 The following is a presentation of T-F-N-N. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, Larry Pezzavento. Okay, boys and girls, this is a come to Jesus moment for me and for you two because I'm going to explain to you about the astrology, how I got interested, why I believe in it and what I don't know about it, which if I had to take what I don't know about it, that'd take about a long, longer time than I'm going to live. Anyway, I posted a chart up here of the E-mini S&P. Even though we're talking about this stuff today, I wanted you to see that the high today was a 38% reach race under the high we made on October 24th. Given astrology or nothing else, I'm looking to sell that because I believe these numbers, astrology, I don't quite understand. In August of 76, I started working at Drexel Burnham. I wasn't sure I was going to make it or not because I'd never been a broker before. I knew how to trade. They gave me some accounts. I did pretty good. After about six months, I knew I was going to do very good. I needed help. I called Jim Twentiman, who was working at Conti, who didn't like being a broker. I said, JT, I said, come and work with me. We'll have some fun down here at Drexel Burnham. He came down. He happened to be going with the lady who was in charge of all of the cooking. Well, it's not cooking. What was it called? Catering for the breakfast, lunch, and dinner for the Mike Milken Group, which was upstairs on the fourth floor. That was pretty much of a no-brainer. He came down to work with me. Jim had always been dealing with Gann and stuff like this. But a lady came in around early 77, around February. She'd been over watching the market over at Dean Witter. She says, I know astrology and silver, she says, but no one will trade because I don't have any money. I said, well, tell me what you're doing. She says, well, I can buy silver. I do it usually once or twice a month. I never lose, but I don't have any money. I said, okay, I'll tell you what, you give me the order. I'll put it in and we'll split the profits. I said, I'm going to open a $5,000 account for you. We're going to split that and see how we do. And I said, how will the order work? She says, I'm going to call you and I'll tell you to buy silver at a certain time of the day. And then several days later, I'm going to call you back and sell it at a certain time of the day. I said, how much of a stop will you use? She said, I won't have to use a stop because we're not going to lose. And I was very uncomfortable with that. But I said, okay, I've tried everything, so we'll try it out. So she said, I'll give you an order to like to buy silver at 6.45 in the morning. And then when I call it back in a couple of days, I'll sell it to whatever the time happens to be at 10.18. So first thing I had to do was to figure out how I was going to get the timing right. So I sent the secretary across the street to Walgreens buy me a nice little alarm clock. And unfortunately, she bought one that was like a fire bell. And so the first time the thing went off, it said to buy the silver and stuff. I'll tell you what happened. But we put our orders in not by, in order to put it in, you know, by phone, you had to do multiple contracts like 10 or more. But if you didn't, you sent it in by wire. So I had to tell the wire operator to put the order in to buy silver at 17, 18 in the morning. It's when it was. And silver was trading in around 4.25. So he sends the order in to buy silver at 7.18. The guy calls me back, Richie from Goldberg Brothers. He said, what the hell kind of order is this? Buying it at 7.18. The price is $3 lower. I said, Richie, I said, I'm buying it on time. He said, are you buying it at 7.18 in 30 seconds or 7.18 in 59 seconds? I said, Richie, he said, you're going to have to call and give me a market order. So the bell rings. I put it in. It had a thing on the market order. Well, anyway, after about listening to these bells ring about three times over the next couple of weeks, everybody was making fun of 20 Minutes and Me Buy. I have new toe frog and all this other stuff and astrology and stuff like that. But after about five of those straight winners, everybody was co-tailing her. And of course she had some drawdown. She would buy silver and might drop $700. But by golly, when it turned out to sell it about two days later, it had a profit. The problem was, boys and girls, she was doing a moon and Scorpio astrology thing. Well, Jimmy reminded me that she had about nine straight winners. I paid her $3,000 in the first group and I still owed her some money at the very end, but we never could find her. She just disappeared. I think what she was doing is the same thing over at Santa Monica. Dean Woodard had a big boardroom there and I think someone made her a better deal. But I never heard from her again. I did everything. I tried tracking her down through a private investigator. She just totally disappeared. Her name was Mary Rivers and I never heard from her again. But that's what she was doing. After this was all over, 20 Minutes being the astute astrologer that he was, he had the times that we had these nine trades put on. So we asked Neil Michelson down at Astral Computing in San Diego who was one of our accounts that we had done well with soybeans. We asked him, Neil, what is happening astrologically at these times? The next day he comes back and he said moon is going into Scorpio and going out of Scorpio. And so what we did is we started testing moon in Scorpio. Well, the problem was starting in 1974, Silver started a bull market that ended in January the 8th of 2000 and excuse me, 2020 of 1980. So it was a straight up bull market. Of course there were moves down during that time but it was heavily biased and that's why she was right so many times in a row. So that's how that whole thing started. Now the second part of this is I never looked at astrology after that at all because I'm trading for the next six years. I'm trading basically, they didn't have hedge funds back in those days but I was trading multiple accounts all Drexel accounts came from a lot of actors, a lot of sports celebrities, pull up politicians. I had some big hitters in there. 20 men helped me do all that stuff and we did extremely well. Believe it or not folks, we made 100% a year for 77, 78, 79, 80, 81. I left in April of 82 to trade on the floor the exchange and we were doing well then but all we were doing folks was simple A, B, C, D. Not any astrology at all. So I just wanted to bring that to your attention. The second part of the astrology that I got into and I remember I didn't touch this again until August of 1986 and I was trading, well I was actually working as an expert witness for Eddie Horowitz and Kiesel Young and Logel Gibson Dunn and Crutcher over in California I was making a nice living but I was not trading. I was following the markets. My licenses were parked in San Luis Obispo at Bateman, Eichel Hill Richards that was owned by, what was his name? What was his name? The guy that ran for, not Ross Hunt. I can remember, he ran for president really. I'll remember in a second. Anyway, they were just using my licenses because I had all the things. I had about seven licenses from Drexel before it was all over. But anyway, we were doing that and I was not doing very much but I'm going to have to take a break here because I can't quite finish this up but we'll be finishing it up on the next term. The reason why I'm going through all this folks I made a big prediction that I thought the market was going to be bottoming here on that lunar eclipse that we had on Friday, okay? Now I didn't know if it was going to go down lower or not but we've had a rally but the rally has only been 3A2. Not a good sign boys and girls. Not a good sign. Let's take a break. 877-927-6648. Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master. Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019, finishing at number two for the year. An amazing accomplishment. Steve Rhodes is committed to sharing his techniques and knowledge with anyone who wants to learn and he shares his vast amount of trading knowledge every day in his Mastering Probability newsletter. Steve's award-winning newsletter, Mastering Probability, is delivered every trading day with updates throughout the afternoon. Sign up for Steve's market newsletter, Mastering Probability and you'll receive access to seven of Steve's educational webinars absolutely free. At TFNN, all our newsletters come with a 30-day money-back guarantee, so you have absolutely nothing to worry about. Visit TFNN.com and try Mastering Probability 30 Days Risk-Free Today. TFNN, Educating Investors. Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights, your key to successful active trading. Tom O'Brien, renowned for his expertise in the financial markets, has designed Market Insights to be your daily guide to profitable trades. Tom publishes his daily Market Insights newsletter every market day before the market open, along with updates when warranted. Stay ahead of the game with Tom's real-time analysis and trade recommendations delivered straight to your inbox. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, Market Insights provides the edge you need to navigate the markets with confidence. Ready to join the ranks of successful traders? Head over to TFNN.com and subscribe to Market Insights today. Don't miss out on this opportunity to supercharge your trading results. Market Insights comes with a 30-day money-back guarantee for all new subscribers, so you have nothing to risk. Don't miss out on this opportunity to revolutionize your trading game. Head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights firsthand. TFNN, educating investors. Currencies, commodities, and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe, which is why it's a great time to try out Teddy Kegstad's Tiger Forex report. Teddy Kegstad breaks down the forex markets every Monday using his 30-plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures, forex, stocks, and options. Teddy releases his weekly Tiger Forex report every Monday morning with coverage of all the major currency pairs, including the dollar index, the euro dollar, pound dollar, dollar Swiss, dollar yen, as well as many more, and he also has weekly coverage of the crude oil market and the 30-year T-bonds as they both influence forex markets tremendously. When you sign up for the Tiger Forex report, you also gain instant access to Teddy's 60-minute Webinar Archive. He just hosted forex strategies and fundamentals What is Behind the Tiger Forex report. For all the details and to start your 30-day Tiger Forex report subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN, educating investors. This is part of this astrology thing. I just posted the chart of the soybean meal. This is our trade of the day that we thought would be pretty good. You can see the three drive to a top pattern we had here over the last eight trading days on the four-hour chart. I also posted it on the daily and you can see also we were making a 61% retracement. Nothing to do with this. Well, it has something to do with astrology, but I don't know what it is. I don't really care. It's high, low. You can see here we went right up to the 61% retracement there. That was on Friday. Selling it on the opening today has been relatively the smart thing to do, but that's what I'm looking at. The reason why I'm going through the second part of this is in August of 1986 I got a letter from my beloved sister and my aunt and it had a note from Dr. Ruth Miller. Ruth Miller had been a professor at Indiana and I had had the account of her husband, John and her son, Terry. They had a large soybean 1900 acres in Southern California which is a lot of land folks and I did hedging for them and also we did Texas hedging along the futures, along the cash. We did really well. John passed away very, very early in about 19. Oh my gosh, that must have been about 1935, Terry about a few years later than that. He was in an accident. Anyway, she was a widow. She ended up trading until she was 96. She had a trade on when she passed away two years ago folks. She was living in a nursing home in Indianapolis, but she was still trading. But she sent me a note saying that soybeans were going to go off the board at, I forget the price, it was 585. She had it written on a napkin from Louisa's restaurant there on South Third Street in Terhote and I had it on. I wasn't following the markets. I was watching the prices and so we finally had some computers, we could look at this stuff. This was 86 now and so I saw when I looked at the price that no beans were right off, within a penny and she had told me this six weeks ahead of time so I called her up and she said look, I'm going to be going down to Florida for the winter. Why don't you come down and spend a couple months with me between Fibonacci and Astrology. This was my slow time of the year. We didn't have any legal cases coming up. We had one that we just finished and so I had time until the first of the year. It was basically a free trip and so I went down and I spent seven weeks with her and her husband in Sarasota, Florida and she started to go through all these things. I'm very skeptical folks, I really am. I don't know if this is going to work or not but anyway, I started looking at full moons and new moons and then she showed me the Bradley model. This book was written in 1946. Bradley predicted what the market was going to do with a pretty good degree of accuracy and that's why I'm talking to you about this today because we have a situation going on now with that same type of thing where it's predicting something that is going to happen. I put this in the newsletter. I sent it out in a video and you won't be seeing it again until we reach the top which is supposed to come in mid-January. The reason why is folks I don't use that when I'm looking at things to buy or sell. I go back to what gets me to the place where I want to be and that is the old finish line. So that's what I'm trying to get to the point is you don't really need to know this. I don't, I mean look at this, look at this chart on the meal. You don't have to know anything about astrology with this. Now, it just happened to be a lunar eclipse here in a full moon. Sure, that worked great full moons. And I showed you before last week I showed you how I counted 14 days when you got a pattern that ends at one of these time periods like we were looking at here in the S&P let's get the old stop and P up here where it's right here. Here's what we're looking at. Here's the S&P. There was the lunar eclipse right there. Okay, now if we went down this on a daily basis not doing anything other than that see how I, see how I marked these right here. There's your full moon. There's your new moon. Let's straight it again. This is the full moon. This is the new moon. This is the full moon. These are off by one day. And sometimes they don't last very long at all. So all I'm saying, look at it. There was your number right there. 41 47. The market went to 41 31 22. It went 22 3 Extra Handles below it. But if you'd have bought it there you could have 50 handoff profit right now. So that's all I'm saying. I don't, I don't I don't know understand this stuff now. Our guest coming up here at the break he certainly does and he's the one that showed me this Bradley model and basically what it is it's a little verification of Bradley Bradley took the 10 planets. This this complicated model comes from Art Alfie Levoix one of the premier astrologies in the whole planet and he was the one that said well we'll wait these differently because Venus, Uranus, Mercury, and Jupiter have heavier weightings because these are ones that are related to economic cycles and so if you weight those heavily that'll give you a different Bradley model than if you look at all ten and that's what we're looking at when we're watching these things and the other thing is folks you got to remember something too it doesn't work all the time the best that it ever does is around 70 percent however I will say this I've seen this where I believe it was 98 and also 96 the mid 90s when the markets were going the Bradley model was absolutely perfect I mean really perfect folks and we would when you stop and think that you do that Bradley model 10 years in advance a thousand years in advance or a multi-ethics thing. Shane is saying me I'm explaining it perfectly yeah right anyway you can do it so far in advance that that's pretty good but folks I'm a short-term trader you can tell me where the market's going to be let's say in three months and I say well how's it going to get there and that's where the patterns you know lead you to where you want to go but it does have a bullish bullish bias working going today so that's the main thing we're looking at the reason why I want to show you this bullish bias is because of right here and that is in the let's get this up here right here we'll see where we are this is the Dow Jones now look at the Dow Jones folks there's where we were there's your there's your 382 look what happened here folks you see how we start going higher that said that market has had a real bullish bias we're wept over 400 points I believe now in the Dow okay so that's we're watching remember on the Dow on the daily we were supposed to possibly come down just a little bit more but we didn't get there we only got to the 78% level on Friday right on the old money so buying it there would have been pretty good you're up about 450 points right now and moving higher and going sharply above and we can certainly say sharply above the 382 because that came in right there and we're still moving higher so that's why it has a has a bullish bias okay that's what we're we're trying to figure out as we're looking at that so putting it all this together you know I look at it in fact is those of you that have never seen that I'm going to show it to you one last time because I believe we can do that hello operator yeah this is what we want to see here and this is the one we want to see is right here this is where we are right now folks we'll show you again in 2024 what that says and we'll take a look at it to see if it's any good because if it's right you're going to get a as they say in the trade a double whammy it's either going to be long into january and remember we have the old january effect to look at and then after that we certainly want to be able to see you know some of the other things that are that are going on here today I believe we have a what we call a break-in mistake stay tuned for the wolf trader folks the shaman's coming up eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight and i'm out of breath gold report as a precious metal gold is still king it continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the london otc market the us futures market and the shanghai gold exchange the gold report tom o'brien publishes his weekly gold report every monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the xau hui gdx the dollar bonds the south african rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy sell recommendations the gold report new subscribers get a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk subscribe to tom o'brien's gold report newsletter now at 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back folks and i believe we have the shane man in the house are you there my friend is this duke and duke duke and duke shane you're gonna get a kick out of this i guess got a quick uh uh text message from 20 when they said hey he said hey he said hey elon he said don't forget tell these folks that this astrology is nothing more than numbers you got it go ahead tell us what you're looking at my friend yeah numbers and uh and i'll get into the optimization of this actually i think you explained it perfectly i i sent you that message uh but uh it it it's it's uh it's important to weight these planets i think per symbol so we'll get into that uh i do want to touch on the geomagnetic storms real quick so i want to give everybody an update where we are we we are passing the peak now of the geomagnetic storms uh we did have a couple pop up last week on friday and over the weekend but we we are past the peak here guys and this is this is good news for the market i think i think once that these storms start to calm down this is this by the way this is this is not astrology this is geomagnetic storms there's separate topics uh this was written about by the federal reserve of atlanta and so these have a cyclical seasonal pattern now they do they're a little bit unpredictable in terms of when they actually come off the sun but uh they do they do have a pattern here so we're going to drop off substantially into november and then into december so that means that the markets are going to have one less thing to deal with them and they have been they have been just getting beat up by these storms and i've shown this before but these storms uh move inverse of the actual seasonal pattern so down here below this i put the dow jones seasonal pattern and i realized hey these are mirrors of each other so i don't know if this solar storm activity is causing the the dow jones cycle or if they're just correlated or whatever it is but uh you can see that the dow jones has a seasonal low right right about now and then it rallies all the way up until the end of the year and then the solar storm activity drops off so i think i think that's good news for everybody i mean it's been a long a pretty long few months here i think for the bulls uh i mean we we were short for quite a while on this but it's a lot easier to make money buying buying stocks and futures than it is shorting so um especially for long-term investors so i think there's going to be some good news coming out here i think things are going to clean up a little bit so what i want to do is just i want to just refresh some charts here this was august 2022 this was a g3 storm that came out and when we were in this bearish condition uh it it did tend to knock these markets down very very quickly uh currently in the current situation uh you can see i've been tracking these storms as they come across here this is this is the s and p four hour chart here so you know as the market came up the these storms really just kind of beat on this thing all the way down we didn't get any type of a big crash i mean we just got kind of a measured sell-off here but each time these storms came out they definitely they put some hurt on the market i mean at least on the short term and so we did have one over the weekend we had another one i think there's another one coming tonight like a little one but i think the bulk of this is over and so i i do think from this perspective we we can get these off of the market just for a few months that's going to help things out uh in terms of this market going higher here so that's one less thing we have to worry about uh i i do look at the the 12 hour time frame sometimes we look at this and these bolinger bands are are rolling to the to the highs here and a lot of times when you see that uh that that's the end of a trend so uh that's something that that i look for uh we also see this on the daily chart too so when these bolinger bands hit that peak uh that can often be uh the end of a trend here so this is this is a daily chart here and i'm going to get into that bradley in a minute but this is this is the fed juice here these are the fed internals you can see that they've just been coming down coming down slightly and the market essentially just following the path of this so the fed is not committed yet to support this market you know we're still into this tightening phase this tightening environment but i think once the fed commits here i think we're going to have a nice environment here for stocks i just think that the the astro all of these cycles have essentially bottomed at this point we do have some bottoming cycles in uh november december apple bottoms in about two weeks on one of my forecasts and it's kind of a choppy period into here i think but ultimately i think uh just the astro that's been dogging this market for many months here i mean we've had just some substantial astro here dogging this thing is really coming to an end and then once we get into this 2024 we do have a lot of steeliums here so there's there's a lot of positive stuff coming and i think there's reason to be optimistic about this market and i think that's going to be good news for the investors that the question is when you know when does this finally turn up and start to to press and challenge these highs here i think that's going to depend upon what the fed does but in terms of the astro i think that uh you know the worst is over and then the positive stuff starts with this we have this whole election cycle coming up in 2024 so i think i think that's going to be good news for for the bulls now this bolinger bandwidth here this is on a daily timeframe this one also hit the roof here you can see that this is all the way up here at the top and every time this hits this this hits the top you can see these trending situations come to an end and then you know we get this stagnant period here while it falls and it's kind of this whole cyclic process of this bolinger band pushing up so it pushed up to the to the high here to me this looks like this is a perfect place here to end this push lower and then i think we're setting up now for something i think just more positive in the coming weeks so what do you what do you think larry i know how to think one way baby a b equals cd and i'm sticking with it no you know i'm scared i'm scared of this stuff i have been since i started learning it you know way back in 86 and you know i'm you know you don't believe this but you know when i was a catholic kid to think of astrology that was a mortal sin i mean it really was if you not only that eating meat on friday you know not going to confession all that stuff but the main thing was that those were false gods before you and that was really tough the ironic part about this is that the college the high school spanish teacher that i had sister estelle brazine she was the dean at the university of not university saint saint mary's of the woods it's a private college outside of tarot and she ran at it was in the hole she ran it into you know to super what it is right now and she was invited to go to the vatican library and she was there in an 88 after i'd written astrology you know astro cycles a trader's viewpoint i went over to see her and i had lunch with her and she told me that she could only go down to the fifth level and i said how many levels are there she said i'm not sure she said there's someone says there's 25 levels below ground in the vatican where all this stuff these and books of antiquity are there and she said larry she said there's stuff there that they don't even they don't even like to talk about at lunch you know so i just you know that's what am i going to do you know anyway whenever whenever the time whenever my number comes up on the big casino i'm ready so it doesn't make any difference okay sounds good all right so um taking a look here this is the s and p daily chart we we track you know i track the fed use in the fed internals these guys have been in a cell since uh july the 20th year so this is the fed use has been in the cell since July 20th the fed internals since the 18 since the 815 so quite a while we've had this persistent downward pressure we still have a cell in the fed use it has not gone into a buy so the problem is here we do have you can see this quad lunar cycle here in blue these are lunar cycles by the moon you can see they've been tracking this market pretty well we can go all the way back here to 822 and then you can just see that these little blue arrows just by following what the moon is doing have been tracking this market very well we and these are you know believe it or not these are given a month ahead of time yeah this is coming this we'll talk about this we got we got to pay a few bills we have a question with you when you come back shane okay sure sure shane small you folks wolf trader dot com we'll be right back you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com the opening call newsletter is written by basal Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman wave the Chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by basal Chapman in your inbox every day first time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors are you ready to take your trading to the next level introducing 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such as traders and active investors distributor four side fund services llc this program is brought to you by vista gold traded on the nyse american ntsx under the symbol vgz we've got a caller from elgin illinois he'd like to ask he'd like to ask what you've got so much that you know what's your number one go to signal that's what he's asking oh that's easy the fed juice i just put my money in and i don't think about it i i trade a basket right now i have a basket of six symbols trading on that thing it's very stable and you put multiple symbols together i have daily stops on that too so um yeah i put them all together and i just let them go i don't even think about it now in terms of that's trading in terms of forecasting and i like the polar r-squared too i do trade that but fed juice 100% just go with it um in terms of forecasting i gotta say i have the cat master graph here so what this is this is an actual forecasting tool so this is not a trading tool trading is different than forecasting and i think i think that's what larry's talking about with the abcd uh concept that he's he looks at the forecast and then he's applying the the discipline of the trading model to it this is a forecast model that i have that looks at four different um four different models and they're all independent and i put them together and it forecast what's going to happen so this said that we were going to have a double dip this month and that's exactly what happened i mean it pretty much followed this to the t so you can see this was the beginning of october here it showed us coming down it showed a bounce and then it showed a lower lower the markets here and then we're supposed to be having some type of a bounce here now coming into early november but if you go back and you actually look at the market um you will see that that's that's what happened and that's a perfect segue into our next segment here which is the bradley uh but uh this this optimized bradley which larry was talking about but you can see this is this is the double bounce into october it did exactly what what it said it was going to do and the reason why i i use that model is because they don't always agree sometimes you'll get one model that says up one model says down one's model says sideways so i basically just put them all together and i and i put them in a spreadsheet and i wait them and i and i call it the cat master cycles and transits or combined astro transits i had a couple names for it and i just call it the cat and that that's a really nice forecasting model i mean it's really nice i mean every we get a pretty good roadmap every month but now as larry was talking to you guys about uh we have the optimized bradley so let's let's talk about this this is very interesting uh this is like as he said this is by alphie lavoix this is from air software and so what what alphie did was he took the bradley and the bradley is a composite of multiple planets and all these different things and and the altitudes that the or the uh declarations and all these different things and it and it waits it according to the market and so this one is weighted for the s and p and so um this this this black line down here is the s and p and then the red line up here is the actual bradley so i do want to just explain something to the audience that forecasting and forecasting to the future and back testing is not the same thing i know a lot of people think that's the case but it's not and so what i want to show you is if you go back so this line right here this is where the s and p stops here this is this is in june so you can see here this is june so everything before this this is what we call in sample data this is the past and this is what people talk about as as it's like a back test right and this is what's called out of sample and so when we're talking about trading and developing trading systems and forecasting really what happens in the past does not really matter too much to be honest with you because a lot of times when you optimize a trading system in the past it looks so good it looks perfect and this we we found the holy grail and then you go to do it in live in real time and it just doesn't work because you model noise right so it's going to model all the noise and all the hiccups and so the problem is you want to make sure that when you look at the past the past does match the market so you can see down here the s and p does this rise here here's the bradley you can see down here it does a dip here and s and p goes down the bradley goes up the s and p goes up it's a really nice match into the past right but does the but does the question is does the past equal the future and that's a big question when we're talking about forecasting models and so i'm always focusing on making sure that whatever was in the past is going to go out into the future so what i did was i stopped this in june right i stopped this in june and i just let it run i let it run for for you know june july august september oct five months and so what did it do and out of sample on its own okay you can see i numbered these these counts here and when you actually look at this it actually continued to forecast the s and p very well you can see this number one here is a high in july and then it comes down into two and up into three down into four and so it did a very good job here of forecasting this general movement of the s and p and then it has us going up now so that that's that's a good sign i mean i i would never use a model that i did not see out of sample that i did not see how it actually forecasted because i can come up with a thousand different models that look great on the back test but they may not work so if we actually zoom in you can see this is all out of sample this this is remember i stopped this in june uh and you can see here that at the at the low here this letter a you can see this is the market low here at a the letter b here you can see this is the market high here at b you can see the letter c here this is the market low here at c market high here at d and then the market low here at e now i want you to pay attention to something here too this the shape of this graph right here this looks just like the cat master that we that i just showed you so the composite that i made this composite one here that i actually took four different models and put them together that actually matched it pretty well i mean they these two have nothing to do with each other and yet they forecasted the same same outcome in the s and p so um it's a new tool and and we're going to be adding it to all the markets i i you know give me a month two subscribers i would give me a month i'm going to put this on every market on every symbol that we have so you'll have an optimized bradley for you know for metals and each energy currents is all that stuff because now instead of just having one bradley barometer for the s and p we can customize it and so that and that's what larry was talking about when he said that they have different weights so you know maybe the s and p likes venus more and you know gold likes uh uranus more or silver likes mercury or the moon or something so now we can actually weight this so that i just thought that was interesting uh and so i sent that you know we were larry and i were talking this weekend about that he always calls me with some timely questions and that one came up the other one that larry asked me all the time is about steelium and and that's coming up in 2024 so i think that's going to improve the outlook into 2024 for sure um do can we talk about bitcoin for a second absolutely we got all the time you need it for three minutes go ahead okay i mean i have a lot i can talk about a lot of markets today but i like bitcoin a lot here guys um and bitcoin you can see this is this is the this is all the major cryptos here bitcoin a theorem ripple like when cardano and they're all in this charge higher i i like crypto here i mean i i think crypto serves many functions uh it serves you know it's a store of value and then now with you know it tends to be a panic vehicle for banking situations and it also tends to be a vehicle of alpha and and and these high risk on type trades i really think this is a precursor to the s&p i really think it's already telling us that the s&p is about to do the same thing i mean it may take a month or two for the s&p to get up but i really think that this is a leading indicator for s&p uh so i i i feel very positive about bitcoin going forward i really do i i just think it has a bright future if they're talking about the etf there's so much here that i think it has ahead of it and then we saw how quickly you know back like a year ago during the ftx how quickly it jumped like 30 and just a few days that you know it's it's trading at 35 now i mean that high is not that far away it sounds like it's far away but really if you think about how quickly this has moved before i think bitcoin has all the potential here to keep to keep moving here and i i just i'm i'm bullish on crypto i'm bullish on bitcoin and i think this is going to be a proxy for the s&p into 2024 i just i really like it it's following the solar cycles where you can see this this line by the way this line right here everybody can see this solar cycle so bitcoin has its own seasonal pattern too so it's in a bullish one right now we'll be right back folks shane simoleon wolf trader net com if you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market then rocket equities and options report is a newsletter you should try tomio brian delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and technicals sign up for rocket equities and options report today with a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk for all the details and to start your subscription today visit the front page of tfnn.com tfnn educating investors you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com the opening call newsletter is written by basal chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the chapman wave the chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by basal chapman in your inbox every day first time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors everything in the universe 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fed use like i said i just i just go with whatever the fed use says i just follow it and these are two very strong fed uses gold gold same thing has been tracking this well to gold still it still looks pretty bullish to me more so than oil if i had to look at the two of them also just real quick apple uh i just want to point something out to people the fed use has been in a cell since 629 on apple that's a long time um i i think apple's coming into a low here soon guys i have this wolf trader wave that i wrote here and this is a wave structure that uses machine learning i have this coming into a low in about two weeks uh and then we have a quad lunar cycle coming into a low around november the eighth so i think apple's getting close to some type of a low here in the middle of november and that would make sense that it would bottom first ahead of s and p because it's technology and so i just think that we're slowly in this bottoming process here and i think you're going to see this rumbling here for a couple months and then i think 2024 looks looks pretty good so okay good we've got any you got about one minute to go so won't you tell the folks how they can reach you absolutely you deserve a commercial you can head on over to wolftraderfutures.com or www.fedjuice.com and my contact is shane at wolftraderfutures.com be sure to join us every saturday eight o'clock we have a webinar we're going to be there this saturday you can it's free to attend you can come out on youtube at wolf trader futures and we're raising rates in about a month and a half so lock in your rates now if you guys want to try it out you can get a one week trial no cost to you just try it out see if you like it see if it's for you if not that's fine too otherwise we'll see you this saturday eight o'clock so thank you for joining us my friend live every day in an attitude of gratitude folks we'll see you on the flip side tomorrow jeff huge alpha insights will be our guest thank you shane you did a bang up job once again appreciate it appreciate it larry you bet