 The following is a presentation of TFNN, The Power Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. It doesn't matter where you're at as long as at this time. You're here. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. And what do we have today? Well we've got a more, a lot more of the end of the world discussions. I don't watch CNBC much if ever, I just happen to turn on the TV to catch the weather and caught Josh Brown pounding the desks saying the end is nigh. I don't know. I've been to New York in a while but there used to be a guy that would just stand out there on the center grass strip and yell and scream, the end is nigh. I wonder if he's still there. But no end yet. It's always like those people, like the people say that they're, who was it, what was the name of that gal? I'm trying to remember now, she was on, oh Miss Cleo. She didn't know that her company's going bankrupt and didn't know much, the IRS was coming to get her. Of course, she didn't pick up any Lotto tickets either, the one. Anyway, predicting the future is very hard and many people claim to do it. Good traders, they kind of react to what happens and what they're seeing. They have to live kind of in the moment. You know, a lot of times you can see things coming but generally if you can see them coming, they're actually, they're going to make you wait, they're going to make you sweat. They're not going to make it easy for you. It's not just going to, you see something that happens five minutes later. Generally it's, there's a lot of stuff that warms up to the point where it actually starts to boil over. Anyway, on today's movement today, it was very much reticent of yesterday's move and that is it came down, the volume all but stopped. There was some volume in the indexes but when you got down into a lot of the individual stocks, nothing happened. Now yesterday, I think we were doing a little over six billion shares. We were doing about 5.6 billion, so about 400 million less or 500 million less than we were doing at this time yesterday. So push that down and again, I'm not a big fan of deciding that the end of the world happens during expiration week because most of the time it doesn't. Most of the time it does, you get kind of a really good idea that things are bad before it starts and then on Friday of the expiration week, everybody's been bearish all week and then the market's been selling off and then you get these huge rips on the last day. And I think tomorrow is kind of that kind of idea, maybe not as bad as some of the other big sell-offs in the past. But just watch stocks. I think I said at 11 o'clock or 11.30 in the den that I was looking at my ticker and just wondering, is it frozen? Did the computer freeze up? Did something actually moving? I already launched this just in case something was going on, but there was nothing. You get the first volume, maybe in the first hour or something, and then it just goes dead in a doornail. And as a trader, if you're trading very short time frames, it's kind of boring because there's nothing going on. Those five-minute bars don't mean much if there's nobody trading. If you're a little more medium-term trader like me, then you start going, things that make you go, and that is lots of movement and no significant price or volume change together. And of course, it's always the same thing. You see a lot of lightning, but you don't hear the thunder. Things are off a little bit off or something. There's got to be the two things go together and just wasn't seeing it or feeling it. The option market makers got just slightly more bearish last night. I'll look and see what they've got going on now. But they've pretty much been around from last night. They're very sure that they can get it up to $4,500, maybe to $4,525. We'll look at the numbers tonight. The one thing that really disturbs me is that nobody is short other than the equities themselves. They're buying in the monies. They're not buying out of the monies, at least in the S&P 500. And that was the only thing that really troubled me going into this morning's out, that and having internet problems at the office. But other than that, everything looked kind of good. In fact, one of the stocks that I've been looking at for maybe 10 days, it looks like it's going to go right up in Park itself, where I thought it was on options a week ago. Those looked very, very good. Another one I had was problematic all the way up until about an hour ago. And now we're running to the end zone, and we're going to spike the ball, I think, on that over the next couple of days. It was one of the most heavily shorted stocks yesterday. And they pushed it down, couldn't get it more than a buck lower. Now it's, I don't know, $0.75 higher. I think it's all those folks shorting it the last couple of days, probably going to reward me well on some very inexpensive options. And of course, if you've been listening for a while, you know how much I love expiration week, because you can find, if you can find really good setups, you can really get that 300 or 400% return if you're buying them. And I don't know what these are right now, but I was adding all the way through the morning. I also had another really good, huge run in one of the stocks in the Tech Insider. So I'm going to do a little superior dance. In fact, I'm thinking about doing the rest of the show in interpretive dance. But we've got Tim Ward on in the next segment, so probably wouldn't be appropriate. Maybe tomorrow, an entire show of interpretive, interpretive, I can't even say it, interpretive dance for the markets. Hi. Anyway, that's about it. Options, expiration tomorrow, everybody has been talking about at the end of the world. Generally, as I said yesterday, when people start talking about that, even people that I really think a lot about, it's normally something that almost everybody starts bringing up at least a couple of days, if not three days before. I suspect that if we're going to have some kind of over-the-cliff Thelma and Louise moment, that it happens next Wednesday with the Fed. And that's kind of it. We'll be back with Tim Ward here in a minute. There's just not that much to talk about. But give us a call 877-927-6648. And you can talk to Tim. He's got three charts. We're going to go through those and hear calls. Be back in a minute. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market-profile-based scanner. 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Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, tfnn Educating Investors. And we're back with Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. Tim has been writing a newsletter for over 30 years. He's won many, many different awards for Timer of the Year in different disciplines. I want to thank Tim for coming back here today. How are you doing today? Good, thanks for having me on again. Thank you over some charts. Yeah, before we get to those, we do have somebody that wants to take a look at Planetier. The symbol on that is P-L-T-R. And while you look that up, Tim, I will welcome Rob from St. Pete. How are you doing today, Rob? Hey, David. Yeah, I just had the question on Planetier, what you were mentioning. And just, it looks to me like it's breaking out and just wondered what yours and or Tim's thoughts were on the stock P-L-T-R. Well, hopefully he's getting his charts up at the morning. At the moment on it. They had news today and have a fairly nice, decent volume pop that's going into the previous high, that previous high at 2750 had 42 million shares. That was on June 28th, so you're breaking through there today. This is a company that does a lot of double top secret stuff, so they don't have many big press releases, but they had one on information for cars. For probably chasing us around for every mile we drive. But Tim, have you been able to get that chart up and take a look? Actually, I went to stock charts and it won't come up. I've got it. P-L-T-R, yeah. Oh, P-P as in Paul. Paul, Larry, Tom, Robert. Yeah. Okay, what was that again? Paul? P-L-T-R. P is in Paul. P is in Paul. L is in Larry. T is in Tom. R is in Robert. Okay, P. Yeah, sorry about that. I thought that was a T and it wasn't coming up. Oh, okay. Actually, there's only a fairly new stock. Looks like a sideways consolidation is going on since 2000. It really started in January of 2000. And the market just kind of went sideways. And if we do a Fibonacci relationship here, let me do it real quick. Yeah, well, that's how you do it. But you did a 50% retracement. And actually, you did have a couple of big volume days one in August. And actually, you're doing one today. So, after you do the average daily volume, you got market pushing up on higher volume basically since the, well, the July low, actually it's late July, early August. So, and the market did do about a 50% retracement from the a little back in November or actually October. I don't know, it looks like to me, be my guess, we're probably going to go back to the February high, but around 45. At least take a shot at it. That's what it looks like. What happens there, we'll have to wait and see. But the market is, you know, the longer the base, normally the longer the rally phase, and the thing's been basing since last, you know, over a year, a year and a half. So, and finally, you get time to go with it. This was a fairly new IPO and they deal in a lot of top secret stuff. So, it's not like you get news that moves this thing around very much. This is one of the few contracts that they have that probably, if they told us about, they wouldn't have to kill us. So, it is all top, it's all top secret CIA and NSA and all that kind of stuff. So, there's not a whole lot. There's only a couple of companies that are kind of like this. But yeah, that 45 high has pretty high volume, 171 million shares out there. So, eventually, it's probably, that high volume high is probably going to get retested at 45 eventually. Earnings is back, I think, in the first week of November for the thing. So, you're probably not going to hear a lot more news until then on it. But then news so far is pretty good. Yeah, also, you know, if you look at the March flow, it looks like, to me, that's probably a potential head bottom because it failed to hold the previous flow to bust it through. So, you probably at the neckline, if you connect a trend line from the March high, and you draw it across to the forward, you know, the highs going forward, you're right at that neckline right now. And you got volume pushing against that neckline. So, it gets kind of rewarding here in the next several days. So, it's kind of an inverse head and shoulders, maybe. Yeah, the may low, I'd call the head. That's how I look at it. And you have the neckline right now. Okay. Very, very good. Okay. Okay, we're going to, thanks for the call. We're going to go back to Tim Ordscharts, which I have already got up here. You want to start off with number one here? Yeah, I just wanted to point this out. This is actually the bullish percent index for the gold miners index. And what the bullish percent index does, the major, the percent of stocks, they're in that index that are on point and figure bicycles. So, you know, when this ratio is at 100, another hundred percent of those stocks in that index are on bicycles. And when it is at zero, it's another 100% of the stocks are on cell signals. And right now, there's 4.37% stocks are on bicycles in the gold miners index. Now, there's about 95% of them on cell signals. But this is kind of a triggering indicator. And I did what I did was put an RSI, which is in the top window of the bullish percent index. When everybody basically heads to the door, the exit door, and the faster they go to the exit door, the more likely that you're looking probably in the intermediate term low. And so, the RSI kind of measures the velocity of the bullish percent index decline. And the faster that velocity is, the more likely that RSI will fall rapidly. And that's what you want to do. And it's kind of a form of a panic situation. And yesterday, this is updated to yesterday's close. And there's 4.37% or, yeah, the RSI, yes, they closed at 4.37%. And previous times is below 10%, which is basically all those blue horizontal lines are the times when the RSI was on this index is below 10. And it came at the March low. If you look at last March low, it nailed that low. And that's the last time. So it's been over, well, basically a year and a half since the RSI fell below 10% on the bullish percent index. So it's an indicator that at most you could have it triggered maybe once or twice a year, but it's been about a year and a half since it's got this low. So one thing is, there's probably a workout low here. Okay, we're going to be back in just a minute with Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. Are you having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. 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Using this first-of-its-kind program, the Art of Timing the Trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including Gartleys, ABCs, butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com. With Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. And we're looking at this chart. We have kind of a question that comes together here for Hector. And he wants to, he says, GDX for Tim Ord is the buy today. Or is it close? Are we in the neighborhood? Well, it's, I don't know, you're looking at this chart. There's a lot, you know, we blew down, but we're down for over 4% right now. And if you look at that chart on GDX, basically you're at an eight-year trend line major support around that 30 range. So, yeah, I don't know. I mean, it's been going up and down around the 30 range for the last month because we hit it back in mid-August with mid-September. So, and today the, you know, the RSI got down to 4%. It to me is pretty much for a war-shout, you know. So, you know, you got to buy when everybody else is selling. So here we are. So yeah. Yep. Yep. You got to buy when they're crying and sell when they're yelling. Yeah, that's right. Exactly right. And actually, if you ever look at this chart a little bit closer, go back to the RSI of that bullish percent index. Every time you get a surge of the RSI above 90, I didn't draw those lines in because the graph gets too sloppy. But back in the high we had, well, is it in May there, May, June high? The RSI for that bullish percent index got above 90, and previous times got above 90 was a short-term high. So, and now we're just the opposite. We got the RSI below 10, the same scenario, but this time on the buy side. So, I got that point that out. So, all right, do you want to move on or we got more questions on this? Well, we've got the GDX down here at the bottom. You've got major support put in here. I don't know. I think we covered it. Let's go ahead and take a look at chart number two. Okay, we've got that up now. All right, chart number two is actually the middle of charts one I want to talk about. And what it is, this is the summation index for the NASDAQ composite index. One thing I want to point out on this is big declines can occur when this index is below zero. Well, we got below zero back. You know, eyeballing here looks like a July timeframe. And if you notice, NASDAQ composite, which is a window above it, still managed to push higher. So, what this say is when the NASDAQ summation index falls below zero, large declines can occur, which is those red vertical lines I have listed there. So, like last March, it fell below zero and you had that last March decline. We had another big decline. It looks like probably September of 2020, you had a decline. We had one in probably June, July, or this would be, yeah, July of this year, kind of have a quick decline. And, you know, we've been below that since and nothing's really happened. Well, it happened, don't know, but what this says is that the leadership of the NASDAQ composite is real narrow. And when it gets narrow, you know, bad things can happen. Normally, you're in a bullish trend, you know, I don't know, over 50% of the stocks are carrying the rally. And here we don't have that. So, a very few stocks are carrying the rally, but those few stocks are doing extremely well. At some point, that could stop. And when that stopped, you could get big corrections. And that's what I'm pointing out here. Also, seasonality is not favorable right now this quarter. And that runs into, you know, possibly first of November. So, the next 30 days are better. Could be difficult for the markets. Well, they have large declines, maybe, maybe not. But this is not the best time to put money into the market, the best time to put money in the market. So, when everything's blowing up out there, and we really don't have that here. So, you know, am I expecting a big decline here? Not really. But I'm thinking more of a trading range is going to develop. And so, this is kind of a warning sign that this is not a good time to add money to the market right here. Unless the summation index gets down to, you know, below like 800 or something, that'd be a better time. Because the market's pretty oversold when it gets down there. But it was kind of time to be careful, because seasonality here and the Nasdaq summation index is below zero, which is not ideal. So, it's kind of, I guess, pull back the bullish horns for the moment. So, we can go on and actually look at another chart that, if he had to invest in, if we want to take a quick look at chart number three, okay, let's see. Here we go. We got chart number three. So, this is the summation index again, but this is the summation for the Nasdaq, or for the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE. And if you notice, you know, Nasdaq's way below zero, and the NYSE summation index is still above zero. Yesterday it closed at plus 43, which doesn't predict a large decline will occur here. So, of the two markets, I guess, Nasdaq is in a weaker position compared to the NYSE. So, can we still get a decline? Yeah, you know, it's kind of hovering around the zero, still above, but hovering around the zero. And I did, with blue lines, point out the times when the summation index did fall below zero. And it caught some big declines, you know, like last March of last year, it fell below zero and caught that one, caught the one back in 2018. There really wasn't one in 2019 at all. And will we get one this year? I don't know, but we'll also watch the CNN greed-fear gauge, and right now it's at 37. And normally big declines don't happen when everybody's already scared. 37 is pretty, people are kind of scared. So, I think we're just going to bang around in a trading range, and really not go down that much. We may go down some, but not a whole lot. Because the fear gauge, CNN's fear gauge is already at 37, and it's very seldom gets in the 20s. So, we're pretty, you know, everybody's kind of in a fear right now anyhow. So, I'm thinking it's a trading range going to develop between now and probably first of November, and then from there start marching higher again. So, I don't really see a top of any consequence here, even though we fell off about 2% already, which is not big, but... Well, we're going to the break, and we're going to the break. We'll be back in a minute with Tim of the org-oracle.com. That's pretty much it. We'll be back in a minute. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value, or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. 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His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for value tech stocks, as well as entry prices, target prices, and stops to set for each trade. Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every Friday, with updates throughout the week. You can get The Technology Insider at tfnn.com for only $37.50. Sign up for David's newsletter, The Technology Insider, and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer. Try it risk-free today with our 30-day money-back guarantee. TFNN, educating investors. Are China A shares hot or not? If you trade China A shares, now may be time to take a closer look. Trade C-H-A-U or C-H-A-D. Directions daily, CSI 300, China A share, bull and bear ETFs. China A shares in either direction. Visit directioninvestments.com today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing. 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If you scroll down, my eyeball has got into the teens and the highest it's ever got was late 2020. It looks like about 97. So if you get around 20s and 30s, a lot of times you're setting the lows previously in 2017, it consistently stayed below 20 for several months there. When you scroll down, I don't have you on TV here. I've got it here. So it kind of tells you where we are. So 38 low, if it's in the 20s, it's probably better. But it's pretty good. If you've got a rally going, this thing consistently stays low. It's usually a pretty good sign. If you get above, like you said, 90, things are getting kind of hairy, but it did get picked out to March low pretty good. And then wherever that high was, it was probably October of 2020. I don't know what happened there because it's not, I don't have a graph right next to it. But in general, it's kind of looking at, we're in a minor or lower range right now. And there's already fear here. So that's why I'm saying we're probably not going to get a huge decline from here. But if we're up around 80, then to me, September, October, it could be a pretty bad month. But if the market even goes down here a little bit, a couple of weeks ago, we were getting that near 60, a little bit below 60. And with a 2% drop in the market, which is not huge, then we're already below 40. So if we drop another 2%, we'll probably be below 20, be my guess. So that's what I'm saying. I don't think there's a 10 or 15 point or 10% or 15% decline in the market here just the way that's kind of set up. Because everybody's already kind of scared already. And everybody's talking about seasonality here too. So go ahead. I'm sorry. I was going to say the big talking heads on CNBC, from Kramer to me just turning on Josh Brown, hitting Josh Brown at lunch when I was looking for the weather. These guys are all talking about the end of the world. So generally, I want to fade those guys on the other side. But there is at least in the media, a lot of people talking that they either tend to be totally wrong or a bit early. So I just didn't know. Do you look at anything else for that kind of bull bear sentiment? No, actually, I try not to watch those guys because normally, I meant something else like the bear bulls, the bull bear studies and that kind of stuff. Or is this kind of now? Well, no, I watch this. I do watch the text. You know, yesterday we had a gob of down tick readings, which is kind of a sentiment indicator, but it's much more short term. Also watch a role in the National Association and individual investors thing. You notice that took a big dive yesterday. So that ratio, I don't have it right in front of me, but that ratio took a big dive also. So there's a lot of sentiment besides this one here, if you're a Greek age, the individual investors are pretty bearish too, probably because you listen to Kramer and those guys. So they kind of have influence on the market. So I don't think market is set up here for anything because of the different sentiment indicators right here of a big decline. So I do think a trading range could develop. So I'm thinking that's probably what's going to happen over the next month. Market might try to go up here, can't go up, would come down to these lows again, or maybe just a little bit lower. And that's all it does. So probably leadership, there's evidence that the rotation and the market's going to go on here too. So that's the reason why I think NASA, you know, the leadership there could change. And the NASA, if this A-mark is going to get hit, it would be the NASA just because the summation index way below zero. And that could, you know, rotation out of the high flyers into some other sector that may pick up steam. But part of the S&P's concern I think is pretty much going to hold steady in this vicinity, if not a little bit, you know, could go a little bit lower, but not a lot lower. So, you know, to get that year in rally, I think there's going to be a really big year in a rally that will hit new highs. And you need that fear in the market, you know, the wall of worry, you know, Joe Granville saying back in the 70s, 1970s. And if you don't have that wall of worry in the market, the market rally are really not worth that much. So you got to have that wall of worry to really get the market going to the upside. If everybody thinks the market is going to go up in their position for it, there's really no buyers will have to really drive the market higher. So the wall of worry thing is really important. I think the next several weeks, we'll create a bigger wall of worry, and then we'll get, you know, the November-December rally or mid-October to November-December rally. So that's how I'm kind of viewing the market. So nothing big here to the downside, but you know, sideways, it may be a little bit lower than, but not a whole lot much different. Good enough. Well, I want to thank you for being back on. It is Tim Ord, that's O-R-D, the Ord-Oracle.com. He's got a book on Amazon, and that's the secret of price and volume. And of course, his newsletter, which you can find at his website. Thanks again, Tim. All right, we've seen a couple of weeks. You bet. Okay, as we come back here and wrap up the rest of the show here, if you want any of the charts, just email me at path at tfnn.com. We'll be glad to send them to you, or if you want the link to that CNN page, we could do that too. Anyway, as I said, I kind of always like, I think the last couple of days, I always am kind of a contrary trader. Some people call me a little more than that. Try not to be too objectionable. I just didn't see anything coming in here today. You know, options still show that they're fairly bullish. We'll see you in the next couple of days, but I'm looking for $4,500 or higher for Fridays closed tomorrow. Everybody, you know, you'll try it again to push the market down. It's good to stick. So we'll be back and wrap up the show in the last second. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. 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And as we get ready to wrap up the end of the day here, tomorrow, of course, options expiration, I'm looking for at least a short bullish pop before we probably have some kind of sideways action going into the Fed next Wednesday at two. And see whether or not anybody is actually going to call him on actually tapering or if he's just going to talk about it until we all want a stoning. I think stoning is underrated, but just me. Anyway, continue to look at the rest of what's going on out here. In the end, it wasn't such a big deal, but it's even being down here. You can't get the UV XY really positive. It's down 32 cents now. And maybe it does nothing tomorrow, but my guess is that everybody probably going to try to short it at the close yet again today. So you're probably going to get some kind of gap up in the morning. The only thing that bothers me is nobody's really buying any big downside protection. Last couple of days, the out of the money puts in the S&Ps have been very low, like 20% compared to 80% calls. So that's the one thing. There haven't been that many of them though, but other than that, everybody is kind of a dour looking down. Everybody wants to sell, but doesn't seem like many people are pulling the trigger. We continue to see a lot of stocks that I saw earlier in the day that they were just trying to wash them out. That again makes me think that maybe we are going to have that rally that Tim spoke of kind of in October. We've got about another week or so and maybe eight, nine trading days before the end of the month. This is general body on the street starts moving out of the old stocks. It gets the new stocks. So when you can, not when you have to.