 Hey guys, it's Nate, aka The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. Is it time to sell? That's the question we're gonna try to answer today for all different types of cards on the market right now in FIFA 23. Prices are still high, but we have a lot of impending supply and an impending road to the knockouts promo coming this Friday. I think that that could cause a lot of market movements and a lot of change on the market. So we're gonna try to unpack that all today from cards that are out of packs to loads here to hide to your cards. A lot of you guys with your teams might be wondering, Nate, I've got this card. I'm making so much profit on it because I bought it a couple of weeks ago. When do I need to sell before the market does drop off? And I wanna take a look at that and talk to you in today's video. Of course, also take a look at team of the week three dropping today. We didn't have, you waived a marquee matchups yesterday. So we'll discuss through that. Could it be today? And we'll take a look at that Gakpo SPC that made a lot of Dutch players rise a lot in price. So we're gonna do all that and more in today's video. If you're excited for it, hit the thumbs up. Subscribe if you are new. Let's talk market, right? Because I do think there are a good amount of players right now that especially if they're lower rated and especially if they are out of packs, it is a great time to sell. And if you think about the timing of the market right now, think back to last week on Wednesday where we saw an actual kind of peak for a lot of these cards as well. Let's take a look back on the market and look at a few cards prices on this game. Let's take a look at Rashford, right? Lower rated card. Last week on Wednesday was kind of like the peak. Right before content on Wednesday last week, we saw a peak on a lot of cards before they dropped into the weekend. And then of course the lower rated ones continued to fall further. Rashford of course had the player of the month, definitely affected his gold card price. But you see Wednesday, 23,000 points for Rashford, he continued to drop off. Let's look at a guy like Jota, very popular striker right now in this game. Jota had a nice rise right on Wednesday, 67K, dropped down to Friday on 55 with all the ones to watch packs. And supply and panic. And now he's all the way back up to 70,000 coins. I think that today, Wednesday brings a good opportunity to cash out on a few cards. Now specifically like we said, the out of packs gold cards, like this Antony, like the Renato Sanchez, like the Darwin Nunez, these, especially the lower rated ones, like Antony being 70K, I just don't think this is gonna last for that long. He's gonna be back into packs on Friday with road to the knockout being out. There's gonna be a lot of packs open. There's gonna be more promo packs in the store. And the number one thing I'm worried about with these types of cards this weekend is the supply. So it might seem like a little bit of a no-brainer, but for a guy like Antony, for a guy like Darwin Nunez, for any of these guys that are in the ones to watch team, that their gold card is out of packs, I would say today's a great day to be taking the money on players like this. Even the higher rated ones, I would say, you know, Lewandowski, Rudiger, those types of cards have risen up a lot extra since they have been out of packs. I think it's a good idea to be taking the coins on a card like this as well. It was 100K, right, but when he went out of packs, that was like 140, 150. I think that's a good opportunity to sell. Also, the other types of cards that I would 100% be selling in the next day or two would be these lower rated cards. Like again, I said, they're just gonna get supplied so much on the market this weekend. You saw it last weekend, right? Remember some of the low rated cards that had big dives in price? Some of them had a bit of a bounce back just because they're super meta like this from Pong. He's even up a bit more because, like I said, with the Gakpo SBC coming out, a lot of people need those extra Dutch links in their team. But low rated cards, we're talking about like this from Pong, we're talking about a Klosterman. Anything that's like 82 rated and below, just again, be careful. That's the word that I would say and advise is be careful with these cards because they're gonna get packed a lot and people are gonna be upgrading from these types of cards in the teams very, very soon as they get rivals rewards on Thursday, as they get into the first weekend league and as we have people playing champs qualifiers right now and getting coins from that, these are the types of cards I would look to sell before they get supplied more and continue to drop off. Nuno Mendes would be another one that I maybe would say to sell. Lower tier guys, that they're gonna get supplied a lot this weekend. Again, we've been talking about lower tier cards and staying away from those for longer periods of time. Those will absolutely drop off this weekend as well. Now, let's talk about the big boys, the Benzamas, right? The Rinaldos. What are these guys gonna do this weekend because they're up a lot in price and this is where a lot of you guys are having the struggle right now is do I sell a Benzama that I bought for maybe 50,000 coins after his price range got updated last week at 132K? Do I sell an Erling Holland that's extinct on the market right now? Maybe he's in team of the week. We don't have leaks as of right now. Do I sell him at 350? Or do I sell a Furlan Mendi who's an 83 rated card but one of the best left backs in the game who's 113,000 coins. Here's what I have to say about this. Honestly, this weekend is a big question mark, right? A lot of people are going to take the money on a few of these cards like Mendi, like the Benzama, like the Veran, your high tier meta, right? I do see people taking the money on these cards starting today on Wednesday because again, you've got rivals rewards, you've got some supply coming in today. Maybe if they drop you away from Marquis matchups again who knows? Thursday you've got Marquis matchups and the rivals rewards and then of course on Friday you've got a big promo pack supply. So I could see an opportunity here where maybe you do want to sell a guy like a Kunde or maybe you do want to sell a guy like a Rafinha or a Diyung even though they're higher rated. If you say right now that Diyung is like 92,000 coins after rising a little bit, right? You know, maybe this weekend he goes back down into like below 80K like he did last weekend on the ones to watch with all the supply and the panic selling, is that possible? I think it's possible. So that's where the question mark is with some of these cards but also I could see them late Friday night and this is, I'm going to talk about this a lot throughout the rest of this week as well with the weekend league demand being there and with people continuing to upgrade teams and getting more coins every single day on this game cards that are of the high tier that are the most meta. These guys, I mean, they're going to bounce back. If they do drop at all during the next couple of days or on Friday you're going to see some big time bounce backs on cards if they drop off a lot because people will be going out and they'll be buying teams for the weekend league. So for the high tier cards it's a bit more of a question mark. I do think there is an opportunity to maybe sell today or tomorrow and then buy at a lower price on Friday if you want to mess with your team like that but if you are up so much on a card already and you're like, Nate, I know that Ronaldo is not going to go back to 300K where I bought him at. Like this dude is not going to be 300K this weekend if he drops maybe to like 520 or something like that. That's what you would expect for a card like this. So I wouldn't have to, I wouldn't say you're panicking by any means on a card like this but that's kind of the situation with the market. Out-of-packs cards once to watch is should be pretty safe. Of course, a lot of these guys are progressing towards their upgrades. I'm not expecting massive rises for these out-of-packs. I'm just saying they should hold their price pretty steady. Same thing with out-of-packs team of the week cards and with heroes. There could be a little bit of a drop this weekend on Friday but then I think they would rise back very nicely onto the weekend as well. So again, that's kind of the scenario with a lot of these top tier cards is maybe you sell today if you want. You don't have to, right? Again, you can look at this two different ways. If you bought Ferlan Mendi for like 50K, you're like, Nate, I'm up 50,000 coins or I'm up 70,000 coins in this card right now. I might as well just hold it, right? Yes, that's one thought. Also one thought is, okay, let me sell this card, take my profit and try to buy back 10K lower on the weekend. So wherever you like to see yourself in that scenario the most, that's kind of where you can put yourself and just plan out the next couple of days. If you're already done with your champs qualifiers, that maybe you all know the card, right? That sort of thing, all of those thoughts kind of go and run through where you're at in your personal ultimate team and just where you might think you, how much time you have to access the market, how much time you have to be monitoring these player prices, factor that into there as well. But I don't think you will see, I don't think you're gonna see a legit market crash this weekend. I don't think it'll be a huge market crash where prices are absolutely getting dusted everywhere. It's a little bit too early for that, but we're not far off and that's what I wanna talk about next is, you know, we're talking a lot about the market right now. We do have a leak for the promo that is coming on Friday and it is a big one. Now it's not much of a leak. We might get some more information about this promo today, but also around this time of the year, we usually do have a market drop-off in the month of October. There's been a market crash in both the last two years but usually it's in the middle to later stages of the month. Of course, right now we're in the fifth, right? October 5th, beginning of the month. Sheriff tweeted yesterday, Rosa Knockout Promo is coming this Friday. Not really that big of a surprise. He said, as expected, we should see more promos with only one team. And if you actually go back to the EA website and like, did EA actually say this? They did. Much like the football schedule, we'll be condensing our campaigns, promos, to ensure we deliver the campaigns you know and love as well as introducing new ones. As a result, we're reducing the length of ones to watch from two weeks to one. So, since they reduced ones to watch to one week, that of course is making us assume that since they're trying to fit these promos in before the World Cup, which is literally a month away, you know, I think EA would probably make this road to the Knockout Promo one week as well. And hopefully that means a few more cards and packs but the way that ones to watch went, we didn't have that many extra cards and packs. I mean, we literally just had the starting 11 and then a couple on the mini release on Sunday. Of course, we had a couple extra in there. So, you know, I really hope that we have more than like a 15-man promo squad for road to the Knockouts because road to the Knockouts is a very, very high promo and it did cause a lot of market movements last year. Road to the Knockout last year, week two, actually did crash the market a very considerable amount. And this is just the timeframe I wanna put you guys in. Like remember road to the Knockouts, we had Fikir, Bernardo Silva, we had a couple, we had so many great SBCs and objectives and just great players and packs that were pretty cheap and they were live and upgrading. So, it was great content, great cards and packs and a deceling high pack weight and that's what really makes the market die off and drop but every single year it kinda happens at the same time. This is last year's Hyunmin Sun's gold card, right? Take a look at his graph. He started to drop off, Sunday, October 17th, he kinda hit a peak, 313,000 coins. Then for the next two weeks, he went from 313 all the way down to 173 by the end of October. Notice again, he kind of hit a peak and the drop kinda started around the middle of October. Let's go back to FIFA 21, two years ago. Hyunmin Sun's gold card once again. Hyunmin Sun kinda hits a peak, oh, the 15th of October and then what does he do? He proceeds to drop down 100,000 coins over that very next weekend and then stays below 200K until the end of October. So, we are probably, as EA and how FIFA likes to repeat itself, we are really not that far away from what could be our first market crash, true market crash of the year. Everything so far has gone up, up, up and it's never, it hasn't really stopped yet, right? That's how the market has been so far. Of course, we had a little bit of a blip last Friday with the ones to watch but I would say that don't get too comfortable holding these cards and it does seem a bit crazy for the past week for every single card in this market to continue to rise up more and more and more. All I'm saying is I'm throwing some caution and the wind is that some of these gold cards, yes, they could lose value this weekend but I do think that we're still two weeks away from like a massive market crash, maybe like one and a half weeks away from a massive market crash. Just know that we're entering that zone of like market crash zone, right? So, that's what I wanted to go back and show you those graphs because again, this game, although it is different every single year, also EA like to kind of follow the same repetitions in some way, shape and form so I would expect that sometime during this month of October we would have a good sized, a real market crash. So that's kind of how I'm feeling on the market right now. I don't really have any tradable players in my team and that's the way that I just like to play this game because it takes a lot of the worry out of it. I like to try players, I'll buy players like I really want to buy Jordy Alba right now because this guy sucks at left back and I need an extra chemistry, that sort of thing. I'd love to try Millie Tao in here in defense as well, that sort of thing but I usually, I buy those players, I try them out and I sell them, right? That's kind of how I like to run my account and I think that having that sort of mindset maybe for the next couple of days might help you out a little bit as well, especially if other people are starting to get worried. The last thing I'll say before we move on is if people wake up today on Wednesday or tomorrow on Thursday, if we get a loading screen today on Wednesday and people start to panic but the real thing is if people just decide that it's time to sell cards, right? If patreons and if groups and if just like the aura of the market kind of changes and you start to see prices drop off and everybody starts undercutting and panicking, when people decide they're gonna sell then the market drops off, right? Because there is a lot of impact in that way on the market when people decide a certain thing, it impacts the market. So the market, especially yesterday, has been honestly, it's pretty stagnant. Not very many movements. Yeah, I've been making some coins and of course I'm not sitting here worried about a big crash. As you can see, I got players in my trance list I'm trading with at the moment, I'm flipping cards, listing for Lazies, getting some deals out there, trying to make coins and I'm not expecting a huge crash but all I'm saying is once you see people start to decide that they wanna sell that's gonna start the downturn on the market as well. Now, let's talk about Wednesday content today. How could today look on FIFA? Well, as I already mentioned, I would imagine that EA would drop a loading screen either today or tomorrow and I could see it being today. EA like to do the Wednesday loading screens. They make it very vague, right? They'll say something like road to the knockouts available in one day, 23 hours and just show the car design maybe or just show something simple like the different ones to watch. I do think that's very possible. We could get a loading screen today on Wednesday. Could that cause some panic? Maybe a little bit. Again, really what causes the panic in the market crash is what happens inside the promo if the content's really insane. That's a piece of content to watch out for today and also today, team of the week, number three is gonna be dropping and as I'm recording this video, I'm shocked to say there are no leaks. I'm shocked, man. I really thought there was gonna be some leaks. Maybe EA is getting better and like not leaking the team of the week until like right before or passing out the info. I really don't even know as we're struggling to log into FIFA but I really don't know who's in team of the week today. The only kind of hint that I always look for unlike Tuesdays heading into Wednesdays is what gold cards or maybe rising to the top of the popular list because if there are people that have leaks privately, they're not sharing them yet. Like I think Rafael Leal is getting into team of the week because he is all of a sudden the past hour or two kind of gone up about 2,000 coins from 19K to about 21,000 coins and he's kind of gone up on the popular list as well. He's kind of coming up here to the top of the list. That makes me think that people are A, investing in Rafael Leal and that makes him basically a candidate to be in team of the week. I'm also seeing this with Timo Werner. Timo Werner was like 6K yesterday after a little bit of a fluctuation and now he's all of a sudden just jumped up to 7,000 coins. Interesting, right? So we don't have any concrete leaks for team of the week three yet today but it should be a decent team of the week. Of course, it's all about Erling Holland. If Holland gets in this team of the week it'd be pretty monstrous and of course it would mean an upgrade for his once to watch card. If you have the ones to watch Holland right now what is he like 1.85? Man, I'm selling this guy in the hype. I really am. I think Holland's inform would probably settle in the range somewhere of like 750 to 800K as it would be an 89 rated card. It'd be the same rating as this ones to watch. They would both get 89 rated. You know, I think it would be a million coins maybe a smidge under a million coins by the time we get to the weekend. At least it should be because it's gold cards 350 and I think if his gold card was in packs it'd be more like 300K or maybe even like 250 on the market because it's a little bit lower rated and you know, some people on old gen maybe don't like the lengthy everything that's going on with new gen and stuff. It may not be as meta over there but he is meta and he is very, very hype overall in real life and in the next gen version of the game for sure. So it's all about team week three today. We're gonna keep an eye on that. Watch out for the leaks. Watch out for the fluctuations before six PM because we probably will get leaks later on today. Content wise we didn't have marquee matchups yesterday. We didn't have the away from marquee matchups like we were potentially going to see. I guess there is a small bit of opportunity that it could drop today. Again, I think that opportunity is small but you know, I think EA has dropped the SBC before on Wednesdays. I also know they have dropped the SBC before delayed like it's dropped an hour after content or an hour and a half because they try to drop it around the time when the champions of games are like starting or being played. So EA could do some finicky stuff with that. I don't know if that's gonna happen today. The other SBC that we still haven't seen yet, I think it's tomorrow on Thursday, that was the original leak was Raheem Sterling once to watch. And if you, if we're being honest, the content during this promo like once to watch content specifically, it's been pretty average, right? We've had Cassie SBC, which was a W. We had Tiago Silva, which was nice but really it's been the player of the months and just the random pack SBCs without EA messing up the, you know, the Holland's transfer SBC and, you know, we're still awaiting the compensation from that. I mean, it's been a pretty quiet week. So that's just kind of how I'm feeling right now. Of course that could change a little bit today. If we do get Sterling, I think Sterling is tomorrow though. Other than that, really don't know what's gonna happen today on Wednesday besides team of the week, probably a new Silver Stars. I would expect to see a new Silver Stars player. So if you had a Silver guys, watch out for those moving on the market today. Also the 78 plus expires today, really random. But that SBC goes away today on Wednesday not sure why they made that available for such a short time span, but it is what it is. Now also wanna take a look at this Gakpo SBC for just a minute. This SBC is really, really nice. GGs to EA specifically on the price point for this SBC. We knew that it was dropping today. Yesterday we also knew the card and what it was gonna be, 2600 upvotes. And what this also gave us insight on was when a player that is not already fitting into a lot of people's teams for chemistry like this league or this nation, we got a really good taste today of what types of cards will go up in the future when we get SBCs like this. A guy that's not super popular, we're in a popular league specifically. Gakpo, 27,000 coins controlled. I don't know how to make him, does an architect make him? I don't know what's this guy, what you give this guy. I think he can only be controlled. But high and average body type and he is a pretty good looking card. This looks like people are running a hunter on him. A hunter, yeah, he looks cracked out with a hunter. So regardless of whether this is a super sub for you, it's out for how long? It's out for 30 days. This would be a really, really good super sub or if you wanna fit him in your team, it's a really good value SBC. So GGs to EA sports, they also changed like the work rates on him. So I think he's high, medium now, which is a dub. So you've got a lot of Dutch players that have gone up in price. We looked at the young already. This is the pie has now gone extinct. So it's more of the nation links for a guy like Gokpo where you, if you put Gokpo on your team, you know, you can use a DePie, you can use a Van Dyke, you can use a DeYong to get yourself some links there or, you know, some of those players. Of course, the Dirt Coit, the new hero card went up a lot yesterday with a huge panic buy. Again, this is what you see happen, right? You see a complimentary good on the market rise up big time in price when there's a really high SBC that's been released. Now this guy's about 260K. He was around 300,000 coins at his peak on the market yesterday. That was like peak time. But again, that gives you a nice couple of links there with the league and the nation for Dirt Coit to Gokpo. So a lot of people went out and bought this card. If you have this guy, I'd sell him in the hype because of course the hype will wear off at some point and this card will probably drop back down a little bit into what's more of a reasonable area. He's not a terrible card, he's three star, three star and just a way to get Gokpo in the team on full chemistry. So W by EA Sports for that Gokpo. But other than that, it was a pretty quiet day yesterday. There was a brand new objective in a friendly mode. And this is actually an L, first order fiesta. You have to win seven matches in the homegrown 11. Friendly here. It's first on players exactly 11 and you can only play 10 matches a week. And I don't know if this was an error but you can only play 10 matches in total. So you have 10 matches basically to get yourself an 80 rated rare plus players pack, a two rare gold pack and a 75 plus. And if you win all of them or you get seven you get an 83 plus. Like I don't really wanna go play seven games and to get an 83 plus pack. That grind to me is not worth it. I'd rather go grind rivals because I'm still trying to get points to get high enough to even qualify for the weekend league and to play qualifiers. So that's kind of where I'm at right now. I know a lot of you guys might be in the same boat grinding the rivals, getting up and getting those best rewards. If I win one more game, I get to the D seven. I get better rewards or grinding. I played a lot of games yesterday, working on getting my points up. Gonna play a lot of games today on Wednesday as well to get more points up. So that's kind of how I'm feeling about the market over the next couple of days. Drop a comment down below what you're thinking for your team. Again, it's a new game, cross-platform market, new year, the market's different every single year. Again, drop your comments down below of what you think's gonna happen this weekend on the market. I do see the potential for a bit of a dip, but then a rise. But let me know what you think down below. Of course, if you did enjoy the video today, smash a thumbs up on it. And of course, subscribe if you're new. Hop in the Twitch stream today. We'll be streaming FIFA, watching the market, making coins, and playing a few games as well. Again, thanks for watching the video today guys. It's been Nathan Fodercow and I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.