 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network The Baltimore Ravens now four to one it's to win in the Super Bowl this year after their dismantling of the San Francisco 49ers on a Monday night football We're gonna break down whether or not there is still value in the Ravens at that number by talking to Ryan Williams for today getting His read on the Ravens talking to the P market without things moved in a significant fashion last night and talk other futures He likes entering week 17, then I'll dig into week 17 and outline where my models show value at Fandall sports book This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research Joined here as I am every Tuesday by Ryan Williams check them out on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W Ryan Happy happy holidays to you. How was your Christmas this past week? Oh Happy holidays to you as well Jim. It was it was great, you know, got to celebrate Birthday with the little guy that's three days before Christmas. So what can go wrong? No, it was a fun time lots of travel But it was good. It was said, you know, a nice little little holiday reprieve and now we get back to it. So Yeah, that's what's on tap for us this week How about yourself not too bad a little bit of a bummer with the way the game went last night to not get a More back-and-forth kind of affair would have been a nice top run all things But hey, you know, you get to Put the game on a second screen put on Rudolph or whatever it is on the on the main TV That's not the worst trade-off in the world by any means either So it all wound up being pretty good on this end as well we're gonna dig into implications of that game because things moved in a pretty significant fashion based on what we saw last night Especially in the MVP market, which we'll dive into here in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast just three shows coming up Forward this week on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday We'll still have primetime Tom to get you ready for the Thursday night game as well So technically four shows but either way you find those right here in the covering the spread podcast feed and find the regular Shows on the faddle YouTube page and faddle TV plus tomorrow Dr. Ed fangolby with us we'll be talking about the college football playoff semifinals and then our full NFL week 17 preview We'll be coming up on Thursday and again. I'll talk week 17 and where my models show value Later on today Let's begin things though Ryan by talking about the Super Bowl market because right now the Ravens are four to one to win at Fandals sportsbook second only the San Francisco 49ers who are plus 240 and The rapes assured significantly so I do want to ask Whether or not you still see value in that number or is there potentially value elsewhere given the 49ers did look a bit vulnerable in that game last night Yeah, I mean four to one for the Ravens seems seems feasible at this point You know you you take care of business against the San Frantino who's the upper echelon of the NFC You know the way the defense is playing is just absolutely incredible And I know not all these Interceptions that Brock Hardy had were necessarily his fault with a lot of drop passes to passes what have you but they're just so Opportunistic and you just you know the way that they're playing right now is just Absolutely otherworldly so you know on the offensive side of the ball like Lamar just doesn't even they don't have to do You know as much because the defense is setting them up in such prime field position So you know when you're looking at you know potentially them hosting everybody You know in Baltimore when it comes down to it You know we'll have a we'll have a key matchup in week 17 against the Miami Dolphins Like I want to see them take care of business against Miami their favorite You know it's always with Baltimore It's always a crapshoot because I feel like they show up in the games that they aren't favored When they're underdogs and then when they are favored they end up, you know putting putting that lame duck So they handle business against Miami. I think that'll be you know We'll even get shorter odds on on Baltimore if they were to lose to Miami, you know I think that kind of opens things up You know for you to potentially get the Ravens closer to where the Miami Dolphins number is potentially But yeah, I mean in the AFC you love Baltimore like absolutely I still have a little bit of faith in my in Miami just because of how explosive this offense has been and I know they've Been reeling as of late, but you know, I think they have a chance to You know get back into the mix with a win against Baltimore this week And then if they can handle business against the bills in week 18, which is not it's been a tough feat for them In the Josh Schellen era, but you know, definitely love Baltimore. I don't really, you know outside of those teams like Kansas City's tough to try and trust it. Let's say 50 right now. I mean, they just do not they look like they're just reeling and they Are in a tough spot, you know, I think they'll it'll be interesting to see Pat My home's go on the road in Kansas City And I think we can definitely get some some value on the chiefs You know as they get on the path through the Super Bowl if you do have faith in them I would more more so lean on that. I still think in the NFC though, you know, we're not giving Philly enough credit I know they were on a three game skid But you know eight to one compared to plus 240 there for San Francisco 49ers like I Still kind of believe in in Philly as well, too So, you know, they they've had a tough tough run here and you know, they all the Giants always play them Competitively so I'm not gonna put any merit on that but you know if we're getting eight to one compared to plus 240 for Sam Fran I'm gonna jump on that number right now. Yeah, I was honestly a bit disappointed. We didn't get the Niners a bit longer. I thought that you know tough night last night They didn't play very well on all the like you said It was a lot of flukiness in the way things broke down like that first drive they move the ball with ease You know long completions to Kittle and stuff like that and I thought they look pretty good there And then all the picks kind of add up things spiral Trent Williams gets hurt Brock Purdy gets hurt And I'm willing to write that off for the most part their defense was still very banged up in that game So I thought I might get a better number than plus 240 We're not and I don't think it would get a lot better as the year goes along because they get the commanders this week We're there 13 and a half point favorites and then week 18 another soft match up there as well So I was hoping we might get a better number than plus 240 on them Because I think they're the team that I'm most interested in buying still, but I haven't gotten that great number yet So keeping tabs on them that maybe because I've got a Ravens plus nine fifty one So I'm like kind of okay just letting that one ride for the Ravens I think four-to-ones fair and not the point where I'm like leaping to grab it but I think that Honestly right now the market's pretty good and honestly like outside of those two I don't see a whole lot that I like I do still find the bills pretty interesting at 11 to one It's not a long long number. We'll talk with those in a second, but It did I think that if you were to like force me to take one right now, which you can't I would probably lean towards the bills But honestly, it's a pretty efficient market where things stand We'll talk about the bills here in a second as well But first let's talk about the MVP market because prior to last night Brock Purdy was minus 200 to be the MVP It's now Lamar Jackson minus 170 Christian McCaffrey plus 450 And then it drops all the way down to to a tongue of Iloha at 10 to 1 Purdy is now 13 to 1 to win the award after That's showing last night. I want to ask you Ryan because I feel like to me The the case for Lamar Jackson if you watch him from like an actual like football watching perspective like yeah He could be MVP for sure But if I'm making that case I can make the same case for Dak Prescott like there He's not gonna fit the traditional mold of MVP It's not gonna get the one seed and stuff like that but like It's weird the disc because Jackson's counting stats are like really underwhelming for an MVP But it seems like the narrative is kind of built around him So I want to go somewhere else at MVP given he's minus 170, but I don't know where to go So help me Ryan. Where can we find value in the MVP market right now? Yeah, I mean I you know I think Lamar did enough last night to you know warrant warrant this I Understand where you're coming from Jim. I think what it comes down to is, you know When you look at the Ravens outlook over the past couple years, it's been you know Lamar being banged up We've talked about that a lot like he's had potential for comeback player of the year the way he's carried this offense You get JK Dobbins going down a couple of the running backs in the mix going down And he's still able to make it work with Mark Andrews again Not being there and you're like looking at it and yours this team is at the top of the AFC Like compared all of these juggernauts like how does this guy not deserve MVP based off of that because we know How hard it is to win in this league for for these guys and he just keeps on doing it with the you know With a rookie Rod receiver who's leading the way, you know and with his legs Yet again, so it does seem fair. I do think it is interesting When you look at a guy like to a right who had kind of been like the talk of the town for you know A couple weeks earlier on in the season. It was because they weren't playing against anybody That's why they were winning yada yada yada, but you know, he has a chance to go into Baltimore I believe that games in Baltimore In week 17 he wins that game then you're looking at you know potentially playing against the bills So they have not you know had success against In the Josh Allen era at you know 10 to 1 like to a seems pretty feasible as well because the Dolphins have been such an explosive offense You know is the same type of thing with Lamar, you know this this market And it's crazy Jim because we talked about this for every week now for 17 weeks, you know And it's just you know the way that it's kind of fluctuated and oh it seems like this It's like no like you got to still be trying to get in on these numbers because it can change just on the dime Like the Brockporty performance Who's losing MVP market, but but yeah, I think Lamar should be favored I do think they're in into a I Said a couple weeks ago. I didn't think there was any way that Josh Allen could do enough to get back into the mix I mean, maybe he could yeah, you know I thought the best chance for them is to win the division and that's still a potential So, you know, I guess we still got a look at Josh Allen there That press got you know, the Cowboys have just they've just been up and down I feel like even room Lee be able to take a shot, you know on the guy there And then everybody else is kind of the mix, you know Christian McCaffrey would have been interesting had he you know Had a multi-score game Lead them back to victory. It's because of McCaffrey like that that really could have been a merit For running back winning this award for the first time in years, but yeah I think the the way of the market stands right now You got a look at these AFC quarterbacks to be able to take home hardware. I Agree, I think the value McCaffrey dried up Last week during the week because he was 16 to 1 when we talked on Tuesday last week I took it there personally and he's down to plus 450. He kind of shortened throughout the week I think he was around 11 to 1 or so by the time games kicked off for this week So definitely got interest last week in McCaffrey, but I think it plus 450. That's pretty much gone. So I agree with you Or if you're looking at Dabbling right now, I would skew towards those AFC quarterbacks who you highlighted and you mentioned the Buffalo Bills Let's talk about them because right now they are plus 290 to win the AFC East the Dolphins are minus 350 And basically what you need here is you need the Dolphins to lose both to the Ravens this week And then to the Bills next week You can also do the Bills to beat the Patriots, but they are heavy heavy favorites in that game not surprisingly. So When you look at this market, you're effectively doing a three scenario Three scenario parlay Bills win out Dolphins lose out So any interest in you Ryan there and the Bills are plus 290 or do you have enough faith in the Dolphins against the Ravens? And against the Bills the following week to stay away from that one Yeah, I mean I think How many times have we talked about this team Jim? It's just so hilarious that we're in this position Yeah, somebody who has a future, you know, Bills make the playoffs ticket When things were looking at because they were possibly looking for for the Bills earlier this year, you know, they've done They've done everything to you know make make a name for themselves. So to speak Here in this market and this is not out of the foregone conclusion That they win the division, which is why you see the odds at where they are I mean, I do think that the value personally has dried up on the Bills And I would be looking for longer shot futures For the Bills here like, you know, they're five five to one to be the a of c champion winner Um, I think there's you know, definitely some merit to be able to take them there Especially if things work out to where they win the division and you know can get in the mix there Um, I think, you know, even if you're looking at Super Bowl like to take them at I believe 11 to 1 Yeah, 11 to 1 to win the Super Bowl Um As well, that's where the value still stands. I mean the a of c east picture like Can miami go into baltimore and be baltimore? Sure I think, you know, the bills definitely have the the dolphin's number. So I will be taking the bills in week 18 Um, most definitely So I yeah, I mean, I think that the as far as it goes like, yeah, they should it maybe it should be shorter You know for the bills to potentially um, when the when the division there, um, if you want to dabble on that I think I think that's fine, but I still think there's better opportunities To get in on the bills because if they do win the east these numbers, you know It's marketed in the Super Bowl market are going to shorten immensely so um that that's kind of where I come in on the bills I mean, you know, especially week 18 like josh allen. I believe he's nine and two against the dolphins In his career, you know, he's got I'm not even going to throw out the touchdowns I think 33 touchdowns and five rexing touch something crazy like he's absolutely Dominated those performances. So yeah, all you need is the ravens to handle business Um, and then you're sitting pretty I feel like with that with that vet And I think one thing that kind of got overlooked in this one is that it the news broke last night The jillian waddle is a high ankle sprain and we've seen quarterbacks play on those Like trevor lorence and patrick mahomes But like it's a lot tougher for a receiver to do so than a quarterback and obviously it's so tiring kill But he's also not a hundred percent right now the offensive line getting healthier Which is a good thing for the dolphins for sure. Maybe they can lean on that ground game to You know try to beat the the ravens, but that does hurt their their odds of being the ravens And it does hurt them against the bills because that's probably going to be a multi-week thing For jillian waddle if it is indeed a high ankle as was reported. So I think there is some value in the bills of plus 290, but I also agree with you where maybe you want to Lean less on those circumstances and take a look at them in upside markets because like they are an upside kind of team So I don't think that's a terrible way to look at things here when it comes to the buffalo bills One team ryan We are not discussing as far as whether they'll make the playoffs because they've solidified themselves there Is the cleaf and browns joe flacco slinging it right now And it's led the browns to be pretty safe as far as a wild card And it's also making me question when you combine a and offenses looked okay with that defense Are you considering the browns in more upside markets like to win the asc to win the super or anything like that? Or is that a bit too optimistic? Given that it is still joe flacco and we've seen a lot of Back of quarterbacks of a good company expand before they come back to earth later on. Yeah Yeah, jim. I mean, you know, I I don't want to sit here and let the covering the spread community call me a fraud Because I have not been on the browns all year for me to be able to flip flop like that all of a sudden Would would not be would not be truthful To to to the brand, but yeah, they they've been incredible I mean, there's there's no no doubt about it. You hit it right on the head Like, you know, you have an you have an opportunistic defense, you know One of the best defenses that's been in this league for a majority if not the course of the season This defense has absolutely been carrying the team and then you get it you get in the situation to where it's not your second string It's not your third string. It's actually your quarterback Oh to come in here who's the championship or I think Joe Flacco, you don't know what he he needs to do to win he's kind of Not to move from from being out of the league here Um, and you know, it's it's believable. I think I think Cleveland does believe that they belong in any conversation you know with with some The way the defense has been playing and you know, if they're able to you know come in To the playoffs and and make some noise. I even think, you know, when in a playoff game Um for them would be huge for the city for you huge for this team Just considering on what the never been with this team, you know, you lose Nick Chubb You have just Sean Watson high-spade quarterback who you know, it doesn't seem to be working out But you get this guy who who by the way played within your division for years You know, Joe Flacco was at the very beginning business to the Cleveland Browns Um, and it's caused them a lot of pain over the years So for him to be the one, you know potentially leading them to the promised land is just so ironic Uh, but yeah, you know, I mean, this is this is what the market's about though, Jim You know if if people have a good read on Cleveland here, you take a shot on them I mean 20 to 1, you know to to be the AOC championship I think it you know when you're when we're talking about some of these other You know scenarios like how wide open is I think the NFC still like we got 49ers. We got eagles I I firmly believe that those are the two best teams like I try to give Dallas some love in in Detroit there But I just think those are the two best teams where we're looking at the other side of the AFC like yeah The Ravens have been the best team and I think they're But all of these teams here like Jacksonville who I'm never going to give a love to be they just annoy the heck out of me You know, you got what is that five? Like five teams in the mix where it's like Man, yeah, like we could see this like pretty much going any way with how the season's played out And that's what really makes it exciting I'm so excited for the AOC playoffs this year because you know, it's not just the chiefs and you know, everybody else It's all of these teams being in the mix and just having a chance and Cleveland Could find themselves in that same, you know scenario where they just have a chance and Can go in and make some noise. So uh, so yeah I I'll support anybody who takes them. It just it just won't be me with how I've read this team all year I don't blame you and I do think that flakko were aggressive So I'm not expecting the offense to keep doing what it has been doing because it's again It's Joe flakko. He was pretty inefficient when he played at the Jets last year as well It is a flakko revenge game against those Jets this week. So that's that's a positive But I do expect regression there. I think that defense though will keep them in games at least That's worth something. So 21 20 afc interesting not something I'm taking now But it's interesting just given how good that defense is but I agree with you Ryan where I expect the offense to come back there at the bit in the Maybe not the near maybe not like this week because I mean, I know it's the Jets defense But like, you know, I think long term maybe we can find some value in betting against the Browns because the flakko hype training is definitely Chugging along right now any other futures you're looking to grab before we get to week 17 Ryan Yeah, not not currently at this time just with the where the market's still coming in at and shaping up But I am curious to see where the offensive player Of the year market, you know comes in at I think some of the other ones, you know I've definitely been chured up for for quite some time But yeah, I think there there are going to be some interesting things that Rear Ted before week 17 And I and I can't wait to get after them. But yeah for me right now It does come on bill's futures in the conference and and Super Bowl market as it stands right now because I think those odds will be longer Or I'm sorry will be shorter when we get closer To playoff and wild card season Yeah, it's going to be a fun one for sure. And like you said ASC playoffs are going to be a delight this year That is Ryan Williams checking out on twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore w ryan appreciate the time as always Enjoy the rest of your week. We'll talk to you once again next Tuesday to talk about futures entering week 18 already I know so crazy. Yeah, happy holidays to you and your gym and all the cover in the spread fam and we'll catch you next time Alrighty, thank you as always. That is Ryan Williams. Find him on twitter again at ryan Alexander underscore w I'm going to take a look at week number 17 in the outline where I see value across the spreads and totals this week at fan dual sports book In just one second, but first score early this nfl season with fan dual america's number one sports book right now new customers Get $150 and bonus bets with any winning $5 money line bet. 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Let's talk about why we're here first before outlining thoughts on the spread and the money line A bit of it is taylor heinecky They've played pretty well with him at quarterback so far this year Heinecky across his various stints at quarterback is at point one five passing that expected points per drop back League average is point zero seven desert or is it negative point one now? Does that mean heinecky is an upgrade from redder and we should expect him to play at that clip? No, heinecky has a very large sample as a quarterback and it's never been hyper efficient. So Not projecting to do what he's done thus far But I also think we can say it's probably not a huge down way to go From Reader to heinecky and in fact last week throughout the week we saw The market moved towards the falcons in that matchup with the colts where the colts were initially a believe Like minus one 10 in the money line. They closed around minus or plus 130 or so In that matchup. So the market had faith in heinecky a bit there whatever else may have been and The numbers do kind of back that up So again, I don't think it's a huge upgrade from redder, but I also don't view it as being a massive down rate for them They're facing a bear's defense that has been much much better since they added montez sweats at the trade deadline But the bears have also benefited from a lot of good matchups against pretty poor quarterback playing that time Now the falcons are on the under that umbrella too. So it's not a deviation from what the bears have faced But I think the overall takeaway is we shouldn't over adjust for what the bear's defense has done Over the past couple of weeks My model tends to hate it lana like I've bet against them a lot this year including this past week, which should not go very well So when my model shows value in them, I'm pretty willing to trust it given that they typically is not a huge fan of them So that's why in general I am on the falcons in this game As for the money line the applied odds are plus 136 or 42.4 percent. So And I've got this is basically a toss up right now if you wanted to go just money line no spread I'm not going to push back on that at all The reason I'm inclined to do a little bit of both is because it is we're getting three points in a game with a low total And there is pretty heavy wind projected in chicago right now 12 mile per hour winds I've got the total here at 36.9. So a bit below 37 Which to me says if you can get points in a low total game where you agree with the low total Probably should take that So that's why I'm inclined to take the points and layer this thing where I Profit if the falcons cover and then get a bit more upside should they win the game outright That's my approach to this falcons bearish game taking the falcons plus three and minus one 15 Layered with their money line of plus 136. Again, if you want to take just the money line by itself or just the points That's totally fair. That's why I'm going The direction I am given the total in this game Second money line or spread for me is going to be in the sunday night football game Between the packers and the vikings right now the packer's money line is plus 110 taken on the vikings And I want to go that direction in large part because of how banged up the vikings are right and right now Not only do they not have t.g. Hawkinson or not of curt cousins But they're also going to be without t.g. Hawkinson in this game Jordan Addison likely out as well And that's a lot of losses and the vikings to their credit Kevin O'Connell's credit applied very well through all their injuries this year But at some point When you have cluster injuries to the passing offense the most important aspect of the nfl and trying to project How things will go going forward That's going to catch up to you at some point. So I'm expecting some downtakes here for the vikings offense. Nick Mullins is chaotic in not the good way And you would take away some weapons for him. I don't think that's going to go super super well As the packers they should be healthier this week than they were and they're they're Pretty tough near loss to the the panthers neither jade and reed nor christian watson was officially ruled out Before that game which implies to me there's a chance. They're able to get back out there for this week and Luke Musgrave could too got back to practice this past week on thursday Didn't play on sunday, but maybe next week for him And if we get watson reed and musgrave from this game this packers offense Could be pretty good against a very good vikings defense now the packers defense. It's an abomination. It's terrible It's hideous and it's the biggest concern for me in taking them to win this game But with the vikings offense being as banged up as it is It's hard to tell if they'll be able to take advantage of those of that poor defense I've got the packers again in slight favorites in this game. So you give me plus 110 the money line It's a pretty attractive offer So I will take the packers to win this game outright plus 110 on sunday football Given i'm expecting the vikings passing offense to regress given all their injuries respect the defense a lot But I think in the spot we do want to go towards the packers plus 110 on the money line As far as totals for this week, there are a couple where i'm showing value One of them is for the bill's patriots game And I think you could go with the spread in this one for the bills right now The bills are minus 11 and a half at vandal sports book at minus 112. You could consider that i'm very open to that personally But I also think the better bet here is the total because 11 and a half is between a couple of key numbers So it's kind of in a weird zone And i've got value in the total part of the reason I show value in the totals because I show value in the bill's spread I've got this at 44.3, which is a good chunk above 40 and a half So I think the better route for buying in the bills here and fading the patriot's defense is to take the over for the gate At 44 at 40 and a half at minus 110 Weather in buffalo looks pretty good Relative to most december games temperature above freezing just nine mile per hour winds That's not too bad and that should allow these offenses operate at pretty full capacity Neither defense has been one to write home about so far this year. They've been fine, you know But not out outlandish and the bills have shown they can generate explosive plays whether they decide to lean on the run or on the pass Pace in this game is middling. So it's nothing to drag things down too much when you combine everything together I don't see a lot of red flags toward my betting the over in this game We get a win on a key number of 41 The bills could get to 41 by themselves honestly at some point so My preferred route to exposure to the bills in the spot is to take the game over 40 and a half, which is minus 110 at vandal sportsbook I think that's a very fair number again You could go with the spread at minus one or minus 11 and a half and minus 112 But I think for me the game total over 40 and a half is the preferred route to betting The bills offense for right now Final bet for me for week number 17 is going to be in the saturday night game It's a banger between the detroit lions and the dallas cowboys Total right now at vandal sportsbook 53 and a half. It was 52 and a half yesterday And I think that movement has gone a bit too far So I do want to take the under for cowboys lions at minus 110 I say that while acknowledging that I understand why this total is where it is my model actually does have it above 50 which is kind of nuts given that the spread here Is not all that large Just again 53 and a half a bit too high. I've got this at 50.2 right now Which is about as high as you can get For a projected non blowout It is two good offenses and both defenses have their flaws. So again, I get it But there is least a chance that the lions get cj gardener johnson back this week. He Was limited in practice all throughout last week. So it could get activated off ir for this week I could also see the lions being pretty run heavy in this game given how much the cowboys have struggled There in recent weeks now, I think uh, jonathan hankins might be back this week I think he is a detroit native. So he has some motivation to get back for this game So maybe the rush defense for the cowboys does get better But I do think the lions can run the ball on a lot of people right now So I've got a couple of passes under here, you know, where maybe cj gardener johnson makes the lions defense a little bit better Maybe they go run heavy and keep that clock draining It's not going to be a fun sweat I can guarantee you that given that we're rooting against two very fun offenses on saturday night and island games stuff like that But I do think that a skew toward the under here is proper Given 53 and a half is a big number and that You know, I do think that we'll see the lions give it all they got both defensively and with that ground game So I'm very okay taking the under here despite the fact I understand why the total is as high as it is So the four bets for me for this week, uh, the lions cowboys under 53 and a half minus 110 I like the bills and paths over 50 and a half at minus 110 I'll take the packers money line plus 110 at fan dual sportsbook and then a bet on the falcons Bit on the spread at plus uh, plus three at minus 115 And then some of the money line as well plus 136 as they take on the bears on sunday at soldier field in chicago So we'll see if we can round out uh week 17 on a high note here on sunday Before we close that shop for today Do you got a recap recommendations from last week here on the show? I had a bit abbreviated for this week because we didn't have a friday show at jjzakarison We had no college football last week and no monday to football preview with ryan williams So basically had just my stuff uh from last tuesday here on the show and two and two week for me And the two losses were emphatic losses, but hey a loss is a loss regardless of how bad it is So it doesn't matter too much there. I did have the 49ers minus five and a half against the ravens of minus 115 That did not go well at all digging movement in my favor as I think that closed either six or six and a half so The market was on board, but doesn't matter does not matter at all as they lost that game pretty easily So congrats the ravens on a very impressive showing in that one and we'll see if the 49ers can get the balls to bounce their way In the future other loss was another pretty big one jets commanders under 37 and a half I had a minus 105 and those two teams Got a shootout touchdown trevor simian leading the jets uh to put enough points obviously not based on him But some good special teams good defense getting that total over so hey again Loss is a little bit lost regardless how bad it is and we'll take that for sure the two wins I had the bucks money line at minus 108. I spent the entire week fretting about whether or not trevor laurence would clear concussion protocol. He did and that uh As a result the bucks money line went from I think they were minus 136 or so one points down to plus 110 I believe is where they closed on sunday So bad movement against me and then laurence came out and did not play very well It all got hurt again in that game. So Spent all week thinking that would be the loss and instead I wound up being a win uh with the bucks at minus 108 other one similar thing where The colts falcons total went up to 45 and a half when michael pittman clear concussion protocol I was the under 44 and a half went up to 45 and a half as pittman cleared concussion protocol But then pittman ruled out on saturday as he had some symptoms during the flight Which is a massive bummer that you'd ever want to see a player like that Go through those kinds of things total went back down to 44 and a half But it looked pretty high scoring early on both teams had touchdowns I believe in the first quarter so that got me worried as well Why don't I finish it with those 39 total points though as the colts offense could not get things going so under hit at minus 115 under 44 and a half there so Two bets moved to my favor lost both those two best move to gets me one both those Exactly how you'd expect things to play out. We'll see what we can do here for week 17 and hopefully a better The market movement a better indicator this week. Hopefully then it was last week That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread But two more awesome shows coming up later on this week as mentioned on wednesday Dr. Ed fang will be with us to take a look at the college football playoffs semifinals and breakdown What his numbers have to say about those and also ed is with us on thursday to get you set in full for Week 17 to get those shows as they go live Make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast You can also find us on the fendall youtube page and fendall tv plus big Thank you as always to ryan williams check him out on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w Be back with us once again next tuesday. I am on twitter at jim saunas You can find me on threats at jim dot saunas. You can find fendall research on twitter at fendall research I want to thank you all for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your bets across the next couple of days We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to get you set for the college football playoffs semifinals This has been covering the spread right here on the fendall podcast network