 The study aims to forecast the future burden of diabetes among U.S. adults using dynamic models and systems of different equations. The results show that annual diagnosed diabetes incidence will increase from 8 cases per 1000 in 2008 to 15 in 2050. Total diabetes prevalence is projected to increase from 14% in 2010 to 21% by 2050, assuming low incidence and high diabetes mortality. However, if recent increases in diabetes incidence continue and low diabetes mortality, prevalence will increase to 33% by 2050. A middle ground scenario projects a prevalence of 25% to 28% by 2050. The study suggests that widespread implementation of effective preventive interventions focused on high-risk subgroups can significantly reduce, but not eliminate, future increases in diabetes prevalence. This article was authored by Barker Lawrence E., Greg Edward W., Thompson Theodore J., and others. We are article.tv, links in the description below.