Should I buy Real Estate in 2018?





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Published on Aug 2, 2011

Should I buy a home in 2018? Should I buy a house. Should I buy a house Now? Should I buy a Home in the US? House prices in 2018. Stocks or Real Estate in 2018?

Comments • 1,134

Gerry Villars
Gerry Villars4 years agoHighlighted comment
Does this make you want to buy real estate in 2014-2015? It does it for me.
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Explorers Without A Good Acronym
Who else is watching in 2018!
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Kauai Hawaii
you have a really weird arm and hand.
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I think you MASSIVELY overlook the baby boomer generation that are all trying to retire. More 30 yr old and unders live at home than ever before due to the job market. 40 year cycles isn't really what I'd bank on. The money printing the Fed currently does isn't trickling down to the middle class, it's parked on bank balance sheets to keep them in the black. Which also means the banks are trying to keep the real estate prices up in the event they are forced to liquidate all their commercial rental properties at a huge loss. Almost nobody can afford a new home now, very few can even get preapproved for the typical $200k home, and we have way too many young people working dead end jobs because higher paying jobs evaporated in 2008. I think those who buy now are buying into a bubble that has been delayed since 2007.
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Super Luigiman
Who is watching this in 2017 ;)
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It must be a good feeling to look at a video you posted years ago there was a prediction of the future and realize it's now a history lesson. Any chance you will do more of these in the future?
Faye Tsai
I am a real estate agent in the bay area, specifically silicon valley and I can't imagine the prices going up 700%. The math won't work if it does. There is a threshold of how much money one can borrow. Salaries go up very slowly. So when you increase a price of a home by say 200% like it did the last cycle, then you have to put more down, buy smaller homes or increase the debt/income ratio. But there is a certain point that it all falls apart. The only thing you can do is keep putting more down so your loan is affordable. If you buy a 2 million dollar house, you better be putting down 40% or more unless you have some crazy salary. 1 million is present home prices here. If it went up 700%, 7million for a basic home, then you would have to put 6 million in cash. There are very few homes on the market presently. So the demand is still outpacing supply. I think part of the reason is people are hanging on to their homes if they want to stay in the area. A lot of the people who are selling are going elsewhere or are downsizing. I don't see a lot of upgrading because who can afford to. This keeps prices high here. I would be surprised if by 2027, homes here even rose 100%. I definitely don't know where homes could rise 700% and still be affordable.
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how can prices increase 700% in California is really hard to imagine, specially in the northern side. A 2 bedroom tiny little house is already at 500k. and a not so good neighborhood. Decent neighborhood everything is 1M+
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John Barnes
1.3 trillion in student loan debt will also destroy this theory as well.
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rich young
Wow.  And looking back tells us the future?  People in Canada are up to their eyeballs in debt.  Youngsters are overpaying for homes so old people can retire in style.  Those young people are strapped.  Note, every 70 years is a super cycle which I was taught in business school.  The Central Banks are fighting this natural occurrence by printing and buying down rates.  The inflation we see this time will be stagflation as companies are finding it hard to profit and thus, wages won't rise.  This will result in the biggest crash in real estate we have ever seen.  People, after buying food and water won't have much left to spend on fancy digs.  1930 was the last super cycle.  Then next should have been in 2000 but all we have seen is lower and lower rates to fight against the aging boomers spending less.  This policy taken by the central banks has only delayed the inevitable.  We will see a crash like never before.... but with all the intervention it is hard to say when.
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