 We had an offensive explosion across Major League Baseball last night with teams putting up double-digit runs Basically left and right and I look at tonight's slate and I feel like I wouldn't be that shocked We got something similar once again now last night was historic So maybe not duplicating that but I think a lot of the same teams too that went bananas last night could potentially Do so once again, we're gonna break down what those teams are what that means for DFS and get you ready Which should be another fun night of MLB DFS over on Fandall welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Saunas. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire here to break down Wednesday's eight game and main slate with lock set for 707 p.m. Eastern for today Only two weather notes here on the slate the first one is in Cincinnati for the Reds and the Giants could be some more rain There once again, I think they'll be good to play But check back on that one later and finally a rain is also potential in Kansas City for the Tigers and the Royals. I don't think that'll bother that game so we should be pretty good to go to play things straight up and Play our favorite plays for two nights We'll dive on into who this hair plays are here in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast Feed wherever you get your podcast if you want to find a preview of the open championship from a PGA DFS Perspective via myself and Brandon Cadulla. You can find that on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed on the Fandall YouTube page And on Fandall TV plus as well get that on your preferred Preferred media if you're looking for the number fire daily fantasy podcast So you just search that wherever you get your podcast hit subscribe And if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating on Apple podcasts or over on Spotify The US women's soccer team is taking on the world and you can take home bonus bets every time they win with Fandall because right now New customers get $100 and bonus bets guaranteed plus another $10 bonus bets for every team USA win Sign up between now and August 3rd Then place your first $5 bet to unlock your bonus bets that way You'll be all set to bet on everything from total goals to player props all tournament long However, you want to play don't miss your chance to get $10 and bonus bets for every team USA win plus $100 and bonus bets guaranteed make every moment more with Fandall America's number one sports book gambling problem Call 1-800 gambler or visit fandall.com slash rg in Massachusetts. Hope is here gambling help on ma.org Or call you hundred three two seven fifty fifty for 24 seven support in New York 187 70 open wire text open Y must be 21 plus and president slacks states first online a real money wager only $10 Deposit required refund issued is non withdrawal bonus bets which expire in seven days Restrictions apply see full terms at fandall.com slash sports book Fandall is offering online sports waging in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC in Arizona 1-800 next step protects next step to 5334 to in Connecticut 188 789 7777 or visit ccpg.org or excess chat in Indiana 1-800 9 and with it in Wyoming in Kansas 1-800 522 4700 visit ksgaming health comm in Kansas in Louisiana 1-8777 770 stop in Maryland MD gambling health at org in West Virginia Go to 1-800 gambler.net pitching preview for this Wednesday Mainstay and water Rodriguez checks in with the highest salary on Fandall the salaries $10,600 followed by Luis Castillo 10-5 we got Charlie Morton taking on the Diamondbacks at 10-3 Jose Barrios 98 with Justin Verlander at 95 you'd Darvish facing Barrios 92 I mean then Kyle Hendricks is the only other guy at $8,000 or higher now for cash games and daily fantasy You want a bit of safety, but you also want upside in case your hitters flop I think the guy with the best blend of some floor But also a good amount of upside is at water Rodriguez and that's gonna make Rodriguez My top pitcher of the night Rodriguez is facing the Royals which definitely does help matters because the Royals have a 137 iso against lefties With a 26% strikeout right on their current active roster and they don't draw a lot of walks So they check all the key boxes not great play discipline not great power That's a great thing for opposing pitchers Rodriguez has made it just two stars since coming off the IL Let a fiver and runs in one and two and another didn't go longer than five innings either time So not great in either starts, but he did get seven strikeouts in both those and his Vilo has been good He's using his breaking pitches and that to me checks every box You want to see from a pitcher coming off an injury and it allows me to look at the larger sample I can trust what he did before the injury is still relevant right now post-injury for the full season Rodriguez has a 3.43 expected the array 27% strikeout rate and very good bad at ball data when you put that in this matchup with KC I think he can feast he has both floor and upside so to me at water Rodriguez is my favorite play of the night I think he's probably my favorite for tournaments too But for cash games especially at water Rodriguez deserves to be your focal point of pitcher for tonight Now Luis Castillo is at home against the twins We talked about this matchup each of the past few nights where it's a good matchup for upside But it's not good for floor because the twins are good, but they also strike out a whole lot So for tournaments we want upside I think Castillo is worth considering I do prefer him over Morton despite the fact that Morton is facing Arizona I think that Castillo is the better play here to reiterate why this is a dilemma with the twins and why it's conflicting The twins have a 28% strikeout right against lefties That's great for opposing pitchers, but they also have a 110 WRC plus They can chase guys like Brian Wu like they did last night really early They can hang up 10 runs that can happen with the guys that got healthier right now but we could also see Castillo go nuts because of that high strikeout rate and Castillo does let a par contact so he could get tagged here in this matchup But the strikeout upside is really really tempting in 12 starts with more sliders and fewer sinkers Castillo has a 27% strikeout rate He said double digit strikeouts twice in the span and he had nine in another He typically does get a strikeout boost at home as well So I've got Castillo projected for 7.3 strikeouts. That is the highest number on the slate for tonight You do have to have a pretty high risk tolerance to get there because as we saw last night Things can go poorly when you are facing the twins because they do have good hitters, but I think it's a worthwhile trade-off For tournaments specifically so for cash games you go Rodriguez. I feel better about that for tournaments I still prefer Rodriguez by a tiny bit, but Castillo would be a great option as well Especially if people are worried after what the twins did to Wu last night as far as our value play I think our best bet is gonna be Carlos Rodan his that race 75 and I think that's low enough to offset the concerns We have here. We could also consider the other side of this game. We'll talk about that and things to watch But Rodan has made two starts back so far this year. He's gone five innings each time So length is largely back there. He's willing to throw his off-speed stuff and his Velo is fine It's actually a smidge better than what it was last year in those two starts Rodan has a 10.8% swing and strike rate So his strikeout rate is low, but I feel like that should rise as the sample expands Rodan looked really good in his ramp up games and the miners as well a lot of strikeouts down there So basically what I want to see is whether Rodan is somewhere near the pitcher He was last year and based on his velocity based on his pitch mix based on his pitch count I think he is it hasn't shown up yet But I think that 2022 Carlos Rodan is in there still Despite what the first two starts have looked like he's facing the angels here and even with no Mike trout They're active roster as a 118 at WRC plus against lefties I think that number is deceiving because a lot of the guys who are playing Don't have samples and we'll bring that number down So that should come down as time goes along and they have a 24% strikeout right against lefties I've got Rodan projected for 6.9 strikeouts that ranks second behind just Castillo So I think we should give Rodan a look even if it is a bit risky again $7,500 that does allow you to go Pretty hard at your favorite stacks for tonight. So I think it's tempting and I'll probably get there So to me it's Rodriguez want Castillo to Rodan three and I would put Rodan above Morton after considering salary on tonight's slate Let's stay talking about that Morton game and talk about some stacks here because the Braves offense is going to be a tough one to avoid for tonight They're facing Ryan Nelson Really tough task for him based on that Braves offense in Atlanta in 94 degree heat Which is a brutal combination and I do think we should stack against him with the Braves I stacked against Nelson last week first Slayed off the all-star break and it did not work He allowed just one run over five and two-thirds innings and you know kudos Had tipped to him for that But the strikeouts still weren't there. He had just three across five and two-thirds innings He led up 21 balls in play nine were hard hit, which is 43 percent and a 43 percent hard hit rate is high But it was actually an improvement for Nelson across 14 starts with more change ups He's now letting up a 45 percent hard hit rate in that span and it comes with a 43 percent fly ball rate When your strikeout rate is as low as Nelson's that is asking for trouble And now you put those numbers in Atlanta against the Braves They have a 119 at WRC plus against righties with a 218 ISO Both those numbers are the best on the main slate and the weather here is fantastic for hitting so we want to be hide the Braves here, I think we should be very enthused about this team and Should feel good about them in DFS for tonight The one thing that could kill a bit of my enthusiasm is if Eddie Rosario continues to sits for this Braves team because He's kind of the one guy with a lower salary who does have a very obvious path upside Rosario salary $2,800 he's actually Hitting for a lot more power this year against right. He's needed last year didn't really have that in his arsenal last year which was pretty frustrating but Probably would hit somewhere in the the bottom third of the order but still $2,800 for a guy who can hit bombs in a Good lineup. I mean, that's pretty enticing So I'd love to get Rosario in there because it would make the Braves a bit easier to stack to get to round the Kunya juniors $4,800 salary and stuff like that But we'll see on Rosario has now played some Saturday. Maybe he'll get back in there if he does. I do think he'll want to be Firmly in our rotation for MLB DFS for tonight For our number two and number three stacks We are doing the exact same thing as last night and that is stacking both sides of the Reds and the Giants game And that of course was one of those games last night where we saw a whole lot of runs So hoping for that to be duplicated once again tonight the Reds Going against Ross stripling tonight and he's letting up a lot of hard contact right now And I think that's why the Reds are in play here not just because of the park But stripling has made 13 appearances so far this year in that time He's led up a 43 hard hit rates He is getting ground balls at times But those ground balls are really well struck and it's led to a 6.11 era and a 5.33 expected era The plate discipline numbers for stripling are not awful But the hard contact is really killing him. He's especially having issues with lefties They have just a 32 ground ball right against him whereas righties are at 50 percent that's a big problem here because Three of the top four and four of the top six batters in the Reds lineup will likely be lefties So it's a good stack in general But I think it becomes an even better stack if we focus primarily on the lefties in this Reds lineups And obviously that's going to be the obvious guys switch hitter le dala cruise Joey Vado other lefties that they've got in there One of the less obvious ones is will Benson. He did home run hit a home run last night So this is a Not fully point chasing but it doesn't hurt to see that he hit a home run last night And Benson even before that home run had a 193 iso against righties He has plenty of speed He'll probably make your stack a little bit different because not a lot of people want to use guys batting lower in the order And Benson's probably gonna bat eighth So I think he's very worth it Despite batting lower in the order. He has speed has power. I think that's pretty enticing So will Benson to me if you want to Get your red stack while getting some value or get your red stack a little bit different than other red stacks I think he fits both those approaches. So will Benson a guy do like quite a bit despite likely batting lower in the order for tonight Other side of that game is Graham Ashcraft. He's coming off a string of three consecutive really good starts and he could keep that up here But it's a very tough test. So I don't mind Given the giants a crack once again Ashcraft had been struggling earlier in the year Then he went on the il and his first start back. He struggled once again But in his past three starts, he's allowed just three total earn rods He's got at least six winnings each time as well. So It's a question of whether Ashcraft has fully turned it around or Whether this is a bit fluky I think it's more likely to be fluky than legitimate if I'm picking one or the other It's probably somewhere in between but I would pick fluky over legitimate force to pick In those three starts Ashcraft has still led up a 38 hard hit rates His ground ball rate is 56 which is very high and that part may stick because he's done that in the past He's throwing more sinkers right now. So that could stick But Ashcraft has a 15 strikeout rates with a 10 walk rate So His plate discipline numbers are not great. He lets up hard contact In that span it was really the ground balls that got him by and It's over a small sample against two bad offenses and one That's struggling or was struggling at the time in the pod race He gets the giants here. They have a 108 wrc plus against righties. It's a great park for hitting I wanted to stack against Ashcraft again here if he does well once again given the park given the matchup Then I'll reevaluate but I do want to see it happen one more time before I fully divest in stacking against Ashcraft in good situations And the giants are super easy to stack They have no salaries on the active roster Above $3,000 which means we can go pretty crazy with our other stack If you want to use a la de la cruz on the opposing side here If you want to stack All the good braves guys It's a lot easier with the giants as the opposing stack or the other stack So I think there are enough benefits here to offset the doubts That's Ashcraft potentially improving and the giants to me a quality stack for tonight So top stacks are going to be the braze the reds and the giants All three teams that did go bananas last night Things to watch forward to night angels are starting chase still sat here coming back up from AAA where he was getting Stretched back out to be a starter once again Still sat through 90 pitches and his final start down in AAA and you look good in AAA Getting strikeouts getting whiffs. He's a ground ball pitcher as well. Which is a good combination So he's facing the Yankees tonight Salaries $5,500 if you want to get to akunya get to matt olson get to la de la cruz All these high salary guys on the slate. I don't mind Using still set to get there. So chase still set $5,500 a consideration I prefer odon among the IE plays but still the still set at least in the consideration set as well Tuki to sans getting another site start for the white socks tonight And i'm kind of intrigued to see what he does His skill interactive era is pretty rough at 5.29 But he has a 32 hard hit rate with a 21 fly ball rate. He's facing the Mets here I don't think they're a terrible stack, but the bad of baldeidon to saunt keeps me From being super high on them here Finally, I'm not sure who the nationals are starting tonight. They've not announced that as of yet officially I feel like it'll probably be trevor williams But they have not announced it anywhere if it is williams the cubs are at least interesting for dfs But it could also be someone else and that's someone else could make the cubs more appealing than what they are here So I would check back later to see who the national starter is once they officially announce it Because the cubs could be another good stack depending on who that starter winds up being Let's finish up here some dinger calls for today the boring one will go with matt olson Olson is just bananas absurd. I said bananas a couple times already But absurd power in a great spot for hitting tonight in a very good matchup for fly balls and hard contact So we've got to go matt olson as the boring home run call for tonight for the fun one Let's go with will Benson again. He has more power than you'd think He's got a lot of speed Not gonna bet super high in the order for the reds, but he showed last night he can get the job done So back-to-back nights for will Benson. I think he goes yard once again Dinger calls for wednesday or matt olson and will Benson That is all that we have here for today on the solo shot back again tomorrow tomorrow I believe will be an early lock looking at the schedule So make sure to check out the solo shot early on if you want some insights on that before Lock occurs over on fandal if you've got any questions for me. I am on twitter at jim sonnis Jims a nnes do not forget to check out our open championship preview for bg adfs On the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed the fandal youtube page and the fandal tv plus app Have a fantastic wednesday. Good luck with your lineups. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down thursday slate This has been the solo shot right here on the fandal podcast network