 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. It is Monday. That means market outlook time on FIFA 21. I want to take a look at the market this week. It's an interesting week. We have team of the year on the horizon. We had the voting going on. We know that the 18th a week from today is the big day when the voting ends and some people think team of the year will actually start. So I want to talk about how that is factoring into people's minds. And also I feel like there's two ways that EA could go with the content this week in terms of how far and how much are they really going to go to take coins off of the market. They've been doing a honestly a pretty good job of that in the past couple of weeks with the content they've been releasing that has been pretty engageable, right? With like Party Bag SBCs. Could we see more of those this week that would include headliners? I think it's a possibility or more SBCs like an 84 plus player pick, more icon SBCs stuff like that, more even headliner player SBCs themselves. So I think we'll talk about what we could think, what we could see happening whether EA goes that route or whether it's just really like a slowed chill week on FIFA. I'm really curious to see what EA does this week. So we'll kind of talk about that in like two scenarios. I also want to talk about headliners because there's a lot of cards right now that I think maybe not are undervalued but I think there's some stuff that people are forgetting about related to headliners team two with the club winning streaks. And I'm actually going to take a look at the headliner team two prices right now off the bat because we are recording this just slightly after squad battle rewards. And these cards have dropped. They got hit with supply at SB rewards and now none of them are extinct. This Lasano card was extinct at 600. He's now back down to 554 with everybody that has packed this card during rewards that listed it up. And there were no price range updates on Lasano or Sun. They just started to get listed and this is why I was not a fan of those cards being extinct in the first place because I felt like compared to the rest of the headliners team, they were overvalued. Just kind of compared to how these cards were on the market at that point anyway. Sun is at 1.23 million coins. Again, this guy was extinct at 1.5 earlier on Saturday when his price range when he started coming up on the PlayStation market, he went and got panic sold all the way down to 1.18 then rebounded to 1.38 and is now kind of come back down. I'm trying to watch a same trend with Lasano because Lasano's card was at 600K flat. It is now back down to 550. I'm trying to see if this guy can go any lower. The only thing is the difference between Sun's market drop and then rebound and Lasano's is Sun's happened in the middle of the day. Prime time when everybody else is on the market and able to look at the card to sell their card and everything, this Lasano one is happening at nighttime and it's only on PS4 on Xbox. He is still extinct. So I'm kind of interested in this Lasano card. Usually we have 2.7 million live transfers right now on the PlayStation, which is low. That is very low for the PlayStation. So I'm really keeping an eye on this Lasano because I'm not saying this is undervalued right now. I'm just saying that there is going to be a point where this does turn around and it shoots back up and price doesn't go extinct again. I'm not quite sure. Now it doesn't look like we have that much supply, but again, the listings for me on the PlayStation at least have been so glitched out. They've been so glitched out as of recent, but the fact that he is still extinct and it looks like he only has two pages of supply here at 550. So if I find some undercuts and I actually need to sell a card before I do this, but I might not be afraid of trying to snag one of these like maybe a 540 or 550 undercut if I can get a sale on another card here in order to fund buying one of those Lasanos because it almost looks like he could fly back up to almost 600,000 coins. Now, the only problem would be is if people wake up in the morning on Monday and see that this undercutting has gone on, are they going to start undercutting and panic selling their Lasanos as well? Or are people going to realize, hey, this has gone down in price, but it's extinct everywhere else and is it going to get bought back up to 600K? So I'm trying to look at this supply right now. I'm going to look at these open bids and see where they go and see if they get bid up too much past 550 because that will tell me where people are willing to bid on these cards and hopefully one of my Van Anholt sell so that I can get that price and maybe take a gamble. Now that's very risky and this would be a big time gamble. We've gambled a lot with these headliners and there's one card that I think actually isn't that big of a gamble. When this price drop tonight at rewards, he's still kind of low in my opinion. This Holland card at 590K, 580 on a listing right there. I think this Holland is actually kind of low. Let's take a look at his grab because Dortmund right now are on a two win streak and you're like, yo, Nate, this card came out and they won one game. Isn't he only on a one win streak? Well, I thought that was the case, but if we go back and read the fine print, the winning streak for each club starts at the launch of headliners on January 1st. Any club wins before that date do not count towards the upgrade. Now, unless EA is lying to us here and this is only for Team 1 because this FAQ came out on Team 1 on January 1st, Dortmund technically have had two wins since January 1st. Their next two games, I forget who they play, but they play another game on Wednesday in the Bundesliga. So it's another league game and it looks like they should be able to win that game and that would mean this Holland card is on a three win streak before they play Leverkusen next week or on the weekend. So this Holland card could literally be upgraded, I think, for a four win streak in a week. I think that's what the case could be. And also, this guy scored two goals over the weekend. Now, I think Sancho might be the one to get the actual in form from that game because he had a 9.3 match rating. And I think he had one goal and an assist and Holland had two goals, but for some reason Sancho has the higher match rating on all the sites that I looked at. So it looks like Sancho might get the in form, but since Holland had two goals, he's probably gonna get bought up a little bit as we head towards team of the week this Wednesday. And maybe EA puts in Sancho and Holland because remember there's no Premier League in this week's team of the week because they played Cup games and those were not league games. So I don't expect to see Prem cards in team of the week. It's just gonna be the other leagues throughout the world and maybe EA will need to fill some extra spots. So they might put in Holland and Sancho. I'm just kind of theorizing here, but I think this card is gonna rise up into the midweek because of team of the week predictions and of course people realizing that hey, if they win on Wednesday, they might be on a three win streak with that card right there. So another headliner card that I think is undervalued and I'm gonna say this now because we are approaching team of the year, which is gonna be including multiple Bayern Munich players whether it be Kimmich, whether it be technically Thiago as a Bayern Munich player now at Liverpool, Neuer, Alfonso Davies is one of the favorites to get in, Lewandowski. I think during the team of the year period, this card is gonna be made and put into a lot of squads and FIFA, club 80, Gretzger live item. This guy at 500K in my opinion is too cheap. We looked at this on stream last year. This Gretzger was an 86 rated card when it came out last year as it wrote to the final and look how much this card was. Even during team of the year at his lowest, he never went under 580,000 coins on the PlayStation. And then this card right now is at 400K. Now I understand that the road to the final is a team-based upgrading item and maybe there's more faith in Gretzger to get more upgrades as a Bayern Munich road to the final item with plus ones and stuff than just his card getting in forms and Bayern Munich winning four in a row for a one-time upgrade. But still, I think this card as a whole gang, all 80s in every stack category and the links that this guy is gonna get around team of the year, I think this card's undervalued. So does it go lower as we get towards team of the year? I guess it's possibly could happen. But I feel like part of the reason why he's so low right now is because Bayern lost and they're not on a four-game win streak. I believe at the moment they don't have any, they don't have a streak going for a four-game win streak. So I think that that Gretzger card is a bit undervalued. And even like this Hyunmin Sun, 1.2 million coins, they play Aston Villa on Wednesday in the league. So that is a game that would count for their streak. I think Spurs are on a two-game or on a one-game streak and that could be their second, I believe. Or maybe it's their second and they're on a third. Actually, you know what, let's take a peek because this is something that I was very curious about. This is a sofa score, in my opinion, one of the best apps that I use, a mobile app to follow the scores. So since June, January 1st, okay, Tottenham, oh no, Tottenham has only had one win since January 1st in the prem. They beat Leeds, 3-0. So they're on a one win streak and this Aston Villa game would take them to a two win streak. But just saying, Sonaldo, right, obviously could score a goal and could easily almost go extinct again on Wednesday if he does score a goal or two goals, has a good game, potential for an inform, you know what I'm saying. So just kind of watch for these live items because sometimes people forget that they are live. Upamakano is also kind of low, in my opinion. Taylor Hernandez has dropped so much. Like these live items are very, very interesting. I do think people will start to invest in them throughout the week. But of course, as I mentioned, the team of the year I still feel like is on people's minds and that has caused the market to drop off a decent bit more today. Now if we look at some prices from where they were at yesterday when I talked about the market starting to prepare for kind of that team of the year crash kind of timeframe and if we look at some of those prices and where they're at today, I have seen a major drop off in a lot of areas of the market. Now we talked about like some of the freeze cards, right? Last night we were looking at Usman Dembele on Saturday night. This card was 1.2 mil. He was still 1.2 million coins and right now the main man is under 1.1. He's 1.07. This is the lowest that this card has been. So I think a lot of people saw this as an opportunity this weekend as some cards were, you know, at their still kind of high levels. A lot of people are taking the coins on some cards. You saw a lot of sell-off on the market, not just with freeze cards. You know, Keelini's 1.77. That's the lowest that he has been since he's been in packs. You know, Mane is down around 2 mil. That's low. Silva is in the low 500s. That's pretty low for him too. Some of these Team of the Group stage items that were so high have gone down a lot. Diego Carlos 1.58. Of course, he has a new special item in the game. This De Bruyne was just 400K after being 4.50 all weekend. And you just have a lot of cards that have really started to drop off from promo teams, from in-forms and stuff like that. And Bopay 2.37, that's really though for him. Even some of the road to the finals, right? Kula Bali was under 500K today. Prom as at 2.70. This guy was 3.15, 3.20 on the weekend at his highest point. Bebe was 1.75, 1.80 at his highest point. So some of these cards are definitely dropping off. And that's just, I think, part of the reason why I think people are getting ready for Team of the Year in that sense. And, you know, starting to sell off some of those cards. Gold cards also got crushed this weekend. Neymar was like 670,000 coins. He might have rebounded a slight bit since squad battles and stuff like that because some people still are buying cards on Sunday nights because they, you know, Sunday nights are pretty low night in general. But you did see a lot of gold cards getting destroyed in terms of a price drop this weekend. Now, thanks, FIFA, for being very slow on me. But it looks like these cards are still pretty low. Do we see a rebound into this week? I think that all depends. I think today on Monday is going to be a huge day in terms of what content we get in FIFA. If it's a big Monday, like if EA somehow dropped like a big SBC that's repeatable, another player pick SBC like the 84+, or something like that. And it looks like the EA service is going very slow right now for some reason. That could cause a little bit more panic and you might see some stuff go lower. But if there's really no content today on Monday, then I do think you see the market just push up a little bit because a lot of people are just kind of not bored but there's just not a ton to grind, right? Maybe you got your icon swaps done. Maybe you're doing a couple upgrade SBCs. We did get more of those 80 plus player picks, 81 plus double upgrade and 82 to 88. I mean, these are basically here to just keep us busy for the next period that these cards are in packs. These headliner cards, just giving us kind of something to do. And this is also, and this is where I want to kind of take the two different routes for where EA could go this week. EA has two options this week. They could keep it really chill. They could not do a lot in terms of content or they could see this as one last opportunity to suck coins out of our club. And I think, I think that's the way they're going to go. I really think if they wanted to, they could drop another 84 plus player pick or even a party bag. They could update the code for a party bag that would include headliners. That could pop up literally at any time or they could just do one of the party bags from before. And that would be an SBC that would cause some panic because people would have to go sell cards to go buy 84s, 85s, 86s at inflated rates taking coins off of the market. And also what this does is you see these player pick packs comes out or you see the 81 plus double and you're like, yo, let me do a couple. Let me clear out my club. Let me use the cards that are in my club. Well, now EA has you at a point where if you're going to do any other SBCs even with the 81 plus team of the week, SBC being out. They're taking some of your 82, 83, 84 rated cards out of your club by putting this SBC out and making it an 81 plus. It's a new one. And you know, they're just slowly kind of rinsing our clubs right before a huge pack promo in team of the year. Now the baser mid icon goes away in three days. If EA wanted to do one big last coin suck off the market, if they put that base icon player pick non-repeatable just one time player pick pack here, that would be a big for the market because I think a lot of people have seen how good those can be, how juice they were out of icon swaps and a lot of people would go in and try to do that SBC for the player pick. So that's one thing that could maybe cause some more panic on the market this week. But honestly, I'm just kind of seeing this week is like, it's kind of a weird week. We're in limbo ground because we know where team of the year is probably going to fall. Time frame in the next two weeks. But I'm really curious to see this week if EA try to prey on the market and take a lot of coins off of it and also just where people are at in this game. I feel like there's a lot of people that are maybe just kind of bored, not bored, but they're just looking forward to team of the year and right now it just seems like there's not a lot out. So they might see this opportunity as something to try to trade and to try to buy some cards up. So honestly, like a couple weeks ago when there was not a lot going on as well, you saw a lot of people invest on Sunday night into Monday. They bought a lot of out-of-pack cards and it reached a point where, or even wrote to the finals, they were investing in those cards. You saw them go up crazy, crazy high. I don't know if you really see that this week since I've seen so much selling of the special cards out of packs. It seems like people are just again going untradable and getting ready for team of the year because especially this upcoming Friday is we're kind of expecting team of the year nominees. Now that's kind of what I think we can expect later on in the week this week is team of the year nominees. Now, of course, we'll be watching the code for Wednesday night, Thursday night to see if we get any pack codes or car designs officially put out in the game for team of the year nominees if that is going to be a thing. But as we near closer and closer to one week from today, which is the 18th of January, when the team of the year voting ends and when we really start to think, all right, we are in team of the year, I think people are going to start to get, I guess I'll call it lockjaw, right? They're just, I used to be a fisherman, right? I used to fish a lot and one thing is when like different fronts of weather move in is that the fish get lockjaw, right? And they don't like to eat because the whatever the weather pressure and stuff like they don't want to eat, right? And so like I kind of feel like that's kind of where it is right now at the FIFA market. I'm comparing fishing to FIFA unbelievable, but it's just kind of like people don't want to buy, right? And that's kind of how it was a couple of weeks ago when we saw a lot of icons crash, you know, like I was looking at mid Vieira's graph today and he went from, you know, upwards of like 3.5 million coins all the way down to 3 mil flat. He's rebounded to 3-3, right? But I still think we're just in that period where people are not going to want to buy too much in the next week or so. So I still think you'll be able to fluctuation trade. The market has been very rare on the rare cards. Those cards have been very rare. That's why you see a lot of out of pack specials, especially wrote to the finals on my transfer targets because these cards you can fluctuation trade. They move around. This guy was at 240,000 coins. You can see the bids. He was 270, 280 on the weekend. If you look up like 20,000 coins, right? 270K on Inditi. How many cards do we have in the market? We have one page at 270K. He's probably going to fluctuate from 240 to 265, 270. That's going to be a nice flip during the week if you can get that sort of price. And I'm not trying to bid on this one right here. Get a 235 or so, a low 230s, because I know I can at least sell it tonight for like 260 and make a quick flip out of that if possible. So there is going to be ways to trade this week. I just think you might have to be a little bit more careful with it just depending on where we see the content from EA this week because I feel like they're going to try to suck more coins, put out more content. Now, if that makes you think about SBC fodder, just keep an eye on this stuff, right? 83s are down a little bit from squad battle rewards. 86s are down a bit too. I'm not a huge fan of buying fodder at this point, but of course, if we see any pack code come out of EA going to release an SBC of a party bag or a headliners guaranteed pack or anything like that, then I think you would see some panic buying of SBC fodder because people go nuts for that sort of stuff. And a lot of people partake in those SBCs because they just find enjoyment out of it. So I can honestly see some sort of content like that coming this week. And then a lot of people are going to mess around with headliners because they're live items, right? They're going to buy them before the game. They're going to see a bit of a rise. Now, of course, these guys are still in packs, but I don't think it's going to scare people because we have some prolific scores and prolific players in here that a lot of people want to put in their team. So it's going to be an interesting week on FIFA. It is. It's all going to come down to what content EA decides to put out and what they want to do with the game before team of the year, which is arguably the biggest promo of the year. And I think it is from a revenue standpoint for EA. It's their number one promo of the year. So a lot of question marks this week. I don't think you have to be scared. We're going to talk a lot about, you know, team of the year preparation, buying raiders for your club. Can you buy fodder before team of the year because preparing for SBCs? What types of cards are going to rise the most after team of the year? We're going to talk a lot about team of the year probably this week in terms of like preparation and just thinking about how it could look this year on the market in terms of a timeframe, in terms of a buy window, when to buy, when to sell and stuff like that. So that's the market outlook for this week, boys. Honestly, a lot of question marks, but we're going to do it together. I'll be live streaming on Twitch every single day. Click that link down in the description and videos here on YouTube every day as well. If you enjoy this video, smash the thumbs up on it. Comment down below if you have any questions and subscribe if you're new. It's been Nate, The Foot Accountant. I'll catch you guys later. Peace.