays right this stock went from 48 bucks to 176 in the matter of six months you got to ask yourself like did the business really change this much from 47 to 176 for it to warrant this kind of valuation of course not right this is just running up on hype right just like a lot of stocks nowadays are and then boom it crashed down nearly 76 bucks you know fell down all the way to 100 bucks found support there which was good broke above 110 115 broke above 130 right and now we're above levels that we haven't been at over the past couple of weeks right since about the beginnings of the middle of september so this pull down here is looking pretty attractive to me especially if we hold the 142 level sure we might pull down a bit hold 142 maybe even hold that 50 sma and what is that going to do guys that's going to provide us a dip opportunity of around 8 percent to that previous high at around 150 so ideally now um oh crap they are reporting earnings so that's going to now man that's going to change up a lot of things so i'm probably not hopping into this before earnings um there's no chance because this is a very volatile stock last time they reported earnings they shot up well um well above 20 percent it seems like holy smokes that's a huge move if you got in before earnings guys last period you probably made a killing but don't expect it to do that every time right which is why me not hopping in before earnings but ideally i'd like to get a dip and hopefully a good earnings and get in after earnings if i don't miss the move that's kind of the goal here on roku but ultimately a dip on the 50 sma 4 hour chart is looking attractive so pg is another one i'm watching guys proctor and gamble ticker symbol pg this one's kind of been chilling at around 123 to 124 bucks quite nicely and i personally think this one's due for a breakout if it holds this level that i just drew out right around 123 122 and it also holds that 50 sma which is this green line on the 4 hour chart and let me tell you why i think that right because last time well really there wasn't a last time since we are at all-time highs but it seems like last time we reported earnings and i've talked about this in the videos before and the earnings were good the stock you know was kind of in a weird spot up down up down but all overall it found its way higher right it's found its way higher and to all-time highs and what did we do now guys we reported another good earnings report not saying that this is going to push the stock up but i'm saying that it could potentially push it up because in the past judging off previous events it's acted as a positive catalyst and let's be honest guys proctor and gambles one of those companies that people view as a quote-unquote safe haven when a lot of you know stuff hits the fan right when when when uh growth stocks are getting pooped on stuff like that people people flood the stocks that pay money dividends rather they flood the stocks that provide kind of like consumer non-signical products that are good during any economic cycle so people might flood to pg here over the next couple of months and i definitely think this could be running up to the 130s and some analysts agree with me they've raised the price target so honestly guys i view this as a nice swing entry or rather a swing play but i'm waiting on that nice entry point ideally i think around 122-123 but you can't really go wrong buying it here in my opinion i might even buy some um just uh you know scale in as a swing if we hold these levels tomorrow and if we break out of here guys into the 126 level that's going to be extremely bullish and i might be buying some at that point as well so the next stock i want to talk about which is another one that i'm actually in right now as well as those ung calls is mcdonald's guys and mcdonald's reported earnings earnings were pretty good stock dumped aggressively after those earnings and honestly over the past couple of months the stock has been dropping aggressively let's see how much on a percentage basis it's dropped since that all-time high about 12-13% and whenever a large blue chip value company that has strong fundamentals whenever it falls down in my opinion it's always worth watching to a maybe buy in for a long-term position or add more to your long-term position or be look to swing trade it if you are a swing trader in the stock market which i happen to be a swing trader a lot of the bread and butter trades i make are in stocks believe it or not like this that i scale in over time whether it's you know every week every two weeks and then i sell it for a profit a couple of months later as a swing trade that's a lot of the money honestly that i'm making in the stock market from trading is you know trading blue chip stocks like this so i'm already in mcdonald's like i said about 194 50 i think is my average cost and i do plan on adding more to this one if we break above 198 200 bucks and especially above this 50 sma because let me tell you this if we break into 198 into 200 bucks we're going to be in the next channel which is between 198 and 206 right in my first place where i'm looking to take profits is going to be at 206 right so ideally my weighted position i want to be around 198 excuse me guys um to about 200 bucks and ideally i'd sell 206 i'd sell some profits at about 4 percent maybe a bit higher there at about 213 i'd sell about five six percent and so on right if it continues to go up but as of now you know i'm looking to add more i just need to see those technicals um pan out honestly like like like i said right it needs to just pan out and um from there i'm looking to add money another one that i saw in the discord group chat is FedEx FedEx at this point i'm not too sure what they reported in earnings i'll be completely honest with you guys i forget um but judging off the chart it's a falling knife or rather it was a falling knife after they reported earnings giving me the notion that you know those earnings probably weren't too good right guys so the stock drop seems like it found a bottom at 137 now just on a strict technical basis i'm seeing a couple of good things here i'm seeing a hold at 150 153 which has roughly uh that rough area has been a support in the past multiple different times right i'm seeing a bullish cross here the 50 SMA crossing above that 180 SMA which we all know is very bullish and i'm seeing a higher low from the previous low at 137 right here as well as a hold on top of those moving averages so this is looking like it's starting to fill this gap up to 170 bucks and let me tell you guys that is a nice profit margin right there about six seven percent but one thing that worries me about FedEx is you know this stock has just been extremely volatile during the past couple of months as you guys can see and this based on these technicals it's not too favorable these technicals are not favoring a long-term swing trader or somebody that likes holding a stock two months because or like two three months for example right because let's say every two three month period it seems like here if you were to buy and hold two months you'd probably lose money in a stock like this which is not something favorable for me but in the short term i'm talking about one week two weeks could this be a nice move maybe up to 160 it sure can which is what i'm watching but as a long-term swing trade there's no way i'd get into this due to the overall trend right when i'm looking to get in a long-term swing trade what do we talk about pg the trend's beautiful it's up that's what i'm looking for right mcdonald's although it's getting you know killed you know the trend is down here but overall the trend is up so once we find some sort of bottom i'm not saying the bottom's going to be here but once we find a bottom and push up that's going to be ideal for this swing trader aka me right so that's kind of my thoughts on fedex you know good good uh it's looking good but overall as a swing trader i'm not crazy about it but still worth watching in my opinion so let's talk about gold here because a lot of people have been talking about gold and honestly guys you know gold's in an interesting spot right now it's really interesting it's kind of in this wedge here where we're still technically at a lower high but we're also making higher lows right so this is going to be pivotal um a pivotal week for for gold right here because let's say we do something like this where we break up into 1530 we could potentially be filling that gap because that would be a bullish move up to about 1550 but the bears what the bears want to see here is a dump and a break ultimately below this trend line that's holding based on those higher lows right if we see a break like that that's going to be bearish and we could potentially play jdst which goes up whenever gold is going down well gdx is what it really trades based upon gdx whenever it goes down um jdst is going up and gdx is what really gold trades based upon or rather um it tracks gold right so that's kind of what my thoughts are on gold nothing too extravagant here i'm just looking to see kind of where it goes very basic technicals here guys if it pops bullish falls down bearish and especially if we breaks um into the 1480s that's extremely bearish in my opinion that's kind of what i'm looking at here right so the last one is going to be pcg and honestly guys this is a stock that i don't really track and based on these technicals you know it's been getting squashed and let's be honest um this is not a swing traders dream right here swing traders look at this and they run away they don't like seeing trends that are going down but that doesn't mean you can't make money trading this right you can make money two different ways here based on what i'm seeing right if we break this 50 sma which has been a resistance in the past this could be a runner up to that 180 sma very simple right from 630 up to about nine bucks which is a ridiculous rally that's got to be like 30 40 that's one way you can make money on this but judging off the technicals again a stock that's gone from 28 bucks to three dollars there's got to be a reason why that happened there's no company that goes from 30 to three without something negative so obviously something negative happened that i'm not really too sure about because again i'm not um first of all i don't really i'm not a huge um you know energy investor i don't really know too much about pcg and um that's just not my forte but just judging off this you could also make money if it continues to go down on whatever negative catalyst that caused it to drop in the first place by playing a put option right put options here you know if you like buying you know you know put options where you can make money on a stock's downfall this could be a definite option here but again you have to research and i really feel like i'm not even qualified enough to talk about this company because again i don't really know much about it but you have to research what caused that drop the initial drop here and see and really come to a conclusion for yourself whether or not you think that is going to continue that's kind of what i'm viewing this as but overall guys that's kind of it for this video right watching you guys watching natural gas looking for that dip entry tomorrow potentially mcdonald is my swing i'm in ung looking to enter proctor and gamble here maybe mess around with some roku short term play um before earnings maybe get in after earnings these are just some things that i'm watching and going through my head so if you enjoyed the video all i asked from you is to go down below hit that like button consider subscribing if you do want to see further content for me and again if you want to get that password to the strive smart store and enter the store before it opens tomorrow which is at 12 p.m eastern standard hit that email link or hit the link put your email in and i'll send you the password two hours before the store opens so you can go in and maybe buy something if you see anything that you want to buy right so if you enjoy the video um yeah feel free to drop a like all that good stuff i'll catch you all in the next video thanks again for all the support you guys are awesome peace out