 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot. We have a 10 game MLB Slate tonight. It locks at 7 0 5. My name is Tom Vecchio. I am here to bring you a breakdown of tonight's MLB Slate. I will be back here at 4 p.m. for the MLB Q&A live on the Faneville YouTube, Twitch, and Facebook page. As always, this is one of the many shows on the Faneville Podcast Network. You can find that anywhere whether it's iTunes, SoundCloud, Stitcher, Google Play, make sure to give it a like, follow or subscribe. That is greatly appreciated. And you can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. Before we hop into things, listen up soccer fans. This season, Faneville and Captain Morgan are teaming up to give you a one-of-a-kind soccer contest. Introducing the Captain Morgan Soccer pick on a weekly fancy contest that's entirely free to play. The contest is simple. All you have to do is make quick predictions for Saturday's games this soccer season. And you'll earn points for each correct pick and compete for a chance to win up to $3,000 in cash prizes every single week. So head over to Faneville to enter the Captain Morgan Soccer pick up today. Must be 21 plus two participate for more details. Visit Faneville.com or download the Faneville Fancy app, eligibility restrictions apply. And don't forget to make your game day more delicious and sub in the captain. All right, a 10 game slate that locks at 7 0 5. Again, another day where we are potentially dealing with some weather issues. St. Louis at Pittsburgh and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Philly. Both of those games should have rain gone before first pitch, which is good to see Detroit at Baltimore. We saw them get delayed last night. They started late, but we saw plenty of runs in that game. They are dealing with more rain tonight. We will update this of course at 4 p.m. Tampa Bay at Boston, Oakland at Cleveland and Washington at New York. All should be free of rain. They all have a bit of wind blowing out a slight bump to the hitters there. Cincinnati and Atlanta, we've been updated on this because there could be a delay in game. And then Milwaukee at Chicago, more storms headed to Chicago as we saw a couple of days ago. It should be later in the game. It will be good hitting weather, but this is important because there's a pitcher here we want to discuss. So this is another key game to follow for tonight. Speaking of pitching and that pitcher we want to discuss, that will be Corbin Burns for the Milwaukee Brewers. He comes in obviously with fantastic numbers this season, arguably the best pitcher on tonight's slate. He comes in with a 35% strikeout rate coming with a 2.35, X-Bip a 2.59, Sierra. He's only allowing 0.40 home runs per nine. Absolutely phenomenal numbers from him this season. He's also mainly a ground ball and medium contact pitcher. A 50.4% ground ball rates and a 54.9% medium contact rate. This is what we have seen from him throughout the season, obviously reaching towards a 50, 60, even 70 fantasy point ceiling in a lot of these great games with the high strikeout upside. Now the matchup for him against the Chicago Cubs is obviously fantastic because right now the Cubs come in with a 25.8% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching that is the worst in the league. We also see the Cubs coming in with a 145 team ISO that is 25th in the league. And we also see them carrying an 84 WRC plus which is also 25th in the league. So there's no doubt the combination of a strikeout potential that Corbin Burns brings by himself with the super, super favorable matchup going up against the Cubs. This is absolutely a spot that we want to be targeting but the weather presents a big, big issue on tonight's league because if this game is going to be delayed and or rained out, you don't want to be spending $11,000 on a pitcher that won't be playing. So this potentially leads us to Kevin Gosman for the San Francisco Giants. He comes in at $10,300 and you can make the case that he's the second ace on tonight's slate. Obviously a pitcher who's also having a great season with a 30.2% strikeout rate. 0.82 home runs per nine allowed, only 7.5% walk rate this season. Of course, great to see. He comes in the 41.6% ground ball rate, a 50.6% median contact rate, a 3.44 Sierra and a 3.38 exit. All great numbers from Gosman. His strikeout rate is obviously still strong sitting up at 30.2% but it is just a half step behind Corbin Burns. So we do want to be looking at Burns first again if that game does play. The matchup for Kevin Gosman of course is very solid at home which is a slight pitchers park in San Francisco or more than a slight pitchers park, a solid pitchers park. He's going up against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They come in with a 20.5% strikeout rate versus righties, which is the fifth worst on the league. Arizona comes in with a 125 iso versus righties which is dead last in the league and they come in with an 80 WRC plus which is 28th in the league. So the Diamondbacks don't strike out as much as the Cubs but their offense is just a little bit weaker. Gosman is $700 cheaper compared to Corbin Burns and Gosman isn't in the game that it could be impacted by rain. Now ultimately, if the Milwaukee X Chicago game does play and we know that we're going to be free of potential weather issues in that game, I'm going to be siding with Corbin Burns. Yes, it's a 10 game slate. We have no course fields. I will be willing to pay up all of that 11,000 of his salary to get that consistency, that strikeout upside, that 60, 70 fantasy point potential in my lineup. So Corbin Burns is my number one pitcher on tonight's slate if that game does play due to the rain but even if that game is rained out we have a very, very viable alternative with Kevin Gosman, again, just $700 cheaper. So leading off, we have two great pitchers we can be targeting for absolutely all formats tonight. Now, some of the options below them in terms of their salary, Adam Wainwright, Alec Manoa, Frankie Montas, all of these pitchers are good, Kyle Gibson. We're dealing with a bunch of good pitchers on tonight's slate. Adam Wainwright I personally think is a little bit too expensive, especially having a lower strikeout rate at 22.8%. I don't want to be paying up $9,600 for a pitch with that low of a strikeout rate not saying that he's not in a good spot going up against the Pittsburgh Pirates. I'm not worried about the Pirates, it's more about his salary and him reaching value. I will be interested in Frankie Montas for the Oakland Athletics coming of the 26.3% strikeout rate, only allowing 6.2% walk rate this season, of course, good to see. Also another picture that's mainly ground balls, mainly medium contact, which is good to see 41.6% ground ball rates, 54.2% medium contact rate with a 3.70 here and a 3.67 exit, of course, solid numbers from Frankie Montas. He's on the road going up against Cleveland. Now, Cleveland's right at the league average in terms of their strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching, sitting at 23.8%. So they don't strike out nearly as much as Arizona or the Chicago Cubs do, given their match-ups, but we're also not overly worried about the Cleveland offense. They do have a little bit of pop in their offense with a 169 team iso versus righties. That's 12th in league, but they do come in with a below league average 92 WRC plus, which is 17th. So yes, it's a slightly tougher match-up for Frankie Montas, but he is a little bit cheaper and we can make the case that Montas could be the second best pitching option on the slate only if the Milwaukee and Chicago Cubs game gets rained out because of course, Corbin Burns is gonna be number one, then Gospin number two, and then it's whoever else you may want to be siding. I think it's very viable to take a shot, some shots tonight with Alec Minoa and his 28.2% strikeout rate, but I would lean towards Montas and his strikeout rate also going a little bit deeper into the games only if, again, Corbin Burns does not play tonight. So we'll get an update on this, of course, all this weather coming from Kevin Roth on Twitter, great meteorologist for the DFS industry, the best meteorologist for the DFS industry. So we'll update that at 4 p.m. for the MLB Q&A. Burns, Gospin, Montas are my top three tonight. Now there are plenty of other viable options. Like I said, you couldn't be going to Alec Minoa. I wouldn't hate taking some tournament shots with Tarek Skubal for the Detroit Tigers. Yes, we will be looking at the Baltimore Orioles potentially as a stack tonight, but we do see the Orioles coming with a high strikeout potential. I also wouldn't hate taking a shot with Nathan Nevaldi for the Boston Red Sox. So pitching tonight is good. I think that the mid-tier is a bit jumbled. If you're dropping below Burns and Gospin, it can get a little bit dicey. That's where I would turn to Montas first, but if you're really looking for some savings, this is where things get a bit interesting. I can rank some of these pitchers, especially at the 4 p.m. show, if everyone has questions about where would I be targeting in the mid-tier, we can certainly look into that because there are a number of good options, but no one's overwhelmingly great. Now, when it comes to stacking on tonight's sleigh, I think we want to be starting off with the Toronto Blue Jays. They come in with a 5.03 implied run total tonight. They're on the road. They are visiting the Los Angeles Angels and they are taking on Dylan Bundy. Dylan Bundy is not a good pitcher. He's allowing way too many home runs this season, sitting at 1.90. He only comes in with a 21.5% strikeout rate and an 8.2% walk rate right on that edge of becoming very, very bad. He has, overall, he has a 37.9% fly ball rate and 18.7% home run to fly ball ratio. He's actually only allowing a 35.4% hard contact rate overall, but we still can be looking to attack him due to the volume of home runs that he is allowing. Also not striking out hitters and allowing too many walks, specifically to lefties up at 9.9%. He has a 4.94 exit against lefties and a 4.28 exit against righties. So we want to be looking to the power that the Toronto Blue Jays have in their lineup. And hopefully we'll see that shine through tonight, especially given the fact that Dylan Bundy is allowing a 10.3% barrel rate this season, way too many home runs from him. And if we're gonna see a pitcher that's allowing too many home runs and they happen to be lined up against the Toronto Blue Jays, we know we are in for a night that can spell plenty of home runs for a Toronto stack. Of course, led off by Vladimir Guerrero with a 350 ISO in this split versus right handed pitching. This is absolutely a spot that we want to be going looking for some home run upside. Also with a 350 ISO versus righties this season, that is George Springer for the Toronto Blue Jays. Now, of course, he has a much smaller sample size, about half as many played appearances as Vlad Guerrero does, but we do know that Springer historically is a very strong hitter. We can of course be looking there as well. Marcus Simeon, not too far behind with a 258 ISO, very much in play as well. Corey Davidson, since joining the Toronto Blue Jays, he's carrying a 190 ISO versus righties. Obviously a smaller sample size, specifically when he's on Toronto Blue, of course, batting lower in the lineup, offering a bit of salary relief is something you can always use when looking to stack Toronto, a team that can be very, very expensive, adding in Boba Shed at 186 ISO, Randall Bridgic at 184, the list goes on and on for Toronto. And this is where we want to be starting off a lot of our stacks, because the home run upside for Toronto time is absolutely enormous. Yes, we're dealing with some expensive salaries, especially looking up at the top with Vlad Guerrero, sitting at $4,400, George Springer at 41, Boba Shed at 4,000, Marcus Simeon at 39, even Teosgar Hernandez is $3,400. Now, these salaries can be tough to roster when you're paying up for a pitcher like Gossman at 10.3, like Corbin Burns at $11,000. So we'll certainly need to find some value in some secondary stacks, but this is where potentially dropping down to Frankie Montas, if the Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs game gets rained out, can be beneficial to roster construction because we still have a strong strikeout rate with Montas and we get that needed salary relief. So ultimately, it's actually not the worst thing if this Milwaukee Chicago game does get rained out because it can make line of construction that much easier. But starting off your stacks today with the Toronto Blue Jigs should be one of the best options on tonight's slate. Now, and we have the Dodgers on the slate. They are in a great spot going up against Kyle Gibson. We see them leaving the way right now with a 5.29 implied run total. The Red Sox are at home going up against Josh Fleming for the Tampa Bay Rays. They have a 5.12 implied run total. I think those teams are both in great spots. I don't wanna talk about them specifically. I think that they are pretty much given on tonight's slate. I wanna flip to the St. Louis Cardinals who are at a 5.00 implied run total on the road visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates who will have Will Crow on the mound. We saw him allow simply way, way too many homeruns in his most recent start. I think we can be looking back to him yet again. He's allowing 2.14 homeruns per nine this season. He only has a 75.2 any sample size this season, but he is the prototypical pitcher of who we wanna be targeting. He has a 20.9% strikeout rate, which is of course very low. He has a 10.9% walk rate. This combination of not striking out hitters or not striking out a high volume of hitters also with allowing too many walks and a lot of those walks leaving runners on base and allowing too many homeruns. Obviously it presents plenty of upside for the Cardinals. So yes, going to St. Louis is also a very, very solid stack on tonight's slate. You can look to some of the power that they have with Tyler O'Neill coming in with a 236 ISO versus righties Nolan Aeronado, the 221 ISO, Paul Goltzman with a 196 ISO and even Harrison Bader with a 190 ISO in this split. That is the core stack that I would be going to. Of course, we will look to filter in some of their options depending on what their final lineup actually looks like. And more importantly, they're just slightly cheaper compared to Toronto. And I think that they have similar homerun upside. Nolan Aeronado comes in as the most expensive option sitting at $3,700. So immediately we can be looking at St. Louis as yes, they're not overly expensive. They're not super, super cheap, but they're a nice mid-range stack that are in a great spot going up against a pitch that's allowing over 2.1 homeruns per nine. So going to Aeronado, going to Goltzman, going to whoever else it might be can provide a very, very high volume of homeruns tonight, especially if we saw what Crowe did or didn't do in his most recent start. So St. Louis is absolutely a team I wanna be targeting tonight. Yes, they're on the road in Pittsburgh, which isn't the greatest hitters park in the world, but I'll still be looking here for that homerun potential. Now, I did say I have a little bit of interest in going to screwball the pitcher for the Detroit Tigers because the strikeout upside for the Baltimore Orioles is always high. We always know that they can go out there and just not look good as a team, strikeout too much. Screwball does have a 25.5% strikeout rate. So it is slightly above the league average. I'll be looking at him in tournament specifically, but I also do wanna be looking to some more real stacks tonight. So let's just get that clear. I'm very interested in Baltimore as a stack tonight, but I also see the other side of the coin where we can be looking at Baltimore, a team that does strikeout a lot and looking to use the pitcher that's going against it. So a bit of both tonight, a bit of the Orioles stacks because we do see screwball allowing too many homeruns, specifically to righties and really only to righties because he's allowing 2.39 homeruns per nine to right handed hitters and only 0.45 homeruns per nine to lefties. So I do like the righties specifically for Baltimore, but we also know that they strikeout a lot. So I will still be looking to them for some strikeout potential. Again, going to screwball and tournaments only. Looking to some of the righties on the Baltimore Orioles, of course, let off by Trey Mancini with his very solid 2.79 ISO. Ryan Mountcastle is still on the IL for Baltimore. So he's not an option. You can be looking to Austin Hayes with his 2.43 ISO, Freddie Galvis even with a 2.18 ISO. Cedric Mullins having a very solid here, 2.14 ISO, all firmly in play tonight. And then ultimately, if the Baltimore stack does go crazy tonight and put a whole lot of runs as they did last night, we can be getting to that weaker Detroit bullpen. So the Orioles are a team that I'm going to be very, very interested in tonight. And more importantly, they can be shaping up to be a solid secondary stack because the salaries on their hitters are very affordable when Cedric Mullins is only $3,300 and he's their most expensive hitter. We look to Trey Mancini at 32 and then immediately dropping down to under $3,000 for Mikhail Franco at 2,800 or even Anthony Santander at 2,700. So the Baltimore Orioles, the righties specifically from Baltimore are in a fantastic spot tonight going up against Scoobal. So we will circle back on Baltimore at the 4pm Q&A show depending on what their lineup looks like it should be righty dominant which should put them in a good spot. Also the salary relief is exactly what we need when we're looking to pair them potentially with a higher price stack like Toronto and pay up for pitching whether it be Kevin Gosman whether it be Frankie Montas or Corbin Burns if that game in Chicago does play. So Toronto is absolutely one of my favorite stacks on tonight's slate. This isn't to say, as I mentioned, the Dodgers and the Red Sox are both in great spots and I absolutely want some exposure to them but I will still be leaning towards the Toronto Blue Jays just slightly ahead of the Dodgers and the Red Sox. I will then be looking to a few shares of Baltimore because I do like their home run upside. I think that is very, very firmly in play. And then St. Louis, the stack that could potentially get lost in the middle because they're not super cheap, they're not super expensive but they are still in a very, very good spot with plenty of home run upside. Now when it comes to the final three things on tonight's slate, as I said, this mid tier of pitching is a bit jumble where we're looking at a number of different pitchers that are good, but they're not great. Lower strikeout rates, they have good matchups. Where are we gonna be looking for some potential options? I wouldn't hate taking a shot with Tyler Anderson tonight at $7,400. He's now at home in Seattle after the trade deadline with his new team. He's going up against the Texas Rangers. I am certainly fine with attacking the Texas Rangers. I don't think we need to be too worried about their offense overall. We look to Tyler Anderson, yes, he has a 19.6% strikeout rate which of course not very high, but overall the Texas Rangers don't scare me too much as an offense despite them scoring a few runs last night. I'm not overly worried about what they can be doing. So yes, Tyler Anderson is another pitcher. I'll circle back on him at the 4 p.m. show. Just given the salary relief that he has, it's a good park factor for him being home in Seattle and overall this Rangers lineup is not something I'm overly worried about. Are we gonna see a massive strikeout ceiling from Tyler Anderson tonight? No, but can we see him go out there, give us six innings, only give up two or three runs, hopefully pick up the quality start and the win? Yes, and he's $7,400 opening up plenty of salary when it comes to roster construction in order to pay up for those expensive stacks like Toronto, like Boston, like the Los Angeles Dodgers. So Anderson is a pitcher I have a bit of interest in as well. And then for another stack you can be looking at tonight, I wouldn't hate going to the Oakland Athletics Night or the Tampa Bay Rays. Obviously a good park shift for the Rays. We saw what they did last night and this Boston bullpen has certainly been struggling as of late, so we can be looking to some of the Rays. I think that they are in a good spot overall. And then Oakland going up against Cal Contrell for the Cleveland Indians. I think that we can be looking for some, hopefully home run upside that we didn't get from the athletics last night. They are a potential team to target tonight. Then the first home run call on tonight's slate is going to be Vladimir Guerrero Jr. for the Toronto Blue Jays. The home run upside for the Blue Jays tonight, going up against Dylan Bundy is something I absolutely want in basically every one of my lineups or everywhere I could possibly afford them. Again, the volume of home runs that we see Dylan Bundy giving up, especially two right-handed hitters this year, combined with the 350 plus ISO we see from Vladimir Guerrero should have them at the top of my list and of course should be a popular option overall today. Allowing 1.90 home runs per nine. That's what Dylan Bundy is allowing versus righties this season. Combined with the 19.6 home run to fly ball ratio, we're in a good spot for some home runs from the righties from Toronto and my pick for tonight would be Vladimir Guerrero Jr. So we have a good slate overall. We're waiting on the weather for another spot, mainly Milwaukee at Chicago because that impacts Corbin Burns. What should be the top pitching option on tonight's slate? Again, the mid-tier I can dig down a little bit deeper during the Q&A, rank some of those pitchers because I do have some interest in a few of them. Again, like screwball, taking some shots with him against Baltimore and then Tyler Anderson. I think that those are both viable tournament options only because they don't present a whole lot of safety. It should be a good slate. We have 10 games. We have a bit of weather to worry about. We'll get updates on that a bit later on the 4 p.m. show and we are in a good spot. As always, this is one of the many shows on the Fandal Podcast Network. You can find that anywhere where there's iTunes, SoundCloud, Stitcher, Google Play, make sure to give it a like, follow or subscribe. You can follow me on Twitter at dfs.com until next time, good luck in your contests.