 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The morning market kickoff with your host, Tommy O'Brien. Now, Tommy O'Brien. Good morning, everybody. Happy New Year's Eve, 9.06 a.m., December 31st. We got markets right now kicking off the final trading day of 2021 with pretty calm action. All things considered, pretty sitting relatively near all-time highs on the S&P and on the Dow, a little bit of negative action yesterday. But man, you're talking about as close as you can get to 4800 on the S&P futures, 4799.75 at about 10.15 a.m. yesterday morning. From there, though, a little bit of a sell-off. You're talking about almost 50 points. I mean, check out the sell-off we had at seven o'clock last night as well. Future is straight down to 47.50. Since then, we've come almost back to where we were at the close, about a little bit of a sell-off in the final hour of trading from about 47.92. From the time my dad was on the show from about three to four last night, you traded down a solid almost 20 to 30 points. From above 47.90, you end the session at a price point of 47.72. You were as low as 47.67. And right when now we're trading at 47.68. NASDAQ 100 trading 16,433. You got the Dow negative by 44 points. We hit a record high yesterday of 36,572. The Russell, how about some volatility in the Russell? Man, you give it and you take it. The Russell trades up to 22.70. And just like that, it closes right back to where you were yesterday. And overnight, you accelerate higher, excuse me, accelerate lower with the other markets at about 7 p.m. And then we get a pop. We're up to 22.44, basically unchanged from yesterday's close, commodities, currencies, Bitcoin, a little bit of a pop overnight. Bitcoin back at 48,000. You have crude trading down a dollar at 75.96. Gold continuing to pop. Check out the acceleration on gold from Wednesday, 1789. We just hit 18.28. We put gold on a daily. Next stop potentially. I mean, we're coming bumping up right against this area that we've been at, that we've had a little bit of resistance where there was back in July, late July, that area in early September as well. The recent highs, when you go back to just last month in November, you're talking about a high of 18.79. Gold's up 13 bucks at 18.27. And we jumped to notes and bonds. Pretty tame action on a daily basis, just chopping around near these lower price levels right now. You're up three ticks on the session at 130.16 on the 10 year. And where do we kick it off? Let's kick it off with notes and bonds. Where are we? Here we are. BlackRock and Vanguard brace for a fresh year of treasury losses. So 2021, first year since 2013 that the US Treasury Index Bloomberg's US Treasury Index returned a minus 2.5% for the year. First yearly slump since 2013 in records stretching back to 1974. It's never fallen for two years in a row. Never. Well, we've broken just about every other record out there, folks. Why not break that one? And you look at the move that we've had. Now you back this up. Even how far can the 10 year go back? Yeah, there's this far back now. What I'm trying to find is since 2013, right? Yearly slumps since 2013. Yeah, and there is 2013s when you had quite the pullback there indeed. You pull back from a price level about 131.27 to close out the year at 123.15 on the 10 year. Now, of course it stretches Treasury Index. I'm not sure if that's just gonna be the 10 year. But nonetheless, there you see it on that chart. But closing out the year at minus 2.5%. And we'll see what happens. Yields are supposed to rise, right? If yields are rising, price is gonna decrease on the Treasuries. And yeah, it may be another tough year as they put it here. The Bloomberg Treasury Index set for its first annual class since 2013. Benchmark has never suffered back-to-back losses and we kick off 2022 next year. Our repeat of 2021 is a reasonable expectation for Treasury market returns in 2022. How about a reasonable expectation for returns of minus 2.5%? I don't like that reasonable expectation for returns. If inflation eases slowly from where it is at at the moment, there's a risk of more downside performance in Treasuries next year. And that's gonna create a headwind for the popular 60-40 strategy. I've talked about it before. It seems like folks that if you're looking for a 60-40 strategy, you might be. And I'm not an analyst portfolio diversification expert. There's a lot that goes into it in terms of being diversified, talking about how stocks trade together, whether they trade opposite each other to have some diversification. That's the point of a 60-40 portfolio. But when you're talking about an expectation of maybe negative 2.5% performance for 40% of your portfolio in a year where equities were up 28%, right? What I would encourage you to think about, and many of the dividend stocks did not perform that well this year as well. Let's just put Verizon on like a three-year weekly, okay? Verizon trades down from 58 to 22. Strong company with a strong dividend, they trade lower as well. AT&T had its own trip going on, but trades from 28 to 24. Some other strong dividend companies, you got Walmart. Looks like they're gonna close out the year barely in the red from 144 to 143. McDonald's comes to mind. We have Walmart and McDonald's in mind newsletter. Folks, this has been a strong one for a dividend stock. It starts a year off at 214, you're trading at 267. You're talking about record highs from McDonald's. Point being, maybe you find some strong dividend stocks to fill out at least a portion of that portfolio. Maybe it looks something like 60% equities, 15% to 20% bonds, and 20% dividend stocks or something like that. Because we're living in a pretty exceptional time where the Fed is telling us three rate hikes next year, three rate hikes the following year. That's almost the best case scenario, folks. There is a scenario that if growth slows down and inflation is not as abundant that potentially the Fed could pause that, but I don't think that's happening, folks. I don't think that growth is gonna stop and I don't think that inflation is gonna pause to the point to allow the Fed to slow down on possible rate hikes coming down the line. The influences of inflationary tendencies are pretty strong right now and I don't see them subsiding in the next three months, six months, and that's how fast they would have to start turning around to avoid the rate hikes coming down the line. With that in mind, rate hikes coming down the line, you're gonna have rising yields. Rising yields should point to, I mean, look at this chart in this 30 year, right? Higher prices across the board, folks. We've had quite a pullback as you pulled things back from where we were in 2020, but yeah, just be careful of that one. Something to think about if you do have that retirement portfolio because in the rate environment that we're in, 40% of your investments sitting in bonds might be a little tough when you're reading expectations that you might have the first negative years back to back that we've ever seen. Very reasonable to expect that that may happen as we come into the next year. All right, let's jump around. As we look at another cancellation of flights, man, talk about a perfect storm of headwinds over there. You have Omicron, people being out sick, weighing on the staff of these airlines, having to cause flight cancellations, then you have the weather going on in some of the parts of the country, causing storms, causing cancellations by themselves. Carriers worldwide have paired back January schedules by almost 10%. That is quite a number. When you think about how many people are flying right now, folks, 10% are cancellations, 1125 flights scrubbed, winter storms threatening to further disrupt travel over New Year's weekend. It's been a tough one for people traveling during the holidays, I imagine. All right, folks, stay tuned. It's 9.15, we got 15 minutes to go until the opening bell of the final trading day of 2021. I'll be right back in three minutes. Stay tuned. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market. To stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of, sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at tfnn.com. When you subscribe, you'll get a weekly report from Veteran Day Trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to, and you can trust Larry's analysis. After all, he's got 45 years experience as a day trader. 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Yeah, we've had a couple of pullbacks, but talk about a resilient market. We almost hit 4,800 on the S&Ps. It's almost tough to remember that we kicked off. Let's just put it back on a three-year weekly to get the full move that we've had during COVID. We kicked off the year, folks, at 3,600. 3,600 seems so long ago. It really does in terms of the price levels that we're now used to in the S&Ps. You take a look at the Dow, right? You're talking about barely a 30,000 in the Dow in terms of where we are. We're trading 36,000 in the Dow right now and NASDAQ 100. Quite a year for those fang stocks. You're talking about 12,000. So much for 12,000. How about 16,000? As the NASDAQ 100 gains about 3,700. 3,700 points. Is that right? Yes, it is. 3,700 points and change throughout the calendar year. What is that? More than a 30% pop in the NASDAQ 100 helped by the likes of, we'll start it off with one of the best performance stocks, especially when you look at market capitalization of the year, Google runs from 1750 to the ballpark of 3,000. You're talking about a 60 to 70% move for Google shares. Apple shares strong year, but not quite the year that Google put up. Not many put up the year that Google did. I mean, Apple starts the year at 133. You're finishing it year 180. Not bad for a company with 16.4 billion shares outstanding, I believe is the count for their share count. Microsoft, quite a year as well. Microsoft accelerates from 220 up to 339. Man, they add, what is that, 120 bucks? Yeah, Microsoft, really, really strong year, right behind the likes of Google. You're talking about, what is that? They trade up almost 120 bucks. Yeah, you're talking about a 55% move, 60% move, something like that for Microsoft shares. Amazon, a little bit of a laggard consolidating. They're gonna finish higher, but barely, by about 170 bucks, what are you talking about? Maybe a five to six percent move to the upside. For Amazon, they got a new CEO taken over in the middle of the year, Andy Jazzy, as he looks to take over his first full year in 2022. We jumped to Facebook shares. They've caught a lot of heat this year, but boy, you look at the performance they had from the start of the year, still strong numbers. Facebook's gonna beat the market. They'll be up, what is that? They start the year at about 267. You're up almost 80 bucks, so you're talking about 30 to 33% maybe on that equity for the year. For Facebook shares, I've been talking a lot about them. I got Oculus 2, Oculus Quest 2 for the holidays, a VR experience, it is pretty cool, folks, I encourage ya. If you haven't tried it, you're looking for a fun holiday gift, you're looking for a fun birthday gift, you got kids in the house of, you know, teenagers or anything like that. It is a pretty cool experience, and it's actually not that bad. When you think about 400 bucks, considering what a console costs these days, 400 bucks, not that bad, when you don't even need a TV. When I first open the box, you know, your brain goes to the point of, okay, I gotta hook it up to the TV, right? We'll get this thing set up, we'll give it a go. No, you don't, because the TV is in the headset. Now, it's really remarkable that I got this thing last weekend, which was Christmas, okay? I started talking about it because it was just a cool experience to share the experience with you and let you know that I really do think, eventually down the road, five or 10 years, at least, not at least, but as in it's coming in the near future, in at least the next five or 10 years, this is gonna change the way things get done across the board. There's no reason why education-wise, kids aren't wearing these headsets, you're gonna be able to explore the world, you're gonna be able to hold classrooms, sitting in the Coliseum in Rome, right? Imagine you're in a world history class, in your class, and you, you're all sitting in the Coliseum in Rome, right? You're gonna travel to Venice. You're talking about Italy's history, you're over there in Venice, you're in wherever you are, you're in the Great Wall of China. It's a pretty surreal experience. Now, every week though, every day there's been articles about it. I was already gonna talk about it. Then it comes out that they sold a lot of headsets because they could track the app store and Oculus downloaded a lot of apps, all right? Then it came out that Apple's hiring away a bunch of workers, well, trying to keep them by pushing out $180,000 bonuses. Point being, folks, we might be at a tipping point here that I find out about it, I'm telling you about it, more people got it at the holidays, they're telling people about it, maybe it just reaches that tipping point. If you haven't checked out the book, folks, Malcolm Gladwell, he has the book, literally tipping points, actually an amazing book, and it talks about how trends reach a point, right? That they have enough people, that they're multiplying, that they're exponentially expanding and you reach a tipping point and that's it. You got enough momentum and before you know it, it's caught steam on the internet, right? Or it's a trend that's taken over. You might be a tipping point around right now with the amount of headlines, articles that I'm seeing and in my own personal experience, getting a headset for Christmas, like many others. Now they're talking about, bought your kid a VR headset for Christmas, you might end up regretting it. That's quite a negative take in my opinion. They're talking about parental controls in here, is all they're talking about. It's very easy to hate on a company like Facebook right now and it pains me greatly to be out there pumping the technology that they are behind because I don't trust that company for a moment, folks, with my data, but the technology is pretty cool. Apple's gonna be coming down the line with a set of their own, sometime probably next year or maybe early in 2023, or the estimates right now. That headset looks to be almost $6,000 of the first estimates. They're just gonna go super high end. Boy, if I'm out here raving about a $400 headset, folks, what is a $6,000 headset gonna cost? Now, Facebook's Oculus 2 can currently view their max viewing capability is 360 degrees at 8K, which is pretty surreal, folks. Those are the videos I'm talking about where I pulled up YouTube VR and I could see everything that I was encompassed in for wherever you decide to be. Those videos that are the most amazing right now are at 360 degrees at something like 8K. Now, to give you a glimpse of what these cameras look like that are filming this, because I had to pull it up. All right, here's an idea of what, it wouldn't make sense. These are super high end ones, okay? I'm talking about whether it's, there's the Kandao Obsidian Pro. This looks to be one of the top end professional, 360 degree cinematic VR cameras, okay? With 12K, this can do 12K, I believe. 3D 16 terabyte SSD. All right, one of the other ones on the market that's a great one as well is this one I was finding out, the Insta360 11K cinematic VR. That'll set you back just $15,000. Now, the cool part about this is, is that you can see how they work. They're basically just a lot of cameras looking in every direction, all right? Super high end cameras. And then what they do is they have the technology to stitch together all of those different camera angles to form the 360 degree viewing experience you have in your helmet going on. Now, what's pretty cool though, is point being, they got cameras that go up to 12K. The best piece on the market right now is probably the Oculus 2 that can only see 8K. Point being, it is shifting dramatically folks, even in the future, as in when Apple's headset comes out, it's supposed to have better specs than Oculus 2. I just told you that Oculus 2 can view 8K. Well, now I've showed you that there's cameras out there that are already recording in 12K, all right? So Apple and then Facebook has a Cambria project, which is gonna come out with a more expensive, upper tier level headset versus the Oculus. So they'll have an upper end one as well. Pretty remarkable to see where this technology goes. Now, here's the cool part I found out about this that I'll finish it off with, and let me just find one. Is that these hundred and 360 degree cameras, if you don't need to be an 8K, which you probably don't. Um... Something as simple as a GoPro Max 360, 500 bucks, and you got basically two cameras on each side. I'll talk about it a little bit more because I didn't even realize the technology was that far from it. 500 bucks or a 360 degree camera. Stay tuned folks, we'll be back for the market open. Right back. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex Predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. 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Using this first-of-its-kind program, the Art of Timing the Trade Chart allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including guardleafs, ABCs, butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade Chart is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're gonna love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Chart today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. We've got markets open for the final trading day of 2021. We get the S&Ps, negative by five points to kick things off. NASDAQ, negative by 10. The Dow, negative by 22. And the Russell sneaking into the positive here. So to finish up this conversation, because just the idea of the technology, pretty cool in terms of the cameras that are available on the lower end. If you do want a 360-degree camera, just by Googling it, Samsung Gear 360 4K. 4K for 130 bucks. I'm not at the BHP photo. I'm not even, this says 2017. Three and a half stars looks to be, but you're talking about a 3K camera. Now you up it a little bit. We got one here for a 4K video camera. The Ricoh Theta, not familiar again, looks to be an Amazon choice, four and a half stars, only 300 bucks. And you see that basically what's going on is, they're basically two cameras, okay, of a wide-angle lens on either side, allowing it to capture 360 degrees. You go a little bit higher than that. This is the Insta360 X2. I believe this one goes to 7K. I was just reading somewhere. Where does this go? Let's see. Yeah, 5.7K. 5.7K, and you're talking about only 500 bucks there. And that's the one I was talking about. I think, where's my GoPro up here? Didn't I have a GoPro up here? Where are we at? There it is, the GoPro, 500 bucks as well. And I believe, what's this do? Is this do 8K? Yes, it's got five, I'm not, I'm still digesting how to view what a 360 degree view in 49.92 by 24.96 correlates to, whether that is 8K or 6K. Here we go. Spherical 5K video. I mean, just pretty amazing folks. I was saying to my dad, you're gonna see the world change on this type of photography. Because right away, I said, if you're in the photography business folks, you're gonna have to get one of these cool 3K TVs cameras. Cause imagine any type of huge function, a wedding, right? Weddings in particular, where you're hiring photographers, people are gonna start filming their weddings in these 360 cameras. Cause one of the coolest parts also is that you literally just set this thing up in the middle of the room almost, all right? Let's see if they have anyone that are just to show it recording. I mean, literally you set it up in the middle of the room on a nice pole like that. And then it's recording everything from the middle of the room's perspective. And then what it allows you to do is you can literally, basically you're saving a moment in past history that you can walk through in the future by putting a headset on. 10 years into the future, 15 years into the future, you slip into your VR headset and you walk back through your wedding of 15 years ago or something like that. The stuff of science fiction is here folks and that's the camera. And all you gotta do is record it and you put on the headset and you're walking through your wedding. Everybody's walking around you. You're almost reliving that moment in 3D virtual reality. So that is gonna change things dramatically. And when you think about the money, money that can be charged, now that's the top, top, top end, right? 12K, I just told you, there's not even headsets on the market that can view 12K yet, okay? You go to something, that's 11K. Really all you need, as I said, is 8K. And was the Insta, where's my Insta? I've been jumping around. Yeah, either way that. Yes, yes, the Insta 360. That's still 11K, point being, you spent 510K. You can probably get an 8K 360 camera. And meanwhile, you're gonna have photographers. You can charge super high-end. Imagine what you could charge. Filming a beautiful wedding and allowing somebody to walk through it in a VR experience. Not many are doing those right now folks. And it's gonna change the world, I'm telling you. It's coming. Facebook shares. So as I mentioned, we'll finish up with that. Down 410% as all the markets popping on the open. Why not folks? Let's get records across the board as we come into a banner year ending of 2021. You get the S&Ps up one point, Nasdaq 100 up 15. Let's jump around some of the fag stocks and see how they're opening. Little bit of volatility on Apple shares. Finishing the year, it looks to be just under $3 trillion. We jump over to Google, one of the top performing fag stocks out there for sure. Google up 110th percent. Let's jump over to Netflix shares. Netflix quite a year. We finished the year above 600, putting it back on a three-year weekly. Quite the consolidation. Netflix, I mean, quite the run Netflix had, but man, it's been tough year when you got to beat the index that's up 27%. Even Netflix, you're gonna finish the year about almost $100. Let's see, where'd we close out 2020? Technically, you closed out 2020 at 540. So you got Netflix shares about up 15% for the year at 612, pulling back from that recent high of 700. We jump over to Microsoft shares on the open down about 410th percent, strong year for Microsoft across the board. We jump over to some of the chip stocks. AMD, getting a pop at the open. Why not? Quite a year for them. They're up 1.8% right now. We jump over to Intel shares, up 610th percent right now. And I think AMD, let's see, we have some stocks with some headlines out here. Did AMD, yeah. So part of the reason AMD said it now expects to complete the $35 billion all-stock takeover deal for Xilinx during the first quarter of 2022, delayed from its prior 2021 year end target. Companies said they will not, they have not yet received all the needed approval. So Xilinx is down in the pre-market. You got AMD popping a bit. Other companies with news on the final trading day of 2021, Exxon, a signal that it will report a fourth consecutive quarterly profit thanks in large part to stronger oil and gas prices. Better believe that those gas companies better be making money right now with oil, what it's been doing. A snapshot of the fourth quarter results came in an SEC filing, ahead of the official earnings coming down the line in about a month. XOM, there's a nice pop-up, eight-tenths percent for you on the open. We take a look at a three-year weekly for some context. Strong year for the oil stocks, man. You're seeing Exxon up about 50, 50, five-zero percent from 40 bucks to start the year. We're finishing it at about 61. Let's jump around to some of the banks. Interesting to see how they're gonna trade in the coming year of 2022. Big year for the banks in 2021. You trade from JP Morgan, 126 to 160. So you're talking about adding, what is that, 34 bucks, almost a 30% gain for a company like JP Morgan for the year. Now, yes, the S&P put up 27%. But if you started the year and you told me what was the risk in being in a company like JP Morgan versus being in a company in some other companies, when you're getting a nice dividend, you're in a bank with rates where they were coming into the year, I would say that the risk in a company like that is lower relative than, especially the sum of the growth stocks, et cetera. Meanwhile, JP Morgan post almost 30% for the year. We jump around to Bank of America, even bigger numbers. Bank of America puts up almost 50% this year. You started 30 bucks, you ended a pretty even number of almost 45. Strong performance for Bank of America. We jumped to Goldman Sachs. Goldman trades in about 256 to 386. So you're up almost 50% as well for Goldman. Morgan Stanley, you trade from 70 to 100. So you add 30 bucks. Was that 40% from Morgan Stanley? Strong, strong numbers for these banks. After a big year in 2020 as well. I mean, look at Morgan Stanley, 100% bagger basically from where you started 2020. Quite the returns across the board. We jumped to Bitcoin. Quite the year for Bitcoin. Quite the two years for Bitcoin. But man, look at this year compared to any other, right? Bitcoin starts at 30,000. Rural cost to ride up to above 60, back to 30, back to almost 70,000. We're trading at 48,000 to end the year for Bitcoin shares. Ethereum, quite the rollercoaster year as well. Now Ethereum only goes back to February here. It doesn't have the full, they were not trading on futures as early as Bitcoin. They look to, I think they began that trading just February of this year. But even on that chart, you got a low print at 1371. We end the year in Ethereum with Ethereum trading at 3805. All right, folks. We got the S&Ps within 24 points of all-time highs. Do we see 4800 today? Do we see another record as we come into the end of 2021? Full trading day today as the final trading day of 2021. 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That's tfnn.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. Welcome back, folks. S&P's up three points right now as we're 12 minutes into their trading day. I got to chart a Peloton up here, some volatility to kick off the final trading day of the year for Peloton, quite a volatile year for them. Overall, with down 1.6%, they get a downgrade. They cannot escape 2021 fast enough. Peloton, JPMorgan, JPM, no, excuse me, JMP, not JPM, JMP Securities, downgrade to the stock to market perform, from market outperform, declining website visits and page views. Boy, we can all learn a lot just from the market behavior over the last year or two, talking about what is possible. If a lot of people said, what's the possible pullback you could get, right? Like let's just look over the S&P, okay? If a lot of people in February of last year said, what's your max paying situation here on the outbreak? Not a lot of people would have said 21.74 in the market. At the bottom, if you'd say, how quickly can we get back the losses that we just had from 33.74? Not a lot of people would have said, you'll be positive by August of this year. If you said at the beginning of the year, what are the odds that the market trades up over 25% with how resilient it's been to recoup a positive year in 2020? I think the street high estimate, and the street was pretty bullish coming into this year, folks, when we started the year off at 3,600 or 3,700. I think the street high estimate was like 43 or 4,400. We're closing out the year at 4,800 on the S&P. All things possible now, when you get down into individual equities, man, oh man. There's been some huge ones that come to mind in terms of accelerations, getting ahead of itself, seeing a pullback, Zoom comes to mind, great company, Zoom. I have some Zoom shares for retirement, thankfully just a couple. Because I am in at a price that it is trading above or Zoom, 189. I mean, you gave it all back from the breakout area in August, bounced around for a bid at 300, and just like that, you've been ticking around under 200 now. Zoom in March of last year was at 164. Okay, you just traded down to a low of 174 within $10 of giving it all back after being at 588. Peloton shares, they actually did give it all back. You go back to 2019, you were trading at 3,702. You were in a losing position. If you were a buyer of Peloton in December of 2019, that does not seem fair in terms of the platter that they were rewarded of being an at-home exercise equipment maker during COVID. They became a sensation, traded to 171. Just remarkably actually give it all back. Yes, I thought they were getting a little bit ahead of itself at 171. No, I did not think that they would give it all back. Now, when they went IPO, I remember talking about with my dad that I did not see the business plan working out at the valuation they had only because I'm somebody that likes exercising. I like athletics. I love biking. I have a bike that I take outside. I'm fortunate to live in Florida where you can bike outside, but the general idea of paying $1,800 for the privilege to pay 45 or 50 bucks a month to use their app seemed appalling to put it lightly. And it seems like some of the fascination is waning with that equity. I mean, you look at the market cap of this company, okay? We're still talking about a pretty sizable company at a valuation of $12 billion, but man, where were we? We were what? Four to five times that. So you're pushing 50 or $60 billion market cap just like that. You almost get wiped out on Peloton. You do get wiped out all the way back to the start of that. Another company that comes to mind, DocuSign. Quite the give back, quite the year. DocuSign trades to 154. And that quite a different story though, right? DocuSign still sitting 100% above where you came into the pandemic, okay? Zoom shares still sitting more than 100% above where you came into the pandemic. That's what makes Peloton so remarkable. They should not be back to where they were prior to the pandemic. When you think about the rash acceleration that they got where would this stock be without the pandemic then? If they're trading at the same price they've been after two years during COVID when they just sold out every bike they had they were backlogged forever. They couldn't sell, keep up enough bikes just to service what they're selling, right? If during all of that this company's worth the same thing it was worth two years ago in December of 2019 then what would it have been worth if they just had a normal growth trajectory without all of that acceleration during COVID? I mean this became a worldwide phenomenon. Definitely became a country-wide phenomenon in the US and you're back to those levels. I'd be very, very wary of that company when you give it all back. You still got $12 billion of equity there and I don't know how that plays out as they got some problems if you're back there and they may have more problems than we even know because look at this chart folks. I mean you're talking about on a weekly basis it's just not stopping. You're ending the year with a downgrade down 1.7% for the day to end a year. You want to talk about tough yearly returns because you almost kicked this year off at a max profitable high situation of almost 160 you're gonna end the year at 36. All right, what else we got going on in terms of companies? Nothing too substantial as you would imagine folks I'm not even gonna jump over for those. Let's see what else I had pulled up here in terms of articles. I talked about rates, how about in China? Yeah, China punishing people trying to flee. COVID controls in their... Jian maybe is where it is. Forceful moves still needed to curb the outbreak just a reminder of how different life is over in China. Central city's been a lockdown for more than a week over there. I think they got like 10, yeah 13 million people punishing people they'll just lock them up in camps over in China folks as they do to millions of their own residents already. Forceful moves to be taken to curb the outbreak. You're the vice premier said local authorities need to adopt more targeted and forceful measures. Can you imagine in a democratic society if you had authorities saying targeted and forceful measures locking down 13 people. China reported 166 local confirmed cases for the day. 161 of them in the city. To put that in context folks, Miami-Dade County unfortunately Miami, Florida everywhere has got some pretty substantial outbreaks going on. Miami-Dade alone is pushing like 8,000 cases a day. So it's just remarkable how China locks it down for a hundred cases or so considering what's going on everywhere else. The situation severe complex. Yeah, she's the only woman in the ruling communist party 25 member they got a token woman out there over in China. I'm not kidding folks it's all you know you don't think that's a coincidence over there. Local police have had to track down people attempting to duck the tight controls. I don't blame them tough situation living over in China under that type of a dictatorship over there. And yeah, they're gonna be hosting the Olympics. You know I hope all that comes to light because you know it's a bummer. They're human beings over there and they're living under that and I'm sure there's a lot of amazing human beings that wish they had a little bit more democracy in China than they do living under that type of a regime. All right, back to the markets. S&Ps down by 447.68. Let's see how some of those fang stocks are finishing out the year. Apple flat right now at 178. All these stocks quite a remarkable final quarter. I mean you almost kick it off to the day, right? The final three months of the year, man just a remarkable overperformance across the board. Whether you look at the NASDAQ 100, you're talking about trading from basically 14,500 to 16,400. You had 1,900 points on this index in the final quarter alone. If you took off the last quarter and I wouldn't have faulted you. I mean you came in, okay? Let's just back it up for some context here. You came into the final quarter from about 3,700 and you kicked off October at 4,300, right? You were up like 600 S&P points which was basically remember this was like a street high forecast. I just said 43 or 4,400. A lot of people might have been misguided there to take some money off the table, let the final quarter of the year play out. Nonetheless, that would have been a mistake as the S&Ps ending the year at 4,700 and changed potentially 4,800. Could we see it? We got a whole day of trading left, folks. Stay tuned, I'll be right back to finish up the show. 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For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. ["Think or Swim Banner"] Welcome back, folks. We got a pretty calm market out there. Russell Kitchen, a little bit of a bit out there. Up about seven points, the small caps, 2254. Small caps definitely could be the underperformer of the year with the way the other market's performing. You look at where we are, though. You're talking about a year where we basically committed 2,000. You're still going to be up more than 10% of the year for the Russell in a year of underperformance compared to especially the likes of the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ. All right, folks, it's New Year's Eve. Be safe out there. A couple of nice reminders out here. Pretty cool, AAA as well. Offers free toe-to-go service so drivers can ring in 2022 safely, folks. Wherever you are, you're celebrating. You're celebrating at home. You're celebrating out with your friends, your family. Be safe. Have a few cocktails if you want. Take an Uber, folks. Take a Lyft AAA, an outstanding program in here. Toe-to-go service, this is available in Florida. Slowly scrolling down to the states it's in does not look like that is available in Massachusetts. It's okay, but this service, if you need a ride, 855 to Toe-to-go. 855, you can Google it, folks. It's a AAA service. All right, and what that includes is from 6 p.m. tonight. No, actually, wow, this goes all the way through the holidays. That's pretty cool. You call AAA Toe-to-go. Now this is for AAA members and non-members. Pretty cool they do this. A tow truck's gonna arrive and it'll transport drivers and their cars to a safe place within a 10 mile radius. I mean, it's an amazing service. Doesn't get much better than that. Pretty cool that they're offering it in Florida. If you're not in one of the states, then I encourage you to check out an Uber or a Lyft. They have some deals sometimes on New Year's Eve going on. Nonetheless, it's one night a year, folks. You might need it the most. Pay for some surge pricing, whatever it is. Get you home safe, so you wake up tomorrow. It protects you and the people around you on the road because one thing on this AAA article, just reading out it, as I got down here, one third of all traffic cat crash fatalities in the U.S. involved drunk drivers. That is a sad statistic. So take control of that plan for it, folks. You don't want to have to make that decision in the moment. When you're out having a good time, you have your car. Be ready to make the decision. Don't drink and drive and get ready for a fabulous 2022. All right, folks, thanks so much for tuning in. Starting your New Year's Eve off with me. Stay tuned. We got our man Basil Chapman coming up right now. Next, we got Fast Market at 12. We got our man Steve Rhodes at one o'clock and my dad, Tom O'Brien wraps it up live from three to four because we got a full trading day, folks. Happy New Year's Eve. See you in 2022. Stay tuned for Basil, folks.