 what's up guys happy monday see what's going on this week so we got some nice earnings today we have che coming up after hours we got amgen simons property group tenet what's up rb nicko heaveys tsn went eight today 99 dollars jeez this craze 12 percent move chicken for the win carnival real caribbean region all ran up pretty nicely today a video had a nice little move up save some of the calls i had the big guys are still down microsoft apple twitter amazon snacking a little bit um wow google is actually about to fill that gap then you have facebook down another day brother another day mama mia so it's the overall was uh overall was a pretty flat day with some exception to the upside and exception to the downside uh pretty crazy move you know take a look at the earnings paper hand my put missed out 400 dollars damn why'd you paper hand you need to get diamond hands what puts that you have amgen also reported earnings today so let's check this out earnings for shares 436 as opposed to 412 sales is six dollars 6.8 billion as opposed to 6.88 a lot of these health care companies biotech health care they aren't they aren't hitting their numbers they aren't hitting their numbers mean jeez man they have so much products stocks but stocks but oh jeez my computer almost froze too much ram how much ram is getting pulled but it's taking up 100 cpu man it's come to the point where you can have 32 gb ram and still not enough what does life come to now uh 448 putz we hit 448 perfectly why'd you we can't do those putz man tis tis tis this company is being acquired by microsoft so not really expecting to see any movements dollar move check came out let's check out checks how did checks do checks is up 15 percent i think it's been downturned this whole year so it's about time for the reversal um earnings per share is 38 cents as opposed to 31 cents sales is 207 as opposed to 195 wow pretty good quarter 30 increase oh no 30 decrease to eps last year 8 percent increase compared to sales of last year 0.08 percent for the year increased 20 service revenue 29 percent year over year that loss was 1.5 million so still not in profitability yet so let's see they pull 776 this year next year they're looking to pull 830 to 850 so it's not like oh you know it's not like a huge increase it's pretty pretty small increase there man capital expenditure is going to be a lot too how much they pull this quarter hmm next quarter is going to be a weaker quarter actually this is not even that good of earning it might just bend that it's dropped so much that needed recovery um i mean they're still growing they're expanding and things like that but it's actually the guidance is pretty weak the guidance is lower than this quarters um looking meh we're a little no take two it's active take two interactive is pretty flat up and down up and down let's take a look at these results q3 earnings per shares is $124 as opposed to $23 that's a beat sales is 866.12 mil um as opposed to 879 that's a miss so this is the earnings per share was unchanged from last year however sales is up about 6.3 percent um even though it didn't meet the estimates so the company's having some growth but just not that good uh slower growth um they said they're they're expecting that net booking for 2022 to be about 3.37 to 3.42 but what was this year's net booking prior around 320s i would assume 3.2 talk about buying out sangle they launched gta again apparently what is top 11 oh the soccer game soccer management game stock split stock split stock split nothing relevant um weaker than expected quarter in sales and growth growth is getting a little stagnant um i mean then again it's kind of trading a little bit cheap compared to a year ago a year ago the company was trading at $215 right now it's trading 167 um two years ago the company was trading 115 considering the company's been growing like a little bit slower like 10 to 5 percent um let's say like 110 111 times 1.11 percent growth last year times 1.05 percent growth and and yeah it's not really hitting the numbers i guess to a certain extent let's check out simons property groups see what they said so the top of spy calls today congrats hazard good job man uh the palin tears they'll suck oh well earnings bring it up next week ah man that's stock amgn i was bullish on that ticker i can see why um a lot of those uh healthcare and big biotech look interesting but it's been iffy interest hike march interest hike is going to be in march semen's property group three dollars and nine cents up from 217 year over year that's pretty good sales is 1.33 billion beat estimate of 1.24 estimate um this is a 42 percent increase compared to the same period last year and about 17 percent increase compared to last year was the company trading last year 95 oof stock is up over 50 percent two year ago stock was trading 144s we'll see which one makes more sense us mall and premium outlet operating statistics occupancy was 93.4 percent it's pretty good um well actually only like 2 percent higher than 2020 they say the base minimum rent per square feet was 53 dollars and 91 cents damn that's expensive so they said that um october 15 2021 they open up this juju island south korea oh i wonder if juju island is where they film that show on they open a mall on juju island what is this where they film singles inferno on does anybody know where is the mall how far is this from korea that seems so interesting they said they have two other international projects going on one in japan but they own 40 interest and other one in france increased evident 20 is one of the two guidance they says looking at 5.9 to 610 per dilution shares ffo we would arrange of 11 to 270 when we're looking at here wow so increase so 5.9 to 610 is going to be way better than this year with this year we were looking at like 3.6 almost pretty good looks like they're expecting better year ahead so we played one of the alternative tickers skt which is handlers factory outlet very similar company as opposed to simon's property group or simon's property group rents out to like malls where they own malls and stuff this is more like outlet centers so very similar so if one of them do good the other one usually does pretty well you know as um because it would just signal that consumer trend is coming back so we'll see how that plays out tomorrow how do we play linear of the cpi data this week good question um i posted the thoughts on the market outlook this week um in the um in the twitter account and in the market watch list so you can check that out we'll see how that plays out i think we're still pretty in line with the with the direction of the malls and things like that so here it is over here what's up spindle my boy rb nickel rb nickel misses you man haven't been trading much lately just my usual uv x y my dad bought a hundred a share a couple weeks ago i'm trying to get him to sell cover calls oh your dad is smart he is very smart let's see what other earnings we got going on today he bought the low of course man of course the old man's got tricks yo well can't doubt your dad like that man um yeah let's see so phisers tomorrow morning um bp as well cody harley harley davison um sesco i think this is like a food company simpsco aramark so these two are like restaurant service food company um sy s co and ar mk a and then peloton is after hours tomorrow so a lot of a lot of um speculations on peloton today i don't know if you guys seen it was actually a really good day trade um ticker because a lot of people were speculating that you know peloton was going to get bought out by apple amazon and possibly nikey i think the i feel like the best opportunity to get bought out is probably by amazon because you know apple was like uh you know i could see it work maybe maybe not it's like and apples apples also really selective on their stuff too but like you know can you really see apple selling you know peloton's in their stores it's kind of like 50 50 right or like are they really like uh you know fitness company like that and then like um nikey i could maybe see them selling the stores like 50 50 but amazon i know for a fact amazon has the logistics um to make it happen you know they they have the logistic ability to just ship it easy man and and like dumb money but ups driver will probably hate amazon because they will get such cheaper cheaper shipping costs and things like that but um as far as day trade had a nice move up um hit like 30 something dollars pre-market 30 plus pre-market came back down to this $28 area that was a good buy to dip if you guys are part of the swing system i'll go so this is something that i i always advocate in our swing system we look for the doji and that was uh no there's no better doji than that right and then we get the foundation set up so doji to the foundations and then boom boom boom boom so we picked it up on the low here 28 easy day trade to 30 plus so that was a pretty good day trade here no big company wants this peloton yeah i agree i'm not crazy about peloton like i mean i mean like yo this this company ain't like proprietary you know it's not like it's not like the best thing ever it's all right it's a bike company i mean it's like a exercise equipment company there's plenty of them we have like four and five of them um even the other ones has been innovating a lot uh i can't remember the name right now but there's another big popular like treadmill company and they've been innovating a lot as well so you know it's not like peloton has a they it's not like they have a unique technology where other people can copy you know and then even uh beach bodies also like they're also copying their technology so it's there's so many copycats out there man it's hard to really like see them as the exclusive product the only thing that's good about peloton they're membership service and and they're able to like start that off really well but at the same time they also blew so much money man they they got big people like Lopez Jennifer Lopez and like a bunch of other people to like sign up on the thing to if like promote their services so they're blowing a bunch of money i remember waking up this morning people were going crazy they're like you know they're like oh my god peloton's goes it goes to 60 dollars and things like that like chillax bro peloton's like you know i wouldn't call myself the expert of acquisitions or anything like that but i i've seen them a lot and understand it pretty well and i'll tell you i'll tell you guys how it works from seeing all these acquisitions right um a lot of times usually acquisitions you know um let's say we probably take like the 20 day move in the average of peloton right um so then they move in average let's say it's like 30 dollars best case right um we'll call it 30 dollars we'll be very very generous so let's say if they were getting bought out 30 dollars um if if somebody were to overpay and they really want to like they really want to buy out peloton and we're looking at average price of 30 dollars in the last 20 days give or take times 1.4 which is a 40 percent market fee uh this is a usual market fee that they pay for mergers and acquisitions so you can see that in you know zenga you saw that in like in like activision you can look up any recent um acquisition deals and you'll see that that's usually around the price point the max this will probably get to is 42 um that's on the generous side on the lower side uh would have been 24 times 1.4 so it's anywhere from 33 to 42 those are the best case scenarios for like um for peloton if they get acquired any time this week or if the acquisition happens any time this week i wouldn't necessarily buy puts on amazon unless i was scalping it you know um just up and down up and down moves like over here it could have bought a put out open you know coming back down to here go along here and then you know could have possibly bought a put in at the double top up here you know but it's just iffy my friend always trying to give me to buy one i don't know who does peloton so about pilates cardio is my enemy for walking i feel you simpsons matter oh actually let me check this earning real quick ram bus it's a global semiconductor solutions high speed high security computer ships those rams all right let's see how this ram company did q4 earnings per share is five cents as opposed to negative 11 cents year over year sales is 91.8 as opposed to 61.9 looking pretty good 48 increase compared to the same period last year how was the stock trading i was supposed to last year last year company was trading around 20 dollars so it was a 25 increase two year goes trading at 16 what was the guidance they see q1 what the hell sales is 91 q1 is only 43 what happened there so annual sales up 26 percent year over year generated record cash from operations product revenue was 45 so actually the product revenue for q1 is pretty in line wow practically double their product revenue compared to 2020 so licensing revenue next quarter is going to be about 64 plus product revenue was 43 plus that's 107 um contract and other revenues 12 119 119 compared to what they're making this quarter at 91 so about 24 increase next quarter pricing in um still in line with the growth they even happen rmbs wow so rmbs is kind of at the mo b line it's either going to break down from here it's going to break out from here so i'm going to set an alert to see which direction it breaks to overall earning wasn't that bad it's actually um it hasn't actually ran too crazy compared to some of the other semiconductor companies but um this could become a bind up to any soon if we do come back to lower levels i do like the company and what they do let me catch up on the comments Lynn what are your thoughts on qualcomm earning was good but the price dropped a lot i saw put flow came in as well i'm thinking to need to stop loss on my calls let's check out let's check out the flows on qualcomm um so we got some big sweeps 140 dollars uh on the line is 178 which means it's pretty bullish actually uh there's some super under the money calls so pretty pretty mixed there um but toward the end of the day it was a pretty bullish call flow actually this also is 175 puts a longer term out january 2024 as well could be could be hedging on both sides honestly but um these flows over here looks pretty bullish this last two 198 dollars 198 thousand in it too so qualcomm had to get earnings 40 increase 30 increase see over year next quarter estimate was a little bit weaker uh as opposed to this quarter but it's going to be higher than estimate so it's 2.8 to three dollars it's supposed to 2.49 however 2.49 is a little bit lower than this quarter but it just could just be that naturally q2 a lower quarter um sales is going to be you know a little bit a little bit iffy um it's going to be higher than estimate 9.6 but overall uh this quarter it's going to be a little bit less compared to this quarter as well one year price 151 so it's had about 100 increase uh from 2020 looking at the company's growth rates around 42 percent so you know let's say it was like 92 times 1.42 times 1.42 kind of puts around the current price right now it's pretty reasonably priced tsn earnings yeah do we have any other big earnings today not right let's check out tsn from this morning what the tsn say that was so crazy so earnings per share 2089 cents is supposed to $1.90 sales is 12.93 billion as opposed to 12.18 this is a 47 increase compared to the same period last year and 23 increase in sales compared to the same period last year yo this sound like a lot of chicken earnings is mad good earnings is mad good um first quarter highlights that's why it went so crazy so earnings per share was three dollars and seven cents was up from 100 up 140 percent from the prior year and you can see the head here on the on the net income as well you know going to 1.2 billion from 467 so they really really like making money there a lot of chicken yo a lot of chicken the equity at 5.2 billion dollars um they said that we purchased about 4.2 million shares with 348 male it literally has so much money they just buying buying buying buying back their shares please do the results of the first quarter uh our performance reflects the resilience of our multi-protein portfolio even with the continued volatility in the marketplace we remain committed to winning with our team members winning our customers and consumers and winning with excellence we have the right team we're taking the right actions as a result we believe in our future is bright that's some bs so these are some average price what is this average price per pound we're looking at pork dollar 62 i don't know oh these are just sales versus average price change so they're selling up like a lot of a lot of beef they sold 31 percent more beef they sold 12 percent more pork almost 20 percent more chicken 13 percent prepared food and other random international sales from lizards you know goats um you know chicken dogs and so on just kidding yeah actually it's probably just them jacking up prices yo so they expect sales to be at the upper end of the 49 to 51 billion 2022 so what did they end this quarter at we didn't get a pretty in line i guess i thought it was gonna something crazier that blew the stock off but i guess not it was just um it was just really good numbers this year took it from 90 dollars to 98 dollars i think this is like the all-time high price for tyson's chicken yo jesus it could also honestly just be people looking at value opportunity and they look at tyson chicken and they're like you know um look at the company the company's training at like you know less than one to price to sale which is usually very very low um price earnings about 10 to 11 which is like kind of in line with like food companies like this sometimes food companies are you could even go as low as five because the growth isn't really there for a lot of food companies they grow very slow but the price to sale metric is pretty interesting there um so revenue growth is usually about eight nine percent a year eps growth is 47 percent death to equity is pretty pretty low at point five on if the other chicken company ran sa fm so this is there's only like two three major chicken farmers this is the other one sa fm trading pretty cheap at 181 that's a discount this market's like why volatility is kind of good actually it is a little bit risky though amazon must buy pinches and make amazon for hobbies hobby stern actually that's a good idea i mean wait isn't amazon already doing that though how is chipotle looking let's check the charts cmg yo uh chipotle was it was kind of looking good in the weekly chart and the daily chart not so much um our size is very high getting ready to come down a little bit um such as the market best case scenario you're looking for the double bottom move uh worst case breaks through this level this 1200 dot level it's over yo considering chipotle actually didn't run that much um actually they hit 100 at some point but they're starting to come down um considering how covid did to covid i mean how covid what covid did to chipotle they actually recovered pretty well i mean look at this day we cover by in two months so covid happened covid crash march you know 2020 and then by may they had already recovered all of covid crash and people were shorting chipotle and they were just getting wrecked because this company had like a super v-shaped recovery what a scam but their business was pretty resilient though i mean they did lose money they lose they lost some money in some quarters but their their business was pretty resilient concerning the fact that like they had already developed the apps and and you know they they already figured out ways to to like they they got very efficient man they're like starbucks of the apps like super efficient um getting people to to be in and out and like seamless orders and contactless deliveries and things like that and partnerships so they made a really smart move that time and they were able to catapult out capitalize it like very very well if only medano came up with the app way earlier they would have been killing it man they would probably overtake in chipotle somehow so sad sometimes being in the right place at the right time helps like for for chipotle you know they just happened to be working on the app like long before and they were the right place and then they helped and i'm helping out pretty well this is the bitcoin mining company might see some recovery as bitcoin is breaking out a little bit so i think they had they reported some data today and checking us out 2021 data 2022 data added but sometimes these companies scams too the company instantiate preliminary preliminary revenue approximately 2 million for 2021 up from 2020 at 23 um they expect what the hell so they expect revenue for 2022 to be a 155 mil 197 increase yo that's nuts wait wait wait wait wait they expect to make 82 million dollars from bitcoin mining in 2022 what are they doing how what is turn on green yo this is really interesting here some ev thinking and they expect their real estate what to go 15x are they just pulling numbers out of their butt at this point man so real estate revenue is going to go from 800 thousand dollars to 15 mil what the hell bitcoin bit now expects to grow as bitcoin mining operation through strategic procurement of power at its michigan data center to support the additional bitcoin mining equipment the company plans to install in 2022 the company is taking a dual-packed strategy for power procurement looking at the cost-benefit analysis of increasing capacity in michigan versus procuring power in a more advantage geography to this end it now is exploring various tax-friendly locals in addition to opportunities through alternative energy sourcing including hydropower the company projected bitcoin mining revenue resumes the installation of 2020 600 bitcoin minor by the end of 2022 bitcoin price of 41 thousand dollars 500 in the mining difficulty of 26.7 trillion turn on green project to grow from 5.3 million to 13 million in 2022 through increased sales of electric vehicle charging stations and we also expect in 15 with full-frenzoned revenue from our subsidiary all global real estate equities which is recently announced acquisition for hotels including two merit and two health and hotels located in the suburbs of madison wisconsin the company notes that bitcoin mining estimates are subject to actual delivery and isolation of bitcoin miners the volatility in bitcoin market price and the fluctuations of his mining difficulty other factor that impact the results of operation ah all right so i guess the other things aren't that bad maybe to a certain extent because they're they're picking up some hotels that they think they can potentially generate four hotels that they think they can potentially generate a buttload of revenue um the bitcoin mining is probably the most speculative out of them all because they're expecting difficulty not to increase too much and stuff like that but that's very very interesting i don't know what to make of this can they really pull it off i think byron might like this and send it to he likes the crazy shit like this let me catch up on comments joel d hubspot atrups let's check it out ctrm very interesting you said are you thinking about are you saying it's very interesting because you're thinking about shipping companies and supply chain issues and that and that because of all all these these are these shipping companies might have an opportunity to go up a lot higher hubspot looks pretty interesting our side is getting a little bit hot in the daily so we might you know we might possibly see a little rejection sometime we could run further most of the time it will likely you know come back down so very very very interesting areas to be cautious here we do have earnings coming up anything can happen um the weekly though it did drop a lot so you know the stock was straight out 800 dollars came down to 450s at covid time it was around 200 so still up it's still up you know 2x plus from covid uh from pre-covid you know um but it's also down a lot from the peak here so really have to look into the company's business and things like that they say hubscroll is about 30 percent year over year um you know these a lot of these cloud companies are very very speculative so very dangerous hey good afternoon mario how you doing facebook i got you thoughts on paypal facebook might have to take a short on chipotle for earnings no don't do it man don't do it man chipotle is the biggest scam don't short them all right take a look at facebook and paypal so facebook's been dropping almost most almost at that second level that we're talking about a good area to buy the dip the second level is the pre-covid level this is uh january 2020 of highs this is uh this is an area that i said hey you know let's just drop here and so i can pick up some positions so i have some orders you know waiting to pick up around like 223s we haven't really hit that area today but it's looking like a good area to to go long we had 224 on the low of the day so we'll see we'll see if we can take it there uh tomorrow maybe market drops a little bit more maybe um it's around 224 after hours as well so i think if you if you like facebook as a company if you think they have opportunity it's a good area to take some leaps you know let's say let's say we can we can look for like a 300 recovery you could go on you can look at 2024s right 300 dollars recovery assuming so it'll cost about $2,500 but hey it's cheaper than buying shares you know so if this comes back to like 300 plus um two years from now you'd be good you'd be good you know if it comes back like so if it hits 300 dollars you know in february you make $4,000 you 100% essentially 150% uh if it hits like you know if it hits that that number hits 300 dollars by december you hit about 97% you know so it's a reasonable risk in war you got two years to play that out so i like it i think it's a good risk in war areas to go long on facebook but hey who knows what if the market just crashes and and like it'd be lucky to come back to 200 dollars when it crashes to like 100 right who knows but not it should be a pretty big company it should be safe ctrm it's a big penny stock i remember this trading at 60 cents the year before i had a huge runs at 20 dollars at some point that was crazy so me and arby nico was talking about this other company last night as well or this other company um related to like seaborne transportation and things like that so castamore time is a provider of seaborne transportation service for a dry boat cargo including iron ore coal grain steel products fertilizer cement sugar scrap metal people among others and the company's revenue are derived from time charter and beer boat charter and spot charter contracts so you know it's magic it's shipping it's caster things and not one that um but a lot of these companies man they they have so much expense um that they spend on you know capital expenditure boats and things like that that it's it's very hard to like look at them in a good way so like like you know um even though they're making dumb money right now i guarantee you they're making the most money they've ever made in in their lifetime um because of the situation right now um but let's see actually the depth to depth of equity isn't that bad 0.25 it's actually pretty reasonable so you say you started their earnings today and you like really liked it it will happen look at this it's crazy man this quarter they made so much money they essentially made more than 50 percent off their net income for the year so revenue right four quarter december 31st 2021 revenue was 60 million dollars you know for the first three months ended as a come as as opposed to 4.4 million from the year before all right net income was about 29 million compared to when they used to lose money the previous year they were losing 0.8 mil right now they made 29 mil that company essentially went from like zero to 29x like zero zero bro to 29x that's nutty that's how much like that's how much you know the cost of shipping has increased during the four quarter 2021 they we had taken successful delivery of three cargos three vessels they currently got 29 vessels they have having more than quite triple the number of vessels his own wow they 4x the vessel from 2020 so they probably had like what 12 no not even 12 we have 29 right now divided by four like seven Jesus though this is the purchase price Jesus man did it get cheaper where is this data outdated oh yeah we are seeing signs of relief in the shipping container costs yeah but you also have to be forward looking as well so that's why I just I was looking up the cost of shipping containers to see like what the supply chain logistics issue was looking like so you know prior to COVID it was normal to see like you know costs of like 1.5k to 2.6k to ship something from you know Shanghai to New York or Shanghai to LA right so you can see that in the data I'm looking at here so this article was like pretty recent it was like two months ago I mean it's not super recent but I would say it's still reasonably recent and and and this was like you know before COVID and then you know after that in 2021 the the price had dramatically increased you know we started hitting like you know or from 1.8 let's say 1.8 to LA 2.6 in New York to like you know 4.2 right it's almost a hundred percent increase there um and then and then when it peaked over here in September you know 1.8 to 12.4 so that's almost 10x increase you know oh 5x increase 5x plus 6x 6x increase so it's it's it's been a lot you know increasing over here but we're starting to slow down we're coming back down a little bit so the the real question is like yeah they're doing a lot of expansion and things like that but you know how long is the supply chain issue going to be a supply chain issue like you know like is the supply chain issue going to come back down or is it going to continue to stagnate around this area right like is it going to continue to stagnate around here or is it going to come back down to normal around this low range I would say we're probably going to see like at least four thousand to six thousand dollars I think that's still a reasonable area to for us to be at for us to normalize that I don't know if we'll ever come back down to this range here I think we'll at least stay at this range which means that this company will still make money but they just won't make as much money if if these costs aren't up four to 10x right so that obviously last quarter was a peak quarter for them that was the best of the best quarter but let's do some math and see how much they should be worth just by enterprise value along we're looking at 160.634 divided by the shares so it says it should be worth at least a dollar and 69 cents trading at 1.49 price to sales but Zynga has it on a book value of 3.46 but it might not be updated to account for the capital expenditures so that's probably something we've got to take a look at but I think it's definitely interesting it's definitely interesting to see you know to see what direction it can go it's probably something we have to like do get a better look at like the DCF model on it let me look at the technicals on it too CTRM I actually hate this company by the way can you believe it Australia $20 at one point oh they did a split too this could be a beginning of weekly reversal as well so looking on the weekly chart we have a doji the week before we're having the foundation set up could be a weekly reversal and that could end up going higher so kind of like this but that's on the weekly chart though so you'll only be buying shares at this range so kind of like that we'd be looking for a breakout for a move to come back to the daily level at the dollar 96 I think that could be interesting if you're going to play it take it you could take it potentially from the dollar 40 to dollar 96 and kind of get out there could you could like amass a starter position here and see how it goes but our site is very hot um you know ideally we wanted to see a cool down on the half day chart here maybe a pullback to dollar 20s take a pay take a look at PayPal real quick in the stream here today but that was a good one Kip thanks for bringing it up oh oh check it out um we're lucky I'm lucky PayPal here as well it's coming back to the 2020 range it's a good area to go leaps on it earnings wasn't too phenomenal but you know it's an interesting company I think it's a strong financial company I don't see like I don't see how it wouldn't recover I'd love to see arc f come down honestly so I could just buy that instead of PayPal but I think this is a good area to buy leaps 2024 um you know assuming like they also have some Bitcoin holding too so if Bitcoin continues to move up higher it would do good for them if Bitcoin dies then it would not be good for them so it's it's also a bit on cryptocurrency as well because they're evolving that PYPO yo Arby and Niko when you get arc f man Jesus this guy so D gen he loves that D gen stuff I love it all right man um then we're gonna end the year we found some really interesting tickers Facebook PayPal um Castro more time so let's take a look uh we'll see how they play out later this week but thanks for stopping by and hanging out guys and have a good day have a good night a lot of interesting stuff tomorrow so I'm excited to see Chipotle a little bit bullish on expo for tomorrow so can't wait to see that take care guys