 investors. The following is a presentation of TFNN, the Tiger Technician Hour with your host, Hazel Chapman. Call now. Call free at 1-877-927-6648. Good morning, everyone. Hazel Chapman here on this Wednesday, the second of March. You can have to get used to saying March. And we're looking at the Dow of 340.339 and 33,631, yes, a nice day, but that was really ugly yesterday. And look at these dreaded Hs, the low case H, the arch formation that takes out the left side low. So this is going to be really important. What happens to the Fed? If you're the Fed right now, you're saying to yourself, inflation, oil, just screaming to the upside, there is no light at the end of the tunnel for oil at this particular stage. We gave up our independence, and now we are just completely waiting to see where, what, how, will crude oil prices come down in the shorter term? In the longer term, sure that we can do things, but shorter term, that's a real issue. So I think, and I'm going to put this in the context, I, you know, it's all very well talking about winners, but we also have losers sometimes. I thought that Six Flags Entertainment was a sure way to play the comeback kid, maskless, getting together outdoors, the return to normal, and it just hasn't done that. So Six Flags Entertainment, it's not like Disney, it doesn't have that whole media aspect with Disney, also in an H pattern right here. Not a great chart pattern, but I thought Six would be the one to really lead the way. Six Flags, SIX is a symbol. No, it's not, I think that has to do more with the oil situation, that the price of gas is going to be a hindrance. I wouldn't think so, because if people have been waiting and waiting, waiting to go out, that extra cost of gas should not be, oh, G7 says Six Flags, it's not well run. You know, I do remember a while back that there were problems, but it's still out to entertainment. Anyway, it's not working. And that tells me that in this particular smorgasbord of choices to have in the stock market, there's a way to look at it and the way to have been looking at it, probably is just if crude oil right now trading from a low, just a month ago, so the start of February in the 85 area, and it's trading at 108 now after hitting 112 this morning, that is a theme. And that theme is going to stay, even if there is some minor discussion about using our reserves, you could do whatever you want. But the most important thing is we're not actually increasing the output. And that I think is the issue. So I'm saying that you've got to now be really careful in this particular period, because yes, we do have the TLT pulling back today down $1.22 and $140.08, and it's going to take a while to figure this out. This is going to be when you look back and you say, oh, but the fact is throughout all these years, the decades that I've been looking at the market, the expression that I've always had is that when the key equities stocks become volatile Wall Street parlance for going down, money comes out of those stocks and into the safety of bonds. Well, we've had this two month correction, and I'm going to talk about that in a moment, you've had a two month correction, and yet you've had a two month correction in the TLT. So the yields have been going high, and that's the same to me that no matter how we look at it, the Fed is going to have no choice but at least to be contemplating a slow move to raise the rates. What can we do? That's just the way it is. And that the force of the higher yields is saying that the normal liquidity of getting cash and putting it into somewhere where you can grab it immediately and use it, like in bonds or fixed income, that hasn't worked because that force of the driving force of the TNX, here we go, TNX.X, there we are, the TNX, which did make a peak D in the, I think it made it peak D, but it might have gone just fractionally high. I forgot to update that. So the high in the 10 year yield on the 11th of February was 20.63, that's 2.063, and on the 16th it was 2065. So it did go to peak E, and now it's pulling back like you'd expect in this particular pattern, but it's still near, it's near the highs, if you look at it in the monthly chart, look, monthly chart went to a peak C, higher highs and higher lows in a stair step move. So this is something we have to watch very closely, just in terms of what are the yields going to do. I have called this a peak F in the weekly chart, it might be renamed if there's a higher high above that 20.65, I think it was 2.65 level, we'll see what happens. But in the meantime, you can tell that the Fed is going to have to talk about, they've had this mantra for so long, but then they're going to have to talk about inflationary aspects, then they're going to have to talk about the overall economy, because there are some really great pockets of strength, but when you look at RHI, which is a Robert Haff, it almost looks like the yield, 125.77, 122 round number low, this is Robert Haff International, these are jobs, on the 9th of February comes down to a low of 111, balances up to the 120 area and is now trading at 115, I have to say that the job demand is incredible and the jobless rate is very low, and yet we might not be filling jobs in time. And that's what this is saying, that this is such a convoluted market environment that, as I've said to subscribers, raising cash is really important, we've had to do that, we've done that, we've got very low price and near-term trades, and there are only trades at this particular point, and I just think conserving cash is king, that's all that I can say right now. So let's go on, we're looking at silver, SI, silver is trading, that is down today, down 0.3 at 25, 22, I still see it in this good chance of making that PD, it's not the greatest pattern in the monthly chart, but the week is hard to make the cup shape formation, it's improving, the daily has had a really good rally from 22 up to the 25, that's already impressive, and it's holding the other highs, so I think that gold is still in play as a geopolitical instrument, a safety, I call it an icon of fear, and that's where people are gravitating to, if you're looking at the dollar, now yeah, you see, but I've been talking about this for quite some time now, as when people say it's different this time, then someone listening rolls their eyes and says, yeah, yeah, we've heard that before, let me tell you, this is different this time, we've got crude oil screaming to the upside, we've got this whole thing going on with yields, we've got inflation at record increments, it's gone exponentially higher in the shortest period of time, this is different, and also we've got some retail stocks that have done fantastic, but the retail index has not been well, I've got a whole bunch of questions that I'll do with the citizenry, dollars now, up to the fives, are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? 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If you're treating this as a dividend stock, I'm going to say here, $21.91, I can see it's stuck in a range. So, yep, you can go down a point and a half maybe so that gives you a 5% risk to the downside. And maybe the dividend is in the 4% area, I'm not sure. And on the upside, it might even be stuck. I would put a rectangle formation here, not even make it narrow at first between $22.50 and $21.50. So, I would say if you are in it, you're holding it as a different stock, I think it's reasonable to keep holding it. I think that it keeps coming back to the midpoint. That's the most important thing about the rectangle formation. So, even if it pulls back, it should come back into the $21.91, it should come back into the $22 area and test it. So, as a dividend stock, I say, okay, would I buy or sell right now? I'd probably say at this point, I would just look at it. I want you to do a little homework and see if it does the dividend make up for any risk. If I want to actually get out at the dividend, which I haven't received yet, then it would be a loss. If it's a dividend play, you've got to be looking out past the dividend. And that says to me, it could be in a range. It needs to break into the $24 to really say that it can go back to the $28 level, the high that was made in 2019. But at this particular point, it might just be stuck in a range for a while. So, I hope that helps you just in terms of, oh, perhaps an acquisition time. Wait, are we talking about the same thing? No, we're not. Okay. So, that's the answer there in the way I see it. Another thing that we're looking at is I didn't finish, I was looking, I want you to show you, look, the dollar has gone to a new recovery high. The whole area that I've been putting pointing for quite some time of 90, is it 97? Something was at 98. 90, let me just move this chart. Look, there it is. So, the weekly chart, I'm expanding that now. So, you can see I've had this huge cup formation, but I was looking at 97.80. That was the high round about May or so of 2020. That was the first big resistance area. We're in that right now. We're testing at the MACD. Actually, hasn't yet turned positive. It's trying to. We've got a month, it just started a new month. So, we'll see what happens. Circassians quite weak. So, I'm looking at the dollar index and saying, the technicals so far are good enough to say that the weekly chart needs price to move higher to really get everything in sync. But at this particular point, it also said that the dollar has very strong support in the 96s and it's a 97.68 right now. I'm going to do this as well because that's what we need to do. And the monthly chart has extended leg C. It didn't look like it was going to do that. It looked like the just sideways consolidation could last a little longer, especially with gold soaring as it did. And this is just to remember. To my eye, I've got this. I've called it before and I said Vixie, Bondine, Dolly, and Goldie. You've got to think of these as almost independent because each one's relying. Often they go together in counterpoint. So, the dollar goes up, gold goes down. Gold goes up, dollar goes down. The Vixie index has to do with the stock market. Bondine, the bonds, they're in another world altogether. And if you're looking at gold, as I said, gold is really a proxy for fear geopolitically. The other things that go into it, but that's the way I like to look at it just to make it as simple as possible. And Goldie's sparking at this particular point. But what's really important is that the dollar, even as of now, I think that the United States economy is still one of the best in the world. And that's really what the dollar is saying. So, I treat the dollar as an icon. Just it's like a visual, immediate representation of how we're doing in the economy. And it seems to me that the dollar is saying, so far, we're doing okay. That's number one. But also, as a currency, a world currency, it's still the dollar that countries around the world will drift to. So, that's the other thing. So, I'm trying to separate all these things. Crude or oily. I never did include oily. I should, of course, have Dolly, it's an alphabetical body. Dolly, Goldie, and oily and Vixie. So, now we've got oily as well. Absolutely. And oil has become, well, I'm not going to go into that. What I can say is that if you're running a country, I think you have to consider the human side. You have to consider the ecological side. But you also have to use the practicality. And the practicality said, to have done it so quickly, just to stop our pipelines and all that. And to, you can say, do it environmentally, but you can do it over a period of time. There's not this rush. Everybody says you've got five years or 10 years. We've been hearing that for 30 years. Yes, absolutely, it's important. But I think you have to consider the human side. Don't tell me that the price of oil going through the roof isn't a hardship on the poor. Don't tell me that inflation. Look at our DBA. This is the DBA Agricultural Fund at 2159. And just a month ago, it was trading in the 19th. Don't tell me this is not inflation that hurts the poor people. It hurts everyone. But that's my complaint here, is that I'm looking at this and I'm saying, how do we extract, how do we extricate ourselves from the situation we're in right now? I just don't see how it can be done easily. And that says, in the market, I have to now start to consider a lot more. I have to spend a lot more time now talking about this. If this is the chapter wave in the S&P is a peak B, that's one thing. It says that at some point, we should, everything should, everything should come right. And the market should store into the 4820s above the 4818.62 all-time high. And we go to leg C. But almost all the other, look at this, the Dow, the Dow, monthly chart, peak E, the QQQ, monthly chart, peak GSAS C could easily become a G, the IWM, monthly chart, peak D. So the only one that's not in, look at the XLK, this is the select tech spider fund, peak D. We can just go on and look at the semiconductors, makes a peak F slash C, but a really like a double top that could be peak C1, C2, and a peak F. So I have to consider that is just that possibility that we're looking at a much longer timeout in the market. And it could actually accelerate. For the first time, I have to say, I have been talking about for a long time that it doesn't matter if it's a peak year, how deep we go, as long as we don't break probably like 3,500, I have to say, you know what, I don't know if we're going back to C and the D in 2020, this year, 2022. But I want to keep that in mind that that's the reason why we've raised cash. That's the reason why I'm saying over a period of months, if you've been putting a little bit in into the market, this is where I'm saying, I'm going to be looking at this in such a way that says over the next week or two, am I going to say, why not take a little bit off to get more cash? If this is your long term plan, why not build up a little position by going back, whatever position you put in, say the last position, maybe take it off? I'm not above saying, hey, this P&P in the monthly chart, I don't know how else to count it, but I've got to respect the candle that I call the Chevrolet Roman candle that was made in January. I'll be back in a moment, 2000. Are you having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. 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At $171,000, it just did a 160-point rally at $3647,000. Very interesting. All right, what we're looking at here is Bitcoin. Bitcoin is trading up $425,000 at $44,000 at $665,000. I should mention that although we have a tiny call position store, we did add, we've actually got one position split in two. We've got one left. And it's trading at $44,605,000 until it really closes above the $45,700 area with the 200-period moving averages and then treats this whole area between $45,500 to $45,700 as a support level to move higher. This is just a bounce and it's going to have to try to push above. It's difficult to do up until now for at least since it broke down below it, around about the 22nd or so of January, below the 200-period moving average for Bitcoin, BTC. And now what we're looking at is it's holding okay, but it needs very quickly to turn this in the weekly chart to get the MACD, which is the histogram. The reason why I liked it is that the histogram was improving. The stochastic did turn up. It went from single digits to teens and now it's in the 24% area. I did not like the fact that you made a W formation on balance volume. That's saying, whoa, it needs a lot more strength and on balance volume to sustain the move. Just maybe a trade, just a trade at this particular point. We'll see what happens, but so far it's out very nicely. We're also looking at question about ARKK. ARKK is, in fact, this is ARK Innovation ETF. We do have a position in it. I tried to get a very small position just as a trade today. That got taken out, but actually trading is $65.84. Really close to actually $65.15. I think we actually got stopped out of our positions, all of them. We got in really nicely and it ran very well to 71s from the 65s. Now it's given it back. I don't like this action at all. I wanted the really beaten down tech sector to have a counter-turn rally almost against everything else and instead, I mean, let's see what happened to CRM. CRM is salesforce.com. Salesforce had a good earnings report and spiraled up. It hit $217 this morning and now it's $203. You see, this is my biggest complaint. I always talk about Benioff, he said his name. He is the greatest salesman of any company that I've had since Bush, that was Bush from, what was the medical technology or medical instrument company here in Watertown, Mass. He would talk about the stock and Bush and just hype it, hype it, hype it, and then it would come out. It would gap up the next day and then you'd find out, oops, well that was something he was hoping to do in the future and then the stock would drop. It was just, really not, but Benioff seems to have always produced the goods for salesforce.com. I don't know what's going on here. If they're doing so well, why on earth would it go from 311 back in November to a low of 184 a week ago, just every week ago, and now it couldn't hold the 217 area? What I did say a long time ago is that Benioff has got this he's not talking about his company as much as he's talking about the environment, and I always think when a leader starts to lose focus on what their major objective should be or their charter is, that always makes me worried. I hope he hasn't lost his focus from the numbers. It didn't sound like it, so we'll see what happens. It is a great company and salesforce, I think it's one of the leaders in the cloud, going from a 15 in the monthly chart, all that looking, there's the Chapman Wave Roman candle, their third candle, look at that, and then the whole candle of last month was another Roman candle. So salesforce starts to close on a weekly basis below 200. I have to say that's not good action at all, because that kicks in for that wick to say we could retest the low of 184. That's all I'm saying, and I hope it turns around by the end of the day and screams to the upside. Okay, now a couple of things. So ARKK, I'm just saying that is really disappointing. It had an opportunity, that is Cathie Wood's, I think it's Cathie Wood is her name. This is really the area, this is where you got triple D, you've got all the stocks that actually are really good companies and they just not, look at this, it must have come out with earnings. This is 3D systems, it's trading at 17, one day, and then all of a sudden yesterday, it gaps up and spikes as an open of 20, an open of 20.51, it's trading now at 16. This is not good action at all. So that means this particular sector is still under tremendous pressure, and that's really important. Now I had a couple of questions, can you get over here, over here, let me just quickly see. Let's see. I just wanted to check things out. Oh, gasoline numbers are coming out, they are out. Let's see what the USO is doing. The USO, wow, at $7,345, up $1.63, there was a name change, it's in a G slash C, in the D80, leg D in the monthly, and the United States oil fund LP is in a leg D in the monthly. This rectangle, I never expected that in such a short period of time, you would get a move that went to high highs and high lows in a stair step way, and a very, I mean, it was not even a stair step, it was almost a straight line, from the low that was made under 20 to where we are right now at 73, and it's technically the candle high that I'd spoken about some time ago, that I just completely forgot about. The candle high was the high of March of 2020 at 81.40, and that would be a target over the next couple of weeks. What are we talking about here? I mean, that, in fact, is a serious issue. Okay, next thing we're looking at here is, we have Victor in Paramus, New Jersey. Hey, Victor, how are you? Good, how are you doing? He wrote that planet here was a strong buy at 11.43 last Friday, I spoke to him, and now we're hitting that point. What do you see going on with this? Are we doing like a light shape? Is this a flag, or are we going to retest like in the 1030s? So, let the chart itself tell us what's going on. The monthly chart had what I called an Eiffel Tower straight up from the IPO area around about seven or so, and it's screamed up to the 45 area, and there's a 45 round number. Let's just check. I usually put that in. That high was right there. The high was, wait, wait, why does it not give me the correct number? Yeah, 45 round number high. So, 45 round number high. And what happens that they're 45 round number high? Let me just type it in, Rn high. It plummets down, and just the other day, it goes under 10, it goes to 9, was it 965? Is it 974? 974. So, that bar, that day of the bar that made, on the 24th, that made that high, that's not a leg A. It has to move one bar across to make a higher low to start a wave count. So, it's made an A, and now it's down 60 cents at 11.58. This is a really good question, Victor. I'm going to take just a bump, got a break coming up. If you can hold, close, I think. Yeah, I'll hold, definitely. Thanks for the category on park. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value, or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. 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The Prospectus or Summary Prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principle. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. That's TFN.com. And hit watch Tiger TV. Hi folks, good back and we are back with Victor and Paramus New Jersey. We're looking at Palantir technology in software platforms. It starts off as an IPO in the 9-ish area a year ago or more and then it screams to 45 round number high in the monthly chart and it fails and it comes all the way back down and now it's at 1150. So, Victor, let me just show you something I don't know if you can see but if you look at this later on. A question in the den about Dollar General. So, I grabbed the chart of Dollar General. You can see it too has made a high up in maybe the 240 area and plummets down to the 186-ish and then this is a move. This is a much better bounce because it's a single-leg A to the upside. The MACDs improved, the stochastics improved, unbalanced volume is not great but it's improving. Whereas in Palantir, the move down is such that it's... I'll tell you what I would look at. If at any point, Palantir starts to trade for a week and a half, it means a whole almost two weeks of trading above 14 to say that gap that was made of the doji high of the 16th of February of 14.26 and the next date gaps down with the high, the low was 13.66 and the following day the high was 12.70. With that gap in the 13s gets filled and it's moving higher, to me that'll be the first sign to say now it has got legs to go to the upside. At this particular point, the struggle, if today was instead of being down 68 cents, it was up 68 cents, I say, wow, now it's starting to tackle that gap, it hasn't done that. So I'm just saying for my work, I don't see anything yet even as a trade on this because today was a key session and it's failing. So for me, I'd stand aside, I'd actually wait for strength, I'd wait for a new leg to the upside above yesterday's high and then I want to see how it's holding in that gap in the 13s and then we'll have a look at this. Call me if that's what happens and then I'll say, hey, maybe now it's going to show because that weekly chart is still very ugly. So I'm just saying I'd step away. You use volume? I use on-balance volume and the on-balance volume is just kind of okay, it's not telling me anything in the daily weekly chart, on-balance volume is actually improving a little bit, so is the histogram in the MACD, but I can't see a 67 cent decline today. It's really important today was no more than maybe 30 cents and tomorrow was a new leg higher and it's not doing that. So just as we're speaking, I don't see anything, I would step aside on this. Hope it helps you. Thank you, sir. Have a good day. Thank you very much. Yeah, so let's give it to the one that I was going to say was a very good example of a much better pattern. This is Dollar General trading up $1.89 and $202.94. Forget about price, I'm just looking at chart formation. See what it's done, it's pushed above so far today, it's pushed above the high of the 18th of 201.60. On-balance volume is not that great, but the MACD has moved up and look at the stochastic going so quickly from the under 20% to 64%. That at least is a better sign to say that maybe it's a little bit more energy and if it can get to 207 by maybe Friday, that would be really good action because I say next week we try to tackle the 214 area, to that Dollar General, but I do not want to see this just talking about patterns underneath 197 and it's a 202. Anytime in the next three days, if it goes under 197, I say, uh-oh, it's copying Palantir, it's going to be fanny. So the questions, other questions that came in, could I look at MOS, this is Mosaic, beautiful move, especially in the last week, going from the 42 area to 54 up to 32 today at 54.19. Yeah, these, and I was sent by a subscriber, a bunch of these in the phosphate, the fertilizer area, there are really, I don't know, can you set on fire in the fertilizer area? Anyway, in phosphates, this is really good action. Is it getting overbought? Well, yes, it is getting overbought, but leadership and stocks that make new highs, especially in an environment like this, even if they pull back, they tend to stay in the new high list. So that's really important. Another question, well, another question I had was CLF, this is Cleveland Cliffs, another nice day today, up 41 cents at 23.70. This is Interrect Angle Formation, but doing really well. This is Flat Roll Steel. If you're looking at X, this is US Steel. This one, oh, look at that, even higher today, up 97 and 28. So is this now United States, is this our economy, is this infrastructure, or is this to say, hey, we are losing from Ukraine and many other places, we are losing the product itself, steel, it's just not coming in, and we need it. All I can say is I'm looking at the chart, I don't want to get into anything other than to say the chart is saying with the SLX, that is the steel sector acting so well that it is in play right now. And as long as the technicals hold strong like this, any pullbacks are going to probably be cushions of support. So, and that's the reason why I'm saying this is such a bifurcated, trifurcated market with so many areas, why on earth would the steel stocks do so well when the economy is going to be hurt. We know that it's going to be hurt if the grains, if the oil sector, if everything that we need is moving higher. There's just no question that you're going to be looking at some inflationary aspect. Where does that fitting that look, steel for automobiles, they use mostly aluminum, and so look forward is, yeah, 17.46 trying to make the 1691 200-period moving average support, Yuliki Alkoa AA, and it made a new all-time high, well I don't know if it was an all-time high, but at 85 something is trading at 80.43 right now. This is just really in favor right now. So isn't that when we're looking at the infrastructure area, we've been looking at something like J, Jacobs Engineering, Jacobs Engineering at the bottom. Now, what I would like is for Victor, look at the way that this broke out. This is almost like what I would like to see in Dollar General. This is exactly what we're looking at here, A, uh-oh, something's going on. Did something just hit me? I hope you can still hear me. I just heard something and said I might have been cut off, so just someone in the den, just put in a Y if you can hear me. So this is, J is Jacobs Engineering up 272 at 125.73. Yes, good. Okay, it's moving from a low that was made, look it makes a high up in the 149 area and it tumbles down to 140-ish and now it's at 125. That's a better chart pattern. So what I'm looking at here, I'm saying, Jacobs Engineering is starting to move. We've had the steel stocks move and we had Alkoa leading the way to the upside. Is there something that's going to be discussed? Will the President talk about an infrastructure play that he's going to put in place? Maybe, I mean, the way these things are acting here, that's kind of what I would expect if he was talking about infrastructure and new infrastructure bill. This is going to be very interesting. I'll be back in a moment for the final segment and we'll wrap it up and tomorrow I'll be doing my show at 8. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. 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Your investment can be anywhere from $100,000 to $500,000. You want to make $1,000 per year on $100,000 invested or $7,000 per year on a secured Tiger First Mortgage. The Tiger First Mortgage Program may be just the program for you. The Tiger First Mortgage Program pays 7% per year, paid monthly. For more information, you can call 877-518-9190. That's 877-518-9190. We're back and we're looking at Jacobs Engineering, a nice move up at 106.71. This is what you want to see as a starter position that has the potential to move higher. It doesn't say it's going to. It just has all the ingredients, stochastic turned up from under 20% to over 20% in the Chapman methodology. The price moved up and the MACD started to turn around and actually turned around almost the same day and that's really important. These just started positions and if Jacobs Engineering is starting to move here, that's really very important. He has the other thing. A couple of questions came up. I'll just try to deal with them one by one. The VIX index, the volatility index is pulled back as down 71 cents at 3266. If later in the day, the volatility index in the afternoon actually continues to pull back and goes under 32 as the market. The Dow is up 345. If the Dow can hold 345 and actually start to increase later in the day, that'll say, at least there's a little bit of a relief rally here. The S&P is up 38. You want to see that expanding as well. Any pullback with the S&P up only 16 and the Dow only up maybe 90 and then failing in the last hour to actually go on attraction, that's not good. So this is just, we fraught with a bunch of issues and I guess it's well because it relates to many other things. The coil is key. So keep your eye on what is holding there for us today and tomorrow. That's good action. Have a wonderful day. I'll be back tomorrow for myself eight to nine instant time and it'll be replayed. Have a wonderful day.