 and welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour as always. We meet at the appointed time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So what do we have going on today? I talked a little bit about it at the 2 o'clock update. We've had repeated tests of 3636, the last major low while back on the S&P. The first time down there up there we had 18 billion shares. We've been struggling to get 10, 11, 12 billion shares. We did have 12 billion shares into that huge push in the very end of Friday. That was the washout. Markets are pretty good about making you have to sweat all weekend. We were already at least in the daily newsletter long, a couple of positions, not indexes, but some other ones and they're both up another 5% today. So we're in the right sector. Could you still get a retest of 3636? You could. My guess is that you're probably looking at the next couple of days in being some level of consolidation of breaking or beating out a low at this 3636 level and that's my story and I'm sticking to it. We talked about the reversal of the TLT and it getting down to significant lows. I think that was leading the market a little bit and why another reason why I think I'm fairly bullish maybe through the end of the year. I think if we're going to have a really horrible thing going on it's probably going to be again probably after the end of the year. I think we've gotten most of the bad news in. We've had a huge move lower. The Fed's probably not going to do anything before the election. What we've got? Something like what, 30 days to the election, something like that, whatever, November 4th. Markets tend to like very divided markets, I mean very divided leadership between Congress, the courts and everything else. They don't like things moving very fast. We're probably going to have a fairly good amount of gridlock in Washington DC and each branch doing its job maybe. That would be it. Today also is the first day in October which is the Supreme Court. They've got probably five major cases that will impact stock markets and individual stocks. Almost all of these go to some of the cases that have been decided, six, three over the last couple of years. That is the major, and I'm going to think about it, major factors, major questions is what it's called. The idea was that Congress could relinquish power to unelected bureaucrats to run things like the EPA or the rest and not have enumerated powers in whatever the Congress passed. There's a lot of these that are going to go back and probably get solved in this court. We're also looking probably in the next month getting a reading, or not a reading, but a call up from the 11th circuits on exactly what media, social media stocks will be allowed to do on censorship. Generally there's some fairly good arguments on the behalf of the First Amendment, a little less from both courts on if there's a right to censor. We know that there's a right for free speech, but is there a right to censor? The question is whether or not you could wear a T-shirt from one side into a restaurant, but not the other. Well, that's been settled for hundreds of years. We'll see whether or not that stuff that's applied for forever will now start applying to a lot of these folks on social media. I think that over time will make them much better competitors in the market, not less well competitors. But that's kind of it. We've got the Golden Week with China, and yes, people have already sent me lots of juvenile jokes about that. Thanks a lot. Kind of like zero. Thanks for nothing. So anyway, we've got a lot of this stuff going on. I just think we're kind of going to go back and forth a little bit. We're going to consolidate this. More likely some kind of you-ish low down at these lows. Maybe we could go all the way back up to the end of the year, and then maybe that's the next big move in a bigger, longer ABC on the way down if the Fed continues to keep his foot on the break. 877-927-6648, email me at path at tfnn.com. We already have a couple of emails already here. Okay. Got that. Got that. And I'm actually, we get a good close today. I'm probably going to go long in the tech insider one position. Maybe tomorrow. We'll see how the close comes. But I think it's start of the fall rally, whatever extent that's going to be. But I think we probably have three months of maybe a drunkard's walk higher in the market. I'm not bearish out here. Let's do a little history and then we'll move on. On this day in 1950, AT&T Bell Labs researcher John Bardeen, Walter Brenton, and William Shockley receive a U.S. patent for their invention of the transistor, which they had successfully demonstrated two years earlier. And of course, the first transistor in 1926, it would be another four or five years before volume production of that and actually huge production by 1958. So when we look at things or people email me articles about new batteries and everything else and some kind of new whiz bang, software, you get it done and it works, you just crank it out. Hardware, silicon, not as bad to double the power of it. Chemistry a much bigger problem and that's what took the folks at Bell Labs a long time to get done. So don't confuse chemistry, software, and silicon because the path on all three is wildly different depending on the resources you throw at it. But I had a bunch of questions about a new form of hydrogen. Yeah, doesn't show promise. Yeah, but it takes a while for all this stuff to get. We'll be back in a minute. Call me at 877-97-6648. Inflation. We have purchasing powers eroded. There's no better place to protect your hard earned money than in gold. 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Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find a path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit TFNN.com today and subscribe to David White's Ultimate Trading Newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's Daily Market Newsletter, Market Insights, is published every morning when the markets open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. These newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio. Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter, Market Insights, today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money-back guarantee at TFNN.com TFNN Educating Investors. 3-1-877-927-6648, internationally at 727-873-7618. This is the first e-mailer of the day. You can be like Ron or call somebody else at 877-927-6648 or like Ron at PATH, B-A-T-H at TFNN.com and of course the question is from Ron. So if we're going higher, how high are we going to be? I think we could be up to 4,100 at the end of the year. That may just be a bigger trading range and at this point you could come back down to this area and then maybe blow it out, maybe things get better. But generally you want to buy when there's blood in the streets, when Putin is talking about nuking everybody and when everything seems as dark as it can get, remember it's always darkest before it gets 100% dark. That's my silver lining for you today. If you needed a little motivational speaker, that was it. So anyway, let's get back to a little bit. As we said, we were looking at the TLT. We finally got back to what should probably be that. I think that interest rates at 7% now on new housing are pretty much indicative of a lot of stuff going on. In the news, we had a few things happen and of course I was fairly busy with a market rolling and a hurricane in the way, so we'll look at it. But very interesting to see last Thursday and Friday, all the eBay folks, the executives at eBay, going to the Gray Bar Motel for some of the stuff they did. They weren't particularly enamored with First Amendment rights. So they decided to cyber stock some folks that were fairly critical about the business practices of eBay and its resellers. This is not the first time we've seen this kind of stuff, but yeah, a severed pig's head in the mail, lots of pizzas, huge amounts of bugs released into somebody's house. So we've got a couple of these guys. It didn't just last week or anything. It's been going on for a while, but I give the benefit of the doubt until you're convicted. But certainly we've got at least three in the C-suite headed for the Houskow. But from what I can tell, place isn't very much better than when these guys got pushed out. The same kind of culture is there, and it's not going to get any better. And of course, this bunch of folks pretty much the same bunch that split with PayPal a number of years ago, did I do that right? And it's kind of out here making some lows. They're doing some stuff that probably about half of the United States is not going to like. And they actually may end up running afoul of at least a handful of states who will make it very tough for them to do business here in the United States if they continue down the path that they are. So what can you say? Well, certainly it's going sideways. It's hard for me to get hot on PayPal. Nobody's talking about it. The executives pretty much got the stink from eBay still on them for some level of some of the stuff that they've done. And of course, you've always got cyber coins, which everybody's looking at a great deal more. Of course, in the news this morning also, we had one of the Kardashians, aren't they just the same kind of an amalgam, a Kardashian, who had to pay a million dollars for running afoul of pushing cyber security in the form of something. I don't know what it was, doji coin or whatever, didn't matter to me. I kind of lumped them into the whole bunch. The interesting part that I see is the precedent now where a lot of these folks that were pushing cyber cash may end up having the same issues with them and them having to get some cash back, give some cash back if not more. But we shall see. Chart doesn't look that bad. Again, a lot of these stocks are totally beat up, so could have a bounce. Yes, but if there's one that I like better than PayPal, it would probably be something like Ethereum, which maybe has a better chance. Very tough for me to see PayPal by itself. Vemo, which I think is partly owned some part. I'm going to have to go back and research that. But still probably better system than PayPal. The only people I know that use PayPal or eBay and a variety of other people doing nefarious things. Hard to see any of these things doing well as one of the gentlemen in the den once said, pilgrims tend to end up face down in the mud a lot with arrows in their back. Okay, I've got some more emails here. I think we'll take a look. You and G, you generally right now in the very seasonally good part of the year to be in natural gas, it's this that for the United States, there hasn't been the real cold snap that starts this generally get something early in September. We just haven't gotten it. You get a big cold snap that really starts getting stuff going. It'll be just like the way gold turned around today. I just haven't seen any sign. And again, I've been watching hurricanes a little bit closer that I've been watching the great white North and putting on toks. But what, first of October, just watch. Look for the first big minus 10 reading somewhere in the great white North. And that's generally a good time to start looking at going long in you and G. Of course, we've had some very good moves in energy. I went out to pick some stuff up for lunch. And I had to really scratch my head that if you love diversity, if that's all you can talk about. Well, we certainly have diversity in the price of gasoline. I saw it at $3.11 here. And then I noticed that it was also $7 in California. The old diversity in price. We'll be back in a minute. If you want to take advantage of this sector, now is the time to subscribe to my gold report. The gold report is a comprehensive look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold, which is the currency and bond markets. New subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose. Every Monday morning, I publish the gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, DXAU, HUI, GDX, as well as more than 30 different mining equities. To see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report, sign up now by visiting tfnn.com. Don't miss out on the next great gold trade. Sign up today. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At tfnn, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis. And it's not just dry tedious text either. tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, tfnn, educating investors. tfnn is excited about our new software charting program, the art of timing the trade charts. In collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best-selling book, The Art of Timing the Trade, your ultimate trading mastery system, David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology. Using this first-of-its-kind program, The Art of Timing the Trade Charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including guardleafs, ABCs, butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade Charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting tfnn.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. As we come back, we'll check in. Do we still have that up? If I get rid of it, no, it's still here. So let's take a quick look because the markets are moving rather quickly today. As I said, I wouldn't be surprised to see some back and fill here and do that. But yeah, we're up 2.8% on the S&P, 2.5% on the NASDAQ. Dow up 2.9% Russell, crude up 5%. And of course, that's something else we've got going on this week, which is OPEC, who we're going to cut. As I said just before the break, talk about real disparity, $3.11 here today in Tampa, opposed to $7 in LA yesterday. So I don't know what it is today, maybe it came down a little bit. But man, talk about paying up, but certainly you get that. Anyway, question about UNG, I'm just waiting for that. Okay, I'll do that. I'll get that during the break, James. You can see what else we have here. Anyway, we've got that. Okay, other things going on. Let's take a look, someone wanted to know on Apple. As I said, I felt last week that a lot of the downgrades and Apple throwing shade on itself was something that was telling us that we had a low coming in. They did the same thing on the highs at 176, which is run out the shorts out by telling everybody that out of the rear ends only unicorns and rainbows were coming. Then they were telling everybody it was the seventh level of hell coming up last couple of days last week. So I just kind of do the opposite of what everybody tells me on Apple to do, just assuming that it's all self-serving. So I think we've got kind of that in. You've got a nice reversal day on the candle. You don't have a lot of volume. Do I think this means it goes back to 176? That's probably going to be tough, maybe 160 to 165. That could set up your ABC on a bigger leg down if they don't come up with some new products that generate a lot more revenue. Again, 95% of what they do is all about iPhones. They really need to get some other products that make it go better. How do I see fund buying playing out? Well, you're going to get at least three days of this probably holding up, even if I'm wrong about the market going and staying here longer. So Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, maybe you get some pullback on Thursday. But my guess is there are so many people so incredibly bearish that everything, as soon as they get a chance, the market pulls back a little bit, they'll be going 100% short again, and you'll get a lot of back and fill, and you'll get pretty much to the point where the market won't be able to go any lower because everybody that has been able to short a share has shorted it. And that's generally when you get the rip your faces off rally. I think there's a little of that today now. But yeah, I don't see any reason why you would want to be short during fund buying until at least Thursday, even if you think I'm all wet and not just partially wet. 877-927-6648. Okay. Okay. Got a bunch of, can I look at the TBT? I guess I could look at the TBT. I'm more of a TLT kind of guy, but certainly you have that. This is the short. You have a nice reversal there. That would put a little bit of the fear of God in me. When you really look at it, the fed's job is both on the way up and the way down is to keep the markets from going too fast and then blowing up and blowing up everything around them. They don't mind big bombs. They do mind nuclear and atomic weapons, and they try to keep it down to the bloodletting to something, NASFRADAMAS, NASFRUSH. What's the, I can't even remember the name of the undead these days. I better learn it before. October 30th, NASFRADU? Yeah. So, anyway, the idea is there's a lot of bloodletting. Of course, I call my doctor, Dr. Acula, if anybody knows that one. Okay. Since so many people don't get it, DR. Acula. Anyway. 877-927-6648, path at tfnn.com, keep it coming. Okay. Anyway, on the TLT, you're back to where this thing had its giant reversal. So, I mean, resistance at about 3150. My guess is that the Fed is probably going to let the market settle down a little bit. Maybe through Christmas, people will probably go back up. Question is whether or not a lot of the inflation tames down a little bit. If it is a problematic on that point, maybe they go back whole hog after Christmas. My guess is they're going to stand back a little bit, even if they jawbone between now and the end of the year. Okay. What are my thoughts on gasoline? I love it. It goes in my car and takes me places. I'm exactly sure what they, what are my thoughts on gasoline are. I'm more of a big picture guy, so I look at Crude. Of course, with OPEC this week, they're going to discuss how much they're going to cut back to keep prices up. We're already seeing a bit of that because they've apparently agreed to at least some cutback. The prices, of course, in California are problematic because they've had some pipeline buss and other issues with transportation. No word if there was a Putin sighting out there in California. But again, I've had a lot of people ask me a couple things. And I was knee deep in hurricanes last week, so I didn't get a lot of it. But I want to start a conspiracy theory that both Putin and Biden got in a diving bell from the 1960s, 2000 League Under the Sea movie, hung off the back of the guppy from Gilligan's Island and did it all. But I don't know, rather involved for a conspiracy theory. But I think my theory is just as good as everybody else is, minus any evidence. But that is I, 877-927-6648. Okay. Anyway, on gasoline, I mean, you can play the crack spread on it. I've always done better just looking at the crude part of it. And of course, this week, it's probably all about the crude part with OPEC. We'll be back in a minute. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. Like TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, educating investors. The technology around us is changing every day. With so much happening, it can seem impossible to keep up with all the information. David White's investment newsletter, the Technology Insider, is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future. David White has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology. His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for valued tech stocks, as well as entry prices, target prices, and stops to set for each trade. Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every Friday with updates throughout the week. You can get the Technology Insider at TFNN.com for only $37.50. Sign up for Dave's newsletter, the Technology Insider, and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer. Try it risk-free today with our 30-day money-back guarantee. TFNN, educating investors. Are China A shares hot or not? If you trade China A shares, now may be time to take a closer look. Trade C-H-A-U or C-H-A-D. Directions daily, CSI 300, China A share, bull and bear ETFs. China A shares in either direction. Visit DirectionInvestments.com today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Direction shares carefully before investing. The Prospectus and Summary Prospectus contain this and other information about Direction Shares. To obtain a Prospectus or Summary Prospectus, please contact Direction Shares at 866-47678 7523. The Prospectus or Summary Prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. This program is brought to you by VistaGold, traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. A question about the Nugman out on the Far East Jesus side of Tampa. This isn't a question from him, it's from somebody else that when I told him the 401, I think you, if you're going to make a stand, you're probably, at least you've got three months, you kind of have to go now, I think. And then, you know, I don't, somebody else asked me during the break in email, I don't have any position that I wouldn't have a number in advance that it closed below that I would just exit. I'm not going to write anything all the way down. I'd rather stop out even in a 401K and come back a couple weeks later and not worry about it. No, there's just no way I'm going to get in a position that's not got a stop. It doesn't have to be a hard stop because of course these days, you put a hard stop in just about any equity in the United States and it's going to get run by the machines. They're going to see your order and they're going to figure their 25 orders that people would sell at the same spot. So you really, I pretty much just have to say, okay, if it closes below that, I'm out. So there's a couple of questions there, hopefully that answers everything. We got that one, we got that one, a lot of talk about, they live, I don't know how we got on that in the Tigers Den, but I love that movie with Roddy Riley Piper, who I think when that movie came out, I remember that he had to lose like 50 pounds to get into that movie because he looked like a monster on the street. They didn't like it, but I think that was the end of it. He took too many drugs to be the size that he was before and I think he died of cancer because of it. But great movie, and of course, we're all out of bubblegum, 877-927-6648, okay, yeah, we're probably going to get some back and fill. Like I said, I'm not a big fan of thinking this is a straight V low. I think we're probably going to do a little back and forth here, consolidate a bit and then start moving a little bit higher. But you know what, generally you don't get the change in attitude in the market for participants overnight, even when you get a bounce this big, even if it comes with a lot of volume. So as soon as everybody gets an opportunity to pile back in on the short side, I think we have a pretty much decent short squeeze out here, but that would be it, okay. We're talking about some of the stocks last week that even on earnings and even talking about some fairly bad earnings, you really didn't get much on micron on Friday. You got a nice bounce up here today, didn't hold it, got to 5308, but my guess is you're probably going to have some consolidations. When you come down this hard and this fast, you want to think about, you know, you're going to get some fairly quick moves, those would be short squeezes, but then after you consolidate and everybody gets bored with it for a while, then you can start moving higher. But like I said, I have a feeling we're going to kind of stumble. You had this discussion before, I mean, you can have a nice vertical line. We had a very straight move down for a lot of these stocks. And if you believe, I don't like a lot of the stuff with the Elliott wave stuff. In fact, I've never been able to figure anybody that knew how to actually make it work that wasn't looking in a rearview mirror, but maybe there is somebody out there. I just haven't met them. But certainly the idea has been, the one thing that I like that came out of it was that rule of alternation. That is, if you come down straight, you're probably going to have a very messy and congestive move higher, and that's going to be a lot of back and forth. So I'm not expecting a smooth move higher. I imagine we'll have a lot of back and forth as we stumble our way back higher. I just don't expect the Fed to be out saying horrible things before the election. If we continue to have really horrible news, maybe they'll do something after that. But I think they're out of the way for the next 30 days. I don't think they're going to say much of anything that will really move the market. And that may be all we need to get started. Of course, that will take us into November and then Thanksgiving. Generally if the markets are going to have a big down thrust into the end of the year, that starts a couple of days after Thanksgiving as retail sales take a powder, then sometimes you will have a down move. But I think a lot of that's already baked in, isn't it? Everybody knows you're going to spend four or five grand more than you did two years ago on heating your home. So maybe those prices that we've come off of, as they said, if it's already known, then it's probably in the market. We have some more emails here. We'll take a look at those. Okay. We looked at Apple, question about Microsoft, MSFT. Well, the best run, don't see much out here, kind of half-hearted effort today on Microsoft, about 16 million shares compared to 35. This one actually did see a lot of selling on Friday. So not surprised you're not getting anything more than kind of a move back. Kind of the high on this looks like about 265-ish. This gap down with a lot of volume on the 13th of September came down with 33 million shares. That's at 260. That gap goes all the way to 267 or something. So you're probably that's the level that you're probably looking at as being what you would get. 263-14 is the 50% retracement. If this was just going to be a dead cat bounce, you really don't get any volume on the way back up. Things don't change fairly quickly. That would be, I think, your opportunity to sell if you just go up very poorly through the end of the year. Okay. Question about the IBB. Friday saw one of the first really large settlements. And of course, why the U.S. government shielded vaccine manufacturers from lawsuits. Lawyers are pretty smart and they found some ways around that. The first really big vaccine lawsuit went to court and got settled for $50 million last week. I think that was on Thursday or Friday. So you still want to watch some of those. We've talked about that for over a year. They're coming. So these things are starting to filter through. We come back. We'll look at the IBB. Vista Gold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia, the Mount Todd Gold Project. Vista Gold just completed their feasibility study, resulting in a 7 million ounce gold reserve. Vista Gold has all major permits approved and has retained CIBC Capital Market Assistance in evaluating alternatives and in completing an accretive transaction. Vista Gold trades on the NYSE American and TSX under the ticker symbol VGC. Vista Gold executing a strategy to create shareholder value. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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Catch Tom O'Brien, professional trader and educator, founder of TFNN, also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. As we come back, a question about AVO, I guess that's how you pronounce it, AVO Pharmaceuticals, A-V-E-O. The big problem is when you have light volume, you had a million shares up at the top, actually 1.2 at $9. You've got some nice juice coming out here on the right-hand side. I don't know a lot about the company itself. You're back up to resistance. You wanted a lot more volume today. You had 1.4 million shares at $8.78 a year, what, $0.06 below that on a third, a little more than a third of the volume. So yeah, you had some nice volume off the low from September 23rd, you just don't have a lot here. Again, I don't know a lot about the company. Let's look at this real quick and see the profile. Oncology, so they're all about cancer, focusing on developing commercializing medicines. And oral next generation vascular growth factor, replacer inhibitor, which is used for the treatment. Dolt patients with relapsed or refactory advanced renal cell carcinoma, RCC, if you live in lutes. Company is also developing some other stuff and some other stuff. So yeah, you'd have to dig deep into this company to know about it if you're just looking on the chart side, light volume into the previous high of $7.87, osteovista barring any inside information which I don't have, I would be out. So when you can, not when you have to, we will see you again tomorrow, bright and shiny.