 What's up football fans welcome inside our Los Angeles studio the NFL is back and so are we the more ways to win team here to get you ready for all the week one action thanks for hanging with us I'm Lisa Kearney with my guys betting expert Dave Weaver, Ed Egros our analytics expert and of course roll call the rest of our starters guys sports talk ready to show host Andrew Filiponi joining us in Pittsburgh the face of Marquis Sports Network in Chicago Cole Wright they are hanging with us to give us their picks plus Fandals editor-in-chief and DFS expert JJ Zachary sin will be giving out his best fantasy plays and of course a quick reminder for all of you at home download the Fandals sportsbook app right now because we're giving new users a risk free bet up to 1000 bucks be sure to plug in that promo code right there on the bottom of your screen more ways 1000 when you sign up for your new account get your risk free bet just for playing with us it's that easy we take care of our people and right now we're taking care of you we're kicking off this game previews huge AFC matchup in Kansas City let's get to it the defending AFC champs my Kansas City Chiefs hosting Baker Mayfield's Cleveland Browns Cleveland looking to build on last season which they went to the playoffs as we all know for the first time since the 2002 season and he got the cheese ready to just get back on the field after that embarrassing blowout loss in Tampa I'm ready to stop talking about it as well the Chiefs are a six and a half point home favorite here Dave just Kansas City cover that number at Arrowhead I don't think that they do I think Cleveland rides that momentum that they brought in from last year where they covered by the way in their final game of the year and losing to Kansas City they only lost by five in a similar situation like this where they were getting about a touchdown so I think six and a half is too many points for me Cleveland has covered four straight in Kansas City and what I remember about Kansas City last year they won a lot of games but they didn't cover a lot they were not a good team against the spread only covering once the second half of the year so I think they're gonna get off to a rocky start against the spread maybe win the game but I don't think by six and a half I'm completely with you a lot of reasons why there are a couple of concerns from last year to this year as far as the Browns are concerned yeah the Browns past defense was not great they did have a significant overhaul there so maybe that'll be a little bit better but at the same time when you look at Baker Mayfield and what he accomplished a season ago it was despite the fact that he had the longest average time to throw of any starting quarterback in the NFL and that should be a concern because the longer you hold on to the football the likelier you are to get sacked and even though Baker Mayfield avoided some of those sacks a season ago it could be a good bit worse this go round and so I expect this cheats defense to go ahead and feast I'm probably expecting a lower scoring game in this one my number is closer to five which means the Browns are covering okay here we go the right take is back so let's get back out to Chicago bring in our NFL expert Cole right Cole hey you heard you heard these guys and give their picks which team do you have winning and by how many points well surprised to see those two agree on anything but there's more than a few questions when it comes to my thought process when it involves these two teams because as we know the best ability is availability and then there's a whole host of both of these cats on the men on both sides of the sideline now we know when it comes to Davion Clowney he's dealing with a little bit of illness midweek OBJ was limited with a hamstring or a knee rather and Rashad Higgins he had the hamstring but when it comes to the defending AFC champs Kansas City well they're going to have to do things without Tyron Matthew we know Matthew is out because of illness and then McCollough Harbman still has that oblique that he's nursing so it's really all going to come down to a quarterback shootout it's going to be Baker Mayfield versus Patrick Mahomes and I'm going to have to put all my stock in Patrick Mahomes because it's tough to go against them right now 28-21 Kansas City comes out on top there it is by the way as you as you heard him say it's going to be a shootout go ahead and take that over as well and if you roll with Mahomes and the Chiefs and give those points a winning $50 bet means you're going to collect more than $97 on your bet it's the Fandall Sportsbook app the best place to be all right let's talk about another big week one matchup the number two and three seats from last year's AFC playoffs faced off in Buffalo built quarterback Josh Allen look at a build on last season success and is in the early MVP conversation then you got Steelers quarterback Ben Rothsberger entering his eight teeth season we saw these Steelers throughout throughout this early preseason dealing with the controversy that came with the the contract situation there with TJ Watt Ben said hey just pay the man give him what he wants and here we are at week one where the Steelers are getting six and a half points in this one Pony hey you're in Pittsburgh give me your pick for this Steelers game well they're not going to like it Steelers fans these aren't your big brother Steelers Lisa this team the over under on the Fandall Sportsbooks only eight and a half in a 17 game season so the expectations are not what they used to be here and I look at this matchup very simply Josh Allen was second in the MVP voting last year he lit up the NFL Aaron Rodgers was the only quarterback who was better and look at the Steelers defense coming into this game Lisa TJ Watt didn't practice all training camp in preseason Stefan Tewitt who was second on the team in sacks is on injured reserve Bud Dupree was third is on the Tennessee Titans and oh by the way two of their starting corners left in free agency Bill's mafia they're going to love it they're going to be slamming people through tables after this game they're going to be so excited the Bill's cover I'm with you I'm all I'm all in on that you know this is a Super Bowl team against a team that's not making the playoffs most years that's the Steelers go to the Super Bowl and the Bill's not make the playoffs those years are over this is a completely different Bill's team right now they're going to go a long way they're going to win a lot of games including this one Josh Allen's played the Steelers only twice so far in his young career he's won both games he's covered both games I don't think the Steelers offensive line holds up here I like Buffalo to win big all right guys great stuff by both of you now let's get to a really cool new segment we have for you this year I'm a numbers nerd so this is absolutely my jam now the NFL analyzes the location speed acceleration of every player on every play then uses that information to determine various data sets it's called next-gen stats and we have access to all of that data so Ed your analytic sky give us a next-gen stat there you're using to help bet this Bill Steelers game you've told everyone what I've been doing this off-season was just pour through next-gen stats and figure out what I can find hey biggest question for this game and really for the entire season is what Josh Allen will we see the poor draft profile and subpar performances the first two years or the superstar gunslinger of 2020 let's illustrate this with a couple of charts first let's look at Allen's quarterback grid from 2019 that divides the football field into rectangles and looks at passer rating within each area green is above league average yellow is average and red is below league average and you see red and yellow from zero to ten yards and even behind the line of scrimmage but when you look at 2020 oh yeah that's more like it a good bit more green especially from zero to ten yards where the most throws occur how well the bills utilize more play action and pre-stap motion to make Allen more effective and this matters here because even if Josh Allen regresses this season the system he is in should still make him an effective quarterback and for that reason I am taking the bills to cover here Lisa there it is all based on those numbers next level info from next gen stats Steelers fans if you want to fade Ed I'm telling you just do you a winning a winning $50 bet on your team wins you're going to collect more than $95 just like that and remember you can make your first bet on the app risk-free just sign up for a new a fandal sportsbook account using the promo code right there more ways 1000 you're going to get a risk-free bet up to $1000 again that promo code more ways 1000 of course in addition to making game picks and there are a bunch of cool prop bets on the fandal sportsbook app for each game along with some season long props available as well so let's pop the cork on this pop party guys everyone is invited here all right I'm going to give you a season long prop bet you're going to give me your pick prop party Dave you're up first all right Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers over or under 4550 and a half sees a regular season passing yards he's an MVP quarterback but he's not really a big yards guy you look at his career highs 4600 yards that came 10 years ago by the way you know the other mega quarterbacks of a generation Brady's 5200 Peyton 5400 Breeze 5400 Big Ben 5100 here's a guy that's never been over 4600 yeah we get an extra game this year but his average 4200 basically over his 11 seasons that he made it through the end of the year I'm going under all right Ed coming to you next over or under a six and a half regular season receiving touchdowns for first-year Titan Julio Jones big question here is who is Ryan Tannehill going to throw to yeah I like AJ Brown a good bit but Derek Henry is not going to be this constant red zone running back eventually defenses are going to stack the box and so Ryan Tannehill's got to score touchdowns through the air not too many options probably going to Julio Jones give me the over okay pony your turn let's focus on a running back now Saquon Barclay the Giants taking a long-term approach here to his return from injury you go in over under 1125 and a half regular season rushing yards for Barclay this season oh man get on the Fandil Sportsbook now and bet that under what a great bet that is only two guys went over that rushing total last year and I know it was only in a 16 game season but Saquon Barclay's missed a lot of time the last two years plus think about this Lisa how many times are the Giants actually going to be leading in the second half where they lean on Barclay they got a terrible offensive line they're going to throw in a ton take the under and we already know limited workload here in week one thank you pony Cole you're up here's a fun one for you over under 900 and a half rushing yards for Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson well this is a tricky question in a perfect world I would usually say that Lamar Jackson well he would cut back on running the rock but since he's refined that passing game a little bit and we've seen the rushing yards dip over the last two seasons albeit that he has been over a thousand yards I just don't see him doing what he's going to look to do when it comes to reducing those there's injuries of course J.K. Dobbins and Justice Hill and uh with Levy on Bell in the practice squad I just see Lamar Jackson running the ball more out of necessity so I see him going over that 900 and a half yards this season Lisa be interesting to see if he gets over that thousand mark two Cole only two quarterbacks have rushed for a thousand yards in a season Michael Vic and Lamar Jackson thanks Cole great stuff guys and now all of you at home can place your bets and a bunch of other really fun prop bets right now on the Fandalsports book app again new users sign up using that promo code moreways 1000 for your risk free bet up to a thousand bucks all right time to indulge your fantasies now boys and girls time to dig in on fantasy and we're making it free yes our free daily fantasy contest you can enter right now to kick off the nfl season sign up for the hulu plus live tv huddle up for your chance to win part of the $20,000 prize pool the contest is live right now on fandal.com so log on and pick nine players you think will score the most points in week one and hey while you're setting your lineup keep this in mind as well there's a special hulu new wave kickoff bonus any fan who registers the highest excuse me roster is the highest scoring new wave player gets a share of a $5,000 bonus so there's that as well and what is new wave you asked well a new wave player is a player who has been in the nfl for three years or less so to give you a little help here we asked a fandal editor-in-chief jj Zachary sin to give us his top three new wave player picks jj who's on your roster here in week one hey lisa if you're looking at first and second year players on this weekend's slate i think one wide receiver who's pretty obvious is davante smith he's only $5,300 playing in his first nfl game against what could be the worst secondary in football in atlanta this game has a 48 and a half point over under and look at the eagles roster there's not many alternative pass catchers for jaylen hurts to confidently throw to so i like davante smith at $5,300 quite a bit there's also nazi harris another rookie going up against buffalo nazi harris $6,500 he's going to be the bell call running back in this pittsburgh offense i think there's some concern that this game could get away from pittsburgh there could be a negative game script but nazi harris is a great pass catcher out of the backfield he should be game script proof so i really like nazi harris at that price point he's a really great value and then finally second year guy i'm going to stack davante smith and go with jaylen hurts for $7,600 again he's facing a very weak atlanta secondary jaylen hurts wasn't the best passer in the world last season when he started but in the four games that he started he averaged 23 fantasy points for game why because he can get it done with his legs so against this weak secondary maybe he gets it done with his arm as well i think he has a really high ceiling especially at $7,600 thank you jay so heading out of fandal.com to sign up for the hulu plus live tv a huddle up contest for your chance to win part of the $20,000 prize pool and remember hey if you roster the best new wave player you'll get a part of that $5,000 bonus good luck and have fun and right now we're getting more fun in the show back to our week one game previews now bringing it home here to los andalus the chargers are actually packing their bags and getting cross country to take on the washington football team la quarterback justin herbert offensive rookie of the year last season has impressed teammates already this season king and alan coming out saying he has quote no ceiling very excited to see his development while on the other side we get some fits magic ryan fits patrick entering his 17th year in the league of course his first here with washington guys this is the tightest spread of the week washington is getting one ed underdog at home how you playing this one not to mention a west coast team going all the way out to the east coast and they are favored so this is pretty interesting as far as you know your typical spreads are concerned but as far as this one goes i am a huge believer huge believer in justin herbert the chargers were seventh in epa per dropback in games that justin herbert started and that's pretty impressive but when you look at what washington did just a season ago well they were third best in epa per dropback defense and so the question is okay what is going to be stickier what are we going to see next season is it justin herbert or washington defense well defense is harder to predict from one season to the next and a lot of that was because of quarterback pressures that washington was able to generate i'm not sure you can rely on that as much and you look at the other side of the ball chargers past defense was pretty decent and now they're going up against ryan fits patrick who has a lot of turnover worthy throws and so i put all of that together and i say you know what justin herbert should good should go out there firing everything should be just fine as far as la is concerned and i think they're covering i thought washington would be favored in this game by maybe two two and a half and right now they're a slight underdog but you look at ron rever and what he did with his team three and thirteen two years ago dead last in the division and they win it last year i know they only had to go seven and nine to do that but the fact that he took a team from the seller to the top in his first year he had some health problems as well here's the guy that just has his team believing in him and a quarterback upgrade in fits magic a good young offense i think the defense is really going to bring it here uh the pass rush is still very strong i'm going to take washington i think this this line is off all right washington tail dave here a winning a fifty dollar bet means you're going to collect more than ninety three dollars again that's a fandall sports book app now let's get to the bears who will be here in los andalus taking on the rams chicago head coach matt naggy starting veteran quarterback andy dalton despite rookie justin feels impressive preseason certainly a bright future ahead of him naggy saying we're not going to rush it now on the other side matt stafford making his first start for the rams after getting traded from detroit the bears getting seven and a half points in this one this is the biggest spread here in week one col you're in chicago you know i'm coming to you for your pick here but i want you to hold that thought here i'm going to get to pony first pony how are you playing this game let me preface my pick by saying i think andy dalton stinks and the bears are making a huge mistake by starting him however if you look at this game the rams offense is going to take time they don't know who the running back is yet because the camp acres injury and it's matt stafford's first game so given the size of the spread with the bears defense there's continuity there with colil bet mac i'm going to take chicago and i hate myself for it because i don't like andy dalton anymore but i think it's the right bet in this game well pony i'm with you and i'm against you because last year we know that the bears they threw out some fools gold started five and one then dropped six in a row but it is a new year and a new team but it concerns me that andy dalton hasn't had a winning quarterback record since 2015 now i know justin fields isn't the starting quarterback so that's going to be the biggest question in the rams their defense well it was designed to go out there pressure the quarterback and eliminate the pass so andy dalton he's going to have his hands full and david montgomery it's going to be a long day for him coming out of that backfield and when it comes to matt stafford uh first year with the new team well all you can do is pencil him in for another 4 000 plus yard passing season and with stafford with cup and bobby trees and the sean jackson i think that everything's going to be just fine here the rams i think they go out and win big it's 24 to 14 there it is bears fans uh you're getting seven and a half points in this one maybe that's your confidence boost here you want to bet with your heart go for it a winning $50 bet on your team means you're going to collect more than $95 all right let's roll on here you guys uh ed you use next chance that's earlier in the show uh now i want you to give us three bets based on that next level data that you think will bring us some really good value on these bets available here in week one what you got well let's do some more player props all right why not and let's talk about deandre hopkins one of the great receivers this game has ever seen let's take a look at one game in particular his route tree from his week 15 performance against the eagles easily his best game last season white lines or his routes green represents what he did after the catch and boy he put in some great work as a true deep threat his average death of target was 13.1 yards and kyler murray's passer rating when targeting hopkins was 149.1 that's near perfect i like hopkins to go over a season long prop total and his over prop in a season opener against the titans all right let's get right to the vikings and the bangles here uh in week one why is that a good thing for dalvin cook dalvin cook really consistent running back and we should expect more of the same in 2021 here is his running back a carry chart for his week nine game against the lions where he absolutely carved them up yellow lines are for short gains of zero to five yards green lines are for bigger gains of more than five yards and one true attribute of a great running back is how many yards they gain after contact and here in only 22 carries he had 121 yards after contact cook finished second in yards after contact in 2020 and for that reason i have them over a season long and week one prop bet all right finally you have some interesting next gen stats on ryan tana hill who's on my bench by the way what do you have for me he might stay on your bench for a little bit because i'm a little bit bearish as far as how i think the titans quarterback will perform here is his quarterback grid areas the field that are concerning are really behind the line of scrimmage which normally isn't a big deal what you do from zero to 10 yards much greater impact on your overall offense but my problem is the titans lost a lot of underrated receivers like cori davis adam humphries johnny smith and i don't think hulio jones is going to fill the entire void and so for that i'm going under tana hill season long and game one props awesome stuff and thank you very much take that info now place your bets on the fandalsports book app of course you can place your wager on the best we just talked about or hundreds of others remember to sign up for your account using more ways 1000 all right you guys let's take this to the meadowlands here uh we've got the giants hosting the broncos you know that we talked about new york running back say kwan barkley earlier in the show when we were betting those props um he is coming back but the team is taking some time writing long-term approach to get him back on the field week two last season remember that acl so here we are he will be on the field in limited capacity for week one as for the broncos vik fangio naming teddy bridgewater the starting quarterback so be his first regular season start for denver giants getting two and a half points in this matchup getting two and a half points pony give me your pick for this game well i apply a simple betting axiom to games like this lisa and that is do i think the underdog can win the game and in this case the giants at home getting two and a half i think they can and that's why i'm going to take them you know what denver they're going to be so careful in this game bridgewater is a conservative quarterback by nature they probably think they can just play defense and win given the state of the giants offensive line in bark we not being 100 percent but for those reasons i like new york if they can't be the team that finished in last place last year with bridgewater at quarterback then a bunch of people there deserve to get fired it's a huge game for the future of the giants i'm going to go with you yeah i'm going to go with you pony and i think nobody's talking about the addition to kenny gollyday here and that what he's going to bring to this giants offense they already have some very talented receivers but to bring him in here that's going to give danie dimes just that extra number one wide receiver option i'm just matching up the giants offensive players and the denver offensive players i don't see denver scoring that many points in this game i'm with you i think the giants pull off the slight upset here yeah i think giants fans have got to be so excited to kick off their season here with the broncos at home you're getting two and a half points in this one a winning $50 bet on your team means you're going to collect 100 bucks on your wager and hey placing bets on your phone or computer we know it's easy and fun and legal here but you can get the full fandal experience if you get yourself to the fandal sportsbook at the meadowlands doors are open for all the games this weekend and any day of the week the vandal sportsbook at the meadowlands is located right across the parking lot from metlife stadium features dozens of tv's table service food and drink and of course live sports betting on all your favorite teams and players so if you're in the area or looking for a fun spot to hit up on vacation this is bucket list make sure to check out the fandal sportsbook at the meadowlands and hey let's stay in new york and talk jets gangrene actually hitting the road and going to be at carolina to kick off the season number two overall pick zach wilson will be under center for this new york team after an impressive pre-season love what we saw from that kid the jets in defense will be familiar with the guy on the other side of the ball here former jets quarterback sam darnold now under center for carolina jets are getting four and half points on the road ed which team do you like here in this match up in charlotte so the big reason for me why i love the jets here is all about zack wilson here is a quarterback who led bju to one of more effective offenses in college football a season ago epa per dropback bju was fourth best in college football that's incredible and he's getting a lot of weapons that jets fans haven't seen in quite some time notably kori davis his expected catch over expected catch rate was nine point six percent that is eighth best in the nfl from a season ago and the jets drafted elysia more 34th overall in the 2021 nfl draft so a lot of weapons for a rookie quarterback who's going up against a defense that you know may have some holes there and on the other side of the football we don't know if sam darnold is an nfl caliber quarterback we need to see how he performs in a much better system but we don't know that yet but we do know what zack wilson can do when he has a terrific infrastructure and for that reason i think the jets are covering and you see that graphic there the line actually has just moved jets fans you're getting four and a half points in this one and a winning $50 bed on that four and a half means you're going to collect more than $95 thank you ed let's check back in now with our nfl analysts call right uh cool we did this last season and i absolutely loved it we're bringing it back let's talk underdogs giving them a little love because betting an underdog to win outright you're going to get great value you're going to get a big payout so coal let's talk week one who are these dogs that you're betting well davie touched on the fact that kenny golliday is now a member of the new york giants but uh so is kyle rudolf that's a good news for danie dimes and he called daniel jones and the new york giants but uh we know also seyquan barkley he's back so blake martinez defensively he's a tackling machine there's no doubt about that and denver with teddie bridgewater is conservative as they are not going to have enough firepower to get a win away from mile high 21 to 10 the giants get the win in this one and then on the flip side well i have to go with the houston texans over the jacksonville jaguars because it's tough for me to trust trevor lorenz in his first game on the road away from jackson bill to go out there and get that win and i just think there's going to be too much offensive firepower for houston mark engram philip linsey brandon cooks anthony miller i think it's going to be a collective effort offensively for houston 34 to 17 they're winning big here two great picks there by kohl go ahead and tail kohl's upset picks or make any other bet on the fandalsports book app right now risk free up to $1,000 again all you have to do sign up for your fandalsports book account new users are getting that risk-free bet up to a thousand bucks just by using that promo code more ways 1000 so right now on this show we're going to get frisky with this risk-free bet guys everyone back in here i need a $1,000 risk-free bet from each of you that's going to hit on the fandalsports book here this weekend david you're first what's your bet i know it's week one so we can do a season long bet but i like a game so much this week i'm just going to keep it simple green bay norland's two teams just cannot stop each other scored 67 points last year combined nine out of last 10 times these teams have played they've scored 55 or more including games that have got to 80 totals only 50 i'm all in here a thousand dollar risk-free bet picks me up 900 benjamins i'm going to do a season long pick here and i'm also going to steal pony's thunder because i enjoy doing that especially early in the season tj watt had more quarterback pressures than anyone else in the nfl last season and so i think he will cash those pressures into actual sacks this go round and despite the contract conversations i'm not worried about that i think tj watt will become the defensive player of the year and so a $1,000 risk-free bet gets me 7500 bucks i'm going for a big payday i'm going to put together a two-team moneyline parlay for week one i am a believer in jamis winston sign me up i think they're the one of the hardest teams to predict in football because they're playing in a neutral site and who knows what kind of jamis we're going to get they're going to air it out take new orleans to beat green bay plus tennessee's defense was terrible last year i think arizona goes there and wins collect $6,000 when you make this moneyline parlay today that's real people it's happening you can do it right now on the fandal sportsbook app makers sure to sign up for your new fandal sportsbook account right now to place those bets remember use the promo code more ways 1000 to get your risk-free bet up to a thousand bucks again easy legal and live take your winnings if you hit get your money back if you don't it is the best mulligan in the business and here we are the favorite part of my show and how super bowl predictions guys i want your best value super bowl bet davie you're going to start us up uh who you got to win the whole thing well last year tampa the first team to win in their home stadium guess who's hosting this year so far that's where the rams play look they made the super bowl three years ago with jared goff now they have matthew stafford i'm taking the rams at 15 to 1 to win it all i'm approaching this a couple of ways one my super bowl champions the baltimore ravens but to hedge that bet i'm taking the nsc west as the winning division for the super bowl the reason well i think three teams out of that division will make the playoffs and so three out of 14 chance that's better than 20 percent implied probability of plus 4 20 that's less than 20 percent so you're getting value there nsc west my division to win it all lisa you love to do your homework and study you love facts and numbers things like that how about this the buccaneers last year went from seven and nine to the super bowl the year before that kansas city did it with mahomes as a second year starter so put those two things together you get the chargers at 33 to 1 seven and nine last year and a quarterback that's going to make an even bigger leap in herbert i think there's tremendous value in the chargers at 33 to 1 you had me at hello pony i actually wrote down everything you just said um great stuff you guys from game picks prop bets best bets we covered it all and col let's get to you well i'm gonna have to go with a sleeper pick here i'm gonna have to go with the arizona cardinals because there's just too many new pieces of the puzzle i know it could be a dark horse but when you take a look at aj green and new hopkins and you combine that with the speed of christian kirk and chase edmunds and james connor i think kyler murray he's gonna have a lot of fun when it comes to putting points on the board so uh the numbers they're looking pretty favorable when it comes to cashing in a big ticket with arizona it's one of the teams i think is going to be most exciting to watch this season you guys absolutely crushed it and yes we covered it all and yes the anafel is back and so are we can you tell that we're a little bit excited week one is here check out all the bets that we talked about on the fandall sportsbook app new users again the promo code more ways 1000 from all of us here at fandall thanks for hanging with us today we're going to be right back here next week good luck with your bets after an unprecedented year apart the time has finally come to say welcome back to the prestige and excitement of witnessing history firsthand this november beautiful delmont will welcome back the world's best thoroughbreds the brightest stars and most passionate fans to the breeders cup one experience that's a breed of fun tickets on sale now at breederscup.com