 What is going on everybody? Welcome into the heat check fantasy podcast powered by Number Fire. That is right here on the FanDuel podcast network and numberfire.com where today we are getting you said for the traveler's championship from a PGA DFS perspective and letting you know which golfers we are looking at on FanDuel this weekend. I am Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for numberfire.com. Joined here as always by Brandon Genula. He is the managing editor for Number Fire. Brandon, two weeks in the books in the post COVID-19 layoff. How are you doing today? I'm good. I mean, you didn't count us in. So I know I've gotten like out of rhythm where I like forgot that I don't count because like it's different based on the show like in for covering the spread. I just we bolt we bolt into it for this one. I couldn't remember what I did because we've like we've had like five podcasts in the last decade. And so I'm like, I don't remember how I do things anymore. Yeah, you usually count us in. That's how I know to stop with the offhand comments. But I got I'm going to ruin the beginning of the show. Talking about cows slandering peanut butter in our chat here. So like it's just it's crazy across the board. So I'm going to keep your audio in there of you laughing at the beginning because people need to know that that that cow is unhinged and he needs to be he needs to be yelled at for this. Yeah, I mean, you can't hit on peanut butter. It's it's it's S tier. It's an S tier food. It's an S tier snack. What is here? Like God like tier. It's a video game thing. S tier. Yeah. No, I don't think anybody actually knows what it means. I think it's I think it comes from Japan. OK. But I kind of say a lot now ever since I've been digging into these sports quite a bit. So but yeah, I mean, speaking of S tier, I got I hit web. Yeah, you had web on you'd venture. I don't know if you'd mentioned this on the podcast, but he was in your betting guide up on Number Fire last week. We had talked about it on the podcast too. And web came through. It's nice when we can successfully spot bounce back candidates like that. I think that when we only had one week of data, it kind of made sense to go at guys in the same mold as web who may be in for a bounce back and it worked out. Yeah. And I mean, web's just web's so good. He's not long off the tee. And I think he just gets like a lot of disrespect for that. Also, he's Web Simpson. He's not one of these like more popular, just charismatic guys. But I don't know anything about web. But yeah, I mean, I'm just being I'm just being honest. I don't know a lot about him, but he does not like obviously jump off the page as someone that casual fans are going to sort of flock to. But yeah, I mean, you mentioned the bounce back and the stats and stuff. And I was actually looking into like week to week because we have two weeks of data. And I was like, I wonder if last like the Charles Schwab predicted the RBC heritage at all, the R squared values are like minimal. They're basically all zero except except strokes gained off the tee, which was a point one three. So if your process has been just really focusing in on these past eight rounds. Maybe scale back and look at the bigger sample. Yeah. And I think that's the general thing to, you know, it's because, right, you if you look at like a map, like if you go to Fantasy National and look at event by event data for different golfers, it's not it's never going to be a one to one relationship where if Rory has a down week in his approach play this week, it's going to be a down week the next week, too. Like that's just not how it works. So when we have only one week of data, it makes sense to at least I would say be skeptical of that data. I think that's the way that I would phrase it personally. Yeah, be skeptical. And I think that lets us sort of find bounce backs. And that's really, I think what's going to be vital as golf season gets back into gear is not trusting the results. Don't look at the standings. Look at the underlying data. Yeah. Trust the process, bro. Travelers Championship coming up this week. We're going to break that down here in just one second. But first, a loaded week here on the Number Fire Daily Fantasy podcast feed. We have a video podcast today and also on Friday. Friday, it's actually a dual race podcast because there are two races in Pocono this weekend. I will give a breakdown on both of those individual races and how to strategize them coming up on Friday. This one, the video version going up on the FanDuel YouTube page later today. So make sure you are subscribed to that. And for the podcast only listeners will also have a UFC podcast coming up on Wednesday with Austin Swain breaking down Saturday's card. So make sure you are subscribed to both the FanDuel YouTube page for the PGA NASCAR podcast and to the Number Fire Daily Fantasy podcast feed for both those along with the USC podcast coming up on Wednesday. But let's dive in here to the Travelers Championship. It is at TPC River Highlands. It is 6,841 yards and a par 70. There are more than 150 golfers in the field once again this week. So making the cuts going to be tough. The top 65 plus ties make it through after the first two rounds. So it's it would be an exaggeration to say it's a third of the field, but it's not that far off from a third of the field. Not a lot of dudes make it through. And you want to account for that as you're building lineups. And it's going to be interesting this week because Brandon, TPC River Highlands is not a long course. However, that does not mean it is necessarily an accuracy course. So talk me through the stats you were looking at this week for the Travelers Championship. Yes, I mean, it's shy of 6,900 yards, but it actually reward. Yes, it does reward strokes gained off the team more than usual, according to DataGolfs course history page. Approach play still matters more than off the tee play by almost double in terms of explaining scoring. But it's a little less than usual, which means a little bit more on off the tee, a little bit less on approach. But approach is still number one. The point there, obviously, is that we want ball strikers. Just two par fives on the par 70. So I think par four scoring makes some sense. I don't really like par four scoring because it does factor in putting, which I always try to factor out, but we don't really have that option yet. So I'm just kind of really hoping for strokes gained tee to green on different pars or even greens and regulation on certain pars. That would be awesome. So anyone who's listening has that capability. Enterprising people out there. Let us know. That changed the game, I think, in a lot of ways. But, you know, with how good the fields have been and how low scores have gone, I think birdie conversion is just something we have to factor in as well. Don't really ever want to ignore scoring rate for birdie rate for fantasy purposes anyway. So my key stats are approach off the tee, greens and regulation, par fours and birdie or better rate. And then again, like I said, in terms of the super recent stats, it hasn't been overly helpful. It's probably been actually a bit of a hindrance. So make sure that you're looking not at these past two weeks and saying that's what's going to happen this week. Look back a little bit more. Yeah, for me, for my off the tee stat, I wound up going good drive rates because looking back at the golfers who have done well here in the past and where they've ranked for the full season in PGA tour statistics last year, the median ranking for the top 20 golfers and good drive rate was 50th. And when you look at the individual golfers on that list, it seems it seemed as if they were good at one thing. It was either good at distance or good at accuracy. They didn't have to be good at both, which is why I wanted to go with good drive rates. And I think off the tee would have been equally fine. I just happened to go with good drive rates instead because I want to find golfers who can take advantage of the length at times, but also who aren't going to totally spray it, I guess, or could potentially, you know, I don't know, the best way to phrase it. I wanted a good drive rate was was what it came down to because I want them to be good at one thing or another. And I think that's that's what it boiled down to. And that may lead to some differences in the golfers were targeted this week. If I'm looking at good drive rate, whereas you're looking at stroking off the tee, I know it's not a huge difference, but there is a difference between those two, for sure. There is, I think that I kind of go back and forth on the stats, those two stats, it doesn't I really think that there's any way to prove which one is better weekend and week out, because you can't always predict which stat is going to kind of stick. But like I said, the only stat week to week so far that has had like any kind of tinge of predictiveness has been strokes gained off the tee, which makes sense. Both these courses have been courses where you can hit some long drives, but you have to hit some fairways. But so being long and hitting the rough sometimes is still gaining strokes on the field if you're 60 yards out on the average. So I'm going with strokes gained off the tee, but I can't really follow you for going with good drives either. So we'll break down the implications of the stats in just one second and look at look at golfers who have done well at TPC River Highlands in just one second. But first, the USC continues to roll on and there's no better place to get in on the action than on Fandall. For just eight dollars and eighty eight cents, enter Fandall's 150k UFC octagon for this Saturday's event and compete for your share of the $150,000 prize pool, including a $30,000 first place prize. Take your pick of Dustin Poe, Mike Perry, Jordan Griffin and so many more and follow along using Fandall's live scoring as a fight's unfold. Someone is going to win $30,000 and it might just be you. For more details, visit Fandall.com or download the Fandall app today. Eligibility restrictions apply and again, USC podcast breaking down those contests coming up on Wednesday. Let's take a look at golfers who have done well at TPC River Highlands in the past. And I think the big name here, Brandon, is usually Bubba Watson. Bubba, a recent winner, but the form for him goes well beyond that. He won here in 2018. He's been dominant effectively here for a fairly long time. What do you see with Bubba this week at $10,800? He had pretty pricey on Fandall at $10,800, but he was solid last week, you know, faded, finished 52nd. But that was after a seventh at the Charles Schwab. He's actually getting strokes off the tee and with his approach play and each of those starts, definitely something that we want to see. He's 17th in ball striking, just combining those two stats over the past two starts. And then, of course, the reason we're talking about him here is that course history. 54th last year after a win, a missed cut, a 25th a win, 31st, 4th and 2nd. So that's two wins, four total top fives and eight starts, seven made cuts. He's been pretty much a lock to gain strokes off the tee, which is vital for this course, actually keep him in play. And again, gaining strokes off the tee is something that I'm kind of sticking to because it's been a little bit, you know, helpful, a little bit helpful to predict week to week so far in this short sample back. So Bubba is probably going to be popular at 10-8. It's not a value price. So where are you with Bubba? I think it's scary because, like you said, it's not a value salary when there are really good golfers around him. Like we're about to talk about Paul Casey at 10-7. I have this concern for him and I love Paul Casey, but you have Dustin Johnson at $11,000 who had a really interesting week last week from a ball striking perspective where suddenly the stats, they weren't so poopy anymore. So Dustin Johnson is $200 more than Bubba Watson. You boy, Xander is $400 more. And I think that it's also worth mentioning that it's tough for me to buy into guys who've had like wins in this event in the past because the fields haven't always been as good as they will be this weekend. Last year specifically, no Xander, no DJ, no Justin Rose, no John Rom, no Web Simpson, no Rory McRoy, those are all guys who will be in the field this weekend who were not here at least last year. So I think to me, I hope Bubba Watson is popular because I think if that draws away from Dustin Johnson and Xander Schoffelay and guys like that, we could be in a really advantageous situation. The counterpoint is maybe Bubba won't be popular because they're there. I think you could view it either way, but I think if I had to guess, I would lean to your direction in assuming that he will be a guy who is on a lot of rosters. Yeah, and I don't think he's a bad play. I would put the, you know, there are very good odds that Bubba gained strokes off the tee and that's important here. That's pretty predictive. It's pretty reliable. It's a matter of whether he really hits the high end of the variance. And I mean, it's possible, but with those other names around there and there's another name below him, you didn't mention, but Colin Morkawa, I just love this week. SungJM's 10-4. We aren't really pushed into playing Bubba. Now, because we're talking about roster percentages, I will make mention that last week we saw really flat numbers. Rory was on 23.5% of Fandall lineups. Justin Thomas, 23.4, so basically the same. And those were the only two guys above 21%. So we're gonna see some low ownerships across the board because these fields are so deep and so good. So fading any golfer at this point, if these trends continue, we're not gonna get a ton of leverage, but it's still a matter of something that we have to factor in when building tournament lineups. Yeah, and I think that there will still be situations where we can spot golfers who will pull away from the pack. I'm not sure if Bubba will be that this week. So I would be tuned into fan chair sports and checking out their tags and stuff like that, but there is a possibility he could just based on, it seems like people have been putting extra weight on course history than they had previously, potentially because there's less current form data to deal with, but I think I would keep an eye on that for sure because he is someone who could pop there. You could say it's similar thing about Paul Casey. So let's talk about Paul Casey because he is 10-7 directly beneath Bubba Watson. This will be his sixth trip to the travels. Four of the previous five have resulted in a top five finish. That includes a pair of runner ups. One was in 2015, other was in 2018. He was fifth in both 2017 and 2019 and it hasn't all been fueled by putting either. He actually finished fifth in 2017 despite losing a stroke on the greens. He's gained at least 8.3 strokes T to green in three of those five events. The only downside of Casey is that we haven't seen him since the end of the COVID-19 layoff, so while we do know the form that Bubba Watson is in, we don't know the form that Paul Casey is in. So Brandon, how are you viewing Paul Casey at 10-7? I think he's especially interesting if we're talking about him versus Bubba, because they think they have some similar concerns. So yeah, we have Paul Casey and Patrick Cantlay. I didn't say it. They're your two guys, but they're both returning. So I think that with Cantlay at 11-3, we can kind of even loop him in to this conversation in general. But with Paul Casey, I don't think I have to go to someone returning where I have no real idea. I was okay and this is very anecdotal and I don't like this, but this is kind of what we're dealing with. I played Hideki, like I liked Hideki. I thought that the stats were there and he was gonna come back and be fine and he was pretty rough. I'm not saying that that's what's going to happen to Paul Casey because we've also seen obviously every other golfer come back in their debut and some of them did really well, but there's a lot of unknown and I don't really think that it's worth gambling on Paul Casey who's already had, like we already know his concern is upside in winning. So I think I'm fine just stepping back and if Paul Casey comes out and wins, it is what it is, but I really don't view that as something likely enough to kind of worry about. And I think that the upside concern around Paul Casey is legitimate, which I think is also differentiates him from Patrick Cantley specifically because Cantley has that upside, whereas Casey doesn't. You're accepting a bad floor with both of them because we don't know what they look like. With Cantley, at least you have the upside for him to get a win. So I agree with you on Casey where I'm okay, kind of not going there most likely. With Cantley, I find it at least interesting. He will not be a core play for me because I like Xander and I like Dustin Johnson too much, but I'm gonna take some swipes at Cantley and see what happens just because I know that he does have that upside that Paul Casey doesn't necessarily have. Yeah, I should have thought about that with Hideki with what am I really paying for? But I mean, Cantley, his long-term stats are just pretty much unmatched almost. There's like Rory and JT kind of, and then it's Cantley and people might not be as keen to that. So I think that there is some leverage with Cantley, but again, with Casey, I don't really see it. So I'm fine, it's not on Paul Casey. I can lay off Cantley, but there will still be sprinkles and I won't lay off them completely. There will definitely be some exposure there. Let's move down to Jason Day. And I say the word down because to find him on the name list, you gotta scroll a pretty long way, day $9,400. And I think the main reason he is noteworthy here is because that salary is so low. So Brandon, talk to me about Jason Day, $9,400 at a course where he has had some success in the past. Yeah, cut here in 2017, but 12th and 2018 and then eighth and 2019. And if you're getting a top 12 from someone who's $9,400, whether it comes with a ton of birdies or not, you really can't complain. I also finished 18th in 2014 for whatever that's worth. And he's actually gained approach strokes in each of those starts, including 6.3 last year. And again, he's only $9,400, but obviously things have not been good for Jason Day lately. I've missed both cuts so far while losing 3.3 total strokes. Tee to green lost 4.1 with his approach play. It's just not, it's not good. That's exactly what we don't want to see, but people are kind of digging into course history. They might land on Jason Day, see it as a get right spot. What are your thoughts on Jason Day who you're historically down on as it is, but do you see any reason to play Jason Day at $9,400? So the reason I'm usually out on Jason Day is because he's so expensive. And like I could just go with someone who is a lot less volatile for the same salary and do it that way, $9,400 is different. I don't hate the salary this week. I don't hate the salary range this week. I actually kind of like the low $9,000 range, which is a deviation from the first two weeks. So I'm actually okay with this range. I expected Jason Day to be popping on the fan share tag list. So I was pulling it up while you were talking about him. I was not checking Twitter or something weird. I actually was paying attention to you for once. And I expected when I pulled up fan share for Jason Day to be near the top of the list because the salary for him is low on multiple sites, not just fans. Well, he's low elsewhere too, but he's tied for 24th in tags right now. So he's not getting that much buzz. We know he can't have spike weeks because he occasionally puts things together. I think that day is an easy avoid for me in cash games, but he can be similar to Cantlay where I wanna sprinkle him in and see what happens because I know that the upside when he is on is really good. So I would say he is a sprinkle play for me in tournaments, like a 20% exposure type guy. I think that's roughly where I land on Jason Day. What about you? Yeah, I was kind of expecting just to say no, not at all. But I mean, look, I don't put stock into finishes, but finishes do correlate really well with, you know, Fandall points. And obviously if you're finishing well, you're doing something right. But I mean, he has a fourth back at, you know, Pebble Beach, 16th at the Farmers. I mean, that's the beginning of the year, but we're looking at, again, top 15, top 20 upside for someone who's $9,400. We know that the short game's there. So if he can just kind of not be terrible off the tee or with his approach, I mean, his approach has been very bad in these two starts, but he did gain strokes off the tee last week. And we've seen him sort of gain strokes off the tee very often. So if he can just hit some fairways, not be terrible, you know, push through, make the cut, finish top 25. Yeah, that's not gonna be the best outcome, but we know that his range of outcomes is a little bit higher than that as well. And we know his floor is bad, but that's true for everyone in the low 9,000 range. So I would say to keep an eye on fan share tags this week and the sentiment around Jason Day because I think he's cheap enough where sentiment could swing very quickly. Once people like catch on to the fact that, yo, Jason Day is super cheap, that could change. So I would not just assume he's gonna be lower rostered because of these numbers. Check back on it later, but as of right now, I'm willing to dip my toes in the Jason Day waters. Yeah, Jason Day, same price as Joel Damon. What are you saying? I always would have thought that that meant Joel Damon was like 10-8 with Jason Day. Joel Damon should be 10-8. You picked a bad example. Let's talk about Brian Harmon, because it seems like we are always on Brian Harmon. At least I am, I don't know about you. I am always on Brian Harmon. And we have an extra reason to do so this week because TPC River Highland's always been really kind to Harmon. Harmon has been here nine times and has made the cut in eight of those. His finishes have been really good recently. Third in 2015, which was kind of long ago, but sixth in 2018 and eighth last year. That's all good. The putter has definitely helped Harmon the past two years, but he's generally good on Ben Krasn-Pola. Things have been okay for Harmon. Coming off of the COVID-19 layoff, he's been top 30 in both events. So Brian Harmon is part of the reason why I am very okay with a low 9,000 range, Angel Daymond too. What about you and Brian Harmon at $9,200? Yeah, the reason that we've liked Brian Harmon, it hasn't been something that we've loved. We haven't loved Brian Harmon forever. No, it's been last six months or so? Well, I'd say like last summer as she started being like really. I guess six months is December. Wow, okay. We are in June. Oh, gosh. Yeah, but yeah, it hasn't been that long. But yeah, he just has become like a really consistent, really balanced golfer. The only concern I have is that he's lost strokes off the tee in both of these starts, but he's picked up strokes and approach. We know that the short game is good. We know that he's balanced. He's $9,200. So I have him as a pretty safe pick here at the price and it does help you, it kind of opens up a lot. I've been building balanced lineups. We don't always have to hover right around $10,000. Harmon opens up a lot, like I said, and I think we're both in on him for good reason. Yeah, and I think another part of the reason why I like and inclined to get to guys like Harmon is that the 8,000 range is definitely not my favorite this week. It's frankly kind of scary. So if I can find more golfers in the low 9,000 range, I will be very okay with that. Yeah, the 8,000 range in a deep field is always rough. I think it's worse than usual this week based on, because like I was trying to find guys right up for the value section and it was tough. I like a few, but again, you're just really opening yourself up to a good chance of a missed cut. Yep. Let's move on here to the current form section. Discuss a couple of golfers who have been good, most likely specifically since the end of the COVID-19 laugh. As you mentioned, that's not always indicative of them being good going forward. So let's talk about a couple of them and see whether we should buy into what they've been doing recently. The big one is Abraham Anser. Anser was in contention this past week. He was good the week before that too, but now he's 10-6. So what do we think about Abraham Anser this week, Brandon, for the Travelers Championship? Yeah, Anser's been a long time heat check favorite, I think, at least for me. I think a little bit more than you, but I know that you're in on Anser quite often as well, finished 14th and second in the two-thirds since the layoff. He's the only golfer in the field to gain strokes in each round with his ball striking over a full eight-round sample. John Rom, Dustin Johnson, and Max Homa have also done it, but they've only played six rounds because they each missed the cut. So Anser's ball striking has been kind of the best of anyone coming back over, again, over that full eight-round sample. He's gained strokes off the tee in all eight rounds. He's the only golfer to do that. So definitely pretty nice. Anser was eighth here last year after a missed cut in a 56th. Last year though, he gained 7.6 strokes tee to green. I really liked the game. I just don't like the price of 10,600 on FanDuel. I would imagine his FanShare tags are getting up there. I was just looking at that. I'm pretty sure his odds on FanDuel Sportsbook shifted from 33 to 29 to one already. That could continue to climb. So I like Anser. I like the game. Don't like the price. I might just not play him. It's a little scary, but what are you thinking here? I don't think it's honestly that scary though when you look at the names around him. Like, is it that scary to fade Abraham Anser in favor of Colin Mora-Kawa? Like, Dustin Johnson is four hundred. I know I keep coming back to DJ, but Dustin Johnson looked pretty good last week. There's a reason I keep coming back to him. And like, when he's four hundred dollars more expensive than Abraham Anser, I don't actually find it that scary to fade Anser. I agree with what you said. Like, he's been awesome. I like what I've seen. The problem is people like Salaries have reacted to that. And the public has too, because as you mentioned, he's third in FanShare tags right now. He's way up there. He's going to be a golfer with a drastically increased salary who will also come with increased popularity. And that's generally a bad combo. So I'm pretty okay laying off. I don't find it that scary personally, but like you said, like I like what I see, but it's also tough when everyone else likes what they see too. Yeah, I mean, it's scary in the sense that the ball striking has been objectively amazing compared to everyone else. And he's done it consistently. But I mean, he hit so many fairways last week. A lot of good drives. According to Fantasy National, he gained 9.3 good drives on the field. Nobody else was above 6.3. You got to think that he won't hit as many fairways. That he'll miss a few more greens in regulation. We know that he's not long off the tee. So I think despite what we've seen, it's time to back away from Abraham answer. I played him last week in our head to head. I liked him a lot as a, but I'm saying like I went from liking him enough to playing him in a head to head. I think at the price we can do better. I would agree with that. So let's talk about a golfer who's also been good since the end of the layoff, but is not quite as costly. That's Joaquin Nieman, our boy. Before the layoff, Joaquin Nieman was not our boy. He seemed like he was in a pretty major funk. He had missed three straight cuts and had not finished better than 49th since early January. But he's been much better since things picked back up. Nieman has gained at least 2.4 strokes in approach. Each of the past two events, he had not hit that number on approach in a measured event since the Greenbrier in September of last year before that. So it had been a while before Nieman's approach game had been as good as it was. This is a course that is not solely dependent on accuracy and that's not an area where Nieman excels. So he can rely on that length a bit more. Does well on bank grass, although this is a bank grass poem mix. So Brandon, are you buying the Nieman rebirth at $9,800? Yeah, I am. His approach has been good. I mean, he just doesn't lose strokes with his approach hardly ever. His off the tee plays been good. The putting, I mean, I've actually seen quite a bit of Joaquin Nieman on the coverage, which I'm always a fan of because I love him. He looks a little less lost with the putter. That's good. Which, I mean, I can't put. I mean, I'm about a month under the bus or anything like that, but watching him put, it seems like he's really kind of figured some stuff out. And if you can get someone who's as good tee to green or specifically with the ball striking as Nieman, I like that a lot for Fandle. He's gonna make some birdies. He's gonna score at the price. He's one of my favorite plays in this range. Yeah, I think he is for me as well. Again, I'm more okay with the low 9,000 range than I was previously. So like last week, I was trying to do whatever I could to get back up into the high 9,000s. I don't feel that need this week, but I do still, I like this range a lot too. Like the 9,000s in general are really good. Nieman's a part of that. There are other guys around him who I also like, but I would be okay putting Nieman, if not at the top of that list, first or second. I think that's where he'd fit in that range for me. Cause like Victor Hovlin is still pretty enticing at $9,700. So it's a good range, but Nieman is a reason that range is good. Let's move into a value play here. Again, I hate the 8,000 range. I'm gonna have you try to talk me into someone potentially. Max Homa, $8,800. Not great last week, at least based on the finishing perspective. What do you see with him here, or at least two weeks ago, I should say, at $8,800? So Homa, Mr. Cut at the Charles Schwab was 41st at the RBC Heritage. Not great there, but the underlying data, definitely not bad for the price at $8,800. He gained 4.6 strokes off the tee in those, 5.8 with his approach, lost 0.4 at the Charles Schwab and approach, but gained 6.2 at the heritage. So definitely not balanced, but I mean, I'm fine with some spike, some variance for these cheaper golfers when we can maybe hit one of their best outcomes in a single week. He's lost strokes in the short game pretty heavily. He's missed two cuts at the Travelers in his career, 2015 and 2019, but before the break, I mean, if we're talking current form, five straight top 25s, three top 10s, I mean, I really want to make sure that we're not looking just at these past two events. So I kind of see a good reason to like Homa. This week, I don't mind him as a value pick. He's not gonna be someone that I load up on, but someone who I rotate in with other core plays I like a lot. That's kind of where I am with him. Sounds like maybe you're not in on him. No, okay. I am, yeah. I am because there's not a lot of golfers I like down here. So when I find something I can latch on to, I'm more okay taking a leap of faith on that. I think that I'm not gonna have anybody in my core in the 8,000 range. It's going to be in tournaments. I make the 9,000 range guys in my studs the core and make the 8,000 guys all rotational pieces to spread out my exposure there and concentrate things to the top end. But Homa is definitely someone I'll include in that rotation because if he can have those ball striking numbers in those two events, that's intriguing. And the short game is bad, but that's also true for guys who are much more expensive than him. So I think that Homa makes sense, $8,800. There's not a lot I like in that range. And I agree with you. I think that's kind of the ideal situation. You wanna find guys who have had good ball striking in a small sample, but have not had the finishes to show for it. That's exactly what we have with Max Homa. And it's not like his short game is a disaster. It's bad, but it's not a disaster. He's not like Corey Connors with his short game. So he's not Corey Connors with his ball striking either. But I think when I can find someone like that where the finishes may not overlap with good recent upticks in ball striking and recent is not just the past two events, I think that's intriguing. So I think I am on Homa at $800. Yeah, according to DataGolf, he's had positive field adjusted strokes gained, which is just an amazing stat. But on his player page, he's gained strokes off the tee adjusted for the field in nine of his past 10. We know that the approach can kind of come and go. The short game is not great. It's specifically the around the green game, but the putting's actually been pretty solid. So I'm fine with Max Homa at $800. I'm with you. I won't have any super big core plays in this range, but he's gonna be someone that I'm probably heavily overweight on even just by having him on like 20%. Yeah, exactly. Like no one here is probably gonna be that popular anyway. So you can still be overweight. I don't care as much about like overweight on individual golfers as some people do. Like I don't, if I wind up even with the field on someone, it's not a disaster and I'm not gonna like delete my account. There are some people who are that way, it seems like. I'm not one of them, but like if I, no, no. There are a lot though, but like I don't care honestly. As long as it's not every golfer, because that'd be stupid, but like for individual golfers, I don't care. And if I wind up there on Homa, that's fine. I think I'd probably wind up being overweight though, like you said, just naturally by making him a rotational part of tournament lineups. It's not much at post and because of the golfers who have been in both events, since the end of the COVID-19 layoff, three of them have a top 10 finish in both. Two of them are Justin Thomas and Bryson D. Shampo. They're the co-favorites of this event along with Roy McElroy. The other is JT Poston, who is $9,700. Poston 10th at the Charles Schwab, eighth at the RBC Heritage, that's really good. And Poston is someone I have used in the past. But unlike Joaquin Neiman, the finishes for JT Poston are not fueled by good ball striking. Poston has lost, lost L-O-S-T-A, combined 4.9 strokes in approach in those two events. He has gained 9.8 around the green and 8.5 putting, which seems totally sustainable and not weird at all. So basically, I wanted to touch on Poston to say we shouldn't buy into the finishes he has put up since the end of the layoff. And he is not part of the reason why I love that upper 9,000 range, even though he's had these good finishes. Brandon, any disagreements for you on JT Poston? No. 7.2 strokes around the green at the RBC Heritage is just wild. I don't have a full database of those numbers, but that's gotta be one of the highest marks over the past five years. No idea that happened. Gaining 7.2 strokes around the green is just pretty unfathomable. So yeah, I think Poston's an easy kind of gloss over for me and hope that regression hits. Not for him. Yeah, I just mean, I'm not gonna play him and hopefully the math sort of reverse. I mean, he got two top 10s, he's doing fine. Sorry, JT. We'll move in here to see what the bookmakers are saying about the Travelers Championship where we have a group of three atop the odds chart at Fandall Sports Book where Justin Thomas, Rory McElroy, and Bryson DeChambeau are the co-favorites all at 11 to one, and then jumps down to John Rom and Webb Simpson. They are both 18 to one. Brooks Kepka, 20 to one, followed by Patrick Cantley at 22 to one. Dustin Johnson, Justin Rose, and Xander Schoffelay are all 27 to one. Then Abraham Anser and Bubba Watson round up the top group at 29 to one. Brandon, we have three studs at the top. JT, Rory, Bryson, rank those three for me in DFS. Rory, JT, Bryson, I mean, it's... You can't go wrong. I know you can't go wrong. It's why I'm making you do this. Yeah, I'd go, I would go Rory, JT, Bryson. I think Rory falling from the most expensive golfer and pretty sure JT, yeah, JT's back at 11 to one, like you said, but he kind of went, he did go up to 10 to one before falling back. So I mean, I think that the fact that JT's kind of the 1A in terms of the betting favorites and the most expensive golfer, he's gonna be the most popular golfer this week by a little bit. So I like Rory here because even when Rory was asked about the course last week and he's talking about how it doesn't fit his eye and he felt terrible, he was still fine. I mean, I think Rory's just the best player this week. So I'm gonna stick with Rory. What about you? If I got the vibe that people were gonna be off of Rory because he hasn't had the same top five finishes the past couple of weeks, I would be really into him. But I think that Bryson is interesting because people have bet him down, he was 12 to one, he's now 11 to one. So people are clearly interested there, but is salary still 11, seven? And I feel like Bryson should kind of be, if they were all 12,000, I think it'd be appropriate. And that $300 between JT and Bryson is not negligible. Like that's the difference between like 96 and 93 and like, you know, that can go a long way. So I actually kind of think Bryson might be my top guy, which is weird for me because I've been on Rory for such a long time and I don't wanna be overreactive to a couple of weeks for Bryson has looked really good because JT's looked really good too. And I don't think Rory's struggles are necessarily something that we'll hold over. So I don't wanna be overreactive, but even when I'm like trying to be mindful of that, I still wind up thinking that Bryson is a really good option at 11, seven. So I kind of think it's Bryson won Rory to JT three, but like if I open up fan share sports on Wednesday night and see that one of them is running away from a popularity perspective, I will have zero issue pivoting to one of the other two because I think they're all so close. Like the odds are tightly grouped for a reason. So Bryson, number one to me, but my conviction in that is, not that, it's not, I'm not tied to it. I mean, his T-degree in performance, not just the past two starts, but really since February have been amazing. The short game just hasn't been there for him. And I mean, you can argue that, yeah, his short game, his touch is not gonna be what it needs to be because he's put on so much muscle, he's so much stronger, maybe, but- He's just throwing his arms because they're just like bulging out. We's always armlocked with the putter anyway. So I mean, it's kind of- Trying to get that mic trout neck to see the hole when he's putting. Yeah, I don't think you can prove that either way. I'm fine trusting the T-degree in play. And we wanna talk about Rory finishing top five every, like top five, top 10 all the time. I mean, go back through Bryson's finishes. He's got five straight top tens, 52nd, 15th, 4th, 13th before that. He's been up there, he deserves it. So I can't really follow you for putting him number one. It's really tough though. And we rode JT so hard over the summer that it's really hard for me to put a third on this list. But the salary savings do make a difference. And I just, I really, really am intrigued about what we've seen out of Bryson. So I am willing to be reactive to popularity this week. And I wanna keep that in mind, but just playing things straight up, Bryson will be my number one. There is a good second tier though. We got, you know, we got Webb in there. Brooks is in there. Rom, Cantley. If you're looking at that second tier, not just the guys I named, you can kind of make it as liberal as you want. But among that second tier, who do you think is the best shot to climb up and contend with those top three from a DFS perspective? So I'll kind of just look from DJ up through Webb. So like the 11,000 range, any of them, really. I mean, that's the problem. I have been on John Rom the past two weeks. I'm kind of stepping away from that. Would it surprise me if John Rom wins this thing? No. Same with Xander. Xander was pretty rough on the weekend last week, but still the long-term form is amazing. If I have to pick one, I think it's gonna be DJ, but Brooks is right there. It's so difficult to narrow this down and pick just one. I know I have to, but I'd probably go DJ just for the price, but I don't wanna forget about John Rom and Brooks Kepka. Yeah. Neither DJ or Brooks are super high on the fan share tags and I think that the enthusiasm around JT, Rory and Bryson, because of the odds is gonna be enough where those guys, although there will be interest, I don't think it's going to be crazy interest in those guys. So I think that if you're gonna buy into a bounce back, I mean, Kepka already bounced back, but it's not like people are like slobbering over themselves to get Brooks in there. So I would say this is a good week to buy into them. I would say that Xander is someone I would pinpoint as being very likely to push for a win. I like Xander a lot. I think he fits this course super well based on what I want. He was third the week before. He had that tough weekend last week. So I think if I had to pick one, I might go Xander, but DJ is right there and Kepka is very much in consideration too. Yeah, it's just, it's scary to feel like we're not really taking John Rom seriously. Yeah. But you can't take all, you can't roster all of them. No. Fortunately. Yeah, I'm gonna stick with DJ, Xander. Man, I feel like I gotta, DJ, DJ Rom. Oh. I have to be like, I don't think we should just gloss over John Rom. I think that's very fair. No, I think you're right. But DJ is my number one just because of the price. I'm in line of that. DJ, not a cash gameplay for me this week, but I will be actively trying to make sure I am overweight on him relative to the field in tournaments. Whose odds have shifted since things opened back up? We discussed Justin Thomas moving from 10 to one to 11. He was 11, then he was 10, then he's back to 11. Bryson was 12, he's now 11. Outside of that, what movement have we seen? Rom, 20 to 18. Abraham answered 33 to 29 on Vandalsport's book. Walki Neiman, 40 to 33. Victor Hovland, 45 to 41. Brian Harmon, a big move from 65 to 50. And then Patrick Rogers, 130 to 80. Max Homo, 130 to 100. So not a ton, not as much as we've seen, but enough. And it seems like some of these young guys are getting bumped up maybe a little higher than they should be. So gotta take that. Betters are saving me from myself though by taking Brian Harmon out of the Winpix range. So thank you for that because I probably picked Harmon like 90,000 times to our Winpix. So I appreciate it. I'll say that. I think you have. Neiman is interesting going from 40 to 33 because I'm not saying you should do this. But like when I have my sheet lined up, I have it sorted by the odds and I can see guys who are mismatched from the odds and the salary perspective. Walki Neiman is a major mismatch at 33 to one and $9,800. Those are similar odds to answer or similar-ish to answer. Who's 10-6? Conmore Cow is 10-5. And Sung Jae-in is 10-4. And Neiman's $600 cheaper than all those guys and he's in the same odds tier. That to me says he is going to be popular this week, which means I'm okay- Let's go Victor Hovland or Tony Finaw or something instead of Neiman. Even I love Neiman, but I think that I am okay, potentially shifting elsewhere. Yeah, I mean, what could go wrong with a lot of Walki Neiman? But yeah, I think that just roster percentages and sort of game theory is extra vital whenever the fields get deep because, yes, it is Rory JT and Bryson. Are they easier plays to justify than John Rom? Yeah, are they significantly more likely to win than John Rom? No, not specifically. They are a tier above some of these other golfers, but I think we have to do a little bit better of a job with these deep fields of just kind of saying we don't know everything and that there are other options who are in play. You should be more willing to pivot when you can replace that production elsewhere. And in these fields, you can replace that production elsewhere. So that's why I personally have been more willing to react to popularity than I have been in the past couple of weeks. Let's move on to talking about some golfers with lower salaries that have odds that stand out to you. Who pops there, Brandon, from an odds and salary comparison perspective? Brian Harmon's won at $9,200. She's 50 to one on Vandal Sportsbook. Jason Day's 65 to one at $9,400. I guess Scottie Schaeffler, 96, it's not cheap, but he's also 65 to one. Some golfers at 80 to one include Cameron Champ and Patrick Rogers, who are both sub 9,000 on Vandal. Jason Cokerack, Billy Horschul, Shane Lowry, Louis Wiesteson, all in the low 9,000 range at 90 to one. And then Max Homa, Kevin Strylman, Chezz, Reevy, Yaboi, Russell Henley, and Dylan Fratelli all 100 to one and all below 9,000 as well. Patrick Rogers opened at 130. He's now 80 to one. Yes. Did we talk about that? Yeah, you did, okay. Whew. Remember when I said that I was paying attention to you earlier on the podcast? You paid attention that one time, so you're set for like the next few months. Yeah, I cashed out. Are you buying into the movement on Patrick Rogers? Like is he someone who interests you or no? I haven't really looked much, but no. Okay, cool. I'm just to the point where there are so many good golfers and options at various prices where if you don't really pop out to me at the start, I'm probably not gonna get there. Yeah. So I just go for it. I think that's fair. Whether this week, nothing too big, super low wins early in the day on Thursday that will eventually rise, but they never get above 10 miles per hour. So like a four mile per hour difference between early tee times and late tee times. Similar thing for Friday. So nothing big there. Potential rain late Saturday and into Sunday, but no wind associated with it. So it could be a bit wet over the weekend, but it doesn't look like things will be too crazy at all. So I wouldn't worry too much. Obviously, because there's less, there are less sports going on, more of you may be inclined to play like single round DFS. There you want to be more vigilant about the weather than for a full tournament roster. But for this podcast, we're focusing mostly on the full tournament. So I think you're okay to mostly disregard weather for this weekend. Do you want to say something? You look like you were... No, I'm just... Okay. ...reading stuff. All right, let's move on to the player picks then, starting off with the studs for the Traveller's Championship, Brandon, who stands out to you this week on Fandal. I'm gonna go with Rory McElroy, which is not a surprise, but $11,900, not the most expensive golfer for a change. He's been a little bit cold in the return, at least cold for his standards, but 32nd at the Charles Schwab, then 41st at the RBC Heritage, lost 2.2 strokes putting overall to rank him 88th in that sample, but has gained 8.7 strokes T to green, which is 13th most, and that includes last week, when you could tell that he just did not like the course, how it fit him. He's talked about why he doesn't play it a lot, so with all that in mind, he's been very good. He has a pair of top 20s at this event in 2017 and 2018, gained seven strokes off the tee in each, which is amazing, and off the tee plays something I'm valuing a lot. So I like Rory, and it feels like maybe the losser is wearing off, but he's still the best Fandal performer in terms of fantasy points above expectation. Since 2018, I'm just gonna play Rory and feel okay with it. As mentioned, Rory's number two for me in that upper tier, number one is Bryson DeChambeau. So let's talk about Bryson, got a lot of buzz, but I still don't think it's enough where he's gonna be outlandishly popular this week, at least based on the early read, that could change, but I'm hoping he won't be at least restrictively popular this week, because Bryson, over the long term, ranks third in this field in good drive rates. He has been smashing things the past two weeks, that extra distance may be more apparent here than it was the past two weeks, and over the shorter term, Bryson's approach has been nuts. He has gained 10.7 strokes in approach over the past two weeks alone. $11,700, I think that's more than fair with how good he has looked. So Bryson number one for me, ahead of Rory, ahead of JT, Brandon, any final thoughts on that upper tier before we move on? Can't really go wrong, I will say. I've been tracking Bryson's driving distance a little bit. According to fantasy national, he gained 57.9 yards over the average. That did not lead the field last week though, which is surprising. It was actually Brooks at 63.9, and DJ was third at 50.9, so some of these big hitters are still, yeah, Bryson can launch it, but some of these other guys still can too, so keep that in mind, but Bryson, I can see why you put him number one. Another justification for interest in Brooks and DJ though. Let's move on to our second high salary guys. Who else do you like up here, Brandon? I'm gonna go with Collin Moore-Calla down at 10.5. The 11,000 range is very enticing, but it's really hard to get two of them, especially if you do spend up for one of the top three. Moore-Calla should be good for a bounce back. He's not a good Bermuda putter, so it's actually a plus in his favor. Now he's back on Ben Grass and Poa. If you look at his 2020 sort of event log, he's alternated weeks gaining and losing strokes around the green. That's definitely problematic, but a really good fantasy performer. And 21 starts with Fandall scoring. He's third in field adjusted fantasy points, trailing only Roy McElroy and Justin Thomas. So if you just look at the actual fantasy production he puts up, even adjusted for the field, very good. And I think that sometimes I don't look at that enough. So Moore-Calla 10.5, very easy to sell me on this week. Yeah, I think if I wind up absolutely hating the 8,000 range and I'm not, I don't actually hate it. I dislike it pretty strongly right now. I could see myself selling out for balance, in which case Moore-Calla would fit really well because I think of the guys in the mid to high 10,000 range he would probably be number one. Sung Jae is right there though, but regardless, I would be at least interested in Moore-Calla there. I'm a bit more inclined though, I think right now to try to find the salary to get to Xander's shuffle at 11,200 dollars, because Xander looks like one of the most statistically well-rounded golfers in the field this week, ranks 33rd or better in all four of the stats I'm focusing on, 10th and good drive rate, 17th in approach and 20th in scrambling. And the putting on Poa and Bentgrass is solid too. Those are his two best services. Xander's been here only twice. He does at least have course knowledge though, which is good. He finished 14th in 2017. Lost 2.3 strokes in approach last week, but that's after gaining 3.3 on approach and 8.1 T-degree in the week before that. So I don't wanna jump ship on Xander just because he had one bad week. Seems like a good bounce back spot for him at 11,200, but again, DJ at 11,000 is like right, right, right there for me in this range. Yeah, I mean, you don't have to talk me about Xander much at all. I think that he's a really good fan to play pretty much always. And actually, I think that I was always a little bit ahead of myself with him and I never liked the stats quite as much, but according to DataGolf, he's actually 10th in 2020 in adjusted strokes gain T-degree. You can't really go wrong with that. Yeah, absolutely. So let's move down to the mid tier. Who do you like here between nine and 10, or nine and $10,000? I'm gonna go a little bit higher because I'm still gonna try to build a bit of a balanced lineup, probably something like Rory Morakawa to start. And so I like Tony Finau, someone we didn't talk about, $9,900 on Fandall. His approach play of these past two starts hasn't been good. It hasn't been atrocious, but he's lost one and a half in 0.9 strokes with his approach. But again, I'm not putting too much stock into an eight round sample whenever it is easy not to do, but I will use it in my favor when I want to. Just being honest, he's eighth overall in my stats model. That includes the fact that he's a 19th in strokes gained in approach over the past 50 rounds. He's not on Bermuda anymore. Great fantasy golfer, Finau at $9,900, fits a balanced build with some upside, even though we know that the winning is always a problem with Finau. Right, and I think that he's another guy in that range where if I get skittish about Neiman being popular, Finau's a very, very easy place to go. Not only does he benefit from the greens being different, but this is also not like an accuracy-centric course, whereas the past two have been. And he's still finished fine, but he's 31st in good drive rate. Soon he's good off the tee from a strokes gained off the tee perspective. 19th approach, as you mentioned, I think Finau fits very well if we get worried about Neiman being too popular and Victor Hodlin would be someone in that range for me too. Let's talk about Kevin Kisner because I have mentioned I really don't like the 8,000 range, so I want to focus on some golfers in the lower 9,000 range who I do like. We already touched on Brian Harmon at 92, I would reiterate that he is my favorite guy in the middle tier, but I also like Kevin Kisner quite a bit. Kisner, kind of like Xander, well-rounded, checks a lot of boxes statistically. He's 33rd in good drive rate, 41st in approach, 12th in scrambling and 13th in poet and bedgrass putting. That one's over 100 round sample, other one's over 50 rounds, and Kisner used that to finish 15th year last year. The approach play has been mixed in the two events back, but at $9,400, I think that Kisner seems like a high-floor golfer with at least a path to a ceiling. Brian, any thoughts for you on Kevin Kisner? With you, I mean, we've kind of been, I've been on him more than I typically have been. Yeah, I agree. Just, we're gonna need golfers in this price range and Kisner is a bit of a high-floor play, like you said, so I'm fine with him. I would like to get up a little bit higher or maybe spend a little bit lower kind of often, but Kisner at 94, someone who I will, if I have $9,400 left, I'll play Kevin Kisner quite a bit. Okay, perfect. Who else do you like in this mid-range? I was gonna talk about Neiman, but we've talked about him plenty, so I'm gonna pivot and go with another great ball striker who's not necessarily super consistent. And the short game, that's Scotty Scheffler at $9,600. Didn't play last week after a 55th at the Charles Schwab, but he has great ball striking numbers when you adjust for the field. Just not a good short game, but I think for $9,600, he's very much in play in a lot of different ways. And he played some like invitations over the break and I think one in was one one of them and was like second and another, which probably doesn't mean anything, but the form is probably decent, took a week off, maybe that's a good thing for him. The short game is usually terrible. It's not always terrible, but we have seen some solid putting performances from him actually. Yeah, Scotty Scheffler's short game stats are less red for me than Corey Connors, which is good. And the ball striking frame is good. So I think that he's interesting. I think that I had the same thing that you mentioned with Kisner. I'd rather go a little bit up or a little bit down relative to Scheffler, but I really don't mind filtering him in. Like again, like you said with Kisner, if I have 96, I'm okay locking in Scheffler for sure. Yeah, I'd rather play Neiman. It's more of a, if we don't want to, if we would kind of want to play the Neiman, misses the cut narrative, I'm fine with Scheffler. Okay, let's talk about Joel Damon, who you for some reason decided to besmirch when we were discussing Jason Day. But Damon golfing really well last week, so it slipped a bit over the weekend, finished 48th, but the signals that led us to using Damon there are still in place because he ranks 20th in approach to past 50 rounds. That is an addition to being 50th in good drive rate, 37th in scrambling despite the fact that he can't putt. Damon has gained nine strokes in approach in the two events since returning, just been dreadful around the greens. And Poa is the least bad surface for Joel Damon. So if he can just clean things up a bit around the green, which is probably a tall ask, he's definitely someone who could put together a top 10 finish at $9,400. So I'm going back to Joel Damon. I would mention I will sprinkle in some Jason Day too at the same salary. Brandon, what are your thoughts on Joel Damon again, who you for some reason decided to besmirch earlier? I mean, Damon's had a lot of high end finishes, which again, just correlate well to fantasy scoring. The T degree numbers almost always positive, usually comfortably so. It's just a short game. It's kind of just the mold with a lot of these golfers. We just talked about Schaeffler, Neiman, Hovland, really great ball strikers. Just the short game can really let them down. But for the price, I'm fine with it. I really like this 9,000 range from sort of top to bottom really. I agree. And that's why I don't want to dig down too much, which means that I will forgo some of the top end studs, but I think that the 10,000 and the low 11,000 range is just as good or very good as well. So. Like relative to salary, they're just as good. Yeah. I agree, especially in the 9,000 range. I like it a lot. So with that said, as we poop on the 8,000 range, let's talk about some 8,000 range golfers, who we kind of like. Brandon, who was your first value play here on FanDuel this week? Harold Varner, $8,600. I think we can keep going back here. He's 24th in strokes game off the tee, 10th in strokes game approach over that past eight rounds. So these two starts, the long-term form is really good. He's actually kind of in really strong company. I actually typically go through and filter out guys who rank at least a certain threshold in my key stats. And he and Neiman were the two below 10,000 who actually hit those thresholds. So that's very promising for Harold Varner. His best putting surface is Pella. Still a negative on the surface, but you can't really ask for too much from a golfer who's $8,600 and who has been golfing well in their return. Yeah. 19th, two weeks ago, the ball striking number is really good. So I agree, Varner is someone I will filter in for my tournament lineups. I also will filter in Chez, 8,000 range, really bad. So I don't feel great about anybody down here, which again is why I'm going to filter through this range rather than committing to anyone. But Chez at least has some components we can like, namely the ball striking is good. Chez ranked seventh in good drive rate and 27th in approach over the past 50 rounds. And he won here last year. We didn't really mention that, but he did. He gained 11.4 strokes T to green, which was the most in the field. So I don't feel great about what Chez has done the past two events, but it is still a better profile than most of the guys in this range. So I will still go at Chez. I am like, I kind of looked into him, tried to find someone else, but then wound up going back to Chez. So it's not like I'm super sold on him, but there is at least enough there. So Brandon, what are your thoughts on Chez Ravey? $8,900. I won't talk you out of him, but he doesn't really gain strokes off the tee. I think that matters here. Obviously it didn't matter last year, but this is a much different field. It's going to be a much different event. I don't know if he does enough to have much upside and frankly the consistency hasn't necessarily been there either. So we love Ravey on this podcast, but I think I'm out this week. Very fair. Again, I'm not, I'm just kind of going your out of obligation. Yeah, it's tough down here. But I don't think you're wrong. So let's talk about another value play, Brandon, who you slacked me about mid-tournament last week. Who is that and why do you like them? I don't recall. Do you not remember this? No. I sent you a lot of live slacks during golf. You sent me a slack of Doc Redmond's like data golf numbers with like a single eyeball emoji, which is frightening always. That sounds, that is terrifying. But yeah, Doc Redmond $8,100 made both cuts in the return doing it in the most reliable way with his approach play. He's second on the tour and total strokes gained approach over these two events at 12.5, second only to Abraham answer 16.5. Not a good Poa Putter, but super cheap pick at $8,100. And look, we're talking about, we want ball striker, we just talked about a ton of ball strikers who are very good at ball striking and not necessarily good with the short game. That's kind of what Redmond's been. His approach plays been insane these past two starts, but it's also been very good before that. So I can buy in, he can gain strokes off the tee. The short game is never great, but it's also not terrible enough to worry. So we're kind of looking at like missed cut or a made cut with some like top 30 as a ceiling. You don't love that, but if you're spending $8,100, you're not getting guys with great top 10 odds. Right, you're getting ceiling elsewhere by using those players. I think that's kind of the intention with Doc Redmond. I think he's interesting. The definitely someone to consider, but I want to go back to an old tee check favorite who we've been off of for a bit as Lucas Glover, because again, I don't feel super secure about Lucas Glover, but there are at least a couple of things working in his favor. First is that Glover's played well since the end of the layoff. He has gained at least three strokes in approach in both events. He's gained at least 4.3 tee to green in both and he used those to finish top 25 in both events. Second, Glover's best putting surface is Poa and he's better on bentgrass than he is on Bermuda. So he should hopefully putt less terribly than usual, which is kind of what we're looking for here. Glover, $8,600. We know he can golf well in spurts and I can at least live with that. So Brandon, what are your thoughts of Lucas Glover at $8,600 for the travelers? I didn't really notice him much. Even with the top 25s lately, it hasn't really caught my attention a ton, but it's really that mold down here where you'd rather have not the JT post in stats where you're gaining seven strokes around the green, instead you went that was coming from ball striking. I could see the case for him. I wasn't really into him, but I think he sold me a little bit. The putting's still real bad. Oh yeah. But yeah, I think you could do a whole lot worse. So I think the main guys we agree on here are HV3 and Glover, correct? And kind of I'm in on Redmond a bit. So like those are the main ones we kind of agree on here. Yeah. Okay, so. Homa. Yeah, Homa, yeah, yeah, true, yep. Okay, so a couple of guys we are okay with, but in general the sentiment is live in the 9,000 range in the 10,000 range as often as you can. Let's do our win picks for this weekend. I assume you won the Bobo hat again because I gave up on it very quickly once again. I think I had Rory. You did, it wasn't? No, I wrote my Bobo hat off because I thought Rory's gonna miss a cut after Thursday. It sounds like whatever. I don't need to check this anymore. And so it wound up being okay, but like I didn't win, I know that. It was pretty close. I was actually a little annoyed that it was this close, but I think it came down to, I had Rom and Ancer and you had Rory and like Brian Harmon or something. But Ancer's runner-up was the differentiator. So it was actually close. Okay, I'll take that. Ooh, all the odds just shifted. Ooh, okay, Rory is now 12. Dishambo is 13 and JT is 13, so whatever. Anyway, win picks for this weekend. You get to go first. One golfer, I'm gonna include the top three, anybody you want. And then one golfer, 60 to one or longer to win. If you wanna pick someone at 60, I will let you know if they're still 60 or longer. Brian Harmon was 50 and is now 65. I'm just letting you know about this. 60 to one or longer, you said? Yeah. Okay, then give me, I should probably... Don't do it. What? Just don't do it. There's clearly someone who I should be seeing here, but I don't. I'm gonna be kicking myself now because there's clearly something I should be seeing. I'm gonna go with Scottie Schaeffler. Boo. Is that who you gonna pick? Yeah, I wanted Scottie Schaeffler. Boo. I don't know. Tragedy, all right, I'm taking Bryson then. And then 60 to one or longer, I really don't wanna take Brian Harmon again. He's got the high end win upside. I kept sending you screenshots of Ian Poulter at first and I was so happy. Jason Day's gonna win. Jason Day. Why not, let's do it. All right. I'll take my hundred for the missed out. Just because I'm looking for an actual winner, I'll go with Rory, but I think there's a lot of betting value on Dustin Johnson, Conmore Cowell. Yeah, Dustin Johnson actually lengthened to 28. I think they might be lengthening the odds to entice people to bet it because everybody lengthened too much. So DJ's 28. I like that number a lot. That is what I will say. What's Schaeffler now? 70. Oh, all right. Yeah, what was he before? 65. Okay, so yeah. So I have Bryson DeChambeau and... Jason Day. Jason Day for the first time ever. I'm not even gonna ask you to check because I'm pretty sure it's, I don't think I've ever bet or said to bet Jason Day for this thing, so. That's, I mean, I like both of those guys a lot, but I feel like that's a very unpopular combo to have just in general. Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, for sure. Oh, from a... The general sentiment on those two guys seems to be... The sentiment on Bryson is low. The sentiment on Jason Day from a DFS perspective, far lower. So yes, and you have Rory and Schaeffler, correct? Okay, all right. So it should be a fun event. I think that there are some good opportunities from a DFS perspective to potentially buy into golfers before they return to their long-term form, which is always intriguing and a good situation for us as DFS players that we can react before everyone else does. That is a good thing. Brandon, any final thoughts for you before we close up shop today? Roster range shouldn't be super high, but I think there's still always going to be an advantage for thinking a little bit differently and just missing out on the guy who is 25% on rosters and misses the cut. Yeah, I think that's... I mean, that's you're cutting your competition down to 75% of the field, which is a lot better than 100%. So... Yeah, like Sung Jae last week, Hideki last week. Why, why, why bring up Sung Jae? Of anybody you could have brought up, why do you hurt me? I mean, look, Sung Jae was 20.9%. Webb was 20.4%. You can make the case that doesn't matter, but you can also make the case that it matters. Nothing matters, Brandon. That's the true answer here. That is all that we have for today for PGA, but again, two more podcasts coming up this week, UFC Wednesday on the podcast only feed, on the Number Fire Daily Fantasy podcast feed, video and podcast version for NASCAR coming up on Friday. So make sure you are subscribed to the Fandual YouTube page if you wanna see the video version and to the Number Fire Daily Fantasy podcast feed to get all these podcasts right as they are posted. And if you like what you hear or if Brandon leads you to betting Webb Simpson and he gets you a win, leave us a rating and review as well. Brandon, if people have questions for you on Twitter, where can they find you there? I'm at Cadulla13, G-D-U-L-A-1-3. And I am at Jim Sonnis, J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S. You can also follow the Fandual Podcast Network at Fandual Podcast. Big thank you to Calvin Theobald, our video producer for running the video aside of things here today as always. Thank you, Calvin. Thank you to everyone for tuning in. We hope you do well this weekend for BGA DFS at the Travelers Championship. We'll talk to you once again next week. This has been the Heat Check Fantasy Podcast powered by Number Fire.