 Hey, everybody, what's going on? I am Greg Sussman joined today by our own game, Marensi, who is back to give you his six best bets for week number 15. What's happening here? Like Santa Claus, I'm ready to stuff your stockings with gifts. Let's go. Let's begin in Tennessee with Ryan Tannehill, who gave, I remember last year, every episode we did, he gave us Ryan Tannehill's record against the spread and it was always better than people imagined. And Ryan Tannehill continues to win. And even though he's not with Miami anymore, he still continues to win. Sure, you're always with the fish, but you don't have to be with the fish anymore. Now you're with the Titans. Tennessee's at home this week against a big division rival to Sean Watson and the Houston Texans. Now you get to have two of your favorite pastimes this week, Gabe. Go with Ryan Tannehill and betting against Bill O'Brien. I'll tell you what. I guarantee you there's not too many people watching this right now that are aware that if Ryan Tannehill has a QBR rating of 130 or more, he'll be the first quarterback in NFL history. NFL history. Not even Lamar Jackson has done this this year to have a QBR of 130 or more in five straight games. He's been that good. This is a game that I'm like really, really looking forward to. One of the games I'm most looking forward to to watching this weekend. It's also one of the trickier games to bet on. Let's be real, man. The Houston Texans can beat anybody. We just saw them destroy the New England Patriots, but I think the Houston Texans could also lose to the Colorado Buffaloes if they played in the Pac-12 as well. They're a very erratic football team. This is as big as it gets right now. But Ryan Tannehill really has the Titans playing good football right now. They've opened things up. Everything is quicker. Derrick Henry is a great running back in the back end of the season. They usually end strong, Tennessee, and this year is no different. Tannehill six and one as a starter since he's taken over. We should note all seven games with Tannehill under center for the Titans have gone over the number. It's a high number and it's a division tilt and first place is on the line, but I'm not getting in front of a seven and 0 run right now. All right, the Houston Texans as erratic as they are. There's one thing that they're pretty consistent at and that's struggling on the road against division rivals. Three and six against the spread, the last nine division tilts. And in fact, guys, the last six games between these two teams, the home team has won. The Titans are three and 0 straight up and against the spread. The last three times that they played against the Houston Texans. I'm gonna ride the home team here. Give me my main man, Ryan Tannehill. The only thing harder than Ryan Tannehill's girlfriend is his play on the field. He's scorching. Tannehill gets it done. He's his wife now, so I think you're right. He is scorching. I mean it with all respect. She's scorching. The Titans are scorching. I've got to be honest. I don't even remember what she looks like. I just know he's got a hot wife or girlfriend and he's playing well, so it sounded good. Let's see if they continue to play well on Sunday and beat up on Bill O'Brien's Texans. Up next, we head New England Patriots facing off against Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals. Last week, Dalton was back and we were back betting on him. We were playing all the hits, baby. Now, you're picking the other way. You're going against Andy Dalton. What has come of this world? Well, I'll tell you, I know it's really difficult because I love the New England Patriots and for the record, yes indeed, they did cheat. All right, again, they've just been caught. It is what it is. And if you're wondering, well, what do they need to cheat against the Cincinnati Bengals for? They cheat against everybody. All right, they cheat more than Michael Douglas and Larry King combined. That's what they do. They're cheaters. It's basically like George Costanza in the contest. You remember when the plane was going down and they all started to confess things and George told Jerry, I cheated in the contest. And Jerry said, why would you do that? Because I'm a cheater. That's what New England Patriots are. They're cheaters. They're also a football team. You don't want to play when they're in a bad mood. And the Patriots are like a lot of liars and cheaters. When you call them a liar or cheater, they take it personal. But the Patriots, they get mad about it. And I wouldn't want to be the Cincinnati Bengals right now, all right? And this game is kind of flowing out of the radars for betting purposes. Think about it. And as Greg mentioned, yes, I like to bet on Andy Dalton. Cincinnati Bengals, when they're on the road and they're getting points, OK? They're 8-3 against the spread the last 11 times that they've been road dogs. But we can talk about the Chargers home field situation. The Bengals, nobody's going, all right? The stadium is emptier than Antonio Brown's head. So it's not like the Bengals have any home field advantage. In fact, they're 2-10 against the spread the last 12 times they played at Paul Brown Stadium. You want to dig in a little bit deeper. We can talk, you know, for hours about Brady's numbers coming off a loss. But how about this with Brady and Billichick? 14-4 straight up and against the spread on the road if they're coming off a loss at home. And I believe they're coming off a loss at home. Oh, yeah. The last 15 times in the wing of the Patriots have played a team with a losing record. They're 13-2 against the spread. And last time I checked, the Cincinnati Bengals have a losing record. They might be sleazy. They might be cheaters. They might be a very unlikable football team. But they're going to cover the 9 and 1 half points. And this just proves, man, it's about money. You know what can ever say, I handicap games? What a motion, all right? I'm a robot, man. Give me the New England Patriots the role of the Bungals. Again, the Patriots are good. The Bengals are bad. The Patriots cheat. The Bengals still are bad. But that all adds up to us winning money with New England. Give us the points. Give us whatever the spread is. We'll take New England. With all those points. I'd rather do the 9 and 1 half. Not whatever it is. I don't know what half it is. All right, up next, let's get to the Minnesota Vikings. And Gabe, you've been very, very clear. When you're like an underdog, you want to take the money line here. Minnesota, it's a tough game to figure out who you like. You know, Minnesota actually are one of the simpler teams to handicap in the national football leagues. We talk about it on a weekly basis, Greg. The Zimmer owns non-division opponents, all right? He also owns the AFC. 16-6, last 22 times against the spread that they played against the team in the AFC. And the Chargers are still in the AFC, right? Chargers obviously don't have any home field advantage. 2-8 and 1 against the spread the last 11 times they played on this field. And should be told, they never really had a home field advantage in San Diego either down the stretch. The Chargers have never been a good home team. A lot is made about visiting fans traveling to Los Angeles. Listen, man, cold weather fans travel more than others, right? Green Bay, Buffalo, Minnesota. What better way to spend a weekend a couple of weeks before Christmas than watching your Minnesota Vikings take on the Los Angeles Chargers amongst other Viking fans, all right? So it's going to have that Viking home field to it. Vikings are a damn good football team. They need this football game. I just can't trust that the Chargers in this spot. I think Minnesota is going to go in there. Heavy dose of ground and pound. Kirk Cousins is having a great year. Kirk Cousins has like three interceptions on the year or at least we should say in the last 10 weeks, Phillip Rivers throws three interceptions a quarter, all right? And it's not often that Kirk Cousins is the more responsible quarterback on the field but he is the more responsible quarterback on the field here. I like the Vikings a lot in this spot. The numbers been coming down. So basically here's the case, Greg. I don't want to lay a point or a point and a half when it's only minus 116 on the money line, all right? It could end up being a one-point game. Give me the Minnesota Viking on the money line here, Greg. It's too close to give this point or point and a half or nonsense. We'll take Minnesota, as Gabe said, one of the easier teams to handicaps. Let's take that advantage. Let's take a win. You know, when I talked about the Chargers and not just struggled in Los Angeles, you dig down deeper, guys. 7-18 and one against the spread, their last 26 home games. This is something that's interesting, too, about the Chargers, guys. They're one and four against the spread, Greg, when they're coming off of a win, all right? People don't realize that. It's very difficult. Teams don't often cover two, three weeks in a row. I don't expect the Chargers to cover in this spot. Vikings are red hot right now. They won seven of their last nine football games. They need to stave off the Rams. Vikings are going to win this game, Greg. Up next, another game where you just want to make the pick. It's the Los Angeles Rams coming off a couple of good weeks here for Jerry Goff and his Rams team with Sean McVeigh. Things have looked a little bit better as of late here, Gabe. You know what? The Rams are starting to heat up at the right time. And speaking to the Minnesota Vikings, the Rams are one game back. Now, the Rams have done a nice job, Greg. Very similar to a golfer, okay? When you're playing golf, you're not playing against the other players. You're playing against yourself. You're playing against the course. And then at the end, you look up at the leaderboard and, you know, you let the chip fall where they may. That's what the Rams have done a nice job of. They haven't done any, you know, standings, watching, and haven't chased anything. They basically have gone about their business and said to themselves, all right, guys, we finished 11-5. We're going to get into the playoffs. You know, Minnesota's playing good football. Robert Woods, I don't have to tell fantasy players what Robert Woods is doing over the last couple of games. How about Tyler Higby, another player that I actually liked with the Hilltoppers at Western Kentucky, all right? I've been on to Higby and how good this kid can be for years. Don't look now, but Todd Gurley looks like Todd Gurley again. Let's just simplify things here. The Dallas Cowboys haven't beaten a team with a winning record all year long. This isn't college football. Doesn't really matter what our opinions are. Your record is what you, you know, it is just like Bill Parcells. You are what your record says you are. But to me, this is incredible. And here we are. There's three weeks left in the season. Forget about beating a team with a winning record. The Dallas Cowboys still have not won a football game in which they did not score 31 or more points. Are they going to score 31 points against this Rams D? Ah, no. I'm not sure that the Cowboys win another game. Let's add this up right now. We've got McVeigh versus Garrett. Who do you want? You know, Kellan Moore versus Wade Phillips. Who do you want? I think the Cowboys, listen, the Cowboys are on the ropes and I think the Rams are going to deliver a body, a couple of shots and the Eagles to deliver, not knockout punch in a couple of weeks. I like the Rams here. The Rams are a great road team. The Rams are very good in the month of December as well. If we start digging into it, there's six and one against the spread to the last seven games on the road. I just don't think Jason Garrett and Kellan Moore have any answers left. The clock is ticking. They know it. The Eagles are going to win that division and the Rams are going to win this football game. Gabe has been on this Cowboys decline for a while now and he's taken advantage with a really hot Rams team. You should follow the money as well. Go with Gabe and take the Rams on Sunday. One final game to get to Gabe. Where else would we go with the Buffalo Bills, baby? Bills are an underdog here this week. Next week, they got a Patriots this week. Sunday night football, first Sunday night game, I think ever. They're in Pittsburgh, taking on the Steelers and Doc Hodges. I knew he couldn't get out of here without discussing the Bills. Well, you know what, Greg? The last time the Buffalo Bills beat the Pittsburgh Steelers at Pittsburgh, O.J. Simpson was on the team and I was five years old. All right, it's been a while. All right, in fact, the Pittsburgh Steelers are 10-1 all-time against the Buffalo Bills in Pittsburgh. Life hasn't been easy for the Bills when they go to Pennsylvania. You want to, you know, compound this. Mike Tomlin's doing a great job, but the Pittsburgh Steelers are 13-2, their last 15 games straight up, 13-2, their last 15 games in the month of December at home. All right, it's never been an easy place to go play late in the season and I think this is Tomlin's best work. We're talking about a guy who's won a Super Bowl before and we're talking about a guy that's always criticized. I mean, how the hell do they have eight wins right now with the injuries that they have? I mean, come on, people. Their quarterback got hurt and their second quarterback was terrible, got hit in the head with a helmet and now they're winning with a man named Duck. All right, but you know what? The quacking ends here. The Buffalo Bills were a hard-fought loss last week against the Baltimore Ravens, guys. We gave it to Bills plus the points. We just barely missed out, depending on when you got the number, you might've gotten a push, I did not. It was disappointing, it was on the Bills on the Moneyline, but the Bills were right there. All right, listen, the Bills are slow starters in these games and it is a problem. Josh Allen gets better as the game goes and I have to be careful not to fall behind too early here against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now, we gave you these impressive numbers about the Steelers. The fact of the matter is, I think the Buffalo Bill defense will be able to, they're gonna cause problems for the Duckman. All right, Duckman hasn't seen a defense like what Buffalo brings and if you don't think the Buffalo Bill defense is real, well they held a Mar-Jackson to Baltimore Ravens to a seasoned low of 257 yards last week. The Bills are actually better on the road than they are at home. I don't know if they try to impress a bunch of drunk people who are throwing themselves through tables. Hey, Buffalo Bill players, you don't need to impress these Bills fans. I'm one of them. They're too drunk to notice, all right? Just win a damn game. But if you looked at early four and three at home, they're five and one on the road. Bills are lethal as underdogs as well. Getting points with McDermott has always been a profitable situation to put yourself in. It's not going to be easy, but I think the Buffalo Bills coming off the loss against the Baltimore Ravens are in a great spot here. Nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills. The Steelers are going down, Gary. The Steelers are going down. You had to see this one coming. I did, hopefully you did too. Dave on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday night. That's going to do it for us here on the Fandall Harrier. That's how you make money, people. You follow Gabe Morenze. So, for Gabe Morenze, I am Greg Salsman. Enjoy week 15. Gabe and I will be back here on Monday to preview Monday Night Football for you. Have a great weekend and we'll see you then.