 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trade what you see With Larry Pezzavento All now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 Now Larry Pezzavento Okay, look at good Billy Ray feeling good Lewis welcome to the happy times show for TFNN holiday special edition Anyway, let's take a look at the footsie and then also the Dax you'll notice yesterday They were making beautiful ABCDs to the downside folks now. They're closing You know just right after we start opening and so it's a it's a pretty big deal The fact that it did that one of the questions I'm coming is why you know even if I've been bearish I'm still a little bearish, but they not as much as yesterday, of course But they I want to give you an idea of what I was looking for when I thought the bottom was in I'll cover that in a little bit but the main thing I wanted to do this morning was to go through the The footsie and the Nasdaq to show you those ABCDs, you know They they work in any market that's big and active and everything now the other one That's very very important I want to get this up here for you to see it because we've got a lot a lot to cover today And I'm hoping to get it done if I can and if I can I'm pretty sure I can so let's keep moving along here Alright, let's go on to the Nasdaq and then I'm going to move on to the this Nasdaq folks You'll see here. This does not look that bearish You know, we've got a possibility of a Santa Claus rally, you know The odds are 73% that it will be higher by January 4th than it is now. So Watch that there's a possibility of a Nasdaq has held up relatively well You know, we made lower lows Substantially and the Russell went down to standard deviations yesterday folks. That was very unusual But it held it didn't go any below that and that was when the market really started to rally now Let's get back to this. We'll do let's do Nike first We've got a request here from Mr. Bo about Nike. I want to bring this up here So we'll be able to take a look at this stock. I don't trade this stock. I don't use there's I don't buy their shoes I I use a different brand, but anyway, this is the Nike. We talked about it a couple weeks ago When it was making the one three five pattern, we went down and we went substantially below the ABCD pattern here Yesterday we gap down quite a bit and then the earnings today Bada bing bada boom look how it went right down to the 61 percent retracement point six eight is almost spot-on The 61 we gapped up. We went to the 61 percent retracement of the high from point one And it's also the 78 percent retracement from the high of December 6th now This stock is still bearish unless it gets above 172, you know We've been a sell at 170 and it would have been if it gets above 172, it's most probably wrong I don't know where it's trading now, but that is basically you've got lower tops, you know You're basically in a channel this thing is just reacting really positive to the news now if Bo will be so kind Oh, there he does it 166. So that's usually it a question. Bo is asking does the one three five usually Include the high bar or does it shift to the right on today on five? No, you've got to include the high bar because the one three five pattern is already completed What we've done now, Bo is we've made a second one three five the three now becomes a one the five now becomes a three And then the new high today becomes a five that makes it a new one three five pattern That means lower highs Okay, and if you were doing this on the upside there would be higher lows. That's really all it is I hope that helps if you have any trouble, Bo You know, you let me know and I'll be happy to you know Refer you to the book that I got this out of anyway Let's move on to a couple of things that we've been watching that I think are pretty important First of all, we were going to talk here just about this S&P because we've had a pretty good run here From the bottom. I want to get this up here. Here's where we were yesterday If you were remember, we were looking for a possible bottom down at 45 08 The low was 45 20 now the reason why I covered is the fact that we were down five days We were very close to the ABCD pattern down in there Okay, and the fact that the AI said that had a possibility of rallying towards the other day Which in course it did so let's just let's just humor me a little bit And then we'll go on to the next section that I want to look at so let's go to the S&P Where we were yesterday. I've got these marked down and I think will I think will be just fine here As I go through these things if I can find him, there's one Okay, now if we made that number yesterday now What should it do today if we made the 382 on Friday and we had a big rally look at the rally today folks 4607 what was the high in the S&P today boys and girls? Hello operator 4607 we've come down now we're bouncing around quite a bit and the thing that really makes me interesting is is look at that Look at the action that I received in the AI program this morning We were supposed to be bottoming somewhere between 10 30 and 11 right around 45 74 You know what's is the 61% retracement? I mean that's not that hard is it? You know, it's basically what we're looking at now I I bring a lot of information here some of it's good I guess some of it's not so good because people never react to it, but we'll look at it anyway See what's happening here was another one that we've been in for quite some time has been paying as great dividends This is the gold if you notice here yesterday. I last night It must have been around what you can see there was around four in the morning New York time One o'clock my time two o'clock my time to say I said take profits in the long February gold that we bought from 1755 we did that at 1799 that was a 382 that was also a perfect short sale at that point It's already backed off about 15, you know 1500 bucks from that level, but that that's that's all that is is a 382 Folks if you don't do anything in your life and your trader God play attention to 382, you know It's it's really it's really spectacular. Let me show you let me show you what it can do Okay, just just a second. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna be beating the horse on this all the time because Most people just don't give a hoot and that's okay to whatever you like. All right, let's take a look here This is the Turkish lira folks. We went from 8 to 18 and this is a daily chart folks This is a daily chart. Look at this thing what it's happened. It's went from 18 down to 10 That that is better than a 10% correction Let me tell you that but let's take a look at this if you like the theory of 382 Here's what the Turkish lira has done over the last few days I will actually last few hours because it topped yesterday. Hold on just a second here I will get this up here. God willing and you'll be able to see it and this is not that most active This is one of the thinner crossker cross raisers You'll see it right right up to the 382 and then dropped a thousand dollars But that just shows you the 382 you got to pay attention to it. That's all you know, whether you do or not You know, I don't know it reminds me it reminds me of my one of my favorite baseball stories. It's springtime down in Florida it's 1938 and Put Ty Cobb is there visiting the the Boston Red Sox and they've got a young kid up there And he's in the batting cage and he's knocking this ball just all over the place he just wham the ball goes out of the park the ball goes out of the park and Mr. Tom Yawkey the owner of the Boston Red Sox was standing there with this old timer with his baseball cap on and the old timer yells to the batteries Hey kid. He said don't lower your shoulder so much and you won't you know ground out as much The kid turns around and looks at him and doesn't say anything gets back in the batter's box and Tom Yawkey says to The man he said mr. Kyle. He said mr. Cobb. He said you should oh no, he said to Ted Williams He said Ted Williams. He said you should treat mr. Cobb with more respect. It was Ty Cobb. I screwed that up But that's the way it goes. I'm not a comedian Hey, let's get back to business when we come back from our break boys and girls more information You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts You might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices Selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman Creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave the Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns Finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman in your inbox every day First time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied Let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right Information having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time The TAS profile scanner is the premier market profile base scanner Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms this feature rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500 plus global financial markets such as stocks ETFs commodities futures and forex This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades Before they happen for a limited time You can save $100 off your first month by using the promo code upgrade You still get a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk Level the playing field with the TAS profile scanner which you can find under the services tab at tfnn.com Sign up today Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry tedious text either Tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's YouTube channel with Tiger TV Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the World from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you Make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor You were born to be tfnn educating investors Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 Internationally at 727-873-7618 Okay folks we're back, and I posted a chart of the Treasury bonds So you see they've been backing off even more. They're now down two full handles from the top of that a bcd pattern point d trade went against you a total of about $150 and now it's up You know well over 2000 the first objective of course was at 6161 and Second objective of course, we've just hit it right here at 160 just a little bit earlier I want to think we have a collar coming in and it is Brett from Martinez, California Shut the front door and raise the rent Brett, how are you Brent? You doing okay? I'm doing all right. It's really tough to get through Larry. I just don't know Oh, I don't know how you did it. You know, I think I threw I think I'll give Al another 20 bucks for squeezing you in How are you doing over there? I'm pretty good I'm doing okay. I'm traveling the cattle country at the moment. It's up on my high I want to give you a call. I want to wish you They're your family. You know Merry Christmas You too my friend you too It's been about 10 years since we've been working together. Hasn't buddy. It's pretty close to that. I've been yeah Yeah, yeah, I know it's really goes great. That's good now. Let me ask you a question big in Martinez, California Is that where that the congressman that's always on TV? Is he from that area? Fresno Salinas or is that mark? Where is Martinez? How close to is it? Yeah, no, I'm not farther north. You probably okay. I'm kind of trying to think what the closest town you know would be From San Francisco about maybe 20 miles Wow, well your way. I thought you were closer to Fresno than you were San Francisco. Anyway, let's get back to the markets What can I do for you my friend? I Know you've been doing well with gold and I hurt you over that a little bit in the previous segment But I wanted to have you to get your thoughts. Are you thinking that might go back down to that? 55 1755 very what do you what's on your mind as far as we're gonna do I think it's gonna go to 1777 it'll come down to a 61% retracement and then I think it's gonna hold there because silver's starting to pick up a little bit Some of the others are that 1755 is such a powerful number and we went up exactly, you know Two harmonic numbers up there to 1816 and then that that last night we had a 382 retracement at 1800 and then it's backed off. So that that ABCD measures to 77 1777 and I'll be going long Around that level. I believe I'll be sending a video out Later this afternoon on what we're looking at there, but that's what I'd be watching But it's been a great trading. Well, it's always a great trading vehicle They all are if you if you if you follow the patterns and sometimes they don't work You know that as well as I do but 1777 is what I'm looking at in the gold market with about a you know About an eight or nine dollar stop You have to like the volatility Rent let me tell you I've been doing this for a long time. This is a prelude of what to come 2022 is going to go down in the history books as what we call an OMG year. I mean, it's gonna It's gonna scare some people. That's for sure. That's basically what I'm You know what I'm looking for anyway, and I think we're gonna start with look at the S&P It swings 30 40 points a day now and you know, that's a pretty good move But that you know look at you know crude oil crude oil swings three and four thousand dollars a day And that's gonna be Definitely give some opportunities out here. Yeah, that's what we're trying to do I missed that crude oil effect the topic of my next subject when we come up from the break is the crude oil and how I missed that yesterday And I wanted to go through the folks let to see what what I'm thinking and doing is I as I do some of these things Listen, if you get a chance to come over here, I'd certainly love to see you again, Brett. That would be really great That sounds great. Larry just You're always Talking again, you just take care of that happy holidays to you and your family too my friend All right. Thank you. Okay. You bet Brett Martinez folks are It's nice. He's from Martinez, California. Anyway, let's move on here. I've got to talk to you here about the crude oil We've got plenty of time to cover it that this is these are the ones that frustrate me folks Let me get this up here And it here is the daily chart of the crude oil I want to get this up here to show you the fact that the low we made back here on December 1st That was a 78% retracement of the low that we made way back in April. That's why it was so important We rallied up and of course you see the first 382 retracement there that was led to the big break We happen to be short that one not all the way down, of course But we caught a big chunk of it and that was also a 135 pattern at that 382 as you can see that that just One is at your high the second high and then the 382 is the number five point and then you measure the ABCD down to the 78% level but what I want to walk through you is how frustrating it was for me yesterday because You know, we have some older neighbors here that we take care of and I had to do something You know, it was a right right after the show And so I had to just take them to the doctor's office because they don't drive But anyway, let me show you the sequence of event that I saw Later in the day, you know, this was because I was looking I was looking for the crude oil to break down if you remember we talked that it could possibly hold at the 382 And it did only for about a dollar a barrel thousand bucks and then it broke badly and here's what happened I'm gone. You'll see here that the time here. This is a this is the hourly chart I'll show it to you on the interday chart in just a minute, but this is the this is the 60 minute chart the hourly chart There's where we made the 61% retracement there at 66 57 Now if you do like we do every day when we do these trains is you if you're looking at a 60 minute chart It's logical to go down to a smaller time frame Just if you see a nice pattern unfolding and of course I did this in retrospect and believe me folks in Retrospect. Oh my goodness. These patterns are absolutely perfect It's when they're live that they get it be a little bit troublesome still workable But troublesome now take a look here at the crude oil now This is a 15 minute chart and you'll notice the time That was right at the time when I was leaving right at 12 o'clock right after the show was ending and I wasn't even paying any attention to it I saw this afterwards because someone brought it to my attention, but there is a perfect butterfly pattern folks You've got an abcd. You've got a 1.27 expansion. You got everything you need You're sitting right at the 61% retracement and folks this puppy has gone all the way up to 70 40 That is $4,000 in less than 24 hours That's 80 handles in the S&P boys and girls. That's a lot of mula a lot of money the narrow It's lots of money So anyway keep it in mind that that's the way it goes. I have a funny story to tell you It's gonna be quick got a phone call earlier this morning from New York And they want to offer me a job as a trader for their hedge fund and I said I Said you got to be kidding. I said that you know you You know you have you have to have an age limit, right? I said I'm 81 And he said no we don't have any age limit and I said no I said I'm not interested I haven't worked for anybody for 50 years. I'm not gonna start now He says what could we do if we come out to visit you? You know, what could you bring? You know to make us, you know, make make your least interest. I said try bringing El McPherson I was saying it with tongue-in-cheek and of course I said no I said I if you're having trouble I said after the close today. I said give me a call and I said I'll walk Walk, I'll try to walk you to what to do. I said, but you know, I said, you know, frankly, you know between you and me I said and they're probably listening and they don't you don't know who they are and doesn't make any difference I said if you're really hurting that bad and you have to call someone 81 years old I said you better reevaluate what you're doing young man I said because something's wrong and you got to correct it. He told me how much they were down He they were not down very much at all for the year. They were down about 8% when everybody else is up So that's a lot. Anyway, that's two that's two for four. Anyway, let's get back We I got something really interesting next folks It goes back to the history books and we want to talk about it because it's the winter solstice. We'll be right back Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with Become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den trading room only at tfnn.com The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world Subscribers to the Tigers Den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows Interact with other Tigers and Tiger's as they share trading ideas news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day Subscribe to the Tigers Den risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee and become part of the tfnn trading community tfnn educating investors You could be making money off the stock market and if you're already making money off the stock market You could be making a lot more Check out tfnn and Tiger TV and get expert investing advice to give you the power to control your financial future Go to tfnn.com and find the newsletter for you whether you're into trading gold metals futures Currencies or options you'll get advice and analysis to help you seriously get ahead tfnn also features trading services with a 30-day money-back guarantee for new subscribers as well as tfnn's Tiger Den trading room trading software and educational webinars for all trading levels and make sure you check out Tiger TV for free on tfnn.com or tfnn's YouTube channel for live financial content from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern on market days Stop watching on the sidelines while other people get rich and become the investor. 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I mean moving I watch what basil does I watch what Steve Rhodes does And I can tell you these guys know how to use these things But I'm going to show you something that I'm going to be showing you and I'm probably in March I'm going to be doing another another session. I'm not going to give this away for free because it's too valuable I'll tell you the story behind this, but this is basically a natural gas contract and what I did was This program will do the you know The things for you, but this is basically an eight and twenty one Exponential moving average an eight period and a twenty one exponential moving average as you can see is as long as you're above that Moving average, it's great to be long and you know, that's that that's one of the advantages of it What you have to be aware of is when you have these spikes below it You want to make sure it closes above that moving average now Let me go back in history a little bit hold on someone's asking a question Maybe they'll be bail me out of this and that would be good Holy cow. We are really lucky today. We got rich Anderson calling in rich. How are you doing buddy doing great? Merry Christmas. Sorry Merry Christmas to you and your family. I certainly appreciate it I didn't know if you were going to be able to make it this morning. Let's switch over to the grain markets rich Tell us about what's happening with this ammonia. I talked to Doug Schaefer and Simon Lee all the time And they're telling me these farmers are getting killed with fertilizer costs and seed costs and everything else What's going on over there? Yeah, well, it's you know, just like inflation is everywhere The nitrogen ammonia, you know the fertilizer things are up 250 percent And to give you some perspective the last time these fertilizer prices were this high Corn was a $8. Well, you know, then you've got a little more room to pay up But when when you're paying up when the corn prices are 550 Let's say these you know because they're looking at new crop corn when they're doing buying these inputs That's that's pretty tough, you know, they're They're not exactly pocketing anything and the rents are going up They'll go up between 10 and 25 percent this year. Of course most farmers have three or five year leases So not everybody's rent will be going up But if you've got a new lease that you have to sign you're it's going up and it's it's it's putting the squeeze on things and Keep in mind last year the the big report you circle on your calendars January 12th last year there was big curveballs and the ending production from the previous year's crop was about 280 plus under What they had expected and the beans were 30 or 40 under so that's that's a big curveball coming The funds are long corn huge position for And there are slightly long beans The beans are holding up because of the weather in South America. We're in a weather market now in South America. Yeah largest Production region in Brazil has above average rain, but the second and third largest have some of the driest conditions since Practically for you know the last 10 15 20 years So it's it's a big deal and the forecasts are that they're supposed to get rain in a couple weeks Well, sometimes those forecasts don't Materialize and if you want to talk about inflation India and all their brilliance decided well, we're just going to close the futures markets Wow Oh They've actually done that. I mean it's it's it's unreal So you I've always found the markets are flukey and between Thanksgiving and New Year's and Then after we come out of New Year's and the money fresh money is gonna be coming in and there'll be fresh money I believe allocated towards the commodity markets as part of the macro theme that Many of the major money managers, you know, they'll maybe add one or two percent more to commodity Yeah, but they're trading with billions of dollars. So it's one or two percent is a lot And so that's that's fresh money I think we'll be coming in and then you'll have that January 12th thing the interesting thing in the meats is Well, you've got the proposition 12 in California that act January 1st If you haven't raised your hogs with a certain amount of elbow room Then they can't be sold in California Well, what's that going to do? Well, that's gonna make it hard for bacon lettuce tomato sandwich in California There'll be more pork in the rest of the country and so at least temporarily That's not a very good thing for for the hog markets and there's Thursday's big crop report We'll give us something to think about there. Sure. It's not acting good on the charts That's for sure rich. I posted a chart of December cotton. Well, excuse me March cotton. It's March cotton folks And anyway, this has been becoming very various. We've gone from 122 down to 105 I mean, we had some nice patterns telling us that it was getting ready to break Is cotton in the same situation that we have in Corn are the are the commercials still heavily involved in that? Well, I'm not I'm not really a Cotton trader what we've got is in the in the cut cotton market You you've got the cash market got all tied up You know, they then they put a short squeeze on that thing and that's what that's what ran it up into the highs and Once that short squeeze was alleviated, you know, it pulled back down So if this next rally here fails Then it can that can easily come down what we're going to be talking about as we're going into After January 12th report, which will also have sublime demand and on cotton We're gonna be talking about What crop is gonna buy back acres from what crop crop is corn gonna buy acres from tweet Well, wheat prices are pretty high right now. I don't think so is Cotton gonna buy acres some soybeans very possibly You know, so the corn beans cotton and wheat We only have X number of acres and how it's gonna allocate and that's gonna be very interesting as we go on to the USDA Meeting at the end of February. Yeah, but I'm with the way I see the chart. It's real simple We've had this nice little pullback now Yeah, and that the retracement to test the highs fails And they can they can easily go back into the, you know 90s The squeeze is over, you know, the cash market was the bunch of the cash traders got caught in the cotton market And they tried to they tried to bail themselves out. They didn't get themselves bailed out in December So then they rolled them into March and of course that doesn't solve your problem You're still caught and they had to pay up to get up Rich it's still hard to work in December is it after all these years you and I have been doing this forever We always did half days during December and I'm still doing it You know, it's just it's hard to get do a full day in December I started that in 1976 at Drexel We never worked the last two weeks from the 14th and the 15th of December until New Year's day We never really worked down the last two weeks The theory was if he hadn't made your money by then the last two weeks wasn't gonna help you much Listen, I want to wish you and more than that a lot of back in those days. We had of course the floors We don't have that today. We have not tried trading But if a floor trader made his money and made a bunch of money he didn't want to give it back So he just probably didn't even bother coming into exchange between things Yeah, hey, did the Vikings win last night? Yeah, but the quarterback through for less than a hundred yards. Oh my gosh. Well, they still want hey rich Happy New Year to you buddy Merry Christmas, and we'll see you after the first of the year We'll be right back folks with Tim boss financial cycles weekly Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area? Including the surrounding st. Petersburg Tampa and Clearwater markets Tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment Property Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers Make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain up-and-coming areas to the type of cash flow Investment properties are capable of creating Tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call Tiger real estate LLC today at 727 329 8322 or email us at Tiger at TFNN comm that's 727 329 8322 call us today The technology around us is changing every day with so much happening It can seem impossible to keep up with all the information David white's investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information You need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future David white has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for valued tech stocks as well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every Friday with updates throughout the week You can get the technology insider at TFNN comm for only $37 and 50 cents Sign up for David's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer Try it risk-free today with our 30-day me back guarantee TFNN educating investors Are China a shares hot or not if you trade China a shares now may be time to take a closer look trade CHAU or CHAD Directions daily CSI 300 China a share bull and bear ETFs China a shares in either direction Visit direction investments calm today an investor should consider the investment objectives risk charges and expenses of the direction Shares carefully before investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a Prospectus or summary prospectus, please contact direction shares at 866-476-7523 The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk Including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services Don't forget you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com then hit watch Tiger TV that's tfnn.com then hit watch Tiger TV Okay, we're back folks, and I believe we have Tim bossed on the line today Ho-ho you do oh It's not a ho-ho day for me buddy. Let me tell you why I I Well my there your slides and everything I know are behind me on my other computer, okay, and I forgot them I forgot to move them over Tim is there any chance you could come on tomorrow because I really want to see the charts as does everybody else And I just I couldn't get them out there and put them on the machine here fast enough to show anybody Would it be possible to be on either Wednesday or Thursday? We could make that happen. We've got some plates that up for tomorrow So we chat about those and then pop in some some more information Thursday would actually work better for me than tomorrow because I'm a little bit Let's do it Thursday Thursday would be great. That's a Christmas Eve show. So we'll be happy to do that for everybody But again, bring the jingle bells and make that happen. Oh, I've got jingle bells here I've got I can't reach it right now, but I do have my little jingle bells that I have but It's it's really fun having the kind of day I've been having lately The technology to cooperate You get things on multiple computers. It can really be a challenge Yeah, the whole something's got like somebody's buzzing me for a question here. Hold on maybe this it it says We can see that. No, you can't see did you did you put the charts into the room? I've got the screen share here Can you shut the front? Let's just do it right now. Go ahead? I didn't realize that Yeah Listen, we've got a very fortuitous time to be connecting here today because this is in fact the the solstice Right now on the summer bitter solstice. Yes And and you know, I'm calling this the Capricorn solstice to try to I don't know if I'm being politically correct Astrologically accurate Billy Ray Valentine's is Capricorn Hey, there you go. Yeah, there you go January 19th December 19th. Go ahead fire away, buddy What happens here is that this is the first day of winter but only in the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere This is the first day of summer So we don't want to forget our friends down under there So we're calling it in either case the Sun goes into Capricorn this time each year and we time the event accordingly So in the northern hemisphere, this is the darkest day of the year that simply means that we have Hosted hours of darkness the least daylight hours during a 24-hour period at any point during the year So it gives us a point of focus here. This is a date that W. D. Gan Really loved paying attention to along with the start of all the seasons These are the cardinal ingresses and he did a lot of his work and timing efforts around that and the markets Like it to what we found in our studies here is that the markets do tend to a rally around the time of the Capricorn solstice the winter solstice and so as we approach the closing part of December We have these factors like the Santa Claus rally. We have different ways of describing what's going on but here's the S&P goes up pretty consistently and what we've identified here is an optimum trade in The S&P whatever instrument you're using how to trade that looks like a real good setup coming in Taking a long position tomorrow on the 22nd of December and then closing that out next Monday on the 27th There's a that gives a seventy one point eight percent the likelihood of being a winning trade So we like it when we can get numbers and in that kind of percentage range It gives us a little bit more confidence in our trading There's a seventy one point eight percent winning probability here They're not a terribly big move coming out of the S&P a little bit better than half of one percent But for a couple of days exposure, that's not too shabby. We think that's a you know something decent You know worth examining here and just for fun. We started looking at some individual equities I do a good bit of work in the equities markets and examining individual stocks. This is Apple and what happens is that This particular stock tends to bottom out. Oh about a week prior to The the date of the solstice But then has a decent run up after that it kind of plateaus a little bit and so it's not quite as as dramatic a move as some of the other things that we've examined here as trading opportunities But because it's the one of the most widely traded if not the most widely traded Individual equity I thought would be fun to take a look at that as well again We're setting up for a long position entering the trade tomorrow on the 22nd and in this case We'll hold it until after the first of the year closing out the position on January 5th It gives us a reasonable a run there and this has a seventy five point seven percent Probability of turning into a profitable trade there So we like the looks of those percentages and like to get the the the wind at our back the the Averages on our side and in this case we're anticipating a run up as much as 10 and three-quarters percent. So this could be a pretty substantial move in Apple if you're looking for a potential swing trade and are Okay carrying it over the holiday there and then moving it into next year Some people like to clear all the positions at the end of the year So this is one that tags along a little bit there as well and then just to even things out here as well We've looked at gold also with the Capricorn Solstice very very interesting Price pattern there and in doing these charts what we're doing is going back and backtesting the previous performance from years past when there was this winter solstice occurring and then looking at what the performance has been in these various markets And what has historically happened is that gold tends to be very very sluggish going into The time of the winter solstice and then takes off like a rocket shortly thereafter So with our perspective gold trade the best One we've been able to graph here is again buying tomorrow on the 22nd of December We'll hold this until the day of markets reopen after the first of the year on January the third And so that has an eighty one point eight percent likelihood of being a winning trade When we start to get up in that range it starts to look very very attractive And we have an anticipation of about a seven and one-third percent Gain in the price of gold over that period of time So you know we look at all these course past performance doesn't guarantee future results Take our time and examine that past performance and there seems to be a very very strong correlation with these Specific trades across many markets related to this particular point in the year around the time of the winter solstice Well, I think they're going to charge you was inside or trading today because since you started talking the S&P rally 20 handles Well They went from it went from 45 88 up to 46 12 Yes, I hope you did okay on that one. You you buy it right before you say any things Always work for me that way You know, I went to a Matsu Peach Machu Picchu and also to Lake Titicaca down in Peru back in 1992 And one of the things they had about was that there's a big deal on that the winter solstice down there Here they got this I don't know a few people have ever watched any things on TV, but there's a city built 14,000 feet how they ever built that thing I have no idea, but it's all based on the on the winter solstice So I don't know what that means, but it's interesting. Hey, can you stay with us then? We want to certainly right a little bit about Bitcoin when you come back. 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So a bit.ly slash Tim Larry P with those initials capitalized. That is a case sensitive connection there and that will come certainly we can get that Connected with you so that you can plug into the recording of last night's webinar So we we try to try to keep folks entertained and informed along the way Also, let's talk briefly about Bitcoin. Yes, please do lots of questions about that And there's all kinds of insanity going on over the last 24 hours or so We've sent a little bit of a run-up in price In a Bitcoin that's not really reflected on this particular chart that we have here, but apparently what's going on is because of the challenges economically in Turkey and they can the virtual collapse of the Turkish lira Bitcoin versus the lira is hitting an all-time high there which caught some traitor's attention And so suddenly there's an interest in Bitcoin again So we have to look at all these markets and their interactions What we have here is a chart though with day price bars for Bitcoin and in the past We've shared a lot of 8th harmonic analysis what we're looking at today is actually fourth harmonic Is a little bit a broader focus and we're seeing that Venus and Kronos are providing key areas of support and Trendline indications for a Bitcoin in the fourth harmonic as well as the eight We've got a little bit of an inset there that shows the 8th harmonic projection What's been going on over the past few weeks is that Bitcoin has been Working its way to find a support on a Kronos line here. And so that's what we're working with for this Tim we're gonna have you on right after the first of the year my friend. God bless you and happy holidays to you my friend Alright, we'll talk soon. Have a great day. Larry appreciate it. Thank you, Tim. You bet see you tomorrow folks may God bless