 Thank you for giving me this opportunity to give a brief introduction about China, about China and the world by 2030. This is our new book, published Chinese version last October. Total topic, how to let the China step by step forward to the common prosperity society. Even talk about it, the world, how to step by step promote, we call it the Da Tong World, and will be a given definition. This book English word will be published this month by the Springer. This is the fourth time they not only forecast the China in future, but also they fourth time to give the forecast in the world. As you know, the China and the world very dynamic interaction between them. Today time very limited, I gave a briefly introduction of this lectures, there'll be my presentation in the internet. So, I quickly gave a briefly conclusion for our research or for a cast the world by 2030. Fourthly, that means the world the world into the world Golden Groups H. Secondly, the world industry structure readjustment gave us our opportunity to how to follow up even utilized. The third, that means the third new run of the economic globalization not only by the developed country, but also developed country like China. The fourth, that means science and technology and innovation revolution. The fourth, global aging and fuel child children innovation especially in the developing country, even the China and rapidly revolution. That's the point I call the global green revolution. I call the fourth time, fourth industry revolution. The fourthly, why we call the world into the third Golden Groups H? If you look at the historical record, for the Golden Age in the period of 1870 to the 1913, the world economic growth reached to the 2.1%. Second, the Golden Age since 1950 to the 1973, the world economic growth reached to the peak nearly the 4.9%. This is based on Angus Medicine Database. Here gave a very professional solidity research. If based on medicine database, we are continue to forecast to some of the city, we find that the world into the third Golden Age will be reached to the 3.5%. This conclusion, we are how to say forecast before international financial crisis in 2008, but even financial crisis coming, not pass, they live in, this world will be continue to Golden Age. That means driving by the North country. If you look at the map, the GDP share of the world total by two kind of the country. One is the record of South country. Second is the North country. We find it the map of the economic geographic big change. If you look at the South share of the world total, since 1820 from a 70% decline to nearly the 40% in 1950, even maintain this ratio until 2000. When the 2000 the South country, the share for time to over than 50% reach to the 52.4%. That means the China and the United States give a contribution, a big change. By 2030, South country share will be reached to the more than the 66%. Even the China will be reached to the 33.4%. Meanwhile, North country from 47.6% in 2010 decline to 33%. This reflect the South's North country big change. That means from 70 to the 30 North to the South in the 1820 shift to 30 to the 70 in 1950. But now recovery, this is a very like a typical, they call the U-curve for the South countries. If you look at the industry structure global, a big change, even the agriculture share continual decline, industry continual decline, service sector continual increase. If I look at the map of the trade, both export and import in the global, you'll find it, the South country will be continued to increase to the 72% by 2030. The China will be continued from now, 10% increase to one of the fourth of the world total. The meanwhile, import share, big change, from now, more than 40% for the South increase the 60%. The China from now, 9% increase to 27%. We forecast the China will be from a trade surplus country shift to the balance between the import and export, even become net import country. If the China continue to open outside, look at the FDI, the China quickly become the newcomer. In 1980, the China very small the ratio, that's only accounted for 0.1% of world total. But now become number two or number three, reach to the 8.5% of the world. In the 2020, there will be increased 15%. 2030 will be reached to the 20%. That means the China quickly become a newcomer for the foreign direct investment host country, even go outside. So how to utilize the China opportunity? That means how to up so China FDI? This is for the global. So I think the China quickly to become a newcomer, new FDI, we need a lot of the international cooperation, especially international business cooperation. This is a reflect the China more and more promote the economic globalization from export, import, even the FDI after flow or inflow. More and more integration. So if I look at the R&D and the S&D science and technology, the China quickly become a newcomer to promote science and technology cooperation. This is a reflect the China have a very strong human capital advantage. In 1980, the China science and technology personal for time research, that's only 320. But now more than the 1.9 million the new data last year is a number one over them you and the U.S. By 2020, I directly involved in the China national long-term development of the talents or profession 2010 to the 2020, very big, which to the 3 million that means scientist engineering in the R&D this field by 2030 will be more than 4.2 billion, that means summer of the EU under the U.S. That means the China will become a big R&D base. Even now the multi-company set up the R&D institution more than 1,700 in 1995, that's only 203. So this is a reflect the China human capital especially R&D where gave opportunity that the China R&D more and more internationalization, more and more international cooperation become a new center of the R&D. If I look at the global aging population, rapidly increase even the China, if I look at the global challenge we call the number one, that means the global change. So the human being how to response, we think about it, they need to gather to initial a false industrialization revolution, we call the green revolution. That means they need to develop the green production, green energy, green consumption, green architecture, green house, even the green transportation. This is the reflect the human being need to pursue the new path, new model to development. I have another book to focus on this topic. If I look at the future in the world, we call the Datong Society, that means common perspective, why we believe in even the opportunity them. I calculated the catch up index of the GDP per capita, that means those country equal to 100%. If I look at the South Asian developing country, China and India, we founded the curve since 1820, we call the divergences, great divergences. Even look at 1950, South country account for about 20%. Continual decline after 2000, this curve reverse increased to the 18% after 10 years. If by 2030, there will be increased to more than 30%. Why North country or South country from great divergences shift to the great convergences? I think the China, Indian and Asia developing country and other some emerging developed country, give a country bullshit. They are quickly to a convergences with North country, especially like China with US. Not only from per capita GDP, but also education indicators, health indicators, even the HDI, Human Development Index. This is why we concern as all focus on human being. We are looking, this is a good news. Even the poverty of Solio table international standard, poverty in setting the right, rightly decline, especially China and India. The China next step target, that means get off all the Solio table of poverty population. If I look at the Da Tong, the peace, Da Tong world, what's meanings? We give a clear definition. One is the peaceful, the world, that means depend on the Chinese leaders. Second, we call the homilowness world. This is an announcement by our president, Hu Jintao 2004 or 2005. The third, this is our definition. That means common rich, the world. That means based on the catch up indicators, we find that the per capita GDP, per capita income, education, health and other indicators will be convergences. Last point, very important, we definition the green world. That means the China need to give a contribution green world, I call it the green contribution. I quickly to mention about it, China situation by 2030. Fourthly, we need to from economic side, secondly from science and technology. The third from human development. The fourth from common rich ideas. Last point, green contribution, from green contribution. I use the three approach to forecast the China GDP tendency with the US. Fourthly, we use the current exchange rate. Secondly, based on the PPP, current price. Thirdly, we use the Angus Madison methodology based on constant price at the PPP. That means in 1990s international US dollars. This is very professional to calculate. I introduce Koff-Schint. We call it catch up index that the US equal to 100%. If you look at the 2000 data, you'll find that these three approach very diversity, very difference. That means from 12% to the 54%. If you look at the 2010 from 40% to the 100%, that means based on Angus Madison data, 2008 US is about 1.07% of China. But now China is about 113% of the US. This is our calculate based on Angus data. If you look at the current exchange, we found that before international crisis, US GDP is about four times that of China. 2010 declined to 2.5 times. 2011, last year, reduced to 2.1 or 2.2 times. This reflects that China quickly catch up during the international financial crisis. I call the crisis in Chinese world equal to opportunity. Very rapidly catch up with US. By 2030, based on our three approach, we found it very convergent. That means China is about 2.0 times that of the US. So I discussion exchange ideas with American scholars. Mostly American scholar believe in the China that's only over than the US. Not think about the two times. This is a calculation very controversial. So I think we use a three approach to measure them. Secondly, we use per capita GDP, or GDP per capita, the same conclusion. China quickly to catch up. I use the catch up index of the GDP per capita. By 2030, the China will become the high income country. This definition I call the one country or one region. The per capita GDP is over than 50% of the US. This is my definition. By 2030, if based on catch up index, China catch up with US from 52% to 56%. This is our conclusion. Same conclusion similar with World Bank report. The same title, 2030 China. They not only calculate the absorptive, but also relative coefficient. This is a reflect the China quickly from I call the lowest low income country in 1978. That means China per capita GDP account for about half of the low income average, that's only 50%. By 2030, that means take 50 years, half years, half center years become low income. This is reflect the China create economical miracle quickly to accelerate industrialization, modernization and other factors. I quickly gave a summary of a book. That means reflect the future of China and the world. Fourthly, the common prosperity of the country. This means very important for our target in the future. Even this time 18 congress will be discussion about China growth by 2030. We gave a solid background research report. Secondly, common prosperity of the world. That means a big development, big convergences, a big reverse, a big transformation. Last point, China will be the most powerful engine for the global economic development. The new donors international development assistance. My book we called very big ODA plan. That means by 2015 the China ODA, especially for the Asia and the African American, North American countries reach to 0.3% of GDP. That means Americans now only 0.3%. By 2020 we will reach to 0.7%. By 2030 more than 1%. So the China will become number one donation of the ODA. Last point, the leading country of the global big transformation. Promote free trade, promote economic globalization, promote green world. So if the world success, if the China failure, the world should be failure. Thank you very much.