 Let's get over to our man, Mr. Tim Ord as we do every Tuesday and Thursday and don't forget folks You can reach Tim every trading day at odd or D hyphen oracle or CLE calm Let's old hyphen oracle calm Tim. What's going on brother? Well, it's kind of like a bunch of golly-goop here, but you know, it's not real bad Actually, we'll start with chart one which is a monthly chart. Yeah And now yeah, we showed this probably last time and it's just you got to remind you what what's going on here, but anytime The monthly SBX Closes above the upper Bollinger band by 50% of the trading range normally the next month Even not even though it could be a next couple three months as usually at least if the solace is not a down and That's what happened last February or this, you know month ago February We closed about halfway up. The market is still higher here But that's not over yet, but also you go with it The second window up from the bottom. Yes is the SXPX VIX ratio And or the SP's made a higher high that ratio made a lower high So you get minor divergences here. I'm bullish But but I think the market needs to create some energy here with getting the trend back up You know into panic levels to get build some energy to push the market forward. I think that's probably what's going to happen Yeah, it's amazing man. I mean even today every time this market goes red It's like, okay, give it a few more hours and all of a sudden this goes green Yeah, yeah, actually, you know, we got the market now that you know about 0.3% or about 0.3% you know, you got a trend right now At point 1.7. Oh My god. Yeah, so you're building energy here, you know, is this a takeoff? You know, I'm thinking we're this week's kind of still be kind of up and down and Maybe next week we get going. I don't know but it's I still think this month, you know Which we got well this week and next week So basically we got two more weeks before this month and so we can yeah week and a half And I think the market still get stalled here in this vicinity But I like to see you know, even a minor update. We got a train 1.67. So oh Listen with Tim's talking about here folks. Yeah, look at this I was gonna put this in front of you chocolate one second to him This is insane that it's not insane because we know that the amount of selling but this is saying there's a lot of selling Going on folks 1.67, but guess what someone's buying it. But that's that's very unusual, which is really cool Yeah, wow. Yeah. Yeah, so and actually the more days you get that the more bullish becomes that's reason why Yes, or two. Okay and that's that the second window up from the bottom is a 10-day trend and Back on March 11th, which is what about a week ago or a little over a week ago that the trend did I think the low was what point? Point nine one or point nine two. Yes, I get tonight point nine, but close enough I mean, this is not exact science But you know if you get in that range of what point nine usually get a stall on the market And so I drew with the red lines every time The trend 10-day trend got to point nine or lower. Okay, and all of them all of them that you came You're the ones I drew here all came at you know a consolidation phase that you the last of the week some lasted longer But the all came near near highs and so and if you look over since you know nine Or it's a March 11th, which is over a week ago the market really hasn't gone anywhere I know that point nine range. Yeah on the 10-day trend that does have some merit That's what I'm trying to point out. Yeah. No, I can see that. There's no doubt man Yeah, yeah, so can you get a big pullback sometimes you do sometimes you don't but usually the upper install So that's what's going on right now. And you know we get fed tomorrow at two o'clock. So Yeah, yeah, what the Federal Reserve has this statement a news conference at two o'clock tomorrow That's right. Yeah, maybe that's what the market's kind of waiting for yeah Well, you know, it's you know, it's interesting Tim was I was looking for looking at you know, I know that you know the the cues were Um Weaker than the s&p this morning But those cues have that high volume high out there. You know the day we gave it up going back What is that the 20 no the sixth? No, the eighth of March So it's like, you know what man that thing might want to get tested again, too You know because that was a big volume was 72 million up there We gave it up on price But it's like, you know what because we rejected lower price out here today and that's going to be on light volume So it's like, okay, man And we're gonna spike that baby tomorrow. So Yeah, so yeah, those high volume highs are always tested a matter of fact that kind of keeps it big You know, if you go up test it the first test may be on a lighter volume But that second test the rolls are off So They ever see a high volume high Say a hundred million chairs and you go up tested on 80 million chairs. You see backs off But that backs off kind of light and goes up against that previous high again Those rolls don't apply. They actually so the more times you test Buying climax high the The least resistance it has I'll put it that way. Yeah, no, I can see that man. It's good. This is gotta be Yeah, I'll get back to this chart chart number two. Yes I think and I'm hoping We can get a 10 day trend back up close to 1.2 area Okay somewhere in that vicinity before the market takes off and you know, I could happen over the next few days that Uh, I don't know. You know, if we get a couple of days like 1.64 Sure If you get two days in a row to add up to three, you gotta be long So which is great to know. Yeah. Yeah, so tomorrow. I don't know what what to be But anyhow, it's building there's no top here of any consequence Uh, but can the sideways move move a little bit longer possibly So let's go to chart three real quick. Okay Chart three is this is pretty useful too also Which is the second window down from the top is the xp spx tilt ratio So it measures the equity market or compares the equity market to the bond market. Yes, and so those So that's pretty much everything. You know, you got every market You got the volume market and those two and those two dance together pretty Uniquely, I guess you might say yes and and the top window is a 10-day rsi So it's a two-week rsi and a 14-day rsi And so when that gets up around 0.7 When I threw that right sent that over to you is 0.67 So it's not exact number, but if you get up around 0.7 Normally market kind of just stalls and all those blue lines there Across the chart or times when the rsi of this ratio got, you know Around 0.7 and higher. Okay, and we've kind of been hovering around that 0.7 over the last several days. Yes, we have me Uh, so that's kind of showing That we've got some resistance here, you know, ideally for a bullish movie We like to see the rsi drop down around 0.30. Okay, that's where the bonds come in at So Awesome. Just stay right there. Tim or tomo brown. We do appreciate the growl and problem with us out there We have the dollar that I was up to 63 nazics up 34 some bees are up 18 and a half tim and I coming right back folks Welcome back folks. Tim or tomo brown. We do appreciate you go rolling and problem with us out here We have the dial up by 276 nazics up 39 s and peas are up 20 We're talking about our man. Mr. Tim wood and tim i'm on the third shot right now All right Well, I'm hoping well This chart says the upside is kind of just the resistance here Because the market keeps rallying that rsi is going to stay up there around that 70 range. Okay, so the reason So i'm thinking that's just You know, there's not much upside here at least not right now if we can back off below 50 Then I think you can get a rally going but if it stays up around close to 70 You know, you could maybe touch a new high but chances are it's not going to go far Let's stand some kind of consolidation right and because you know when you do look at where we're at Now this is really intriguing too because you you were talking about this tim Even in february when you know, the the s and p did go um You know above the middle bowling japan Uh, you know, but when we look at this market, I mean, we've been in the exact same place now for two and a half weeks So yeah, yeah, we haven't moved. You know, and yeah, you're right. You know march is uh, are you going up in march? Yeah, we're up a little bit. I guess you can see by the monthly chart So, but you know, it's not running way today's volume is going to be You know, it's like you really like compared to yesterday Right and this is a week after option exploration week a lot of times you can see consolidation So it's kind of a much, you know, I wouldn't bet shorter wouldn't bet long right here because there's not evidence That suggests, you know in any direction really, you know, I trust me This is not a market to me It you just can't sell this market right now that that's and listen, I love going shot But this is not a market to shot man. That's just not this Yeah, it's just it's you know, it's just you know, I'm not really a big bet right here So I don't see anything so let's go to chart four okay And this is going to be kind of quick succession what's going to go on but these these signals I want to present Are the signals for the bigger trend? And so these signals happen maybe once a year You know, maybe once every three four years. So these signals are pretty rare. Okay, and when you do get them You kind of pay attention to them and anyhow The first one is the uh Weekly inflation deflation ratio rsi chart goes back to 2015 And the red circles on the chart show the times when the rsi fell below Rsi for this inflation deflation ratio on the weekly time frames falls below 30 So it's on a weekly not a daily So they're pretty rare for this to happen. They all come at basically major lows And the last and we got to just a signal here back in uh, I think about Early march or forgot exactly what it was but yeah, the last time we got a signal was that october of 2000 And we're talking the gold market now too by the way folks. Yep Yeah, so so anyhow that there's a signal here You know, uh, just been triggered. I look like about trickled about mid february cool off to the right there You can see that chart right now So anyhow, this thing's on a bifiddle. I really hadn't come off the lows yet So I flipped the chart number five. Okay, we're going to kind of go through quickly. This chart goes back to 2017 This is a totally type different indicator And it's a bullish percent index for the gold miners index slash Gdx Yep So it's another ratio That's usually a bullish percent index for a gold miners index and all the blue lines across this chart Or when the RSI for this ratio falls below 30 and turns up And we've got a signal on this one and back in february It's gone up some but you know, it's another major signal last time The signal occurred was basically october of last year august and october of last year I got it marked there But sometimes you don't get a signal for a year or two and all of a sudden you get Well, you get about one or two a year that you get one Maybe a year at two at most so we got one this year. We got Kind of one last year has come a double buy and before that there was another double buy in 2022 then One in 2021 and one in 2020 So it's a pretty rare signal To get it, but it's on a buy signal So let's go to chart six real quick. We're going to put we're going to summation all this At the end And so if you go to chart six This is a weekly XAU gold ratio. Yes, so it's a totally different Type of indicator. It has no relationship with the other two And all it is is a weekly rsi of this ratio Faring below 30 and turning up and this one also gives a signal You know something about once a year sometimes less Sometimes go three four years without a signal, but you know, we just got another one Um Probably late february early march. It's kind of early signal rsi fell below 30 is gone up And uh, these are multi month signals. They're not like yes You can have a console late for a week or two But normally you're you're higher on this signal six months from now or even a year from now So these signals are not short term at all. They're A lot of times multi month is sometimes multi year signals So what i'm saying is let's put down to you the bottom of the chart on the weekly XAU And I got a blue line crossing there. I see that. Yes. So So anyhow, so Hang on one second. Okay Yeah, okay, so anyhow, I got blue line crossing there So to get through that blue line, you know, the weisskopf method you have to have a sinus strength To to break above a resistance area with that blue line on the XAU is a resistance area So we're almost up to it Well, this signal on the XAU gold ratio is is is Fairly new. We probably had a minimum got a six month rally here Well, if the market rallies for six months at a minimum Chances are the XAU would be above that line. Yes. That's for sure. Yeah So what a good above that line you need to sign a strength All right, so what i'm saying in my newsletter I think the market is actually going to get stronger here in the coming month Because it's going to break that trend line on the XAU and to get through that trend line You have to see a sign of strength So i'm thinking you're going to see a sign of strength On the XAU and the gold stocks sometime Over the next several months So the market's not going to get weaker here is actually going to get stronger here Because of all these three signals. They're all coming in Approximately within a couple through weeks of each other, and you know, it gets interesting to type month signals Yeah, and what gets interesting folks is that the XAU is trading 116 Well that line that tim has the top of that line That is 171 So you break that with full us wide price spread accelerated volume 171 is coming at us man. Yeah That's pretty wide. It's him. Yeah Yeah, so something that's a big start to form here. So let's go to chart seven and see where we are right now. Okay Okay, chart seven as a short term indicator and kind of just measures the up and The flow of the market and basically the bottom one of the 18 day average up down volume And the next window up is the 18 day average of the advanced decline And that's all it is the pink areas Or when these two indicators are below minus 10 The blue areas are indicators when they're above minus 10 And so the minus 10 on both indicators as long as those two indicators Above minus 10 the uptrend short term uptrend is intact. I say that's what all that means So even though we've got a little consolidation going on here both those indicators are well above minus 10 So well listen, man, we appreciate the education. You have a great one safe one We'll get the fed meeting tomorrow and then we get you right back here thursday tim All right, we'll talk to you then. Okay, man. Have a great one. Have a safe one stay right there folks come right back