 Let's get over to our man, Mr. Tim Moore, as we do every Tuesday and Thursday, and don't forget, folks, you can reach Tim every trading day at odd, rd-oracle.com. That's odd-oracle.com. Tim Moore, what's going on, brother? Well, actually, well, kind of a lot of nothing. It's really, Mark, it's really persistent here. This is the week before auction expiration week, and we got, you know, hammered on Monday, and I thought that at least that minimum would be retested. We didn't, we pushed higher, and today we're higher again, and the VIX is up the last three days with the SP's up the last three days. So, a little bit confusing, but you got to look at the bigger picture. You can take a look at chart one. Okay, let's just let me get these. Okay. Yeah, it's kind of the old story here, but it's just worth, you know, it's worth rebinding that, you know, we're in a bullish mode on the bigger timeframe. The third window up from the bottom is that 60-day, three-day trend again, and over the last week, it hasn't changed, it's still at 1.12. Nice. Anything above 1, yeah, anything above 1.1 is bullish. So, you know, can we keep pushing higher? You know, it's a possibility. So, anyhow, that particular chart shows that there's enough panic in the market, trend rings above, at least on a 63-day, anything above 1.1 is bullish, on a, you know, 1-10-day, anything above 1.2 is bullish, but on a 63-day, it remains bullish. So, let's go to chart two. And, you know, I just want to add some, we're going to get some help on this today, too, Tim, because even though the market's up, the trend's running 1.33 right now. Yeah, I'm watching that. I've been watching it all day. And so, I've seen where that trend actually gives a bicycle when the mark's going up. No, listen, man, I get it. I know what you're saying. I've been looking at the trend along with myself that folks, what we're talking about is this. This is so unusual. So, because what this is saying, even though the market's up, people are selling, man, they're selling, that's wild. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, there's more stocks on the, or there's more volume on the down stocks than up stocks, which is what you want to have. So, yeah, no, I'm with you. Yeah, it's a good point. Okay, so I went to chart two. Yeah, chart two is the hardest eye on the daily. Yeah, it's a daily, you know, back in December, we hit above 80 warning that you're probably going to start a trending market. And that's pretty much what it's done so far. And this chart goes way back to 2000, 2006. And so a lot of times that, when the RSI hits 80 on the daily, a lot of times you're at the midpoint of the move up. And it doesn't happen very much. You get this type of signal, you know, once every two, three years, maybe four years, but it's pretty rare. But once you get them, it's, you know, you want to stay long and be long, I guess you might say. You want to latch on to it. Right. Yeah, so that's, those are kind of two bigger trends are what you're up. And chart number three, here's one kind of looking for the short term here. And actually, forget three, jump to chart four real quick. Okay, one second. That's two, three, four. And you know, and you just mentioned 2006, Tim, today's the anniversary of the market hitting the lows in 2000. I think it's 2009 at 666 on the S&P. How's that? I think I remember that. Yeah, we definitely remember that. Isn't tonight the President's speech or something? Yes, yes. That's tonight. That's the State of the Union tonight, yes. Yeah, State of the Union. So maybe we'll have some sort of reaction tomorrow, I don't know. But yeah, chart number four is the weekly RSI on a 14 time frame anyhow. This is not the daily RSI, this is the weekly RSI. And when it gets to, you know, around 80 and below 85, it gets above 85 and kind of having a blow off. But it gets up around 80, you got a, you know, pretty much impulse wave. And that's pretty rare too. All those can areas, I try to mark them, hopefully you can see them. So we're not in a market that you really want to look short. If it does, if the market does pull back, you want to buy it because it's going to find support. But, you know, last time we had something like this, came in 80, that was back in 2020 going into that 2020 top. And before that was 2017 beginning of 2017. So what I'm thinking in general, this market, you know, because it's trending in such a strong way, I think this market is probably going to trend all the way into July is how I'm thinking it. There'll be some minor week, some weeks down, but nothing major. So write them cowboy. I said write them cowboy. Yeah. So nothing really major popping up part of the client goes. So let's go back to chart number three. Okay. And what I'm kind of looking for here is exactly what you said the trend, you know, I was hoping the trend would be up today. We've had 1.12 is good, but the bottom two windows, the bottom window is the three day trend. The next one up to two day trend. And actually, I like to see at least one of those, if not both those up around 1.2, 1.25. And I marked the times in the past when that happened over the last six months or so. And every time that got, you know, at that, you're at least looking for some sort of a low for a balance or something. So I'm hoping, you know, maybe tomorrow after the state of the union address, you know, the jobs number comes out tomorrow morning too, Tim. The jobs number comes out tomorrow morning too. Yeah. Absolutely. Stay right there, folks. Tim or Tom or Brian, we do appreciate you growling and prowling with us. Our phone number is 877-927-6648. If you want to give Tim a call, give me a call. The dial right now is up 107. Now it's except 234. S&Ps are up 46. Tim and I are coming right back, folks. Welcome back, folks. That was up 100. Now it's except 233. S&Ps are up 46. We're talking with our man, Mr. Tim Orton. We are talking markets out here. Okay, Tim, ready. All right. Let's go to chart five. Okay. Yeah, this is a gold market. So, you know, this thing, just, you really want to see, especially off of a bottom, you know, if the market can really show a sign of strength off the bottom, that's what you want to see. But, you know, the bottom two windows is the 18-day average of the up-down volume for GDX. Okay. And the next window up is the advanced decline 18-day average for GDX. In a nutshell, when both those indicators are above minus 10, you got an uptrend going. And so all the light blue areas are times when this indicator is above minus 10. And when it's below minus 10, it's in that pink area. So, we're coming in, you know, ours were way above minus 10 on both situations. And the market has been up. I think today will be the, we stay up today, which probably will be up six days in a row. But, you know, let's go to chart two. Okay. Or chart six. I'm sorry, chart six. Okay. Here's, we actually did, we talked about this back in probably August of last year. And anyhow, we'll go through it real quick. But the bottom two windows are the same indicators that we had on chart number five. Okay. But what I want to see here is both these indicators get to plus 40. Okay. And those blue lines on the chart show the times when you get to plus 40 in the past. Now, is this a weekly we're looking at Tim or a monthly or a daily? No, this is a daily. Okay. The same chart as of chart number five, but it goes back further. And so it doesn't quite look the same. Okay, that's cool. Yeah. Yeah, this is the same two indicators. But what you want to see is both of them get to plus 40. I see. And so back in 2016, we got to plus 40 right off the bat and went higher from February to August and went higher for another six months. And we, this did get back to go the current time frames of last year, last April, you know, it looks like April or so, it got to plus 40. And I was saying on the error, we were talking about it. Well, this is probably initiation of an up move, we should keep going. Well, it didn't, it fell back. It failed. Yeah. Right. Yeah. Right. And so that was basically a failure, I guess there's always no indicators work all the time. Yeah, time it didn't work, but previous four did. My point is, you know, we're coming in right now, you know, both of them are are approaching 20, a little bit less than 20 or 20. So forget the plus 40. We need in general for the the GDX to keep moving higher, you know, you can have a downer two days, but you can't have a downer two weeks, because that would ruin this indicator not getting the plus 40. But we can get to plus 40 on this, which is a big F, you know, we got 20 now, we need to get to 40. If we get to 40, then the odds suggest that we got a big impulse wave going. Right. Now if we got something like, now if we do get that going, let's go to chart five. Okay. This is the hope that what we're trying to do on chart five is get these the bottom indicator, which is the monthly cumulative advanced decline in the top window is a monthly cumulative up down blowing percent to get these two indicators above the mid Bollinger band. Yes. Now, if we can do that, you got a multi year rally going be something like the 2002 low or the 2016 low or the 2019 low. Yeah. Bring the 2002 low on. Yeah. Yeah. That's what I'm thinking is coming at some point, because this market can't really trade forever going sideways. Well, you know, it's interesting too. Yeah. And there's been enough failures when we've gone higher. And then what you also have, which is pretty cool, is that the price of gold versus the price of the equities, gold is way ahead of the equities, folks. Okay. Right. Which is really so cool, man. Okay. So they can catch up. We showed a chart on Tuesday with the XAU gold ratio. Yes. And that RSI got below 30. I don't know, last week, maybe the week before, and that gave a buy signal. So in other words, that ratio went right through the floor over the last couple of months, because that's what needs to happen to get the RSI below 30. So that indicator actually gave a buy signal. The XAU gold ratio, if you look at. Yes. I don't have those charts. No, no, I remember well. Yeah. Absolutely. Right. So basically when the XAU looks the ugliest, it's the most, especially on a monthly timeframe, when it looks the ugliest, it's most of the opportune time to get in. Yes. So I don't know, but that ratio kind of really brought everything down. So you had a selling climax on that ratio. You know, just like a bull market, you need a selling climax. Then right after it, you need a buying climax. You know, remember we were talking about the summation index? Oh yeah. Yeah, summation index. You need a selling climax below minus 700. Then you need a buying climax to plus 1000 to predict a bull market for the equity market. Well, that same thing can happen with the XAU gold ratio. You get a selling climax. You get an RSI below 30. Then you need a buying climax. So you need a rush of buying comment to get a bull market. So I'm thinking this is kind of developing this way. That's why I put some of these charts up. If you go back to chart six, if we can get to plus 40 here in the next couple, three weeks, and there's a good chance, if you go to chart seven, you'll get both those GDX up, down, volume, advanced client indicators above the Bollinger Band. So that's what I'm hoping that could happen. It's going to happen. But if you go back to chart seven, it's a lagging indicator. It doesn't try to catch the bottom or top, but does catch the middle 80%. So you made this bottom if we get above the Bollinger Band. And so the bottom could have happened in February, because a lot of times February in the gold market, it's all reversals. And that's happened this year. And July is important. October are important months. So we'll see in the coming months, but I'll be watching this monthly GDX real carefully. So if we get by that Bollinger Band on both those indicators, then we'll start something that's significant. We'll be like 2000, well, maybe not, but at least be like 2019 and 2016. Because we've been going down, you know, if you look at this chart, this 2021, both those indicators have been below as big Bollinger Band going back to 2021, which says basically it's advanced client and up, down, volume, that the market is pretty much better in the bear market. Because, you know, it was tough to make money in the gold market, especially the gold equities. And once you get above that mid Bollinger Band, then almost all the gold stocks are going up. It'll be fairly easy to make money. So will that happen? You know, we'll see. We got the indicators to watch, you know, to see if it does. If it does, we'll know it. And it was so cool here, folks. Remember, these programs are archive, because as Tim speaking, he's given you the numbers to look for. And that's what's so cool as, as you know, us going forward, you know, just keep watching the numbers. Stay right there. Tim and I are coming right back. We have the Dow Industries up 133, NASX up 240, S&Ps are up 50. We'll come right back. Welcome back, folks. That's Tim Moy, Tom O'Brien. We do appreciate your ground on the problem with us. We have the Dow right now up 156, NASX up 253, S&Ps are up 53. And we're talking with our members, the Tim Moy and Leah talking gold right now. Yeah. I don't know what to say about gold. You're just... Oh, the GDX, right? The chart on seven, though, is, in my opinion, the whole key to get this thing turned up. And I put that in my market letter. So if we get that turned up, anybody holding gold stock will turn into a genius, because everything will touch. Most probably will go up. I know. But until then, you know, everything's been kind of selective. It's been a beating, but there are some gold stocks that have gone up over the last couple years, but not many. Oh, yeah. No, we don't know how this goes. Yeah, let's... We'd like to take a quick call. We're going to call the folks... I mean, Tim, that wants to talk to you about the QQQ. Let's go to Ron and Charlotte. Hey, Ron, what's going on? Yes, hi. Hi, Tom, how are you? I'm doing great, yourself? Good. Good. Let's call it about a couple things. 416 on the QQQ. Do you think that's still in the cards based on the strength we've seen the past couple of days? Are you talking to Tom or me? I'm actually talking to Tom right now, but I do have a question for you, Tim. Thank you. Well, okay, so I suspect that those are going to get tested. The real question is, as I said at the beginning of the show, the Q's are in an ABC up to 453, and we're only at 445. So that ABC is going to finish. That's what it looks like to me. Yeah. It's a small one, but because we're at such big numbers, it ends up being a good-sized chunk A to B. Do you know what I'm saying? Right. Yeah. Cool. Okay, good. So yeah, we expect 453 before a serious downturn. That's what it looks to me. I don't see a serious downturn, but what does happen in markets in general? No, just in general, and Tim and I talked about it, if this gap doesn't get filled, all of us that are along the market, man, I don't like it when they don't get filled, man. Do you know what I mean? If you go seriously higher, then it's going to get filled, man. It's way too big, but this gap is just way too big, man. Yeah, and for Tim, and thanks, Tom, for Tim, the Tuesday low, do you think that's going to be retested? Tuesday's low. I think it might. We haven't touched that. We've got a gap also. You know, an asset's got a gap around that. Well, in the midpoint, it looks like about 430, you know, the FB's got a gap there, too. And actually, I don't think it's going to get filled this week or next week, but I think it could get filled the week after, exploration week, I think, especially March, which is a quarter exploration week. You got March, June, September, and December, well, quarter exploration week, and those quarters seem to lean bullish. And so we only got one more trading day a day to go. So I don't think tomorrow we're going to test that gap or actually be what, today's Thursday, be Tuesday's low. And so I think the market may hold steady if not up next week, but I think the week after it could, that's how I'm looking at it. That's probably when the gap might get filled, but not next week. So if you're short, you know, I'd kind of be a little bit scared here, because, you know, if we get a little panic going in here, it really set up for a bull market on, you know, it gets some energy to the upside. But I think this week's going to be up, next week's going to be up. How much? I don't know. But I think the week after, of all the seasonalities, the week after option exploration week on March is the eighth weakest week of the year, according to seasonality. So it's a week to pay attention to, but, you know, next week could be, it could be just sideways. So we'll ask what you can see. So I hope that answers your question. Appreciate you guys. Appreciate you both so much. Okay, man. Ron, you have a great one and a safe one. Appreciate it. Appreciate the call. You know, this, this run in the markets, Tim, we've seen them, but this is something else, man. I remember having, and I think you were on the line at that particular point, if not, he had just got off the line. This is a long time ago I'm talking about, but Bollinger, I used to interview him quite a bit, and John Bollinger, this is folks, and he was explained, this is when Yahoo was going right through the roof. And what it was actually doing, it was, he was calling it, um, it was grabbing the top of the Bollinger band and riding it. And I remember this so well because it's like, I was saying to him, I was like, how far, how long can this do it? He says, man, until it doesn't do it. Yeah, actually, if you can ride, you know, just touching the upper Bollinger band, that's fine. But once you start going through it, like we did here in March, yeah, March, we're above it right now, right? We have that chart on the monthly time frame. Right. So I'm thinking, you know, I'm thinking, well, we should get a pullback of some sort here because we, or was that February closed above 50% above the Bollinger band? I think it was February. It was February. Yeah, it was February. I got it up right now. So that would predict March, which is this month, it could be a little trouble. So I don't see a trouble coming this week or next week. It's the week after, because the week after is the eighth, you know, weakest week of the year. And it works pretty well. So we may get hit. And that's when the, we may see the gap fills on both the QQQ and the SPYs. And then from there, you start going up. So I don't know. That's my opinion. That may change going forward. But yeah, if you can, if you can ride the upper Bollinger band, just keep on it, that's great. But once you start going above it, then that's when the other week could happen. Exactly. See how that happens. Pretty cool, man. I'm telling you. And then, you know, what we have now the last two days, Tim, is that the dollar index, okay, you know, that had been staying really strong. And we're at 102, 800 right now. And this was hanging above what it had done. It was having a hot, well, my take is that it was going lower. And it finally did break the consolidation. But I mean, it went sideways for, you know, 10 days trying to get into this consolidate into lower range. And I just refused it. But then as soon as it broke, we got two days in a row of it breaking. So that looks to me like the dollar is going to get down to 100 right now. We're at 102, 822, which, you know, the S&P loves the weak dollar, the commodity market loves the weak dollar. I mean, this could get really interesting, man. So. Yeah. Yeah, I think so too. I think this, this, this March stuff, though, is just a little bit peculiar because I always thought we'd be pulling back today when we're up. But, you know, maybe that, you know, I forgot to state it. A lot of times you get these announcements going on state of union or, or some other, you know, unforeseen information coming out that the market gets affected by. So I think the state of union personally is having an effect on the market. But listen, man, it's always a pleasure. You have a great weekend, a safe weekend. And we look forward to talking to you next Tuesday, Tim. All right, love you guys. Love you, man. Have a great one. Have a safe one. Dow. Dow right now at 121. Now it's like a 237. S&P's up 48. We're gonna be coming right back.