 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday, April 6th, 2022. I am Chief Meteorologist John Innsworth for the Longmont Public Media. I think I missed a lunar phase last time. I got the moon wrong. So this week, Thursday, April 8th, we do have the first quarter moon, and on to drought. Nothing changed. So absolutely nothing in the map from one to the next changed in Colorado. It's so strange. But nationally, we see a little less drought down here in Texas, a little more up in the upper Midwest and a little worsening out in the West. We just haven't had a lot of water coming into the nation, but that's about to change. Let's take a look at the snowpack. We started, this is the end of February at 94% normal, and we shot up and down a little bit. We shot up 92% normal with this little dip right here, so yeah, things should be nice to pick up. We were way above normal in the earlier part of the season, January, so let's see if we can get this up to at least 100%, hopefully, before we go. Okay, and there's a later one still below normal, 91%. For the precipitation, we definitely got some more water over the last seven days. Some planes picked up a little bit out here too, that half an inch to an inch is the light green, but many places in the mountains did well with very isolated spots over too. Looking at the climatology of severe weather, so the beginning of April, sorry, last week of March is this area with highest probability in southern, south, eastern Colorado, I'm sorry, Oklahoma, I used to live there. Now that expands quite dramatically a week later, and you'll see that the current severe weather chances are building upon this climatology pretty nicely, because here it is over on the eastern edge of it, really good chance of some severe weather on Wednesday, moving up the east coast and into Florida on Thursday, and then Friday further up the east coast and off. That was a mistake. Wednesday's weather map just shows elevated fire danger, this really does extend back up in here, I don't know why they're missing that, but we are under a red flag alert for high winds, very dry conditions, low relative humidity around here. There's our severe weather in the south, sort of by a lot of rain, many, many inches, places getting five to seven inches of water out here. Let's send it our way, please. For Thursday, winds will die down a little bit, but I bet there's still some red flag concerns in Colorado, and for Friday, we are entering a very beautiful, high dry weekend. So here is our coolness now with the northwest flow of loft going into the weekend, we go way above normal, which is going from 59 up to 61, our normal low is coming from 31 to 33, so now high and low temperatures are normally not freezing. I don't think though, this is yet the time to turn on sprinkler systems, I think people usually wait, try to remember, is it Mother's Day or something like that in Colorado, this part of Colorado, but we also see very unsettled weather in the ensembles starting Sunday night and going most of the week. What this looks like, now we'll see. So Saturday noon, big ridge overhead, very warm temperatures, some spots maybe approaching 80, I don't know if we'll see long amount hit 80 yet. Then the next storm was moving in with a big trough, the wider the trough, the slower it moves, and this one is going to go pretty slowly. There was the snow really settling in Tuesday morning, and by Wednesday morning the snow is still kind of happening, locally with some rain on the plains with a low passing in through southeast Colorado. So next 10 days, there's the strong jet stream aloft that's giving us the winds as they translate down to the surface, then the ridge comes in for the weekend, just have a fantastic weekend. And there's the trough beginning to dig in the western part of the state, and here's the real kicker, a little cutoff low, rolling in like a bowling ball, and wow, the winds over Colorado is at passes Wednesday into Thursday, and then you get into Friday, and there's another little trough that kind of builds back here, so that's what might keep things unsettled later into the week. Looking at temperatures, the cold air that we just had with strong winds is sweeping down, giving us severe weather in the southeast, we're on the cold side of the mountains here, then the heat comes in for the weekend, while the cold oozes off the east coast. Cold air is coming down with a lower cold front push Monday, and then a stronger push going into Tuesday, you can see that cold front fighting back and forth, and then real cold air comes in for Thursday into Friday, even in the weekend, next week. Moisture, I'm showing this because spring is coming, and if we can get a river of moisture overhead, this is precipitable water, so this is the amount of atmospheric moisture above normal and green, below normal and brown, here comes the low for Sunday, and just a little bit of this moisture gets pulled in, a little bit connects in from the southwest as well. We have briefly a good river of moisture, then that gets shoved away as the low races off to the northeast, dry air returns later in the week. So we're looking at this storm, piece by piece, the red dashed lines are above freezing temperatures, the blue dashed are below freezing, and here comes our next system, Saturday into Sunday, and then you'll see it kind of forming right on top of us, going into Monday, there we go, and then it gets reinforcing low comes through, and we do have a couple days of unsettled, showery snow, maybe, weather, I don't know, I'm seeing nothing but rain and some models and heavy snow and others, the GFS is kind of snow crazy on this. So over the next five days, just a little bit of isolated showers and sprinkles on the plains and up in the mountains, very little snow, only at the higher elevations. Over the next 10 days, that is inch and a half, two inch area of moisture, I don't know if I can believe this, it would be great if we could get that much moisture off here, even half inches amounts on many places in the plains, and snow is ridiculous, it's 10 to 14 inches in there, this is 10 to 1 ratio too, because the temperatures will be so warm, it won't be that fluffy, but that's heavy wet snow if it occurs. So keep an eye open, Longmont leader and Broomfield leader for all that as the week goes on, I will keep an eye on it. So we have 50s and 60s going into the end of the week, almost 80 on Saturday, cooling as the next front comes in, 60s, 50s, and then 30s for Tuesday with a possible return of snow. The GFS a couple days ago showed, but almost could give you two or three snow days if it actually came true. So Longmont leader and Broomfield leader, yay, finally has a spot here for freaking weather updates and local news. So this has been Chief Meteorologist John Nisworth, keeping an eye on rain and snow for you, and it is nice for you to keep looking up.