 We saw a lot of offense on last night's daily fantasy baseball slate in part because teams are down to their third fourth Starters in the rotation tonight. We could see that because there are some guys in that mold on this slate There are some good spots for offense, but we also get back some of the opening day studs Max Scherzer is here Shane Bieber is here from of all days Julio Arias, at least Castillo, so it's his blend of We do have some guys who can struggle for sure at the back end of the rotation But also the studs are out in almost close to full four So we can see very high scores tonight across daily fantasy baseball meaning you're gonna need a lot of points to keep up So we're going to break down Which players could get you said points how to keep up with the field and hopefully feel a good lineup for tonight In daily fantasy baseball welcome on into the solo shop. That's right here on the fan dual podcast network And numberfire.com My name is Jim Saunas. I am a senior writer and analyst for numberfire.com Here to break down an 11 game main slate for tonight with lock set for 705 p.m Eastern for today. So again, that does not include the games At 640 for tonight similar to last night. So just the 705 p.m games on for tonight Whether for this main slate there are three games for tonight with temperatures in the 50s at first pitch once again Temperatures in the 50s tend to lead to lower scores that did not happen last night for the red socks and pirates game But that game is on this checklist once again red socks and pirates and fenway 50 degree temperatures that is the coldest game on the slates followed by the guardians and the a's in oakland And the dodgers and the rockies in la so in those games I would downgrade bats across the board. You don't need to cross it off I think the red socks and pirates once again at least interesting For tonight, but you know, I think the guardians in a decent matchup I think the dodgers are in an okay spot against airman marquez But be sure you are accounting for weather This time of year when there is a big delta between the warmest games and the coldest games In Kansas City for the blue jays and of the royals winds are out to left field at 21 miles per hour It's also 79 degrees out so good spot for hitting between the blue jays and the royals Similar spot in st. Louis for the cardinals and braves though a bit closer to a crosswind there So I check back on the wind direction for both st. Louis and can the city today Because if we get both those blowing out could be pretty good And I think that there are some good stacking options in both those games So can the city st. Louis check back on later and then downgrade the games in boston Oakland and los angeles as a result of lower temperatures We'll dig into the pitching preview for today in just one second But first we have our master's preview podcast on the daily fantasy side of things already up here on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed With myself and brandon gandula breaking down our favorite options for pgadfs for august f find that by searching for the Number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast hit and subscribe And if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating We appreciate those you had done so already also that podcast was streamed live on youtube So check that out over there on the fandal youtube page Also should mention that the solo shot podcast go up on youtube too shout out to all of you watching youtube right now Appreciate you as always so if you want to watch a video version or to prefer to watch on youtube You can find the solo shot later in 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533 4 2 in canada kit 188 789 7777 Over the ccpg.org slash chat in indiana 1809 with it in y oming in kansas 1805 224 700 or in kansas ks gambling health.com louisiana is 1877 770 stop and maryland md gambling health.org in new york 1877 8 open wire text open wire in west fringidia go to 1800 gambler.net Let's dig in now to the pitching preview for this tuesday mainstay refine shane bieber at the top of the salary pool on fandal e comes in at $11,000 facing the a's you understand that max scherzer is 10 8 hulu or rios against iraqi said 10 5 louis castillo is 10 1 fraber valdez is 98 we have andrew heaney nick pavetta ronzi contraris steven mattes and jose suarez as the others at $8,000 or higher now we do have a lot of good pitchers on tonight's slate and of those guys i think max scherzer is the top guy and think it's an operative word there because i do believe you could push back on this notion because scherzer in his first start didn't see decrease velocity from where he was after the most of last year i still like him but it is worth noting that scherzer's facing the brewers they have good power but they also will strike out they have a 24 strikeout right against righties on their current active roster since the start of last year which leads to a really big strikeout projection for scherzer at 8.02 at least based on my numbers that's the upside here the minus is that the velocity was down in his debut as mentioned the fastball velocity down about a mile per hour from last year the cutter was down two miles per hour though that pitch has been reduced in his arsenal recently and reduced velo for an older pitch are always concerning and it's especially an issue because you'll see velo down a lot early in the year but it's typically because velocity is lower in colder weather but scherzer was in miami in his first start so that was not an explanation here so there are downsides the reason i'm here still is that it was just one start he still had a 14.3 percent swing and strike rate in that game which is very good and he gets a high strikeout opponent here so i think that's enough to put scherzer first on our list at $10,800 but i don't blame you if you want to pivot there are justifications for going elsewhere based on the downsides of scherzer and the velocity but i do still want to be here and still think that scherzer is going to be the premier pitcher on tonight's slate if you want an option that has a bit more safety i think you can take a softer matchup that could be via shane beiber if you want to we'll talk about him later on my preference though is fromber valdez you save $1,200 gets the tigers at home and i think the valdez in a very good spot the tigers have a 94 wrc plus against lefties that ranks third lowest on the slate they have a 124 iso which is the worst and they strike out plenty so it's a very good matchup for fromber valdez valdez was solid but not spectacular in his first dart this year he did throw five shutout innings against the white sox but just four strikeouts in that game a 10.6 swing and strike rate that's five he went just 85 pitches less than i was expecting from him so there are some downsides with valdez to be sure but the white sox are much tougher team against lefties than the tigers are and the velocity for valdez was sick it was up on his fastball from last year a sinker and it was down on his off speed pitches so the delta between his off speed pitches in his fastball increased a pretty decent amount so i don't think we need to be worried about valdez just because you didn't get a ton of strikeouts or a ton of whists in that game i have all those projected for 6.7 strikeouts here that ranks third on the main slate and strikeouts are not even the biggest appeal of valdez it's the bad of ball profile it's the matchup it's being at home i think the the run projection pretty low against him so if you want to go valdez first over scherzer i'm not going to push back on that i just think that scherzer's upside is a bit higher so to me it's scherzer one valdez two beaver three we'll talk about him more later on now as far as value options for today the guys who were not available to us an opening day i think we've got some okay ones you say kikuchi seems to always have a good spring it happens every year we get sucked in by velocity but he was good again this spring facing the royals don't hate that but he's playing a good hitting weather i don't mind steven mats um really tough matchup for him but i think he's a decent pitcher so you could consider kikuchi and mats i'm gonna go with andrew heaney here and if you turn off the podcaster after hearing that name i don't blame you i will not be offended makes me queasy too but the upside for heaney is really fun now he's volatile he made 14 starts last year and let up a 46 hard hit rates and a 46 fly ball rate so if you said hey i want to stack the orials against him instead be my guest totally fair i might do the same at times as well but despite that despite the horrible bat a ball profile he's still in a 3.06 ure and it's because of all the strikeouts you can't let up a dinger if they don't make contact it just limits the number of balls in play heaney had a 35 strikeout rate in that sample which ranks highest on this slate even including scherzer beaver etc i do think he stretched out back on march 24th in the spring he went four and two thirds innings faced 25 batters so he should be mostly good for a full leash and the others will strike out 23 strikeout rate against lefties so yeah it's risky he could get punched around if he scored negative points on fan dual tonight no surprise from me but if you're looking at the listed guys who can get you 60 fan dual points i think that list does include heaney so it's a fair trade off to me i'm going to use heaney personally i don't blame me if you don't want to i don't blame you if you want to stack the o's against him and again i will consider that myself as well but um i do think that the that heaney makes sense they picture for tonight because of the strikeout upside he presents and because he navigated around his issues pretty successfully last year so i mentioned you could stack the o's they're not in the top three but they are a consideration for me today let's talk about other stacks i do like for today and i think that when you're looking at the list of stacks there are a lot of teams in contention for the second stack but to me i think the first one is pretty settled and that is the raids against chad cool coolest making his nats debut he struggled last year and it was with the rocky so you could write it off as being a coarse field thing but it wasn't just at home he had a 6.32 eray on the road last year as well the best version of cool in terms of pitching is when he's throwing a lot of sliders and he did do that he did settle into that zone over his final 11 starts and it did lower a skill interactive eray to 4.72 which was an improvement from the full season but his hard contact rate went up to 49 percent he led up a 8.70 eray cool did not have a great spring which says to me that um he was probably still letting up a lot of hard contact there so he's not facing the toughest lineup here with the raids because the raids have a 104 wrc plus versus righties dating back to the start of last year so this is more so about the pitcher than it is about the actual offense but i do think we should load up on the race tonight given the issues cool had last year specifically we do is outside of course field and given the the rays are a pretty decent offense as well we used to in the past for a second against cool like back in like the the heyday of uh dfs you would favor lefties all the way here i don't think we need to care too much because cool kind of got rocked by both last year definitely let up a better heart or better bat a ball profile the lefties than righties so i would favor lefties a bit but i think that we can kind of go whatever you want with here it's a good thing for wander franco at 37 he's been awesome to start this year no surprise a guy who will steal some bags gotta love that brand of lao is low salary to $3100 hasn't gotten off to the start i want uh his spring numbers were okay from a power perspective too so you know not leaping the way i have in the past at lao but still do like him and then luke railies hit in the middle of the lineup for both their games against righties and did play the entire game in both those as well also stole seven bases in 63 games in triple a last year so really could run i'm open him if he hits there again pretty good spring for really too so i think the race is there to be at the top of your stacking options for tonight if you need help getting to scherzer beaver bald as i think that luke really could be a good guy in terms of a low salary with a path to a decent ceiling i do think the weather should play into our other stacks for tonight i mentioned the wind being out in kansas city in st louis and that's going to play into both of our next two stacks those are good conditions for hitting it's also very warm in both those cities for today i'm going to put the jays in the second slot in kansas city and then we'll talk about the cardinals in the third slot the jays are facing chris buvich who gets around balls and you like for stacking but we can offset that with the amount of hard contact that buvich allows he started throwing more curve balls down the stretch last year and his fly ball right in that time 31 percent that's good you want that for sure if you're a pitcher but he led up a 44 percent hard hit rate a very high number his skill interactive era was 4.71 with a 19 percent strikeout rate so the results were pretty poor the peripherals pretty poor and that means he could reverse course and go back to what he was doing before but for the full season buvich led up a 45 percent hard hit rate with a 5.58 eray so i'm not sure if there is a quick fix to be had here when looking at buvich and trying to correct the issues he has had the jays offense used to be phenomenal against lefties uh not even the not-so-distance pass they're not quite that anymore traded away uh lorde scurriel lost some other guys who uh taylor scar anandes who can hit lefties really well but still a 104 w r c plus against lefties and started last year on the active roster the current active roster iso is 150 they're not elite numbers but i think it's good enough in the situation so i'll be on the jays here due to the combo of the matchup plus the weather i think that's enough to make them viable for tonight i do think we can find a high upside guy in the lower part of the order here you look at um a lot of lineups on fangley don't see a lot of people use guys lower in the order so if you want to be different within a stack you can dip lower in the order and to me i think that the guy we're targeting here is the bespectacle beast dandy jansen back in our lives once again he had eighth and they're won a game against the lefty so might not hit super high but jansen just strokes it against lefties 183 iso against lefties in 2021 226 last year both in small samples but if you combine them together it's about 130 plate appearances so decent sample there for an iso tons of flyballs he's making enough hard contact his salary is $2,500 i'm going to use jansen even if he hits in the bottom of the order i think that he makes a lot of sense so if you want to be different without being dumb within your jay stacks i think that dany jansen is the route for doing so mentioned the third stack is going to be the cardinals and it's risky because it involves targeting an offense facing a prospect who is making his big league debut which means they have not seen him before outside of watching tape watching spring training stuff like that i am going to give it a shot here though i think it's it's worth that they're facing dylan dodd and if it were pretty much any other team i probably wouldn't be itchy to stack against dodd because i think he's good he worked his way from high a to triple a last year and he had good results at each stop he got a good number of whiffs he had a healthy ground ball right in high a not as much in double a so i'm not entirely sure what to expect out of dodd but last year when he worked his way up he was in his age 24 season you would expect a guy in his age 24 season to dominate at high a now he has to face big leaguers he's had just one start above double a that was a triple a start now going into the majors and to his credit dodd was awesome in the spring he had 20 strikeouts compared to four walks and 18 innings the quality of opponent was not awful relative to a lot of other pitchers either so he could be great here he could shut them down for sure but the guys in the cardinals active roster had a 148 w rc plus against lefties or have since the start of last year where they 230 iso those are unreal numbers now a lot of that is because some of their younger guys don't have a sample there maybe they won't be as good but so it's an inflated number it will come down this year but we can stack them even against quality lefties and dodd could be that or he could be below that we don't really know as of now so i think we should be on the cardinals here against dodd given there is uncertainty and given we know they are very good against lefties i'm curious to see where jordan walker will hit tonight for the cardinals because we've not seen the face of lefty yet they got a lot of lefties higher up in the order maybe walker moves up a bit with the lefty out there but really impressed with him so far one strike out in 17 plate appearances he has a 47 heart hit rate i think walker is going to be good this year he's very young and he liked dodd coming up from double a so there could be a learning curve but he's looked he hasn't looked over matched yet looked good this spring i think that walker could have a big game soon he's willing to run he's got some power facing a lefty i think that's enough to make jordan walker a really fun plate tonight at $2,500 so obviously go to the focal points on the cardinals all the old faithfuls against lefties but walker i think should be in that mix as a guy to save save us some salary and follow that that's speaking about walker and talk about the third guy we did not discuss that's shane beiber i'm going to put him third behind those guys and it's because he looked okay in his first start he does get the ace night which is a great matchup it's a good park for pitching good weather i have beiber at 6.3 strike outs whereas sherser's at 8.0 valdez 6.7 so beiber behind them which is why he's third of this group but i can't yell at you if you want to put beiber above them in a good matchup i i think that makes sense but personally i want to sell out for strikeouts and sherser gets more of those i think valdez probably gets me more of those he's also at home so i'm okay prioritizing them over beiber for tonight i'm not sure who the oracles are starting here because it was supposed to be tyler wells but he had to come in last night through five i believe no hit innings so pretty good choice by them after bradish got hurt so he was great but it means not really sure who they'll go with here could be kyle gibson who would be on regular rest here i like gibson enough where if he were to start near revenge game i should note i wouldn't be looking to stack the rangers could be austin vote he led up enough hard contact last year where if it is both i think the rangers would be in play for stacking but let's check back on that later uh once the plan is announced and see who the oracles are throwing and see if you want to toss the rangers into the stacking discussion for today finally i don't mind giving fenway parka a look tonight despite some poor hitting weather again very low temperatures but i think the both sides have at least some appeal rhodeson contraris starting for the pirates against the red sox he led up a 45 fly ball rates and a 41 hard hit rates after coming back up from the miners last year nick pavetta starting for the red sox in 10 starts with more forcing fastballs he led up a 41 fly ball rates and a 43 hard hit rates so there should be hard contact on both sides of this game the question is will it be enough to overcome the weather it might not be but just why they're not inside the top three for stacking but i'm going to give it a shot i just need to have them below the other stacks in better weather so the fenway park can play uh both the red sox and pirates uh but do you want to be a bit lower as a result of the weather let's finish up with the digger calls for today the boring one going back out to st louis let's go paul goldschmidt it was a pretty tight call between him and orinado orinado has a higher fly ball already gets lefties but goldschmidt the higher iso i'll go goldy i think they're both fun though so we'll go paul goldschmidt it's a boring one for the fun one let's go luke rayleigh mentioned he's been hitting the middle of the line up for the rays against righties should do so again here face and chat cool he is a lefty so i think rayleigh makes a lot of sense so the boring home run call paul goldschmidt the fun one luke rayleigh for tuesday night that's all that we have here for today on the solo shop but as mentioned our master's podcast previewing augusta is up on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed and over on the fandal youtube page so if you want to find that go search over there the daily iso atom becky o is back today as well for an off night last night we have usc the austin swain on select events and much more all right here in the same place so go search for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast and make sure you hit subscribe to get them as they go live if you've got any questions for me i am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast want to thank you all for tuning in for today good luck to you with your mlb d f s lineups for tonight we'll talk to you once again tomorrow for wednesday slate this has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network