 Hey guys, this is Nate, AKA The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. It is Monday, it's market outlook time. Let's take a look at what could happen this week on FIFA Ultimate Team post Black Friday. A lot of the market is supplied with coins. We've got new icon SBCs that are out. A lot of upgrade SBCs. We have these players, record breakers, and best of team of the week still impacts for another day until Tuesday at 6 p.m. So the first part of this week is still gonna be centered around the record breaker players, and the best of team of the week, and all that sort of stuff. So we'll talk about that for a bit. And also, kind of keep an eye on what could be coming later this week with team of the group stage. I know you're thinking, is it possible they do team of the group stage this week? I think it is because of just at the point where we are in the year, they kind of have to do it this next week, or they're gonna be kind of cutting themselves close on the foot miss promotion. So I do think we are gonna get a promo this Friday. This Friday is also the launch of Next Gen. So PS5, Xbox Series X will be on the Next Gen. I guess, I don't know how they make that switch, or how they quote unquote turn it on. But that is gonna be coming out this Friday as well. We could have icon swaps coming this Friday. It might be a wild week on FIFA. Even though we're just after Black Friday, which seemed like a really crazy time period, it still is not gonna be calm and easy in a nice laid-back time period, right? Because EA wants you to continue changing things in your squad and moving things around and interacting with their content because that makes them coins when you lose coins, or that makes them money when you lose coins from interacting and that sort of stuff. So we'll talk about that a little bit today. But first, let's take a look at what happened on Sunday last night with squad battle rewards. Now those rewards were a little bit earlier, and some of the prices are bouncing back a little bit on the market. This Vardy card was extinct at 650,000 coins. I tweeted a picture of him at 420,000 coins. 35 minutes, I think, after squad battle rewards, which is when people started listing his card because it was never gonna be worth that price to begin with, with his Inform being 170K. Plus one upgrade with plus four shooting does not need to be extinct at 650. So that was like an obvious read that was just way, way too overpriced, in my opinion. Now that card is back down to 450, he was at 420, and then instantly got bought back up to 470, and it's now back down to 450. So he's fluctuating all over the place. It's pretty crazy. Now, do I expect a few of these cards to rise into the morning, honestly, on Monday, Tuesday? I kinda do, because I think some of these people will want to try out Sancho, Vardy, Fabregas, not too sure about Van Dyke and a million coins for a center back like that. Why would you use a card, he got plus nine passing, but why would you not just go use Kyle Walker's Inform that is right now very cheap on the market as well? But yes, some of these cards have bounced back a little bit from squad battle rewards. You might continue to see this on Monday, because that's just what people do on Mondays. Sunday nights and Mondays, they buy teams, because that's when they're always been told now that it is the cheapest. As people continue to get smarter and learn more about the market, because trading and being smart about the transfer market becomes a lot more widespread knowledge, and more people get into it. One thing I do want to note for today on Monday, let's take a look at this for a second. Some people were saying to me today on the live stream on Twitch that they were expecting lightning rounds today. Now I looked back at last year in FIFA 20, when we only had best of team of the week in packs, but last year on the Monday after Black Friday, we did not have lightning rounds last year. We had some promo packs, of course, they were out for specific times in the game, but last year, of course, we didn't really have a cyber Monday anything to do with that on foot. I think we had an SBC or something like that, like a player SBC, but nothing really related to the packs and the cards that were in packs, even though best of team of the weeks were in packs still. So I'm not really expecting lightning rounds today. Could it happen? Of course, right? EA Sports could absolutely drop some lightning rounds today. They've been really weird with the packs. The flash SBCs I think are over, because that was only for Friday and for Sunday, but if anything comes today, I would be just expecting a refresh of promo packs in the store. So I don't know if the supply for these cards is really gonna be a lot today. I think you might start seeing people invest in some of these record breakers, because yeah, after 6 p.m. UK today, if there's not a lot of supply, I do feel like you're gonna see people invest in them. They are pretty rare. They weren't in packs for a very long time, especially the second set. Vardy, Fabrigas, Van Dyke, Vella, like these guys were literally in packs for like two days. That's it. That's not a lot of time in packs. These are gonna be good cards to trade with down the line, but I feel like there's a possibility, since people have a lot of coins now, post Black Friday, lightning rounds, saved up packs. People made a lot of coins and stuff. There's a lot of coins that are on the market. I feel like a lot of people are gonna try to invest those coins too, so be careful with these. But basically the Black Friday stuff is kind of over, just the lingering SBCs that we do have in the store. And you know what? EA's been dropping a player SBC every single day since Friday, I think. If I do the math correct, we had Aguero, we have an Alessandro, and we had Memphis DePie yesterday on Sunday with a Moments SBC, and then of course those two flashbacks. Really, like they've really stepped up the SBC content since Black Friday came out. Aguero is still expensive, I think, but Alessandro and DePie are accurately priced. And then of course some of these Flash SBCs for like Wes Morgan, and then the Bundesliga right mid yesterday were decent value. They were solid value. Of course, we've got all the upgrade packs that are out right now for people that are trying to pack these record breaker cards or best of team of the week items that are in packs, and they re-released the base icon upgrade. They re-released it with the same requirements, but since SBC fodder is more expensive, this is a point on the market right now where yes, the market has a lot of coins, but a lot of people are gonna be using those new coins that they have had from opening packs over this last weekend to do a lot of these SBCs. But still, the market overall is richer, the market has more coins, and I do think we are gonna see some rises throughout the week this week on some cards, but that is also meaning that SBC fodder is higher because there's a lot of SBCs out. Again, with the players we just talked about and that base icon, people know how good it was last time, right? And tonight on stream, again, I opened a couple of these and we got Eusebio from the first one. So these packs seem to be giving out like 25% of the time, which is a very high rate compared to what other packs give out in FIFA, and people are doing this base icon. Now it is very expensive and you can see here that a lot of the SBC fodder is up. So if you invested and you're happy with the profit on SBC fodder, take it is what I'm saying. Take it, there's gonna be other areas to trade this week because since there are more coins out there, we should see fluctuations on out-of-packs special cards and icons this week that will be good for quick flipping. Thursday flipping should also be pretty good this week unless EA drop us any surprises. But again, the base icon upgrade, 590,000 coins. I believe the old one was only like 515K. And then of course Aguero, where's this SBC at? This is how you can tell that the fodder is way up. Aguero's SBC right now is listed as 520,000 coins on the PlayStation to complete. On Friday when it first came out, it was 450. So fodder is definitely up in price, especially with, you know, we might have UCL Marquis matchups coming on Tuesday. You know, I guess there's a small possibility for lightning rounds today, I wouldn't expect it, but I guess there's a small possibility. EA usually just don't run lightning rounds on a Monday because I think they know that since it's not a weekend, less people are on the game, they have less success, the lightning rounds don't sell out as much, but we'll see what happens. So I do expect, technically you could say, fodder could maybe rise a little bit more this week with more player SBCs, but again, a UCL Marquis matchups, and if they do release any more tradable pack supply SBCs, that could drop it a little bit as well. So if you have fodder, consider it a time where you might be taking the coins on that this week as we head into possibly another promotion on the weekend where last week, or last year, sorry, the pack weight was incredible on the new promo cards and it really started to crash the market into December. So we'll talk about that a little bit as well. But again, for the early two days of this week, Monday, Tuesday, it's still all about Black Friday and the cards that are in packs. These upgrades are out still for a little while. I might have to do this double 83, although I've seen nobody pack anything good from them. And then these Syriah, Premier League, all the League upgrades are out for three more days. So they're out a little bit past Black Friday and this is gonna give you an opportunity and this is one thing I wanna talk about right here. If you're somebody who wants to stack upgrade packs for a team of the year, which is coming up in about just over a month, I know it seems crazy, but team of the year is a little bit over a month away. If you're gonna stack upgrade packs, whether it's 81 pluses, general 81 pluses, or the League specific upgrades, now these should be the same upgrades that come out of team of the year. So I'm not gonna be stacking packs, but if you're somebody who's trying to build hundreds upon hundreds or maybe even thousands of packs and you wanna start now and start that count, start growing that count of packs as some people, when they start the month of December, start doing, this is an opportunity to do that. If you do wanna do so, is it the most efficient way of doing things? No, but if your goal is to have a huge pack opening at team of the year, then go for it because I do think the rare goals will drop down once those special items go out of packs and these SBCs are still around. So that's something to kind of think about this week as well. Let's move on to Tuesday and Wednesday of this week and with that, we have to talk about UCL, right? We already have road to the final cards on the market that are rising because people are investing in them for the upcoming games this week, just because there's hype around them. No cards are getting upgraded this week, but some cards might be getting confirmed upgrades based on the group standings, how many points the teams have. Of course, Bayern and I think Barcelona are two teams that I know that are guaranteed to technically get that upgrade. They're gonna be going on to the knockout round, so they are gonna be getting an upgrade to the road to the final cards. So just keep an eye on some of these teams. Group D is one that I'm really closely watching with Ajax and Atalanta, depending on who gets in, but this group really is gonna come down to the wire most likely and it's gonna be on matchday six when we figure out who gets in. But a lot of teams that are in here that are on the bubble, right? Let's say I'm trying to look for a team that's in third place, Leipzig, right? Leipzig, I always forget who plays this week. Who is Leipzig playing this week? They play on Wednesday, I believe. Wednesday, Leipzig is playing against Basakir. So they're playing the low team. I butchered that name, my apologies. But it is PSG and Manu playing on Wednesday with Leipzig playing the other team in the group. So if we go back to Group H, Leipzig is looking favorable to possibly jump back up into the spread here. It could be three teams tied in Group H on nine points. If PSG do be Manu and Leipzig beat Istanbul, it's gonna be three teams on nine points and that's gonna make these rows to the final cards very, very interesting. So like a guy like Draxler, I'd be watching him this week and a card like Klosterman, I'd be keeping my eyes on as well, even like Rashford, right? Definitely keep an eye on those cards this week depending on if they do win or lose. Of course, if Manu beat PSG, that Rashford card might go up a little bit during the game, but then we'll probably fall afterwards. A lot of people have been investing in Draxler because they think that he's gonna go up because PSG is gonna beat Manu. So just watch a lot of these games this week. In all honesty, for most of these games, I honestly expect a lot of these row to the final items to drop after the game because it seems like this is what happened last week. People invested in them for UCL and literally no matter if the team won or lost, people ended up selling these cards after the game. Now these cards are already kind of starting to rise. Jesus is down a little bit, Hazard's down in the league. Sissoko is way up, Kulabali is way up. Akanshi is up. Promises are starting to rise again. Just keep an eye on these row to the finals and some of the team won cards. Alfonso Davies was 530K today. He's 560. Griezmann is up a little bit. Rashford's up over a mill. This guy's up like 20K. Muriel is 80,000 coins. He was 50K. Just watch some of these cards as they rise up this week. It might be an opportunity time to sell them around the Tuesday, Wednesday timeframe before they do play their games unless they're looking like they're in a space where like Muriel last week, Atalanta moved into a very favorable fit position in their group, beating Liverpool. And now it's like, hey, this card was cheap before because we didn't think it was gonna get upgraded maybe until going into Europa League. But hey, now they have a shot and he might get another upgrade to go to an 84 in December. So these upgrades are gonna be happening after matchday six, which is not four. Matchday six is on December 8th and 9th. So we probably won't see these upgrades until December 10th or in the late, yeah, probably December 10th or 11th for road to the final upgrades. We won't actually see those upgrades then. But now it's gonna be kind of crunch time with these cards, especially over the next week or so. Since we do have these games now at the very beginning of December this week, if there is panic selling after this, it's really gonna be the time that if you think it's a card that's gonna get upgraded, that's gonna be the time to buy it because there will be a lot of hype next week for the actual upgrade that will come at the end of the week next week. So that's kind of the stuff about road to the finals. The rest of the out of pack special cards in this game, I do think you're gonna see a rebound this week. Again, the market is very healthy for icons. And for these cards right here, I do expect to see a bounce back, people to be buying teams to be trying cards. This Royce was 470 for 80 on the weekend. He's 440 right now. One of my favorite cards this week was, or a possible flip was this Llorente. He's already up. He was 230K. He's 247. He's already started to rise. I bought a Laporte at 509 earlier today. This nine goal was in the 370s. Mertens was under 500. So a lot of these cards after squad battles have kind of bounced back up a little bit. Zaha was like low 200s. He's still kind of there. Joe Gomez was 420. He was 460 on the weekend. So just kind of watch these fluctuations on the rare out of pack special cards. One guy to watch out for is Felix because he might be getting a player the month pretty soon. So don't go like investing in that card really crazy. Just be careful with that. And then just kind of remember when you're looking to trade with cards this week, remember what cards and what teams people are building right now because of the SBCs that have come out. Of course, like everybody is doing this, Alessandrini, a lot of French links are gonna be big. A lot of Brazilian links are gonna be big as well. As we've seen, like the Oscar card that has come into the game, a lot of Brazilians in the game already that are linked to each other. And with the Rodrigo objective, that's one thing that's bringing a lot of Brazilian hype to the game at the moment. So that's something to kind of watch out for as well. And I think it's gonna be a great week to trade with icons. And you know, especially with icons with how high the market is. Like I'm watching this Ian Wright card because I kind of wanna try him for my last few games a week in league tonight. He's English, he links to my team. And you know, he's a pretty hyped up card. He's got the pace, right? Watch low tier icons like this that have good stats even to the high tier icons. Like we were watching on stream today, Mid-Petite went from 1.15 mil today all the way down to almost a mil flat. Now what is he at right now? I'm pretty sure he's back up to like 1-1. Wow, he's low again. What are my friends tonight? He's 1.02. This dude literally bought Petite at one mil and then sold him at 1-1.2, I believe is what he told me. So this card is back down again on a fluctuation. A French icon with good links. Maka Lele would be another one that I would look to trade with this week. The middle, or even the baby to be honest with you. Like this card at like under 400K, I believe. 355, wow. All right, so this guy is definitely not 340. He was pretty high this weekend. I know that partly that the Alessandroini card hurts that item a little bit because of the position change. I was thinking more originally of the 87. So just watch the French icons and the Brazilian icons this week too. 820 seems pretty cheap. Is that like too cheap? I don't have enough coins to buy it but that looks like a pretty saucy undercut there on the mid Maka Lele. So that's a pretty low price. But last thing I wanna talk about, I don't wanna drag on this video too long but I'm actually just gonna message one of my friends about that Maka Lele really fast because I think that's a good deal. But I wanna talk about last year what we saw the week after Black Friday and that was team of the group stage. Now this is a screenshot or one of my videos from last year. EA tweeted this on Thursday. Now Thursday flipping last year on the week after Black Friday was great. I think it's gonna be good this week too. And if again, going back to the point I made at the beginning of the video, I think team of the group stage is going to be this Friday. And just to give a quick overview of how that could impact the game is we just got done with a huge Black Friday promo where a lot of people open packs, spent money, got new record breaker cards, right? Last year they dropped this team of the group stage squad and the thing that really like when we look at a lot of graphs from last year, right? This is Veran from FIFA 20. You see the Black Friday drop, right? And then boom, Black Friday happens. He rises back up for one week and then boom, Friday, December 6th, team of the group stage hit and he goes back down and this just starts to decline overall into team of the year with team of the group stage happening, foot miss happening, team of the year nominees, and all of that just dropping, dropping, dropping, a lot of the cards in this game. There were so many special cards last year that came out in December and that's one thing I wanna be careful of this year but the reason why this promo was big last year is because of the pack weight on the cards. I specifically remember a 125,000 coin lightning round that happened on the weekend when team of the group stage came out. These guys had a drop rate of 12% for a team of the group stage item. I'm gonna have to sort out and find a screenshot of that because I remember the pack weight on these cards was unreal and that's why you see a lot of graphs when you're looking and doing some research about FIFA 20 cards, you see a huge drop off right after Black Friday with a lot of these guys the week after Veran went from 224 down to 193. Not a huge drop off but if you look across the other cards that may be not as meta as well, past informs, stuff like that, people sold a lot of cards last year after Black Friday because of that pack weight on team of the group stage. So we'll talk more about that this week and if we do think that promo is coming because I know the timing is way different this year for the team of the group stage and what's going on of course with that schedule or not team of the group stage but UCL and the schedule and stuff like that. That is something that I do see as a possibility of coming this week but again, as I mentioned, we'll talk about that a little bit more later on in the week nothing to be scared of yet. For the next couple of days, I do expect people to be investing in these record breakers. So honestly, if you get in early enough it might be a shout where you can actually buy before people invest, they invest, the card goes up because people are buying it and investing in it and it gets artificially inflated and you sell to those guys that are investing in the card because the market doesn't want the card but the investors want the market to rise and they think it's gonna rise. That's a way this year that we've seen the market move and a lot of things have moved on the market artificially because of people investing in cards just like that Jamie Vardy market movement today in my opinion was a bit artificial. So with all the people that were trying to make that card and keep that card extinct for a long time just seemed a bit not fishy but it just didn't seem 100% right to me. So definitely watching some of these Fabrigas cards right now. Some of the VVD is dropping a lot with the supply and of course it's getting late night UK time as I'm recording this. So when you guys see this in the morning take a look at these cards. They could be due for a little bit of a bounce back up into Monday. We'll definitely be watching that. I kind of like this Fabrigas because a lot of League One hype is out there right now. A lot of people have done like the Bomba SBC. Some people have at least. You've got Neymar and Bape, of course Renato Sanchez. A lot of French links, you know, Ben Yetter links to this Fabrigas card too. So League One has been a very hyped up league so far this year. So I'll quit talking years off. This is a long video for a Monday but that's the market outlook for this week boys. Be ready to trade this week. Quick flips should be very profitable on golds, on icons and out of pack specials. Those latter two ones specifically with more coins in this market people are gonna be more apt to try cards and to do stuff on this game. So if you enjoyed the video smash the thumbs up on it. Comment down below if you have any questions and subscribe to the channel if you're new. It's been Nate the Foot Accountant. Catch you guys later. Peace out.