 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA the Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. At the beginning of FIFA 22, everybody is opening packs, but everybody has the same question. Should I keep these players or should I sell them? And what I wanna do today is take a look at some early game FIFA 22 market tips to help you figure out which players you should keep because they're gonna rise later and which players you should sell because they're gonna be the most expensive right in the beginning of the game. We're gonna be taking a look at a lot of graphs from last year in FIFA 21, but also thinking about how the beginning of the game works. Of course, with the new features in this year's FIFA 22, with the preview packs, with no more division rivals, coins, bonus, like we had last year, but the 4,600 FIFA points being opened by a lot of people with the ultimate addition. There's tons to consider here. We're gonna try to break it down today. Again, the biggest thing though is that this year in FIFA 22 preview packs, every single day, you're gonna be able to preview a 7.5K pack during the beginning of FIFA. And that means with preview packs, like we've already seen in FIFA 21, they bring the biggest amount of supply that we have ever seen. So that makes me a little bit worried for some of our lower tier cards that are still very meta as we look at some examples here in just a second at how their prices will rise. But actually, I think the rises will be quicker and the drop-offs will be bigger than we've ever seen before. And that's gonna happen throughout this game of FIFA 22. But let's get into it because I'm gonna start talking about some players that you should sell. So again, what we are doing right now is taking a look at players that you should sell if you pack them within the first two to three to four days. And I'm gonna tell you why. First things first, lower-rated cards. I'm talking 81s, 82s, and below. Some 81s and 82s could still rise. Some lower-rated cards could still rise. But 90% of these cards are their most expensive in the first two weeks of the game. These low-rated gold cards that everybody starts off with in their starter teams and then sells afterwards. Take a look at Venetius in FIFA 21. I'm gonna go all the way back here to October of FIFA 20 and show you how his price went down big time. He started off at his most expensive point in the first three to four days of the game, dropped off big time. Two weeks later, he goes from 20,000 coins to 8,000 coins. That would be a card that if you pack in the first couple days of the game, I would sell. Now, if we're being very, very, very picky about this, the first day or so, a lot of the cards that you pack are gonna be very cheap. Footbin was not working, these graphs were not registering last year for the first two days of the web app and in the first day of EA Play. So you don't see a lot of prices in here. Venetius was probably 10,000 coins or below on the day one. He rose up to 20K and then he went down. So for a lot of these cards, when I'm mentioning selling them, that sell time for a lot of these cards is gonna be three to four days after the initial release of the game. Basically Saturday, Sunday of this next week. After you get on the game, the 22nd, Saturday, Sunday, in my opinion, is gonna be your sell time for a lot of these cards. So other options, right? Yan Vertongan, Pepe, a lot of these center backs and a lot of these cards that people are saying, hey, I'm gonna put this into my starter team. These guys might be 5, 10, 15,000 coins, but they're never gonna stay at that price range for very long because you're gonna see a lot of these cards just like Venetius have huge price drop offs as they get supplied. And that's what I'm saying with the preview packs, they're gonna get supplied even faster and even more than we've seen in the past. So that's why I think you should sell off in that timeframe. Now, also what I wanna do today is show you and talk about why are we selling in that first weekend. We're selling in that first weekend. Look, here's Klosterman as well. He was extinct, that's a bit of an anomaly there. Richarlison is another one, right? Last year, 81 rated card, one of the most favored starter squad strikers from the Prem. The reason why we're selling in that first weekend is because on Tuesday, whatever date, is it Tuesday the 27th? No, it's not a Tuesday, it is a Monday. The 27th of September, Monday, when the 4,600 FIFA points come out to Ultimate Edition users, you are going to see a solid drop off on a lot of the low tier market because there's gonna be a ton of packs that'll be opened on that day with so many people coming onto the game for the first time as well with the early access for pre-order of the Ultimate Edition. So even more, I guess, emphasis on these lower tier cards, I would sell them in that early timeframe. Let's talk about some more. Tamori, right? Popular FIFA 22 cards that are probably gonna be expensive in the first week or so. This Tamori card, people want to link him with Kessie and Theo Hernandez. This would be a card that I would sell in the first week or so of the game. Ben Godfrey, a non-rare. I would sell this card as well in the first week or two of the game because people are gonna work past these cards. They're gonna work past Ben Godfrey. They're gonna upgrade to somebody like a Veran down the line or like that might be too big of an upgrade but maybe they upgrade from Ben Godfrey to somebody like Militao. Maybe somebody like Marquinhos. Then they go get a Veran or a Van Dyke when they have more and more coins. People get rid of their starter teams really quick. You're gonna learn that and as we see from a lot of these graphs, like with Charleston, he went to 50k and then boom, two weeks later, he's 18,000 coins, right? With Vinicius, he was 20k, went all the way down to 8,000 coins. So for a lot of these starter team players, I would be getting them out in that first weekend. Now if you pack Ben Godfrey day one and he's going for 3,000 coins, I would not sell, I would wait because I think he would still go up to about 10k but then during that weekend timeframe, that's when I'll be looking to sell. Now obviously when you're opening your beginning of the game packs, you have to sell something to have some coins. You can't hold on to everything if it's day one and you packed Mbappe and you packed some cards that are like, man, these are gonna go on my team. I don't wanna sell these just yet. You gotta sell something, right? There's gonna be a plenty of cards that you pack, SBC fodder and cards that are not gonna go into your starting 11 or cards that you would need for SBCs. Like I'm talking non-rares that are Brazilian, good for the advanced SBCs, that sort of stuff. I would sell. So like I have this example of Sebastian Holler. If I pack this card, I'd be selling it. He might only sell for 750 coins. Just sell it, right? Take the coins, Boothskets, an 86 rated card. You might have to sell this guy for 5k, just do it, right? Because it's 5,000 coins that you can use to trade and to actually have some coins to upgrade your team as well. Because if you don't sell anything, then you're not gonna have any coins to do anything with. So that's why I would be selling the Boothskets card. That's why I'd be selling some of these cards that you know you're not gonna use right away in your team. Get them out, take the coins, because coins are precious and coins are what you need to do anything in this game. That's why we're even making this video, because coins are so big and precious we have to talk about it. So those are some of the cards that I would sell, right? Your fodder cards, stuff that you're not gonna use. Now let's move on to some higher rated stuff. Marcus Llorente. This is where it gets a little bit more tricky. The trickiest parts to whether you should keep or whether you should sell, depend on cards that are like Renato Sanchez. Cards like this for Charleston, right? Or, you know, not maybe for Charleston, but cards like a Rashford who, yes, he was very meta last year and rose up a ton in price. But those cards that are like 82 to 83 to 84 rated, they're like, hmm, are these cards actually gonna be really good in the game this year? Or are they just okay and they're gonna get bypassed? Well, this Llorente card last year, of course, had a pretty crazy price fluctuation. This guy this year, he's gonna be a bit more expensive and he's gonna be very, very popular. This would be a card that if you packed him in the first day or two of FIFA 22, I would hold. Because he might be going for 50K then. He's probably gonna be going for 100K later. A lot of these higher tier, higher rated cards are gonna be holds because they're gonna go up over the course of a few days, like this Rashford did last year. Of course, he had a very large rise later on about a month after because the five star skills became so overpowered. But Rashford was like 140,000 coins here. He was probably 100K over in here. Rows up all the way to 180, right? 180,000 coins and then kept going all the way to 290 at his peak. But why would you sell this card on a Friday, October 2nd for 140K if you knew that he was gonna go up to 186K if he was high rated, very popular and very meta, right? You think about PSG players. When you think of meta, like what cards are meta or what cards are not meta, just look through these lists and figure out what cards people are using in their teams. You guys know what the meta is, right? You know, pace is very meta characteristic of this game. Good links also is about this. Angolo Kante would be a card I would 100% hold onto. Take a look at what he did last year. If you packed Kante this year, day one or day two, you better be holding. With all the French links this year, like with Veran being in the Premier League, people need those links, right? And especially with the League One and some of the foot heroes being French like Ginola, this is a card I would 100% hold. He got an upgrade this year as well. He's probably gonna be over 400,000 coins at some point this year. If you pack him day one or two and he's 250K, you're definitely holding for the first couple weeks. Just put him in your team, use him and have some fun. That's the great thing about this. If you pack a great card that you don't wanna sell right away because you know it's gonna go up in price, just put it in your team if it fits, use the card and have fun with it. So again, that's kind of the gist. Let's look through a few more of these cards. This Marcus Rante, again, that'd be a hold from me. Marcus Rashford would again be a hold with the Cristiano Ronaldo links. Bruno Fernandez would be another card that I would say hold big time because so many people are gonna be going after Cristiano Ronaldo this year. Marquinhos would be a hold as well. I think this is gonna be one of the most OP and most used center backs in the game even though he doesn't have as much pace as others. His defending stat and his links are just incredible. So those would be all cards that I would say hold onto. Now, some other things that I would say to watch out for. Just like we mentioned, some cards get ones to watches, right? With Ronaldo, these cards that get ones to watches, their golds will be in packs until October 1st at least. Those would be holds for me as well because if you pack them early on, a guy like the Sakemi might be going for like 20, 30,000 coins, maybe a little bit more. But as people know, his price is gonna go up because he's gonna be going out of packs. Still a very popular card. People are gonna invest in him. That's why I would call a card like this or a card that is already guaranteed to be in ones to watch a hold. Maybe why Naldum as well. Of course, he's got an 84 rated item that is a great link up player for squad building with PSG links, which of course, the PSG links this year are gonna be king with all the players that they have there. So that would be a hold for me as well. And icons, if you pack an icon, if you're lucky enough to get an incredible icon pack pull at the beginning of FIFA 22, I would hold onto that card 100%. But let's talk a little bit more market, right? Because I wanna talk about these graphs and just again, if you kinda get your head wrapped around how the market's gonna work in the first couple of days, then that'll help you make decisions in real time after we've talked all about this stuff as well. So again, 22nd of September is going to be the day when everybody gets on. Prices are gonna be cheap day one. They're not gonna be as cheap as last year because we're gonna have EA play on the same day. People are gonna store opening packs and prices are gonna start to go up in that first day. You're gonna see prices move up really large amounts, big rises on some cards, and you're gonna see some cards, just kind of be really, really cheap as well. Like some of those SPC fodder cards, like a Busquets, who really nobody is gonna wanna use. He's gonna be really cheap. Is it worth an investment? I don't think so. But people are gonna start building their starter teams depending on how many coins they have. They're gonna start investing in players as well. And you're gonna see a nice rise into the first couple of days. What I do think you're gonna see though is a lot of people are gonna know about the 4,600 FIFA points and remember how last year, on that Tuesday, October 6th, that's when, like that was, you can see this point here, October 6th, he went down from Monday into Tuesday, but he kept going down. After that, a lot of people know that with early access and with the start of the game, a lot of those lower tier cards, lower rated cards, cards like Tamori, cards like Vertongan, cards like the Ben Godfrey, or Klosterman, or Lacroix, who were expecting, you know, to get in real ratings for confirmed very soon. But we've seen leaked ratings and they're insane. You're gonna see massive price drop offs just because of that supply. And especially this year, with the 4,600 FIFA points and the preview packs, there's just gonna be so much supply. And that's why, again, I think that first couple days, it was a peak last year for a lot of cards. Hyunmin Sun is a perfect example because a lot of people thought he was gonna be so overpowered last year in FIFA. He got bought up to 360K. And look, he never ever went back up. He went down to 260, rebounded almost to 300, but never saw those numbers again because number one, he was over invested in because people thought he was gonna be the best left mid in the Premier League and the most used. But what happened was, instead of the weak foot being overpowered, skill moves were overpowered. And that is why Marcus Rashford went from 160K all the way up to 300 because of the meta. So whatever the meta is in game FIFA 22, it's not gonna be figured out right away, but that plays into things as well. I just wanna make that big point because I think that that first couple of days, again, this year could be a huge, huge place where we actually wanna sell some cards, sell a lot of cards before we head into the first couple days of the early access timeframe with new SBCs and objectives that will be coming out for the ones to watch promo on the first. So that's just kinda my take. I think there's gonna be a nice bubble, a nice, you know, we're gonna reach the peak of a lot of prices for a lot of cards in that first weekend. I really think that's gonna be the way it is again. And you're gonna have some people that know that from last year and they're gonna start selling and you might see some drop offs a little bit earlier, but I really think that you're still gonna see a nice rise from the first two to three days into the weekend and then a sell off after that. And again, I really do think that the sell offs are gonna be even more extreme this year because with more supply, what that means is when people decide that a card isn't what they wanna use anymore and they all go and sell it, the price drop offs are gonna be nuts. It's gonna be crazy since there's a lot more cards out there on the market and when the demand stops holding that card at a certain price point, it's just gonna get dumped and it's gonna go down a ton. So I hope that helps answer the question about how this early market's gonna look. What cards could you keep? What cards could you sell? Just make sure you sell enough cards on that day one. If you're opening packs day one, make sure you sell enough so that you have coins to do something with. You only have 2,000 coins. You can't do much, right? Sell some cards. If you get some fodder, even if you feel like, hey, I'm not gonna be able to get, let's say you pack this Tamori, right? And he's selling for 10,000 coins. You're like, man, tomorrow he might be 15K, but if you take your 10,000 coins and you start trading, you might be able to use that 10K to make more than the 15K you would have sold him for the next day. So think about that as well. A little bit of an opportunity cost scenario built into that as well. But that in my opinion is the way you should navigate the early days of the FIFA 22 market with when should you keep, when should you sell, when should you hold all of that good stuff. This video helped you out today. Smash your thumbs up on it. Comment down below if you have any questions and subscribe if you're new. It's been Nathan Fodaccount and I will catch you guys later. Peace.