 Let's get over to our man, Mr. Steve Rose, as we do each of every Monday at 20 past the hour. And don't forget, folks, Steve has an outstanding show here every trading day, one to two Eastern Standard Time, also a great newsletter. Mastering probability. Now, it's very easy to get mastering probability, folks. Come over to our website at TFNN, you hit Newsletters, you're going to see mastering probability on the right-hand side, top row, you just hit Subscribe, you can get mastering probability for one month for $149. You get it for six months, for $695, which is the savings of $199 or 22%, and you can get it for one year for $1195, which is the savings of $593 or 33%. Now they all, folks, come with a 30-day money-back guarantee. So you can go out there, you can test drive it. Steve's got a couple great archives out there. You can understand all the different tools that he uses. Come the end of the month, you like it, no problem. For some reason it doesn't work for you. Guess what? You get your money back. Great time to get the newsletter, folks. We get volatility in spades. Steve Rhodes, what's going on? Well, nothing like doing some stock charting, you know, doing our tools, using our tools, looking at the patterns, and then throw a little war inside of the markets. Exactly. So it is, so, you know, what I thought we would do here is, the question in my mind is, whoops, I need to grab the right, sorry about that, just grab the wrong screen out there. Just give me a moment to do that. Usually I don't have a problem here. But the question in my mind is, is this a war, Tom, or is this a geopolitical event out there? And that's really important for us to be able to answer that question. So for me, that is the big question on my mind. And, you know, seeing this presentation, really the reason why is, if the answer to the question is war, then I would suggest that we need to prepare for a market that should trade lower until the market senses some form of optimism. So here's a chart, and we may have taken a look at this before, but here's a chart that shows the Korean War. It shows on June 25, 1950, when the North Korean People's Army crossed the border. And it wasn't until the U.S. sent Task Force Smith to, at Chochewan in July 18, through the 12th in 1950, we can see as we take a look at the stock patterns out here, or at least simply whether something was bottoming or topping what actually took place. And that was a optimistic opportunity. So if folks that are listening in, and I don't know, you know, we'll try to answer that question here, and you'll see that there's going to be a difference. So if this is a war, we want to prepare for a market that moves lower. If the answer to that question is it's a geopolitical event, this is kind of a cool chart that I put together over the years, which shows all the different events, what I consider to be geopolitical. What is the definition of a geopolitical event? Yeah, well, it would be something that's not war, really, something where you don't have U.S. troops, let's say, involved. OK. And so, for example, a geopolitical event, if you go all the way back in 2014, you may remember when the airliner was down by Russia in May 17, you would have thought that maybe that would have set up a move lower in the markets. Instead, that was actually the bottom of it, the Ebola outbreak out here. You would have thought that that would have sent markets lower for a bit, but we actually ended up bottoming out here. Brexit, you know, formed a bottom. So there's different types of geotype political events out there that help us to identify tops or bottoms. The U.S. withdrawing from the Russian nuclear treaty, you know, that identified a bottom. North Korea had a submissile launch. Again, so geopolitical events that have some type of positive out optimistic outlook will typically form a bottom. And so right now, if we just simply line up all these other events that I have out here, we take a look at Putin orders troops to Eastern Ukraine. And at this stage here so far, what we've got is a market bottom. So I think if we can answer that question, it helps us to answer. Well, in fact, in those geopolitical events, oftentimes what you'll see here, Tom, is you'll see some type of bottom pattern. And if we fast forward to really took place last week, this is the daily charge for the ES, NQ, the Dow and the Russell 2000 Future Contract. The ES, NQ and the Dow Equity Future Contract form bottoms. They form my TD nine count bottom. In the case of the NQ was both the TD nine count and the Dow Equity Future Contract, both the TD nine count bottom and a roadsman to indicator bottom signal. So this says, OK, we've lined up for either the countertrend rally that you spoke of earlier, or if this was just a geopolitical event, which I don't think it is at this stage. But if this is considered that, then we already have the bottom that's in play out here. And if we look at the cash indices, so maybe folks don't have access to the futures charts here, if we take a look at the cash indices, you're going to see a nice roadsman to indicator bottom TD nine count on the Dow, the S&P 500, the NDX 100, the Russell 2000, the semiconductor index, the transports, all of them formed bottoms, the type of pattern tools that I use that help us identify bottoms. In this case here, this suggests that the Dow maybe should make a run for 35, 430, the S&P 45, 26, the NDX 100, 14, 760. The Russell, 2210, but I'm not so sure about that one. And in the case of the semis, which is I think what we really want to be able to track, it could make move all the way up into that 38, 40 level. So we've got bottoms for the cash indices for the daily timeframe for most of the cash indices as we do the equity future contract. And seasonally speaking, the Dow forms a secondary bottom. You and I talk about the the typical bottom that forms at the end of January. So if we just take a look at this 86 year seasonal chart, we see we're beginning March 1st tomorrow, we typically don't use these necessarily to the day, we use these as a general timeframe. And so we have the bottom from last week that's tying into the March 2nd area. So as you pointed out, look, the market's trying to hammer out a bottom. Did it take place on last Thursday? Is it going to be because we retest lows? But there should be some type of bottom that forms between March 2nd and March 15th, if we just simply follow along the normal analog. This happens to be a 36 year seasonal cycle chart for the NDX 100. And the red line is today's date. And therefore, this suggests that we're near a bottoming cycle. Back during the last 36 years, Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Thursdays produce the highest average returns inside the NDX 100. During the last 15 years, an Aztec composite, so we got the larger end to see out here, that's generated a secondary low near the March 8th timeframe. So all this is really lining up with the bottom patterns that we have out here. The only thing that's the fly in the ointment would be if this is a war. So if last Thursday's TD9 and Rosemont Dominicator signal was a cycle bottom out here, I mean, that's really the question was a cycle bottom or is this a counter trend rally? And if this is a counter trend rally, again, the where I, where it looks like price should target inside of the Nasdaq composite we 14 246. Yeah, one reason anticipate that this is a counter trend move is because is because the answer to our first question. Well, and I'm sorry, so one another reason to anticipate that this is a counter trend move is because the answer to our first question is war versus geo political event. And if that is the case, then here we can take a look at other charts. If we take a look at World War Two, when Pearl Harbor was hit, we take a look at the battle of the Coral Sea that identified that optimistic turn inside the markets. One reason to believe this is a counter trend rally is typically getting counter trend moves. We have two to four bar moves to the upside. And this here, this set of this chart here identifies those moves. We've since the actual high that's come in, we've seen one four bar move to the upside followed by a three bar move. And then on Friday, that was our two bar move out here. And these are typically where these counter trend typically run out in the two to four bar. This happens to be a weekly chart for the Dow and coming off the March 2020 bottom, we can see that all the pullbacks were two to four bars on a weekly basis. So this is what has me believing we're just simply in a counter trend rally. And if in fact the US gets pulled in in a larger way, we should anticipate the markets are going to move lower. And you know, it's so cool, man, Steve, is that this is one of the strongest parts of the market anyway, from here to May, right? So it's like, if it only can go sideways, that's kind of the answer in some of our questions too. Do you know what I mean? Absolutely. Pretty cool, man. You got to love it. Absolutely. Listen, folks, get over our website at TFN and hit that mastering probability. Have a great one, Steve. Have a safe one. Thanks, Tom. Thank you.