 Welcome to the Fan Duel hurry up. I'm Ariel Epstein adjoining us today from Number Fire and Fan Duel. It's Jim Sonnes Jim it's never too early to talk about football, right? Never too early never too late never to anything else It's always football season. We are less than a hundred days from opening kickoff Which is frightening for sure But I think it's a good time to talk some some awards betting because I think we got some good numbers on the board right now Let's talk about the futures market in the NFL. We'll talk about the MVP You like the Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson. It's been a tumultuous off-season to say the least We didn't even know if Wilson was going to return to Seattle now. It looks as if he will be Jim Why do you believe it's going to be Russell Wilson to be MVP at 20 to 1? I think this number is just kind of outrageous Honestly, because you go back to last year mid-season October 20th of last year Russell Wilson was minus 111 to be the league MVP at that point obviously things change from there They had the weird, you know game plan on offense and stuff like that But 20 to 1 for Russell Wilson Russell freaking Wilson is way too long and I get it They did struggle and Pete Carroll wants to run the football there are reasons why this number is longer But Russell Wilson is somebody can put up good numbers even in a run-first offense. It's a tough division There'll be a lot of eyes on them as a result that if they can put up a good record in that division They're gonna be a team to contend with so, you know, there's a lot of buzz around him due to the discontentment here for sure So I think this is just a situation where the number is too long Not to have interest there hasn't been enough that has changed here in the negative sense to push me away from Russell Wilson He gets DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett back back healthy So I think 20 to 1 is just too long for a guy as good as Russell Wilson is you can expect some CLV because Russell Wilson has been a leader for back-to-back years at one point for the MVP race However, it was Lamar Jackson and Aaron Rodgers in the last two years that end up passing him another quarterback You're looking at in the MVP market is the Miami Dolphins quarterback to a tongue of I loa Why is the second-year player going to be in the MVP race this year? It's because Situation matters a lot for quarterbacks and surrounding context surrounding talent into a situation this year is a whole heck of a Lot different than it was last year because last year down the stretch He was throwing the guys like Lynn Bowden Go throwing to Adam Shaheen all these you know random names But now he gets Devonte Parker back healthy will Fuller in Jalen Waddell and that's a massive Deviation from what to a tongue of I loa had this year last year Mike Kasicki is back healthy, too There's a lot more speed on this field. That's a good thing for to a tongue of I loa We saw him take advantage of that when he was at Alabama via guys like Henry rugs and Jalen Waddell there as well So I expect the dolphins to be a good team this year my wind projections have them at 9.6 wins if they were to exceed that it would mean they'd be a contending team with a good wind toll It's good for MVP and it likely mean that to a tongue of I loa had a major hand to play in their exceeding expectations So 60 to 1 for me is a long number for a guy who was as good in college as to a tongue of I loa was I think the situation here is really good. I think this team is good That blends up well to make to a good bet at 60 to 1 the newest wide receiver of that team in Miami is the former Alabama wide receiver Jalen Waddell Reunited with his former quarterback from Alabama to a tongue of I loa final future. We'll look at its offensive rookie of the year You're going with a running back. Why and who yeah, this award is one That's a bit more running back heavy than other awards are so I feel okay going the running back here over the really fun Really good quarterbacks and a big part of this because Trey sermon is in a good situation He's running behind potentially the best offensive line in football playing a team that should win a lot of games Which will get him notoriety notoriety and now with Jeffrey Wilson junior going through surgery It means that the path to playing time for Trey sermon is more clear than it was previously It's all deal with Wayne Gaulman still have to deal with Raheem Mostert So there are some obstacles in the way But when you've got Kyle Shanahan calling plays for a running back who is talented behind an offensive line this good On a team this good against a pretty easy schedule. That all adds up really well to make sermon a good bet at 26 to 1 I think Najee Harris is the the the more likely guide to win this award among the running backs because the volume should be So good, but sermon is double the odds of Najee Harris who is 13 to 1 and sermon is on a better team with a better offensive line So if you're gonna give me Najee Harris at 13 to 1 versus Trey sermon at 26 to 1 I'm gonna take the better offensive line and go sermon and see if he can Capitalize on the situation he has at his hands in San Francisco Sermon is at pretty long odds to win that offensive rookie of the year award Especially on an offense that loves to have double in triple headed monsters coming out of the backfield in the 49ers That's it for us here on the fandal hurry up for Jim Zanis. I'm aria lebstin Good luck to your bets tonight, and we'll see you again tomorrow