 presentation of TFNN. The Tom O'Brien Show is produced every business day. Tom takes your phone calls toll-free at 1-877-927-6648. Internationally at 727-873-7618. Let's go to Ben in San Jose. Ben, what's going on, brother? Hey, Tom, how you doing, man? I'm doing great, man, yourself? I just wanted to thank you and your team and everything. I've been using your technique with the 10-minute charts, watching the vicks and just making a fortune here on the futures. Isn't it interesting? That's awesome, man. It's wonderful. Thanks, Tom, I appreciate it. Okay, man, have a great one, have a safe one. Now, Tom O'Brien. Welcome, folks, this is Tom O'Brien of TFNN. We go five days a week, we go seven hours a day, we go 24 hours a day on the internet at tfn.com. Always remember, folks, whatever you think about, you bring about whatever you focus on grows. Great day, safe day. It's making a great night, a great week, folks. You have the power to create. Your power is so strong that whatever you believe comes true. You are that way because you are that way because that is what you believe about yourself. Your whole reality, everything you believe is your creation. Mockin' wise, let's take a look at it out here. We have the Dow Industries down 156, NASDAQ's down 10, S&Ps off 15. Gold, gold contract down $3.10, trading at 19.20 an ounce. We have silver down 14 cents, $23.05 an ounce. Lightsweep crude, up $1.68, $69.38 a barrel, notes and bonds, 10-year note, trading up 13.6, 1.1308, the 30-year up 22, at 1.2807, and king dollar. King dollar right now, trading, where are you, baby? There it is. Up 436, at 102.928, the year is at 109, the yen is at trading at a price point of 144 and the British pound is 126 to one US dollar. Our phone number is 877-927-6648. Give us a call, folks. One note's going on in your world. Just had to hit that button, folks, okay? Because we just came down and tested here. Let's go do it. So let's go over to the e-mini first. Let's take a look at it. Okay, so we did the update just prior to it. We were looking at that bar and we just came down to this bar and you're gonna see a rejection here. It's gonna be interesting to see how this shakes out. This is July 4th in summer trading combined, folks. That's what's so wild. So you can see what we just did. We did the update. We were talking about the bar. The bar has 58,000 contracts. The bottom of that bar was the 4406. No, 4403. Bottom line is that we just got down to 4401. How many minutes were into this? You get nine minutes. It's not gonna happen. It's gonna be a rejection of lower price. This is just a shakeout down to the bottom. You're gonna see the market rally again. Let me see. Did I get my trade? Did I get it? Okay. Bottom line, we'll see how this shakes out now. Now the bottom line is that you can see what happens here. We'll start, you're gonna get a rejection. Now the question's gonna be is that do you have any juice to go back top side or are they gonna unload on it? That's on the E-minis, okay? We go into the NQs. We take a look at the NQs. Okay, so the NQs, that bar, 19,000 contracts, 13,000. Not enough sellers, folks. That's the bottom line. You're going higher. We're drawing a trading range, but that's how this shakes out. See, you can see on the way back up, we didn't have enough juice either to get into the bar on the way down. So what we had done inside the NQs is that we did just over 50% retracement on the way up, which is bullish. At a 50%, you really don't know. It goes both ways, actually. This is a little bit over, but the E-minis, when we did that, we did, let's see what you got here. That was just about a 50. Gold, would you take a look at the gold contract out here? Excuse me. Gold contract right now, got down to 1911, excuse me. It's straight in 1919. You're going to have a contraction of volume. Let's go look at the GLD for a second. So the GLD's rejected low up. Oh, this is nice, man. This is real nice. Okay, so check this out. If the GLD could get about 20 cents higher. So 177.63 is your benchmark. And you can see right now, we'll be below that by basically 17 cents. You're going to have much lighter volume, even in the benchmark of 7.9 million. So that's what we want to see, because you have the rejection of lower price again, but you want to get inside that range. Notes and bonds, they want higher price. Higher price, lower yield are coming at us. So this is going to be really wild between Jerome Pyle, between the Fed, the whole Bolo Wax. You know, we've got another sideways move out here, but you can see this. Up here, 1.2 million contracts, that's it. That is low contract value beyond belief, and we did get down to 112.26. It rejected it. That's saying higher prices want to come at us. And then we go over to the good old US dollar. Dollar out here is as a trend going, well, my take is that the dollar is not going to be able to hold price. You know, we got to a price point today of 103.145. You're at 102.296 right now, you know? So that baby's telling me that the way this is setting up, it's still setting up to get down to the lower end versus the higher end. So the higher end of the range that we're in is 105.800. The lower end is 100.788, you know? Some of the higher volume equities that we have out here today, and you know, for so much trading, you get some nice volatility and you got ranges. You have the Tesla is up about five and a half dollars. You got kind of up a dollar and a half. We have a four to 30 cents. Carvan is up 370, look at that, man. That thing was at $2 now, it's at 28. It's a 10 banger already. That's pretty wild. You got C3 up two. If we go inside the NDX100 and take a look at the strength versus the weakness, Lucent is up five and a half percent. You got Netflix up three and a half percent. Siri's up three percent. Taken away from a JD's off 2.9. You got Regeneron 2.5. Qualcomm's off two. And you have an American elector off two percent. Our phone number's 877-927-6648. Give us a call, folks. We have the dial. The dial industry is right now down 106 now. It's up 16. S&P's off eight and a half. We'll come right back. Tigers and Tigresses get ready for our annual Fourth of July Tiger Dollar sale. From now until July 7th, you can receive a 20, 30, or even a 40% bonus when you purchase Tiger Dollars. Tiger Dollars are automatically applied to your account and can be used for all subscriptions and purchases. Don't wait, this sale ends July 7th. Visit tfnn.com today to purchase Tiger Dollars and receive a 20, 30, or even a 40% bonus. As an added bonus, every order comes with a special TFNN mug. Happy Fourth Tigers, TFNN, educating investors. 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Free at 1-877-927-6648, internationally at 727-873-7618. Welcome back folks to Dow. Dow Industries right now, down 112, you get the NASDAQ 20, SAPs are off seven and a half. And let's go to NVIDIA. So, this has had quite a ride out here today. NVIDIA, the low out here today was 405, the highs 418. And look at this, it doesn't even... So, what you have with NVIDIA here, you know, we have a huge gap that's open. There's no doubt about that. That being said, with the news last night and how this didn't affect it, to be down $7, folks, okay? And you're going against a high volume low of $59 million, you get $51 million. It would have been nicer actually if the equity could have come down a little bit longer further to hit that number. Because now what happens is that that's almost like a little building of cause, but bottom line is it's still in great shape. So, that thing's not going anywhere, man. You know, not just yet, let's put it that way. We're going to take a look at Microsoft. Let's take a look at some of these big magnificent sevens. See where these babies are hanging out. Yeah, so it's up 41 cents. You don't have much action going there. You got to remember that we're going into July 4th, folks. This is something crucial to remember. And once you get going, see, we're on a Wednesday. You know, once you get going, they'll keep us, you know, a small range going, but the bottom line is that might take this thing still wants to go to highs. Somehow, some way, we're going to go attack those highs cause those are high volume highs. You can see right in Microsoft. Microsoft's a high volume high. We go to Apple. Now, Apple isn't. Apple, Apple's just high. Let's see, where was that? Apple had a high volume high. Now that high volume high in Apple is at 106, no, 186.99. You know, 186.99. And so at that particular point, bottom line, everything over that has been on light of volume. If we go over to this S&P again, you got to see this cause this is a classic, particularly, you know, when you're coming into closes and you've already had one of these during the day, that shakeout that just got done right when I was getting on the air. So it's going to be intriguing. You can see that S&P, you're talking about moving, man. That S&P, well, it moves 11 points down about a heartbeat, yet it didn't break it. And you can see what you're looking at now. You know, you get intraday, we get three higher lows. Now, we don't have higher highs, that's for sure. I know. We got to take a look at the Google. Oh, no, I know, I want to go on the oil market. We got to look at the oil market, man. So oil, okay, so we'll go down to 67, rejected it, 343,000 contracts, put this up, going into, okay, this is a good rejection. We were going into, that's six, no. Yeah, we were going into 405. Going into 405, we've only done 343. So that looks like it's going to basically try to, you know, stay in this consolidation at this particular point. My larger take, though, is that this is building costs to get down to these lower numbers. The reason I'm saying that is that the low, the spike low at 63, 64 does have volume. That's how you get a basically look at that. But the longer that you would go sideways, that could run that off, that can actually run that off. We'll see how that shakes out, but it could run it off. If we go to the XLE and you take a look at the XLE out here, that's running higher today and the volume's not bad. It'd be nice if you had 16 million in the XLE, you don't. But bottom line, it looks to me like the XLE does want to run to this 82 area. And then we go to the XLF and we take a look at the XLF out here and that's just still building costs. Now the XLF, you know, looks to me like the lows are in, but it's going to take quite a while to basically build some costs on that baby in order to get the higher price. The TLT, this is going to be the big number, man. The rates are going to be the big number. TLT out here today, let's put this on a weekly. So on a weekly, it's going after the 109, we got 103. It's going to leave nothing more juice though. Yeah, you can see this is going to need a lot more buyers in order to get up there, but that's how that baby's set up right now. That's how it's set up. You got the, let's go inside the Dow Industries, take a look at the Dow Industries, strength versus weakness out here. Okay, so you got Salesforce putting 17 positive points, Chevron putting eight, Boeing putting seven, Apple putting seven, taking away from it, United Health, minus 43, Home Depot 43, minus 43, that is Travelers minus 28, Amgen minus 13. If we get over and we take a look at the diamonds, let's see what those babies are doing. And then we'll go into the small caps. You take a look at the diamonds, that's just the sideways move, but that's also looking to get to his highs. The IWM, now the IWM doesn't have a high volume high up at this 189, or 184 right now. It just doesn't have it. It doesn't mean it won't go there, but it's getting, I guess the FLAC would be at 185, which is right above it, which is not a bad deal, actually, you know what I'm saying? It's not that much higher, there's no doubt about that. The trade-in-wise, we've got, we've got Thursday, Friday, it's a half a day Monday, and you know, this is gonna be a wild one because of the fact that you get July 4th on Tuesday. So there's gonna be no one in the offices on Monday folks, okay? That's the bottom line, it's not gonna happen. Volume-wise out here, what we have thus far today, you got in the NYSE, you're gonna do about 800 million in the NYSE, right now you're at 426. The composite, you're at 3.6, so the composite is gonna probably only do about 4.5. Stay right there folks, we'll come right back. We have the Dow, Dow Industrial's right now trading down 116, NASDAQ's up 21, SAP's off 7.5, we'll be right back. Gold report, as a precious metal gold is still king, it continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the London OTC market, the US futures market, and the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The gold report, Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly gold report every Monday morning for subscribers, consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, the Dollar, Bonds, the South African Rand, as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. The gold report. New subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. 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To sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back folks to Dow. Dow Industries right now down to 132. You get the NASDAQ up 14, S&Ps are off nine and a half. And let's see, what was the question here on Home Depot? On Home Depot, is it done with the move up? Okay, so let's take a look at Home Depot. So, with Home Depot, the way that you would look at this is that if you take the top of the consolidation, which is the 303, the bottom approximately 280, so you get 23, which gets you 325, and we hit 315. So the answer to that question is no, it's not done in the longer term, okay? Now what you have here is that, yeah, I broke top side, it's pulling back. That's basically a normal situation almost, meaning you pull back on a stock that's already gone higher with the breakout. What you'd be looking for, if you're not sure whether you're buying it or you're in it right now, you'd be looking for it to come back to this area of 304, and as long as it did come back with light volume, you're in, that's how that works. Because you can see the amount of volume that's coming into is 10 million. So you're coming into 10 million with 2.6. And this is how also you could tell that Home Depot won the bust higher because it was pushing, the last swing point prior to that had 3.7. It pushes into it with 10. It goes lower with three, and then it breaks with 4.4. Yesterday it does 5.3. I'm the daddy here. One second, I'm sorry about this, folks. I got to be doing a million things at the same time. That's at Home Depot. The next question was NVIDIA and ABC Down. So if we take a look at NVIDIA and VDA. Well, that's the larger ABC app, that's for sure. So let's put this on a weekly. Well, if you want a real mind blow up. Now, this is where you're dealing with, I mean, a much longer term chart. But this is how NVIDIA would be set up. You could actually take 346 up there and then take the low of 108. What is that? Then you come up with, what did I say, 346? This is my blow your mind six. That's like 560. That's where that thing can actually go on a longer term basis. On a shorter term basis, I expect what you're gonna see is that you're gonna come back into this gap, you'll fill the gap. And what will end up happening is that when you actually fill in this gap, it will be a vicious fill. Because what happens is that it's not gonna be easy, let's put it that way. That's just how it goes, man. They're not gonna make that easy, that all you just come down, you fill the gap with light volume. Something's gonna happen, that it's gonna be vicious, it comes down fast and furious. But you can see the volume that you're coming into. It's a monster volume that you're coming into. So the reality is that that would be the first buy. That's how that would be set up. And they never make them easy. NVIDIA and Amazon are two of the hottest equities that I've seen to basically get into. Because you can see the same with Amazon. Look at it, I mean Amazon's just gone from 82 to 128. We pulled this all the way back. Yeah. And now Amazon is just, Amazon's also coming up to a place where it's probably gonna give it up. But I don't expect that's gonna happen until you almost get up to 146. And right now you're dealing at 128. We go take a look at the GDX. GDX doesn't have the expansion of volume yet, but the bottom line is that you want the GDX to basically be above this 2953 area. We go to Barrick, take a look at Barrick Gold. That's setting up, Barrick tested lower blows, rejected it. This is building costs for higher price. Aniko, Eagle, A-E-M. Now this one's gonna get interesting. Because this wasn't a buy yet, but this looks to me like it's starting to set up. Yep. So you're coming into 9.4 million. The first time down you did 1.9 million. You can see this today, you're doing 1.4 and you got a rejection and you get a small little bar because many of these other equities inside of the gold and silver market have rejected lower price, have had lighter volume all of the above. Pan American Silver, this has to actually get inside 1441 again. Right now you're at 1417. It's drifting lower. So that's in a whole other range. Let me pull this back, see what happened here. I see, okay, so it's not in the, the high volume low here is 1340. Right now you're at 1417. You broke 1441, that's 22 million shares. Yeah, we're not gonna do that, not even close. So I checked this one out. This is kind of interesting actually. You know, one swing low was 22 million. We had two days left and we've only done 7 million. Now what you'd like to see, as you'd like to see before Friday, is that it actually closes above the 1441 because if it doesn't, then it will go after that high volume low that has 1340, which, you know, it's only 80 cents lower, but that's still 80 cents in a $14 stock, okay, which, you know, could put some damage, no doubt. Go back to the E-mini again, because this thing's trying to figure out what to do, whether it wants to go back and test this area one more time. Pull that over, so you can see. Okay, so we just went up that at 22,000 contracts with the 17,000. Okay, that's not bad. It's a 19,000. You see this? That's not bad, right there, because the last time, last swing high was 19,000. We didn't make it, but yet we did 22. So that's not bad. Stay right there, folks, you'll come right back. iPhone number is 877-9276648. We have the Dow. Dow Industries right now, Dow 137 Nasdaq is up 10. SAP is up 10 and a half. Come right back. 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Traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. Welcome back, folks, down. Down just shows down 122 Netflix up 21. S&Ps are off seven and a half. Let's go take a look at Micron out here. Micron's coming out after the close today. We have one second, sorry about this, folks. 54. Okay, so we had a low for the year, it's 48, the high's 74. You have a PE that's running out at, what, that doesn't make any sense. Let me look at something. They do lose money, that is weird. I think at a negative PE, man. Okay, so let's take a look at it. They plan on taking 3.7 billion, but they're losing $1.59. They're losing monster money this year. It's something that's to happen. They're losing $4.65. I have no idea why. There we go, I got executed. Now I can pay attention, folks. Okay, so, Micron, let's take a look at what we have here. So, Micron, you came down hard. You put this on a weekly. So you overtook the consolidation, you go higher. Yeah, I'd say a micron wants higher price, man. You know, you broke out of the consolidation, you pulled back, you see, on a weekly, you went higher with 131 million shares. You went higher with 86, it gave it up. You just, the first time you pulled back with 80, but 80's going into 100. So that's a good number. And this week, we get 49 versus 80, but we have two days left. That's a good number. That's telling me that thing does a one higher price, man. So we'll see how that shakes out tonight. I'm surprised that, I mean, something must be going on with that. That actually blows my mind. Let me just look at this again. So, Micron, that's a whole different business model, I guess, right? Because when you look at this, they're saying, they must have spun something out of something. I mean, they did 30 billion in 2022. They're only doing 15 billion this year. They made $8.35 last year, and they're going to lose $4.66 this year. And then next year, they're only going to make $0.39. So, that is a whole different ball game than, here, watch this, let's go over to NVIDIA. I mean, this is where this gets really wild. NVIDIA is looking, look at these numbers in NVIDIA. So, five years ago, NVIDIA did 11.7 billion. Last year, it did 27 billion. This year, 42 billion. So, the next quarter, folks, okay, listen to this, man. The next quarter, they plan on doing 11 billion in 90 days, where in 2019, they did 11.7 billion in the whole year. That is unbelievable. And the bottom line is that everyone needs their cards. If they're gonna run larger programs, they need their cards. That's the bottom line. That's how that whole thing shakes out. We gotta take a look at the silver market. Okay, so silver's trading down 17 cents. This is a good setup, man. You're only doing 35,000 contracts. That's light contract volume. You're coming into 38,000. It's a new contract, but the bottom line, that's light contract volume. If we look at the SLV, you'll see this. Okay, this will show up in the SLV pretty good. Yeah, it is. So, the SLV, they're coming into 12 million shares. You're doing six. This is saying this one's higher price. If we get over to the dollar, that's also saying that the dollar probably is gonna fail on price. We'll see how this shakes out. But you can see what we had here is that on, what was this, so that's, on last Friday, the dollar made it up to 103, 166. Today, it made it to 103, 145. Both times, gave it up slightly. Nothing heavy, but did he give it up slightly? Go back to that E-mini for a second, because this battle's gonna be, they're battling over the 435 inside the spy, folks. That's where the battle comes in. That I wanna pin it at 435, which they could real easy because that high volume low that we didn't break is 435, 59. But anyway, here, let's look at this E-mini for a second. You can see that here's the battle since we've been on. Last time we came down, we had 19,000 contracts, but the one at 22,000, that's good contract volume up there. So, that should get tested. And right now, oh, look at this, what time is it? Yeah, this is pretty good. That, this contour, this one right here, you already have 20,000 and you get two minutes left. That's saying that's gonna go for it right now. So in the next bar, see, this is what's cool. So check this out. When you get something like this, I mean, I know I'm chopping this down in 10 minutes, but there's plenty of day traders in here. So when you're chopping this down like this, you get 22,000, you're already at 20,300. The cool thing is that if you have some momentum going into a bar like that and you stop right before it, you have a much higher probability of trying to get into it and take it out. The reason being, it's just like the aspect of the, you know, like if you're swimming or running or whatever it is, if you're starting way back and then you just keep going and going without the break, you know, you can give it up at the end. What happens in the market, it's the same way. If you come back up to a swing point and right before you get to the swing, you know, you have some good volume, right? You don't hit the swing, then the next volume bar starts, your probability goes much higher that you can go bang right through it, particularly when we're talking about it's 349 Eastern Standard Time. So we'll see what shakes out. You're gonna see a lot of this tomorrow and the next day that, you know, you're gonna have a small consolidation that's happening. We'll bounce back and forth. My take, as I said, is that we're going higher, but intraday you will get these downdrafts because even when we had that downdraft intraday today, there's no volume on it, but it didn't matter. The bottom line, I wanted to come right back to almost the lows, couldn't make the lows. You see the next time up, you didn't have as many buyers. Next time down, they couldn't take it out. And then no baby push this thing sideways coming into the close. That's how I think this, excuse me, how this is gonna shake out. If we go over to lows, let's go take a look at lows. Actually, let's go, I'm gonna go take a look at toll brothers first. You take a look at toll brothers. Look at another high. That's given an up on price, another high. What's Lenard doing? That hit a high too, gave it up on price. Each time you look at those home builders and then you look at Home Depot, you look at builders first, it's like, okay, there's these rates are coming down. Stay right there, folks, we'll come right back. We have the Dow. Oh, folks, don't forget about the target dollar sale. So we started the target dollar sale. The way the target dollar sale works is that you can get up to 40% off. 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Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back folks. So now down 97 Nasdaq is up 30, S&Ps are up four. Let's go take a look at Google. So if we take a look at Google here. Come on, where are you? Okay, so this is good. Let's see, so we're at 121. Well, you wanna see this get back inside 122. 122.63, that's the number because that was that big down draft. And what Google doesn't have, well, it's not bad. Yeah, I mean, this looks to me like you're gonna get up to at least that 123 area. ASX, this baby here, let's see what this is. ASX, it makes tools in a semiconductor business, I believe, yeah. So assembly and testing services, the lowest $4.45, the highs nine. We take a look at this. Now this has been a rocket ship off the low so you gotta be really careful, man, if you're long list. I mean, this went straight up, well 650 to 860. You put this on a weekly for a second. Oh, I see what it's doing. Okay, so it's going to test its highs. This is a good setup. You know, see the last high, let me bring this back a few, actually longer. Yeah, the last high, you had volume of 12 million and you're pushing it with 31 million. Yeah, you might get some pullbacks here, but if you're long that baby, this baby's gonna go after this high, which is at 962. That's how that seems to be setting up right now. And ASX and Q, Neumont, let me get Neumont one second, NEM. We take a look at Neumont. On Neumont, yeah, let it test this, what, that 4080. You know, it's just pulling back in with nice light volume and you do have high volume at the 4392. So that's saying it doesn't want to go back to 4392. Always remember, folks, the big and claw your heart out, the bull can run you over and thank God, there's always another trade. Health happens at prosperity, have a great night, have a safe night, come back and visit Tommy tomorrow morning, kicks us off 9 a.m. Don't forget about target dollars, folks. Yeah, look at him, folks. Building well.