Prof. David Passig briefly describes his book titled "2048"





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Published on May 17, 2010

Why nations are fighting each other? What drives leaders to decide whether to send troops to war or sign a peace accord? What goes into the mind of parents while sending their children to battle? What is the most important factor that brings triumph or collapse in battlefields?
Large libraries have been written on these historical enigmas attempting to understand what happened post factum. However, just a few have tried to analyze their vectors in the 21st century. Prof. Passig engages in these vectors with great courage and simple language. He delves in these issues in order to identify the large confrontations of the first half of the 21st century and zooms in to identify how these geopolitical trends would be reflected in the Middle East and in the Israeli-Arab conflict.
Passig presents in this book a theory that runs counter conventional wisdom arguing that not the economy of a state, nor its values, its ethnic fabric, and its religion that marks the future of its national security. It is primarily, the alignment of its land that represents its geography and its borders that shape its future. These alignments mold its perception of power and drive its population toward confrontations that would shape their future. They are the primarily factors that define their history for best and worst.

According to the geographical theory in the heart of this book, humans and their leaders would be driven in the 21st century again with a great paralyzing force of territorial archaic fear. With this theory, Passig deduces that two global confrontations are developing in the background, which will be reflected in the Israeli-Arab front too: One is between the US and Russia circa 2020 and the second between the US and Turkey circa 2050. Passig assesses that proceeding with great caution in this global geopolitical tangle Israel could turn the table to its favor and would be able to sign up a peace treaty with most of its surrounding Arab countries by 2050.


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