 The following is a presentation of TFNN. Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. Welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. Let's see what we have here. It's not done yet. I got something baking here on the machine. And as always, it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter where you're at. As long as you're here when the show starts. And of course, you can be anywhere. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. And, well, what does seven minutes a difference make? Let's see just real quick here what the high of the day was in the S&P. 43, 47, I'm going to say. Oh, my cake is done here over here as I'm brewing data. So let me get this other thing started here while I'm talking to you. OK, now I can do that one. Anyway, so we'll keep a look at it. But I was hoping that we'd go off if you were bullish and test the lows either yesterday or today before the Fed that we just shot right up. It tells you that probably we've seen the high for the week. But options at least up until the start of the show have been rather bullish. We've talked about that for two weeks. I kind of thought that they would push it up in front of the Fed. And then it really looked like maybe they were going to push it down in front of the Fed. Then we had this huge move off the lows. But again, it continues to act like a bear market where you have these sharp fast retracements and not a lot of time to get in or out before the markets really start moving and your risk reward is in the rearview mirror. Give me a call at 877-927-6648 and email me at path at tfnn.com. I don't know. I've had tremendous luck. They're in here bad mouthing Microsoft. I've had tremendous luck with Windows 10 and Windows 11. But I'm programming on it. So maybe there's a difference. Maybe they're doing other kind of work as they call them now workloads. Anyway, we'll keep a close eye on the market here. We've got people talking. Well, now we're just up 23 points on the S&P cash. Could we get another thrust up? I don't know. Now we've got a second bunch out of the... I don't know if you guys can hear that. A second bunch out of the oven here. So let's see you do that. And then I can do this. And then I can email that during the break. Okay. But I can't do anything else there. Until then. Anyway, just watching fairly sharply. But again, if you missed the announcement, really what they're saying is everybody's got seven rate hikes penciled in for the year. And that pretty much did away with any of the bounce that we've had so far today. I'm unclear if a lot of people were leaking that there wouldn't be, that we'd be back to four or something. But certainly there was something going on. Yesterday as we closed the day at about three o'clock, we had word coming out that one of the Fed appointees was not going to make it and retracted her nomination. And a lot of people were thinking that breathing a big sigh of relief because it would have been rather a poison pill for the market, the financials, the energies, just about everything. As a Fed representative, you're supposed to keep interest rates low and other things like employment high. I think that's the dual mandate idea of it. She had a very different idea that it should be used as a club for the way that some people think the government should be run, but very little to do with the actual Fed and its actual mission statement. So a lot of people were happy with that. We got a little good news in China. I have to give a tip of the hat yesterday to one of the dinners out here who was going along the Chinese stocks. The first thing I always thought of is when you're headed down, the advice of, I said, where should I come? No, no, no, it was Jesse Livermore. That is, if you ever come into a point where there's incredible depression in the market, then it's probably a good time to cover. You may see those later at another date, but you're probably in the right time for a really good pop. I never really got to see what was going on. I did like the idea, though, as poor as everybody was talking about China this week. You almost always get some fairly nice pin action off that. And of course, I think we were talking in the den about just how many people were talking whether or not stocks were investable at all if they were a China stocks. And generally, you get that kind of stuff just before you get a rip of 20 or 30 percent in a day in stocks that have been that beaten up. Doesn't mean that they aren't eventually going to zero, but you know what, these rips in bear markets are where you can make a absolute ton of money. And most people don't know it, but there's a guy, I can't remember the quote either, but he says, you make most of your money in a bear market. You just don't realize it at the time. Mostly because if you can buy a bear market low, you make so much money, but I do digress. Yeah, but that's it. I'll have to look at you. Someone's in the den talking about whether we've seen their highs. I'm just thinking maybe we have. And the reason why is maybe they've been selling calls all morning and buying back puts and getting that. Again, these numbers from options will track in and I'll run them after the show. But, you know, they've been fairly good at showing 4,300 to 40. Well, yeah, 4,300, 4,400 and actually 430 to 440 in the spies, which is actually where the options are written on them. So they've been fairly good and you got a pretty good indication. You got your rip, but we'll have to see. Now, if we go negative, it's not the first time that we'll have gone negative on a huge bounce on Fed Day, only to go down 50 points, only to close back up 50 points, depending on what they say. And of course, we've got about 30 seconds left. We've got Powell, which I think is supposed to talk at 230. So we'll probably have a lot more sideways action till about 315. Then we'll see what's going on. General Ripper, I know a major miner. He used to be my favorite major miner. Be back. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Lease Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take The Path of Lease Resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. 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TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. TFNN, educating investors. Meet internationally at 727-873-7618. As we return, we'll keep a close eye on the index of moving. Kind of quieted down a little bit. We're up about 17 points now on the S&P cash. Maybe I'll get a chance to run the options here right before the show. Everything's running a little slow. Everybody's running a little fast. Kind of hard to walk by that the consensus at least is for seven rate hikes this year. Let me take a quick look at some of these other things moving here. Go down to 1900 here as we break through there in 1898. Let's see what else we have here. Dollar index, $89. And so I have everything right. That's gold. That's crude. Crued back to $75. $95.42 so we're kind of back to the lows the last few days with just sport. And kind of where I was thinking that we'll have to see what happens in the next hour or so. But if I was looking for a low in those, those would be right around now. Or between now and the end of the day. We'll see how well they do. If you get some kind of buy signal out here, some sign of strength. These things don't wipe out. But anyway, we're up to 99 bucks earlier in the day on crude. We'll see whether or not we can hold here. But it's going to be interesting. It's going to be probably a lot of up and downs with Fed testimony. So we'll take a look at it. What else do we have going on here? Did I have anything I wanted to do? No. I don't think so. Things moving just too fast. So we'll start looking at some charts out here today. Instead of news and everything else because it probably just really doesn't matter. One of the things we were looking for was Microsoft. I said it had one of the best looking options position. It may still get there, but look like a high possibility of 300. You got to 292.81 today. Volume in not all that exciting, but we'll see how the day ends up. Apple was another one that looked better. It got to 158.64 today. Some pretty good signals out here. At least a double gap at 162.50 for these. So I think maybe the 165 is starting to kind of get out of with two days to go kind of out of the way. But that 162 double gap right there looks very interesting for Apple. I would love to see this thing be at like 159.50 on Friday morning or something and then be able to buy the 160s for like a quarter or something and see whether or not we run into the weekend. Of course, we talked about this one earlier in the weekend that the production staff for the people that assemble the phones and stuff is Foxconn and of course they're closed for COVID issues. Unclear whether they open again on Monday, but I could see that kind of news pop the thing right back up if it is just a couple of days error. No question or no answers yet on Apple whether they're going to delay the rollout of these new phones. About here as we go through it. So those are two. Let's take a look at some other ones. Amazon was pushing harder earlier in the day. And again volume interesting. It was called 2.4 million shares so far today, but then more of a doji as you go back into 3000, which is pretty stiff resistance on this at the moment. But if you were following the options, which not a big indicator on Amazon any of these stocks that are $2,000, $3,000 options really don't have the same effect as they do on a $100 stock for indications. Let me put it that way. A lot of people buy way out of the money options on these big expensive or at least high dollar priced or priced in high dollars. Of course, it's going to get a what was it 10 to 1, 21, whatever it is, giant stock split coming at you. Let's see. Let's update this. Sure. Gonna just fool around here. Probably still a slight bullish bias to this week from options, but we will have to see. Okay question about potential blow off tops. If you got my newsletter this morning, you would have known Amazon or not Amazon and advanced micro had some of the highest short numbers yesterday of anything. So I figured those guys were easy targets to get blown out today. 1536 got a little bit of a kind of a tombstone doji going on here. I don't know if that's the end of that or if everybody just piled on short one more time out here. It'd be interesting to watch those numbers tonight. I don't get them in her day, but you now have a double gap right there at 110. So probably good indication. This thing is going to come back to 110. I don't know when maybe it's next week. Maybe it's tomorrow, but those double gaps get filled fairly quickly to two. Okay. What else do we have questions on CCJ from the first email coming back to support. Got about 8 million shares out here. You had a brief breakout never really got above that $28 with volume, which is now you're back into the trading range. But you know, this thing's had a big run. It started off at 10 bucks at the start of this run. So it's going to take a while to consolidate out those moves before we start looking higher out here. So yeah, tough to see a great deal going on in this over the next day or so. But you know, with the China things going well and China stocks doing well, or at least a big bounces today. What is it? Baba for BA. Let's go ahead and check that email. And if Steve Rhodes is listening, I sent you an email. Where does Baba in the weekend? I think right here at 100 bucks. My guess is they're going to be able to wipe a bunch of people off. As I said, I love double gaps and one of the reasons that the art of timing the trade charts is written this way. But you've got, you know, you're right at that double gap line that goes back to the eighth and the ninth just a few days ago. So you've got into that. But unless something really happens on the market, my guess is they're just going to hold it up here around 100 bucks. My guess also is that there are a ton of options, both puts and calls that they can take to money heaven out here if it just holds up here for another day. And of course, probably a lot of people bought in at the Lowe's. But that's interesting nonetheless. So I'm thinking short term 100 bucks. See you next week. We'll get back. See you in China. It's unlikely. I'm not after seeing the tax pressure. You look at it. Yeah. Having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with become an apex creditor in the trading markets and join the tiger's den trading room only at tfnn.com. The Tigers Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. Subscribers to the Tigers Den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows. Interact with other Tigers and Tigers as they share trading ideas, news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day. 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. E-mail already. What do you think about going along on BABA or on PDD? It seems to be China unlikely to invade Taiwan after seeing the world's reaction to the rest of Ukraine and how they're changing the position on Chinese tech stocks. Unless I saw some news that I didn't see, they're still not allowing anybody to see the books, which means that it will be delisted in the year. So I'm not a big fan. I mean, playing the bounce is one thing. And again, I would have been using options on any of this stuff out here. But I think if you've never been to China, the idea that they wouldn't invade Taiwan because what happened in Russia and Ukraine is probably a foreign idea to you. But they don't care about what happens next couple of years. They talk about what happens in 50 and 100. There's a lot of discussion about the culture, about one China. China is going to rule the world. If you think that Nazis had an idea of the master race, there's a lot of that going on in China besides all the other stuff associated with things in the 30s like slavery and force work. And of course, human organ harvesting. These aren't a lot of great guys. They don't think the way that you think or that I think. But I think I know the way that they think. And the idea is if we get all bogged down in the Ukraine, they can walk in there and anything they can do. And they'll be more than glad to wait five years. To them, it's not anything. The people will complain a little bit. And of course they'll be taken out and shot in a field if they complain too much. So it would be a lot different if they thought that was it. But they all have some kind of idea and brainwashed into the idea. But it doesn't matter what happens the next year or two. It's China in a thousand years from now. And we've got to make it great. We've got to do it now. And that's the way it is. They all have some kind of very strange idea. Probably not very different than what they have in Russia now. And that he knew he was going to probably take a little flack. Probably didn't think he was going to get as much as he did. But the question now that I posed yesterday was can you run them out of money and bleed them dry in a killing field to the point that Russia has to go home with its tail between its legs or at least Putin? And a lot of people standing up and saying that they don't like it. One of the big time heroes of the Soviet Union in Russia was out either last night or this morning saying that he didn't like it at all. I think he was one of the biggest generals of all time. There may be a lot of other stuff going on there. Literally everybody's corrupt. If you became a general, you're corrupt in Russia. So maybe he's got an idea that he could take over. You never know. But I think to judge China on the idea that they care what happens in the next couple of years, I mean, what do you got to figure? The quarter of our senators and congressmen are at least compromised in some way or another by China. So yeah, maybe they have to all talk tough for a year or two. But how many of them are going to want to get some of that sweet, sweet, sweet China money in the future? So I'm not going to discount that as much as other folks are. It's probably a little less likely, but not impossible for them to still invade Taiwan. Okay. Let me read this here. So that's it. Don't get too far ahead of yourself on China. They do not think the way that we think. Although I think the next generation might just depends on how quickly we get there. It's kind of like Russia. We've already had theirs. Kind of take a look at it. I can't remember. Did I look at NVIDIA? NVIDIA. Take a look at that real quick as we come back to do. Yes, I looked at it already. Oh, the quad won four guys. Okay. I get the idea. Okay. Well, he came in with the same volume at 246.65. That was the February 28th high. He did go over it. Well, he didn't go over it. He went under it by a buck. And now you got a tombstone doji out here. Energy was actually fairly good on this way back up. But I don't see much happening here. Okay. Now we're down six. Is that right? Yes. Six bucks on the S&P. Very interesting action today. I'm going to say I went back through the details. One of the reasons why I wouldn't long go on into this is that any bounce you get 80% of the time by the time the Fed comes out, it's evaporated. This is a little bit different in that the bounce evaporated after the Fed came out because generally you have a nice little bounce. It's given up by 11 o'clock and then everybody just sits around looking at each other till 2 o'clock. We do have Chairman Powell talking at the moment. So we'll see. 877-927-6648. Email me at path at tfnn.com. And if we still have somebody listening out here like Steve Rhodes, I did send you something. Okay. And a question on UVXY. Have we seen the high of the week? I suspect so. It'd be very tough even if we start heading UVXY. If we start heading up, we'd have to lose everything. We'd have to be back down to 4114 I think to break 23 down. There's a few reasons why, but most people don't understand how the VIX actually works and it would take a great deal to move it that far. So no, I think we still probably, I'll look at the options hopefully during the next break, but I still suspect that we're at 4,300 on the low end, maybe 4,350 or so. But it will depend. We may be just be waiting for the Fed to quit yakking and move on, but we'll see what else we have out here. After the bell tonight, I did want to get this in because it is in earlier. By the way, oh, by the way, volume is about 10 billion shares. So it's going to be a decent volume day, depending on what happens. There's Erling. After the bell tonight, we do have Lenar in housing, of course, not good news pre-market on loans. We also have William Sonoma. Don't think either one of these is going to move the bigger market that much. If I get to pin action on this, William Sonoma, kind of close back up to its high. So that may be the interesting one after hours. We'll be back in a minute. From home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. From the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating, Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market. Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future, call Tiger Real Estate LLC today at 727-329-8322 or email us at tiger at tfnn.com. That's 727-329-8322. 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And we have a look at Coinbase Global for Coda in the Den. You have a nice, light volume retest of the previous low of February 24th. That's $155.92 with 8 million shares. I got into that yesterday with a 4.2 million shares and you pop back in it. Now, again, just because we've got lows doesn't mean we're going higher instantly. You could get a U bottom out here, but it does look good and the risk reward is probably okay. He did spike it today. I'm told, although I don't spend a lot of time looking at these, that they're big into NFTs and everybody I hear that was chanting all about Bitcoin is now chanting about NFTs and the metaverse. And they got to throw their money away on something. Now, the question is how far can this run before everybody figures out it's just another Bitcoin kind of thing. Could go for years. I don't know. This just seems a little even a little bit more silly than Bitcoin for the NFTs, but you know, Bitcoin ran for a long time. Anyway, what you want to see this thing do is close back above either the nine day or three by three displaced moving average to get a signal that it's on the move. You can sit on your hands and put a stop down below, but it would probably take something like that to get it going much higher. And I don't see a lot of risk in it. You've got a decent low out here. It's just the market's a little weirder than most people think, but you don't have that much higher to go to get a close above the nine day one sixty three sixty nine. So that looks okay. Bitcoin. That's what I always thought it was, but I do not know. Okay, back to kind of flat options continue to be at least a little bit bullish when I looked in during the break. We're up 29 points now on the S&P cash. And again, this is a lot more like indigestion. You know, something's going on, but whatever it is, it's kind of painful at the moment. Question from Ralph on Tesla. See anything else? Now, I think this thing's just going to slowly meander back down to 600 bucks. You're going to get some big bounces between there, but I just think you're setting up a move back to about 600 bucks. But we'll see. And it's hard for anybody to look at this and think that it doesn't go to 1100 bucks if they're in the cult. And that's what matters. Not what I believe, but what the cult members in Tesla believe it's a 40 or $60 stock at 800 bucks today. So, you know, what can you say? Stocks can be mispriced a lot longer than I can talk about them being mispriced. Okay, what else do we have out here? Let's take a quick look at the SMHs as we're here. Yeah, you popped on this. You did so on fairly decent volume. It went right up to the mid part of the gap and filled that. You are above three by three. Again, I think probably by the end of the day, we're going to start seeing a few more bullish signs, at least for the next couple of days. But we shall see. I don't see anything really bearish in that. Question about taking a quick look at micron. Of course, this is the one that everybody jumps on instantly when they think a bottom is in. The SMH is volume is okay today. 25 million shares so far. That goes back into about 28 million shares back on March 9. And what did you have? 28 million shares on March 8. So about average volume so far. So I think you're okay on that. You did gap back above the nine day. It may do a little bit of back and forth out here. But as long as it stays above the nine day, I think you have to stick with it if you're long already. Question on planet here. Is it finally bottom PLTR, right? It is. Okay. So what do we have here? Well, you're going to close above the nine day. We already talked about this one making a fairly decent low. So yeah, not a bad looking thing. Just how it depends on how much money you want off the low. I would say 1325 is where this thing's headed. And at that point, you've got a lot of volume to overcome from this big thrust down on the 17th of February with 151 million shares. So yeah, could you get up there slightly? If I got 1325, your head and my head and everybody's head would spin so fast in me selling it. But yeah, at least it's made some kind of low out here. Seeing some more of these stocks in that vein trying to make some lows. Okay. What do we have out here? Okay. Quick look at GDXJ. GDXJ. As we look at gold at 913. Probably got your low in. I don't know how much there is to the upside now in gold, but I think that little pattern out there probably made it. Probably not a bad deal. You got a little doji out here. It's going to take some work to get this thing going a bit. But yeah, I think you're okay probably setting up for a retest of the $50.29 high in the GDXJ. Going back to the email circuit. Let me get rid of this. Come on. Okay. Question about the XLF. Forget to hear. Is this done at an island bottom? I don't know what you're talking about in the island bottom. Not really. No. You just had a low. You're back into the trading range. Pattern is not all that bad. You're going to have seven interest rate hikes they're telling you today. You're back into the trading range. If you're long it, I think you stick with it. If you're not, if this thing could pull back to $37.50, I think that would be one of the probably the financial on this sector, probably going to be the hot sector of the second half of this year. And you know, we're pretty far along already into March. So probably not that long, but generally in these types of things, you're probably talking about the real action and movement starting in May and going across the summer and the next fall for financials. As long as they keep on running, the interest rates higher. 877-927-6648, 913 on gold last tick. Let's take the crew here real quick. Dollar index 98, 78. And crew, what do we have? The 74, excuse me, 94, 7. We'll be back. 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Catch Tom O'Brien, professional trader and educator, founder of TFNN. Also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. As we return, we're getting... Probably doesn't mean a lot until Powell is done talking, but we are at 4,300. Options continue to be... and look a little bit bullish out here. I don't know what seven interest rate hikes will lose. To bullish, of course, after the bell of the night, Lenard, and that's probably going to tell us a lot about employment going forward, but keep an eye on that. Up 37 points. Let me update this real quick just to make sure. At 43 points. Crude's down at $1.50. Gold's, of course, been bouncing around the lows here. I'm going to leave you with this. I talked to a friend last night that is very deep, deep, deep in the carbon business for fossil fuels. He told me a couple of things, and he told me that this weekend, too, and that is if you're going to buy tires for your car, buy them today. If you're going to need oil for your car, for oil change this summer, buy it today. If you're going to need anything that's associated with fuel, buy it now. He says we're going to have a summer of those things being incredibly hard to get, especially if you have anything like airplanes or motorcycles, all of that stuff. Apparently the guys that make most of this, when the fuel prices started to rise, backed way away and didn't order their stuff. They didn't want to get caught with a bunch of stuff that was going to be very expensive if the fuel prices came back, or at least crude prices came back down. Try and remember what it was. There's a barrel of oil in every tire or something. Can't remember what the thing was, but it's big. Get it now. Anyway, I don't hear anything else on the other side. I should be hearing my music play on the way out. But that's it. Appreciate it. We'll see you tomorrow on St. Pat's Channel.