 Let's get over to our man. Mr. Tim or as we do every Tuesday and Thursday and don't forget you can reach him every trading day at odd hyphen Oracle comm that's odd hyphen oracle comm now as you come to the front page of TFN and folks our man Mr. Tim or you're gonna see it right under featured content and Tim's gonna be doing a Webinar for us. Okay, so the last webinar he did Bottomline it was all about with what the ratios were when he's looking for bottoms Well, guess what we're gonna do out here the secret science of market tops So this is gonna be on December 14th. It's gonna be from 4 to 5 30 It's only 149 dollars and Tim is gonna be giving you his experience of what he is looking for At tops and you know, you've heard him plenty of times Okay, he has a very unique way of looking at the marketplace and a very consistent way of looking at the marketplace Tim or what's going on brother? All right Well, we can take a look at the equity market, so we can take a look at the gold market I'm good for whatever you want. You just tell me where to go We'll just start with the chart chart one. Okay You know, we're gonna look at the bigger picture and kind of work backwards awesome Okay, and so kind of yeah, you know the bigger time frame for all the smaller time frame So the year rule the monthly the monthly rule the week leaves the week leave rule the dailies and on down Yes, so this chart here It's actually the equity book call ratio readings and The bottom window is a 21-day average. So that's like a month of book call ratio readings Yes, and every time this ratio is up around 75 Or higher or point seven four right now. So close enough Yeah, and I marked those times going back to two thousand mid 2014 With red lines and then actually pink shade I see that yes And and this ratio has been there since you know my ball is probably about June of this year And we're still in the bullish range the the next That's the bottom window of the next hard windows of five day, which is only a week Okay data, but the 21 day or a month of data There's still enough puts out there to drive the market higher and So on the bigger time frame. So I don't think we're seeing a top here At least not yet because the sentiment which is what the call ratio readings are yes Are a sentiment indicator, you know if we got up or we got down around Maybe point five or point four, you know, you might be looking at a top But we're still in the bullish area So in my opinion the market still can push higher on a cement type indicator It doesn't really tie me where the highs and lows are but gives you the general trend of the market So the cement right now is still bullish. So the cement suggests the market still can move higher So yeah, these ratios are so cool Tim And I I can see this line if you're watching Tiger TV folks You can see the red line coming right across it man. That's pretty amazing actually and you know Remember the the program's archive. So in your car, you know, just listen on the radio Remember you can go back and look at these shots because it's pretty amazing man, particularly, you know, you did you went back nine years Yeah, man, it's pretty intense Yeah, it really looks at the bigger picture and and really when the ratios on a point seven five on the 21 day If you look it's never really been wrong Yeah, no, no, trust me. I can see it. Yeah, right. It's like So it's a good indicator, I guess the follow-up or that way. Yes, so I kind of look at it Don't have to look at it every day But it now is saying something so it's worth keeping in mind, right? It's flip to chart two. Okay And that chart we talked about this last week, I think and anyhow it's a it's at the top window is the NYSE summation index yes, and It goes through a selling climax Then needs to go to a buying climax to get an immediate term low and it's selling climax any reading below 700 and the blue lines cross this chart this chart goes back to 2007 our times when the Summation index fell below 700 okay, so it's okay. So now that's a selling climax. So so now you got to have a buying climax mate The graphics I use on this chart sometimes those lines move a little bit But in general, the whole blue lines came right at the bottoms. Yes, I didn't quite line them up some of them But anyhow, they're pretty close. But right now on October 27th. We had a Summation readings of minus 800 and change 813 I think it was So that was October 27th to get a buying climax now You need to buy in common kind of climax Dissume another impulse way to the upside is starting and that would be a rally to plus 1,000 and it should come in around two months So October 27th. We had two months December 27th. So at this month December 27th You like to see the summation decks reach plus 1,000 and if you do that really bodes well for the intermediate term the last time we got these readings came in Okay, well the selling climax came at the October 2023 low then we had a buying climax looks like first part of January. So it was a little bit over two months But if you now we're getting another one that would actually add to the bullish scenario, right? Okay, I don't know if we'll get it or not. Do we really need it? We'd like to see it So is it necessary? Maybe not? You know, it's so cool. You know, it's so cool. I mean pretty bullish, right? And what's so cool to him is that you know, yeah, yeah, you're getting You know as you're breaking all these different tools down that you're educating us on It's so cool because there's just more confirmations. Like I said, I mean, you know, yeah It it may do it but if it does it well, it's giving you a huge amount of information Right, I mean I give you more confidence on the yes on the trade right, you know, this is a bigger time frame So we're gonna actually you know, we're looking at the bigger time frames now So we're gonna as we go through these graphs, we're gonna go down to a real small time frame Right and actually get down to the days that actually see where we are but the summation decks right now as of yesterday Was 400 with 398.38 so basically 400 and we need to get to plus 1,000 by December 27th We already gone from minus 800 to plus 400. So that's what 1200 points. Yes For what about about a month and yeah a couple of weeks So reaching plus 1,000 by 27th is really doable that would that would suggest the mark would actually have to hold up here in general If not move higher over the next what three weeks, whatever it is. Yes So it gives you a view of what to get if we have a crash here in the coming weeks That would spoil this whole setup right, right, so But but the mark kind of holds steady or moves higher Or then that would be boys for the bigger term. So now flip to Chart number three, okay Now we're starting to go down to the smaller time frames bigger time frames look pretty good So let's go down to the smaller time frames a second window up from the bottom is a 10-day trend Okay, you get it you get a 10-day trend up around 1.2 That shows a lot of panic in the market and begin down to Round 0.9 or lower. We're as like did this chart was 0.9 for and So it's kind of on a short term base. It's not ideal here Yeah, I hear you music awesome Just wait one second and folks says that you know Tim's gonna be doing this workshop You want to understand what you're gonna be looking for at whether it's long term Top shot term tops bottom line check it out. It's under featured content. It's gonna be on December 14th Tim and I are gonna be right back folks Welcome back folks Tim wood to Tom O'Brien. We do appreciate your crowd when I'm prowling with this now folks Okay, we have a lot of a lot of things happening at TF and in you know over the holidays Okay, we have the Tiger doll sale going on Bottom line is that we got a man. Mr. Tim wood which is on the line right now He's gonna be doing a workshop and this workshop, you know The first one he did was that you know looking at bottoms the second one You know you got all his experience from all of these years And you know that he looks at it a very unique way and we're going through some of them right now So check it out on the front page of TF and it's four to five thirty since the end of time December 14th hour and a half you're gonna Basically go through everything that you're gonna be looking for on tops Now let's go take a look. I was on chat three Tim, right? I think was three. Yeah chart three Yeah, chart three so anyhow, so the second window up from the bottom is a 10-day trend And we always talked about this in the past. Yes, and this indicator is really good at picking out bottoms Fair at tops, but the red lines on this chart this chart goes back It's about two years or close to two years. Okay. Yeah red lines Are times when that 10-day trend is at point nine or lower? So it's not showing top panic, but you know before tops doesn't really actually produce the top But panic always produces a bottom matter of fact, we don't have panic the market You don't have a bottom, but you can have a top that's euphoric As far as the 10-day trend concern they're gonna still go up. So yeah top You know, I'm glad you yeah, I'm glad you're bringing this up Tim because tops are definitely different than bottoms folks Okay, they can stretch for a longer period of time Just as Tim saying, you know, they're just different man And you know it's it's pretty yeah, it's it's wild and when you think about it actually but yeah, right? You gotta actually use some different tools. Yes, and we'll cover that actually on our seminar or webinar Yes, but next next Thursday, but you know, you know, so I marked the times on this chart when the 10-day trend was that point nine or lower. Okay a lot of times it comes at the highs as sometimes they're just short-term highs and You know just kind of a timeout. So we're at point nine four as of today It'll be a little bit higher tomorrow and that's kind of a danger zone so it's it's You know, you're kind of you know, it's not ideal. So can the mark move higher? Yeah, can it be a top here? Yeah, you know, so you know, it's 50-50. So right to Chart number four. Okay, you got the 10-day trend point nine It's not ideal for a top, but it's kind of leaning that way. Okay So now this chart kind of looks a little bit on the bigger picture. So we're looking at the short-term But we're also keeping an eye on the the intermediate term and so what it is You know, the bottom window will start with that. Yes VIX. Okay, and when you got the VIX below 17 A lot of times you get a trending market or a bullish market. Yes The trend will start to go up before the 9, you know 95% of the time the trend or the VIX will start to go up before the top actually happens So normally you get a little correction the VIX pops up the market It's a newer high and the VIX makes a lower high and when that starts to happen You know several days or oh, it's not longer. You're probably going into a top. Okay, so at this moment in time We got the S&P's pretty much matching. It's July high and we got the SPX VIX ratio So that that flips the VIX Upside down I guess and said the SP is going up VIX going down this ratio makes Kind of mirrors the trend of the S&P. Yes, and it gives and it gets you a divergence Where it could be a positive or a negative divergence, but you know, if you look at The 2022 high, which is that pink area there you have the SP's making higher highs and this ratio making lower highs that's a very divergence and in the Current high which is a blue part right now. You got the SP's testing the July high And you got this ratio making higher highs. Well, that's a bullish divergence So I say hopefully and we also got the VIX below 17 right another kind of a bullish sign So it looks pretty good Wow, what a great puzzle man It is man, it's awesome. You got to keep going and think okay, right gonna go on right right right man There's nothing like a great picture man. Holy cow. Okay. Go ahead Right. So so bigger trends up. Okay. Let's get to a really short term. Okay chart number five. Okay Now this this is this chart. It's designed for short term So if you get diverges going on chances are short term like with the next day or two or three You're gonna have a reversal if you go back Okay, the middle window is the TLT to the VVIX ratio. Yes That's the VIX of the VIX. This is not the VIX but the VVIX So it's a VIX so the VIX of the VIX anticipates the VIX But direct is going to go So the VIX of the VIX starts going up that means the VIX is kind of going to start going up Yes, so that confuse anybody. No, no, that's that. I got it. Yeah. Yeah, all right So and the TLT is the bond market, right? So and so so I put the bond market in this and the bond market has a big effect on the equity market Oh, yeah, it has an impact. So I put those two together and see how over time how it worked turns out It worked pretty good As a matter of fact back in July on your program. I got out about a week before yes The S&P's made that top in July and I stayed out all the way into the bottom right now I actually I did trade that there a few couple things up that I've made a lot 2% made Lower and I lost about one and a quarter percent on that decline But the market went down 10% right so that was that was a win, but you know The reason why I got out back in July time frame was because of this Chart because the TLT VX ratio is making lower highs as this SPY's was making higher highs What going into the bottom of? October this ratio is going straight up and the market was going straight down and I got in the low now We're going up again I've been on the current time frame here over the last couple of weeks We're kind of chattering up here and you know Tim I don't mean to interrupt it, but that that was a dynamite trade when you get out there I mean because you know the S&P's well We were almost at forty six hundred and we all went all the way down to what forty one fifty or something, right? Yeah Yeah, yeah, that was it. That was a great trade. Yeah, so I'm out So I'm wanted, you know, so I'm seeing the reason why I got out was because of this ratio. Yes TLT VIX ratio Well, you know, we're starting making higher highs on the S&P's not a lot higher highs But we're kind of chattering up. Well, this ratio is going down matter of fact last Friday we hit a new high on the S&P's and I wasn't Too worried that that rally was going to go because the ratio is making lower high, right? I can see it right now, right? Yeah, so so now we got a bearish divergence Well, and we got a gap which is that blue area I got labeled gap there. Yeah right around the 444 area, which is about a thirty eight point two percent retracement Yeah, and so have I got a cell signal yet? No, not yet, and we'll talk about that right after Right after you come back music coming up here now totally and you know, it's cool. You know, it's cool Tim I just had Basil on he was talking about the SMH's right? Well, what did happen folks? I'll put the SMH is up right now You know the SMH is Tim they were weaker and they filled the whole gap if you look at the SMH's right to the tick Pretty amazing the last two days They came right down to the exact gap that we're talking about on the S&P as well as the NASDAQ stay right there folks Tim and I come right back Welcome back folks Tim or Tom O'Brien, we do appreciate your growling and prowling with us out here We are right now on the TLTV VIX shot Tim All right, let's flip to truck six. Okay real quick. Yeah, church. Okay. Here's the here's the day last Friday Which is that blue area down to the volume? Yes there and with that's high volume And most not all high volume highs are tested so I'm thinking we're gonna test Friday's high and We last Friday's high we do so a lot of volume that may be my trigger that actually possibly get short I see okay the gap and that's what I'm looking for So if you got it, we got a trend right now 1.40 or something close to it And so we may get a balance here over the next couple of days and so I'll have to watch You know how that price test is we're tested they on at least 10% lighter volume preferably 20 or 30% lighter volume Then that may be that action. Yeah, right for another rocket trader. No, but I get it. I get it. Yep, exactly So that's that's my setup. I don't know if we'll we'll get it. We'll have to wait and see nice We got one more chart. Yep. There it is. I got it. Go ahead Right this this is momentum chart and it works really well what the bigger time frame is going to do these signals in between these lines or Cell signals for the red and blue signals for the Bicycles and all of this is the monthly cumulative up-down volume advanced client indicators on a monthly time frame So they measure the up volume and down volume advanced decline and to get a signal You need to close above the mid Bollinger band. Okay, when you get a close above these mid Bollinger bands They're multi-month even sometimes multi-year type indicators because they're they're a momentum Indicators on volume and momentum in indicators on on advanced declines So this happens which we think probably will over the next month is the monthly point. There's a monthly chart. It could be a multi At least a multi-month rally Multi-year rally and I love it. Well, listen man. I appreciate the education Tim You have a great one a safe one and we look forward to see you speaking on Thursday All right, thank you. I always remember folks to back and quiet out of the book and read you over and thank God There's always another trade have a great one on a safe one folks