 Hey, everybody, what's going on? I am Greg Susman joined today by Davis Maddock of dailywordroom.com which you're going to break down the overvalued players that you're drafting right now in your fantasy baseball drafts. What's happening, Davis? You know, not to not much going on, getting ready to head into two of my big fantasy baseball drafts over the next two weeks. So I was kind of working on this list on my own already. So excited to talk about it with you. It makes it even easier, man, that you just are ready to rock and you're already prepared. And that means you're finding Mike Soroka a little overvalued here this year for the Braves. Had an outstanding year last year in Atlanta. A lot of people saw that breakout coming. They jumped in on Soroka. You're not jumping in on this price tag. How come? So it's definitely a little bit of the DFS mindset where you're thinking about guys in terms of ceilings and not always thinking about floors. And I think that is what a lot of drafters see in Mike Soroka. They see he plays for a really good team, you know, good defense behind him. So, you know, they think run prevention, wins, those things are definitely going to be in place. But where are the strikeouts, man? This guy does not generate strikeouts. And when you think about guys like that, they actually have way more risk than you would imagine because if he just runs bad on ERA, you know, if he just runs bad on wins, you're looking at a guy who's not even going to come close to delivering value at his ADP because he's not backing that up with strikeouts at all. So guys who don't generate strikeouts are actually more subject to variance, which is not the way people think about them. People think of guys like Soroka as safe when they actually have a lot more risk. You're absolutely right. They do think of Soroka as a safer play at the pitcher spot, but without giving you the strikeouts, if things go awry, well, it was very dangerous to own Mike Soroka. So, overvalued Soroka going around number 105 right now. Be a little bit careful with drafting Mike Soroka on draft day. Another overvalued player according to Davis Maddox is our guy, Glaver Torres. Glaver, of course, coming off an unbelievable season, much of it against the Orioles for the Yankees in 2019. 2020, you feel it's going to be a little bit different. How come? So, I don't think that Glaver Torres is like a bad baseball player or that if you take him, your draft is toasted, but I do think he's probably being drafted about a round ahead where I would feel comfortable taking him. So, you know, the meme about Glaver Torres is that he was super good against the Orioles, just destroyed the Orioles, and then was just, you know, kind of a league average player against the other teams. Now, he still gets to play the Orioles, and there's bad pitching to be found in the AL East to be certain. However, if you look at, you know, kind of his profile as a hitter, I would prefer guys like Javi Baez who are going behind him, and I would definitely prefer Alda Bertel, Mandisi, who is going behind him, because those are guys whose, you know, 75th percentile seasons can really help you win leagues, whereas I kind of see more of an average season from Glaver Torres, especially because he doesn't contribute as much in the steals category. Torres doesn't do that much at all in the stealers category. I like Javi Baez for a few steals you'll get. I don't know about Alda Bertel, Mandisi, is that average is going to be low. I understand steals will be there. There's so much more for Glaver that you'll get. I don't know if I can agree with Mandisi. Baez is all right. One more overvalued player to get to, and that is Mike Clevenger. One more at this time. The next one is Clevenger, who is battling an injury once again, should be ready for the end of April, and yet you still think here he's going a little bit too early. I actually like Mike Clevenger. He's really funny on Twitter. I like to watch him pitch. I think he's an awesome athlete, but really the simplest calculus that you can make in fantasy baseball is, when my good starting pitchers get hurt, my team is sunk. I need my expensive starting pitchers to give me 175, 200 innings, and my teams will be doing really well, and you might say, okay, well, Clevenger is going to be back at the end of April, but then what if he has a setback? What if he has two setbacks? What if he needs an extra rehab start, and then all of a sudden you're looking at, oh, well, maybe I only get 135 innings out of my Clevenger. So for me, kind of the simplest thing for elite starting pitchers is just don't do not take guys who are already hurt. You're just applying more risks to your squad, right? Because you're already behind the eight ball. You already have a guy that's injured, and there's a good chance many other players on your team will get injured at some point anyway. So why take the risk, especially when he's still going this high? I like Clevenger too. It's just a little too early for my liking. Continuing on with some of the overvalued players, Davis, we get to DJ LeMay, another Yankee on the list who had an outstanding season last year, and yet you don't know that he could replicate it again. So the hardest thing about fantasy baseball in 2020 is what are we doing with the ball? Do we think that the ball is going to be juiced like it was in the regular season? Do we think it's going to be the ball like was in the playoffs? Do we think it'll be somewhere in between those two extremes? And you got to look at guys who are going to be the most impacted by the juice ball. Now LeMay, he does play in a good lineup. He does have a good lineup position. He's going to be good in runs. He's going to be good in, well, he'll be okay in RBI's relative to his position. But the things that you really want from him relative to the rest of his position are the power. He will probably still steal a little bit. But if LeMay goes back to being the hitter that he was when he was in cores, like let's remember that he was hitting in cores and had never had more than, I think it was 17 home runs. He never had more. And then he just, he ripped the cover off the ball last year. And if the ball goes back to normal, a lot of people who drafted DJ LeMay, they're just going to be super bummed out with the production they get. LeMay was amazing last year for the Yankees in so many different situations. It was a career year actually out of course field, which is making it all the more crazier. Can he do it again? I don't know. But he is a safe option. You just want to make sure you don't get in too early and that it becomes an overvalued option. That's what Davis Matic fears as well. Continuing on, Davis, we begin to get to the Arizona Diamond Max. And that takes us to Madison Bumgarner. It will be his first year outside of the San Francisco Giants uniform. And he's with the Diamond Max. And you say, quote, just don't. Just don't, man. Just look at the profile of Madison Bumgarner. I don't even understand why he's being drafted. He should be like the very last starting pitcher you're taking if you are still a guy who believes. So he had career worst numbers in ERA and X-VIP. His ground ball rate fell a ton relative to what we'd expected his profile to be as a member of the San Francisco Giants. Now he's playing in still the field in Arizona is not a hitters park like it used to be, but it's still more of a hitters park than the San Francisco Giants ballpark is. And to me, it just looks like the profile of a guy who's way closer to being done playing professional baseball than a guy who's going to help you win your fantasy baseball league this year. Madison Bumgarner was a really, really good pitcher for a really long time in fantasy baseball. This year, he's not exactly someone that's on my radar. His best is probably behind him, at least from a fantasy baseball perspective. There's so many different directions you could go in. Madison Bumgarner going way too early. Well, which means he's getting drafted. It's not for us. Don't take Madison Bumgarner. One last player to get to, Davis. This time it's for real. And this time, it's about Josh Bell, who was outstanding for most of last year until he was really struggling both against the breaking ball and against the fast ball. He said he's figured it out this spring. I have a feeling you don't believe him. I don't believe him because I think that what he figured out last year, you know, kind of a lot like DJ LaMahieu was really attributed to the home run environment that existed in baseball last year. So we had 37 home runs last year. He had never hit for more than 14 home runs in his minor league career in a season. And he has four stolen bases total in his major league baseball career. He plays for an awful team that's going to leave him way behind in runs and in RBIs. So the reason you would be drafting Josh Bell as you go, okay, well, this guy can hit 30 plus home runs again as like his median outcome. And I do not buy that as his median outcome. I think that that park, you know, the expected plate appearances and the risk of the ball going back to, you know, pre-2019 forms just all makes Josh Bell, you know, pretty close to a guy that is going to be just on my do not draft list. Man, do not draft list. That's tough, dude, for Josh Bell. We don't even know that the ball is unjuiced. That's the problem. We'll see what Josh Bell can bring. He was amazing last year with his juice ball. Let's see what's for real in 2020. That's going to do it for us here at the FanDuel Hurry Up. Davis, we appreciate the time. Good luck, my friend. Beautiful. Thanks for having me, my friends. And if I'm wrong about the ball, it's going to be a long season for me. It'll be a long season for all of us. I have a fantastic weekend. Good luck to everybody drafting this weekend. And we'll see you next time for another edition of the FanDuel Hurry Up.