 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your lovable host who likes to come to you at this time. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. So we've got a little bit more selling in here today. When we talked last week, we showed some, or was it just in the newsletter, we showed some pretty good option charts that put the UVXY at 17. As one of my gentle subscribers reminded me, it went right there today. It didn't go there the way I thought it would, which was start on last Friday. Instead, we had to bounce and then started back down again on Monday. That's one of the issues with using options is you kind of know where they're going to end up. You just don't know where they're going to go in the meantime. But maybe we've got some kind of low forming in here. I suspect more about tomorrow in that. We've got a lot of stocks, the usual suspects like Apple. People are shorting them in 2XS. XS? I think that was a band, wasn't it? XS. And now, what do I get going on here? Okay, get my keyboard to lay flat. Certainly off the highs that we had, that everybody was screaming about yesterday morning, talking about $3 trillion. Well, it was worse than Poncettani fill with the sun. He went back and hid for another three months. Well, apparently Apple's done the same thing. You know what, just a great deal of that was probably everybody buying it while they sold a great deal of other stuff. INX? Yeah, that was the band. They were Australians, weren't they? I think they were Australian. Anyway, yeah, I know how the lead singer died. Anyway, when we're looking at that, of course, we want to check and see what we have. Options expiration generally is fairly bullish. This is one of these times. Generally, you can look for half or three quarters of a percent, on average, from that period higher in the market. Now, if it goes lower, though, the 15 to 20% of the time that it goes lower, it tends to go a percent and a half to 2% lower. So the question is, do we stop here and bounce tomorrow on Powell or do we break through some levels that just creates more selling? As we said yesterday, there's a lot going on in the markets, but I don't think we've got two major things that we're looking at now in the church of what's happening now. And as I said kind of yesterday, a bit about the insurance companies having to sell. People may be trying to get out in front of that. But we also have the FOMC, which reminds me of the 1960s Cold War stuff where they take pictures and see people standing close to Khrushchev and far away from Khrushchev. And I'll try to imply something before they say it. But certainly tomorrow is a Rorschach test. With the markets already in decline, I don't know if he's going to say even more bearish stuff. But I think Mr. Miyagi had it right when he said, best way to avoid fight, not be there. I think probably the most prudent thing is instead of gambling on what he's going to say is to react to it tomorrow. But we've got fairly light volume. If we can say 6.6 billion shares is light. But at least for this time it isn't a blowout. It's much lighter. And of course we could be getting to the point where a lot of these stocks are retesting those previous lows we had a few weeks ago on lighter volume. That would be nice. Now do I think that there's a huge amount of upside for the next couple of days before we start selling again? No, but there are some stocks that people are getting outrageously short in. Apples for one, could we see some big moves out of that and bring up the indexes? I think we could before Friday's close on options expiration. But we'll keep a close eye on it. Give me a call today, 877-927-6648. You can email me at path at tfnn.com. And of course you can always put a message in the den. So bounce now. Good. I just don't see any signs of it. That's it. I'm waiting for a sign. And there's no burning bush out here in the market today. A lot of times at lows there are. And generally that's what I'm thinking that even if we have kind of a short term low today that somehow they're going to try to twist whatever he says into something evil and twisted tomorrow and kind of push it down at least one more time and get the premiums out of the options for Friday's expiration. A lot of times when you're down and there is a bounce during options expiration it's Thursday, Friday. And a lot of times Friday in the afternoon you get a kind of a big recovery especially going into Christmas. But I don't know. Headline driven market. A little tough to tell. As always history rhymes. Doesn't really repeat. But surely Bassey. How can you beat it? And it's all just a little bit of history repeating. And no bringing up Ace of Base either in the dead. On this day in 1902 the cable ship Silver Town began laying the first trans-specific telegraph cable from San Francisco destined for Honolulu Hawaii after laying 2,200 nautical miles of cable. The Silver Town will land in Honolulu on January 1st, 1903. Public messages will begin transmitting on January 5th. And of course they would finish the cable all the way to Japan in the coming couple of years. They would run across some islands that later would be a big deal. The Marshalls, a bunch of other ones that ended up being the islands that we island hopped through the victory over Japan. But a lot of that stuff started now on 1902. And of course people complain now. They don't even have any idea what communications are. Remember you'd have to send a cable. And why did everybody always say stop? Wasn't it just implied? It's the end of a sentence. I don't say stop every time there should be a period. Why did they have to in the movies say stop? To make this pause. Back. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find the path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit TFNN.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. 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Live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN. Educating investors. All now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. As we return, we're going to get into some of the stuff. Questions already coming in, hot and heavy over the wire. Which I contend the internet is just a fad. Okay. A question about NVIDIA. As I said, it looks like we're coming back into some support levels. You gapped up on the 4th of November, 115 million shares. Let's get rid of the Gartley's here. And get a little less violent out here. Anyway, you gapped up on the 4th and you had 115 million shares. We're back in with 47. So not saying that we're going to bounce right now, but maybe get one more pushback into that tomorrow. And you might see some of these out here have bottomed for the year. Let's take a quick look at the SMHs. I did talk to Tim Ord. He'll be on Thursday. If you have any questions for him, email me now and I'll get him all ready for him. Because like I said, he's not real quick on looking at stuff. He takes about an hour to look at a single chart. So if you get him up front, I'll send it to him before we get the show on. But he'll want to look at the last 20 years of the chart. It just doesn't work for radio or podcasts. Unless he's already got a lot of that already figured out. So get those questions and letters coming in. Log for J. Yeah, a lot of people ask me about that in the emails. Okay, somebody says they know why the stop is in there. It said stop because they were sending words over wire on the other side. Yeah, but they were, they'd get a telegram and then they'd go to some hotel room and then the guy would ask the bell man to read it and the bell man would read out stop. Couldn't you just pause like a normal human and then they would know that the next sentence was coming? I don't know. Everybody was trying to be brief back there. It's probably the equivalent. We'll find somebody who actually knows. But maybe this guy does. You know, maybe if they were talking to the telegraph operator, I could understand it, but still has always bothered me in movies that they do that. Anyway, in the SMHs we're doing about 3 million chairs back into the pushdown with 5 million chairs. So that one may be a little iffy. We'll have to watch the volume at the end of the day, but doesn't look like a blowout at least so far. So we'll keep that. Oh, yeah, I do have a couple of questions about the log for Jay. What is it? Why does everybody bothered about it? We're used to having a interface for just about everything. But if you're running Linux servers, all that kind of stuff or you've got a router, generally you get something that looks just about like what you're familiar with from the DOS days. Some kind of type thing where you type in it and you've got different commands and type stuff back. Well, that's pretty much what they do, but there's logging files that get created all the time something's operating. Like, you know, who logged into that server or what connection was made by that router. You know, from everything including, you kind of have it in your own car. Every time you see the little light dash, light up on the dash that says, you know, check engine light. It logs the error to it and you have to get the little device and read it. Sometimes some of them are better than that, but it's just a log and it had a critical flaw for forever. And I was thinking about it and how to describe it to somebody who really didn't know a lot about computers. And the only thing I had was back in the days where you used to try to smack the side of the pinball machine to get the pinball over without hitting it hard enough to actually make it crash and take your quarter. And that's kind of what hackers are always doing. They're looking for ways to smack the pinball machine around and they kind of found a way that no one knew existed for at least 15 years on what literally is everywhere in the world. There may be 200 million different machines that have that log for J in it. So it's going to take a long time. Like I said, I'm not a big fan of Java. I'm glad that none of my devices have it in it. But at the same time, you want to check to find out and get those updates as soon as you can. But any software that has Java in it and then that, of course, will bring up a question of what is Java? Java is a framework to write programs in on multiple different kinds of machines. But a framework is just a lot of the stuff done for you. It's kind of like if you're building a house, you don't go get a tree. You go to the Home Depot and get all the 2x4s. They've already been mentioned, everything's ready to go. And this is a component that you just got and used as a programmer that did a lot of these logging things for you. And of course, like I said, it's literally in everything. There's going to be very tough. I know somebody that's spent all week updating 10 of his servers. But if you're not prepared for that kind of stuff, it can be a nightmare if you've got hundreds of thousands of servers. There's lots of software that Amazon has. They patched over, I think, 10,000 servers in a matter of hours one day. But not everybody set up to make changes that one. Come on, 15,885. I don't know what that is. Oh, it's probably a level on the indexes, huh? So we shall see. Okay, let's get back to that. I'm still showing. Oh, we're up, okay. 46,25 on the S&P, 15,181 on the Nasdaq, the Brussels up or down, excuse me, 20. Crude oil is off 60. Got some questions about gold. I was long. It looked fairly good. It wasn't acting correctly on Friday. So we got out. Thank God. That's why I always say so when you cannot when you have to. It wouldn't have been a big loss for anybody out here, but just you're down. You've got some okay volume. You're retesting the previous 9.6 million share low at December 7th. Six billion shares. Let's see what it does by the end of the day. Probably just going to be a little light. I would have liked to see that we'll be back in a minute. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. 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I'll answer your question first about why they used the word stop because they used to charge you for a period if you used it in a telegram as an extra word. So the word stop was free. Ah. That seems irritating. You kind of know that it's the end of a sentence if someone's reading it. I can see it on the page. But why would you say it? What? No, go ahead. No, I said why would you say it after you knew that, though? It didn't add anything. I guess it made everybody know that it was a telegram, whatever they were reading off the page, probably inferred it back in the day. Yeah, but those days you got charged by the word and stop was free. And that's why people used it. Yeah, but I meant in the movies. Somewhere there's the bell man reading it. That's what I could understand at the telegraph office. But you got a telegram somewhere else and people are literally reading it. And now it makes sense. It was probably printed off the page and they're just reading exactly what was on the page. So that makes a lot more sense. I couldn't see them. I would have probably just ignored it, but that's being me. And I probably wouldn't have been a bell man either. But that's it. We got here. Apollo Global Management, huh? What are you thinking about? I was looking for an entry point on this. Okay. On this, they are... Let's see what we've got. Private equity firms, specializing in investments in credit, private equity, real estate markets. What's interesting about this company? I don't know exactly. Well, they pay about a 3% dividend, but they really just keep coming in better and better every quarter. I was just wondering if this... I'd just like to try to get in. I've noticed the stock went down from 82 into the high 60s right now. I was just wondering if it would be a good time to get in. 68.25 was low today. So at least on a chart basis, I can't guarantee it didn't gap down, but I can tell you that you could have a fairly narrow risk reward here. Let's call it 8.9 million shares back on the 19th of October. You got 1 million shares today. So certainly on a volume basis, even if this does 2 million shares, you're talking about doing 20%. My question would be buying it now opposed to buying it January 1st. And the only reason I could see doing that would be if they had a lot of short interest or people trying to rate it or something like that. Let me look that up real quick. Well, you don't have a lot of daily short interest. See what we have in the monthlies. Well, okay. You're starting to get me interested. It's got eight days to cover. So we should get the... Well, I guess we'll get it tonight. The updated short date on this. But yeah, I kind of like it. I don't know if you're going to get back up to 80, but do you think you could get a few bucks in before the end of the year? Yes, your risk reward is perfect now. You just don't want it really to close below 68 bucks. So pretty good. You got a ton of people short on this thing, although they haven't been shorting it lately. What do you think the floor on this would be? About 63, 62 if it broke below 68? I wouldn't want to own it if it closed below 68 bucks. Okay. That's what I'm saying. Your risk reward here is perfect. You don't get any better than that. You're right where I love to buy them, which is that the gap higher. One fifth of volume or less. Maybe one eighth of volume, one seventh. It's going to be a whole lot of nothing. You've got a ton of people that are short with eight days to cover on it. So as far as the setup, it's perfect. The thing is you really just don't need to close below. Let's go back and get you the exact number. The close would be 67, 67.85. Close below that. So, you know, as long as it hangs out there, I'm just thinking that today, tomorrow, probably goes some sideways. If you get any kind of action at all, you probably could get back up to 74 here in the next week or so. I guess as you get it. The most you have is about a five point gap, a five point up spring. Yeah. The problem is probably going to be, you'll get it all in one day. Because if you've got eight days to cover, when everybody figures out the jig is up, they'll be out. So not a bad trade into Christmas, actually, for the setup. I'm not so enamored with what the company does, but an interesting setup. Okay. Well, thank you very much, Dave. I really appreciate your ideas. You bet. Okay. What else do we have here? Where's my email? Okay. A question about the some Asian index, and I make my own, mostly because the zero line is problematic in the way that everybody else does it. Everybody says that, but it takes so long to get back to the zero line that it doesn't matter. Let's go ahead and create a New York Stock Exchange wand. And what I've done in my charts for the summation index is give it some gravity back to zero. So each day it's got a fight against gravity, either on the high side or on the low side, trying to drag it back to zero over time. So if it just went sideways for a while, it would go back to zero, even without changing the advanced decline line much. But you are kind of on the downside here, but you get these little things that look like hooks that could, but no, there's no sign. But again, the summation index is not a short-term index. It is actually an index that you want to use for the medium to longer term view of the market. The most bearish thing here, why was bearish going into Friday even, was that you had almost no bounce in the summation index going up higher. Now, we're off 100 on the S&Ps since last Friday. Well, not that much anymore, I didn't look. But it continues to be problematic. But you know what? I'm just thinking that the example of APO, there's another one I'm looking at that I can buy calls on that I mentioned in the newsletter this morning. There's some other things where I think we can make some money if we get a bottom. My guess is that 90% of the market goes sideways between now and the first of the year and doesn't do much. But all you need is Apple to get, as I said, people are shorting the daylights out of Apple. All you need is a few short squeezes on that and get another 50 points, 60, 75 points in the S&Ps and probably 100, 150 on the NASDAQ. We'll be back in a minute. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. 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But also, maybe they truly believe that through recombinant DNA and thousand scientists that Mr. Powell has been able to regrow a spine and decide that he's truly not going to be the boy who cried wolf and raised rates. But I don't know, it seems like every time before he's folded like a $5 suitcase, there's another 1930s reference for you. And what else can you say? Questions about the TLT from Frank? So let's go ahead and take a look at that real quick. As I said, there's a couple things going on. People coming out of equities going into the TLT fed, still pushing cash. It doesn't look like they've changed it all. Fold like a cheap suit. Yeah, $5 suitcases but I always remember. Okay. Do I see anything? No. This is all about the Fed tomorrow. So I wouldn't want to prognosticate because I don't know what they're going to say. I can tell what a lot of people are going to do. These markets would be a lot easier if the Fed wasn't involved every single day trying to job bone the market one way or the other. But once we get into a part where they're actually raising rates I think the whole what are they going to do is arguments going to change and the only thing is going to be when will it stop. And they'll be looking for that. We'll probably get bounces out of that making them think that whatever they said in to the rate hikes but we saw again today the immense amount of inflation thrown into this market in my opinion driven by one thing and that is driving the price of fuel up which ignited everything and it's going to continue. If we went back to crude at $45 a barrel my guess is all this inflation would go away in a heartbeat. But the war on energy for the current regime continues on. Anyway I don't see anything here I don't think that anything is going to matter until the Fed comes out tomorrow. Tomorrow morning we can probably start looking for volume to decrease until the numbers come out and of course that's it too we'll have a bunch of ups and downs we'll have a press meeting at $230 that means until $315 we won't have anything and then everybody will be telling us exactly what he said even though we just heard it and everybody will be trying to put a spin on it through the end of the day but probably not until we get to the end of the day maybe the last 10 or 15 minutes or we're really going to get a sense of how the market reacts to what happens I think anything is to react instead of anticipate because I don't know what he's going to say and nobody else has convinced me either that they know what he's going to say maybe they got a 60% chance but that's kind of more of a gamble than prudent speculation and I don't like it Question to look at the cues which we will look at QQQ okay well you certainly gap down you're going to have more volume than last probably five, six trading days you fill the gap the gap is holding that gap is the gap higher on the 7th of December a day that will live in infamy 56 million shares you got 54 now so you got problems right here in river city the problem is that it held and that's generally good enough for a little while many people think that we'll come back into selling on January 1st they're trying to front run that I think that probably there's some good buys coming out of this just a handful of stocks but again they're going to have to be really heavily shorted I didn't get one today but I was looking at it this morning but I was hoping that we get yet another retest tomorrow morning and I'd like it a lot better 877-927-6648 and what else do we have out here question Adobe off of 8% AD BE K as I said what you really want to worry about is when these things actually break through a 3x3 display smoothing average and you have a big candle even if you got this bounced to 675 you're right back down to testing the previous 604 level got to 599-10 today the only good thing is you only have 4 million shares into the 6.7 million share low before but it doesn't look good yeah 600 bucks is support on Adobe generally when you get stocks and they downtrend in the last couple weeks at best you can hope that they go sideways a lot of times they continue to sell now these are the ones you want to watch extremely closely for January 2nd or 3rd I forget when the market comes back when is that ok we'll close the 3rd right so it'd be the 4th so we got a long start the new year but volume not bad but at the same time not good but once you see those big candles and they break after trying to go up for a very long time like this one did it's not the textbook of the double repo but I think it has a little bit of the flavor out there and they say that the market is heading higher what's up here we're still at 42 points yeah I just question on you think that I would rather be in the market tomorrow and buy on the dip because almost always between I'm going to say 1045 11 ish to about one you get people selling in front of the fed and there's not a lot of volume and you get some kind of low so would I buy today you know if you were selling today that's another question but if you're buying you think you're going to get ahead of that and you're front running it in the case that goes your way I'd still much rather buy somewhere in the early morning late morning to noon tomorrow I'll be back in a minute sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at TFNN you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8 30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and 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one more that could yeah steel case not doing much Friday morning Darden restaurants and then I went a bago see what Darden's look like yeah a lot of sideways in that went a bago high fuel prices normally have hurt them in the past but they got helped also by just people wanting to be able to go somewhere and not get trapped in lockdowns so everybody got to win a bagos win all over but again I don't see anything out here that screams go long or go short these things pre earnings so fairly quiet there let's check back in for the volumes and we got seven and a half billion shares today so you know we really are kind of coming back into this was take a quick look at the cues again and look at that okay so he came down on the third with 104 million shares you got 54 million shares now looks like if you were short I'd be all much thinking about covering I don't think we are ready to go long yet maybe tomorrow morning we'll see how that certainly not a lot of volume out here today so when you can or cover when you can