 This is covering the spread part of the fan dual podcast network We have officially made at the start of the 2022 NFL season is coming up tonight We got Rams and versus bills We are here to break down the entirety of week number one from an NFL betting perspective I am joined today by Ryan Williams. We're gonna have a blast breaking down week number one and getting you some good bets For this week over on fan dual sportsbook This is covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm joined here as it will be most Thursdays by Ryan Williams you can check out Ryan on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W Ryan We got NFL coming up tonight. We got NFL this weekend. It is a great time to be talking to you How are you doing today? I'm doing great Jim I appreciate you having me on on covering the spread. You've been you've been putting out massive work here You took the vacation a little bit over the summer. It took a little hiatus from Twitter people were You know emailing and reaching out on Twitter and DMs and fan dual Where has Jim Sonis been all summer long and then you come back and you start firing off these podcasts left and right You got the cover in the spread. You got the heat check. You got everything that you're doing with mlb So I'm just happy you're able to fit me into your schedule Well, see Ryan, you're talking about the travel as if it's in the past But I'll be seeing you this weekend in Chicago for a fan dual fan fest It's coming up at guarantee rate field out in Chicago So I get to meet you in real life where it talks and batting at 6 30 at the White socks stadium. Are you a cubs or a white socks fan? I guess I never asked this Yeah, I don't think we ever talked about it. I'm a cubs guy I'm actually named after ryan sandberg if you can You know believe that my mom was a Transplant from the west coast and kind of just came in in the 80s cubs. She liked that player But shout out shout out to my grandmother who decided that nobody'd be able to spell my name right if it was ryan So it went with the traditional spelling of ryan and that's how that comes but uh, but yeah, I've probably been to Kamisky the cell guaranteed rate field whatever you want to call it More times than and wriggly because I grew up on the south side Okay, I I tried to get my convinced my wife to name our dog uh byron So Luckily your parents more successful in the baseball negotiation naming rights So uh, and I I think I appreciate your grandma as well ryan. He's pretty tough. So Good looks on the ryan is there and ryan if you have not heard his voice before if your new lists are coming to spread We've had him on a couple of times. I did a show with ryan talk player props every week Before monday night football. We did that every year We're talking player props for monday night football on monday on the same stream as well So that's gonna be a lot of fun But also we've had you on for our super bowl preview other stuff as well But ryan I think that it's it's fun to have you on here more regularly people like kind of get to know you a little bit But people who don't know your background here and your I guess like your betting flair You know, what is your overall betting process? I'm a numbers based person, uh, but that's also It has its flaws. It's not for everyone. What's the process look like for you from a betting perspective? Yeah, well, we've talked extensively kind of about my process as it relates to Dfs right jim and in playing daily fantasy and what that's become and what that means and I kind of carry over That same mindset to the the betting field I mean, there's obviously Sharper people who have been doing it a lot longer than than I have but you really for me It's it's looking at the trends and looking at the data that you know Puts on paper the same way that you would be assessing A dfs lineup for me now There's some people that do betting that don't even do dfs But I'm just saying that the same knowledge I think translates and what I really like to do is attack the player props market You know me. I'm always talking about, you know, how can we everybody's looking at the the totals the spreads? um The money line and and well, that's well and good and that's where a lot of the content is focused But vegas is Vegas is vegas for a reason. I mean they can set these numbers and they are like some of the most accurate things We don't see like what happened last year when it was armageddon week for vegas because they lost so much money I I had it written down somewhere, but I just remember that weekend where they you know Those are favorites one and people were just like people tend to get favorites. So it was it was a rough week there I remember that yeah Yeah, rough week. So it's like when you're looking at these player part markets and even the anytime touchdowns I mean we'll talk about you know specific games later But when you're looking at some guys and you know, maybe a player's Not actually ruled out at the start of when the player props are released You can get good numbers on their receiving props rushing props passing props anytime touchdown things of that nature and and when you're when you're laying those bets whether it be, you know If you have units set or if you have a monetary dollar set You're you're able to make up for you know, if you're hitting 50 percent of spreads totals or less than Uh, that that's not really going to equate in your in your ROI is not going to look that enticing But when you're hitting these player props at 2 to 1 3 to 1 5 to 1 and you're hitting that at a 50 percent clip Now all of a sudden you're looking at that ROI start to increase just on a little bit of a success rate. So Yeah, that's kind of that's kind of where I land on in the betting betting world of things You're just looking for value and that value could be finding something where the implied odds are 33 percent that the odds of it actually happening are 37 percent, you know You're looking for those edges and those edges will not always will usually not be super large but I think that you're right in pinpointing that you're more likely to find a larger edge in the Less bed into markets, which are the player props I already talked about some spreads some money lines and totals throughout the podcast for today But like I said, we're talking with you about um The player props for monday night football coming up this monday and also a full player prop betting preview with jj zacharyston will be on this Feed later on today on thursday talking about jj's favorite player props and jj will be with us Throughout the season as well to talk some player props But of course, we'll talk about them here too with you because why would we not do that? We're going to dive in two week number one in just one second at first the college football in the nfl now both here It's time to get into the action early this season help get you started fandals sportsbook new fandals sportsbook customers Can get a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 whether it's spreads Money lines or props odds for that and more are available on the fandals sportsbook app Just sign up place your first bet and fandals will give you up to $1,000 back in free beds if you don't win There's no better place to get ready for the football season than on fandals america's number one sportsbook An official sports betting partner of the nfl must be 21 plus and president air in select states First online real money wager only refund issued is non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt Restricts his apply see terms at sportsbook dot fandals dot com gambling problem Call 1 800 gambler over the fandals dot com slash rg in arizona 1 800 next step or text next step to 5 3 3 4 2 in connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 Or visit ccpg.org chat in louisiana 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in new york 1 8 7 7 8 hope and wire text Open y in tennessee call the red line at 1 800 8 8 9 9 7 8 9 in y oming 1 800 5 2 2 4700 or in west virginia 1 800 gambler dot net now we will talk a bit about the thursday night game at the end of the show We'll put that at the end in case you're listening here on friday saturday sunday You don't want to skip pass that we'll talk about some brief thoughts on bills versus rands later on But let's start things off here with an nsc north divisional battle. Unfortunately, not your bear's ride But it is the packers at the vikings right now the packers are two and a half point favorites The uh total here is 47 and a half and this green bay offense looks a whole lot different that it did last year They've got no davante adams david bhakti arias back, which is good, but uh some coaching personnel changes as well So i want to ask you ryan Can the packers get the job done in what is i think at least a pretty tough assignment on the road Yeah, you're gonna really be looking at who's suiting up for green bay I mean we pretty much have known that this is going to be wide receiver roulette Even though patrick mahomes, I guess was the first one to say it for the chiefs that like you're never Going to know who the wide receiver for kansas city is going to be i think that's the same thing here rogers has been very vocal about the younger guys Not being able to you know catch the ball as he's as he's used to seeing and we know that erin rogers in the past Has not had a good relationship with rookies or young receivers, but that's pretty much all that he has So christian watson looks like you know, he's trending on the right direction here Um, what's the deal with alan lasard who all of a sudden you know at the end of preseason was popping up on the injury report And probably is one of his most trusted Confidants in the wide receiver group and then you're looking at a guy like robert tonion Who's looking healthy and can play so i think there probably is enough there considering the run game too and i'm really excited to see the viking side of the ball as well And and i i like the total Gem especially with it moving moving back a full point opened at 48 and a half I got it at 48 and a half and i'm happy to get it at 47 and a half or 47 Especially if they start ruling guys out i think that will start to see it come down This is a divisional matchup like you said most people are tending to think that Especially in week one divisional opponents come out there the packers defense is expected to be a little bit better As well too so that will start to trend things i think down on this game Especially the the more uncertainty that we get and i'm willing to embrace that because we have two We know the erin rogers is going to throw the ball at a heavy clip We know on the other side of the ball that the minnesota vikings have tried to move pace and that was back with when Mike zimmer was there that these teams were you know, they were still trying to be As as efficient through the air as they could possibly be with curt cousins and now you bring in kevin o'Connell And i just think it's going to be all out on the field This is at home in in us bank stadium in minnesota against a rival opponent like green bay They are not trying to go down and lay down and just be like oh we'll get out with a win Like i think they want to stick it to them I think they want to see that they're the top of the division and so on the other side We love when erin rogers can be in a position to push them to push the bell So on the side of things, you know the number increasing up by a full point as well two and a half To the packers from one and a half that kind of makes me worry But i'm gonna attack it from the total standpoint. It actually is one and a half I I think it moved after I recorded it. So I like had this graphic up. It was one and a half I changed it to two and a half and now it's back to one and a half again So let's just change the graphic mid show, you know, why not? It is back to one and a half now and I think that's appropriate because My numbers have this as a point eight nine point game in favor of the packers so Not enough where i'm looking to bet it its situation where there's not a big enough edge there I can't go towards the vikings money line is there a minus one or two and to do the the packers favored I think to me this winds up being a stay away in terms of the side in terms of the In terms of the money line as well because it is a pretty evenly matched game My numbers you at the exact same way I don't talk about the total because my numbers you this is being a very efficient game It's the fourth most efficient aggregate offensive efficiency game on the slate for week number one And most the games above it have very high totals We've got rams bills. We have chargers raiders and then she's cardinals The reason this one is down is because the packers run at this like sluggish sluggish pace But I kind of get what you're saying as well where they're They're still going to be efficient and that doesn't matter at the end of the day as well The vikings should be faster than they were last year based on their pass rate and stuff like that so I am Annoyed by the packers pace and it does bother me But I do still think that I'm on board with you where 47 and a half I think that's probably the way to go with this game if you were to bet one of the more traditional markets Is leaning that way like yes the pace annoys me But there are two very efficient offenses my numbers account for the fact that green I think I'm green may projected to be one of the best defenses in the entire league this year You just don't pull that up quick like it's accounting for that and still views as being an efficient efficient game overall so I think that for me if I were to bet A anything within the traditional markets here, I would go with the total of 47 and a half. I agree with you there Yeah, it it's just one of those things and you're looking at where public money is coming on on this gym And everybody is hammering the under on this and you can see that clearly because the total is being bet down I know that it's 47 across some places 47 and a half With the hook there is what is what we have and I think that it'll continue to do so and that's when I just You know, I just tend to just keep jumping on it When when stuff like that happens and I have such a Such a surety that you know, it'll go the different direction And you know, we always talk about fading fading the public So I just you know kind of see where the money comes in and where where my beliefs align and try and take advantage of that Yeah, 47 and a half right now minus 115 on the under which probably implies that fan dual There's decent odds they get down to 47 as well. So maybe a wait and see situation see if it gets down to 47 I would wait till I think Alan Lazar's probably not going to play based on missing practice on wednesday Once he's ruled out and make it down to 47. Maybe you're getting 46 and a half That's the situation where once we see that movement. I might buy in at that point Okay, let's go out here to an afc west bad We got the raiders at the chargers chargers three and a half point favorites here right now total 52 and a half and the chargers work this all season has been on improving their defense They got Khalil Mack for a second round pick They got jc jackson in there and free agency, but jackson likely to be out this week So ryan can the chargers live up to the hype and cover here against what is a pretty feisty divisional opponent? Yeah, I'm I'm not as interested In in the the spread on on this one on either side The only reason being is because they're again We're talking about where the public is and where the money's coming in 77 of the money is on the spread for los vegas in this game and in 86 percent is coming in On the los vegas money line So you could and that's exactly where I would align which is the only reason that makes me nervous But you're looking at a josh josh mcdaniel's team. I mean he starts off the preseason In the hall of fame game, right? And he's like playing josh jacob's and making people go crazy and like talking about how, you know Explosive they're going to be in the in the writings on the wall there. They're bringing a guy like davante adams They're working to get darren waller resign. They're doing some things on the defense aside But not great and even if you're talking about jc jackson being out for this game too Like this is another one the total is going to be, you know, that number is is crazy People are are going to really try and shy away from this on week one when you're talking about 53 on a hook I believe is where I last saw that But these are two prolific offenses We just saw them play each other really not that long ago jim when you think about it the week 18 matchup It's do or die the team that wins gets in and just all the crazy drama that went along with that Maybe that maybe that sparks something to keep this total a little bit down But just the way that these two teams play you're looking at the chargers from a year ago top three In in passing great, then you're looking at the raiders a year ago before mcdaniels was even there with all that was going on They were a top 10 team the top seven I believe in passing great So that just all of that just speaks to me is that this game is going to be a bonanza and that's really exciting So I love getting action on this game. It's just a matter of I want to try and do it where I'm not going to be disappointed with you know 90 of other people on it Yeah, so what's what is your favorite route for getting exposure to this game? So I do think the the total is enticing over 52 and a half is minus one of six There's no jc jackson. Um, I think that uh, I think that that's a factor for sure The raiders often sufficiency tanked after the henry rugs incident last year But now they add divante adam. So you're getting potentially a more efficient More efficient raiders offense. You're getting a chargers defense that still has flaws with jackson being out This I expect the chargers offense to go nuclear the entire year So I think that the total if we're looking at this game might be enticing from me What's your route for getting exposure to this game if it's not going to be via the side? Yeah, I think that I would definitely look at the look at the total as well I mean this is going to be a game that's kind of heavily talked about so if you're not really looking at the side But I do kind of we're looking at the chargers as being one of the lone home favorites on this week to open up Week one of this season. We got a lot of home dogs That are that are just littering the slate and so, you know with the chargers being the lone one and not really getting That much attention. I like going to the chargers side here. There's just a lot more Um There's a lot more that I can that I can put my hat on for the chargers side There's a lot of question marks that we that we need to see with the raiders first and just because they're getting Kind of so hyped up and I kind of I was you know talking with some people before the season about You know, should we be putting money money on Derek Carr at mvp yet where his odds were You know, just just because this is this is it for him Like this is we've given you all the pieces all the way of the land Like if this doesn't work out for the raiders, I don't really think that it starts with Just mcdaniel's it starts with Derek Carr. So because all those question marks I would still try and look at the look at the side here Um with the chargers get three and a half with the hook Yeah, I do show a bit of value there either the chargers by 4.76 points So about a point uh 1.25 points of value there for me It's not enough where I want to bet it. I typically want a bit more I think their cover odds are a bit around 52 percent, which is basically where they're implied to be So I can't quite get there But if I were to if you forced me to pick a side it would go to the chargers My numbers love them this year as with every single year because why would they not? but Not quite enough for me to bet that one there. So let's uh go to the sunday night game We got the buccaneers two and a half point favorites on the road Against the dallas cowboys at jerry world totally here is 50 and a half and Both these seems missing key pieces and for unique one And a lot of it is on the offensive side because we got the injuries along the offensive line for the buccaneers I'm assuming no chris godwin. He's not clear for contact just yet for the buccaneers But uh still to be determined on that one Of course with tyron smith injury with the cowboys no michael gallup. So a lot of offensive injuries here What are you seeing in this game ryan? It's it's tyron smith for me is what it comes down to. I mean that seems so rudimentary and basic jim But it's like this this dallas team is it's drecklin hide when this guy is on the field and when he's not And even then you can take it a step further in fact during liall collins Who's not there anymore on the offensive line who goes away and the efficiency numbers? For dak and the rest of this offense have dropped by Even even like a full, you know yard per play When these guys are not on the field and tyron smith is really the key there So when we're looking at two and a half here, you know getting under that key number of three With the bucks and just all the drama that's gone around with tom brady and bruce arians You know not not being there and him coming back and what's going on with the wide receiver core We don't know chris godwin could actually end up playing in this game as crazy as that seems people thought he was going to start on the The pup list um It's it's just one of those things i get it it's at home and people will probably be looking at last year these Two teams faced it was an explosive game and the dallas was able to cover by two here And that was in tampa bay now. This is in dallas, but i just i just feel like with dallas like I really just think the writings on the wall for this team to really struggle this year They have a tough schedule doesn't give them any, you know favors to start off the season like this with tampa bay I really like getting the tampa bay side of things on this just given all the all the stuff that we know about What dallas is dealing with on the injury front? Yeah, I was honestly kind of surprised when I pulled up this number when I was first looking at week one spreads It was a while ago obviously, but like I was a bit surprised because I was expecting given the negative sentiment around dallas This number to be a bit larger So two and a half I think that you know it was it was kind of shocked me and this dallas games You were talking about that uh total moving against you for the uh the packers and the the vikings This was that game for me last year where I had dallas covering the spread and it kept on moving I think got to like nine points at one point before kickoff in that game And just like I was losing my mind like what am I missing here? Like why why is the movie against me like this is the worst feeling in the world This week this year that's cardinals cheese, but you know i'm not going to talk about that again That's just an hideous ride uh for me But like it just kept on moving and moving moving and now I'm wondering if the weird vids around tom brady the the injuries are on the offensive line I'm curious what's keeping this number buoyed it to a nap. It was one and a half. I think at one point yesterday Uh, but like I'm curious why it's just two and a half given All the odd stuff happening at the cow ways, right? It could just be because the bucks cancel out their own weird stuff right now Right. Yeah, exactly the the offensive line I'm glad you brought up that point jim because yes You're talking about the starting center and then the backup center both getting hurt In the off season. We know how much tom brady relishes at the fact that he can You know be in the pocket and and feel safe and secure and this del is you know defense Especially on the front, you know, they're definitely going to try and get in there and get pressure But they are a team that likes to gamble a lot and so if you know Tom brady is is able to kind of pick them apart and have his way and then it's you know Kind of just the Leonard for net show and we're forcing dak to throw it to you know cd And I guess pollard because they you know, they've lost some p offensive weapons on the on that side of the ball I don't show it's no disrespect. Um, but uh, but yeah, I just Even all things considered like the things that are factoring in on the dallas side for me Just far outweigh what's going on with with the bucks in tampa bay and having some some semblance of what we remember From this team if you're getting a full tom brady, uh for for this game. I I got to take that side Yeah, uh, noa brown your single game lineups ryan, you know, there we go Excited to roll out noa brown the wide receiver two for the dallas cowboys in the europe or lower 2022 What could possibly go wrong there? Okay, so I've got a by bucks by 1.7 I thought I'd have value in the cowboys. I don't I think that for me This is stanway, but I think that if I were to bet I agree even though my numbers say bucks by 1.7 I lean towards you with the bucks minus two and a half there Let's open up the board to you ryan though because you got a lot of games on tap here for week number one outside of those three games What are your favorite bets available a fan dual sports book in week number one? Yeah, so, uh, there's there's two other games, uh, where I'm looking at The the sides actually, um, if you can believe that jim I want to pull up here not not gonna not gonna be the the homer and talk about what's going on here in Chicago But let's talk about another divisional matchup with the pittsburgh stealers going into sinton addy. I mean this This this is kind of it feels weird because it's michael trabisky and you know All of these things that are surrounding pittsburgh, but they're getting six and a half here They are on the road. I understand that but a divisional matchup These two teams have played slug fest like pretty much since mike tomlin has been there. Um And when you're looking at zack taylor and his record in week one, you know, that's not anything that really jumps off of the page here There's you know issues on sinton addy side of the ball too just as far as like this is going to be the first time We see that new and improved often to line unit together But there's the defense aside of pittsburgh's getting healthy and Mitchell trabisky for for whatever it's worth I mean you we're looking at been roff this burger for last year and I don't see Really that much of a difference especially when you're talking about if they do get pressure on him He can always use his legs to run been roff this burger didn't have that ability to do that So I think this ends up being more close than people realize getting that six and a half number Which really hasn't changed at all since uh this number opened But I still see a lot of money coming in on the sinton addy side That just makes me a little bit weary that people are kind of sure about this and that just goes to my whole Think about pittsburgh. I think in general of what the sentiment is around them that they can't You know all of a sudden win games because an aging been roff this burger isn't there I just I often's a line issues too I I get that but I still think that this team will be in it to win as long as mike tomlin's there And then the houston the houston side of things with indy. I'm a little Upsets not the good word But I mean we were getting this at eight and a half in this open eight and a half And I immediately just jumped on this number as soon as they made it available because Lovey teams and I you know being in chicago. I've seen lovey teams I've seen what he's able to do on the defense side of the ball We're getting you know first first time matt ryan with the new team But matt ryan was a guy I always tended to attack when he was in Atlanta, you know pretty much after the the collapse in the super bowl to the patriots And you know, I really think that houston if davis mills can just take care of the football On this side of things because that because of what the defense offers for indy I I do think that this number is just a little bit too high I mean at seven and a half I get it if you don't want to take it because it's moved to full point But this is one that I had pretty much been monitoring all off season. It's at home Again, we're talking about the home dogs that littered the slate and I just feel like houston You know, they shocked people last year with jacksonville even even for what that was worth Um, you know in that first week everybody thought that jacksonville with trevor lorence would kind of shine out But you know tyron taylor and company were able to make it happen So I like I like what houston's offering here at seven and a half as well. Yeah I'm on that one too. I had that at eight and a half. Like you said, we both got that at eight and a half I still have value though. It's at five point five five for me With the texans being underdogs there, but that's still almost two points of value So I do still think at seven and a half It's a worthwhile bet if you didn't get an eight and a half that's a bummer obviously But I do still think there's value there at seven and a half for the texans Feels good to be on the same page with you there. Also the stealers. I've got that as a bangles by six point one So less than six and a half. Um, okay, so I think that uh showing some value there I'm not sure if uh, we're just you know, reading off the same stuff I love it that feels good to to be on the same sides for week number one I'm curious if you'll agree with my favorite bet though for week one Among the ones we've not discussed talked about the texans earlier on talked about The giants plus six and a half when that was there I've talked about the stupid stupid cardinals enough. I don't need to worry about that And then the browns money line just not now move to even money So we won't talk about that the one I've not discussed in the show yet where I am showing value And it hurts Ryan, but it's the patriots plus three and a half against the dolphins I have this as the dolphins by one point one three points and like I get it I get the negative sentiment around the the patriots and the positive stuff around the dolphins I have the patriots projected to rank 16th and passing efficiency this year, which is worse than they were last year It's a good step down based on personnel changes based on Weirdness with the offensive coaching staff or whatever that is out there And I've got the dolphins projects to rank 11th, which probably is very high But you know bumping them up because of Tyree kill Jalen waddle For a full year there So I have the dolphins passing offerings projected to be good the patriots projected to be worse than them But I can't get to three and a half The secondary for the dolphins is banged up the defense for the patriots I think could be pretty good this year based on some of the personnel that they've got there so I don't recall a lot of times where my numbers are shown value in the patriots because they are a team people tend to have a lot of faith in That pendulum has swung and that's not the case anymore So I do like the patriots plus three and a half when it was a two and a half I wasn't going to bite but this has lengthened out to three and a half and I think that I'm going to dive in there and actually You know Suck it up and bet this Patriots team based on this number the humidity in in Miami does matter and it does bother me But it is is it worth two point four points, which is the amount of value I'm showing relative to the spread right now. I don't think so So I will go at the Patriots plus three and a half as the final addition for me here for week number one Ryan Should I be mad at myself for putting money on a an offense coach by Matt patricia and Joe judge? That doesn't it seems nauseating Jim But uh, you can you can you can take that and then factor in that This is bill bellichick going against a rookie head coach and you're getting three in a hook on that side of things I'm not going to say that they are a dark horse by any means but But what bill bellichick has done with the new england patriots has been able to keep them afloat like you said with the defense of personnel I think that they're you know people are Sleeping on them in that regard because they've always had pretty much a top tier or you know top half of the league defense When when it comes to that so they're not going to come out in this game and just roll over I think that a lot of the stuff from the from the playoff game against buffalo last year Lingers with this team lingers with bill bellichick and I really think they want to come out here Make some noise all that's been talked about was the patriots offense looked like Crap in the in the offseason mac jones can't get it done Who are the receivers and it's like they've never they've never had receivers that are household names Like the randy musting was a short lived, you know trial and error thing this this team has never Really invested in the offense aside the ball. It's the defense that kind of keeps it going and it's still it's still Tua I have faith in him. I think that you know, this will be a solid year for him I'm hoping that it is but when you're talking about week one to have this match up against the lingham patriots with the rookie head coach with question mark still in the running game Like it's it's left to be seen how this offense is really going to attack So I think getting three in a hug is It's favorable and especially with the public being on the miami side of the ball gym. I like where your heads at Yeah, I love to uh, I hope he does well. I think he's going to be I think that the the Hades received has been a bit annoying. I hope he does well But hopefully he holds off to week two. I'm doing that so I can get this uh, patriots plus three and a half Okay, we're gonna talk quickly here about our thursday night football just very briefly in case you've listened to this on friday But ryan any thoughts for you bills minus two and a half against the rams on thursday night to open up the season Yeah, I really I'm starting to really like The buffalo side of of things here jim and the rams have just been been so So tucked up. I mean the sharp money is coming there that always makes me a little bit nauseous But so is the public money as well too jim and you're just looking I'm I really am curious to see how matt stafford looks tonight like because that's gonna that's going to determine things for me All sees along with the rams this this lingering injury that he has and they've kind of been keeping it under wraps Shout out to shah mcbay for everything that he's able to do with with that team But we're looking at defending super bowl champs and being in week one not having a lot of success As well when it when it comes to you know that first game of the season now that all that being said Shaw mcbay is five and oh in in home opener So, you know, I get why people are leaning the ramside The buffalo bills on the other hand they didn't have that great Out of the division out of the conference. I believe record last last year We really like what buffalo was able to do towards the end of the season and taking control of their division However, I do feel like they have a lot to prove this year. They're the super bowl favorites I'm pretty much any sports book that you look at We have them as the super bowl favorites. I believe on fan bill sports book And I just josh allen and with Everything that this team offers on the offense and defense aside the ball if matt stafford is really not himself I feel like I can live with getting two and a half on the buffalo bills by when in this game by by a field goal So, uh, I I like getting the bills side of things going into thursday Yeah, the bills are number one of my power rankings right now. I am shocked by that I didn't think that'd be the case, but they are just in part because other teams have fallen a bit Tampa Bay because the line injuries other teams have dipped, you know, stuff like that But you know, I'm not taking the two and a half But I think they are up there for a reason the one that I like in this game is devon singletary over 60 and a half rushing plus receiving yards because He played every snap with the first team offense. I think in week two or week three the preseason So they did they did take james cook the god sack moths back once again But it doesn't seem like they've eaten into singletary's role, which was sick towards the end of last year So if i'm making a bet on this game, I would go with singletary over 60 and a half rushing plus receiving yards over at Fan will sportsbook. That's all we got for week number one Again, check out ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w we're going to be back once again Later on today talks more props with jj zack a recent but ryan It was a delight to have you on the show for today I am excited to have you on for the rest of this year. Good luck to you week one I'll talk to you once again Monday to talk some monday-nev football with the russell wilson revenge. Sorry My bad the true lock. You know, he's not starting revenge game against the brockos Absolutely. I can't wait to get after it with you this season. Jim. Thanks for having me I expect a drew lock mazoo jersey on you on monday Just letting you know now and looking forward to meeting you this weekend in person in chicago as well Check out ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w I am on twitter at jim sonnis make sure you are subscribed to the covering the spread podcast feed to get all these Podcasts they're posted. We do have our college football week two betting preview with ed fang and drew martin Post is already that is up on the covering the spread feed. And like I said player props to the jj. Zacharyson Coming up later on today. Thank you all for tuning in. Good luck with your week one bets It is a delight to have football back at our lives talk to you once again Sue this has been covering the spread right here on the fan duel podcast network