 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Photo Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. We have some new pack code to talk about for today on Thursday, Rewards Day, and this SBC that should be coming guaranteed summer stars team one player. That's an SBC that a lot of people have wanted to see this week, since we saw guaranteed SBC for PTG team one and team two. And just that time of the year, right? EA put out the best content, put out good content. We kind of expect it, right? And looks like EA is gonna come through. So I wanna talk about that SBC, how I expect the market to be moving, especially with some of these summer stars cards and how their prices might be impacted by Rewards Day or by this SBC. So let's take a look at the pack code. Again, of course, this is what Foot Watch tweeted tonight contains one summer stars player from the summer stars team one, a summer stars player SBC, right? Simple enough, we get what's going on here and you'll understand, of course, how the market is going to regact to this as well, right? We've been through this drill so many times already this year, last year in FIFA, we know what's happening, right? People are gonna go out, they're gonna buy up some SBC fodder today at Rewards. Now the thing is, it's Thursday, right? So we have some supply coming to the market with fodder probably gonna be dropping a little bit around that Rewards timeframe, but of course, gonna have some more demand heading into 6 p.m. UK with this SBC most likely dropping today. I mean, I really don't think they would drop it tomorrow when team two is supposedly coming out in packs on Friday, but for today, Thursday, I think it has to be said and it has to be expected that this SBC will be released. All right, so now the next question is, what's this gonna require? How much is it gonna run you, right? Because of course, there's a very wide range here of prices inside of this summer stars team one. You've got Ronaldo 4.25 million coins, you've got Messi at 2 million coins for his card, but then you also have, I think there's literally one, two, three, four, five, six, seven different cards that are under 100,000 coins on as a part of this team. There's a lot of cards that are on the cheaper end of things of course, as you know, card prices are a lot cheaper now if we're later running the game, but that really makes us wonder, what is this SBC gonna run you? I honestly, I'm really curious to see what EA does today because they know that people know that there's a 99 Messi available and a 99 Ronaldo and a 98 De Bruyne. And I think what they're gonna do is they're gonna reel people in, they're gonna lure people in with that. Of course, thinking you're gonna get the Ronaldo, the Messi, the De Bruyne, but of course, a lot of us are gonna be packing Locatelli, Phillips, Spinozola, Christianson, Dumfries, those types of players. So again, how much is too much for this SBC? Well, I went back and looked at the Pat the Glory team one upgrade because you know, Pat the Glory cards, there were some low tier ones, there were also some very expensive ones. In team one, this required an 87 rated squad with one tots or team of the weak player and 60 chemistry. Now, I think that is a bit high. I think for right now, especially with the current prices of fodder, I think that is a bit high. I really, really do. Now fodder, it is high, right? Fodder is definitely high, but I think fodder could drop a little bit today at rewards and that might be a situation where if you had to or if you needed to buy a few cards, that would be a great opportunity to get in on maybe some of the 83, 84, 85s, maybe 86s that you could potentially need to get this SBC done. But I think if I had to guess that right now an 86 rated squad on FIFA will run you about 100 in, well, an 86 rated squad with no team of the season or team of the weak requirement, that would run you right now about 180, 100, I think 170, 180,000 coins on this game. I think that's still a bit expensive. I really do. I really hope that the SBC today is an 85 rated squad and that they don't require a team of the season item because that an 85 rated squad is still gonna run you somewhere around like 110,000 coins, I think, maybe even a little bit more than that. And I don't think a lot of people on FIFA would wanna spend at least too much more than like 150K to get this SBC done. I mean, obviously it would be craftable because you've got player picks and stuff like that to get some fodder. And it would be craftable, of course, but I think an 85 rated squad is just being too generous, right? I don't think EA is just gonna give us that. I really think today that the sweet spot for this SBC would be an 86 rated squad. So if you wanna get some 84s, 85s, 86s kind of loaded up, I guess put some in your club. That's not a terrible shout. I believe that those cards might be going up a little bit on the market since the announcement of this code, you can see here that 86s basically have gone up a little bit, not much. They've gone up a little bit since the announcement of this code. I do expect this stuff to come down though during rewards. I would expect us to see these prices dip for the first hour, two or three and then start rising up into six PM today on Thursday. Cause again, I think we're really expecting this SBC to be dropped today. Again, because the summer stars team one cards go out of packs. So we've done a lot of looking at stuff. Let's talk about these cards on the market. What's gonna happen for the summer stars items, right? We talked about the SBC, but how are the actual cards gonna be affected on this market? Now of course we've been talking about it for the past two days or so that I thought like some of the cheapest prices for these cards would probably be today with rewards, with the supply. I'm still holding that, right? De Bruyne has only a couple pages. There's four pages right now supply of this card on the market. He's gonna get supplied today at rewards for sure. There's gonna be more cards popping up onto the market as people pack these items. Tratable, that's gonna number one drop their price today. You're also gonna have some people that wanna buy these for the teams too. So that's gonna be a little bit of demand maybe. It will pick these prices back up a little bit but also with the guaranteed SBC, especially for players like Esok, kind of in the middle range. Not a very expensive card, but probably something that's gonna get packed a decent amount today with rewards and a decent amount from the guaranteed SBC. I would probably expect some of these cards to hit their absolute lowest during rewards or when the SBC content comes out at 6 p.m. today on Thursday. I think today is gonna be the lowest day for a lot of these cards, at least for the next couple of days, couple of weeks maybe, depending on how much hype there is. But these are the best cards in the game right now at the moment, they're the most hype. And of course we have that 99 Ronaldo and 99 Messi that a lot of people are interested in. I'd be very interested in this La Porte card too. I'd watch this card very closely at rewards because again, with the Spanish weakening objectives and people might be shelling out the cash to go buy this La Porte card and he seems pretty rare. He might be packed a decent amount from the guaranteed SBC today. I wouldn't expect it to be a lot though. So this La Porte card is one though that I think may not drop a ton at rewards just cause there's so much demand for him. But I could see his price picking it up a decent amount today because he just has a lot of hype in general. So again, a lot of these Summer Stars items, I think your low point is gonna be today on Thursday. Some cards like the lower tier ones might be their absolute cheapest. When the guaranteed SBC drops, right? These cards might drop during rewards, they might go down, they might rebound back a little bit and then some of them could drop back down again with maybe new preview packs coming at 6 p.m. today on Thursday alongside of this guaranteed SBC. So I think that's kind of be my thought process now. If it's somebody like a Christiana Ronaldo, I really feel like these cards are gonna get their lowest at rewards and then after that, probably go up in price a little bit because again, these cards are a lot more rare and there's definitely some people that have their eyes on them. Since they're 99 rated, people wanna get them and these are gonna be the quote unquote best cards that we'll see. Now of course, if there aren't some insane cards that come out in team two, I'm not saying that some of these guys couldn't drop, right? Because if we get a Neymar Summer Stars item that is in team two, we're definitely gonna see his team of the season card drop a lot in price. But how else could that affect the market in terms of the 99 Ronaldo and the 99 Messi if we were to get like a 97 or a 98 Neymar? I think that those prices could be affected next week too, depending on who comes out for team two. But your best bet is especially for a guy like La Porte, you know, maybe even a Modric, a De Bruyne or even a Dumfries, right? Some of these cards are honestly like cheap for their fodder rating. Like I believe Dumfries might be one of the cheapest 94s. Now, high rated SBCs aren't like the talk of the town at the moment, but you can hear see that Christensen is the cheapest 93 rated card by a good bit. Dumfries the cheapest 94 by a decent bit. You know, that's a really, really high rated fodder. 91 Romero is one of the cheapest 91s besides Oblak and Lewandowski. Same thing with Bravo is a 92. So, you know, that's something to keep in mind. Maybe you buy one and you put it in your club if you haven't packed them or whatever. But I do just think that a lot of these cards are gonna drop the rewards, but I think they're gonna rebound up a little bit after that too. And yeah, this SBC today is gonna be very interesting to see where EA prices it. Again, it's the pricing on this SBC that makes me the most interested because also EA kind of knows they're smart, right? They're smart because yesterday what they did was they released an 87 plus SBC that basically, if you did it, you now have three cards in your club that are, you know, 87 or above. Even if you got a really bad pack, you're looking at an 86 rated squad today. Maybe if that's the rating for the guaranteed SBC and you're like, man, I've got three cards or 87 plus, I can put those in and make this SBC a lot easier for myself. Maybe go run a few player picks and boom, I've got this SBC sorted and figured out. See, that right there is what EA does all the time in this game to make it seem, you know, I can do this, right? It's not gonna be that much for me. It's not, I've already got these cards in my club to do this SBC. So very smart from EA Sports. If that was something you did yesterday, like I'm gonna use some of those high rated cards depending on the rating of the SBC today, I'm gonna be using some of those that I have in my club to go and do that guaranteed SBC today on Thursday. Now we did not see the Wednesday night upgrade for these live items, right? We were maybe expecting to see the Wednesday night upgrade into Thursday morning upgrade for some of these PTGs. That did not happen this week, so it really looks like they're gonna wait all the way until Friday to upgrade these cards. Now of course, with the final being set between Italy and England, you've of course got only a few live cards still going on. Of course, with the Copa America final still set as well with Argentina and Brazil, you've got live items still available there, but we've got a lot of cards that are, you know, some kind of even long gong out of the competition, like a hazard upgrade that is still due, I believe. That's potentially not true. I've kind of lost track on some of these cards that are getting upgraded, to be honest. But like the Spain, Marcus Eurente upgrade, that's from a long time ago, right? That's from, you know, multiple, multiple days ago, we've been waiting to see the upgrades of some of these cards. Some of the Italian cards, you know, hazard is just wrong, that's right. There's no more upgrades to hazard because they lost to Italy, but Italy's got two upgrades coming for them, right? Because Variety's gotta get the plus one and the five star, five star. Same thing with the Acunha, he's gotta get two upgrades. You know, so some of these cards are due, multiple upgrades and we need to see those pretty soon, but I guess EA's gonna wait until their timeframe and upgrade them on Friday night. So that's kind of the situation with some of these. I think, I believe actually that Phil Foden is due two upgrades as well. With the win against yesterday, he should be going up to a plus two. So this should be a 98 rated Foden and he will reach his max potential, I believe, because that is the highest rating I think he could be. Or maybe, yeah, I think that is the highest rating he could be. Because he started off as a 94, got his plus two and now he's due another plus one and another plus one. So yes, he's basically maxed out at his plus four and then if they win again, he would be getting a five star skill move, five star week, what I think. So that would be crazy for the Phil Foden card if they were to bring it home. Of course, as you guys know, is the talk of the town at the moment. But that's kind of what's going on in FIFA. Also, just for the market perspective today, I am expecting some of these Spanish cards to definitely go up in price a little bit. Taking a look at some of these most meta and most rare cards that people might be using in their week in league teams. Maybe a guy like Jordi Alba, maybe a guy like Anzufati, Marcos Llorente. Some of those are best Spanish cards people might be buying to pick up because of the week in league plus objectives. You might see some of those pick up on the market today. Other than that, I wouldn't expect really a huge market rise. We really haven't had big market rises on Thursdays for a while now, right? It's just been some things here or there. You could see some icons go up today if you wanted to try to trade and make some coins. Just get on some open bids on icons. That's what I would say. And then flip those for later on today. But I think again, a lot of the hype for today is gonna be people buying up SVC fodder with their rewards coins. And maybe some people that are wanting to buy up some of these summer stars items as well. Again, like we talked about De Bruyne, 700K. This guy's down 100,000 coins from where he was. Probably gonna dip into the 600s decent amount today. Maybe like 650 or something like that. We'll have to see what the supply is for these cards at rewards. But then I think kicking up after that, of course, with the demand for these very colorful summer stars cards that a lot of people want to get in their team. So that's the video for today, boys, honestly, right? Today on Thursday, content-wise, we're expecting that guaranteed SVC. We might be done with the player SVCs. We haven't had one for the last two days. Yesterday was a quiet day of content with that 87 plus times three. We're still waiting on like the Spain nation players. I think that's one thing a lot of people are hoping for because Spain is out of the competition and it'd be great timing from EA to drop the Spain nation player or players if they were gonna do a set like they'd done for Denmark before this weekend with the Weekend League extra requirements out there. So just a couple days left to do these SVCs. Of course, a lot of the stuff expiring on Friday as it usually is the weekend week out. A lot of the SVCs clear out before a new promo Friday where they want you focused on the brand new cards that are gonna be released. Also, a new marquee matchups probably getting released today as well. That's gonna supply the market a little bit with some coins and with some supply on these brand new promo cards at the 6 p.m. timeframe. So again, it's gonna be kind of all over the place if you're looking to buy one of these brand new summer stars and time it perfectly. I feel like today is gonna be a low day though. Thanks to the low day for all these cards. I think we nailed that spot on. De Bruyne is now 690. So we'll see how low these cards go at rewards today with the supply. But that's the video for today boys. If you did enjoy it, hit a thumbs up on it. Let me know down in the comments what you think the SBC rating for the guaranteed summer stars item is gonna be today. And of course, if you're new around here, hit that subscribe button. I would greatly appreciate it. But it's been Nate the Photo Count, boys. I will catch you guys later. Peace.