 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday, April 20th, 2022. That's a lot of twos and zeros. I'm Chief Meteorologist John Insworth for Longmont Public Media. Our next lunar phase will be the last quarter moon on Saturday, April 23rd, exactly a week after our Easter full moon, the pink moon, I guess it was called. Don't you look at drought conditions? Very little change except right down here if you look at the southeast edge of the state. Things are getting worse in the Oklahoma, Panhandle, and corner of Texas. And about Panhandle, Texas and southwest Kansas. Nationally, if you take a look at Texas, this New Mexico area, and also in the west, things get a little worse out in all those locations. Not much change around Colorado. A little lessening of drought on the east. There's plenty of rain and lots of storm systems happening out east of us. Taking a look at snow. I wish this was smoother, but it's really hard to get these to fit day to day. So we're watching the scoring along. And right there, we have scooted through peak snow, clumped logically, and holding our own there. I mean, we're kind of going almost level. Maybe we can go back and hit normal out here if we can get a few more systems coming through. That'd be great. And looking at precipitation, we do keep getting snow in the mountains storm after storm, even if not much is happening on the plains at all. So there's a sprinkling along here on I-25, but some good water amounts up in the last week in the mountains. Looking at our severe weather climatology. So this is what's expected going to the first week of April, second week of April, third week of April. A little bit of the severe weather is now creeping into eastern Colorado. So you can see it's almost here that we could get some. May, we certainly can get severe weather. June, I think, is our peak, especially for hail. And taking a look at actual severe weather, most of it's confined to the Oklahoma, Kansas, over to Missouri area. Then it bumps back on Thursday to be most of Kansas, a little bit of Oklahoma. And then on Friday, look at that. It's backing up. The dry line is setting up right on the eastern edge of Colorado with some chance of thunder with that next system for northern Colorado and the western slopes and out of the plains. There's a little dry slot coming in here. That dry slot is also going to matter when it comes to precipitation, and the models do not agree. So for Wednesday, we've got a front drape down, keeping us a little cooler than it was on Thursday. That gets replaced, outside of Tuesday, and then replaced by Thursday because it starts to actually head up to the northeast. It's going to be pretty warm again. There's our next system coming into the Pacific Northwest. There's the Severe Chances in Kansas. And then for Friday, there's the Severe Chances just to our east. They have a snow-rain mix for the mountains and precipitation for the northeast plains. There's that little dry slot. How far up that goes is going to make a very different forecast when I'm staying through Friday through Saturday. I've got my days all next up. The interesting compilation here is our GFS ensemble showing temperatures way above normal at the beginning, and then very cold for the weekend, and then jumping back next week. But it's got the precipitation off by like a day and a half, so I'm not really sure what's going on with this model. It just doesn't quite line up correctly. So for Thursday, the heat comes from this big ridge sitting up over the state. Here comes the next trough and storm system into the west. For Friday afternoon, the low is tracked across northwestern Colorado and up into Wyoming-Nebraska border. The cold front is moving in and a warm front up here in the plains. So Saturday, the next trough digs in, pushing the warm temperatures away and giving us our chance of precipitation. About the best I can find for precipitation though is this with the low now moving up into the Dakotas, mountain snows, and dry in the plains according to the GFS. So yeah, there's just too much dry air coming in. It's kind of disappointing. So let's look over the next 10 days, watch that Thursday ridge. Here comes the trough for the weekend. Got a cut off lobe there and it drags on through. Northwest winds aloft through the weekend and Monday is that southern trough that might be doing something. Then a ridge rapidly reestablishes itself on Tuesday and Wednesday we're up to April 27th, 28th on Thursday. There's a west coast trough out there but we'll see what it does. That's a long ways away week and a half now. Looking at temperatures, as our current front moving out with the warm air racing in for Thursday and Friday, really hot temperatures. Connects cold front pushes in. You can see a very clearly cold air coming back around the lobe. Really strong demarcation down in the southern states and out on the plains. There's a slow moving front though. You can see it just kind of losing along and the heat comes back Tuesday and Wednesday next week for all of Colorado with some really above normal temperatures. This is where we can watch for precipitation and you can see how underwhelming this is. Even though it's a strong storm and we're going to get wind and good temperature change, there's the precipitation in the mountains in a way. It goes up into Canada to do all sorts of great stormy things up there and we just get lingering mountain snows. That could keep out of the snowpack going nicely, keep the moisture coming into the state. We get a lot of the water that we use from the other side of the mountain. Over the next five days, this may be generous but about a quarter inch of water just along I-25 down to about five hundredths of an inch. Nothing out of the plains. Snow, again highest elevations getting stuff. Then for the next 10 days, another little system might bring in the temperature for the mountains. At least they're not totally dry but the eastern plains definitely need it. And the snow, again higher elevations of the central northern southern mountains. So Wednesday we'll go from the 70s up to the 80s on Thursday and Friday before the cold front comes in chances of precipitation overnight into Saturday. We cool down significantly for the weekend and in the beginning of the next week and then we return to the 80s on Tuesday. So for frequent other updates, stumble at the end. And local news. Check out along my leader on Broonfieldleader.com. This has been Chief Meteorologist John Insworth. Tongue tied. Sometimes keep looking out.