 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network Pretty interesting game to wrap up week number seven in the NFL We have a banged up San Francisco 49ers team going to Minneapolis take on the Minnesota Vikings And we got to decide how much not having diva Samuel likely not having Trent Williams down grades this team We're talk about that today with Ryan Williams picking his brain on this matchup from a spread and total perspective But also talking player props for Monday night at Fandall sportsbook This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim saw this I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research Join here as I am every Monday by Ryan Williams check them out on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W Ryan pretty fun week number seven thus far. How you doing today? Oh I'm doing I'm doing great Jim. Yeah, it's been it's been a fun week seven You know, if you are annoyed about, you know, the brotherly What are they called the brotherly push brotherly? Push yeah, I like to push. I just I like to push so to push. Yeah, that's exactly exactly. Oh, no, bring tush back Yeah, if you get annoyed by all those monikers and stuff then the best way to go about it It's just trying to you know, go go full-on go full into it Try and try and make the best of it. And that's what we did on Titan day Shout out to Mark Andrew shout out to Travis Kelsey, you know It's making some bets with those guys who tend to just ball out when you know, this this day comes about We got another tight end to talk about tonight that I'm excited about but yeah, all in all a good week seven love events get get back to the mix of things I was talking about Lamar at the midseason getting MVP odds on him Which looks pretty great. It's just really right now Not sure what's going on with the Buffalo Bells, but you know going against the Patriots a divisional Josh Allen just In the recent, you know in the recent two years here But yeah, we're we're week seven. We got the 49ers and about specks by on the road against Minnesota So be a fun Monday night game ahead of us and we're gonna talk about that fun tight end I assume that Josh Oliver will talk about Josh Oliver in a bit here We'll talk Travis Kelsey I suppose at some point or George Cale at some point throughout the day for today So we'll dive into that dive into props for 49ers at Vikings and get you ready for that game And just one second a first-day reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast We're here seven times per week on the covering the spread podcast feed with our daily shows But also previews for Thursday night and Sunday football via Tom Vecchio all right here in the covering the spread podcast You can also find the daily shows in the Fandall YouTube page and over on Fandall TV plus to get Fandall TV plus Go to Fandall comm slash watch and log in via your Fandall account to watch for free Or go to the Fandall TV plus app on Amazon Fire Apple TV or Roku devices Snap into action this NFL season with Fandall America's number one sportsbook right now new customers get $200 in bonus bets guaranteed when you place a five dollar bet That is $200 in bonus bets win or lose even thinking about joining Fandall There is no better time to get in on the action. 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He is doubtful as well and those are two of the best players on this team They got a lot of good ones, but tremp williams definitely up there for sure So let's talk about those two injuries first ryan How did the losses of diva sandal and tremp williams impact your view of the spread and the total in this game? Yeah, the the spread it it impacts it a little bit for me jim just because We know that you know the Vikings you know they tend to they tend to be close and the you know the one thing the vikings don't do is Kind of just lay down or or go down without a fight. I should say um and so Just thinking about this offense in the way that you know Christian mccaffrey is banged up. We don't have any rushing lines right now For the san francisco 49ers for elie mitchell uh and jase jordan mason You know diva sandal not being a part of this offense does take out kind of what they want to do I feel like when you're talking about scheme wise It puts more pressure on brockporty and possibly christian mccaffrey If he's going to be able to to give it a go tonight. So I do like the minnesota vikings plus six and a half here minus 105 I think that's a that's a fair number. Uh, you would love to get to that key number of seven I just don't think that we will um get there Even even with christian mccaffrey like fully ago. I just don't think the book would want to do that But yeah, seven would be a a smash number if we somehow get it. I'm actually not to I'm not turned away by the 43 number as well too for the over If we can get some, you know plays going for for the minnesota vikings I know that the number, you know, is going to be kept down because we're missing jesson depherson We're missing diva sandal. I would want christian mccaffrey to play Taking that over number, but I think there's still some pieces here And there's still, you know, there's kurt guzzin's dee gap mode like he'll still be able to find Ways to to get his guys the ball. Um, so Is an interesting one for for going to be scored Especially with the way the vikings defense has been playing which I believe they have the highest blitz rate of of any team So this will be an interesting showing up for brock clarity as the 49ers look to bounce back after their loss last week Yeah, it's fun to watch brian floras when he knows that his team has no no talent He's kind of back in like that like uh dolphin's mode when like he took over that like tanking team And like the vikings defense is pretty devoid of talent So he's kind of going like we're just gonna like mess with you and see what happens And I agree with you the total is very interesting here. I have the over here Um, I've got total 46.3. So with it sitting at 43 point now 43 right now I think there's value in that minus 112 on the over that that is a after accounting for the loss of Debo and I'm assuming Trent will ends will be out as well So even accounting for those two things I agree with you ryan where I think the over is very in play here it would be like If we had jefferson debo and Trent will ends in this game It's probably sniffing around 47 or so. I don't know that might be an exaggeration But like, um, I think we'd we'd see a much higher total here. So those losses We don't want to double count those which is kind of what you were saying, you know Where even with those guys being accounted for I think that there is doubt in the over so to me I'm also kind of going into looking at props ryan Under the assumption that we'll see a a bit more scoring than what the books are projecting right now with a total being at just 43 Yeah, I I think so and I and you know, I like I said, I still think that there's key pieces On both sides, especially on the 49ers side To to be able to push things and you're looking at the you know, where the public Is that right now? Public is loving over also loving the 49ers side though favorably 89 percent of the bets on the money line Right around just under 80 percent of bets on the san francisco spread, um, which even likes me Which even makes me love the minnesota spread Okay, let's dig into some props here for this game and talk about the 49ers side as you mentioned no rushing props up yet with the Question mark to roma calfery sounds like he'll be good to go But they haven't posted any props yet at fan dual sports books. Let's talk here about the past catchers Because taking diva sandal out of the equation does obviously have an impact on brandon iuk george kittle and all those guys So look at the past catching props rider other props on the 49ers any value you see right now or Are those losses already properly accounted for? Yeah, and that's a you know, I don't want to go back and make this uh, thing about you know tight end week Being you know a thing or tight end day extending on to monday night because the day is over but george kittle just finds himself in a favorable matchup You know once again tight ends have been you know smashing against Against the minnesota vikings defense and it makes sense right from a scheme perspective You know if they are going to be blintzing at this explosive rate You're trying to find that you know those security blankets Guys in the middle of the field and george kittle finds himself at that 47 and a half You know feels like a reasonable number honestly though I think it should be you know a little bit closer to to 50 and maybe 52 with uh debo being out You know people are going to look at iuk first and foremost and he's 71 and a half And I think that that's a reasonable number as well too considering explosive play rate For brandon iuk and just how he can get going against this offense But I do think that the offense today or tonight will start and stop with george kittle I love you know getting in on his reception props right now. It's three and a half at minus 156 That's a little bit too too It's not favorable enough for my liking. So let's go to those alt receptions If we go up to five there, it's uh plus 132 on the line Six receptions is plus 235 and the viking's defense has given up six receptions to tie it in for multiple weeks now. So Love love getting action on george kittle tonight And I think that that's our way to approach it too because he's a pretty volatile guy in terms of usage and he can have days where There's not a whole lot cooking Even that game where you had the three touchdowns he had three receptions or three or four receptions in that game So like if i'm going at kittle I want to go like you said and go towards the more upside markets and that would be like alternate receiving yards um Looking at touchdown props and looking at these you know at the alt reception numbers five plus receptions again Like you said plus 132 I want to take advantage and benefit from the volatility as opposed to being At the mercy of it. I think that this allows you to better do that So I agree with you where when looking at kittle I want to search in the alternate markets because I know that even with debo being out there are still a lot of paths to having mediocre games so if I can have that marriage outcomes I want to account for that. I think these numbers ryan do do that properly So I agree with you on the approach there with kittle looking at iyuk his uh receiving yardage receiving reception prop number is four and a half over his minus 158 So again, you know, it heavily juiced towards the over the yardage number 71 and a half I get why it's there. Uh, he's been an animal so far this year, but that is a lofty lofty number to be sure Let's talk about the viking side of things here a second game with no Justin jefferson the first one that they'll get to play indoors Last week they played in very heavy wind against the chicago bearer So might see a more normal version of this offense now with no jefferson So any value for you on the viking side of things here? Yeah, I think, uh, you know, we got we got to go back again I mean again, this is just so how how it happened But tj hawkinson is the best receiver uh for the minnesota vikings, you know right now with without Justin jefferson and we saw that last week, you know Even with the wind kurt cousins trying to find tj hawkinson as much as he can Against this bears the offense 49 and a half again. That's that's a reasonable number I think that this is one where I'd be tending To to take the over especially like if we if we get christian mccaffrey in this game And we kind of talk about, you know, maybe the 49ers they're controlling this game in in the first half, you know and and They the vikings need to you know throw in the second half to kind of get back into a love hawkinson there Love kj osborne as well 41 and a half is where he's coming in at and this has just been a guy who's He's been in this offense For for some time people will look at jordan adison the rookie and I you know Love that kirk is trying to get him going but I think kj osborne is just this guy who's kind of Been around here for for a while with minnesota and I feel like him and kirk cousins have like a good rapport and understanding Especially when it comes to like third down conversions and just needing to make a big play kj osborne seems to always be in the mix Even if you think that the the path Um for you know the the vikings to cover is for them to get out to an early lead I still like the passing options here the run game has just not been able to get going With alexander madison and cam makers coming to the squad and so It's hard to be able to trust the running back situation right now there alexander madison is the only One who we have props for uh at this current juncture. I don't know how you can put any harder and dollars on on cam makers At this point in time, but you know, uh, this this is one of those things like especially if we're expecting points in this game We got to be looking at avenues On on the way to get there. So tj harkinson and kj osborne of the two that stand out for me So here's my pitch for adison if I were to try to sell you on him His number 15 and a half and that's a big number for sure, especially for a guy who hasn't you know Played a feature role so far this year, but Addison adison gets a lot of downfield work looking overall this year counting the games where jefferson has played 24% deep target share for adison. He's actually been pretty effective on those downfield targets as well Overall target share for adison this year is 15% but again, you take jefferson out of the equation I think we'll see more downfield work for adison once again and The way you attack the 49ers is on the outsides You do not want to live in the middle and deal with the insane linebacker play they've got It's a black hole in the middle of feeling you when you face them So I think they're like from a matchup perspective It actually does line up pretty well for adison, which is why He's the first guy who caught my attention now Maybe I don't want to go with the traditional market of 50 and a half for receiving yards for adison, but Looking at the alt market here to get 60 plus yards is plus 130 70 plus yards plus 194 I think that that's kind of in play for this one because of the way he gets used downfield and the way that this matchup aligns So Maybe i'm thinking too much about like matchups here. Maybe i'm you know, underselling how good the Or how difficult that maybe the vikings like get outside given that like the pass rush will probably be in their face right away But like I think that's where I'm most tempted to go Just because I really want those downfield shots that we've seen adison gets even when jefferson's been healthy this year That's least my pitch for it if I were trying to sell it. I love it. I love it. Yeah, I mean he's he's definitely Um curt cousins has has relied on him. Uh, even even when jefferson was healthy He's been he's been given a healthy amount of targets. I believe four touchdowns in six games for jordan adison. So Yeah, we we love we love to see it speaking of touchdowns. Let's talk about those We both like the over in this game at 43 So could be some value in the touchdown score props as of right now christian mccaffrey is minus 175 to score Your guide george kiddo plus 155 teacher hawkinson plus 230 when look at the touchdown props ryan any value stand out to you there Yeah, I mean kiddo at plus 125, you know, i'm gonna have some action on uh, I do think it's interesting You know, they kind of have tj jordan and kj all, you know, kind of right by each other 230 260 and then 360 um I probably would go with george jordan adison from that front getting red zone targets Um, you know, at a plethora. So uh, jordan adison for me there is what's interesting on the uh, on the 49ers side Though joan jennings at plus 480 is a guy who i'm definitely going to be looking at here Without debo samuel being out there, you know, joan In the mix 14s for some time like joan when joan jennings has carved out a role on this roster Where he's kind of just always been there and he was Guys that brock perti was working with and had a good rapport with when he came into the mix last year Um, brock perti that is and so, you know, joan jennings. I'm really excited to kind of see him You know kind of play in this game and see what he has to offer A score without, you know, debo samuel being out there. I think that that's uh, that's interesting with the vikings kind of focused on Okay, don't let it'll beat us. Don't let uh, don't let it'll beat us. Don't let um brandon i beat us and joan jennings could fund himself on an island out there Yeah, juan jennings plus 480 as ryan mentioned Did see an increased role in that game that i you convinced earlier on this year only three targets in that game But did run a good number of routes. I think that's pretty enticing for Juan jennings if you want a longer shot, I think that i'd agree with ryan That's probably your best outlet would be via juan jennings plus 480. I'd also mentioned brandon pal plus 550 I'm not going to take that myself, but a guy who at least be out there as a longer shot Not recommending that but like If you're looking for guys with longer odds to at least be on the field Those are the guys who check that box But jennings to me the much much much much better option between those two guys at their respective odds Any final thoughts for you ryan on this game before we close up shop for today? Uh, just because of the way the week's been going for me. I won't be surprised if I get some action on kettle to score twice Okay, but 13 to 1 odds there. So, um, you know, let's let's have some let's have some fun Jim let's have some fun tonight with it with this game Kurt cousins, you know two two and eight. I believe uh in his last 10 monday night starts But we're taking the points. What what could go wrong? Um, it just need him to cover kurt just need you to cover and uh, we'll be all set National tight end day as morphed into national tight end week here Uh, hopefully get george kittle in the end zone twice for tonight That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread But do not worry because ryan is back with us once again tomorrow talks in futures We'll talk about the lay of the land maybe some ravens discussion on the show tomorrow as well Uh as I can rub the salt in my wound in my line's money line ticket from yesterday even a little bit more because why not Let's just do that uh potentially tomorrow as well We'll all be here every other day throughout this week So make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast if you like what you hear Leave us a five star rating ryan appreciate having you on good luck tonight. Uh, hopefully your good week continues We'll talk to you once again tomorrow Yeah, good luck to everybody else out there cover kirk cover kirk. We need you We'll see you next time jim some espresso for kurt cousins before the game tonight to wake him up a little bit I think that's what we need uh keep keep the dad mode away at least a little bit longer for sure You can find ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w i'm on twitter at jim sonnis and on threads at jim dot sonnis Enjoy monday football. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow. This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network