 We've got ourselves an outlier slate in the terms of how many strikeouts we can find for tonight in MLB DFS because There aren't a lot of guys going tonight who have strikeout upside two of the guys who typically do in Lucas Geolito and Kevin Gosman aren't at their best right now, so any grays not fully stretched out We don't have a lot of guys on this slate who can get you six seven eight strikeouts dependably and It does lead to a bit of a different dynamic who we typically have so We're gonna find a way to navigate around that Account for the lack of strikeouts try to find guys Maybe do have upside or maybe find guys who are not typically in play but are for tonight because of the composition of the slates Let's dive on and it get you set for this Monday slate. Welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim sauna sign a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down a nine a game main slate for Monday nights with lots that for 705 p.m. Eastern today, and there isn't a lot of weather to note because Only rain spot is in New York for that Yankees game is they're facing off of the A's It looks like the rain will be gone before first pitch So they should be good there other note I would mention is that it's a lot warmer on the West Coast than it typically is in Los Angeles for the angels in the White Sox First pitch temperature 82 degrees there, and it's 84 degrees in Seattle Which is actually tied with Coors for the warmest park of the night, which never happens in Seattle, so Bumpa bats in LA and Seattle to account for the increased temperatures from where things are typically at there We'll dive on in to get you set for the pitching preview in just one second at first a sports fan There is no better time than today Decided for fendal fantasy for users who have yet to make a deposit on fendal fantasy You can deposit now to receive two free entries All you have to do is deposit a minimum of ten dollars into your fendal DFS account And you will be infinitely awarded with two free vouchers This is a limited time offer So be sure to deposit now and play for free at the fendal.com or download the fendal fantasy app today Eligibility or strict supply go to fendal.com or download the fendal app for more details Pitching preview for this Monday main slate Pablo Lopez is the highest salary pitcher checking in at $10,000 on fendal Martin Perez is 97 Kevin Gosman 95 Jordan Montgomery is 92 We got George Kirby in 9,000 with Tristan McKenzie Tyler Anderson Tyler Wells Adam Wainwright and Sonny Gray And Lucas Geolito as the others at $8,000 or higher now as I mentioned Geolito Velo really bad last time out Gosman in a weird kind of funk and Perez Lopez not the biggest strikeout guys not the biggest strikeout matchups It's hard to find strikeouts. The one guy I feel really good about for tonight is George Kirby I'm gonna lock Kirby in for cash games and make him my top guy for tournaments as well I just think he's that good now. This is despite the fact it is very warm in Seattle So take this the grain of salt don't take it as view it as a as good of a park as usual for pitching But still do like Kirby a lot. He's facing the Orioles and it's a pretty decent matchup They have a 97 WRC plus against righties in their current active roster with a 23% strikeout rates and a 7% walk rates It's an above average matchup just by a smidge in each department and Kirby is in a really good zone right now He's been leaning more on his curve ball across his past six starts and it's a really good pitch room gets a lot of widths It's helping him get a healthy number of strikeouts. He has a 25 percent strikeout rate in this time He's gotten six plus strikeouts in four of those six games He had eight plus twice and his big spike came at home against the eights now The A's at home is a better match than what he gets for tonight against the the Orioles But there are some similarities. I do think Kirby has really good upside for tonight I'm not sure if he'll get us, you know, double digits or anything, but I'm not sure anyone on this slate really can I've got Kirby projected for six point three strikeouts for tonight So wouldn't be shocked to get a six inning six strikeouts seven strikeouts somewhere in their performance Nobody else is projected for more than five point six strikeouts So I think it makes sense to make Kirby the unquestioned top guy for today So George Kirby to me belongs to the top of our list regardless of format. I think he's the one guy you can feel really good about He's the one guy I feel good about for tonight. The second slide is between three guys I think they are Kevin Gosman Lucas G. Leto and Pablo Lopez. I think those are guys you consider in terms of Guys who have a path to a ceiling. They're probably the considerations that you'd have there I'm pretty worried about G Leo's. I'm probably gonna cross him off Gosman Just hasn't been on and he's facing a low strikeout Boston team Lopez is pitching Well, but he's on the road against a very good low strikeout Cardinals offense I'm gonna go Gosman, but my conviction level here is admittedly pretty low. You love Lopez. No pushback I think that's totally fine. The reason I'm skeptical of Gosman is that he slipped He hasn't had more than eight strikeouts since May 1st. He's had five or fewer in six of those nine starts He is trying to get back to it because early in the year Gosman is throwing sliders It was helping him get strikeouts and then he scaled back on that It's right around the time where he started to cool off. He was throwing fewer sliders, but He's gone back to it and it hasn't helped him regain his form yet In the five starts with the slider usage being back up. His strikeout rate is 20% He has faced some low strikeout teams, but he also faced Detroit in there in Detroit He had just four strikeouts there. So that's why I lack conviction in being high on Gosman here So the question would then be why use him at all if I don't really feel that good about him He does still have upside. He faced the white socks last week. He went six innings He had seven strikeouts. They're pretty low strikeout team use on the road So if I tell you Gosman winds up as the highest scoring pitcher on the slate Would that surprise you? It wouldn't really surprise me But I'm also not surprised if he fails But that's why Kirby is higher for me and that's why he's the cash game guy For tournaments we can get we can take on more risk So I'm okay with Gosman here On a better slate I definitely avoid him. He'd be an easy avoid there, but this is not that so I'll ask some chairs. Don't feel great about it But I think that of the guys available if you tell me eight strikeouts He's probably number two on that list behind Kirby for me in terms of most likely to get there But the third slot I could go Pablo Lopez because Kirby isn't 9000 could count as a value play But as mentioned, it's a tough spot for him a tough situation and I really do want to stack course field So instead I'm going to take a discount here and use the guy actually facing Lopez in that same game Which is adam way right 8500 dollars way right is a guy You can use only in specific situations. You need a low strikeout slate, but That's that's exactly what we have here. We're right is a good real world pitcher He's held opponents to a 34 hard hit rate this year His fly ball rate is 32 and that's why his era is 3.32 He's just not a big strikeout guy and but he can flash that at times because he had 10 strikeouts against the Padres on May 31st He had seven twice since then and he goes deep in games gives himself chances to rack up those strikeouts So way right. It's not a bad pitcher. He's just not typically a guy We tend to use in dfs because he's not a big strikeout guy There aren't many people on this slate who can really light it up Which means our opportunity cost for using a lower strikeout pitcher is lower than it typically would be So i'm actually okay with it Considering the bats that I want to use considering how heavy I want to be at cores I'm okay Putting wane right third on my list after accounting for salary. So pitching for tonight. I will go Kirby one for sure gosman two And then I will go with wane right three if you want to put Lopez second cool I don't blame you there don't from third fine I put him fourth, but I think that he's good enough to be in that discussion Despite a very difficult situation So I spoiled the top stack earlier on that is the Dodgers. I want a stack course yield for today They're the clear cut stop top stack of the night. So the Dodgers to me the no-brainer Option a pitcher or hitter of the night for sure They're facing Chad cool cool has had some good results this year with a 3.95 era, which is pretty impressive But the peripherals are still not ideal He has a 4.83 skill interactive era overall more recently he's been throwing more curve balls and It hasn't helped a whole lot. His sierra is 5.39 in that time with a 16 strikeout right and really rough bad at ball numbers The results still have not been bad But he's facing the Dodgers here at course field They're not fully healthy the Dodgers aren't but they still got enough guys to do some damage here The active roster has a 117 wrc plus against righty. So I kind of think the Dodgers are just a no-brainer. I think that to me the two biggest You know, not not sure things the two Certainties as far as places I want to go for today are Kirby and the Dodgers and they else a little bit more amorphic for sure But um Kirby and the Dodgers the two things I feel best about for tonight One thing to keep in mind with course field is stolen bases the atmosphere at course helps home runs But it also means they have a massive massive outfield a lot of green for hits to fall into which leads to More base hits more times on base and it gives you more chances to swipe bags And I think that kind of goes a bit overlooked when it comes to Stacking course field the Rockies have led up the third most steals in baseball in part because of this So bump up tray turner due to stolen base upside bump up kody bellinger gavin lux chris taylor as well and freddie freeman Not afraid to dabble in a stolen base. So I would say account for that You know, I'm not saying only use guys who get stolen bases because I love will smith But maybe give them a slight bump up if they are guys who can run because The increased number of times on base does benefit them quite a bit. So Just in general, I think we should account more for stolen base upside When we're deciding which batters to use a course field Last week we were on the twins against tristan mckenzie and it wasn't pretty risky move because he's a good pitcher But it worked out there and I think We should do it again as they face through the second consecutive star from mckenzie and that's all processed behind Stacking the twins there was pretty simple Mackenzie is a good pitcher But he lets up too much hard contact lots of too many balls and it leads to a Pretty significant dinger problem and we saw that play out because mckenzie led up three home runs in four and one third innings He led up six total earned runs That was while getting five strikeouts, which is not that bad mckenzie's been using his slider more across his past nine starts which Gets him strikeouts, but it also leads to dingers and the twins Have facing twice in this time They've hit five home runs off him in those two games multiple home runs and bull This one is in cleveland and mckenzie has pitched a bit better at home. I'll be it in a very small sample but Progressive field not a bad spot to hit home runs So i'll be heavy on the twins in this rematch for tonight Because of the dinger problems mckenzie has had because they just saw him because they just did well against him I think it lines up really well to make the twins a quality stack As we discussed on the stack last week mckenzie does struggle more with righties than lefties So firing bucks and if his knee is good to go gets bumped up Same for carlos korea actually had a couple home runs in that game against mckenzie last week I'd also give a boost to garry sanchez. He has a 236 iso against righty so far this year lower strikeout rate to about 27 so I think sanchez pretty fun if he plays if he starts a pitcher for or catcher for tonight as a guy who could have some Nice dinger upside so korea buxton sanchez all get bumped up due to mckenzie's reverse platoon splits For the third stack i'm going to go check out the jays the recent connor sea bald who is making his 2022 debut I don't think he's bad. He's been really good actually in triple a But there is some upside here that we don't find in many other spots on tonight's slate Most of that is due to the jays themselves They have a 108 wrc plus against righties and they're hitting the ball really well right now So it's a tough ask for sea bald to come up and face them Like I said, he was pitching well in triple a yet a 2.09 eray A couple issues with his underlying numbers though. The first one is that he's probably not going to strike a ton of guys out He has a 25 strikeout rate in triple a with an 11.9 swinging strike rate So that's one issue Second issue is that he's going to let up a lot of fly balls. He has let up a 45 fly ball right this year It was 48 last year at triple a so we're going to get a lot of balls in play And a lot of those will probably be in the air We've seen sea bald I assume get by by suppressing hard contact, but It's at least going to give us swipes at long balls here And I'll take that on a slate where there aren't a ton of high upside stacks for tonight It might not work out. That's definitely very possible, but I think it's worth the risk for me. So I think that the Jay's not a surefire stack, but a good one and one that I feel solid about for tonight Within those Jay stacks, I think this could be just a me thing But I need to bump up my view of Alejandro Kirk I've always been okay with him like I was okay with Kirk always especially when he's a value play get into him And including him in stacks, but He's never been a priority part of my Jay stacks But he's up to a 203 iso against righty so far this year across 182 plate appearances, which is actually a pretty big sample He has a nine percent strikeout rate so Sure, the salary is 35, which is between George Springer and Boba Schett and above Teosgar Hernandez, but It's pretty legit. So I'm still gonna prefer Vlad. I'll prefer Springer and Hernandez, but I might put Kirk above the Schett regarding position and eligibility like me a shortstop fine But I'm bumping Kirk up and I feel like I might have been too low on him before But we can make amends now and load up on him. So Alejandro Kirk despite the increased salary a guy I am willing to include as a key part of my Jay stack for tonight Let's go to things to watch and touch more on Lucas Geolito. His salary is low at $8,000, but And you could use him in stack cores with that salary I'm just not sure what to think about him because He averaged just 92 miles per hour on his horsey and fastball his last time out, which was Low, um, it was the highest it's been all year the start before that So it was low. It was high before that, but there was also low the start before that one It was 92.2 miles per hour So two very low velocity starts in his path three outings It's a pretty big red flag for me There is upside on taking a chance on him But i'm probably not going to do it personally for tonight facing the angels They do strike out, but they're a really good offense. So I'll keep an eye on him. See what he does. Maybe y'all has some stacks against him just to see if See how things go, but I just don't see enough to really Incentivize me to take a swipe of geolito for tonight I'm not sure what the pirates are doing for their starter today It sounds like the options are a bullpen game or osvaldo be though to start their bullpen Not one we need to avoid but also it's the gnats. I'm not like super super jumpy to get there I would be okay stacking against uh, we though though. So or against be though So might be able to squeeze out some gnats bats in there if you want to go With some one offs tougher to go with a full stack on that offense, but You want to get some one off there? Juan soto is 42 Josh bell 34 salary is pretty reasonable on that team as a whole so I would be okay with the nationals Depending what the pirates wind up doing if you want a contrarian stack and to take advantage of that weather in seattle I check out the mariners for stacking. They're facing tyler. Well, so as a 3.34 era this year, which is Pretty good. Uh, but his peripherals Not as bright. It's also warmer in seattle today than usual at 84 degrees. So I'll be in on them. I assume others will not and that's okay. Uh, and I think that's a good tournament stack so If you want to go single entry and go Kirby Dodgers, maybe you toss in the mariners as a second stack to make it a bit different because the mariners will be very very very very very popular for tonight, so the mariners could be a route to Swallowing the chalk without duping everyone else's lineup. Let's finish up with some dinger calls for today The boring one is freddy freeman. It's course field. It's freddy freeman basing chat. Cool. Let's up a lot of fly balls to lefties What else you got to say there the fun one? I will go gary sanchez. I mentioned that again Mackenzie has reverse platoon splits really does struggle with righties Sanchez is a righty progressive field. He's hitting the ball really hard this year. Uh, a good iso Decent glow strikeout, right? So I'll go with freddy freeman and gary sanchez as the home run calls for today That is all we have here for today on the solo shot full week of mlb dfs podcast coming up We also have their pga dfs podcast every tuesday with myself and brandy kadula We have usc and nascar covered as well with nfl just around the corner So hit subscribe wherever you get your podcast and if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well If you've got any questions for me. I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your mlb dfs lineups We'll talk to you once again tomorrow for tuesday slate. This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network