 Today's slate for daily fantasy baseball is what I would call a murky one and I say that because there's no like clear Traditional cash game type option at picture. You've got some guys with upside But there's no picture checks every traditional box like at home in a good matchup Pitching well stuff like that. You're gonna have to get a bit creative at picture for today And to me that's fine because I'm not a huge cash game guy to begin with but also I like taking risks I feel like I could do a good job of identifying guys who may be in tough spots But are ones that do come with some upset I think that's a good slate for that some feel pretty good about the way this slate breaks down for today We'll break down some pictures. I think fit that mold very well Let you know my top options for DFS on Fanduel for today welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the Fanduel podcast network in number fire calm. My name is Jim Sonnis I'm a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Monday's 11 game It means slate with locks ever 705 p.m. Eastern for two nights There are a couple of rain notes out on the east coast looks like the rain in Baltimore But the Yankees in the Orioles should be moving out around first pitch So I think they should be okay there But if that time we're gonna change could cause some issues for them rain is possible for the Astros and Red Sox though It appears like pretty low odds. It's around 20 to 25 percent most of the game I think they should be okay there The biggest issue for rain is in New York for the Mets and the Cardinals that one I think it's a legit shot to get rained out. So keep an eye on that one see how it plays out I'm not super interested in either stacking that game or using pitchers there But at least keep an eye on it to see if things change as the day goes along break down which pitchers I am into and the top stacks in just one second At first a quick reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast seat Wherever you get your podcast we of course run out of podcasts Spotify Stitcher Google podcasts again Maybe you can find us there and while you're there you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well later on today On the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed Brandon Gadoula, and I will break down this week's PGA Championship from a DFS perspective that will also be live on the Fandall YouTube page Probably around 2 30 or so we have actually not set that yet Eventually probably 2 30 or so on the Fandall YouTube page live there's if you want to watch that hit subscribe there But then just check it out on the DFS podcast feed If you want to get the audio version there speaking of that golf's second major is set to tee off this Thursday With the PGA championship and it comes with big prizes to be one on Fandall this week's mega Eagle contest is $400,000 in guarantee prizes with a hundred K going to first place entry fee on that Just nine dollars you can turn nine dollars into a hundred K For more details and to get yourself entered go to fandall.com or download the Fandall fantasy app Eligibility restrictions apply. Let's dive into the pitching preview for today over on Fandall where Miles Nicholas is the highest salary pitcher at ten thousand two hundred dollars Noah Cinder guard is ninety nine hundred dollars Freddy Peralta 97 Brad Keller is ninety two with a with Tony Gonsolin Jacob to Rizzy Zach Lowe Luis Severino and Garrett Whitlock as the others at a thousand dollars or a higher and again like I said Nobody in that array is going to be your traditional criteria of at-home good matchup Pitching well, we're not going to get that for today I think the closest we get is via Freddy Peralta and it's not because of safety It's because of upside Peralta facing the Atlanta Braves and I think that he's going to be my top guy for today So I mentioned the Braves. That's why this is not a safe not a traditional spot because the floor is bad Peralta He is struggling with hard contact still in the Braves have a 188 ISO against righties So it could go arrived very quickly, but the upside is fine. The Braves do strike out They got a 25% strikeout rate against righties based on their current active roster this year and Peralta gets plenty of those strikeouts He didn't throw his slider much in his first two starts, but he's featured it across his past four starts in those four starts His strikeout rate is 32% that ranks second on the slate each guys most relevant sample the walks very low as well Which is a good thing for Peralta He's still not super efficient with his pitches despite the low walk rate Which is why he hasn't gone longer than six innings in any of these starts, but he instantly stretched out So Peralta just needs to make sure he can get some quick work You know if he's not gonna get a strikeout get these guys out fast and I push him out further into the game I have Peralta projected for 7.7 strikeouts. That is the highest number on the slate So yeah, a lot of things could go wrong against a very good Braves team We do have to keep that in mind But I do like him because the ceiling matters the strikeouts matter Especially if we're not gonna get safety elsewhere, we might as well get upside and Freddie Peralta does give us that So I'll go to him tonight at $9700 with my top guy for the day I read through the pictures with salaries of $9,000 or higher. I don't like any of them outside of Peralta So to me my number two guys actually value play as will be the number three guy That number two guy is Luis Severino. He is on the road But he is more of a traditional pitching selection He's kind of you know, Peralta is the upside guy Severino is the one who gets closest to being a high-floor option In large part due to the match. He's facing the Orioles who have not been bad this year They've been solid, but they're not an offense. We need to fear in DFS right now They're active roster as a 99 a WRC plus against righties with a 126 ISO got a middling strikeout rate that should be a decent spot for Severino in terms of how we're viewing things from a DFS perspective and Severino's pitched well in his return to you know, being fully healthy His ERA is 4.08. That's fine But the peripherals are good He has a 3.41 skill interactive ERA with a 25% strikeout rate his ground ball rate 46% when you combine that with a good strikeout rate, you get a 3.04 expected ERA over at baseball savant We did see Severino face Orioles, which means they have seen him so far this year But back in April 26th So there's been a lot of time between them and now which means familiarity shouldn't be too too high in this spot in that game Severino had a 13% swinging strike rate that is his second highest mark of the year and Last time out he had a strikeouts the upside is there He did struggle beyond the eight strikeouts, but it was against the blue Jays. There are much tougher matchup I think then the Orioles are so I do like Severino for a bounce back here I put him right around Peralta even in tournaments. So to me, it's Peralta one Severino two I will take that discount and Severino for tonight helps me get up to stacks and I will take that Given the stacks I like for today, so I will put Severino number two in this spot The pitcher I like tonight who is a real swing and a real risk is Yusei Kikuchi It is a revenge game based on the Mariners and he's letting up a ton of hard contact It's a pretty brutal mark right now But the past three stars for Kikuchi have been really impressive And I'm willing to give him a shot here because it's been a big philosophical change for Kikuchi He is basically cut out his cutter and it was a bad pitch for him last year He was actually his worst pitch by a wide margin according to baseball savant and the first three starts this year We saw Kikuchi use that pitch at the same rate. He used it last year, but in his fourth start he basically didn't throw it and That shift has worked wonders for him because across those three starts Kikuchi's strikeout rate is 32% He is still letting up gobs of hard contact and more walks and you'd like but that's a big strikeout rate And he did that against really tough teams He faced the Astros and then faced the Yankees and back-to-back starts He still had at least a 12.4% swing and strike rate in all three of those starts and We haven't seen Kikuchi in a good matchup yet this year now the Mariners are not that they're not a good matchup They're been pretty solid against lefties in a small sample. So it could go wrong but what Kikuchi has right now is the path to a good game and It's a murky slate. There aren't a lot of guys with safety I'm fine taking a world upside and the Kikuchi does have that so it may not work He could let up six or runs make me look really stupid, but that's okay I want to take a risk like that on a slate like this So Kikuchi volatile but in a good way because it does include his ceilings and to me Kikuchi the number three starter Behind Freddy Peralta and Luis Severino for tonight It should illustrate how weird this slate is But I think that with those three guys you at least have a path the upside Severino a bit more safety But I do feel comfortable with that trio for today now part of the reason I was okay with Going with some key value plays a picture is because a because I just like them more But also I want to stack Coorsfield we move here to the stacking section I want to stack the Giants. They're the top stack for today by a pretty wide margin They're at Coorsfield facing Antonio since the Taylor and it's a second straight time the sense of Taylor has faced them The first one did not go. Well, I would expect something similar in this spot. That first game was in San Francisco and Since the Taylor let up five or runs there and the key aspect for him today is how many balls and play he allows He has a six percent strikeout rate this year with a five percent Walker Which means you combine those together and take out the rounding He's letting him a ball and play 88% of the time this ground ball rate is down to 41% Hard hit rate is 42% which is why his expected the array at baseball Savant is 7.03 It's tough to make that work anywhere But it's much tougher at Coorsfield especially Against a legitimate offense with which the Giants and very much are a 116 WRC plus against righties They get a massive massive massive biggest park factor upgrade You could possibly concocting your brain for today going from San Francisco to Coorsfield I think we need to be sky-high on them here. They'll be very popular, but they should be I think this is a no-brainer type spot for today with the Giants I think we'll see Mike Yastremsky start to hit his drive here pretty soon So I want to be high on him within these stacks. He's got pretty similar similar peripheral numbers to last year His hard hit rate is actually a bit higher the fly ball rate is down But some of that's shifting towards line drives versus just being towards ground balls not striking out a whole lot It hasn't turned into power yet But as he goes to Coorsfield, maybe it will so I will be there for sure as a part of these stacks with Yastremsky Lamont Wade Batting leadoff once again. He's actually below 3000. So that's kind of crazy We again I don't think we'll need the savings as much for today But if you want to jam in brain and belt and all those other guys in this this Giants team You can use them for sure. So Yastremsky a guy I'm expecting to pick it up soon way to key value play But overall the Giants to me no-brainer top stack of the night for our number two stack Gonna keep on beating my head against the wall because it's been pretty tough stacking against Madison Bumgarner so far this year his ERA 1.78 so I look very foolish and it could be dumb to keep going to this well But I'm gonna keep on being dumb and stacking the Dodgers for today It's because the numbers say that Bumgarner should regress his skill interactive ERA is 4.92 He has a low strikeout rates a high walk rate fly ball rate is 47% Now the one thing that Bumgarner is doing well is keeping the hard contact in check He is allowed just a 38% hard hit rate Which is not too bad especially in a in an environment where fly balls aren't doing as much damage That's why he's expected the array is 3.80 Another piece of evidence that it could be dumb to keep stacking against Bumgarner is that you know that that that the expected the array is lower and again the Context of this year means maybe we don't want to go as heavy at fly ball pitchers But we have seen Bumgarner face a pretty easy schedule. He has faced the Cardinals and the Astros They're both very good against lefties, but the other stars for Bumgarner have all been pretty easy I'm not sure if that explains all of it like that could just be a small portion of it, but Get the tough assignment here It's based on the Dodgers who have not torn it up against lefties but they do have guys who can't do it and I think you know, it's a small sample so far on the Dodgers versus lefties So I'm not gonna you know say that they they can't hit lefties this year I'm gonna keep on stacking against Bumgarner here keep on having faith in the Dodgers if it bites me It bites me. I think that's a worthwhile gamble to take for today, and I will do so at the Dodgers Typically against Bumgarner You do want to load up on the righties and I do want to do that prioritize them for today But it is worth mentioning that both Freddie Freeman and Cody Bellinger can hit lefties pretty well Bellinger does strike out a lot, but the batter ball numbers and the power are there So I would you know go towards him Freeman has always been good against lefties No matter what stuff has been like so I would favor the righties because Bumgarner is definitely better against lefties, but Don't completely omit Specifically those two lefties next month. See I can take a week But I think Bellinger Freeman both those guys worth a long look for today Especially if it means they will go a bit under rostered in tournaments as a result the lefty-on-lefty matchup I think that that could be Advantages to be higher on them for today compared to what the field may be For our third stack went back to Toronto last year Chris flexing was able to get by without a lot of strikeouts Good results. They 3.6 1 e array But the numbers have gotten worse this year And I don't think he'll be able to keep this up if things stick where they currently are So I won't do want to sack the blue jays in this spot The big thing for flexing with the regression has been his batter ball data He's letting up a 45 percent hard hit rates with a 44 percent flight ball rates Both those numbers are much worse than where he was last year And it's led to an expected the array of 5.14. His actual e array is 4.24. It's not like he's been Perfect from a results perspective either Uh, you had big issues last week against the Phillies A lot of two home runs six earned runs that game was at home He's now facing the jays on the road They're a good team They haven't hit like it all the time so far this year But they're a good team and I think that's going to be a pretty tough spot for flexing So I'm going to stack against him here with the jays and see if the results continue to swing in our favor With the jays, I just got Danny Jansen the bespectacled beast off the il. He's Hit the crap out of the ball since the start of last year when he when he's been healthy He's batting eighth, uh, but I'll be I'm fine being there. I you know, he's not like Min salary. He's $2,500. But like it's the bespectacled beast, man I can't not use Danny Jansen when stacking the jays, so I'll be there for sure I'll I think that Matt Chapman too should eventually get going He's making hard contact at least you know striking out a lot still but making some hard contact so Danny Jansen back on the menu once again for as many catches, uh, but I'll be there for sure with Danny Jansen Let's go now to things to watch kind of unsure what to do with the Yankees They're facing Kyle Bradish who had 11 strikeouts his last time out But he is letting up hard contact and fly balls The Yankees are a tougher matchup than the Cardinals were in that one So I'm not using Bradish. I know that part, but I think the jay or the Yankees released a consideration for stacking here against Bradish Despite what he did last time out I still think that the hard contact aspect should be enough to make us feel pretty good about them here I'd be okay with some one offs on the Red Sox Basin Jake Oderizzi who is suppressing hard contacts. Uh, he's pitching well That's why I can't stack them on top of the Red Sox is struggling right now But fly balls lead to dingers dingers are good for one offs. So I'm okay being on The Red Sox here and stack maybe not stacking them But like having one offs against Oderizzi Finally two unconfirmed starters for today are for the Pirates and the White Sox I'm guessing the Pirates will start Bryce Wilson Probably wouldn't stack the Cubs there. They're not a great team against righty So kind of need a better matchup to go at them And I think that Johnny Cueto is probably the most likely starter for the White Sox Lucas Geolito has been listed some places But I don't think it's going to be him based on the timing of anyone on the COVID list If it's uh, Cueto I don't have a ton of interest in stacking against him pretty good bad at ball numbers for him last year So assuming it's Wilson and Cueto starting I wouldn't have a ton of interest But check back on the starters for the Pirates and the White Sox to see If it could open up more stacking opportunities on the opposing side Finally, let's get to our Dinger picks for today And if it's a like a flow chart type thing like let's say I mentioned at some point during the podcast you should stack the Giants You can pencil in branded belts as the home run pick for that day And we'll go that way for today belt just a great hitter doesn't I think get as much Praise as he deserves in large part because the park he plays in sucks, especially for Lapis So Brandon belt to me the fun one for the boring one for today The fun one I will go lefty on lefty and go to Cody Bellinger facing off with Madison Bumgarner Bumgarner again letting up a lot of fly balls a lot of hard contact Bellinger can do both though and not as much hard contact But Bellinger puts the ball in the air does strike out a lot against lefties But Bumgarner not as big in that department So I think Bellinger has shown me enough where I can think that he is at least in play for these home run picks So I'm okay making my home run picks for today Brandon belt and Cody Bellinger That is all that we have here for today on the solo shot as a reminder that we are back once again later on today to preview The pga championship myself and brandon good do that will be live on the fandom youtube page Probably around 230 to get you said for that and also up on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed after that So hit subscribe over there to get pga mlb ufc and nascar podcasts each and every week If you've got questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sanis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your mlb d fs lines for today We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down tuesday's sleep This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network Thank you