 Tonight is a rain rain go away kind of night in MLB DFS because my top two stacks are both playing in a game Where there's a chance it could get postponed in my number three stack behind them It's also in a game that is at risk and it sounds like those games are probably gonna play so We should be all right to proceed forward with those stacks But I still would like to have a bit more certainty You know if it's if you got an anti-rain dance you can do anything like that a vortex theory whatever it may be Let's try to conjure up some good weather and Baltimore in New York to get these games in a lot of stacks and fun teams and have for some Fun tonight and MLB DFS to see what happens will break down some alternatives should the weather get wonky and gets you ready For a Monday night in MLB DFS welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim sauna. So I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire here to break down Monday's six game main slight We'll lock set for 705 p.m. Eastern for today Let's begin with those weather notes here The big one is in Baltimore for the oils and reds some of the storms could be strong Which means I'm worried that they may decide to not play this game in the interest of safety Which is smart, you know safety is always a good thing. I just really want to stack it so I'm probably gonna risk it I was reading Kevin Roth the rotor grinders breakdown Kevin Roth the The chief meteorologist over at rotor grinders does a great job analyzing weather as pertain to MLB He says this game should be able to play maybe with a delay But for offenses, I don't care about that too much So I just need to make sure they get that game in sounds like they should but still dicey than the like it to be He says there's higher risk in New York for the myths and the brewers for that game You know, I think it seems similar again where they should be able to play but more risk there that game is postponed So we'll break down teams you can use should both those games wind up being in danger We'll break down what to do with those games that they wind up being okay and get you ready for tonight here in Just one second the first day reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed Wherever you get your podcast. We're here every weekday breaking down MLB DFS tomorrow We're talking PGA DFS with branding a doula and we also have a UFC for select events via Austin Swain All right here in the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed So go subscribe to that wherever you get your podcast if you like what you hear leave us a five start rating on Apple Podcasts or Spotify also check us out in the video version over on the Fandall YouTube page or the Fandall TV plus app Baseball season is in full swing and there's no better place to get in on the action than Fandall America's number one sports book Because right now new customers get a no sweat first bed up to $1,000 It's a $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win So don't miss a chance to snag a no sweat first bed up to $1,000 when you join Fandall today Fandall Official sports betting partner of Major League Baseball Major League Baseball trademarks used with permission must be 21 plus and president select states First online real money wager only ten dollar deposit required Refund issued is non with trouble bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt Restrictions apply see whole terms at fandall.com slash sports book Fandall is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas star casino LLC gambling problem Call 1 800 gambler or visit fandall.com slash RG in Arizona 1 800 next step or text next step to 5 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 or visit ccpg.org Such chat in Indiana 1 809 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 1 800 5 2 2 4700 or in Kansas KS gambling help calm Louisiana is 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in Massachusetts gambling helpline ma.org or call 800 327 50 50 for 24 7 support in Maryland MD gambling health.org in New York 1 8 7 7 8 open wire text open Y and in West Virginia go to 1 800 gambler net Pitching preview pitching a lot more stable for today than these stacks are because the pitchers are primarily in games with okay Whether that begins the top with Spencer Strider coming in with a salary of eleven thousand three hundred dollars followed by Louise Castillo at 10 6 sunny gray is ten thousand one hundred dollars followed by Dylan season 96 Andrew he needs 92 with Reed Detmer's and Justin Verlander as the other guys at eight thousand dollars or higher Now Spencer Strider has definitely been in a rut of late his ERA is now to not or three point nine three For the full season. He's had a good number of starts where if you're watching it He's kind of looked off hasn't looked like the Strider. We saw last year and early on this year I just don't know if we can avoid him for tonight. I'd love to because it's been tough for sure But it's it's a really good matchup, especially for strikeouts and I really think we want to be here He's facing the twins and they are a super high strikeout team Twins active roster has a 29% strikeout rate against righties this year Which is the highest mark on the slate by more than three percentage points that's a massive boost for an opposing pitcher and Strider is also himself the highest strikeout guy in the slate He's the highest strikeout guy in every slate but regardless. He is the highest guy here too Even we lob off the early couple starts this year He still is the highest strikeout guy by a wide margin in 10 starts with the Velo down a bit from where it was in April Strider still has a 37% strikeout rate Which is eight percentage points higher than everybody else in the slate and he has a 2.85 skill interactive ERA Now he is letting up a lot of hard contact and fly balls Which is why he's had those bad starts in the stretch and you could add that against tonight because the twins Have batters who can't hurt you if you make mistakes but I have Strider projected for 9.8 strikeouts. Nobody else is above 6.5 So I agree with the concerns It is definitely not ideal to have such rocky form for a guy who's salary is 11 3 And it could happen again, but I just can't turn down That huge of a strikeout projection on a slate where there are just 12 total pitchers So to me despite the issues spencer strider is still my number one guy for tonight And I feel good about him despite the fact. I know an implosion once again is still very much within his range of outcomes The top alternative strider at least for me is going to be lewis castillo I think he's pretty safe and he doesn't he doesn't have the same upside But I do think the safety if you're pivoting at least has some value Castillo's facing the nationals who are a low strikeout team, but Everything else lines up really well the nationals 18 strikeout rate against righties, which is the lowest in the slate But a 90 wrc plus a 136 iso and a 33 percent fly ball rate So they put the ball and play a ton, but they do Nothing with it. That's good for castillo because that's been his biggest issue this year has been Letting up too much hard contact and too many fly balls And that's even true when we look at just a sample since his velocity Got back normally always takes a while to ramp up his velo at the beginning of the year probably to avoid injury It's probably pretty smart But even since then a lot of hard contact a lot of fly balls Everything else has been fine. He has a 29 strikeout rate in those seven starts He's hit double digit strikeouts twice This is not a great matchup for strikeouts. So castillo is second in strikeout projection for me That's enough to make him the top pivot But i'm going to prefer strider for the strikeout. So to me it's strider one castillo two as far as the studs go for tonight The top value for tonight's slate is a guy I've tried stacking against a couple times this year and i'm done with that because re debt mers Faced a bunch of tough teams and he shut down a lot of them So I think we want to go back to him as a pitcher tonight at $8,500 debt mers is facing the white socks and They're a pretty good team against lefty still with a 104 w r c plus but for debt mers That's a step down because his past five starts have come against the marlins Astros cubs rangers and dodgers all five of those teams have a w r c plus of at least one away against lefties So far this year So it's been a really a murderer's row for debt mers and in those five starts He has a 2.83 He had eight strikeouts and three of them which is super super impressive now debt mers I think does still let up too much hard contact and that's why I stacked against him in a couple of those games earlier on this year but It's still We're still getting compensated for that via the lower salary again $8,500 it's accounted for and he has upside I had debt mers projected for eight or six point three strikeouts here Which ranks third behind castillo and strider strider being one castillo two and he's right behind castillo so If i'm not going to use strider, I think i'm more likely to take the savings on Debt mers jump all the way down to 85 and give myself a different lineup where I can get to High upside batters and stuff like that within my lineup and debt mers gets me there So to me I think for for tournaments tonight my rankings are strider one debt mers two Castillo three and I do feel pretty good about that just because I think strider and debt mers Give me good strikeout projections relative to the salaries. I carry for tonight So pitching again pretty solid no real weather concerns there Let's talk about the weather concerns when it comes to stacks I think the orioles should be able to play tonight Based on the forecasts that kevin roth put out there or get over rotor grinders I'm hoping they do because I really want to stack not just the orioles, but this game in general so We'll talk about the orioles here because they're my top stack, but I'll talk about the reds and things to watch I think they would be ranked second for me all else equal if I can get this game to be good to go We'll be on both these sides for sure Let's start the orioles here and talk about why they're so enticing They're facing brandon williamson who has struggled since coming up to the big leagues His results have been okay, but the peripherals are pretty rough across seven starts. He has a 6.72 expected dra It's primarily up there. Thanks to a 48 hard hit rates But williamson is also letting up fly balls not getting strikeouts He hasn't had any implosion games yet. The closest one was uh 600 runs to the Dodgers, but I do think a Seven earned run outing and three innings is within his range of outcomes Orioles very good team against lefties with a 113 wrc plus they draw a ton of walks so I think they're going to flood the base paths here and They do have some guys who can do some damage if they do want to doing that So the orioles are the preferred side here. I like their matchup a bit more, but I'd love the reds if I were able to get there too. So to me Orioles one reds two if we assume this game is good to go for tonight within this Orioles offense are calling of jordan wesberg and as of 9 20 eastern this morning wesberg is not in the player pool over at vanduul.com But they have been adding guys for most of the season Guys some of this like ladella cruz is not in the player pool when he first got called up and they did add him So I think wesberg will probably be in there before first pitch If he does if if he is I want to be on there because he's a righty. So You'd assume he'd be in there to face the lefty He has 18 home runs and six steals in triple a this year with a 51 hard hit rates Wesberg may wind up striking out too much in the majors But I'm on board of them regardless assuming his salary is not unreasonable and assuming he does want to being added to the player pool And he is in the lineup So I would check back on that later on not in there as of right now But I think he will be and I want to be on wesberg if he is indeed added later on So as mentioned orioles are one reds would be two if we get the all clear of that game But I don't want to suck up two stacking spots on a game that might be dicey So let's put the orioles there Second one is also in the dicey game, but hopefully by splitting the ticket here We can at least get one of these games to play I like the Mets and I think that they'd be my number three stack behind the reds If we get the all clear on both for weather for tonight So let's talk about the Mets here. They're facing collin ray ray I think is better now than what he was his first in the rotation He's using more sinkers now and it's led to some solid outings But his zi ray in the stretch is still 4.84 He's led up four and runs in four out of seven games and his hard hit rate is 44 So even with the sinker being in play as fly ball rate is 37 percent. That's fine for stacking It's not as high as you like it, but it's still fine and We've seen ray really struggle with lefties and the Mets have enough of those guys to take advantage They're not their best players by any means, but um, they're they're fine Lefties have a 232 iso against ray this year and a lot of fly balls. So obviously not great for pita lanzo But beyond that, I think it is okay So again, you'll want to check the weather here to make sure we get the green light But if we do I think the Mets would be Number three for me for stacking behind the Orioles and the reds The lefties here also do carry pretty reasonable salaries Franciscan door the switch hitter is 3400 dollars brand nimo 31 You know, not typically the most powerful guy, but he's been a bit better in that regard this year can steal some bases Um, I think he's fine at 31 Dan Vogelbach is 24 Uh, $100. I think that's fine Brett Beatty. He shifts up in the lineup a bit Not it should use Jeff McNeil specifically because he doesn't make as much hard contact as Beatty does but We can use the lefties here And feel pretty good about that. I think we'll still be able to get to a lanzo as well So primarily on the lefties along with a lanzo is the core plays and then maybe mixing the other righties after we get to The lefties and switch hitters No weather concerns tonight for the rangers. Uh, they've a retractable roof So they should be good to go and I think they are going to be the top No weather stack of the night. We'll talk through some other no weather stacks later on just in case both The Orioles and the Mets wind up being In bad situations rangers facing Matthew Boyd He's a guy I think we can stack against despite some really encouraging starts recently Boyd in his past four starts has games of nine eight and seven strikeouts. Those are really good But he's still in some runs in those games The most relevant sample for boyd is his past 10 starts and using more change ups there Uh, then he was in his first four games and in that time He has a 5.79 era Despite the increase in strikeouts He has a 44 5 ball right and that can get him in trouble Where one mistake leads to a lot of runs That's a tough issue to have here because the rangers have a 136 w rc plus against lefties and a 183 iso Which means they're a team That can hurt you in a hurry Boyd is making gains, but he's in a tough matchups nights We saw the rangers face boyd uh back in may and in that game Five run runs across six innings issued too many walks and got punished for it So to me the rangers are a quality stack with no weather concerns for tonight and would be my top stack if we get bad news in the weather for the Mets and the Orioles games I want to talk as ikiel diran here quickly. He's probably going to hit lower in the order They likely are going to probably bat him eighth because they have been so far But I really do like diran a lot as a value. He has a 250 iso against lefty And that is a small sample, but he's also at righty as well And he will run a bit so for 2,800 dollars I think we can feel good about him even while he's hitting lower in the order So as ikiel diran 2,800 dollars probably gonna bat eighth I still think that he's a good play for tonight despite that Especially if you want to jam in all the high salaried rangers we have there So to me diran a fine value play despite the fact he will bat lower in the order Let's go ahead of things to watch and talk about the weather a bit more here and talk about the reds And why I like them and we'll put them seconds if I were allowed to rank things just straight up The face and col ervin who has a 7.71 e r a in seven outings this year His skill interactive e r a is better But it's also not good enough. We need to avoid him the reds active roster up to a 114 W rc plus against lefty So if we can I want to stack both sides of this game and just feel good about that But be sure to check back on the weather later on to see if we can actually do that with a good amount of confidence Another stack we can turn to if the weather in baltimore, uh, new york winds up being bad is the mariners They're facing trevor williams who It's a good matchup for them, but they're just a pretty bad offense right now I'm still okay with them because of the matchup and I will use them if we had bad weather elsewhere But their struggles with the dish are why I got I had them behind the ranges for things The range has been much better against lefties than the mariners have been against righties I also think you consider the braves above the mariners as the the other Good weather stack they're facing sunny gray and gray is a really good pitcher, but He's struggling right now. He's been using more sinkers and fewer curve balls his past eight starts Uh, he has a 4.53 skill interactive era in that time He's getting grounders, which is why the results have still been fine But now he's going on the road facing a very good offense. I think we could see him slip a bit So I do think that braves are acceptable should we get bad news on those two rain games. So to me The Weather is fine stacks would be Baltimore followed by the reds followed by the Mets if the weather winds up being bad for both those games I'd rank the stacks Rangers one I'd probably go braves two and then mariners three in terms of the stacks for tonight Hopefully we get good weather though because I really really want to stack that oil's reds game Let's finish up with the digger calls for tonight So let's start the boring one and that is one in a game that should play be good to go That is Adelis Garcia facing off Matthew with Matthew Boyd a lot of fly balls there Garcia can crush anybody But especially a lefty. So the boring home run call Adelis Garcia For tonight the fun one. Let's go Jordan Westberg in his mlb debut his odds at vandal sports book I think are plus 480 so you're not going to catch them sleeping there by any means but Still like it as far as a fun recommendation. Hopefully he's out of the player pool We can get there for him But we'll go with Adelis Garcia and Jordan Westberg as the homer calls for tonight That's all we got here for today on the solo shot once again Do not forget to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast also check us out On the fandal youtube page and on the fan dual tv plus app And do not forget again to check out the weather for baltimore new york later on to make sure those games are good to go If you've got any questions for me. I am on twitter at jim sonnis J i m s a n n e s and you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast I want to thank you all for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your mlb dfs line-up for tonight We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down a robust tuesday slate This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network