 What's going on everybody, it's Stas here. Welcome back to another video. So in today's video, we're going to be talking about and breaking down the top couple of stocks and ETFs that I'm personally watching and looking to trade here heading into the third week of September in 2019. I also want to go over the stock market futures with you guys and talk about my opinion on where the market could be headed here over these next couple of days. We'll break down some scenarios and talk about some key things to keep an eye out for this week. So if you enjoy this video, if you find value in this video, feel free to go down below and hit that like button. Consider subscribing if you want to see further content involving the stock market, trading, investing. This is the channel for you and let's get right into it guys. So right now, the ES slash ES, the E-mini S&P 500 index futures, they are down 0.36% down $11 nearly. And for those of you guys that don't know, Sunday at 6pm Eastern Standard Time, the futures markets open. So you can see where the S&P trading, the Dow, the NASDAQ crude oil, which saw a big pop today. We'll talk about that in a couple of minutes here. You know, gold, silver, natural gas and a bunch of other ones. So you can start to do your analysis at night on Sunday to start preparing for the next week. That's what I personally do and that's what has helped me in the stock market, especially with understanding how everything moves and so forth. So the Dow Jones future, if we take a look at it very quickly, is currently down 80 points down 0.29%. The NASDAQ futures right now are down 0.55% and the most out of the three down 43 points. So this is simply a pullback in my opinion in terms of these major markets, right? If you notice on all of the charts here on the 184 hour time frame, you guys can see the ES and the NASDAQ, I'll double check for the Dow very quickly, but you can see the ES and the NASDAQ for sure they're holding that 50 S&P support on this little gap down. So that leaves me to believe as of right now, you know, this is a point in time where we're just simply pulling back, we're simply cooling off and we're maintaining a higher low on the ES and the NASDAQ, right? You guys can see it as well. And let me just double check on the Dow Jones. You guys can see again, okay? Dow Jones as well, we're pulling back down and it seems like at this point in time, we are holding that 50 S&P and notice how all the R size, they're coming back down to a healthier spot. So this is a good sign, healthy pullbacks are great if we're looking at indexes, you know, futures, stocks, ETFs, whatever it may be, anything that's going up aggressively, we would like to see eventually a nice healthy pullback so we can maybe hop into some market ETFs, some stocks that dip down as the index is pulled down, et cetera, right? So if we're looking at a couple of other key technical points for this upcoming week before we do end up hopping into the analysis here, keep an eye on the S&P at around $3,000, $3,025, we are approaching those all-time highs and you guys can see we are getting rejected under this level at about 3,015 and with the futures being down, that leads me to believe that we're going to open up, if the futures do hold this red state that they're in, we're going to open up red tomorrow, putting us maybe somewhere around here, right? So if we're trending down tomorrow, keep an eye on $29.50 or rather not $29.50, $29.90 which is the support that is coming up for the S&P 500. If we're going on the NASDAQ right now, guys, if we pull down tomorrow, you know, keep an eye on $77.50, that is the up-and-coming support if we break below the 50 S&P support tomorrow, right? So that's a level to keep an eye on, but if we break out, you know, a resistance that I'm watching on the NASDAQ is $8,000. Going back on the S&P, obviously, the resistance is at all-time highs. You know, if we gap up, start to break into $30.20, we may be going to all-time highs this up-coming week, and for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, guys, we're pretty much at all-time highs right now. On Friday, we closed about a hundred and 30, more like 160 points below those all-time highs, and with rather the Dow gapping down right now, we may be going back down to test maybe $27,000 flat before we end up, maybe going back up and retesting those all-time highs, but just keep an eye on the futures, guys, because they can turn green in the snap of a finger just because they're red right now that does not mean that the markets are going to be red tomorrow, but just keep an eye on them, right? Pre-market later tonight, I just think it's a great idea to just have your eyes on them and understand where they're pushing, and that'll help you plan out your trades accordingly, right? So over the weekend, we got some pretty crazy news regarding crude oil, and I'm pulling up my phone right now so I can read it word for word exactly from this article so I don't miss anything, a very just quick excerpt of what ended up happening, and that actually will lead to what I'm watching to trade for this upcoming week very closely. So Saturday's attacks on key Saudi Arabia processing plants will test the world's ability to handle a supply crisis as it faces the temporary loss of more than 5% of global supply from the world's biggest crude oil exporter. So oil prices will react when markets open after an attack on a key Saudi production facility amid uncertainty over how much global supply will be disrupted. So the supply was disrupted, right? That means prices are going up, right? Investors, they're also bracing for another interest rate cut, which could also lead to the fuel on the fire for whatever the market ends up doing this upcoming week, which we're also going to be talking about in this video. So not to get into this too deep guys, but a plant was attacked, right? A plant was attacked, oil is spiking right now heavily, right? And we all know what's been going on with oil. It's been crazy recently, crude oil especially, right? From $66 in April, all the way down to $50 and back up all the way to $60 in July. We went all the way back down in the beginning of August to $50 again. And now with this massive gap up from $54 where we closed on Friday, we gapped up all the way to $63 guys. When the futures market opened, crude oil was up 14%. So hypothetically right now guys, if you were to buy UWT, which is an ETF that goes up whenever crude oil is going up, you would be up if that level held at 14%, you know, for crude oil, the gap up, you would be up 45% on your position on Monday morning. Again, if that 14% gap up held and right now it's not holding, it's up about 11%. So if the markets were to open now hypothetically, you'd be up 33% on UWT because it goes up three times what crude oil is going up, which is absolutely crazy, right? I don't think I've seen a move like this on crude oil in a while, right? The other biggest move that you guys can see on this chart was probably when it went from $60 all the way down to about $50 in the span of a week, but I guess this move is bigger because it went from $54 to $63 in the snap of a finger literally over a weekend, right? So crude oil is definitely going to be on the top of my list this week and UWT and DWT, those two inverse pairs or rather that inverse pair, not two inverse pairs, that is going to be what I'm watching to trade this week heavily, right? Because if we get a gap down on crude oil today, as it looks like it's already happening or rather this week, right? Because we spiked up so heavily, you know, we could play the downside on crude oil by trading DWT, which goes up whenever crude oil is selling off. And you'd imagine how much DWT is going to be down tomorrow. It's going to be down 20 to 30% at least if crude oil holds these levels. And that could be a very, very good play for those that like chasing extremely oversold stocks, ETFs, just very battered down stocks and ETFs for a potential bounce back play. Because again, if crude oil does end up seeing a bit of a dip maybe into the high 50s, 58, 59, whatever it may be, there's honestly no way it's going to go back down to the low 50s again at this point, due to this attack on the plant, right? But if it does see a little pullback, you know, DWT is definitely worth watching, which again goes up three times whenever crude oil is selling off. So if crude oil sells off 2%, DWT is going to be up roughly 6%, right? But let's say this crude oil mini pullback that we're seeing right now from about 64 to about 61, wherever we're at right now, or rather from 63 to about 61. Let's just say this is a little pullback, right? We hold 60, we could end up filling the gap up to $63, no problem, especially, you know, honestly, if this situation with the oil gets worse, right? If we go up to $63, that's a 5% move, and that equals roughly a 15% move in DWT. And we're also in this channel right here from around $60 to $63, where we filled that gap easily in the beginning of May to the end of, more rather than the middle of May, you know, in about a 13 day spam a couple months ago, we went from 60 to 63. So this pull down to $60 might be good for it to retest that level and then potentially pop and fill the gap, which would lead me honestly trading UWT, which is why I'm watching it very closely. So there are a couple of different scenarios this week for trading crude oil. Those are, I think, honestly, now that we're getting this pullback and of course, we'll watch what happens pre-market, I just think UWT is going to be bullish here in the short term. That's just what my gut is telling me, and that's just what I'm thinking as of right now. And of course, I'd love to know what you guys have to think about that. Don't be shy, drop a comment down below in the comment section. So UWT, DWT, those are the top ones, no doubt for this upcoming week, as I do expect crude oil to be extremely volatile. Natural gas also gapped up today, broke of resistance at $2.65. That's very, very bullish here. We're up 2% right now, up 0.05, or rather just 5 cents, honestly, if you just read it just the way it is, 5 cents up right now in natural gas. And if it holds this level, UWT is going to be up, or rather you guys, which goes up whenever natural gas goes up, it's going to be up around 6% if natural gas does hold these levels. And the fact that we did break 2.65, guys, it is now time to draw out the next resistance, which at this point in time, it's going to be right where I just drew for you guys at $2.70 to around $2.71. Right around there is where I'm looking for it to potentially fill up, because again, we've broken resistances after resistances over the past couple of weeks, and every time we've done that, we fiddled around that new support for a couple of days, and then we've ultimately popped up to new highs and thus breaking the next resistance. So now that we gapped up, we're going to see potentially a pullback, maybe a hold at 2.65 for a couple of days, maybe even one or two days, and then a quick pop to refill up to 2.72. And from there, if we popped 2.72 above 2.72, where could we be going next? And I'll show you guys what I'm looking at, probably around $2.76 to around $2.77 for natural gas. So that's kind of what I'm looking at right here, guys. This is very bullish. The fact that we broke that, I can't really pound that in your heads enough. So watch you guys to be a runner this week. That is what I am thinking. If we just look at you guys very quickly, if natural gas holds where it's at, this one should be gapping above $23 tomorrow morning, no problem. So if we gap above $23, this thing could be going to $25 in the matter of a couple of days easily. Last week, we talked about you guys going to $20. It hit $20 easily. And now, if we're just looking at this one, on the 90-day 2-hour, you can see some upcoming levels being $25, like I just said. So watch out for the you guys gap up, the break above 23, the hold on that new support, and then from there, potentially, if natural gas fills up to 2.72, like we just said a couple of minutes ago, this one could pop up, fill it up to $25. And if I just pull out my little trend line tool, we can see that's going to be at least a 9-10% profit potential on you guys guys. So those are what I'm watching this upcoming week for sure. Top 2, no doubt about it. So gold right now is actually seeing quite a bit of a pop as well. This is up around 1% right now, 0.83% to be exact, up $12.30 at the time that I am recording this video at about 7.30pm Eastern Standard Time on the 15th of September. So gold broke a critical level of support. I think this was last week. I don't really recall what day it was. It doesn't really matter. It was on the 8th to the 9th of September. So about a week ago at this point, we broke this 180SMA support, which was very bearish in my opinion, due to the fact that we've honestly held that level as a support over the past couple of months. And it seems like now we're still trending below the 180SMA. Seems like we got rejected by it again this past week. We're trending below the 50SMA on the 4-hour chart. So honestly, until we get a pop out of here guys, this is not going to be one that I'm looking to trade. Or rather, Jnug is not going to be one that I'm looking to trade, which trades based upon the overall movement of gold. And it goes up whenever GDX is going up. And GDX is a gold ETF. So this one, you guys can see, it's not looking to bullish whatsoever. This is not looking too good. And again, Jnug is going up 3X what GDX is going up. And you can see the chart is pretty much the same because it does follow very similar technicals. So with gold, I'm thinking at this point guys, if we get a red market this week, which honestly, with the potential rate cut on the 17th of September, I think it's the 17th of September, let me just check. Either way, it doesn't really matter what day it is. All you have to know is that it is this week. It's on Wednesday. So it's not the 17th of September. It's probably the 18th of September. We're going to get potentially, we all think at this point, I think I read online, it was like 78% of investors think we are going to get a 25 basis point rate cut. Let's say a similar scenario happens as to what happened. The last time we got a rate cut, the market sold it, sold the news. The markets actually dropped. So let's say we get a rate cut and then the markets drop. That's very possible because the markets are potentially pricing on a rate cut right now. So let's say we get the rate cut and then the markets drop. Gold might pop at that point because gold typically does well when the markets are going down. Hence why gold futures are up nearly 1% right now. While the rest of the market, NASDAQ, S&P, Dow, they're red. So there's a correlation between gold up, markets down, markets up, gold down. There's a correlation there. It's not always that accurate, but for the most part, that's how it moves. So if we get the rate cut, the market sells the news, markets drop. Gold can definitely see a bullish pop here. And a bullish pop would be if we broke out of both moving average resistances here on the 4 hour chart. And at that point, GDX might go up because it follows gold. And then what would go up then? Jnug. So Jnug, it's looking like a falling knife, no doubt about it. But guys, just watch the markets if we get a pullback. It's going to happen at some point. Jnug has just a lot of room to run. It can literally see a 10% day. I think we've seen moves in Jnug upwards of 15% to 20% in one single day. But that just heavily depends on how well gold does for that specific day. But just watch it guys. It never hurts to watch gold because it's just a way to play the market when the markets are going down for the most part. So those are really just the gold ETFs that I'm watching, GDX, gold in general. Let's talk about some stocks very quickly now, guys. Some stocks that I'm honestly involved in, if you guys have been watching the videos, AT&T and ATVI, these are two that I'm personally swing trading right now. So in a nutshell, ATVI I'm in this one at around 55.10. And I want to add more money into it as we confirm the break above 56, 57 dollars. And honestly a break into this next channel between 56 to around 62 dollars. My goal is to add more money at around 57 dollars right now. And I'll explain to you guys why. We can see we broke up to 57. I believe this was on Thursday. We failed to hold that new support at about 56. We broke below it. But the positive thing was we held this trend line as well as this 50 SMA that you guys see here on the hourly chart. So tomorrow ideally what I'd like to see here on ATVI would be a pop like I'm showing you guys right now with my trend line. This would be ideal what I just drew out, a pop into 56, 56.50. If we get to 57 I might add money right. But ideally I just want to get into this next channel. I want to hold this new support. And then I honestly want to just want it to just continue to trend up into the 60s. Right now my goal sell is around 60 dollars. Is it going to get there this week? Probably not. Right. That's why I'm going to give it some wiggle room. That is the goal as of right now. And the fact that I'm already up on the position that feels comfortable for me to hold it. Right. And the more that I get up in the position that is when I'm going to really put a trailing stop loss on it to protect those profits. And a trailing stop loss is great especially when you're swing trading. Let's say you run out to do an errand, you're at work, whatever it may be, you're busy, you can't watch your screen but you're up on a position and you want to protect it. Put a trailing stop loss 0.5% whatever it may be. And if the stock goes down that you're not going to lose your profits or rather if the stock goes down 0.5% it'll just sell and you'll make the profits. Right. But let's say you didn't have the trailing stop loss and it just went down 10% that day. You didn't have the trailing stop loss. You pretty much just lost all of your gains at that point which would suck. Right. So AT&T is the other one that I'm involved in right now and I'm watching for this upcoming week to add more money into. Right. On a technical basis it's not looking as great as ATV but I still feel confident in AT&T this upcoming week due to the positive catalyst we got last week that popped it up to $40. A hedge fund, Elliott, I think it was like Elliott management. I think they're called or something like that. They took a $3 billion stake in AT&T with a price target at $60. I do think this will be a positive catalyst in AT&T over these next couple of weeks. So honestly this short dip below the 50 SMA, I'm not sweating it too much because overall we're still holding a nice higher low uptrend at this point. We could just be seeing honestly a bit of a cool off period here as the RSI is starting to head down. So I'm going to give this one some wiggle room heading into this upcoming week. Honestly I just feel comfortable holding this one and that's it. Right. AT&T I'm watching this one for the potential continuation. You know if we get up to 38 bucks we could fill up the 40 which could be a very very feasible trade this upcoming week of around 3%. So Facebook, FB. This is another one that I'm watching that's on the verge of a breakout here in my opinion guys especially if we break into the $190 range. $190 here. If we break this resistance what are we breaking? We're breaking a resistance from back in the April to May months of 2019. And what happened the last time we broke 190, 195-ish we ran all the way up to 216. This is when they reported earnings. I know you guys remember this day because I made a video this day and Facebook stock goes up like 10-15% after hours which was ridiculous. Right. And that is something I think can definitely happen especially since we're holding this trend line. Right. Facebook is not too affected by China because it really has no business in China. So the trade war doesn't affect Facebook too much although if it affects the overall market it might affect Facebook a little bit because you know Facebook is a massive company but in terms of a direct exposure to China there's really none there in terms of Facebook. But if we get to 190 guys what is that going to tell me? Well that's going to pop us above here so that's going to be a confirmation of the support on the 50 SMA. If we move up here that's going to be a bullish cross the 50 SMA crossing above the 180 SMA and especially if we break 190 that's like three confirming factors to get into Facebook and ride it as a swing trade at this point right especially if the markets you know if the markets react well to the interest rate cut 25 basis points you know the markets fly up Facebook and easily be in the 190s this upcoming week guys trust me on that. So overall that's honestly what I'm watching for this upcoming week right this upcoming week I'm being a bit more cautious than a lot of the other weeks that we've been trading together in the markets as a team in the discord individually whatever it may be right I'm being very very cautious because the interest rates this is going to be huge on Wednesday whether we get a cut we are definitely getting a cut at this point there's no way the Fed were to come out and be like we're not cutting interest rates if that were to happen guys expect the markets to tank the markets will 100% maybe not 100% 90% they will tank if we don't get an interest rate cut if we get a 25 basis point cut the markets might sell the news like they did last time they might stay the same really not react at all or they might pop up which I don't really think is going to happen because again this this is most likely priced in so just keeping on all these different things the oil situation interest rates watch crude oil watch natural gas they seem to be very affected right now with the whole situation going on watch gold this is what I'm watching this upcoming week guys so let me know your thoughts down below in the comment section I'd love to know what you're thinking what are your thoughts on the market oil interest rates just let me know guys stocks are trading I'd love to know what you guys have to think about that if you enjoyed this video feel free to go down below hit that like button and consider subscribing if you want to see further content involving the stock market trading investing this is the channel for you so I hope you guys enjoyed the video again thanks for watching good luck this week peace out